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Water
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Historical Flood Analysis: Climate Indices, Triggering Factors and Induced Damage
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Historical Flood Analysis: Climate Indices, Triggering Factors and Induced Damage

A special issue of Water (ISSN 2073-4441). This special issue belongs to the section "Water and Climate Change".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 September 2023) | Viewed by 3361

Special Issue Editors

Prof. Krzysztof Kochanek

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland
Interests: statistical modeling of hydrological issues; hydrological extreme phenomena; risk and uncertainty analysis; flood frequency analysis; water resources; ecological aspects of hydrology; groundwater modeling
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals
Dr. Iwona Kuptel-Markiewicz

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland
Interests: hydrological extremes; floods; droughts; precipitation; statistical modelling; estimation; uncertainty
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Due to the scarcity of systematic observations of maximum flows in terms of their length and accuracy, historical information is a valuable supplement to data sets.  Historical flood data are obtained using paleohydrological techniques, which have now made spectacular advances in accurately determining the age of floods, in quantifying the magnitude and dynamics of paleoflood events, and in integrating historical and paleoflood (both often called non-instrumental) data into various modeling procedures for risk assessment.

The visible climate change which manifests mostly by the increase in the magnitude and frequency of the extreme phenomena poses new challenges for hydrologists. It is believed that historical and paleofloods were harsher than what we experience nowadays but may be the same or even smaller when compared to those in near future. Therefore, the reconstruction of the past floods can help with the creation of more robust adaptation policies for the future climate crisis.  

Prof. Krzysztof Kochanek
Dr. Iwona Markiewicz
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Water is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • hydrology
  • flood frequency analysis
  • flood hazard
  • peak flows
  • systematic data
  • paleoflood, historical information
  • uncertainty
  • statistics

Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

35 pages, 3257 KiB  
Article
Two-Parameter Probability Distributions: Methods, Techniques and Comparative Analysis
by Cristian Gabriel Anghel, Stefan Ciprian Stanca and Cornel Ilinca
Water 2023, 15(19), 3435; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15193435 - 29 Sep 2023
Viewed by 1190
Abstract
Considering the wide applicability of two-parameter distributions in the frequency analysis of extreme events, this article presents new elements regarding the use of thirteen two-parameter probability distributions, using three parameter estimation methods. All the necessary elements for the application of these distributions are [...] Read more.
Considering the wide applicability of two-parameter distributions in the frequency analysis of extreme events, this article presents new elements regarding the use of thirteen two-parameter probability distributions, using three parameter estimation methods. All the necessary elements for the application of these distributions are presented using the method of ordinary moments (MOM), the method of linear moments (L-moments) and the method of high order linear moments (LH-moments). Only these three methods are analyzed, because they are usually applied in the analysis regarding the regionalization of extreme events. As a case study, the frequency analysis of the maximum annual flows on the Siret River, Lungoci station, Romania, was made. For the recommended methods (L- and LH-moments), from the thirteen analyzed distributions, the log-normal distribution had the best results, with the theoretical values L-coefficient of variation and L-kurtosis (0.297, 0.192, 0.323, 0.185, 0.336, and 0.185) best approximating the corresponding values of the recorded data (0.339, 0.185, 0.233, 0.199, 0.198, and 0.205). Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Historical Flood Analysis: Climate Indices, Triggering Factors and Induced Damage)
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23 pages, 2949 KiB  
Article
Challenges for Flood Risk Reduction in Poland’s Changing Climate
by Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Anna Januchta-Szostak, Elżbieta Nachlik, Iwona Pińskwar and Janusz Zaleski
Water 2023, 15(16), 2912; https://doi.org/10.3390/w15162912 - 12 Aug 2023
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1615
Abstract
Floods are the main natural disaster in Poland, and the risk of both fluvial and pluvial floods is serious in the country. Pluvial floods are on the rise in the changing climate, particularly in increasingly sealed urbanized areas. In this paper, we examine [...] Read more.
Floods are the main natural disaster in Poland, and the risk of both fluvial and pluvial floods is serious in the country. Pluvial floods are on the rise in the changing climate, particularly in increasingly sealed urbanized areas. In this paper, we examine the changes in flood risk in Poland, discussing the mechanisms, observations, projections and variability. Next, we discuss flood risk management in the country, including specific issues related to urban and rural areas and the synergies between flood and drought risk reduction measures. We identify and assess the weaknesses of the existing flood risk management plans in Poland for the first planning period 2016–2021 and for the second planning period 2022–2027. We find the level of implementation of plans in the former period to be very low. Many planned measures do not have much to do with flood risk reduction but are often linked to other objectives, such as inland navigation. The plans contain numerous small measures, which come across as inapt and economically ineffective solutions. We specify policy-relevant recommendations for necessary and urgent actions, which, if undertaken, could considerably reduce flood risk. We also sketch the way ahead for flood risk management in Poland within the timeframe of the implementation of plans for 2022–2027 and the next regular update of plans for 2028–2033. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Historical Flood Analysis: Climate Indices, Triggering Factors and Induced Damage)
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