Social Media and Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of Innovation: Evidence from Africa
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
Control Variables Acting as Confounders
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
| 1 | According to the Mulgan et al. (2007, p. 9), Social innovations are “innovative activities and services that are motivated by the goal of meeting a social need and that are predominantly developed and diffused through organizations whose primary purposes are social.” |
| 2 | |
| 3 | Effective for 2025, those countries with a per capita gross national income (GNI) of less than USD13,846 (World Bank Atlas method) in 2022. |
| 4 | This study estimated an ordinary least squares estimator (OLS) for Equation (1) as well as Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) for all independent and control variables. All the variables showed VIF values less than 5 indicating minimal to no multicollinearity (results available upon request). |
| 5 | After the test results show the presence of heteroscedasticity, the Hausman test was conducted with robust standard errors to check if the fixed effects estimator is still appropriate. The results indicated that the fixed effects estimator is still the preferred model. |
References
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| Variable | Obs | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R&D expenditure (%) | 448 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.011 | 1.02 |
| Scientific journals | 686 | 928 | 2382 | 0.76 | 18,469 |
| Patent applications | 420 | 95 | 211 | 1 | 1804 |
| Facebook (%) | 686 | 80.4 | 17.7 | 13.6 | 99.5 |
| X (formerly Twitter) (%) | 686 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 0.20 | 74.1 |
| YouTube (%) | 686 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 0.01 | 48.1 |
| LinkedIn (%) | 686 | 0.59 | 3.7 | 0 | 88.8 |
| Google (%) | 686 | 0.27 | 0.58 | 0.01 | 11.5 |
| Internet (% of population) | 686 | 22.5 | 20.7 | 0.3 | 89.9 |
| GDP per capita (current US$) | 686 | 2495 | 3146 | 199 | 19,142 |
| Value added manufacturing industry (% annual growth) | 644 | 3.4 | 8.2 | −43.8 | 72.6 |
| Government expenditure on education (% GDP) | 644 | 4 | 1.9 | 0.35 | 10.8 |
| Ease of doing business (score) | 686 | 51 | 11.7 | 19.9 | 81.5 |
| Procedures to register start-ups (number) | 686 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 18 |
| Imports of goods and services (%) | 644 | 6.4 | 19.9 | −94.7 | 328.7 |
| Adult literacy level (%) | 672 | 65.4 | 18.9 | 22 | 96.2 |
| Annual urban population growth (%) | 686 | 3.5 | 1.4 | −1.9 | 7.6 |
| Number of researchers in R&D | 448 | 217 | 354 | 6 | 1943 |
| Confounding Variables | Effect of Confounding Variable on the Relationship Between Innovation and Social Media Platforms |
|---|---|
| GDP per capita (current US$) | Captures a country’s wealth and economic capacity. Wealthier countries are likelier to invest more in R&D, education infrastructure, digital infrastructure, and broader digital connectivity that simultaneously raise innovation, the prevalence of digital platforms (Robinson & Acemoglu, 2012; Muninger et al., 2022), and the growth of social media (Song et al., 2024). Failing to control for these confounding effects risks an upward bias in the coefficients. |
| Government education spending | Better-funded education systems affect human capital formation, which in turn influences R&D spending, patent applications, scientific output, and the pool of skilled users engaged in social media engagement and interaction (Yu et al., 2023; Ahmad, 2023). |
| Adult literacy levels | Higher literacy rates expand the pool of highly educated and skilled users who consume knowledge via social media and translate it to scientific output (Ahmad, 2023). |
| Researchers in R&D | The number of researchers involved in R&D is crucial for innovation (Whelan et al., 2013). Similarly, the number of researchers involved in R&D is a proxy for a country’s research culture and digital sophistication as social media tools enhance research visibility and facilitate academic collaborations (Asmi, 2018). For example, higher researcher density often coincides with heavier online engagement in professional networks, which confounds the relationship between innovation and social media use. |
| Internet penetration | Represents and operationalizes access to the social media platforms, but also captures greater knowledge diffusion that affects innovation creation and adoption (Muninger et al., 2022; Zondo & Ndoro, 2023), making the variable a suitable confounder. |
| Urban population growth | This variable signals the agglomeration and knowledge spillover effects of people moving into larger cities, sharing ideas and using digital tools that elevate both innovation intensity and the adoption of digital communication tools (Huang et al., 2022; Anttiroiko et al., 2020). Omitting this effect could exaggerate the role of social media. |
| Ease of doing business | Reflects the regulatory and business climate in a country, e.g., streamlined registration for business start-ups, protecting investors, etc. This variable allows businesses to focus on innovative activities and attract international investments (Morano et al., 2023) while making online channels more attractive for entrepreneurs and enhancing networking opportunities (Mbena et al., 2025), thus creating a back-door pathway between social media platform use and innovative activities. |
| Value added growth from manufacturing industry | The value added growth from the manufacturing industry in a country represents another back-door path between social media platform use and the three innovation proxies. This path works via industrial activities that stimulate technological upgrading and innovations, while simultaneously increasing demand for digital networks and a digital economy (Ding et al., 2021). |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VARIABLES | PATENT | PATENT 1 | PATENT 2 | PATENT 3 |
| Facebook (%) | 0.00169 | 0.00190 | 0.000820 | 0.00182 |
| (0.00203) | (0.00204) | (0.00193) | (0.00238) | |
| X (formerly Twitter) (%) | 0.00341 | 0.00297 | 0.00186 | 0.00249 |
| (0.00473) | (0.00463) | (0.00294) | (0.00390) | |
| YouTube (%) | 0.00405 * | 0.00431 * | 0.00435 * | 0.00489 |
| (0.00212) | (0.00214) | (0.00231) | (0.00407) | |
| LinkedIn (%) | −0.00158 | −0.000148 | 7.60 × 10−6 | 0.000433 |
| (0.00823) | (0.00840) | (0.00710) | (0.00878) | |
| Google (%) | −0.0196 | −0.0188 | 0.00672 | 0.0293 |
| (0.0230) | (0.0231) | (0.0250) | (0.0372) | |
| GDP per capita (log) | 0.0203 | 0.0277 | 0.112 | 0.0823 |
| (0.0775) | (0.0796) | (0.104) | (0.111) | |
| Value added manufacturing industry (% annual growth) | −0.000349 | −0.000632 | 0.000204 | 0.00351 |
| (0.00199) | (0.00218) | (0.00159) | (0.00268) | |
| Internet (% of population) | −0.00384 ** | −0.00372 ** | −0.00293 ** | −0.00383 |
| (0.00139) | (0.00136) | (0.00117) | (0.00225) | |
| Government expenditure on education (% GDP) | 0.0194 | 0.0218 | 0.0265 | 0.0355 |
| (0.0237) | (0.0236) | (0.0217) | (0.0330) | |
| Ease of doing business (score) | 0.0243 * | 0.0311 | 0.0203 * | 0.0533 *** |
| (0.0121) | (0.0187) | (0.0112) | (0.0169) | |
| Procedures to register start-ups (number) | −0.00754 | −0.00666 | −0.0138 | −0.00359 |
| (0.0105) | (0.0102) | (0.00918) | (0.0109) | |
| Imports of goods and services (%) | 0.00644 ** | 0.00368 | ||
| (0.00222) | (0.00256) | |||
| Adult literacy level (%) | 0.00174 | 0.00399 | ||
| (0.00535) | (0.00494) | |||
| Number of researchers in R&D (log) | −0.0166 | |||
| (0.132) | ||||
| Annual urban population growth (%) | −0.0699 ** | −0.0670 | ||
| (0.0293) | (0.0576) | |||
| 2010.Year | 0.0229 | 0.0203 | 0.0559 | 0.0520 |
| (0.0746) | (0.0754) | (0.0809) | (0.0952) | |
| 2011.Year | −0.131 | −0.144 | −0.140 | −0.121 |
| (0.0869) | (0.0878) | (0.0938) | (0.109) | |
| 2012.Year | 0.121 | 0.117 | 0.143 | 0.189 * |
| (0.0858) | (0.0847) | (0.0899) | (0.102) | |
| 2013.Year | −0.0128 | 0.00282 | 0.0241 | 0.00768 |
| (0.0963) | (0.0947) | (0.0989) | (0.110) | |
| 2014.Year | 0.0494 | 0.0413 | 0.0563 | 0.0434 |
| (0.0990) | (0.0973) | (0.103) | (0.116) | |
| 2015.Year | 0.193 * | 0.198 ** | 0.192 * | 0.218 * |
| (0.0956) | (0.0890) | (0.0890) | (0.104) | |
| 2016.Year | 0.164 * | 0.166 * | 0.192 * | 0.190 |
| (0.0879) | (0.0817) | (0.0892) | (0.109) | |
| 2017.Year | 0.226 ** | 0.220 ** | 0.241 ** | 0.263 ** |
| (0.0825) | (0.0779) | (0.0903) | (0.101) | |
| 2018.Year | 0.365 *** | 0.360 *** | 0.327 *** | 0.341 *** |
| (0.0766) | (0.0760) | (0.0874) | (0.0972) | |
| 2019.Year | 0.0555 | 0.0369 | −0.00608 | 0.0306 |
| (0.0802) | (0.0858) | (0.0881) | (0.0976) | |
| 2020.Year | 0.303 *** | 0.299 *** | 0.265 *** | 0.328 *** |
| (0.0684) | (0.0555) | (0.0589) | (0.0914) | |
| 2021.Year | 0.347 *** | 0.336 *** | 0.335 *** | 0.380 *** |
| (0.0903) | (0.0844) | (0.0816) | (0.118) | |
| 2022.Year | 0.206 ** | 0.195 ** | 0.143 * | 0.186 |
| (0.0834) | (0.0675) | (0.0738) | (0.124) | |
| Constant | 0.947 | 0.420 | 0.273 | −1.176 |
| (1.148) | (1.321) | (1.022) | (1.228) | |
| Observations | 420 | 406 | 378 | 322 |
| Number of groups | 30 | 29 | 27 | 23 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VARIABLES | RD | RD 1 | RD 2 | RD 3 |
| Facebook (%) | 0.000175 | 0.000173 | 0.000209 | 0.000300 |
| (0.000266) | (0.000267) | (0.000271) | (0.000306) | |
| X (formerly Twitter) (%) | −0.000874 ** | −0.000870 ** | −0.000883 ** | −0.000601 |
| (0.000292) | (0.000294) | (0.000300) | (0.000399) | |
| YouTube (%) | 0.00167 *** | 0.00166 *** | 0.00174 *** | 0.00173 *** |
| (0.000489) | (0.000486) | (0.000555) | (0.000514) | |
| LinkedIn (%) | 0.00167 | 0.00166 | 0.00183 | 0.00150 |
| (0.00107) | (0.00107) | (0.00108) | (0.00103) | |
| Google (%) | 0.000107 | 7.23 × 10−5 | −0.00217 | −0.00832 |
| (0.00128) | (0.00131) | (0.00421) | (0.00573) | |
| GDP per capita (log) | 0.0129 | 0.0129 | 0.0130 | 0.0118 |
| (0.0152) | (0.0152) | (0.0151) | (0.0177) | |
| Value added manufacturing industry (% annual growth) | 0.000130 | 0.000134 | 0.000169 | 0.000200 |
| (0.000369) | (0.000369) | (0.000376) | (0.000500) | |
| Internet (% of population) | 0.000409 | 0.000409 | 0.000406 | 0.000516 |
| (0.000298) | (0.000299) | (0.000302) | (0.000307) | |
| Government expenditure on education (% GDP) | 0.00514 | 0.00514 | 0.00567 | 0.00638 |
| (0.00350) | (0.00351) | (0.00393) | (0.00407) | |
| Ease of doing business (score) | 0.00266 ** | 0.00273 ** | 0.00266 ** | 0.00131 |
| (0.000906) | (0.000973) | (0.00100) | (0.00132) | |
| Procedures to register start-ups (number) | −0.000947 | −0.000946 | −0.000908 | −0.00287 |
| (0.00197) | (0.00197) | (0.00207) | (0.00207) | |
| Imports of goods and services (%) | −0.000238 | −0.000361 | ||
| (0.000258) | (0.000331) | |||
| Adult literacy level (%) | −0.000105 | −6.04 × 10−5 | ||
| (0.000256) | (0.000262) | |||
| Number of researchers in R&D (log) | 0.0504 * | |||
| (0.0254) | ||||
| Annual urban population growth (%) | −0.000385 | 0.000496 | ||
| (0.00480) | (0.00779) | |||
| 2010.Year | −0.00917 | −0.00917 | −0.0110 | −0.0159 |
| (0.0106) | (0.0107) | (0.0114) | (0.0127) | |
| 2011.Year | −0.0132 | −0.0131 | −0.0151 | −0.0157 |
| (0.0115) | (0.0116) | (0.0119) | (0.0131) | |
| 2012.Year | −0.0283 ** | −0.0282 ** | −0.0300 ** | −0.0356 ** |
| (0.0117) | (0.0117) | (0.0122) | (0.0125) | |
| 2013.Year | 0.00824 | 0.00823 | 0.00731 | 0.00330 |
| (0.0131) | (0.0132) | (0.0138) | (0.0156) | |
| 2014.Year | −0.0122 | −0.0122 | −0.0139 | −0.0223 |
| (0.0134) | (0.0135) | (0.0142) | (0.0160) | |
| 2015.Year | 0.00582 | 0.00607 | 0.00436 | −0.00633 |
| (0.0142) | (0.0143) | (0.0153) | (0.0175) | |
| 2016.Year | −0.0103 | −0.0102 | −0.0127 | −0.0209 |
| (0.0154) | (0.0155) | (0.0166) | (0.0187) | |
| 2017.Year | −0.00284 | −0.00275 | −0.00475 | −0.0137 |
| (0.0141) | (0.0142) | (0.0152) | (0.0170) | |
| 2018.Year | −0.0203 | −0.0202 | −0.0223 | −0.0279 |
| (0.0149) | (0.0150) | (0.0162) | (0.0170) | |
| 2019.Year | −0.0280 * | −0.0280 * | −0.0308 * | −0.0445 ** |
| (0.0142) | (0.0142) | (0.0152) | (0.0167) | |
| 2020.Year | −0.00718 | −0.00700 | −0.00969 | −0.0171 |
| (0.0134) | (0.0135) | (0.0147) | (0.0149) | |
| 2021.Year | −0.0162 | −0.0161 | −0.0186 | −0.0293 |
| (0.0167) | (0.0167) | (0.0175) | (0.0188) | |
| 2022.Year | −0.0199 | −0.0195 | −0.0215 | −0.0312 |
| (0.0185) | (0.0187) | (0.0190) | (0.0197) | |
| Constant | 0.0664 | 0.0697 | 0.0779 | −0.0536 |
| (0.134) | (0.134) | (0.134) | (0.184) | |
| Observations | 448 | 448 | 434 | 392 |
| Number of groups | 32 | 32 | 31 | 28 |
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VARIABLES | JOURNALS | JOURNALS 1 | JOURNALS 2 | JOURNALS 3 |
| Facebook (%) | −0.000713 | −0.000214 | −0.000486 | −0.00116 * |
| (0.00112) | (0.000916) | (0.000983) | (0.000612) | |
| X (formerly Twitter) (%) | 0.00131 | 0.00243 | 0.00268 | 0.000536 |
| (0.00132) | (0.00138) | (0.00153) | (0.00181) | |
| YouTube (%) | 0.00506 ** | 0.00537 *** | 0.00514 ** | 0.00402 ** |
| (0.00171) | (0.00173) | (0.00179) | (0.00139) | |
| LinkedIn (%) | −0.00407 *** | −0.00401 *** | −0.00390 ** | −0.00506 |
| (0.00111) | (0.00110) | (0.00131) | (0.00352) | |
| Google (%) | −0.0119 | −0.00980 | −0.0287 | −0.0281 * |
| (0.00894) | (0.00875) | (0.0174) | (0.0156) | |
| GDP per capita (log) | 0.142 * | 0.215 ** | 0.230 ** | 0.218 *** |
| (0.0772) | (0.0927) | (0.0926) | (0.0616) | |
| Value added manufacturing industry (% annual growth) | −0.000423 | −0.000899 | −0.00114 | −0.00232 ** |
| (0.00109) | (0.00100) | (0.00103) | (0.000920) | |
| Internet (% of population) | −0.00347 ** | −0.00159 * | −0.00114 | −0.000537 |
| (0.00116) | (0.000829) | (0.000808) | (0.000916) | |
| Government expenditure on education (% GDP) | −0.000713 | −0.00480 | −0.00665 | −0.0540 ** |
| (0.00580) | (0.00594) | (0.00668) | (0.0193) | |
| Ease of doing business (score) | 0.00644 | 0.00970 ** | 0.00802 ** | 0.00736 |
| (0.00666) | (0.00334) | (0.00337) | (0.00508) | |
| Procedures to register start-ups (number) | 0.0230 *** | 0.0166 ** | 0.0169 ** | 0.0203 * |
| (0.00643) | (0.00565) | (0.00610) | (0.0108) | |
| Imports of goods and services (%) | 0.00145 | 0.000820 | ||
| (0.00135) | (0.00108) | |||
| Adult literacy level (%) | −9.94 × 10−5 | −0.000307 | ||
| (0.00269) | (0.00276) | |||
| Number of researchers in R&D (log) | 0.0194 | |||
| (0.0285) | ||||
| Annual urban population growth (%) | 0.0283 | 0.114 ** | ||
| (0.0195) | (0.0451) | |||
| 2010.Year | 0.0893 * | 0.0689 * | 0.0744 * | 0.0912 *** |
| (0.0430) | (0.0387) | (0.0413) | (0.0204) | |
| 2011.Year | 0.167 *** | 0.147 ** | 0.155 ** | 0.177 *** |
| (0.0539) | (0.0497) | (0.0528) | (0.0276) | |
| 2012.Year | 0.274 *** | 0.237 *** | 0.246 *** | 0.295 *** |
| (0.0513) | (0.0474) | (0.0502) | (0.0268) | |
| 2013.Year | 0.380 *** | 0.339 *** | 0.357 *** | 0.405 *** |
| (0.0514) | (0.0477) | (0.0511) | (0.0291) | |
| 2014.Year | 0.525 *** | 0.477 *** | 0.493 *** | 0.548 *** |
| (0.0540) | (0.0505) | (0.0533) | (0.0316) | |
| 2015.Year | 0.632 *** | 0.598 *** | 0.618 *** | 0.666 *** |
| (0.0533) | (0.0479) | (0.0502) | (0.0291) | |
| 2016.Year | 0.743 *** | 0.712 *** | 0.732 *** | 0.766 *** |
| (0.0487) | (0.0414) | (0.0442) | (0.0310) | |
| 2017.Year | 0.830 *** | 0.780 *** | 0.797 *** | 0.843 *** |
| (0.0491) | (0.0420) | (0.0443) | (0.0278) | |
| 2018.Year | 0.862 *** | 0.797 *** | 0.813 *** | 0.855 *** |
| (0.0472) | (0.0417) | (0.0444) | (0.0256) | |
| 2019.Year | 0.967 *** | 0.896 *** | 0.911 *** | 0.978 *** |
| (0.0438) | (0.0350) | (0.0366) | (0.0320) | |
| 2020.Year | 1.136 *** | 1.065 *** | 1.082 *** | 1.145 *** |
| (0.0471) | (0.0400) | (0.0440) | (0.0323) | |
| 2021.Year | 0.649 *** | 0.563 *** | 0.572 *** | 0.640 *** |
| (0.0485) | (0.0453) | (0.0484) | (0.0393) | |
| 2022.Year | 0.659 *** | 0.569 *** | 0.575 *** | 0.627 *** |
| (0.0593) | (0.0582) | (0.0592) | (0.0367) | |
| Constant | 2.982 *** | 2.384 *** | 2.152 *** | 2.394 *** |
| (0.537) | (0.726) | (0.674) | (0.540) | |
| Observations | 616 | 602 | 574 | 420 |
| Number of groups | 44 | 43 | 41 | 30 |
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© 2026 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
Share and Cite
Benjamin, E.O.; Ola, O. Social Media and Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of Innovation: Evidence from Africa. Youth 2026, 6, 30. https://doi.org/10.3390/youth6010030
Benjamin EO, Ola O. Social Media and Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of Innovation: Evidence from Africa. Youth. 2026; 6(1):30. https://doi.org/10.3390/youth6010030
Chicago/Turabian StyleBenjamin, Emmanuel Olatunbosun, and Oreoluwa Ola. 2026. "Social Media and Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of Innovation: Evidence from Africa" Youth 6, no. 1: 30. https://doi.org/10.3390/youth6010030
APA StyleBenjamin, E. O., & Ola, O. (2026). Social Media and Macroeconomic Factors as Drivers of Innovation: Evidence from Africa. Youth, 6(1), 30. https://doi.org/10.3390/youth6010030

