Abstract
This work develops a fractional Lotka–Volterra predator–prey model incorporating a strong Allee effect, nonlinear anthropogenic harvesting, and memory-dependent dynamics through the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional operator. The model describes the interactions between two prey populations and a predator under competition, predation, and nonlinear harvesting. Theoretical analysis establishes the existence and uniqueness, non-negativity, ultimate boundedness, and Ulam–Hyers stability of the solutions. Numerical simulations examine the effects of the fractional order , the characteristic time-scale , the Allee-effect parameters, and harvesting effort. The results show that the fractional order modifies transient population dynamics, while regulates the fractional response through the factor . A systematic analysis of the Allee threshold reveals a sharp numerical persistence and extinction transition for the stronger prey, bracketed within for the prescribed parameter set and initial conditions, while the Allee severity parameter influences its temporal recovery. Increasing harvesting effort suppresses the prey populations and consequently affects the predator through trophic coupling, with fractional memory modifying the transient response. The proposed framework provides a flexible approach for investigating predator–prey dynamics under Allee effects, anthropogenic exploitation, and memory-dependent processes.
Keywords:
fractional calculus; Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo derivative; fractional Lotka–Volterra model; predator–prey dynamics; strong Allee effect; Michaelis–Menten harvesting; memory-dependent dynamics; Ulam–Hyers stability; ecosystem management MSC:
34A08; 34A12; 92D25
1. Introduction
The dynamical interplay between predator and prey has long served as a foundational concept in both theoretical and applied ecology, due to its essential function in modulating population abundances, structuring trophic networks, and upholding ecosystem resilience. In recent decades, the mathematical representation of predator-prey systems has garnered growing scholarly attention, providing a robust quantitative lens through which to interpret complex dynamical features, including local and global stability, cyclical fluctuations, bifurcation phenomena, and population collapse thresholds. The value of such modeling transcends purely theoretical pursuits, offering practical guidance for conserving biological diversity, sustainably managing natural resources, and anticipating ecological outcomes in response to changing environmental conditions.
A substantial body of research has focused on classical predator-prey models incorporating various biological mechanisms. Aguirre et al. [1] proposed an extended predator-prey model that includes an Allee effect on the prey and a ratio-dependent functional response. Their bifurcation analysis and numerical invariant manifold computations revealed the emergence or disappearance of limit cycles, homoclinic, and heteroclinic orbits near a Bogdanov-Takens bifurcation, thereby governing the global phase plane topology. Notably, they defined the Allee threshold as the basin boundary of an attracting positive equilibrium, providing precise conditions under which predator and prey either coexist or undergo mutual extinction.
Building upon such frameworks, subsequent studies have introduced additional ecological realism. Thirthar et al. [2] proposed a mammalian predator-prey model with logistic prey growth, Allee effects, and prey consumption shaped by water and moonlight. Their bifurcation analysis uncovered transcritical bifurcations tied to predator death rate and Hopf bifurcations tied to prey conversion rate. Their findings demonstrate that moonlight boosts hunting efficiency, water availability modulates system behavior, and a moderate Allee effect promotes stability through density-dependent mechanisms, while an excessive Allee effect drives instability and population crashes, with numerical simulations supporting these conclusions.
In addition to demographic and environmental factors, other ecological dimensions such as fear and migration have been extensively investigated. Yaseen et al. [3] studied fear and migration in a predator-prey model with an asymmetric functional response, where prey exhibit density-dependent anti-predator behavior that amplifies the fear effect. Existence conditions for all relevant equilibria were derived, and local and global dynamics were fully characterized. Modulating fear intensity and predator aggregate sensitivity produced diverse dynamical responses, with numerical simulations revealing that trait-mediated effects on prey growth, competition, fear, or death can destabilize the equilibrium, giving rise to periodic attractors.
To capture memory and hereditary dynamics intrinsic to biological systems, fractional calculus has increasingly been utilized to characterize complex predator-prey systems [4,5]. For instance, Lu et al. [6] demonstrated the significant impact of non-integer orders using a two-zone fishery model with Caputo derivatives. Ramesh et al. [7,8] examined fractional predator-prey frameworks incorporating memory, Allee effects, harvesting, and functional responses. Similarly, Kalra et al. [9] and Wang and Han analyzed multi-species food chains and refuge-dependent dynamics, showing how fractional frameworks alter stability and suppress chaos. Furthermore, Kumar et al. [10] utilized Caputo derivatives to highlight how varying fractional orders modify equilibrium stability under fear and predator mortality effects, with additional contributions found in [11,12,13].
Despite the broad application of fractional frameworks, many existing models overlook multi-prey interactions where predator preferences split between distinct biomass streams. A seminal integer-order framework addressing this multi-prey dynamic was established by Jana et al. [14], who investigated a predator–weaker prey–stronger prey model governed by the following system of equations:
where , , and denote the biomass densities of the stronger prey, weaker prey, and predator species, respectively. The biological meanings of the remaining parameters are detailed in Table 1.
Table 1.
Biological interpretation, dimensional units, and references of the FEEM (7) parameters.
Despite its valuable contribution to multi-species dynamics, the model proposed by Jana et al. [14] exhibits several notable limitations. First, it assumes standard logistic growth for both prey populations without incorporating Allee effects, which critically influence population persistence and extinction thresholds at low densities [8]. Second, it neglects harvesting strategies on the prey species, despite harvesting being a vital intervention for population control and commercial management [16,17]. Third, because the model relies on classical integer-order derivatives, it inherently fails to capture memory and hereditary properties. Addressing these limitations through a fractional-order formulation provides a more accurate representation of real-world ecological dynamics, particularly for conservation planning and long-term population forecasting.
To address the aforementioned limitations, the present work extends the model of Jana et al. [14] through several key modifications. First, we incorporate a strong Allee effect term into the growth rate of the stronger prey , where denotes the longevity or persistence threshold of the prey and is an auxiliary parameter [18,19], thereby capturing the reduced per-capita growth rate at low population densities. Second, we introduce a Michaelis–Menten type multi-species harvesting function defined as for , where is the catchability coefficient, is the harvesting effort, and are constants. This harvesting formulation is widely recognized as biologically and economically realistic [15,16,17,20], with the biological significance of and detailed in Section 3 of [16]. Third, we reformulate the extended model using the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional derivative to construct the Fractional Extended Ecological Model (FEEM), which possesses a non-singular and non-local kernel capable of capturing memory effects and hereditary properties that classical integer-order derivatives cannot represent. By coupling these mechanisms within a multi-prey predator–prey framework, the proposed FEEM enables their combined influence on population persistence, anthropogenic exploitation, and memory-dependent dynamics to be examined within a unified system. The resulting numerical analysis identifies model-specific dynamical responses, including an abrupt persistence and extinction transition associated with the Allee threshold and memory-dependent modification of the transient response to harvesting.
The remainder of this article is structured as follows. Section 2 introduces the fundamental concepts of fractional calculus and the Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral operator used in the proposed framework. Section 3 formulates the Fractional Extended Ecological Model (FEEM), incorporating the strong Allee effect, nonlinear Michaelis–Menten-type harvesting, interspecific competition, predator–prey interactions, and memory-dependent dynamics. Section 4 presents the main theoretical results, including the existence and uniqueness of solutions, non-negativity, ultimate boundedness, and Ulam–Hyers stability of the proposed system. Section 5 presents the numerical implementation and sensitivity analyses, examining the effects of the fractional order, the characteristic time-scale, the strong Allee-effect parameters, and anthropogenic harvesting on the temporal dynamics of the three populations. Finally, Section 6 summarizes the main conclusions of the study and outlines future directions of the proposed model.
2. Some Basic Definitions
The present section delineates the requisite mathematical preliminaries, systematically formalizing the fundamental definitions of fractional integrals and derivatives while emphasizing the significance of their associated memory kernels. A comprehensive exposition of the recently introduced Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivatives (ABFD), characterized by their distinctive non-singular and non-local kernel properties, is subsequently provided. These operators serve as the analytical foundation that supports the derivation and proof of the principal findings in the sections that follow.
Definition 1
([21]). Consider . The Riemann–Liouville fractional integral (RLFI) of order ϖ for a function is defined by
where with .
Definition 2
([21]). For any real number ϖ satisfying , the Caputo fractional derivative (CFD) of order ϖ for a function takes the form
whenever , where denotes the ordinary derivative of .
Definition 3
([22,23,24]). Suppose ϖ is a real number confined to the interval . The Caputo-type Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative (ABFD) of order ϖ for a function is given by
wherein represents a scaling (relaxation) parameter. The quantity denotes a normalization function satisfying . Here, signifies the ordinary derivative of , and is the Mittag–Leffler function defined as with denoting the Atangana–Baleanu operator in the Caputo sense.
Remark 1.
It is worth mentioning that at the boundary limits and , the operators recover the traditional base states such that and , respectively. Furthermore, within the Caputo-type Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative (ABFD), the scaling parameter appears inside the Mittag–Leffler kernel . This parameter ensures proper kernel normalization and facilitates a gradual transition of the memory component between short-term and long-term influences. More precisely, acts as a relaxation coefficient: for sufficiently small ϖ, it produces gradual decay (long memory), while as ϖ approaches 1, increases substantially, localizing the kernel near the current state and recovering the ordinary first derivative. Thus, modulates the contribution of past states in a manner consistent with the integral formulation while capturing both Markovian and non-Markovian dynamical behaviors.
Definition 4
([22,23]). The Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral (ABFI) operator, which corresponds to the fractional derivative defined in Definition 3, is formulated as
wherein denotes the normalization mapping that satisfies , and represents the standard Gamma function.
Lemma 1
([22,23,24]). Let ϖ be a real number satisfying , and let . Then, for the Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral (ABFI) operator as defined in Definition 4 and the associated Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative (ABFD) operator as defined in Definition 3, the following relationship holds true:
Lemma 2
([21,22,23]). The Laplace transform associated with the Atangana–Baleanu fractional derivative (ABFD) from Definition 3 satisfies
where denotes the Laplace transform of .
Definition 5
([5,25]). Consider a mapping defined between two normed linear spaces. The mapping is said to be Hyers–Ulam stable if there exists a positive constant such that, for every , any v belonging to the range of , and any satisfying , one can find an element with and .
In the sequel, let where T is a finite positive real number. We consider the Banach space consisting of all continuous real-valued functions defined on , endowed with the norm For the present three-species ecological model, we set and introduce the product Banach space An arbitrary element of is denoted by We equip with the maximum product norm Since is a compact interval and each , every component function is bounded on . Consequently, the supremum norms appearing above are finite. Moreover, is a Banach space under the norm . This functional-analytic framework provides the appropriate setting for the qualitative analysis of the proposed fractional-order ecological model.
3. Model Assumptions and Formulation
In this section, we formulate the proposed fractional Lotka–Volterra-type predator–prey model by extending the integer-order multi-prey framework in (1). The proposed formulation incorporates three additional mechanisms: a strong Allee effect in the stronger prey population, nonlinear harvesting of both prey populations, and memory effects through the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional derivative. These mechanisms are introduced to account, respectively, for low-density limitations on prey persistence, anthropogenic extraction, and the influence of past population states on the present dynamics.
- We incorporate a strong Allee effect into the per-capita growth rate of the stronger prey population through the dimensionless factor where denotes the Allee threshold and is a scaling parameter that determines the shape of the Allee-effect response. Since the ratio must be dimensionless, both and have the same units as the biomass density . In particular, the factor becomes negative when , representing the reduced growth and increased extinction tendency associated with sufficiently low prey density [8].
- We introduce a nonlinear harvesting function for each prey population, defined by where denotes the biomass density of prey , represents the corresponding harvesting effort, and is a harvesting-efficiency coefficient. The positive parameters and determine the relative contributions of harvesting effort and prey biomass to the saturation mechanism. The parameters are assigned appropriate dimensions so that and have the same units, while has the units of a population-rate term. The nonlinear form allows harvesting to increase with prey biomass and harvesting effort while exhibiting saturation effects.
- We reformulate the extended model by employing the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional derivative, represented by the operator . This fractional formulation accounts for nonlocal memory and hereditary effects that cannot be represented by the classical integer-order derivative.
Based on the above modifications, we propose the following Fractional Extended Ecological Model (FEEM):
where serves as a finite characteristic time-scale parameter, while the factor ensures dimensional compatibility between the ecological rate terms and the fractional-order dynamics. The harvesting functions are explicitly given by
The system is supplemented with the nonnegative initial conditions
In contrast to classical integer-order models, which describe population dynamics through instantaneous rates of change, the fractional order introduces a nonlocal temporal dependence that accounts for the influence of past system states. The Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) operator is employed because of its non-singular Mittag–Leffler kernel, which provides a fading-memory representation without the singular kernel associated with conventional power-law fractional derivatives, as illustrated in Figure 1. Consequently, the model incorporates historical effects into the evolution of the interacting populations rather than relying solely on their instantaneous states.
Figure 1.
Comparison of power-law, exponential, and Mittag–Leffler kernels for fractional orders and . Note that the power-law kernel displays normalized intensity using the scaling coefficient to strictly comply with the Riemann–Liouville integral definition. The Mittag–Leffler kernel smoothly interpolates between power-law and exponential decay profiles, making it exceptionally suited for modeling memory-dependent ecological phenomena.
To clarify the ecological terminology and the structural assumptions of the proposed framework, the dynamic roles of the two prey populations and the harvesting mechanisms are briefly specified. Following the foundational multi-prey model [14], the designations stronger prey () and weaker prey () reflect their different predator–prey interaction mechanisms: is considered the principal prey resource and is therefore subjected to the stronger predation mechanism, in addition to interspecific competition with . This ecological setting motivates the incorporation of a strong Allee effect exclusively into the population, representing density-dependent limitations that may become critical when its abundance falls below a persistence threshold. In contrast, is modeled without an Allee effect and serves as an alternative prey population. Thus, the asymmetric treatment of the two prey species is intended to reflect their distinct functional roles and interaction mechanisms within the predator–prey community.
Furthermore, anthropogenic harvesting effort is explicitly incorporated into the dynamics of both prey populations, whereas direct harvesting of the apex predator is omitted. This modeling choice reflects an ecological management framework in which anthropogenic extraction is primarily directed toward lower trophic levels, while direct exploitation of the apex predator is not considered. For , the harvesting rate is described by the nonlinear function which is increasing in both prey biomass and harvesting effort and incorporates diminishing returns through its saturating structure. Larger values of represent greater harvesting efficiency or catchability. The parameter regulates the contribution of harvesting effort to the saturation mechanism; when , the harvesting rate approaches Conversely, when , the harvesting rate approaches and becomes approximately independent of prey biomass. Hence, the relative magnitudes of and determine the transition between the two limiting harvesting regimes, providing a flexible framework for examining the effects of nonlinear resource extraction and its potential cascading consequences across trophic levels [16,17].
The proposed FEEM therefore retains the fundamental ecological structure of the multi-prey predator–prey framework of Jana et al. [14], while extending it through the incorporation of a strong Allee effect, nonlinear harvesting, and fractional memory. These extensions introduce additional factors that may influence population persistence and dynamical behavior, particularly the Allee threshold , harvesting efforts and , and the fractional parameters and . Unlike the model of Singh and Malik [15], which considers a two-species Leslie–Gower predator–prey system with Michaelis–Menten prey harvesting and a discrete-time formulation, the present model considers two prey populations and one predator within a continuous-time fractional framework and incorporates a strong Allee effect and harvesting of both prey populations. The qualitative implications of these extensions and their differences from the results reported in [14,15] are examined in the subsequent analysis.
4. Qualitative Analysis of the FEEM
This section investigates the principal qualitative properties of the proposed FEEM (7). First, we establish the existence and uniqueness of solutions by converting the fractional system into an equivalent Volterra-type integral formulation and verifying suitable Lipschitz conditions. We then establish the non-negativity of the population variables, thereby ensuring the biological feasibility of the model. Subsequently, we derive an ultimate boundedness result to demonstrate the dissipative behavior of the system. Finally, we establish Ulam–Hyers stability, thereby quantifying the robustness of the model with respect to admissible perturbations. These qualitative results provide the mathematical foundation for the numerical simulations presented in the subsequent sections, where the effects of the fractional order, Allee threshold, and nonlinear harvesting mechanisms on the predator–prey dynamics are explored.
4.1. Existence and Uniqueness via the Volterra Integral Formulation
We establish the existence and uniqueness of solutions for the proposed FEEM (7) on a finite time interval , where . The analysis is based on the integral representation associated with the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo operator. By applying the corresponding Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral, the fractional differential system is transformed into an equivalent Volterra-type integral system. We then establish a Lipschitz estimate for the nonlinear operator in the maximum product norm, by estimating its components separately, taking into account the strong Allee effect, predator–prey interactions, interspecific competition, and nonlinear harvesting terms. These estimates will be used to derive the contraction condition required to establish the existence and uniqueness of the solution on . Applying the Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral operator to the FEEM (7) and using the corresponding initial conditions yields the following equivalent integral representation:
Define the nonlinear component operators , , by the nonlinear right-hand sides of the three equations in (7). For , we have where
Using the definition of the Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral, the integral representation (9) can be written explicitly as the following Volterra-type integral system:
Since the nonlinear functions in (10) are continuously differentiable on their admissible domain, they are locally Lipschitz continuous. In particular, on any prescribed closed and bounded rectangular set containing the initial data, the corresponding partial derivatives are bounded, and hence explicit Lipschitz constants can be obtained. More precisely, let be a prescribed closed and bounded rectangular subset of containing the initial state and assume that belong to . Then
where component bounds are given by
Theorem 1.
Proof.
For , we construct the sequence using the recursive formula derived from (11):
where and the initial baseline approximation is given by Let denote the difference between two consecutive iterates. Equivalently, Using (14), for we obtain
Taking the absolute value and applying the triangle inequality, we have
Using the Lipschitz condition (12) with and , we obtain
Since , the preceding inequality becomes
Taking the supremum over and using we obtain
Define Since , we have where Consequently, taking the maximum over gives
By induction, it follows that
For any integer and , we consider the difference between two successive approximations separated by iterations. By the triangle inequality,
Since by hypothesis, the right-hand side tends to zero as . Hence, is a Cauchy sequence in the complete Banach space . Therefore, there exists such that uniformly on . Since the operators are continuous on the prescribed domain and the sequence converges uniformly, we may pass to the limit in (14). Thus,
for . Hence, satisfies the integral system (11). By the equivalence between (11) and the FEEM (7), is a solution of the model. It remains to establish uniqueness. Suppose that and are two solutions of (7). Subtracting their corresponding integral equations and applying the same Lipschitz estimate as above gives
Consequently, Since , we have , and therefore Thus, which proves uniqueness. Hence, the FEEM (7) admits a unique solution on . □
4.2. Forward Invariance and Non-Negativity of Solutions
This subsection establishes the non-negativity of the state trajectories, which is a prerequisite for the ecological validity of the FEEM. Since the state variables , , represent physical biomass densities, negative values are biologically inadmissible. We therefore show that the non-negative orthant
is a forward-invariant region for the FEEM. Consequently, solutions starting from non-negative initial data remain in the biologically meaningful state space throughout their evolution.
Lemma 3.
Proof.
We prove that the non-negative orthant is forward invariant on . Suppose, to the contrary, that a solution starting from leaves the non-negative orthant at some time in . Since the solution components are continuous, there exists a first time at which at least one component reaches the boundary of and attempts to cross into the negative region, while all components remain non-negative on .
The argument is based on the fractional minimum principle for fractional differential equations involving Mittag–Leffler-type kernels; see Al-Refai [26]. At the first boundary contact, the component that reaches zero attains a non-positive minimum. The fractional minimum principle then implies that, under a genuine attempted crossing into the negative region, the corresponding Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo derivative must be strictly negative.
We first consider the boundary . Since , every term in the first component of the nonlinear operator contains either the factor or the harvesting term . Moreover, because , Consequently, Hence, by the first equation of (7), This contradicts the strict inequality furnished by the fractional minimum principle at a first boundary crossing.
Next, suppose that Since , every term in the second component of the nonlinear operator contains the factor or the harvesting term . Because , Therefore, and the second equation of (7) gives again contradicting the fractional minimum principle.
Finally, suppose that Since , every term in the third component of the nonlinear operator contains the factor . Hence, and therefore, from the third equation of (7), This again contradicts the fractional minimum principle at a first boundary crossing.
Thus, none of the three components can cross any coordinate boundary from the non-negative region into the negative region. Therefore, Consequently, and hence is a forward-invariant region for the FEEM. This completes the proof. □
Remark 2.
The non-negativity result allows zero initial biomass, but the structure of the FEEM implies that a population initially absent cannot be generated spontaneously by the model. Indeed, if for some , then because all terms in the respective component contain or the corresponding harvesting term , with . Thus, under the uniqueness established in Theorem (1), the corresponding coordinate hyperplanes are invariant. In particular, for Hence, a population that is initially absent remains absent, and the corresponding lower-dimensional subsystem describes the resulting ecological dynamics. For the full three-species FEEM considered in the subsequent analysis and numerical simulations, we therefore take for while retaining the more general non-negative conditions () in the mathematical formulation of the model.
4.3. Boundedness of Solutions in the FEEM
For continuous-time ecological models, confirming the boundedness of solutions is essential to verify both mathematical integrity and biological plausibility. Whereas positivity prevents population densities from assuming physically inadmissible negative values, boundedness ensures that no state variable exhibits unbounded growth, which would be inconsistent with ecological reality. Ecosystems are inherently constrained by limited resources, carrying capacities, and competitive interactions. By demonstrating that the total weighted biomass of the fractional-order system remains bounded within a compact region, we confirm that the model respects these environmental limitations and precludes unphysical population divergence driven by the non-local memory dynamics.
Lemma 4.
Proof.
Let us define the total weighted environmental biomass function
By the linearity of the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo derivative,
Substituting the three equations of the FEEM (7) into (26), then cancel the predator–prey interaction terms gives
To justify the upper estimate for the strong Allee-effect growth term, observe that, for ,
Therefore,
where
Moreover, because and the harvesting parameters are positive, the harvesting functions satisfy for all . By the previously established non-negativity of the population trajectories, we have Consequently, and Combining these estimates with (28), we obtain the following fractional differential inequality:
Adding to both sides of (30) gives
The quadratic expressions on the right-hand side attain their maximum values for at respectively. Hence,
and
Therefore, define
It follows from (31) that
Applying the Laplace transform to (33), then setting gives
Consequently,
Define
and
Using the inverse Laplace transform of (35) yields
Furthermore, Thus, the bound is uniformly finite on every finite interval . Moreover [21], since we obtain
Hence, the total weighted biomass remains globally bounded and is ultimately confined by the threshold . In particular, each population component is bounded because
Therefore, all solutions of the FEEM remain bounded on , and the system is dissipative. This completes the proof. □
Remark 3.
The weighted biomass functional provides a convenient aggregate measure of the total ecological biomass in the FEEM. The threshold represents an explicit long-term upper bound determined by the intrinsic growth parameters, the carrying capacities, the strength of the Allee effect, the biomass conversion coefficients, and the predator mortality rate. Moreover, the characteristic time-scale factor enters the transient fractional dynamics and, consequently, affects the decay parameter appearing in the Mittag–Leffler term of the explicit estimate. Thus, the parameter τ influences the transient rate at which the weighted biomass approaches its asymptotic bound. In contrast, the ultimate threshold does not explicitly depend on the scaling factor . Therefore, the characteristic time-scale modifies the transient behavior of the fractional system without changing the resulting long-term upper threshold for the total weighted biomass.
4.4. Ulam–Hyers Stability Analysis of the FEEM
This subsection investigates the Ulam–Hyers (UH) stability of the FEEM presented in (7), in accordance with Definition 5. A thorough examination of UH stability is important for assessing the robustness of the proposed model, as it ensures that small perturbations, such as those arising from observational errors, measurement uncertainties, or parameter fluctuations, result in only controlled deviations of the corresponding state trajectories. This property is particularly relevant in ecological applications, where population data are often subject to measurement variability and uncertainty. Moreover, establishing UH stability provides a theoretical guarantee that approximate trajectories remain close to the corresponding exact solutions, thereby supporting the reliability of the model’s analytical and numerical results and its ability to preserve the memory-dependent behavior induced by the fractional-order formulation. The following theorem establishes a sufficient condition under which the FEEM (7) satisfies Ulam–Hyers stability in the sense of Definition 5.
Theorem 2.
Proof.
Let be an approximate solution satisfying (40). Define the perturbation functions by
Applying the Atangana–Baleanu fractional integral operator to (42) and using the same inversion formula as in the existence theorem, we obtain
On the other hand, the exact solution satisfies the Volterra integral representation (11):
Since the exact and approximate solutions have identical initial conditions, subtracting (44) from (43) gives
Taking absolute values and applying the triangle inequality, we obtain
Applying the Lipschitz condition (12), and using yields
Since it follows that
Taking the supremum over and the maximum over , and using , we obtain
By definition we have Hence, (49) becomes
Dividing by yields
Thus,
where is given by (41). Since is finite and independent of , the FEEM (7) satisfies the required Ulam–Hyers stability estimate. Hence, the FEEM is Ulam–Hyers stable on . □
Remark 4.
The Ulam–Hyers stability multiplier, given explicitly by provides an explicit bound on the propagation of perturbations and depends on the fractional parameterization , the scaling factor , the finite time horizon T, and the maximum Lipschitz constant Moreover, in the integer-order limit , the scaling factor satisfies while, under the standard normalization , the coefficient of the non-integral Atangana–Baleanu contribution satisfies At the same time, so that the fractional integral formulation approaches the corresponding classical Volterra integral formulation. Thus, the associated stability estimate is consistent with the classical local integer-order structure in the limit .
5. Numerical Scheme for the FEEM and Analysis of Results
In this section, we present a numerical scheme for approximating the temporal dynamics of the proposed FEEM (7). Since the model is formulated in terms of the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional derivative, the resulting dynamics incorporate a non-local memory effect through the non-singular Mittag–Leffler kernel. To accurately account for this memory contribution, we employ a fractional two-step Adams–Bashforth quadrature method based on a piecewise linear interpolation of the nonlinear interaction terms [27]. The numerical formulation is constructed directly from the Volterra-type integral representation (11), thereby preserving the characteristic fractional scaling factor appearing in the original FEEM.
Let the finite time interval be divided into N uniform subintervals of length We denote by the numerical approximation of the ith population component at the grid point . We further introduce and define where the nonlinear operators are given by (10). Starting from the equivalent Volterra formulation (11), evaluated at , we obtain
Splitting the memory integral over the individual subintervals gives
To obtain an explicit numerical procedure, the nonlinear term in the non-integral contribution is approximated by the currently available value, For the memory integral, we employ a piecewise linear interpolation of on each interval using the two consecutive nodal values and . Thus, for ,
The resulting quadrature formula leads to the following explicit two-step fractional Adams–Bashforth scheme:
for . Here, the memory coefficients are given by
The first-step formula in (54) is obtained by approximating the nonlinear term on the first interval by its initial value . For subsequent time levels, the linear interpolation between consecutive values and provides the two-step approximation of the memory integral. Hence, the entire history of the nonlinear interaction terms contributes to the numerical value at , which is consistent with the non-local character of the ABC fractional operator. For the normalization function, we adopt so that This choice is consistent with the normalization convention used in the fractional formulation and ensures the appropriate classical normalization in the integer-order limit .
5.1. Numerical Convergence and Accuracy Verification
To assess the numerical accuracy of the numerical scheme given in (54), a convergence test was performed before carrying out the subsequent numerical experiments. The baseline parameter values used throughout the numerical analysis are listed in Table 2.
Table 2.
Baseline parameter values used in the numerical simulations.
For the convergence test, the fractional order and characteristic time scale were fixed at with the initial conditions , and . The computations were carried out over the interval .
Since an exact analytical solution of the FEEM (7) is not available, a numerical solution computed with the finer time step was used as the reference solution. The numerical solutions were then computed using For each time step , the componentwise maximum absolute error was defined as
where and denotes the corresponding component of the reference numerical solution evaluated at the common time points . The corresponding componentwise maximum relative error was calculated as
where , and The overall maximum error was defined by
The observed convergence rate between two successive time steps was estimated according to
Table 3 reports the resulting errors and observed convergence rates.
Table 3.
Numerical convergence test for the scheme given in (54) with and .
The results show a systematic reduction in the numerical error as the time step is refined. In particular, the overall maximum error decreases from for to for . The corresponding observed convergence rates are , , , and . These results demonstrate a clear convergence trend under successive time-step refinement.
For an additional assessment of the accuracy at the time step used in the subsequent numerical simulations, the componentwise maximum relative errors were found to be approximately , , and for , , and , respectively. Thus, the maximum absolute discrepancies between the numerical and reference solutions, relative to the maximum magnitude of each corresponding reference component, remain below for all three population variables. Together with the systematic error reduction observed under time-step refinement, these results support the numerical reliability of the time step used in the subsequent simulations.
5.2. Numerical Verification of Analytical Properties
To verify the main analytical properties established in Section 4, numerical simulations are performed over a time horizon of with the time step using the baseline fractional order , the characteristic time-scale , and the initial population biomasses , , and . The complete baseline parameter values and numerical settings are summarized in Table 2. The corresponding numerical results are presented in Figure 2. Figure 2a shows that all population trajectories remain strictly positive, supporting the non-negativity result of Lemma 3. Figure 2b demonstrates boundedness, with the weighted biomass remaining below the analytical threshold , consistent with Lemma 4. Figure 2c illustrates the response to a perturbation, with the resulting errors remaining uniformly bounded, providing numerical evidence consistent with the Ulam–Hyers stability estimate in Theorem 2. Finally, Figure 2d shows the trajectories corresponding to five different initial configurations, which converge toward the same stable coexistence state, providing numerical evidence of the observed asymptotic convergence.
Figure 2.
Numerical verification of the fundamental analytical properties of the FEEM (7) over a time horizon .
5.3. Numerical Assessment of Fractional-Order Effects
To assess the influence of the fractional order on the transient dynamics of the FEEM (7), numerical simulations are performed for , while all biological parameters, the initial conditions, the characteristic time-scale , and the numerical step size are kept unchanged as previously defined. The classical case is included as a reference for comparison with the fractional-order formulations.
Figure 3a shows that the stronger prey exhibits a rapid increase for all tested fractional orders and subsequently approaches a nearly common long-term level. The main effect of decreasing is observed in the transient regime: the classical case produces the fastest initial growth and the largest transient overshoot, whereas smaller fractional orders lead to a smoother and more gradual approach to the long-term state.
Figure 3.
Numerical assessment of the fractional-order effects in the FEEM (7) for over a time horizon .
A more pronounced fractional-order dependence is observed for the weak prey in Figure 3b. For , the population reaches the highest initial peak, followed by a pronounced decline before recovering toward its long-term level. As decreases, both the initial peak and the depth of the subsequent decline are progressively reduced. Thus, the fractional formulation modifies the amplitude and damping of the transient response while the trajectories remain bounded and approach a similar long-term population level.
The predator population , shown in Figure 3c, exhibits a comparable dependence on the fractional order. The classical case produces the largest initial peak and the strongest subsequent oscillatory excursion, whereas decreasing progressively smooths these transient fluctuations. Nevertheless, all trajectories eventually approach a closely similar long-term level.
The corresponding three-dimensional phase portraits in Figure 3d further illustrate the effect of the fractional order on the transient geometry of the system. The trajectories form transient excursions in the state space and subsequently contract toward a common terminal region. The classical trajectory () exhibits the largest excursion, while decreasing the fractional order progressively reduces the size of the transient orbit. These results indicate that the fractional order primarily controls the strength and duration of transient population fluctuations, reflecting the influence of hereditary memory, whereas the long-term population levels remain relatively insensitive to the tested fractional orders.
5.4. Numerical Assessment of the Characteristic Time-Scale
To assess the influence of the characteristic time-scale on the transient dynamics of the FEEM (7), numerical simulations are performed for while keeping the fractional order fixed at . All biological parameters, numerical settings, and initial conditions are kept unchanged. The effect of is therefore examined independently through the scaling factor .
Figure 4 illustrates the resulting population dynamics. For the strong prey (Figure 4a), the trajectories corresponding to the four characteristic time-scales remain close to one another. The population increases from its initial value and approaches a nearly steady level of approximately 110–120, with only minor differences in the transient evolution. This indicates that variations in have a relatively weak effect on the long-term dynamics of the strong prey.
Figure 4.
Numerical assessment of the characteristic time-scale for with fixed fractional order over .
For the weak prey (Figure 4b), the influence of is more apparent during the transient phase. The population initially increases to approximately 25–30, subsequently decreases to a lower level, and then gradually recovers toward a nearly steady value around 7–8. The different values of produce small shifts in the transient trajectory and in the timing of these changes, while the eventual behavior remains similar.
The predator population exhibits a comparable response (Figure 4c). The trajectories initially increase to approximately 18, followed by a decline toward a level near 13–14, after which the solutions approach a nearly steady state. The differences between the characteristic time-scales are mainly observed during the transient stage rather than in the asymptotic behavior.
The corresponding three-dimensional phase portrait is presented in Figure 4d. The trajectories associated with the different values of remain close and approach the same region of the phase space. Thus, within the considered parameter regime, the characteristic time-scale primarily modifies the transient pathway of the ecological system, whereas its long-term dynamical behavior remains essentially unchanged. This observation is consistent with the role of as a scaling factor in the fractional formulation.
5.5. Numerical Sensitivity Analysis of the Strong Allee Effect
To assess the influence of the strong Allee effect on the dynamics of the FEEM (7), numerical simulations are performed by varying the parameters and appearing in the Allee-modified growth term of the stronger prey population . All remaining biological parameters and numerical settings are kept at their baseline values, with fractional order , characteristic time-scale , and initial conditions , and .
Figure 5 illustrates the resulting sensitivity of the stronger prey population to the two Allee-effect parameters. For the Allee-threshold parameter (Figure 5a), the trajectories corresponding to and persist and approach a nearly steady level of approximately . In contrast, for , the population rapidly declines toward zero. This pronounced difference indicates that plays a dominant role in determining whether the stronger prey persists or becomes extinct under the considered parameter regime.
Figure 5.
Numerical sensitivity analysis of the strong Allee effect on the stronger prey population for fixed fractional order , characteristic time-scale , and initial conditions , , and .
For the auxiliary Allee parameter (Figure 5b), the trajectories corresponding to remain close and converge toward nearly the same long-term population level. Thus, within the investigated range, variations in have a considerably weaker effect on the dynamics of than variations in . This behavior is consistent with the structure of the Allee correction where determines the zero of the Allee factor, whereas primarily modifies its density-dependent scaling.
To identify the persistence and extinction transition associated with more systematically, is subsequently varied over the interval , while is held fixed. For each value of , the long-term response of the stronger prey is characterized by the mean population over the final of the simulation interval, where denotes the set of time indices corresponding to the final of the simulation. Numerical extinction is classified according to the criterion A coarse sweep with increment is first employed to locate the transition region, followed by a refined sweep with increment .
The resulting – relationship is presented in Figure 5c. The long-term stronger prey population remains on a high-persistence branch over most of the investigated range and then undergoes an abrupt collapse within a narrow interval of . The inset provides an enlarged view of this transition region. The refined computation identifies as the last tested value for which the stronger prey persists, whereas is the first tested value satisfying the numerical extinction criterion. Accordingly, for the selected parameter set, initial conditions, simulation horizon, and extinction criterion, the numerical persistence and extinction transition is bracketed by
The sharp transition observed in Figure 5c is further examined through the fine-resolution time-domain trajectories shown in Figure 5d. For
the trajectories exhibit two distinctly different long-term outcomes. For , , , and , the stronger prey initially undergoes a transient response and subsequently recovers toward the persistent state near . In contrast, for and , the population decreases to zero after a short transient. These trajectories therefore corroborate the transition identified from the systematic – analysis.
Overall, the numerical results demonstrate a markedly stronger sensitivity of the stronger prey dynamics to than to . In particular, under the prescribed initial condition and the selected baseline parameter set, a small increase in across the narrow interval between and changes the long-term outcome from persistence to numerical extinction. The reported interval should therefore be interpreted as a numerical persistence and extinction transition for the specified simulation conditions.
5.6. Sensitivity Analysis of Anthropogenic Harvesting
To assess the temporal response of the FEEM to anthropogenic exploitation, we consider three representative harvesting effort levels, , with the same baseline parameter values adopted in the preceding numerical experiments. The harvesting effort is applied equally to both prey populations, i.e., . The fractional-order model with is compared with the corresponding classical integer-order model obtained by setting , while the characteristic time-scale parameter is kept fixed at .
Figure 6 summarizes the responses of the three populations under the selected harvesting intensities. For the strong prey , increasing the harvesting effort produces a clear reduction in population density and modifies its temporal trajectory. The comparison between and indicates that the fractional model exhibits a different temporal response due to the incorporation of memory effects. Thus, the harvesting impact is not determined solely by the instantaneous removal term, but is also influenced by the memory-dependent dynamics of the system.
Figure 6.
Temporal responses of the strong prey , weak prey , and predator under selected harvesting efforts , comparing the fractional-order model () with the classical integer-order model ().
A similar response is observed for the weak prey . As the harvesting effort increases, the population is increasingly suppressed. The difference between the fractional and classical trajectories becomes evident in their transient behavior, reflecting the fact that the fractional formulation retains information from the previous states of the population. Consequently, the response to harvesting is distributed over the temporal history of the system rather than being determined exclusively by its instantaneous state.
The predator population exhibits an indirect response to harvesting. Since harvesting is applied directly to the prey populations, its effect on the predator is transmitted through the trophic interactions. Increasing E reduces the availability of prey and consequently alters the temporal dynamics of the predator population. The comparison between and further demonstrates that the memory effect influences this bottom-up response, although the magnitude of the predator response depends on the strength of the prey–predator interactions.
6. Conclusions and Future Work
In this study, we developed and analyzed a fractional Lotka–Volterra predator–prey model incorporating a strong Allee effect, nonlinear anthropogenic harvesting, and memory-dependent dynamics through the Atangana–Baleanu–Caputo (ABC) fractional operator. The theoretical analysis established the existence and uniqueness, non-negativity, ultimate boundedness, and Ulam–Hyers stability of the system under the stated assumptions. Numerical investigations showed that the fractional order modifies the temporal dynamics of the interacting populations, highlighting the influence of memory, while the characteristic time-scale regulates the fractional response through the factor .
The sensitivity analysis of the strong Allee effect showed that the threshold parameter plays a critical role in the persistence of the stronger prey. For the prescribed initial conditions , , and and the selected parameter set, the systematic – analysis identified as the last persistent tested value and as the first numerically extinct tested value, bracketing the numerical persistence and extinction transition within . In contrast, variations in the auxiliary Allee parameter produced a substantially less pronounced effect over the investigated range.
The harvesting simulations further showed that increasing anthropogenic exploitation modifies the dynamics of both prey populations and consequently affects the predator through trophic interactions, while fractional memory alters the temporal response to harvesting. Overall, the results demonstrate the importance of Allee effects, harvesting pressure, and fractional memory in shaping the dynamics of the proposed predator–prey system. Future work will investigate the effects of and on equilibrium stability and conduct a systematic bifurcation analysis to identify critical parameter values and transitions between different dynamical regimes.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Methodology, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Software, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Validation, M.I.Y.; Formal analysis, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Writing original draft, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Writing, review and editing, M.I.Y. and M.D.; Supervision, M.I.Y.; Funding acquisition, M.I.Y. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This work was funded by the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research at Jouf University under grant No. DGSSR-2024-02-02093.
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Acknowledgments
The authors gratefully acknowledge the reviewers for the constructive comments and valuable suggestions that helped improve the quality and clarity of this manuscript. The authors also acknowledge the financial support provided by the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research at Jouf University under grant number DGSSR-2024-02-02093.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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