Search Results (4,213)

Accurate Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is paramount for the stable and economical operation of power systems, particularly in the context of high renewable energy penetration, which exacerbates load volatility and non-stationarity. The prevailing advanced “decomposition–ensemble” paradigm, however, faces two significant challenges when processing non-stationary signals: (1) The performance of Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) is highly dependent on its hyperparameters (K, α), and traditional meta-heuristic algorithms (e.g., GA, GWO, PSO) are prone to converging to local optima during the optimization process; (2) Deep learning predictors struggle to dynamically weigh the importance of multi-dimensional, heterogeneous features (such as the decomposed Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) and external climatic factors). To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel, adaptive hybrid forecasting framework, namely IRIME-VMD-CDA-LSTNet. Firstly, an Improved Rime Optimization Algorithm (IRIME) integrated with a Gaussian Mutation strategy is proposed. This algorithm adaptively optimizes the VMD hyperparameters by targeting the minimization of average sample entropy, enabling it to effectively escape local optima. Secondly, the optimally decomposed IMFs are combined with climatic features to construct a multi-dimensional information matrix. Finally, this matrix is fed into an innovative Cross-Dimensional Attention (CDA) LSTNet model, which dynamically allocates weights to each feature dimension. Ablation experiments conducted on a real-world dataset from a distribution substation demonstrate that, compared to GA-VMD, GWO-VMD, and PSO-VMD, the proposed IRIME-VMD method achieves a reduction in Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of up to 18.9%. More importantly, the proposed model effectively mitigates the “prediction lag” phenomenon commonly observed in baseline models, especially during peak load periods. This framework provides a robust and high-accuracy solution for non-stationary load forecasting, holding significant practical value for the operation of modern power systems. Full article

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is essential for mitigating weather-induced variability and maintaining power-system stability. This study aims to improve PV power forecasting accuracy by enhancing the quality of numerical weather prediction (NWP) inputs rather than modifying forecasting model structures. Specifically, systematic errors in temperature, wind speed, and solar radiation data produced by the Unified Model–Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System (UM-LDAPS) are corrected using a Model Output Statistics (MOS) approach. A case study was conducted for a 20 kW rooftop PV system in Buan, South Korea, comparing forecasting performance before and after MOS application using a random forest-based PV forecasting model. The results show that MOS significantly improves meteorological input accuracy, reducing the root mean square error (RMSE) of temperature, wind speed, and solar radiation by 38.1–62.3%. Consequently, PV power forecasting errors were reduced by 70.0–78.7% across lead times of 1–6 h, 7–12 h, and 19–24 h. After MOS correction, the normalized mean absolute percentage error (nMAPE) remained consistently low at approximately 7–8%, indicating improved forecasting robustness across the evaluated lead-time ranges. In addition, an economic evaluation based on the Korean renewable energy forecast-settlement mechanism estimated an annual benefit of approximately 854 USD for the analyzed 20 kW PV system. A complementary valuation using an NREL-based framework yielded an annual benefit of approximately 296 USD. These results demonstrate that improving meteorological data quality through MOS enhances PV forecasting performance and provide measurable economic value. Full article

This study investigates the different mechanisms through which environmental disclosure and green accounting practices influence investment attractiveness in an emerging market context. Drawing on legitimacy theory and the resource-based view, we examine whether these environmental accountability mechanisms create value directly or through enhanced sustainability performance. Using survey data from 290 non-financial firms listed on the Saudi Stock Exchange, we employ partial least squares structural equation modeling to test a mediated-moderation model within the Saudi Vision 2030 framework. The results reveal differentiated value-creation pathways: environmental disclosure affects investment attractiveness indirectly through sustainable economic outcomes (full mediation; indirect effect β = 0.121, p < 0.001), while green accounting demonstrates both direct (β = 0.237, p < 0.001) and indirect effects (β = 0.091, p < 0.01), indicating partial mediation. Both practices are positively associated with sustainable economic outcomes (β_ED = 0.290, β_GA = 0.219, p < 0.001), which in turn are positively related to investment attractiveness (β = 0.416, p < 0.001). Unexpectedly, Vision 2030 alignment shows no significant moderating effect (β = 0.042, p = 0.498), suggesting that the sustainability–investment relationship is not significantly conditioned by perceived alignment with the national strategic framework in this sample. The model explains 25.7% of the variance in investment attractiveness and 20.0% of that in sustainable economic outcomes, indicating moderate explanatory power. These findings contribute to the environmental accounting literature by suggesting that internal management-oriented practices may be more closely associated with investment attractiveness than disclosure transparency alone. Overall, the results indicate that green accounting systems are associated with investment attractiveness, while environmental disclosure appears to require observable sustainability performance to be reflected in investment perceptions, offering measured implications for corporate strategy and regulatory policy in sustainability transitions. Full article

Grid-Scale Battery Energy Storage Systems (GS-BESS) play a crucial role in modern power grids, addressing challenges related to integrating renewable energy sources (RESs), load balancing, peak shaving, voltage support, load shifting, frequency regulation, emergency response, and enhancing system stability. However, harnessing their full potential and lifetime requires intelligent operational strategies that balance technological performance, economic viability, and environmental sustainability. This systematic review examines how artificial intelligence (AI)-based intelligent optimization enhances GS-BESS performance, focusing on its techno-economic, environmental impacts, and policy and regulatory implications. Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we review the evolution of GS-BESS, analyze its advancements, and assess state-of-the-art applications and emerging AI techniques for GS-BESS optimization. AI techniques, including machine learning (ML), predictive modeling, optimization algorithms, deep learning (DL), and reinforcement learning (RL), are examined for their ability to improve operational efficiency and control precision in GS-BESSs. Furthermore, the review discusses the benefits of advanced dispatch strategies, including economic efficiency, emissions reduction, and improved grid resilience. Despite significant progress, challenges persist in data availability, model generalization, high computational requirements, scalability, and regulatory gaps. We conclude by identifying emerging opportunities to guide the next generation of intelligent energy storage systems. This work serves as a foundational resource for researchers, engineers, and policymakers seeking to advance the deployment of AI-enhanced GS-BESS for sustainable, resilient power systems. By analyzing the latest developments in AI applications and BESS technologies, this review provides a comprehensive perspective on their synergistic potential to drive sustainability, cost-effectiveness, and energy systems reliability. Full article

With the increasing penetration of renewable energy, power systems are facing greater uncertainty and volatility, which poses significant challenges for Virtual Power Plant scheduling. Existing research mainly focuses on optimizing economic efficiency but often overlooks system reliability and the impact of forecasting deviations on scheduling, leading to suboptimal performance. Thus, this paper presents a reliability-cost bi-objective cooperative optimization model based on a dual-swarm particle swarm algorithm: it introduces positive and negative imbalance price penalty factors to explicitly describe the economic costs of forecast deviations, constructs a reliability evaluation system covering PV, EVs, air-conditioning loads, electrolytic aluminum loads, and energy storage, and solves the multi-objective model via algorithm design of “sub-swarms specializing in single objectives + periodic information exchange”. Simulation results show that the method ensures stable intraday operation of VPPs, achieving 6.8% total cost reduction, 12.5% system reliability improvement, and 14.8% power deviation reduction, verifying its practical value and application prospects. Full article

With the rapid development of the Internet of Things (IOT), 5G, and modern power systems, demand-side loads are becoming increasingly observable and remotely controllable, which enables demand-side flexibility to participate more actively in grid dispatch and emergency support. Under extreme rainstorm conditions, however, component failure risk rises and the availability and dispatchability of demand-side flexibility can change rapidly. This paper proposes a risk-aware emergency regulation framework that translates rainstorm information into actionable multi-load aggregation decisions for urban power systems. First, demand-side resources are quantified using four response attributes, including response speed, response capacity, maximum response duration, and response reliability, to enable a consistent characterization of heterogeneous flexibility. Second, a backpropagation (BP) neural network is trained on long-term real-world meteorological observations and corresponding reliability outcomes to estimate regional- or line-level fault probabilities from four rainstorm drivers: wind speed, rainfall intensity, lightning warning level, and ambient temperature. The inferred probabilities are mapped onto the IEEE 30-bus benchmark to identify high-risk areas or lines and define spatial priorities for emergency response. Third, guided by these risk signals, a two-level coordination model is formulated for a load aggregator (LA) to schedule building air conditioning loads, distributed photovoltaics, and electric vehicles through incentive-based participation, and the resulting optimization problem is solved using an adaptive genetic algorithm. Case studies verify that the proposed strategy can coordinate heterogeneous resources to meet emergency regulation requirements and improve the aggregator–user economic trade-off compared with single-resource participation. The proposed method provides a practical pathway for risk-informed emergency regulation under rainstorm conditions. Full article

To achieve more precise and regionally adaptive emission control, this study develops a dual-control framework that simultaneously constrains both total carbon emissions and pollutant concentration levels. Regional environmental heterogeneity is incorporated into the dispatch of generating units to balance emission reduction and operational efficiency. Based on this concept, a regional carbon emission allowance allocation model is constructed by integrating ecological pollutant concentration thresholds. A multi-source Gaussian plume dispersion model is further developed to characterize the spatial and temporal distribution of pollutants from coal-fired power units. These pollutant concentration constraints are embedded into an environmental–economic dispatch model of a coupled electricity–hydrogen–carbon system supported by hybrid storage. By optimizing resource use and minimizing environmental damage at the energy-supply stage, the proposed model provides a low-carbon foundation for the entire industrial production cycle. This approach aligns with the sustainable development paradigm by integrating precision environmental management with circular economy principles. Simulation results reveal that incorporating pollutant concentration control can effectively reduce localized environmental pressure while maintaining overall system economy, highlighting the importance of region-specific environmental capacity in enhancing the overall environmental friendliness of the industrial chain. Full article

Economic dispatch in wind-integrated power systems is a critical challenge, yet many recent metaheuristics suffer from premature convergence, heavy parameter tuning, and limited ability to escape local optima in non-smooth valve-point landscapes. This study proposes a new hybrid optimization framework, the Fractional Grasshopper Optimization algorithm (FGOA), which integrates fractional-order calculus into the standard Grasshopper Optimization algorithm (GOA) to enhance its search efficiency. The FGOA method is applied to the economic load dispatch (ELD) problem, a nonlinear and nonconvex task that aims to minimize fuel and wind-generation costs while satisfying practical constraints such as valve-point loading effects (VPLEs), generator operating limits, and the stochastic behavior of renewable energy sources. Owing to the increasing role of wind energy, stochastic wind power is modeled through the incomplete gamma function (IGF). To further improve computational accuracy, FGOA is hybridized with Sequential Quadratic Programming (SQP), where FGOA provides global exploration and SQP performs local refinement. The proposed FGOA-SQP approach is validated on systems with 3, 13, and 40 generating units, including mixed thermal and wind sources. Comparative evaluations against recent metaheuristic algorithms demonstrate that FGOA-SQP achieves more accurate and reliable dispatch outcomes. Specifically, the proposed approach achieves fuel cost reductions ranging from 0.047% to 0.71% for the 3-unit system, 0.31% to 27.25% for the 13-unit system, and 0.69% to 12.55% for the 40-unit system when compared with state-of-the-art methods. Statistical results, particularly minimum fitness values, further confirm the superior performance of the FGOA-SQP framework in addressing the ELD problem under wind power uncertainty. Full article

Compared to traditional marine productivity, marine new-quality productivity (MNQP) is composed of advanced productive forces driven by the deepening application of new technologies, is characterized by the rapid emergence of new industries, new business models, and new modes of operation, and is marked by a substantial increase in total factor productivity in the marine economy. It has, therefore, become a new engine and pathway for China’s development into a maritime power. The main research approaches and conclusions of this paper are as follows: ① Using a combined order relation analysis method–Entropy Weight Method (G1-EWM) weighting method that integrates subjective and objective factors, we measured the development level of China’s MNQP from 2006 to 2021 across two dimensions: “factor structure” and “quality and efficiency”. The findings indicate that China’s MNQP is developing robustly and still holds considerable potential for improvement. ② Utilizing Gaussian Kernel Density Estimation and Spatial Markov Chain analysis to examine the dynamic evolution of China’s MNQP, the study identifies breaking the low-end lock-in of MNQP as crucial for accelerating balanced development. Spatial imbalances in China’s MNQP may exist both at the national level and within the three major marine economic zones. ③ To further examine potential spatial imbalances, Dagum Gini decomposition was employed to assess regional disparities in China’s MNQP. The DER polarization index and EGR polarization index were used to analyze spatial polarization levels, revealing an intensifying spatial imbalance in China’s MNQP. ④ Finally, geographic detectors were employed to identify the factors influencing spatial imbalances in China’s MNQP. Results indicate that these imbalances result from the combined effects of multiple factors, with marine economic development emerging as the core determinant exerting a dominant influence. The core conclusions of this study provide theoretical support and practical evidence for advancing the enhancement of China’s MNQP, thereby contributing to the realization of the goal of building a maritime power. Full article

Supercritical carbon dioxide (SC-CO₂) power cycles offer a promising solution for offshore platforms’ gas turbine waste heat recovery due to their compact design and high thermal efficiency. This study proposes a novel parallel-preheating recuperated Brayton cycle (PBC) using SC-CO₂ for waste heat recovery on offshore gas turbines. An integrated energy, exergy, and economic (3E) model was developed and showed good predictive accuracy (deviations < 3%). The comparative analysis indicates that the PBC significantly outperforms the simple recuperated Brayton cycle (SBC). Under 100% load conditions, the PBC achieves a net power output of 4.55 MW, while the SBC reaches 3.28 MW, representing a power output increase of approximately 27.9%. In terms of thermal efficiency, the PBC reaches 36.7%, compared to 21.5% for the SBC, marking an improvement of about 41.4%. Additionally, the electricity generation cost of the PBC is 0.391 CNY/kWh, whereas that of the SBC is 0.43 CNY/kWh, corresponding to a cost reduction of approximately 21.23%. Even at 30% gas turbine load, the PBC maintains high thermoelectric and exergy efficiencies of 30.54% and 35.43%, respectively, despite a 50.8% reduction in net power from full load. The results demonstrate that the integrated preheater effectively recovers residual flue gas heat, enhancing overall performance. To meet the spatial constraints of offshore platforms, we maintained a pinch-point temperature difference of approximately 20 K in both the preheater and heater by adjusting the flow split ratio. This approach ensures a compact system layout while balancing cycle thermal efficiency with economic viability. This study offers valuable insights into the PBC’s variable-load performance and provides theoretical guidance for its practical optimization in engineering applications. Full article

The study establishes a comprehensive mathematical modeling framework for solar-driven hydrogen production by integrating a triple-diode photovoltaic (PV) model, an alkaline electrolyzer, and a hydrogen turbine (H₂T), subsequently using hybrid power utilization to optimize hydrogen output. The Triple-Diode Model (TDM) accurately reproduces the electrical performance of a 144-cell photovoltaic module under standard test conditions (STC), enabling precise calculations of hourly maximum power point outputs based on real-world conditions of global horizontal irradiance and ambient temperature. The photovoltaic system produced 1.07 MWh during the summer months (May to September 2025), which was sent straight to the alkaline electrolyzer. The electrolyzer, using Specific Energy Consumption (SEC)-based formulations and Faraday’s law, produced 22.6 kg of green hydrogen and used around 203 L of water. The generated hydrogen was later utilized to power a hydrogen turbine (H₂T), producing 414.6 kWh, which was then integrated with photovoltaic power to create a hybrid renewable energy source. This hybrid design increased hydrogen production to 31.4 kg, indicating a substantial improvement in renewable hydrogen output. All photovoltaic, electrolyzer, and turbine models were integrated into a cohesive MATLAB R2024b framework, allowing for an exhaustive depiction of system dynamics. The findings validate that the amalgamation of H₂T with photovoltaic-driven electrolysis may significantly improve both renewable energy and hydrogen production. This research aligns with Saudi Vision 2030 and global clean-energy initiatives, including the Paris Agreement, to tackle climate change and its negative impacts. An integrated green hydrogen system, informed by this study’s findings, could significantly improve energy sustainability, strengthen production reliability, and augment hydrogen output, fully aligning with economical, technical, and environmental objectives. Full article

High-precision short-term photovoltaic (PV) power prediction has become a critical technology in ensuring grid accommodation capacity, optimizing dispatching decisions, and enhancing plant economic benefits. This paper proposes a long short-term memory (LSTM)-based short-term PV power prediction method with the genetic algorithm (GA)-optimized adaptive fusion of space-based cloud imagery and ground-based meteorological data. The effective integration of satellite cloud imagery is conducted in the PV power prediction system, and the proposed method addresses the issues of low accuracy, poor robustness, and inadequate adaptation to complex weather associated with using a single type of meteorological data for PV power prediction. The multi-source heterogeneous data are preprocessed through outlier detection and missing value imputation. Spearman correlation analysis is employed to identify meteorological attributes highly correlated with PV power output. A dedicated dataset compatible with LSTM algorithm-based prediction models is constructed. An LSTM prediction model with a GA algorithm-based adaptive multi-source heterogeneous data fusion method is proposed, and the ability to construct a precise short-term PV power prediction model is demonstrated. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms single-source LSTM, single-source CNN-LSTM, and dual-source CNN-Transformer models in prediction accuracy, achieving an RMSE of 0.807 kWh and an MAPE of 6.74% on a critical test day. The proposed method enables real-time precision forecasting for grid dispatch centers and lightweight edge deployment at PV plants, enhancing renewable energy integration while effectively mitigating grid instability from power fluctuations. Full article

This work develops a methodology for operating Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESSs) in distribution networks, connected in parallel with a medium- and small-scale photovoltaic Distributed Generator (PMGD), focusing on a real project located in the O’Higgins region of Chile. The objective is to increase energy sales by the PMGD while ensuring compliance with operational constraints related to the grid, PMGD, and BESSs, and optimizing renewable energy use. A real distribution network from Compañía General de Electricidad (CGE) comprising 627 nodes was simplified into a validated three-node, two-line equivalent model to reduce computational complexity while maintaining accuracy. A mathematical model was designed to maximize economic benefits through optimal energy dispatch, considering solar generation variability, demand curves, and seasonal energy sales and purchasing prices. An energy management system was proposed based on a master–slave methodology composed of Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and an hourly power flow using the successive approximation method. Advanced optimization techniques such as Monte Carlo (MC) and the Genetic Algorithm (GAP) were employed as comparison methods, supported by a statistical analysis evaluating the best and average solutions, repeatability, and processing times to select the most effective optimization approach. Results demonstrate that BESS integration efficiently manages solar generation surpluses, injecting energy during peak demand and high-price periods to maximize revenue, alleviate grid congestion, and improve operational stability, with PSO proving particularly efficient. This work underscores the potential of BESS in PMGD to support a more sustainable and efficient energy matrix in Chile, despite regulatory and technical challenges that warrant further investigation. Full article

This work presents the design, modeling, and experimental validation of an innovative, highly autonomous, and economically viable photovoltaic solar cooker, integrating a robust battery storage system. The system combines 1200 Wp photovoltaic panels, a control block with DC/DC power converters and digital control for intelligent energy management, and a thermally insulated heating plate equipped with two resistors. The objective of the system is to reduce dependence on conventional fuels while overcoming the limitations of existing solar cookers, particularly insufficient cooking temperatures, the need for continuous solar orientation, and significant thermal losses. The optimization of thermal insulation using a ceramic fiber and glass wool configuration significantly reduces heat losses and increases the thermal efficiency to 64%, nearly double that of the non-insulated case (34%). This improvement enables cooking temperatures of 100–122 °C, heating element surface temperatures of 185–464 °C, and fast cooking times ranging from 20 to 58 min, depending on the prepared dish. Thermal modeling takes into account sheet metal, strengths, and food. The experimental results show excellent agreement between simulation and measurements (deviation < 5%), and high converter efficiencies (84–97%). The integration of the batteries guarantees an autonomy of 6 to 12 days and a very low depth of discharge (1–3%), allowing continuous cooking even without direct solar radiation. Crucially, the techno-economic analysis confirmed the system’s strong market competitiveness. Despite an Initial Investment Cost (CAPEX) of USD 1141.2, the high performance and low operational expenditure lead to a highly favorable Return on Investment (ROI) of only 4.31 years. Compared to existing conventional and solar cookers, the developed system offers superior energy efficiency and optimized cooking times, and demonstrates rapid profitability. This makes it a sustainable, reliable, and energy-efficient home solution, representing a major technological leap for domestic cooking in rural areas. Full article

With the advancement of the “dual carbon” goal, the power system is accelerating its transition towards a clean and low-carbon structure, with a continuous increase in the penetration rate of renewable energy generation (REG). However, the volatility and uncertainty of REG output pose severe challenges to power grid operation. Traditional distribution networks face immense pressure in terms of scheduling flexibility and power supply reliability. Active distribution networks (ADNs), by integrating energy storage systems (ESSs), soft open points (SOPs), and demand response (DR), have become key to enhancing the system’s adaptability to high-penetration renewable energy. This work proposes a DR-aware scheduling strategy for ESS-integrated flexible distribution networks, constructing a bi-level optimization model: the upper-level introduces a price-based DR mechanism, comprehensively considering net load fluctuation, user satisfaction with electricity purchase cost, and power consumption comfort; the lower-level coordinates SOP and ESS scheduling to achieve the dual goals of grid stability and economic efficiency. The non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm III (NSGA-III) is adopted to solve the model, and case verification is conducted on the standard 33-node system. The results show that the proposed method not only improves the economic efficiency of grid operation but also effectively reduces net load fluctuation (peak–valley difference decreases from 2.020 MW to 1.377 MW, a reduction of 31.8%) and enhances voltage stability (voltage deviation drops from 0.254 p.u. to 0.082 p.u., a reduction of 67.7%). This demonstrates the effectiveness of the scheduling strategy in scenarios with renewable energy integration, providing a theoretical basis for the optimal operation of ADNs. Full article