Skip to Content
  • Review
  • Open Access

30 June 2026

15 Pages

Available Biomarkers for Personalized Prognostication in Early and Very Early Systemic Sclerosis: A Narrative Review of the Current Literature

,
,
,
,
,
and
1
Department of Rheumatology, Radboud University Medical Center, 6525 GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands
2
Department of Rheumatology, Sint Maartenskliniek, 6574 NA Nijmegen, The Netherlands
3
Department of Laboratory Medicine—Medical Immunology, Radboud University Medical Center, 6525 GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands
4
Radboudumc Laboratory for Diagnostics, Department of Laboratory Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center, 6525 GA Nijmegen, The Netherlands

Abstract

Background: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a heterogeneous autoimmune disease characterized by inflammation, vasculopathy, and fibrosis. It is associated with the highest mortality among rheumatic diseases. Very early SSc may represent a critical phase with risk of developing progressive disease. Although timely treatment may be effective in patients with progressive disease, it carries risks of adverse events, underscoring the need for early identification of individuals at risk. Biomarkers for progression in the early stage offer opportunities for timely intervention and improved long-term outcomes. Therefore, validating biomarkers that predict progression is an important research priority. In this narrative literature review, we summarize and evaluate blood circulating biomarkers associated with different progression endpoints in (very) early SSc. Methods: The literature search was conducted using PubMed. Eligible studies assessed biomarkers in very early SSc or early SSc cohorts with longitudinal follow-up and progression-related outcomes. Results: The identified studies investigated biomarkers associated with interstitial lung disease (ILD), skin progression, overall disease progression, and mortality. Anti-topoisomerase I was associated with ILD development. A high interferon score was linked to reduced lung function and mortality. KL-6 was associated with progression in early SSc-ILD. PRO-C3 and PRO-C6 showed the strongest associations with skin involvement. Finally, IgG anti-centromere antibody was associated with organ involvement and progression to definite SSc. CXCL10 and TNFRII were linked to progression and significant survival differences in the discovery and replication cohorts. However, effect sizes were often modest, and findings were inconsistent across cohorts. Substantial heterogeneity in study design, populations, endpoints, and biomarker assessment methods limited comparability. Moreover, most biomarkers demonstrated associations at the group level but lacked sufficient discriminatory power for individual risk prediction. Only a minority of studies included validation cohorts, and replication of findings was limited. Conclusions: Multiple biomarkers show promising associations with progression in very early and early SSc, but a single biomarker is unlikely to reliably predict disease progression.

1. Introduction

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare systemic autoimmune disease characterized by inflammation, vasculopathy, and fibrosis, with a prevalence of 200 people per million worldwide [1]. The prognosis of SSc patients has improved over the past 30 years, with five-year survival rates up to 80% [2]. However, in patients with progressive disease, a three-year survival rate is as low as 50% [3,4]. The exact pathogenesis is unknown to date; however, it has been hypothesized that an unknown trigger leads to endothelial injury in small vessels, activating both innate and adaptive immune responses [5]. Immune-derived profibrotic mediators subsequently drive fibroblast–myofibroblast differentiation, resulting in excessive extracellular matrix deposition and progressive fibrosis of the skin and internal organs, including the heart, lungs, and gastrointestinal tract (GI). These collectively contribute to the high mortality associated with SSc [6].
Very early SSc is increasingly recognized as a critical phase in the disease course, as timely treatment may improve outcomes. This phase is associated with a high risk of developing progression, including skin thickening, musculoskeletal involvement, interstitial lung disease (ILD), renal disease, and increased mortality [7]. Clinically, this phase often presents with new-onset Raynaud’s phenomenon (RP) and/or puffy fingers, typically in the absence of skin fibrosis or internal organ involvement. The concept of “early SSc” was first defined by Leroy and Medsger in 2001, based on the presence of RP, SSc-specific autoantibodies (anti-centromere (ACA), anti-Th/To, anti-topoisomerase I (ATA), or anti-RNA polymerase III (ARA), and/or a characteristic nailfold capillaroscopy (NCM) pattern [8]. In 2011, the European Scleroderma Trials and Research group (EUSTAR) and the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) refined these criteria into the Very Early Diagnosis of Systemic Sclerosis (VEDOSS) by adding puffy fingers to the criteria [9,10].
Close monitoring of patients during this early stage possibly offers a valuable opportunity to improve long-term outcomes by enabling timely therapeutic intervention. Although available therapies primarily aim to reduce inflammation, mitigate fibrosis, and alleviate symptoms, they are often associated with substantial adverse effects, such as increased risk of infections. This underscores the importance of identifying patients who are most likely to benefit from early or intensive treatment approaches [11]. Early targeting of vascular or cutaneous manifestations may help prevent the development of serious complications such as ILD or pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), which are among the leading causes of SSc-related mortality [12]. A study by D. Haverkort et al. [13], showed that 43% up to 73% of patients fulfilling the amended VEDOSS criteria had disease progression over a 3-year follow-up [13]. Accordingly, an important priority for future research is the identification and diagnostic validation of early biomarkers capable of predicting progressive disease. Incorporating such biomarkers into treatment algorithms could facilitate personalized and preventive strategies [12].
Given the growing interest in identifying biomarkers associated with progression in very early SSc, multiple studies have investigated markers linked to various progression outcomes. In this narrative review, we summarize and evaluate blood circulating biomarkers associated with different progression endpoints in VEDOSS and early SSc, with the aim of evaluating their predictive value for disease progression.

2. Methods

The primary objective of this narrative review was to provide an overview and evaluation of prognostic circulating blood biomarkers for disease progression in VEDOSS and early SSc. Given the heterogeneity of study designs, methodologies, and outcome measures across the available literature, a non-systematic approach was adopted. Consequently, the review protocol was not registered in PROSPERO or other dedicated databases. Nevertheless, a PRISMA flow diagram is provided (Figure 1). In addition to database searches, reference lists of relevant publications were also manually screened to identify further eligible studies.
The PubMed database was searched for publications from 2010 onwards to 2025, as the VEDOSS criteria were first introduced in 2010 [14]. The search strategy included Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms referring to ((Systemic sclerosis) AND (Early)) AND (Biomarker) (Appendix A). Articles were screened by title and/or abstract, followed by full-text assessment by two independent reviewers; disagreements were resolved through consensus. In addition to database searches, the reference lists of relevant publications were manually screened to identify additional eligible studies. Studies were included if they addressed blood circulating biomarkers, VEDOSS, or early SSc, involved multiple measurement time points, were available in full text, and were written in English. Studies were excluded if disease duration was >5 years since the first non-RP symptom, or if they were reviews, cross-sectional studies, or meta-analyses.

3. Results

The search strategy initially identified 551 potentially eligible articles. After applying filters for publication date (2010–2025), English language, and full-text availability, 310 articles remained. A total of 241 articles were excluded during the initial filtering stage. The remaining 310 articles were screened based on title and abstract, focusing on studies addressing disease progression, early SSc, or VEDOSS. This resulted in 60 articles being selected for full-text review.
Following full-text assessment, 13 articles met the inclusion criteria. A total of 47 studies were excluded for the following reasons: lack of focus on VEDOSS or early SSc (n = 13), unknown disease duration (n = 3), not investigating circulating blood biomarkers (n = 2), absence of (progressive) biomarkers (n = 8), not addressing disease progression (n = 2), absence of longitudinal measurements (n = 15), lack of original data (n = 3), and protocol-only publication (n = 1).
In addition to the database search, two additional studies were identified through manual screening of reference lists (snowballing). These studies were not retrieved in the initial search, as they did not explicitly mention early SSc or VEDOSS; however, the reported disease duration was consistent with early SSc (Figure 1).
Figure 1. Flowchart literature search.
The included studies were characterized based on the type of progression outcomes, how these outcomes were assessed, and the biomarkers evaluated. All studies employed a cohort design, and the included studies were conducted across 11 countries worldwide. Per the study, population size varied, ranging from 21 to 625 participants. Some studies focused on VEDOSS, others on early SSc, and some on a combination of both. Mean or median disease duration since the first non-RP symptom was reported in almost all studies involving early SSc patients. Follow-up duration was consistently reported across studies, although expressed differently, either as mean or median values (Table 1).
Table 1. Overview of the study characteristics of the included articles.

4. Discussion

4.1. Biomarkers Associated with Interstitial Lung Disease

ILD affects up to 80% of patients with SSc and represents a leading cause of SSc-related mortality [12]. Approximately 25–30% of patients with ILD develop a progressive phenotype that may ultimately result in respiratory failure and death. Disease progression of SSc-ILD is typically defined by a ≥10% predicted decline in forced vital capacity (%FVCpred), or a ≥5% predicted decline accompanied by a decrease in diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) of ≥15% predicted, or radiological progression on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) [30,31,32].
Several biomarkers have been proposed as potential predictors of ILD development or progression in early SSc. Among SSc-specific autoantibodies, anti-topoisomerase I (ATA) is most consistently associated with ILD. The study by Assassi et al. [29], demonstrated that ATA positivity correlated with a more rapid decline in FVC over the first three years of follow-up, suggesting a more aggressive ILD progression. However, this association was not maintained in long-term analyses without time restriction, potentially reflecting survival bias, as patients with rapidly progressive, fatal ILD may have been underrepresented in extended follow-up cohorts. Notably, ATA was assessed as a dichotomous variable, without consideration of antibody titers. Supporting this, Mulalin et al. [33], reported that higher ATA levels were associated with earlier onset of ILD in Thai patients with SSc. Furthermore, across multiple cohorts, ATA positivity has consistently been identified as a risk factor for ILD development [34]. Although Assassi et al. [29], used a longitudinal model to assess predictors of FVC decline in a relatively large cohort (GENISOS, n = 266), there could be bias towards ATA effects. ATA is associated with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc), which may be relevant given that 60% of the cohort has dcSSc, and ATA is known to be more prevalent in patients with dcSSc [29]. However, Hasegawa et al. [27] observed a reduced %FVC at the third year in ATA-positive patients versus negative patients on the group level in a Japanese cohort (n = 93) [27]. This strengthened the role of ATA as a biomarker.
KL-6, a glycoprotein produced by type II pneumocytes, has also emerged as a promising biomarker for SSc-ILD [19,23]. Both Salazar et al. [19] and Kuwana et al. [23] have identified KL-6 as a predictor of progression in early SSc-ILD, including progression to end-stage lung disease. Despite these associations at the group level, substantial inter-individual variability has been observed: some patients with low KL-6 levels develop ILD, while others with elevated levels remain stable. This variability limits its predictive accuracy for individual patients [19,23]. Collectively, current evidence suggests that KL-6 performs well as a diagnostic biomarker for ILD in SSc. However, it remains uncertain whether its sensitivity and specificity are equally robust when applied as a prognostic biomarker for ILD progression in early SSc-ILD.
In addition, inflammatory markers have been investigated as potential biomarkers for ILD progression in early SSc. In a retrospective study, Hinchcliff et al. [16] showed that several interferon (IFN)-inducible chemokines (CCL8, CCL19, CXCL9, CXCL10) were markedly elevated in dcSSc compared with controls, forming a composite interferon score that stratified patients into IFN-high and IFN-low groups. The elevated IFN score was associated with impaired lung function, higher disability, and increased five-year mortality. The IFN score could potentially serve as a biomarker. However, as this was the first study evaluating the IFN score, further research is necessary to evaluate between biological and analytical variability of the Luminex assay. The study results could be compared with the established mRNA-based IFN signatures, and the IFN score could be assessed longitudinally to determine its behavior over time in the blood. Finally, it may be of interest to assess this score in a limited cutaneous comparator group [16].
CCL2 was not included in the IFN score of Hinchcliff et al. [16] due to the lack of significant differences between dcSSc patients and healthy controls in their study. In contrast, Wu et al. [22] reported that elevated CCL2 levels were associated with a more rapid long-term decline in FVC, whereas IL-10 correlated with a slower decline in the GENISOS cohort, which consists of 266 early SSc patients, including 156 patients with dcSSc. However, these findings were not replicated in an independent validation cohort, highlighting the challenges of reproducibility. Strengths include a large sample size and consistent laboratory methods, with adjustment for known risk factors. A key limitation is that not all patients underwent CT scanning; ILD progression was diagnosed through FVC decline alone [22]. Additional biomarkers, including CHI3L1, in a study by Cossu et al. [21], have been associated with fibrotic lung involvement and reduced DLCO. While cell adhesion molecules were evaluated by Hasegawa et al. [24], they have not demonstrated consistent predictive value as a biomarker for ILD progression [24].
Finally, Ayla et al. [15] examined type VI collagen degradation and formation markers (C6M, PRO-C6), which correlated with ILD severity. C6M was significantly higher in ILD patients, and both C6M and PRO-C6 showed weak negative correlations with FVC% at baseline (R2 < 0.4). Despite statistical significance, these effects limit their practical diagnostic value. The collagen biomarkers (PRO-C3, PRO-C6, C3M, C6M) are biological variables, which makes it difficult to measure reliably. They did not predict lung function decline, limiting the current value of ILD prognostication [15].

4.2. Biomarkers Associated with Skin Involvement

Skin involvement is one of the hallmark features of SSc. The extent and trajectory of skin involvement serve as important indicators of disease severity and progression. Clinically meaningful progression is commonly defined as a ≥5-point or ≥25% increase in the Modified Rodnan Skin Score (mRSS) from baseline [35].
Various biomarkers have been evaluated as potential predictors of skin disease progression in early SSc. As observed in ILD, autoantibodies play a central role, although their predictive power varies considerably. In the study by Herrick et al. [20], a predictive model for mRSS progression, including ARA, achieved an accuracy of 71.0%. This study was strengthened by a large (ESOS, n = 293), well-defined cohort with standardized three-monthly assessments. However, the model relied predominantly on clinical variables, incorporating only a single biomarker (ARA), and did not evaluate independent biomarker effects or adjust for potential confounders [20].
In contrast, Hasegawa et al. [27] reported no prognostic value for autoantibodies such as ATA and ACA with respect to skin progression in a Japanese cohort (n = 93) of patients with dcSSc or ILD. Instead, a higher baseline erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), a marker of systemic inflammation, showed a tendency to correlate with mRSS at three-year follow-up, suggesting that inflammatory activity may be more relevant for predicting skin involvement in Japanese SSc patients [27].
Beyond autoantibodies, periostin, a protein involved in tissue repair and fibrotic processes, was investigated by De Luca et al. [17] as a potential prognostic marker in very early SSc. Although periostin levels were elevated in patients compared with controls, no association with progression of skin involvement was observed. Interpretation of these findings is limited by the small sample size (n = 15), and further studies in larger cohorts are required to clarify their prognostic relevance [17].
Similarly, collagen markers have shown associations with skin fibrosis. The collagen biomarkers PRO-C3 and PRO-C6 were significantly elevated in patients with dcSSc and demonstrated weak but significant positive correlations with mRSS, indicating their association with the extent of skin involvement according to the study by Ayla et al. [15]. Yet, as with ILD, these correlations did not exceed R2 < 0.4, suggesting limited ability to distinguish skin severity between individual patients. Longitudinally, only PRO-C3 predicted mRSS change, but in the opposite direction of cross-sectional associations, likely reflecting early disease peaks in rapidly progressive phenotypes. No other collagen biomarker predicted skin progression, and changes in collagen markers did not correlate with mRSS trajectories over six months, limiting their value for dynamic monitoring. Although their associations with inflammatory markers support biological relevance, further validation is needed before these markers can be clinically applied [15].

4.3. Biomarkers Associated with Prognosis and Mortality

Beyond ILD and skin involvement, several biomarkers have been investigated for their ability to predict overall disease progression, transition to definite SSc, and mortality. Among these, autoantibodies appear to have prognostic relevance in very early SSc. Van Leeuwen et al. [18] demonstrated that baseline IgG ACA levels were significantly higher in patients who progressed to definite SSc compared with non-progressors. Elevated levels of multiple ACA isotypes (IgG, IgM, IgA) were associated with organ involvement and disease progression. However, substantial overlap between the populations of progressors and non-progressors limits individual predictive accuracy. The cutoff values of 84% of progressors and 49% of non-progressors were correctly classified. IgG ACA levels therefore show association with disease progression, but predictive performance remains insufficient for clinical use. Additionally, the small sample size and absence of a validation cohort limit robustness [18].
Markers of systemic inflammation have also demonstrated prognostic potential. Liu et al. [25] reported that elevated baseline CRP levels predicted long-term ILD progression, increased mortality, and a more rapid decline in FVC. Notably, CRP levels were particularly elevated in ARA-positive patients not receiving immunosuppressive therapy, suggesting a link between autoantibody profile and inflammatory activation [25].
In addition, inflammatory cytokines have been investigated. Cossu et al. [21] identified CXCL10 and TNFRII as predictors of more rapid progression to definite SSc, with significant survival curves in both discovery and replication cohorts, although cutoff definitions were unclear [21]. Hasegawa et al. [24] demonstrated, in addition to previous research, that ICAM-1 shows an association with ILD, while P-selectin showed potential as a predictor of physical dysfunction, although evidence remains preliminary [24].
Finally, Valentini et al. [26] demonstrated that avascular areas on NCM, elevated PIIINP (a fibroblast activation marker), and increased soluble IL-2Rα (T-cell activation) were independently associated with progression to definite SSc in early disease. However, their ability to predict internal organ involvement was not supported, and the early SSc cohort was small, with limited numbers of true non-progressors [26].

4.4. Strengths and Limitations

The findings of this narrative review should be interpreted in light of several limitations. First, publication bias may have influenced the available evidence, as studies reporting negative biomarker findings are less likely to be published. In addition, multiple studies have been conducted within the same cohorts or have evaluated numerous biomarkers simultaneously within a single cohort, increasing the risk of false-positive findings due to multiple testing.
Some studies evaluated biomarkers in both a validation and a replication cohort, such as the study by Cossu et al. [21], which strengthens confidence when consistent results are observed across cohorts. However, in several studies, the predictive performance was not clear, which is important to assess the clinical value of these biomarkers. Overall, although these studies show statistical significance or associations at the population level, such as with KL-6, these findings do not consistently demonstrate meaningful variation at the individual level.
Furthermore, the generalizability of the findings may be limited by the geographical and ethnic composition of the study populations. A substantial proportion of the included studies were conducted in Japanese cohorts. Ethnic differences in the clinical phenotype of SSc have been described in a study by Al-Sheik et al. [36]. They evaluated ethnic variations in the Toronto Scleroderma Program cohort in Canada, where patients self-reported their ethnicity. Ethnicity was categorized as European-descent white, Afro-Caribbean, Hispanic, Arab, East Asian (China, Japan, Korea, Philippines, and Thailand), South Asian (Bangladesh, Nepal, India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka), First Nations, or Persian. This study indicated that East Asian patients less frequently present with features such as calcinosis cutis, esophageal dysmotility, sclerodactyly, and telangiectasia, while diffuse cutaneous disease may be more common compared with patients of European descent. Despite these phenotypic differences, short-term survival appears to be comparable across ethnic groups, although East Asian patients may have a longer median survival time. Additionally, East Asian patients have been reported to exhibit a lower frequency of calcinosis cutis, while disease duration is similar to that observed in white populations. These differences in disease expression and outcomes suggest that biomarker performance, including their predictive value for ILD development or progression, may vary between populations. Therefore, findings from Japanese cohorts should be interpreted with caution and, where possible, validated in more diverse SSc populations.
Finally, the cohorts included in the reviewed studies are highly heterogeneous, limiting the feasibility of direct comparisons. Considerable variation is observed in effect sizes, study populations, and the biomarkers investigated, which should be taken into account when interpreting the reported associations.

5. Conclusions and Future Perspectives

Although several studies suggest potential predictive value of biomarkers for ILD, skin involvement, and mortality, current evidence remains limited, reinforcing the need to prioritize multivariable prediction models over isolated predictors. Given the marked heterogeneity of the disease, a single biomarker is unlikely to reliably predict disease progression.
At present, there remains a substantial unmet need for personalized prognostication to enable treatment strategies tailored to an individual patient’s risk of progression. Recent research has shown that early treatment may improve outcomes [37]. Therefore, initiating appropriate treatment in patients with a short disease duration but an adverse prognosis could help prevent progressive disease. However, as immunomodulatory treatments may be associated with adverse events, more personalized treatment strategies are required. To date, this has not been achievable using a single biomarker; therefore, a combinatorial biomarker approach is warranted. This approach should be evaluated in a sufficiently large cohort of patients with early-stage disease, such as in the Hit Hard and Early trial [38], and subsequently externally validated.
Future research should therefore focus on large, multicenter, and standardized cohorts with uniform follow-up to validate combinations of candidate biomarkers into predictive models, including their external validation in independent populations. Integrating molecular, serological, and clinical markers in translational studies may further enhance personalized risk stratification, early intervention, and targeted therapeutic approaches. Ultimately, robustly validated biomarker panels could enable earlier identification of high-risk patients, guide monitoring intensity, and support more individualized treatment strategies.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, M.W.K., M.C.V. and I.D.; methodology, M.W.K., M.C.V. and I.D.; writing—original draft preparation, I.D., M.C.V. and M.W.K.; writing—review and editing, I.D., M.W.K., M.C.V., L.M.V., R.M.T., R.L.S. and A.v.C.; supervision, M.C.V. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

I.D. was funded by ReumaNederland grant 24-2-402.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

No new data were created or analyzed in this study. Data sharing is not applicable to this article.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest. M.C.V.: Received research grants from Boehringer Ingelheim and Ferrer; received consulting fees from Boehringer Ingelheim and Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson; received speaker fees from Boehringer Ingelheim, Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, MSD, and Novartis; and was treasurer of EUSTAR and steering committee member of the ERN ReCONNET, is a board member of the Dutch Society for Rheumatology.

Abbreviations

The following abbreviations are used in this manuscript:
ACAAnti-Centromere Antibody
ANAAntinuclear antibodies
Anti-PM-SclAnti-Polymyositis/Scleroderma
ARAAnti-RNA polymerase III
ATAAnti-topoisomerase I antibody
Anti-U1RNPAnti-U1 Ribonucleoprotein
C3M/C6MCollagen type III/VI M
CCLCC-Chemokine Ligand
CHI3L1Chitinase-3-like protein 1
CRPC-Reactive Protein
CSRGCanadian Scleroderma Research Group
CXCLC-X-C motif Chemokine Ligand
dcSSCDiffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis
DLCODiffusing Capacity of the Lungs for Carbon Monoxide
ESOSEuropean Scleroderma Observational Study
ESRErythrocyte Sedimentation Rate
EULAREuropean League Against Rheumatism
EUSTAREuropean Scleroderma Trials and Research
FVCForced Vital Capacity
G-CSFGranulocyte Colony-Stimulating Factor
GENISOSGenetics versus Environment in Scleroderma Outcomes Study
GIGastrointestinal
HAQ-DIHealth Assessment Questionnaire—Disability Index
HRCTHigh-Resolution Computed Tomography
I-TACInterferon–inducible T Cell Alpha Chemoattractant
ICAM-1Intercellular Adhesion Molecule-1
ICTPCarboxy-terminal telopeptide of type I collagen
IFNInterferon
IL1Interleukin
ILDInterstitial Lung Disease
IP-10Interferon gamma-induced protein 10
JBIJoanna Briggs Institute
KL-6Krebs von den Lungen-6
MeSHMedical Subject Headings
mRSSModified Rodnan Skin Score
NCMNailfold Capillary Microscopy
PAHPulmonary Arterial Hypertension
PHPulmonary Hypertension
PIIINPN-Procollagen III N-terminal Propeptide
Pro-C3/Pro-C6N-terminal Propeptide of type III/VI collagen
RPRaynaud’s phenomenon
RHCRight Heart Catheterization
SDStandard Deviation
sIL-2RSoluble Interleukin-2 Receptor
SRCScleroderma Renal Crisis
SScSystemic Sclerosis
STPRSerum Total Protein obtained by refractometer
TNF-αTumor Necrosis Factor α
TNFRIITumor Necrosis Factor Receptor II
UKUnited Kingdom
USUnited States
VCVital Capacity
VEDOSSVery Early Diagnosis of Systemic Sclerosis

Appendix A

The complete PubMed search string: ((Systemic sclerosis) AND (Early)) AND (biomarker) AND ((fft[Filter]) AND (english[Filter]) AND (2010:2025[pdat])) AND (english[Filter]) AND (2010:2025[pdat]) NOT (Review[Publication Type])).

References

  1. Ross, R.L.; Caballero-Ruiz, B.; Clarke, E.L.; Kakkar, V.; Wasson, C.W.; Mulipa, P.; De Lorenzis, E.; Merchant, W.; Di Donato, S.; Rindone, A.; et al. Biological hallmarks of systemic sclerosis are present in the skin and serum of patients with Very Early Diagnosis of Systemic Sclerosis (VEDOSS). Rheumatology 2025, 64, 3606–3617. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  2. Adigun, R.; Goyal, A.; Hariz, A. Systemic sclerosis (scleroderma). In StatPearls [Internet]; StatPearls Publishing: St. Petersburg, FL, USA, 2024. [Google Scholar]
  3. Barnes, J.; Mayes, M.D. Epidemiology of systemic sclerosis: Incidence, prevalence, survival, risk factors, malignancy, and environmental triggers. Curr. Opin. Rheumatol. 2012, 24, 165–170. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  4. Moore, D.F.; Steen, V.D. Overall mortality. J. Scleroderma Relat. Disord. 2021, 6, 3–10. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  5. Geyer, M.; Müller-Ladner, U. The pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis revisited. Clin. Rev. Allergy Immunol. 2011, 40, 92–103. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  6. Rosendahl, A.H.; Schönborn, K.; Krieg, T. Pathophysiology of systemic sclerosis (scleroderma). Kaohsiung J. Med. Sci. 2022, 38, 187–195. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  7. Roofeh, D.; Khanna, D. Management of systemic sclerosis: The first five years. Curr. Opin. Rheumatol. 2020, 32, 228–237. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  8. Tyndall, A.J.; Bannert, B.; Vonk, M.; Airò, P.; Cozzi, F.; Carreira, P.E.; Bancel, D.F.; Allanore, Y.; Müller-Ladner, U.; Distler, O.; et al. Causes and risk factors for death in systemic sclerosis: A study from the EULAR Scleroderma Trials and Research (EUSTAR) database. Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2010, 69, 1809–1815. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  9. Minier, T.; Guiducci, S.; Bellando-Randone, S.; Bruni, C.; Lepri, G.; Czirják, L.; Distler, O.; Walker, U.A.; Fransen, J.; Allanore, Y.; et al. Preliminary analysis of the very early diagnosis of systemic sclerosis (VEDOSS) EUSTAR multicentre study: Evidence for puffy fingers as a pivotal sign for suspicion of systemic sclerosis. Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2014, 73, 2087–2093. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  10. Bellando-Randone, S.; Del Galdo, F.; Lepri, G.; Minier, T.; Huscher, D.; Furst, D.E.; Allanore, Y.; Distler, O.; Czirják, L.; Bruni, C.; et al. Progression of patients with Raynaud’s phenomenon to systemic sclerosis: A five-year analysis of the European Scleroderma Trial and Research group multicentre, longitudinal registry study for Very Early Diagnosis of Systemic Sclerosis (VEDOSS). Lancet Rheumatol. 2021, 3, e834–e843. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  11. Quinlivan, A.; McMahan, Z.H.; Lee, E.B.; Nikpour, M. Gastrointestinal tract considerations part I: How should a rheumatologist best manage common upper gastrointestinal tract complaints in systemic sclerosis? Rheum. Dis. Clin. North Am. 2023, 49, 295–318. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  12. Santos, C.S.; Del Galdo, F. New horizons in systemic sclerosis treatment: Advances and emerging therapies in 2025. RMD Open 2025, 11, e005776. [Google Scholar]
  13. Haverkort, D.A.; den Broeder, A.A.; Kersten, B.E.; Smith, V.; Vonk, M.C. Early progression of systemic sclerosis: A longitudinal cohort study on disease evolution and microvascular changes. EULAR Rheumatol. Open 2026, 2, 326–331. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  14. Avouac, J.; Fransen, J.; Walker, U.A.; Riccieri, V.; Smith, V.; Muller, C.; Miniati, I.; Tarner, I.; Randone, S.B.; Cutolo, M.; et al. Preliminary criteria for the very early diagnosis of systemic sclerosis: Results of a Delphi Consensus Study from EULAR Scleroderma Trials and Research Group. Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2011, 70, 476–481. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  15. Ayla, A.Y.; Bernstein, E.J.; Zhang, M.; VanBuren, J.M.; Castelino, F.V.; Chung, L.; Evnin, L.; Frech, T.M.; Gordon, J.K.; Hant, F.N.; et al. Type III and type VI collagen neoepitopes with disease severity in systemic sclerosis. J. Rheumatol. 2025, 53, 519–528. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit]
  16. Hinchcliff, M.; Khanna, D.; De Lorenzis, E.; Di Donato, S.; Carriero, A.; Ross, R.L.; Huang, S.; Aren, K.A.; Bernstein, E.J.; Carns, M.; et al. Serum type I interferon score as a disease activity biomarker in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis: A retrospective cohort study. Lancet Rheumatol. 2025, 7, e403–e414. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  17. De Luca, G.; Campochiaro, C.; Burastero, S.E.; Matucci-Cerinic, M.; Doglioni, C.; Dagna, L. Periostin expression in uninvolved skin as a potential biomarker for rapid cutaneous progression in systemic sclerosis patients: A preliminary explorative study. Front. Med. 2024, 10, 1214523. [Google Scholar]
  18. van Leeuwen, N.M.; Boonstra, M.; Bakker, J.A.; Grummels, A.; Jordan, S.; Liem, S.; Distler, O.; Hoffmann-Vold, A.M.; Melsens, K.; Smith, V.; et al. Anticentromere antibody levels and isotypes and the development of systemic sclerosis. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2021, 73, 2338–2347. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  19. Salazar, G.A.; Kuwana, M.; Wu, M.; Estrada-Y-Martin, R.M.; Ying, J.; Charles, J.; Mayes, M.D.; Assassi, S. KL-6 but not CCL-18 is a predictor of early progression in systemic sclerosis-related interstitial lung disease. J. Rheumatol. 2018, 45, 1153–1158. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  20. Herrick, A.L.; Peytrignet, S.; Lunt, M.; Pan, X.; Hesselstrand, R.; Mouthon, L.; Silman, A.J.; Dinsdale, G.; Brown, E.; Czirják, L.; et al. Patterns and predictors of skin score change in early diffuse systemic sclerosis from the European Scleroderma Observational Study. Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2018, 77, 563–570. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  21. Cossu, M.; van Bon, L.; Preti, C.; Rossato, M.; Beretta, L.; Radstake, T.R. Earliest phase of systemic sclerosis typified by increased levels of inflammatory proteins in the serum. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017, 69, 2359–2369. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  22. Wu, M.; Baron, M.; Pedroza, C.; Salazar, G.A.; Ying, J.; Charles, J.; Agarwal, S.K.; Hudson, M.; Pope, J.; Zhou, X.; et al. CCL2 in the circulation predicts long-term progression of interstitial lung disease in patients with early systemic sclerosis: Data from two independent cohorts. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017, 69, 1871–1878. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  23. Kuwana, M.; Shirai, Y.; Takeuchi, T. Elevated serum Krebs von den Lungen-6 in early disease predicts subsequent deterioration of pulmonary function in patients with systemic sclerosis and interstitial lung disease. J. Rheumatol. 2016, 43, 1825–1831. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  24. Hasegawa, M.; Asano, Y.; Endo, H.; Fujimoto, M.; Goto, D.; Ihn, H.; Inoue, K.; Ishikawa, O.; Kawaguchi, Y.; Kuwana, M.; et al. Serum adhesion molecule levels as prognostic markers in patients with early systemic sclerosis: A multicentre, prospective, observational study. PLoS ONE 2014, 9, e88150. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  25. Liu, X.; Mayes, M.D.; Pedroza, C.; Draeger, H.T.; Gonzalez, E.B.; Harper, B.E.; Reveille, J.D.; Assassi, S. Does C-reactive protein predict the long-term progression of interstitial lung disease and survival in patients with early systemic sclerosis? Arthritis Care Res. 2013, 65, 1375–1380. [Google Scholar]
  26. Valentini, G.; Vettori, S.; Cuomo, G.; Iudici, M.; D’Abrosca, V.; Capocotta, D.; Del Genio, G.; Santoriello, C.; Cozzolino, D. Early systemic sclerosis: Short-term disease evolution and factors predicting the development of new manifestations of organ involvement. Arthritis Res. Ther. 2012, 14, R188. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  27. Hasegawa, M.; Asano, Y.; Endo, H.; Fujimoto, M.; Goto, D.; Ihn, H.; Inoue, K.; Ishikawa, O.; Kawaguchi, Y.; Kuwana, M.; et al. Investigation of prognostic factors for skin sclerosis and lung function in Japanese patients with early systemic sclerosis: A multicentre prospective observational study. Rheumatology 2012, 51, 129–133. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  28. Domsic, R.T.; Rodriguez-Reyna, T.; Lucas, M.; Fertig, N.; Medsger, T.A., Jr. Skin thickness progression rate: A predictor of mortality and early internal organ involvement in diffuse scleroderma. Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2011, 70, 104–109. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  29. Assassi, S.; Sharif, R.; Lasky, R.E.; McNearney, T.A.; Estrada-Y-Martin, R.M.; Draeger, H.; Nair, D.K.; Fritzler, M.J.; Reveille, J.D.; Arnett, F.C.; et al. Predictors of interstitial lung disease in early systemic sclerosis: A prospective longitudinal study of the GENISOS cohort. Arthritis Res. Ther. 2010, 12, R166. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  30. Khanna, D.; Mittoo, S.; Aggarwal, R.; Proudman, S.M.; Dalbeth, N.; Matteson, E.L.; Brown, K.; Flaherty, K.; Wells, A.U.; Seibold, J.R.; et al. Connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung diseases (CTD-ILD)—Report from OMERACT CTD-ILD Working Group. J. Rheumatol. 2015, 42, 2168–2171. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  31. Johnson, S.R.; Bernstein, E.J.; Bolster, M.B.; Chung, J.H.; Danoff, S.K.; George, M.D.; Khanna, D.; Guyatt, G.; Mirza, R.D.; Aggarwal, R.; et al. 2023 American College of Rheumatology (ACR)/American College of Chest Physicians (CHEST) guideline for the treatment of interstitial lung disease in people with systemic autoimmune rheumatic diseases. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2024, 76, 1182–1200. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  32. Antoniou, K.M.; Distler, O.; Gheorghiu, A.-M.; Moor, C.C.; Vikse, J.; Bizymi, N.; Galetti, I.; Brown, G.; Bargagli, E.; Allanore, Y.; et al. ERS/EULAR clinical practice guidelines for connective tissue diseases associated interstitial lung disease of the European Respiratory Society (ERS) and the European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR) Endorsed by the European Reference Network on rare respiratory diseases (ERN-LUNG). Ann. Rheum. Dis. 2025, 85, 22–60. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  33. Mulalin, K.; Mahakkanukrauh, A.; Suwannaroj, S.; Pongkulkiat, P.; Onchan, T.; Kasa, S.; Foocharoen, C. Levels of anti-topoisomerase I antibody correlated with short onset of cardiopulmonary involvement in Thai systemic sclerosis patients. Sci. Rep. 2024, 14, 10354. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  34. Cavazzana, I.; Vojinovic, T.; Airo’, P.; Fredi, M.; Ceribelli, A.; Pedretti, E.; Lazzaroni, M.G.; Garrafa, E.; Franceschini, F. Systemic sclerosis-specific antibodies: Novel and classical biomarkers. Clin. Rev. Allergy Immunol. 2023, 64, 412–430. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  35. Wyss, A.; Jordan, S.; Graf, N.; Carreira, P.E.; Distler, J.; Cerinic, M.M.; Siegert, E.; Henes, J.; Zanatta, E.; Riccieri, V.; et al. Does regression of skin thickening predict improvement of internal organ involvement and survival in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis? A EUSTAR analysis. Arthritis Res. Ther. 2024, 26, 187. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  36. Al-Sheikh, H.; Ahmad, Z.; Johnson, S.R. Ethnic variations in systemic sclerosis disease manifestations, internal organ involvement, and mortality. J. Rheumatol. 2019, 46, 1103–1108. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [Scilit] [PubMed]
  37. Yomono, K.; Kuwana, M. Outcomes in patients with systemic sclerosis undergoing early vs delayed intervention with potential disease-modifying therapies. Rheumatology 2022, 61, 3677–3685. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
  38. Kersten, B.E.; Lemmers, J.M.; Vanhaecke, A.; Velauthapillai, A.; van den Hombergh, W.M.; van den Hoogen, F.H.; van den Ende, C.H.; Smith, V.; Vonk, M.C. Efficacy of methylprednisolone in very early systemic sclerosis: Results of the ‘Hit Hard and Early’randomized controlled trial. Rheumatology 2025, 64, 1261–1269. [Google Scholar] [PubMed]
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content.

Article Metrics

Citations

Article Access Statistics

Multiple requests from the same IP address are counted as one view.