Integrating Otolith Shape and Chemistry for Stock Discrimination of Pagellus bogaraveo in the Northeast Atlantic ^†

Introduction: Fish stock identification and delineation are fundamental requirements for preventing local depletion and promoting the sustainable exploitation of marine resources. The blackspot seabream, Pagellus bogaraveo, is the most commercially valuable sparid species across the Northeast Atlantic and the Mediterranean Sea. To effectively discriminate fish stocks, researchers increasingly rely on the use of natural tags, which reflect both environmental and genetic influences, providing critical information regarding fish movements and population structure. Objective: To broaden the understanding of P. bogaraveo stock structure, samples originally obtained for a parasite-based discrimination study were used to provide complementary insights through otolith shape and geochemical signatures. Methodology: A subset of 150 individuals (30 per location) collected across five Portuguese locations (Portugal mainland: Matosinhos, Figueira da Foz, and Sagres; and Archipelagos: Azores and Madeira) was selected for otolith analyses. Otolith contour phenotypic variation was quantified through Elliptical Fourier Descriptors (EFDs) and Shape Indices (SIs), while elemental signatures (element: Ca) were analyzed using solution-based inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (SB-ICP-MS). Statistical analyses involved both univariate (one-way ANOVA, followed by Tukey tests, if needed) and multivariate approaches (MANOVA and LDFA), considering both individual and combined datasets. Results: EFDs + SIs yielded the lowest discriminatory power, with an overall reclassification accuracy of 38%. In contrast, Ca signatures provided the highest discrimination at 79%. The combination of both markers resulted in a slightly lower overall accuracy of 75%, likely due to the higher variance associated with the morphological data. Conclusions: In agreement with the previous parasite assessment, these otolith-based approaches confirm that the Macaronesian archipelagos consist of distinct stocks, separate from the Portuguese continental shelf. Furthermore, significant differences in otolith geochemical signatures between Sagres and Figueira da Foz point to a further subdivision of stocks. These findings are consistent with recent genetic data identifying three distinct stocks along the western and southern Iberian Peninsula, reinforcing the need for localized management of P. bogaraveo populations to ensure long-term fishery sustainability.