Abstract
We investigate the infeasibility of rank reversal in the Analytic Hierarchy Process under the Saaty and Belton–Gear frameworks. In the Saaty framework, we propose an algebraic characterization and show that it is equivalent to the geometric characterization in previous studies. We then extend both characterizations to the Belton–Gear framework and prove that the infeasibility of rank reversal is identical across the two frameworks. Our analysis further reveals that the feasibility of rank reversal is an intrinsic property of the original matrix, whereas its realization additionally depends on the introduced option, thereby reconciling seemingly contradictory findings reported in the literature. Several examples are provided to illustrate the theoretical results.
MSC:
90B50; 91B06; 90C29
1. Introduction
The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), introduced by Saaty [1,2,3], is one of the most widely used tools in Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) [4]. Its pairwise comparison framework and hierarchical structure have attracted an enormous amount of interest from both researchers and practitioners in various fields, including industrial engineering, supply chain management, environmental planning, and so on [5,6,7].
The AHP has been subject to ongoing debate regarding the rank reversal phenomenon [8,9]. Rank reversal occurs when the relative ranking of existing options changes after a new option is introduced into the option set [10]. This issue has sparked considerable controversy and has led to numerous investigations [10,11,12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22].
Belton and Gear [10] provide the first instance of rank reversal in the AHP literature and propose a modification to the standard Saaty framework. Their framework suggests that priorities should be normalized by the maximum. However, Saaty and Vargas [11] respond with a counter-example, which demonstrates that the Belton–Gear normalization does not entirely eliminate rank reversal. Krause and Köppel [23] and Qiu et al. [24] have further emphasized the practical implications of rank instability. Peng et al. [25] provide a comprehensive discussion demonstrating that the modified Belton–Gear normalization [12] remains susceptible to rank reversal. More recently, Yan and Mao [26] established an infeasibility condition for rank reversal in the standard Saaty AHP framework.
Building upon Yan and Mao [26], our primary contributions are as follows:
- Proposing an algebraic approach towards the infeasibility of rank reversal in the Saaty framework;
- Establishing the equivalence between the geometric approach and the algebraic approach in the Saaty framework;
- Extending both the geometric approach and the algebraic approach from the Saaty framework to the Belton–Gear framework;
- Establishing the equivalence between the infeasibility of rank reversal in the Saaty framework and that in the Belton–Gear framework.
Our analysis reveals a crucial distinction between the feasibility of rank reversal and its realization. In particular, our results show that the feasibility of rank reversal is an intrinsic property of the original matrix, whereas its realization depends additionally on the added option. This finding reconciles seemingly contradictory claims in the literature [10,11]: both the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework may prevent rank reversal in some instances, while permitting it in others.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 reviews the Saaty framework and the infeasibility conditions developed by Yan and Mao [26] and presents both geometric and algebraic formulations. Section 3 introduces the Belton–Gear framework and extends the infeasibility analysis in the Belton–Gear framework. Section 4 presents detailed illustrations using multiple examples. Section 5 concludes with a discussion of the theoretical implications and directions for future research. Proofs of all theorems are collected in Appendix A.
2. The Saaty Framework
2.1. Preliminaries
Consider a set of options and a set of m criteria indexed by , 2, …, . Under the criterion ℓ, there is a pairwise comparison matrix , which is assumed to be cardinally consistent here, and can yield a vector of priorities, where
Note that . The cardinal consistency demands that
We point out that the cardinal consistency of is crucial for our further investigation. Although cardinally inconsistent matrices are ubiquitous in real world applications, our focus on cardinally consistent matrices is still valuable because it is fundamental to the understanding of AHP and can be viewed as a springboard for prospective investigation on the inconsistent case.
2.2. The Addition of a New Option
Consider a new option being added to form
The updated version of the aggregate priority vector in (4) is
Define
We observe that
The relationships in (8) and (9) hold due to the cardinal consistency of the pertinent pairwise comparison matrices. In the consistent case, given the criterion ℓ, as the pairwise comparison matrix for is an augmented version of the pairwise comparison matrix for , where the last row and the last column of are added to , and priority vectors are normalized columns of and under the sum-to-one constraint, this guarantees the proportional relationships in (8).
The first n entries of in (5) constitute a subvector
which will be compared against in (4) when rank reversal is of interest. Note that the rank of the added option is of no interest when we consider rank reversals among the pre-existing n options, which invites us to cut off the last entry of in (5). Although the numerical value of ranks of the first n entries of in (5) obtained from are of course different from those ranks obtained from , the latter are sufficient and even more convenient for the purpose of investigating rank reversals.
2.3. The Geometric Approach
Both in (4) and in (13) are convex combinations of the . This motivates the geometric approach in Yan and Mao [26]. They consider
for a pair of options . The set is in the triangle T on the two-dimensional plane , which admits a bisector B, where
The bisector B divides T into two sub-triangles and , where
Four scenarios are considered, i.e.,
Clearly, in (4) admits a subvector , and in (10) admits a subvector with a scaled version as a subvector of in (13), where
Both and are convex combinations of vectors in the set in (14).
Theorem 1.
The four scenarios in (19) can also be described as follows.
where represents the convex hull of , a set of multiple vectors.
Let denote the priority matrix, where
Let denote the indicator function, i.e., given an event E, if E is true, and otherwise. Define
Theorem 2.
Yan and Mao [26] Given , the rank reversal problem between the two options and is infeasible if and only if , and the rank reversal problem among these n options is infeasible if and only if .
Because of Theorem 2, will be called a geometric infeasibility indicator. Although the main results in Theorem 2 are from Yan and Mao [26], it improves upon Theorem 1 in Yan and Mao [26] by correcting a mistake there, i.e., in (24) considers the case .
2.4. The Algebraic Approach
Let represent the sign function, i.e., if , if , and if for . Define
The feasibility matrix consists of the as columns in lexicographic order, where
The four scenarios in (19) can be translated as follows,
Let be the difference between the extrema of the , where
, can be 0, 1 or 2. Note that if all are identical; if some are zero, and all other must be identical to 1 or ; if there exists one ℓ with and one h with . These mean that
The algebraic infeasibility indicator of the option pair is defined by
The algebraic infeasibility indicator of is defined by
Both (19) and (22) provide a geometric approach to checking whether rank reversal can occur, while (29) provides an algebraic approach. The two approaches are equivalent, because in (32) is identical to in (24), and in (33) is identical to in (25), i.e.,
The algebraic approach is easier to implement computationally.
Remark 1.
The algebraic infeasibility indicator is straightforward to implement.
Input:
The priority matrix in (23).
Since there are option pairs, and each pair requires checking m criteria, the complexity is
3. The Belton–Gear Framework
3.1. The Belton–Gear Normalization
In the Belton–Gear framework, the priorities are replaced with normalized scores [10], where
The vector of scores replaces the priority vector , where
The aggregate vector of scores is used to rank options, where
Given with , , and , consider with , and . Note that , , and there exists at least one index ı with sı . The priority vector is in the probability simplex, which means that is in some face of the unit hypercube in the n-dimensional Euclidean space. For example, consider . The probability simplex is a triangle. There are three regions with different colors. They are mapped to three squares as faces of the unit cube by the Belton–Gear normalization, where
Figure 1 presents the probability simplex and the unit cube with colored faces given . The three colored regions are separated by segments of the three bisectors (dashed lines). Within each region, one coordinate dominates the other two coordinates. The Belton–Gear normalization maps the three regions into three faces of the unit cube, with the images bearing the same colors as the pre-images.
Figure 1.
The probability simplex and the faces of the unit cube given .
3.2. The Addition of a New Option
When the new option is added, the updated version of in (37) is
The first n entries of in (38) yield a subvector
Theorem 3.
Given ℓ with , the Belton–Gear scores and their updated versions satisfy
where
The relationships in (40) and (41) hold due to the cardinal consistency of the pertinent pairwise comparison matrices and the Belton–Gear normalization shown in Figure 1. The proof of Theorem 3 in Appendix A presents a detailed introduction to the proportionality arising from cardinal consistency.
Note that (8) and (40) are similar in structure. While (8) allows Yan and Mao [26] to reformulate in (10) as the version in (11), (40) allows us to reformulate in (39) as
Let and , . Note that
The re-scaled version of in (42) is , i.e.,
Because of (3) and (43), both in (37) and in (44) are convex combinations of the score vectors in (36). Similarly, the rank reversal problem in the Belton–Gear framework can be studied by focusing on (37) and (44).
3.3. The Geometric Approach
Because rank reversal is evaluated pairwise, it is natural to focus on a pair of options, for instance, options and . This motivates focusing on the two options and [26]. To this end, we also consider the set of m subvectors, where
Note that is a subset of the square A, where
The diagonal line D from to divides A into two triangles and , where
Note that D in (47) is also a bisector of A in (46).
There are also four scenarios, i.e.,
Clearly, in (37) admits a subvector , and in (39) admits a subvector with a scaled version as a subvector of in (44), where
Both and are convex combinations of vectors in the set in (45).
Theorem 4.
The four scenarios in (50) can also be described as follows.
Let denote the score matrix, where
Define
Theorem 5.
Given , the rank reversal problem between the two options and is infeasible if and only if , and the rank reversal problem among these n options is infeasible if and only if .
Theorem 6.
Given an option pair , it holds that
Note that Theorem 6 is derived from the proportional relationships in (34), which serves as the foundation of the equivalence between the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework in terms of the infeasibility of rank reversal.
3.4. The Algebraic Approach
We can also introduce the feasibility matrix based on scores in (34). Let
The feasibility matrix consists of the as columns in lexicographic order, where
We can also introduce quantities like in (30) and in (32) based on , which do not require additional symbols because they are identical to their counterparts based on .
Theorem 7 shows that the Belton–Gear normalization does not alter the feasibility structure of rank reversal and therefore cannot eliminate the phenomenon at the feasibility level.
The infeasibility of rank reversal is a property of the score matrix or, equivalently, the priority matrix , as we can see from both Theorems 5 and 7 and Theorem 1 in Yan and Mao [26].
Finally, the realization of rank reversal not only demands feasibility but also depends on the added new option.
4. Illustration
4.1. The Belton–Gear Example
The example was proposed in Belton and Gear [10]. Yan and Mao [26] have studied the Belton–Gear example. There are three options () and three criteria (), with , , 2, 3. The matrix in (23) is given in the following,
As , , and , in (54) is given by
The feasibility matrix is
This means that rank reversal is feasible as
Figure 2 presents the convex hulls arising from the priority matrix and those from the score matrix . Both convex hulls and cross the bisectors. From the score matrix, we obtain
As the three points share the same -coordinates, they are on the same line, and the convex hull becomes a line segment shown in Figure 2. In addition,
There are only two distinct points in that are on the same line, which means that the convex hull becomes a line segment, shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Belton–Gear example: convex hulls for option pairs , and , top row from the priority matrix and bottom row from the score matrix.
After a new option is added, the matrix of priorities becomes
The matrix of scores becomes
Given for , 2, 3, by some simple algebra, we obtain
Because , in (39) and in (44) are identical.
The aggregate vectors are given by
The four vectors used for comparison are given in Table 1. Under the condition that rank reversal is feasible, rank reversal is realized in the Saaty framework, while rank reversal is not realized in the Belton–Gear framework, as one can see from the following facts.
Table 1.
Belton–Gear example: comparison vectors for three option pairs under the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework.
Finally, the ranks from the aggregate vectors are presented as follows,
where means that a is preferable to b, and means that a and b are indifferent.
4.2. The Saaty–Vargas Example
There are two options () under three criteria () with , , 2, 3 [11]. Three pairwise comparison matrices proposed in Saaty and Vargas [11] are
The matrix of priorities in (23) is
Note that
The matrix of scores in (54) is
The feasibility matrix has only one column, i.e.,
Because and , rank reversal is feasible. Figure 3 presents the convex hull from the priority matrix and that from the score matrix. Both convex hulls cross the bisectors. As , is on the line , and its convex hull is a line segment, shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3.
Saaty–Vargas example: convex hulls for the option pair , left from the priority matrix and right from the score matrix.
When a new option is added, the updated pairwise comparison matrices are
as proposed in Saaty and Vargas [11]. The updated priority matrix is
and the updated score matrix is
Simple algebra yields
The aggregated vectors are
There is only one option pair with indices , and the four vectors used for comparison are given as follows,
Under the condition that rank reversal is feasible, rank reversal is not realized in the Saaty framework, while it is realized in the Belton–Gear framework, because
Finally, the ranks from the aggregate vectors are presented as follows:
4.3. The Yan–Mao Examples
Yan and Mao [26] propose four synthetic examples labeled by A, B, C and D, each with three options and three criteria (). Their priority matrices are presented as follows:
Table 2 presents the score matrices and feasibility matrices .
Table 2.
Yan–Mao examples: score matrices and feasibility matrices.
Figure 4 presents the convex hulls of . We consider comparing Figure 3 in Yan and Mao [26] against Figure 4.
Figure 4.
Yan–Mao examples: convex hulls for three option pairs from score matrices, left column for pair , middle for , and right for .
- Example A: The convex hull crosses the bisector D, while crosses the bisector B for , and .
- Example B: The convex hulls and cross D, while and cross B; is contained in , while is contained in .
- Example C: The convex hull crosses D, while crosses B; both and are contained in , while both and are contained in .
- Example D: The convex hull is contained in , while is contained in for , and . Both and are line segments because, from Table 2,It is clear that these results are expected from Theorems 1, 4 and 6.
To compare the geometric approach and the algebraic approach, we present the indicator, where the convex hull crosses the bisector D or not, and the infeasibility indicator in Table 3, where ✓ and represent the crossing and feasibility, while × and represent not-crossing and infeasibility. The two approaches are clearly equivalent.
Table 3.
Yan–Mao examples: crossing the bisector and algebraic infeasibility indicators.
4.4. Example: Realizations Given Different Added Options
We now present an example showing that, once rank reversal is feasible, its realization depends on the introduced option. Starting from the same original pairwise comparison matrices, four different added options lead to four possible outcomes: no rank reversal in either the Saaty framework or the Belton–Gear framework, rank reversal only in the Saaty framework, rank reversal only in the Belton–Gear framework, and rank reversal in both frameworks.
There are three options () under two criteria (), with and . The two pairwise comparison matrices are
Both matrices are cardinally consistent. Their priority vectors are
The aggregate priority vector is
Under the Belton–Gear normalization, since
the score vectors are
The aggregate score vector is
For the option pair , we have
The two criteria induce opposite signs, which means that rank reversal is feasible.
We next introduce four different added options, each represented by two updated consistent pairwise comparison matrices.
Case 1: Two updated consistent pairwise comparison matrices are
The priority vectors are
The aggregate vector is
Since , and , the score vectors are
The aggregate score vector is
Case 2: Two updated consistent pairwise comparison matrices are
The priority vectors are
The aggregate priority vector is
Since , and , the score vectors are
The aggregate score vector is
Case 3: Two updated consistent pairwise comparison matrices are
The corresponding priority vectors are
The aggregate priority vector is
Since , and , the score vectors are
The aggregate score vector is
Case 4: Two updated consistent pairwise comparison matrices are
The priority vectors are
The aggregate priority vector is
Since , and , the score vectors are
The aggregate score vector is
The aggregate priority vectors in (63), (67), (71), (75) and (79) in the Saaty framework generate the rankings respectively, as follows:
The aggregate score vectors in (65), (69), (73), (77) and (81) in the Belton–Gear framework generate the rankings respectively, as follows:
Finally, the four cases are summarized as follows:
which can be obtained by comparing (83) against (82) and comparing (85) against (84).
This example shows that feasibility is a property of the original priority matrix or score matrix, but realization depends on the introduced option. Even when the original matrices are fixed, and rank reversal is feasible, different added options may lead to different outcomes in the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework.
Given the option pair , Figure 5 presents the subvectors extracted from the priority vectors, i.e., (red points) from (62), and 2, and (red points) from (66), (70), (74) and (78), and 2, , 2, 3 and 4; those from the aggregate priority vectors, i.e., (orange points) from (63), and (green points) from (67), (71), (75) and (79); those from the score vectors, i.e., (red points) from (64), , 2, and (red points) from (68), (72), (76) and (80), and 2, , 2, 3 and 4; and those from the aggregate score vectors, i.e., from (65) (orange points), and (green points) from (69), (73), (77) and (81). In each plot, the convex hull of the two red points is a line segment (solid blue line segment), and the solid green ray from the origin through one green point is also shown, together with the bisector (dashed black line). The solid green rays can be compared against the bisectors. If a green ray and the orange point are in the same side of the bisector, then rank reversal does not occur, and otherwise, rank reversal occurs.
Figure 5.
Example: realizations given different added options.
For Case 1, the green point and the orange point are on the same green ray because in the Saaty framework, and the green point and the orange point coincide because in the Belton–Gear framework, where
For Case 2 and Case 3, the solid green rays and the black dashed bisectors are close to each other because the two coordinates of a green point ( in the Saaty framework or in the Belton–Gear framework) are slightly different from each other, where
For Case 4, the solid green rays and the black dashed bisectors are well separated because
The scaled vectors and are in the convex hulls of the two red points and are shown as the intersections of the solid blue lines and solid green rays, where
Nevertheless, the same conclusions as those in (86) can be obtained from Figure 5.
4.5. Example: Cardinally Inconsistent Pairwise Comparison Matrices
The infeasibility condition established in Section 2 and Section 3 is derived under the assumption of cardinal consistency. We now present an example showing that our results cannot be directly extended to cardinally inconsistent pairwise comparison matrices when priorities are derived by the principal eigenvector method.
Consider three options () under two criteria (), with . The two pairwise comparison matrices are
Both matrices are cardinally inconsistent as , , 2, i.e.,
Using the principal eigenvector method, we obtain the priority vectors
The aggregate priority vector is
Next, we check the algebraic infeasibility condition. The feasibility matrix is
This means that
According to the algebraic infeasibility condition developed for the consistent case, rank reversal is infeasible.
We add a new option by presenting two updated pairwise comparison matrices:
Again, using the principal eigenvector method, we obtain
The aggregate priority vector becomes
Consider the Belton–Gear normalization. From and in (87), we obtain
Hence, the aggregate score vector is
Applying the Belton–Gear normalization to and in (88) gives
Therefore, the updated aggregate score vector is
Finally, the rankings from the aggregate vectors are presented as follows:
Thus, from (89), under both the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework, the relative order of and is reversed after the introduction of . This example shows that, for cardinally inconsistent pairwise comparison matrices under the principal eigenvector method, the infeasibility condition derived for the cardinally consistent case no longer guarantees the impossibility of rank reversal.
The reason is that, in the cardinally inconsistent case, the addition of a new option does not in general preserve the proportional relationships in (8) and (40), which play a fundamental role in the analysis of Section 2 and Section 3. Note that
The ratios in each row should be the same for the cardinally consistent case and actually vary for the cardinally inconsistent case. Hence, once cardinal consistency is abandoned, a different theoretical paradigm is required to study the infeasibility of rank reversal.
5. Conclusions
Although Belton and Gear [10] present the problem of rank reversal, their proposal of solving the issue of rank reversal does not achieve its claimed aim of eliminating rank reversals. Saaty and Vargas [11] use an example to show the failure of the proposal in Belton and Gear [10] without theoretical support. Our analysis indicates that when rank reversal is feasible, both the Saaty framework and the Belton–Gear framework have opportunities to realize rank reversal, i.e., they do not differ in terms of the feasibility of rank reversal. The conditions of the infeasibility of rank reversal are equivalent within both frameworks.
A key implication of our results is the distinction between the feasibility and the realization of rank reversal. While the feasibility is determined solely by the original matrix, the realization additionally depends on the introduced option. This distinction provides a unified explanation for the seemingly conflicting observations reported in the literature.
Beyond the Saaty and Belton–Gear frameworks, the proposed geometric and algebraic approaches offer a general analytical paradigm. In particular, the geometric perspective characterizes feasibility through convex structures and their interaction with bisectors, whereas the algebraic formulation enables efficient verification via sign patterns. These approaches may be naturally extended to other normalization or aggregation schemes.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, J.Y. and C.M.; methodology and mathematical derivations, J.Y. and C.M.; validation and theoretical review, C.M.; visualization, J.Y.; writing—original draft preparation, J.Y.; writing—review and editing, C.M. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research received no external funding.
Institutional Review Board Statement
Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
No new data were created in this study. Data sharing is not applicable to this article.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Appendix A. Proofs
Proof of Theorem 1.
Given , there exists , and such that
Because , , it holds that
which implies that Similarly, it holds that
because
It also holds that
because
Because , it holds that
This means that we have shown that
Because , it holds that
Because
it holds that
Because the original statement is equivalent to the contrapositive one, this means that
We have shown that
By the same logic, we can show that
To summarize, we have shown that
□
Proof of Theorem 3.
Given i with , due to (8) and (34), it holds that
Again, because of (8), (9) and (35) we can reformulate , i.e.,
This means that
□
Proof of Theorem 4.
We can adapt the proof of Theorem 1. □
Proof of Theorem 5.
We start the proof from the if part of the local version, i.e., about the option pair . If and , then . If and , then . If , then
which means that . Otherwise, , because
Next we present the only if part. Given scenario 4 in (53), we consider constructing an option that yields reversed ranks given . If , then, as there are numerous choices to select a point in , one can choose a point in by selecting suitable coefficients with , for . Similarly, if , then, as there are numerous choices to select a point in , one can choose a point in by selecting suitable coefficients with , for . Let
As [26], we can choose and define
As , one can set , which satisfies
The new option can be defined by letting
Finally, the global version can be shown by noting that
□
Proof of Theorem 6.
Proof of Theorem 7.
Because of (34), we have
This means that . □
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