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Search Results (329)

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Keywords = carbon tax policy

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27 pages, 1677 KiB  
Article
The Impact of IMO Market-Based Measures on Korean Shipping Companies: A Focus on the GHG Levy
by Hanna Kim and Sunghwa Park
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6524; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146524 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 497
Abstract
This study examines the effects of the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) market-based measures, with a particular focus on the greenhouse gas (GHG) levy and on the financial and operational performance of Korean shipping companies. The analysis estimates that these companies, which play a [...] Read more.
This study examines the effects of the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) market-based measures, with a particular focus on the greenhouse gas (GHG) levy and on the financial and operational performance of Korean shipping companies. The analysis estimates that these companies, which play a vital role in global trade, consume approximately 9211 kilotons of fuel annually and emit 28.5 million tons of carbon dioxide. Under the lowest proposed carbon tax scenario, the financial burden on these companies is estimated at approximately KRW 1.07 trillion, resulting in an 8.8% reduction in net profit, a 2.4% decrease in return on equity (ROE), and a 1.1% decline in return on assets (ROA). Conversely, under the highest carbon tax scenario, costs rise to KRW 4.89 trillion, leading to a significant 40.2% decrease in net profit, thereby posing a serious threat to the financial stability and competitiveness of these firms. These findings underscore the urgent need for strategic policy interventions to mitigate the financial impact of carbon taxation while promoting both environmental sustainability and economic resilience in the maritime sector. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Management of Shipping, Ports and Logistics)
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23 pages, 8224 KiB  
Article
Green Port Collection and Distribution System in Low-Carbon Development: Scenario-Based System Dynamics
by Qingzhou Wang, Mengfan Li, Yuning Zhang and Yanan Kang
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6516; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146516 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 302
Abstract
This study aims to explore the factors and mechanisms influencing the low-carbon development of Green Port Collection and Distribution Systems (GPCDSs) and to identify effective pathways and policy approaches to promote such development. Given the limited prior research integrating low-carbon policies, energy structure, [...] Read more.
This study aims to explore the factors and mechanisms influencing the low-carbon development of Green Port Collection and Distribution Systems (GPCDSs) and to identify effective pathways and policy approaches to promote such development. Given the limited prior research integrating low-carbon policies, energy structure, and transportation systems, this study combines these three dimensions into a unified analytical framework. A scenario-based system dynamics model of GPCDS low-carbon development is established, incorporating factors such as low-carbon policies, energy structure, and transportation structure. The control variable method is employed to examine system behavior under 13 scenarios. The results indicate that freight subsidy policies and the internalization of carbon emission costs make the most substantial contributions to low-carbon development in GPCDS, yielding CO2 emission reductions of 14.3% and 15.7%, respectively. Additionally, improvements in port railway infrastructure contribute to a 6.4% reduction in CO2 emissions. In contrast, carbon taxes and energy structure adjustments have relatively limited effects, likely due to the delayed responsiveness of fossil fuel-dependent transportation sectors to pricing signals and the inherent inertia in transitioning energy systems. Full article
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31 pages, 6172 KiB  
Article
Shipping Decarbonisation: Financial and Business Strategies for UK Shipowners
by Eleni I. Avaritsioti
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(7), 391; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18070391 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 330
Abstract
The maritime sector faces urgent decarbonisation pressures due to regulatory instruments, such as the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII), which mandates reductions in greenhouse gas emissions per transport work. This paper investigates the challenge of identifying CII-compliant strategies that are [...] Read more.
The maritime sector faces urgent decarbonisation pressures due to regulatory instruments, such as the International Maritime Organization’s (IMO) Carbon Intensity Indicator (CII), which mandates reductions in greenhouse gas emissions per transport work. This paper investigates the challenge of identifying CII-compliant strategies that are also financially viable for UK shipowners. To address this, operational and technical data from UK-flagged vessels over 5000 GT are analysed using a capital budgeting framework. This includes scenario-based evaluation of speed reduction, payload limitation, and retrofitting with dual-fuel LNG and methanol engines. The analysis integrates carbon taxation, and pilot fuel use to assess impacts on emissions and profitability. The findings reveal that while the short-term operational measures examined offer modest gains, long-term compliance and financial performance are best achieved through targeted retrofitting supported by carbon taxes and favourable market conditions. The study provides actionable insights for shipowners and policymakers seeking to align commercial viability with regulatory obligations under the evolving CII framework. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Featured Papers in Climate Finance)
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23 pages, 2581 KiB  
Article
Tripartite Evolutionary Game Analysis of Waste Tire Pyrolysis Promotion: The Role of Differential Carbon Taxation and Policy Coordination
by Xiaojun Shen
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6422; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146422 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 290
Abstract
In China, the recycling system for waste tires is characterized by high output but low standardized recovery rates. This study examines the environmental and health risks caused by non-compliant treatment by individual recyclers and explores the barriers to the large-scale adoption of Pyrolysis [...] Read more.
In China, the recycling system for waste tires is characterized by high output but low standardized recovery rates. This study examines the environmental and health risks caused by non-compliant treatment by individual recyclers and explores the barriers to the large-scale adoption of Pyrolysis Technology. A Tripartite Evolutionary Game Model involving pyrolysis plants, waste tire recyclers, and government regulators is developed. The model incorporates pollutants from pretreatment and pyrolysis processes into a unified metric—Carbon Dioxide Equivalent (CO2-eq)—based on Global Warming Potential (GWP), and designs a Differential Carbon Taxation mechanism accordingly. The strategy dynamics and stability conditions for Evolutionary Stable Strategies (ESS) are analyzed. Multi-scenario numerical simulations explore how key parameter changes influence evolutionary trajectories and equilibrium outcomes. Six typical equilibrium states are identified, along with the critical conditions for achieving environmentally friendly results. Based on theoretical analysis and simulation results, targeted policy recommendations are proposed to promote standardized waste tire pyrolysis: (1) Establish a phased dynamic carbon tax with supporting subsidies; (2) Build a green market cultivation and price stabilization system; (3) Implement performance-based differential incentives; (4) Strengthen coordination between central environmental inspections and local carbon tax enforcement. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Economic and Business Aspects of Sustainability)
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22 pages, 986 KiB  
Article
Promoting Freight Modal Shift to High-Speed Rail for CO2 Emission Reduction: A Bi-Level Multi-Objective Optimization Approach
by Lin Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6310; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146310 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 330
Abstract
This paper investigates the optimal planning of high-speed rail (HSR) freight operations, pricing strategies, and government carbon tax policies. The primary objective is to enhance the market share of HSR freight, thereby reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with freight activities. [...] Read more.
This paper investigates the optimal planning of high-speed rail (HSR) freight operations, pricing strategies, and government carbon tax policies. The primary objective is to enhance the market share of HSR freight, thereby reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions associated with freight activities. The modal shift problem is formulated as a bi-level multi-objective model and solved using a specifically designed hybrid algorithm. The upper-level model integrates multiple objectives of the government (minimizing tax while maximizing the emission reduction rate) and HSR operators (maximizing profits). The lower-level model represents shippers’ transportation mode choices through network equilibrium modeling, aiming to minimize their costs. Numerical analysis is conducted using a transportation network that includes seven major central cities in China. The results indicate that optimizing HSR freight services with carbon tax policies can achieve a 56.97% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to air freight only. The effectiveness of the government’s carbon tax policy in reducing CO2 emissions depends on shippers’ emphasis on carbon reduction and the intensity of the carbon tax. Full article
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22 pages, 1200 KiB  
Article
Carbon Capture and Storage as a Decarbonisation Strategy: Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications for Sustainable Development
by Maxwell Kongkuah, Noha Alessa and Ilham Haouas
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 6222; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17136222 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 473
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of carbon capture and storage (CCS) deployment on national carbon intensity (CI) across 43 countries from 2010 to 2020. Using a dynamic common correlated effects (DCCE) log–log panel, we estimate the elasticity of CI with respect to sectoral [...] Read more.
This paper examines the impact of carbon capture and storage (CCS) deployment on national carbon intensity (CI) across 43 countries from 2010 to 2020. Using a dynamic common correlated effects (DCCE) log–log panel, we estimate the elasticity of CI with respect to sectoral CCS facility counts within four income-group panels and the full sample. In the high-income panel, CCS in direct air capture, cement, iron and steel, power and heat, and natural gas processing sectors produces statistically significant CI declines of 0.15%, 0.13%, 0.095%, 0.092%, and 0.087% per 1% increase in facilities, respectively (all p < 0.05). Upper-middle-income countries exhibit strong CI reductions in direct air capture (–0.22%) and cement (–0.21%) but mixed results in other sectors. Lower-middle- and low-income panels show attenuated or positive elasticities—reflecting early-stage CCS adoption and infrastructure barriers. Robustness checks confirm these patterns both before and after the 2015 Paris Agreement and between emerging and developed economy panels. Spatial analysis reveals that the United States and United Kingdom achieved 30–40% CI reductions over the decade, whereas China, India, and Indonesia realized only 10–20% declines (relative to a 2010 baseline), highlighting regional deployment gaps. Drawing on these detailed income-group insights, we propose tailored policy pathways: in high-income settings, expand tax credits and public–private infrastructure partnerships; in upper-middle-income regions, utilize blended finance and technology-transfer programs; and in lower-income contexts, establish pilot CCS hubs with international support and shared storage networks. We further recommend measures to manage CCS’s energy and water penalties, implement rigorous monitoring to mitigate leakage risks, and design risk-sharing contracts to address economic uncertainties. Full article
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13 pages, 4107 KiB  
Article
Game Analysis Between Manufacturer and Retailer Under Carbon Tax Policy
by Jun Yu, Shihui Yang and Zongxian Feng
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 6183; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17136183 - 5 Jul 2025
Viewed by 282
Abstract
Considering consumers’ low-carbon preferences, this article analyzes a manufacturer’s price and carbon abatement strategies, as well as a retailer’s price and promotion strategies, in a centralized game, where the manufacturer and the retailer jointly make decisions, and a decentralized game, where the two [...] Read more.
Considering consumers’ low-carbon preferences, this article analyzes a manufacturer’s price and carbon abatement strategies, as well as a retailer’s price and promotion strategies, in a centralized game, where the manufacturer and the retailer jointly make decisions, and a decentralized game, where the two parties each make decisions simultaneously. This study discusses the impact of the carbon abatement cost coefficient, promotion cost coefficient, sensitivity coefficient of consumer demand to carbon abatement rate or promotion rate, or carbon tax rate on the manufacturer’s carbon abatement rate, commodity’s retail price, and retailer’s promotion rate. This article also discusses the impact of any one of the main parameters on supply chain profit. Through comparisons of the above two games, this article concludes that the former is better than the latter for firms, consumers, and the environment. This article also concludes that a reduction in the carbon abatement cost coefficient, a rise in the sensitivity coefficient of consumer demand to the carbon abatement rate, or a rise in the carbon tax rate increases the manufacturer’s optimal carbon abatement rate. A relatively high carbon abatement rate means relatively low CO2 emissions, which are environmentally friendly and conducive to sustainable development at the ecological level. The foregoing conclusions provide governments with references for making carbon tax policies and also offer firms references for making decisions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Operations, Logistics and Supply Chain Management)
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39 pages, 5325 KiB  
Article
Optimal Sizing and Techno-Economic Evaluation of a Utility-Scale Wind–Solar–Battery Hybrid Plant Considering Weather Uncertainties, as Well as Policy and Economic Incentives, Using Multi-Objective Optimization
by Shree Om Bade, Olusegun Stanley Tomomewo, Michael Maan, Johannes Van der Watt and Hossein Salehfar
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3528; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133528 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 449
Abstract
This study presents an optimization framework for a utility-scale hybrid power plant (HPP) that integrates wind power plants (WPPs), solar power plants (SPPs), and battery energy storage systems (BESS) using historical and probabilistic weather modeling, regulatory incentives, and multi-objective trade-offs. By employing multi-objective [...] Read more.
This study presents an optimization framework for a utility-scale hybrid power plant (HPP) that integrates wind power plants (WPPs), solar power plants (SPPs), and battery energy storage systems (BESS) using historical and probabilistic weather modeling, regulatory incentives, and multi-objective trade-offs. By employing multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO), the study simultaneously optimizes three key objectives: economic performance (maximizing net present value, NPV), system reliability (minimizing loss of power supply probability, LPSP), and operational efficiency (reducing curtailment). The optimized HPP (283 MW wind, 20 MW solar, and 500 MWh BESS) yields an NPV of $165.2 million, a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of $0.065/kWh, an internal rate of return (IRR) of 10.24%, and a 9.24-year payback, demonstrating financial viability. Operational efficiency is maintained with <4% curtailment and 8.26% LPSP. Key findings show that grid imports improve reliability (LPSP drops to 1.89%) but reduce economic returns; higher wind speeds (11.6 m/s) allow 27% smaller designs with 54.6% capacity factors; and tax credits (30%) are crucial for viability at low PPA rates (≤$0.07/kWh). Validation via Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA) confirms robustness. The study improves hybrid power plant design by combining weather predictions, policy changes, and optimizing three goals, providing a flexible renewable energy option for reducing carbon emissions. Full article
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33 pages, 1372 KiB  
Article
A Conceptual Approach to Defining a Carbon Tax in the Transport Sector in Indonesia: Economic, Social, and Environmental Aspects
by Diaz Pranita and Sri Sarjana
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3493; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133493 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 509
Abstract
The implementation of a carbon tax in the transportation sector aims to reduce carbon emissions and encourage the transition to sustainable mobility amid increasing urbanization. The transportation sector is one of the largest contributors of carbon emissions in Indonesia, requiring effective policies to [...] Read more.
The implementation of a carbon tax in the transportation sector aims to reduce carbon emissions and encourage the transition to sustainable mobility amid increasing urbanization. The transportation sector is one of the largest contributors of carbon emissions in Indonesia, requiring effective policies to reduce its environmental impacts. Therefore, this study aims to find a more optimal carbon tax formula that is in accordance with Indonesia’s socio-economic conditions. The approach used includes analysis of transportation emission data, the economic impact of different carbon tax schemes, and tax revenue allocation strategies to support green infrastructure and sustainable transportation. The results of the study indicate that an adaptive carbon tax formula in the transportation sector is able to balance the economic burden, emission reduction targets, social justice, behavioral changes, and revenue allocation for green infrastructure, thus ensuring a just and sustainable transition. A progressive carbon tax, based on vehicle emission levels and fuel types, can encourage the transition to low-emission vehicles without excessively burdening low-income communities. With this approach, carbon tax policy functions not only as a fiscal instrument but also as a transformative strategy in creating an environmentally friendly and equitable transportation system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section B: Energy and Environment)
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26 pages, 1444 KiB  
Article
The Path to Environmental Sustainability: How Circular Economy, Natural Capital, and Structural Economic Changes Shape Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Germany
by Hanyu Chen, Guanbing Zhao and Muhammad Ramzan
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 5982; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135982 - 29 Jun 2025
Viewed by 418
Abstract
Environmental sustainability constitutes a strategic priority for Germany, with the circular economy serving a crucial function in its realization. Circular practices foster sustainable development by decreasing reliance on finite resources, minimizing waste, and reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The circular economy provides ecological [...] Read more.
Environmental sustainability constitutes a strategic priority for Germany, with the circular economy serving a crucial function in its realization. Circular practices foster sustainable development by decreasing reliance on finite resources, minimizing waste, and reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The circular economy provides ecological advantages and strengthens economic resilience through the promotion of innovation, enhancement of supply chain efficiency, and creation of green jobs. Complementary measures, including the preservation of natural capital, the enactment of structural economic reforms, and the implementation of environmental taxes, enhance sustainability objectives. Ecosystem conservation enhances carbon absorption, structural changes facilitate low-emission industries, and environmental taxes incorporate environmental costs. In contrast, industrial activity continues to be a significant contributor to GHG emissions, necessitating policy examination. This study analyzes the relationships between the circular economy, natural capital, structural change, environmental taxation, and industrial activities on GHG emissions in Germany from the first quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2022. The study employs wavelet coherence analysis (WCA), fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS), and dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS), demonstrating that circular economy practices, natural capital, structural changes, and environmental taxes significantly reduce GHG emissions. Conversely, industrial activities continually elevate GHG emissions in Germany. Moreover, WCA further reveals the time–frequency dynamics and co-movement patterns between key variables and GHG emissions, enabling the detection of both short-term and long-term dependencies. The results indicate that enhancing environmental sustainability in Germany could be effectively achieved by mandating the integration of recycled materials within key industrial sectors to improve environmental sustainability, which would help lower resource extraction and related GHG emissions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
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17 pages, 732 KiB  
Review
A Review of Carbon Pricing Mechanisms and Risk Management for Raw Materials in Low-Carbon Energy Systems
by Hongbo Sun, Xinting Zhang and Cuicui Luo
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3401; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133401 - 27 Jun 2025
Viewed by 500
Abstract
The global shift to low-carbon energy systems has significantly increased demand for critical raw materials like lithium, cobalt, nickel, rare earth elements, and copper. These materials are essential for renewable technologies and energy storage. However, their extraction and processing produce significant carbon emissions [...] Read more.
The global shift to low-carbon energy systems has significantly increased demand for critical raw materials like lithium, cobalt, nickel, rare earth elements, and copper. These materials are essential for renewable technologies and energy storage. However, their extraction and processing produce significant carbon emissions and face challenges from supply chain vulnerabilities and price volatility. This review examines the complex relationship between carbon pricing mechanisms—such as carbon markets and taxes—and raw material markets. It explores the strategic importance of these materials, recent policy developments, and the transmission of carbon pricing impacts through supply chains. The review also analyzes the systemic risks created by carbon pricing, including regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and geopolitical tensions. We then discuss financial tools and corporate strategies for managing these risks, such as carbon-linked derivatives and supply chain diversification. Finally, this review identifies key challenges and suggests future research to improve the resilience and sustainability of raw material supply chains. Here, resilience is defined as the capacity to adapt to carbon pricing volatility, geopolitical disruptions, and regulatory shocks, while maintaining operations. The paper concludes that coordinated policies and flexible risk management are urgently needed to support a reliable and sustainable energy transition. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Energy Transition Towards Carbon Neutrality)
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36 pages, 3809 KiB  
Article
A Game Theoretic Approach to Electric Vehicle Promotion Policy Selection from the Consumer Side
by Lulu Shao, Jingxi Zhou, Peng Li, Zongxiang Zhang and Lin Chen
Systems 2025, 13(7), 506; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13070506 - 23 Jun 2025
Viewed by 279
Abstract
With the increasing popularity of electric vehicles (EVs) through purchase subsidy (PS) policies, the personal carbon tax (PCT) policy has been adopted by some countries due to its characteristics of restraining the diffusion of fuel vehicles (FVs) from the consumer side. This paper [...] Read more.
With the increasing popularity of electric vehicles (EVs) through purchase subsidy (PS) policies, the personal carbon tax (PCT) policy has been adopted by some countries due to its characteristics of restraining the diffusion of fuel vehicles (FVs) from the consumer side. This paper constructs a three-stage game model consisting of government, manufacturers, and consumers to investigate the impact of basic utility valuation heterogeneity differences on the optimal decisions and to compare the implementation effects of two policies. The results are as follows. First, conventional wisdom suggests that EV consumer surplus under PS policy will exceed that under PCT policy. Surprisingly, our results show that when the basic utility valuation difference is small, the EV consumer surplus under PCT policy exceeds that under PS policy. Second, for manufacturers, it is interesting to note that the sustained impact of PCT policy on promoting the diffusion of the EV market and the profit of the EV manufacturer is related to the basic utility valuation heterogeneity difference. However, compared with PS policy, the implementation of PCT policy has a better restraining effect on the diffusion of the FV market, effectively reducing the demand for FV and the profit of FV manufacturers. Finally, contrary to the common belief that increasing subsidies or raising carbon taxes can increase overall social welfare, this paper shows that subsidies and carbon taxes have a dual impact on overall social welfare, and only when their positive effects outweigh the negative ones can such policies become effective ways of promoting industrial transformation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Systems Practice in Social Science)
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24 pages, 3754 KiB  
Article
Route Optimization of Multimodal Transport Considering Regional Differences under Carbon Tax Policy
by Liqing Gao and Miaomiao Zhan
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 5743; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135743 - 22 Jun 2025
Viewed by 500
Abstract
Environmental sustainability is receiving growing global attention, making the development of low-carbon and green transportation increasingly important. Low-carbon policies offer significant advantages in incentivizing energy conservation and reducing emissions in the transportation sector; however, it is vital to consider the impacts of regional [...] Read more.
Environmental sustainability is receiving growing global attention, making the development of low-carbon and green transportation increasingly important. Low-carbon policies offer significant advantages in incentivizing energy conservation and reducing emissions in the transportation sector; however, it is vital to consider the impacts of regional differences on the implementation effect of low-carbon policies. This paper explores multimodal transportation route optimization under a carbon tax policy. First, a bi-objective route optimization model is constructed, with the goal of minimizing total transportation cost and time, while accounting for uncertain demand, fixed departure schedules, and regional differences. Trapezoidal fuzzy numbers are used to represent uncertain demand, and a fuzzy adaptive non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm is designed to solve the bi-objective optimization model. The algorithm is then tested on differently sized networks and on real-world transportation networks in eastern and western China to validate its effectiveness and to assess the impacts of regional differences. The experimental results show the following. (1) When considering transportation tasks at different network scales, the proposed fuzzy adaptive non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm outperforms the NSGA-II algorithm, achieving minimum differences in percentages of cost and time of 9.25% and 7.72%, respectively. (2) For transportation tasks assessed using real-world networks in eastern and western China, an increase in the carbon tax rate significantly affects carbon emissions, costs, and time. The degree of carbon emission reduction varies depending on the development of the regional transportation network. In the more developed eastern region, carbon emissions are reduced by up to 44.17% as the carbon tax rate increases. In the less developed western region, the maximum reduction in carbon emissions is 14.37%. The carbon tax policy has a more limited impact in the western region compared to the eastern one. Therefore, formulating differentiated carbon tax policies based on local conditions is an effective way to maximize the economic and environmental benefits of multimodal transportation. Full article
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24 pages, 2108 KiB  
Article
Simulation Analysis of the Three-Party Evolutionary Game of Green Housing Market Stakeholders Under Low-Carbon Policies
by Zhenxu Guo, Qing’e Wang, Rumeng Zhang and Yizhuoyan Qi
Sustainability 2025, 17(13), 5686; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135686 - 20 Jun 2025
Viewed by 356
Abstract
As an important part of green building, green housing (GH) has become a strategic priority in many countries. However, the market share of GH remains limited due to conflicting interests and divergent strategic choices among stakeholders. To address this challenge, various low-carbon policy [...] Read more.
As an important part of green building, green housing (GH) has become a strategic priority in many countries. However, the market share of GH remains limited due to conflicting interests and divergent strategic choices among stakeholders. To address this challenge, various low-carbon policy tools, such as financial subsidies (FS), carbon taxes (CT), and carbon emissions trading (CET), have been introduced. Despite these efforts, the influence of low-carbon policies on stakeholders’ strategies remains inadequately understood. This study aims to bridge this research gap by constructing an evolutionary game model that incorporates the government, developers, and consumers while considering relevant policy factors. The model identifies evolutionary stable strategies (ESS) for each stakeholder. Then, based on MATLAB 2021b, several simulations are carried out for initial, development, mature, and stable stage. The simulation results show the dynamic changes in stakeholder behavior over time. This study also analyzes how key parameters affect the system’s evolution and puts forward suggestions from each stakeholder’s perspective. The results show that (1) consumer subsidies are more effective than those for developers. (2) Subsidies for developers cause more significant financial pressure on governments than subsidies for consumers. (3) The CET policy helps developers adopt GH more quickly. (4) Proper CT promotes developers to make greener choices. (5) Reducing the difference between green and traditional housing supports the stable development of the GHM. This study offers theoretical insights to guide stakeholder decision-making and provides practical recommendations for government aiming to play a role in fostering GHM development. Full article
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34 pages, 2289 KiB  
Article
Optimal Multi-Period Manufacturing–Remanufacturing–Transport Planning in Carbon Conscious Supply Chain: An Approach Based on Prediction and Optimization
by Basma Abassi, Sadok Turki and Sofiene Dellagi
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 5218; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17115218 - 5 Jun 2025
Viewed by 585
Abstract
This paper presents a joint optimization framework for multi-period planning in a Manufacturing–Remanufacturing–Transport Supply Chain (MRTSC), focusing on carbon emission reduction and economic efficiency. A novel Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is developed to coordinate procurement, production, remanufacturing, transportation, and returns under [...] Read more.
This paper presents a joint optimization framework for multi-period planning in a Manufacturing–Remanufacturing–Transport Supply Chain (MRTSC), focusing on carbon emission reduction and economic efficiency. A novel Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is developed to coordinate procurement, production, remanufacturing, transportation, and returns under environmental constraints, aligned with carbon tax policies and the Paris Agreement. To address uncertainty in future demand and the number of returned used products (NRUP), a two-stage approach combining forecasting and optimization is applied. Among several predictive methods evaluated, a hybrid SARIMA/VAR model is selected for its accuracy. The MILP model, implemented in CPLEX, generates optimal decisions based on these forecasts. A case study demonstrates notable improvements in cost efficiency and emission reduction over traditional approaches. The results show that the proposed model consistently maintained strong service levels through flexible planning and responsive transport scheduling, minimizing both unmet demand and inventory excesses throughout the planning horizon. Additionally, the findings indicate that carbon taxation caused a sharp drop in profit with only limited emission reductions, highlighting the need for parallel support for cleaner technologies and more integrated sustainability strategies. The analysis further reveals a clear trade-off between emission reduction and operational performance, as stricter carbon limits lead to lower profitability and service levels despite environmental gains. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Optimization of Sustainable Transport Process Networks)
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