Search Results (165)

Urban population growth is intensifying pressure on mobility systems, with road transportation contributing to environmental and sustainability challenges. Policymakers must navigate complex uncertainties in addressing rising mobility demand while pursuing sustainability goals. Advanced technologies offer promise, but their real-world effectiveness in urban contexts remains underexplored. This meta-review comprised three complementary studies: a broad analysis of sustainable mobility with Norwegian case studies, and systematic literature reviews on digital twins and Big Data/AI applications in urban mobility, covering the period of 2019–2024. Using structured criteria, we synthesised findings from 72 relevant articles to identify major trends, limitations, and opportunities. The findings show that mobility policies often prioritise technocentric solutions that unintentionally hinder sustainability goals. Digital twins show potential for traffic simulation, urban planning, and public engagement, while machine learning techniques support traffic forecasting and multimodal integration. However, persistent challenges include data interoperability, model validation, and insufficient stakeholder engagement. We identify a hierarchy of mobility modes where public transit and active mobility outperform private vehicles in sustainability and user satisfaction. Integrating electrification and automation and sharing models with data-informed governance can enhance urban liveability. We propose actionable pathways leveraging Big Data and AI, outlining the roles of various stakeholders in advancing sustainable urban mobility futures. Full article

A particularly important activity carried out by railway infrastructure managers to maintain railway devices in full working order is the diagnostic process. It increases the level of railway safety. The diagnostic process involves collecting information about the equipment through inspections, tests, functional trials, parameter measurements, and analysis of the working environment, followed by comparing the obtained information with the required parameters or permissible conditions. This activity also enables the formulation of a technical diagnosis regarding the current ability of the devices to perform its intended functions, taking into account the impact of its technical condition on railway traffic safety. This is especially important in the case of railway traffic control devices, as these devices are largely responsible for ensuring railway traffic safety. The collection of data on the condition of railway traffic control devices in the form of Big Data sets and diagnostic inference is an effective factor in making operational decisions for such devices. It enables the acquisition of complete information about the actual course of the exploitation process and allows for obtaining reliable information necessary to manage this process, particularly in the areas of diagnostics forecasting of devices conditions, renewal, and organization of maintenance and repair facilities. To support this, a service data acquisition and analysis system for railway traffic control devices (SADEK) was developed. This system can serve as a software platform for maintenance needs in the railway sector. Full article

Accurate time-series forecasting plays a vital role in sensor-driven applications such as energy monitoring, traffic flow prediction, and environmental sensing. While most existing approaches focus on extracting local patterns from historical observations, they often overlook the global temporal information embedded in timestamps. However, this information represents a valuable yet underutilized aspect of sensor-based data that can significantly enhance forecasting performance. In this paper, we propose a novel timestamp-guided knowledge distillation framework (TKDF), which integrates both historical and timestamp information through mutual learning between heterogeneous prediction branches to improve forecasting robustness. The framework comprises two complementary branches: a Backbone Model that captures local dependencies from historical sequences, and a Timestamp Mapper that learns global temporal patterns encoded in timestamp features. To enhance information transfer and reduce representational redundancy, a self-distillation mechanism is introduced within the Timestamp Mapper. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world sensor datasets—covering electricity consumption, traffic flow, and meteorological measurements—demonstrate that the TKDF consistently improves the performance of mainstream forecasting models. Full article

Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs) play a vital role in improving urban and regional mobility by reducing traffic congestion and enhancing trip planning. A key element of ITS is travel-time prediction, which supports informed decisions for both travelers and traffic management. While non-parametric models offer flexibility, they often require large datasets and significant computation. Parametric models, though easier to fit and interpret, are less adaptable. Fuzzy logic models, by contrast, provide robustness and scalability, adjusting to new data and changing conditions. This paper proposes a cascaded fuzzy logic system for highway travel-time prediction, using the Greenshields model as its reasoning foundation. The system consists of multiple fuzzy subsystems, each representing a highway segment. These subsystems transform traffic flow and density inputs into speed predictions through fuzzification, Greenshields-based rules, and defuzzification. The approach enables localized and segment-specific predictions, enhancing route planning and congestion avoidance. The system’s accuracy is evaluated by comparing its predictions with those of a regression model using real traffic data from the Sun Yat-Sen Highway in Taiwan. Simulation results confirm that the proposed model achieves reliable, adaptable travel-time forecasts, including for long-distance trips. Full article

Time series forecasting is critical for decision-making in numerous domains, yet achieving high accuracy across both short-term and long-term horizons remains challenging. In this paper, we propose a general hybrid forecasting framework that integrates a traditional statistical model (ARIMA) with modern deep learning models (such as LSTM and Transformer). The core of our approach is a novel multi-scale prediction mechanism that combines the strengths of both model types to better capture short-range patterns and long-range dependencies. We design a dual-stage forecasting process, where a classical time series component first models transparent linear trends and seasonal patterns, and a deep neural network then learns complex nonlinear residuals and long-term contexts. The two outputs are fused through an adaptive mechanism to produce the final prediction. We evaluate the proposed framework on eight public datasets (electricity, exchange rate, weather, traffic, illness, ETTh1/2, and ETTm1/2) covering diverse domains and scales. The experimental results show that our hybrid method consistently outperforms stand-alone models (ARIMA, LSTM, and Transformer) and recent, specialized forecasters (Informer and Autoformer) in both short-horizon and long-horizon forecasts. An ablation study further demonstrates the contribution of each module in the framework. The proposed approach not only achieves state-of-the-art accuracy across varied time series but also offers improved interpretability and robustness, suggesting a promising direction for combining statistical and deep learning techniques in time series forecasting. Full article

Traffic congestion poses a persistent challenge for modern cities, yet the complex behavior of urban road networks—particularly multistability in traffic flow—remains poorly understood. To address this gap, we analyzed a high-resolution traffic dataset from four Chinese cities over 20 working days (5-min intervals), applying percolation theory to characterize system performance via congestion rate (f) and the size of the largest functional cluster (G). Our analysis revealed clear bimodal and multimodal distributions of G versus f across different periods, ruling out random failure models and confirming the presence of multistability. Leveraging data-driven clustering and classification techniques, we demonstrated that road segments with high betweenness centrality are disproportionately likely to become congested, and that the top 1% most topologically important roads accurately predict both stable state types and the joint behavior of G and f. These findings offer the first large-scale empirical evidence of multistability in urban traffic, laying a quantitative foundation for forecasting phase transitions in congestion and informing more effective traffic management strategies. Full article

Accurate traffic forecasting is challenging due to the complex spatial-temporal interdependencies of large road networks and sudden speed changes caused by unexpected events. Traditional models often struggle with the non-stationary and volatile characteristics of traffic time series. While existing sequence decomposition methods can capture stable long-term trends and periodic information, they fail to address complex fluctuation patterns. To tackle this issue, we propose the Spatial-Temporal traffic flow prediction with residual and trend Decomposition Transformer (STDformer), which decomposes time series into different components, thus enabling more accurate modeling of both short-term and long-term dependencies. Our method processes the time series in parallel using the Trend Decomposition Block and the Spatial-Temporal Relation Attention. The Spatial-Temporal Relation Attention captures dynamic spatial correlations across the road network, while the Trend Decomposition Block decomposes the series into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Each component is then independently modeled by the Temporal Modeling Block to capture its unique temporal dynamics. Finally, the outputs from the Temporal Modeling Block are fused through a selective gating mechanism, combined with the Spatial-Temporal Relation Attention output to produce the final prediction. Extensive experiments on PEMS traffic datasets demonstrate that STDformer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art traffic flow prediction methods, particularly under volatile conditions. These results validate STDformer’s practical utility in real-world traffic management, highlighting its potential to assist traffic managers in making informed decisions and optimizing traffic efficiency. Full article

The analysis of traffic crashes facilitates the identification of trends that can inform strategies to enhance road safety. This study aimed to detect high-risk zones and forecast collision patterns by integrating spatial analysis and predictive modeling. Traffic incidents along the Chone–Flavio Alfaro road segment in Manabí, Ecuador, were examined using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), based on official data from the National Traffic Agency (ANT) covering the period 2017–2023. Additionally, ARIMA, Prophet, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models were applied to predict crash occurrences. The most influential contributing factors were driver distraction, excessive speed, and adverse weather. Four main crash hotspots were identified: near Chone (PS 0–2.31), PS 2.31–7.10, PS 13.39–21.31, and PS 31.27–33.92, close to Flavio Alfaro. A total of 55 crashes were recorded, with side impacts (27.3%), pedestrian-related collisions (14.5%), and rear-end crashes (12.7%) being the most frequent types. The predictive models performed well, with Prophet achieving the highest estimated accuracy (90.8%), followed by LSTM (88.2%) and ARIMA (87.6%), based on MAE evaluations. These findings underscore the potential of intelligent transportation systems (ITSs) and predictive analytics to support proactive traffic management and resilient infrastructure development in rural regions. Full article

The characteristics of multivariate heterogeneity in traffic flow forecasting exhibit significant variation, heavily influenced by spatio-temporal dynamics and unforeseen events. To address this challenge, we propose a spatio-temporal fusion graph neural network based on dynamic sparse graph convolution GRU for traffic flow forecast (STFDSGCN), which incorporates a spatio-temporal attention fusion scheme with a gating mechanism. The dynamic sparse graph convolution gated recurrent unit (DSGCN-GRU) in this model is a novel component that integrates adaptive dynamic sparse graph convolution into the gated recurrent network to simulate the diffusion of information within a dynamic spatial structure. This approach effectively captures the heterogeneous and local features of spatial data, further reflecting the irregularities and dynamic variability inherent in spatial information. By leveraging spatio-temporal attention through the gating mechanism, the model enhances its understanding of both local and global spatio-temporal characteristics. This enables a unified representation of multi-scale and long-range spatio-temporal patterns and strengthens the model’s ability to respond to long-term traffic flow forecasting and traffic emergencies. Extensive experiments on two real-world datasets demonstrate that, compared to advanced methods that lack sufficient multivariate heterogeneous feature extraction and do not account for traffic emergencies, the STFDSGCN model improves the average absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), and average absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 4.01%, 1.33%, and 1.03%, respectively, achieving superior performance. Full article

The collapse of Baltimore’s Francis Scott Key Bridge in March 2024 has stressed the need for urban traffic network optimization within smart city initiatives. This paper utilizes the ARIMA model to forecast what traffic would have been like if the bridge had not collapsed, giving us a benchmark to assess the impact. It then identifies the roads most affected by comparing these forecasts with the actual post-collapse traffic data. To address the increased demand for efficient public transport, we propose an intelligent bus network model. This model uses principal component analysis and grid segmentation to inform decisions on increasing bus stations and adjusting bus frequencies on key routes. It aims to satisfy stakeholders by enhancing service coverage and reliability. The research also presents a comprehensive traffic model that leverages principal component analysis, genetic algorithms, and KD-tree to evaluate overall and directional traffic flow, providing strategic insights into congestion mitigation. Furthermore, it examines traffic safety issues, including accident-prone areas and traffic signal intersections, to offer recommendations. Finally, the study evaluates the effectiveness, stability, and benefits of the proposed intelligent traffic network model, aiming to improve the city’s traffic infrastructure and safety. Full article

Ship-speed prediction is an emerging research area in marine traffic safety and other related fields, occupying an important position with respect to these areas. At present, the effectiveness of techniques used in in time-series forecasting methods in ship-speed prediction is poor, and there are accumulated errors in long-term forecasting, which is limited in its processing of ship-speed information combined with multi-feature data input. To overcome this difficulty and further optimize the accuracy of ship-speed prediction, this research proposes a new deep learning framework to predict ship speed by combining GANs (Generative Adversarial Networks) and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory). First, the algorithm takes an LSTM network as the generating network and uses the LSTM to mine the spatiotemporal correlation between nodes. Secondly, the complementary characteristics linked between the generative network and the discriminant network are used to eliminate the cumulative error of a single neural network in the long-term prediction process and improve the prediction accuracy of the network in ship-speed determination. To conclude, the Generator–LSTM model advanced here is used for ship-speed prediction and compared with other models, utilizing identical AIS (automatic identification system) ship-speed information in the same scene. The findings indicate that the model demonstrates high accuracy in the typical error measurement index, which means that the model can reliably better predict the ship speed. The results of the study will assist maritime traffic participants in better taking precautions to prevent collisions and improve maritime traffic safety. Full article

To better inform the public about ambient air quality and associated health risks and prevent cardiovascular and chronic respiratory diseases in Macau, the local government authorities apply the Air Quality Index (AQI) for air quality management within its jurisdiction. The application of AQI requires first determining the sub-indices for several pollutants, including respirable suspended particulates (PM₁₀), fine suspended particulates (PM_2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), ozone (O₃), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), and carbon monoxide (CO). Accurate prediction of AQI is crucial in providing early warnings to the public before pollution episodes occur. To improve AQI prediction accuracy, deep learning methods such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) models were applied to forecast the six pollutants commonly found in the AQI. The data for this study was accessed from the Macau High-Density Residential Air Quality Monitoring Station (AQMS), which is located in an area with high traffic and high population density near a 24 h land border-crossing facility connecting Zhuhai and Macau. The novelty of this work lies in its potential to enhance operational AQI forecasting for Macau. The ANN and LSTM models were run five times, with average pollutant forecasts obtained for each model. Results demonstrated that both models accurately predicted pollutant concentrations of the upcoming 24 h, with PM₁₀ and CO showing the highest predictive accuracy, reflected in high Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) between 0.84 and 0.87 and Kendall’s Tau Coefficient (KTC) between 0.66 and 0.70 values and low Mean Bias (MB) between 0.06 and 0.10, Mean Fractional Bias (MFB) between 0.09 and 0.11, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) between 0.14 and 0.21, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) between 0.11 and 0.17. Overall, the LSTM model consistently delivered the highest PCC (0.87) and KTC (0.70) values and the lowest MB (0.06), MFB (0.09), RMSE (0.14), and MAE (0.11) across all six pollutants, with the lowest SD (0.01), indicating greater precision and reliability. As a result, the study concludes that the LSTM model outperforms the ANN model in forecasting air pollutants in Macau, offering a more accurate and consistent prediction tool for local air quality management. Full article

Traffic information analysis plays an essential role in urban signalized intersection control. Wi-Fi technology can be used in multiple scenarios. It is effective to use a Wi-Fi data acquisition device to detect traffic information. This paper aims to study a traffic information detection method at a single intersection based on Wi-Fi data, determine the architecture design of the Wi-Fi data acquisition system, design the Wi-Fi data processing process, and then realize the acquisition of Wi-Fi data at a single intersection. K-means clustering algorithms and the LSTM neural network prediction model are used to obtain the space mean speed and vehicle steering ratio of the intersection sections. This method can be used to obtain and forecast various types of traffic information at intersections. The traffic information of an intersection in Xi’an is detected and predicted by using Wi-Fi technology. The experimental results show that the proposed method has high prediction accuracy. Full article

Understanding how traffic contributes to air pollution, especially in urban areas, is essential for designing effective strategies to reduce air pollution emissions. This study examines the hourly association between traffic volume and concentrations of two air pollution indicators (NO₂ and PM₁₀) using high-resolution data from two monitoring stations in Helsinki. A Prophet time series model was applied to forecast hourly traffic trends for 2024, which were then compared to yearly average NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations. Polynomial regression and cross-correlation analyses were used to capture temporal patterns and assess the strength and timing of the relationship. The results show a strong alignment between traffic and NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations, particularly at the traffic-heavy measuring site (Mäkelänkatu supersite), with minimal time lag observed. Root mean square error (RMSE) and polynomial fit comparisons confirmed the predictive value of traffic trends in estimating the behavior of NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations. These findings support the use of traffic-based proxy models as practical tools for real-time air pollution assessment and for informing targeted urban air quality interventions. Full article

In air traffic systems, aircraft trajectories between airports are monitored by the radar networking system forming dynamic air traffic flow. Accurate airport arrival flow prediction is significant in implementing large-scale intelligent air traffic flow management. Despite years of studies to improve prediction precision, most existing methods only focus on a single airport or simplify the traffic network as a static and simple graph. To mitigate this shortage, we propose a hybrid neural network method, called Dynamic Multi-graph Convolutional Spatial-Temporal Network (DMCSTN), to predict network-level airport arrival flow considering the multiple operation constraints and flight interactions among airport nodes. Specifically, in the spatial dimension, a novel dynamic multi-graph convolutional network is designed to adaptively model the heterogeneous and dynamic airport networks. It enables the proposed model to dynamically capture informative spatial correlations according to the input traffic features. In the temporal dimension, an enhanced self-attention mechanism is utilized to mine the arrival flow evolution patterns. Experiments on a real-world dataset from an ATFM system validate the effectiveness of DMCSTN for arrival flow forecasting tasks. Full article