Forest fire risk assessment methodologies vary considerably, presenting challenges for adaptation to specific local contexts. This study provides a systematic analysis of forest fire assessment approaches across the Mediterranean basin, American, African, and Asian regions through a comprehensive review of 112 peer-reviewed studies
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Forest fire risk assessment methodologies vary considerably, presenting challenges for adaptation to specific local contexts. This study provides a systematic analysis of forest fire assessment approaches across the Mediterranean basin, American, African, and Asian regions through a comprehensive review of 112 peer-reviewed studies published from 2015 to 2025. Statistical significance testing (Chi-square tests,
p < 0.05) confirmed significant regional variation in methodological preferences and indicator usage patterns. Key findings revealed that Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis dominates the field (44% of studies,
n = 49), with Analytical Hierarchical Process being the most utilized method (39 studies). Machine learning approaches represent 25% (
n = 28), with Random Forest leading significantly (22 applications). The analysis identified 67 indicators across seven major categories, with topographic factors (slope: 105 studies) and anthropogenic indicators (road networks: 92 studies) showing statistically significantly highest usage rates (
p < 0.001), representing a statistically significant critical gap in vulnerability assessment (
p < 0.01). Organizational factors remain severely underrepresented (a maximum of 14 studies for any factor), representing a statistically significant critical gap in risk assessments (
p < 0.01). Statistical analysis revealed that while Mediterranean approaches excel in integrating historical and cultural factors, American methods emphasize advanced technology integration, while Asian approaches focus on socio-economic dynamics and land-use interactions. This study serves as a foundation for developing tailored assessment frameworks that combine remote sensing analysis, ground-based surveys, and community input while accounting for local constraints in data availability and technical capacity. The study concludes that effective forest fire risk assessment requires a balanced integration of global best practices with local environmental, social, and technical considerations, offering a roadmap for future forest fire risk assessment approaches in different regions worldwide.
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