Abstract
This paper introduces a q-deformed extension of the Lindley distribution. This extension is obtained by replacing the classical exponential with the q-exponential function from Tsallis non-extensive statistical techniques. This transformation offers more control over the tail behavior of the distribution, providing a transition between exponential and power-law decay patterns. Such flexibility is particularly useful when modeling right-skewed data with excess kurtosis, where classical models may not adequately describe heavy-tailed and highly skewed data. We derive several key properties, including the quantile function, expressed by the Lambert–Tsallis function Wq, the raw and incomplete moments, the probability-weighted moments, and the Tsallis entropy. The distribution of order statistics is also investigated. For parameter estimation, we employ several frequentist methods and conduct extensive Monte Carlo simulation studies to assess and compare their performance. Finally, applications to real-world datasets show that the q-deformed Lindley model is practically superior and more flexible than the classical Lindley distribution and other well-known models.
Keywords:
q-deformed Lindley distribution; q-exponential distribution; Lambert–Tsallis Wq; Tsallis statistics; heavy-tailed data; right-skewed data MSC:
60E05; 62F15; 62F10; 62N01; 62N02; 62N05
1. Introduction
Lifetime distributions are essential in reliability engineering, survival analysis, actuarial science, and many other applied fields, where it is important to achieve an appropriate balance between modeling flexibility and analytical tractability. Among classical one-parameter lifetime models, the Lindley distribution, originally introduced by Lindley [1], has attracted considerable attention from researchers and practitioners due to its ability to provide a better fit for lifetime data than the exponential distribution in many practical situations. Moreover, its simple analytical structure and the availability of closed-form expressions for several statistical properties further enhance its usefulness. These characteristics have facilitated both theoretical developments and practical applications; see, for example, ref. [2]. The probability density function (PDF) and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the Lindley distribution are
and
respectively. Several extensions of the Lindley distribution have been proposed and studied in the literature. Early contributions include the generalized Lindley distribution [3,4], the extended Lindley distribution and its zero-truncated version [5]. Additional shape flexibility was introduced through the two-parameter weighted Lindley distribution [6] and the power Lindley distribution [7]. Several further modifications have also been proposed, including the quasi-Lindley distribution [8], transmuted Lindley distribution [9], alpha-power transformed Lindley distribution [10], the new weighted Lindley distribution [11], the Lindley distribution with a location parameter [12], the modified Lindley distribution [13], the Rayleigh–Lindley distribution [14], and the Lindley-exponential distribution [15]. The Lindley family of distributions was proposed by [16]. Authors also proposed the odd Lindley-G family of distributions [17] and its special case, the two-parameter odd Lindley Weibull distribution [18]. More recent contributions include the compound exponentiated power Lindley power series distribution [19]. The q-Lindley distribution was proposed as a one-parameter lifetime model constructed within the exponential family [20]. The Lindley q-distribution was proposed by [21] as a q-analogue of the Lindley model within the framework of the Jackson q-calculus, focusing on the q-theoretic characteristics. In addition to these models, numerous other Lindley-type distributions have been proposed in the literature.
On the other hand, extensions of the classical exponential and logarithmic functions arise from the framework of non-extensive statistical mechanics introduced by Tsallis [22], where the classical Boltzmann–Gibbs entropy is generalized into a non-extensive entropy measure indexed by a deformation parameter q. The q-exponential and q-logarithmic functions are defined as
As , these expressions recover the standard natural logarithm and exponential functions.
Recently, several q-deformation statistical distributions have been developed using the pathway model proposed by [23]. In particular, the pathway formulation reduces to the Tsallis-type q-exponential as a special case and provides a framework for constructing probability models derived from non-extensive entropy principles [24]. Within this context, a broad class of q-deformed distributions has been proposed, including the q-exponential and q-Weibull distributions [25,26], the q-logistic family [27], the q-Gaussian distribution [28], the q-extended inverse Gaussian distribution [29], the q-Nakagami distribution [30], the q-Pareto distribution [31], as well as q-generalized extreme value and q-Gumbel distributions [32,33]. Recent developments also include Tsallis log-scale-location models [34], which facilitate the study of moments, stochastic ordering, and the Gini index within a deformed context.
Although the Lindley distribution is valued for its simplicity and reliability in lifetime data analysis, its fixed exponential component may restrict its ability to capture diverse tail behaviors and varying distributional shapes observed in complex real-world phenomena. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a q-deformed extension of the Lindley distribution by replacing the exponential term in the classical density with the q-exponential function . Although several analytical steps rely on known properties of the q-exponential function, the contribution of this work lies in showing how these tools lead to a tractable and practically useful q-deformed extension of the Lindley distribution, together with its inferential development and empirical validation. This formulation offers more flexibility while maintaining mathematical tractability. The proposed model preserves the classical Lindley distribution as a limiting case when , while introducing an additional deformation parameter that allows enhanced control over the behavior of the tail and the support properties.
The main contributions of this paper are as follows: In Section 2, the q-deformed Lindley distribution is proposed. Section 3 investigates several properties of the proposed distribution. In Section 4, statistical inference for the q-deformed Lindley distribution is developed. Monte Carlo simulation studies are carried out in Section 5 to assess the performance of the proposed estimators under different parameter configurations. Section 6 presents applications to real datasets to demonstrate the practical usefulness of the proposed distribution and to compare its performance with several well-known lifetime models.
2. The q-Deformed Lindley Distribution
The q-deformed Lindley (qDL) distribution is obtained by replacing the exponential term in the Lindley distribution with the q-exponential function
where and . This modification introduces an additional parameter q that directly affects the tail behavior and distribution support, allowing for greater flexibility in modeling skewed and heavy-tailed data. The following proposition provides the explicit form of the PDF of the qDL distribution.
Proposition 1.
The probability density function of the q-deformed Lindley is given by
with support
Proof.
The PDF of the qDL distribution is obtained by replacing the exponential term in the Lindley distribution (1) with the q-exponential function (3). This yields the kernel
where is a normalizing constant
To evaluate , Lemma 1 of Zhang et al. [35] is useful, since it generalizes the gamma and incomplete gamma integrals for the q-exponential function:
where, . Applying this with and , we obtain
and therefore
Zhang et al. [35] present the condition for convergence of these integrals. Although this is sufficient for formal derivations, a sharper restriction is obtained from the asymptotic behavior of the q-exponential. For ,
which implies
The integral converges only if , i.e.,
In particular, for , convergence requires , while for , convergence requires . Therefore, the qDL distribution is well defined for (bounded support with ) and for (infinite support on ). For , the normalizing constant diverges, and the distribution is not defined. □
The PDF of the qDL distribution is presented in Figure 1 for selected values of and q. The distribution is right-skewed, and the parameter q controls the degree of skewness and tail thickness. For , the support is unbounded and the PDF exhibits heavy, power-law tail behavior, and increasing q leads to heavier right tails. In contrast, when , the support becomes finite, and the PDF drops sharply to zero at the upper bound. As , we recover the standard Lindley distribution. The CDF corresponding to (4) is formally established in the following proposition.
Figure 1.
PDF of the qDL distribution for selected values of and q.
Proposition 2.
The cumulative distribution function of the q-deformed Lindley distribution is given by
with support
Proof.
By definition, the CDF of the qDL distribution is given by
Using Lemma 1 of Zhang et al. [35], we have
Applying this result to and , we obtain
In a simpler form, the CDF for the qDL distribution is given by (6). □
It is straightforward to verify that and as (for ) or (for ). The cumulative distribution function has been plotted for several choices of the parameters and q in the admissible ranges and ; see Figure 2. Since the support of the distribution depends on q, separate plots are produced for the bounded-support case and the unbounded-support case . The plots confirm that the CDF is increasing monotonically from 0 to 1, and illustrate the effect of the parameters on the rate of accumulation of the probability mass.
Figure 2.
CDF of the qDL distribution for selected values of and q.
The Hazard rate function of the qDL distribution is given by
with support
Figure 3 shows that the hazard rate of the qDL distribution can be increasing or unimodal.
Figure 3.
Hazard rate function of the qDL distribution for selected values of and q.
To clarify the identifiability of the parameters, consider two pairs of parameters and such that In the bounded-support case (), the support endpoint is uniquely determined by . Hence, equality of the supports implies Additionally, the exponent governing the decay near the boundary uniquely determines q, which in turn identifies through the endpoint relation.
In the unbounded-support case (), the tail behavior satisfies so the tail index uniquely determines q. Once q is fixed, the scale parameter can be identified from the normalization constant or from the hazard rate expression.
Therefore, the parameter pair is structurally identifiable over the admissible parameter space. However, when , the model approaches the classical Lindley distribution, and the influence of q diminishes, leading to weaker practical identifiability and potential instability in estimation.
3. Properties
3.1. Quantile Function
The quantile function of the qDL distribution can be obtained via Lambert–Tsallis function introduced by [36] as a q-generalization of the Lambert W function to solve the equation .
Theorem 1.
For , the quantile function, , of the qDL distribution is defined by
where , , and denote the Lambert–Tsallis function. To obtain , use the real lower branch of .
Proof.
Divide by and use the -subtraction identity
where ; we obtain:
Divide both sides by and the last equation becomes
By the definition of the Lambert–Tsallis function
After some algebra, we obtain the quantile function of the qDL distribution as
□
For the evaluation of we use Halley’s iteration for the root of :
with .
3.2. Moments
The rth moment of the qDL distribution is
where
Applying Lemma 1 of Zhang et al. [35], using (5) with and , the rth moment of the qDL distribution can be expressed as
As discussed in Proposition 1, the integral converges only if . For , the support is bounded, so all moments exist. For , the support is unbounded, and convergence requires . In the present case, the moment expression involves terms with and , so the most restrictive condition is obtained from . Thus, the necessary condition for the existence of the rth moment of the qDL distribution is the following.
The first four moments and their associated existence conditions are obtained by setting and 4 in (11) and (12), respectively.
As , the above moments reduce to the corresponding moments of the classical Lindley distribution.
3.3. Incomplete Moments
Incomplete moments of a random variable X are given by . They naturally appear in the formulation of several statistical measures that have wide-ranging practical applications. Such measures include the mean deviations about the mean and median, the mean residual life, the mean inactivity time, and indices like the Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, among others. A detailed discussion of these measures can be found in [38]. The rth incomplete moments for a qDL distributed random variable can be expressed as
where
Let , which implies , and consequently, the limits transform as . Therefore,
where denotes the incomplete beta function.
Using the standard identity: we have
and
3.4. Probability-Weighted Moments
The probability-weighted moments (PWMs) provide a flexible alternative to conventional moments and are particularly useful for deriving L-moments and parameter estimation. The PWMs arise naturally when dealing with raw moments of order statistics. For nonnegative integers , the PWM of order is defined by
where and denote the PDF and CDF of the qDL distribution and
Using binomial expansion to expand , we obtain
Applying the binomial theorem again, we obtain
Hence,
Now let Using the identity = and applying (5) with and , we obtain
This integrand converges whenever since the integrand involves the terms and , and the most restrictive case occurs for .
The PWM of the qDL distribution is
A sufficient condition for the existence of is
3.5. Order Statistics
Let be a random sample from the qDL distribution with PDF and CDF defined in (4) and (6). Let denote the corresponding order statistics. The PDF of the kth-order statistic is given by
where and denote the PDF and CDF of the qDL distribution.
The rth moment of is obtained as
where and is obtained from (17). The raw moments of can then be used to derive additional descriptive measures such as skewness, kurtosis, and L-moments, which in turn allow the computation of L-scale, L-skewness, and L-kurtosis.
3.6. Tsallis Entropy
The Tsallis entropy is a generalization of the Shannon entropy and is widely used in non-extensive statistical mechanics. For a continuous random variable X with density , the Tsallis entropy of order , , is defined as
For the qDL distribution, the Tsallis entropy becomes
Using the substitution we have
Therefore, the Tsallis entropy of the qDL distribution is given by
The integral in (22) does not have a closed-form expression in general, but it can be efficiently evaluated numerically using standard quadrature methods. When , the Tsallis entropy converges to the Shannon differential entropy.
4. Inference
4.1. Least Squares Estimators
Let denote an ordered sample from the qDL distribution with CDF (6). The least squares (LS) method estimates the parameters and q by minimizing the squared deviations between the theoretical cumulative probabilities and the corresponding empirical probabilities. The least squares estimators and are obtained by minimizing the objective function
Equation (23) is minimized by solving the nonlinear system of equations
and
where the derivatives and are given by
and
4.2. Weighted Least Squares Estimators
Weighted least squares (WLS) is an extension of the ordinary least squares method by assigning a weight to each observation that reflects its precision or contribution to the overall estimation process. For the qDL distribution, the WLS estimators and are obtained by minimizing the weighted least squares objective function
where the weights are selected to account for the non-constant variance of the empirical probabilities and are given by
4.3. Cramér–Von Mises Estimators
The Cramér–von Mises (CvM) method offers a minimum distance approach to estimate the parameters of the qDL distribution. This method evaluates the overall discrepancy between the empirical and theoretical cumulative distribution functions and determines the parameter values that minimize this difference. The CvM estimators and are obtained by minimizing the objective function
4.4. Anderson–Darling Estimator
Anderson–Darling (AD) estimator is another minimum distance approach. Let denote an ordered sample from the qDL distribution with CDF (6). Then, the AD estimator of the model parameters, denoted by and , can be obtained by minimizing the objective function
4.5. Right-Tailed Anderson–Darling Estimators
Let denote an ordered sample from the qDL distribution with CDF (6). Then, the right-tailed Anderson–Darling (RTAD) estimator of the model parameters, denoted by and , can be obtained by minimizing the objective function
4.6. Maximum Likelihood Estimators
Let be an independent and identically distributed random sample from the qDL distribution with the probability density function given in (4). The likelihood function for the parameter vector is
Taking logarithms, the log-likelihood function is given by
The maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and are obtained by solving the score equations
The score function with respect to is
while the score function with respect to q is given by
4.7. Maximum Product of Spacings Estimators
The maximum product of spacings (MPS) method, originally proposed by Cheng and Amin [39], provides a robust alternative to maximum likelihood estimation, particularly in situations where the likelihood function may be flat, multimodal, or numerically unstable. The method is based on maximizing the geometric mean of the spacings between consecutive fitted cumulative probabilities.
Let denote the ordered sample from the qDL distribution with cumulative distribution function given in (6). Define the spacings
The MPS estimators and are obtained by maximizing the objective function
or, equivalently, by minimizing with respect to and q.
Differentiating (44) with respect to and q yields the MPS estimating equations
and
where the derivatives of with respect to and q are given in Section 4.1.
The system of nonlinear Equations (45) and (46) does not admit closed-form solutions and must be solved numerically. Standard optimization routines such as the Newton–Raphson or quasi-Newton algorithms can be employed. In practice, MPS estimators often exhibit superior finite-sample performance compared to MLEs, especially for distributions with bounded support or heavy tails, as is the case for the qDL model.
5. Simulation
This section examines the performance of the estimation methods introduced in the previous section for the parameters of the qDL distribution. A comprehensive Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to assess the accuracy and stability of the proposed estimators. To generate observations from the qDL distribution, the inverse transformation method is applied using the quantile function in (9) with various values for the parameter vector , namely and . The simulation is repeated times each with sample sizes and 600. The performance of the estimators is assessed using the following metrics:
- Mean squared error (MSE), given by
- Absolute Bias (Bias), given by
- Mean relative error (MRE), given by
- Average absolute difference (AAD), given by
where represents the jth observation in the ith simulated sample.
To facilitate interpretation of Table 1, Table 2, Table 3, Table 4 and Table 5, we note that each reported criterion captures a different aspect of estimator performance. The measures MSE, MRE, and absolute Bias evaluate the numerical accuracy of the estimators for each parameter, where smaller values indicate better performance. In particular, MSE reflects overall estimation error by combining variance and Bias, while MRE and Bias show the relative and absolute deviation from the true parameter values, respectively. The AAD measures the agreement between the fitted and true distributions. The sum of ranks was included to provide an overall comparison across all criteria, so that methods that perform consistently well across both parameters and all simulation criteria can be identified more clearly. The simulation results show that the performance of all estimators improves as the sample size increases. For all methods, MSE, MRE, Bias, and AAD decrease steadily, with only minor fluctuations in a few cases. The results also indicate that estimation accuracy differs between and q, as some methods perform better for one parameter than for the other.
Table 1.
Monte Carlo simulation results for estimating of the qDL distribution with true values based on replications. Numbers in braces denote ranks (1 = best).
Table 2.
Monte Carlo simulation results for estimating of the qDL distribution with true values based on replications. Numbers in braces denote ranks (1 = best).
Table 3.
Monte Carlo simulation results for estimating of the qDL distribution with true values based on replications. Numbers in braces denote ranks (1 = best).
Table 4.
Monte Carlo simulation results for estimating of the qDL distribution with true values based on replications. Numbers in braces denote ranks (1 = best).
Table 5.
Ranks of estimation methods for all parameter settings and sample sizes. The final row reports the overall sum of ranks. Numbers in braces denote ranks (1 = best).
Regarding overall performance, Table 5 shows that ADE attains the smallest overall sum of ranks (74), closely followed by MLE (76); these values show only a marginal difference. This indicates that both methods exhibit very similar and competitive performance. The RTADE estimator also performs well, although slightly less consistently. In contrast, the LSE and CVME methods generally exhibit weaker performance, particularly for small and moderate sample sizes.
In addition, the performance of the estimators is affected by the value of the parameter q. When , the distribution has bounded support. This case is illustrated in Table 2 and Table 4. For moderate values such as (Table 2), the estimators exhibit stable performance and improve steadily as the sample size increases. However, for more extreme values such as , Table 4, the estimation of q becomes more challenging, as reflected by relatively larger MSE, MRE, and Bias values across most methods, with MLE showing noticeably higher variability. When , the support becomes unbounded. This case is illustrated in Table 1 and Table 3. The estimators show improved efficiency with increasing sample size, and MLE remains competitive, particularly for moderate and large samples.
6. Applications
This section aims to illustrate the practical usefulness of the qDL distribution by comparing its performance with several well-known lifetime distributions, including the Weibull, Gamma, generalized exponential (GE), q-exponential (qE), Lindley, power Lindley (PL), weighted Lindley (WL), transmuted Lindley (TL), generalized Lindley (GL), alpha-power transformed Lindley (APTL), and two-parameter odd Lindley Weibull (OLW) distributions. The goodness-of-fit criteria used for the comparison are: Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic along with its corresponding p-value, Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), Cramér–von Mises , and Anderson–Darling . In addition, graphical tools are employed to support the fitting results. In particular, the fitted probability density functions are overlaid on the histograms of the observed data, while the estimated survival functions are compared with the Kaplan–Meier estimator.
6.1. Repair Time Dataset
The dataset consists of active repair times (in hours) for an airborne communication transceiver, originally reported in [40]. The descriptive statistics in Table 6 indicate that the data are highly variable and right-skewed, with most observations being relatively small and a few extremely long repair times. The large positive skewness (2.89) and excess kurtosis (8.80) suggest a non-symmetric and heavy-tailed distribution. The box plot in Figure 4 further illustrates this pattern and highlights several extreme observations.
Table 6.
Descriptive statistics of the repair time data.
Figure 4.
Box plot of the repair time data. Black dots indicate mild outliers, while gray dots indicate extreme outliers.
The estimated parameters and the goodness-of-fit measures for the fitted distributions are listed in Table 7. From this table, it is noted that the qDL distribution has the lowest KS, AIC, BIC, , and . Therefore, it provides the best fit for the data. Figure 5 and Figure 6 support this result by showing the estimated densities and estimated survival curves. To assess the uniqueness and stability of the MLEs of the qDL parameters, the profile log-likelihood functions of the parameters and q are examined and displayed in Figure 7, along with the corresponding contour plot of the log-likelihood surface in Figure 8. The plots show a single clear maximum, which suggests that the likelihood function is unimodal and that the MLEs are unique.
Table 7.
MLEs and goodness-of-fit measures for the repair time data.
Figure 5.
Histogram of the repair time data with fitted densities.
Figure 6.
Fitted survivals and Kaplan–Meier curve for repair time data.
Figure 7.
Profile log-likelihood functions of and q for the repair time data.
Figure 8.
Contour plot of the log-likelihood function for the repair time data. Colors indicate log-likelihood values.
6.2. Bladder Cancer Data
This dataset corresponds to remission times (in months) for patients diagnosed with bladder cancer. Data were reported in [41] and previously analyzed by [42]. The descriptive statistics in Table 8 indicate that bladder cancer remission times are highly variable and strongly right-skewed. The large positive skewness (3.29) and the extremely high excess kurtosis (15.48) suggest a marked right tail and heavy-tailed behavior. These features are further confirmed by the box plot in Figure 9, which clearly shows extreme observations.
Table 8.
Descriptive statistics of the bladder cancer data.
Figure 9.
Box plot of the bladder cancer time data. Black dots indicate mild outliers, while gray dots indicate extreme outliers.
The parameter estimates and goodness-of-fit measures for the fitted models are reported in Table 9. The results indicate that the qDL distribution provides the best fit with the smallest values of the KS statistic and information criteria among the considered models. This conclusion is further supported by Figure 10 and Figure 11. The profile log-likelihood plots for the parameters and q, displayed in Figure 12, together with the contour plot in Figure 13, exhibit a single clear maximum, supporting the uniqueness of the MLEs.
Table 9.
MLEs and goodness-of-fit measures for the bladder cancer data.
Figure 10.
Histogram of the bladder cancer data with fitted densities.
Figure 11.
Fitted survival functions and Kaplan–Meier curve for the bladder cancer data.
Figure 12.
Profile log-likelihood functions of and q for the bladder cancer data.
Figure 13.
Contour plot of the log-likelihood function for the bladder cancer data. Colors indicate log-likelihood values.
7. Conclusions
This paper introduced the qDL distribution as a flexible generalization of the classical Lindley model under the Tsallis-q framework. The model accommodates both bounded and unbounded supports according to the value of the deformation parameter q, while retaining the Lindley distribution as a limiting case when . This additional parameter substantially enhances the flexibility of the model by directly controlling the tail behavior and support structure, which makes the distribution suitable for modeling a wider range of right-skewed data than the classical Lindley model. From a theoretical perspective, several important structural properties of the qDL distribution were obtained in closed form, which confirms its analytical tractability and facilitates further statistical development. Multiple estimation procedures were investigated and compared through an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study. The results showed that the estimators perform satisfactorily across different parameter settings and sample sizes, with MLE and ADE generally providing superior performance. These findings provide useful guidance for practitioners regarding the choice of estimation technique in practical applications.
The practical value of the proposed model was further demonstrated through two applications to real right-skewed datasets. In both cases, the qDL distribution outperformed several well-known lifetime models, indicating that it can serve as a useful alternative in applied reliability, survival, and lifetime data analysis. Hence, the paper contributes both a new theoretically appealing distribution and a practically effective model for analyzing skewed data with diverse tail patterns.
There remain several directions for future research. One natural extension is to develop regression versions of the qDL distribution so that covariate effects can be incorporated in survival and reliability studies. It would also be worthwhile to investigate Bayesian inference, censored-data settings, record values, and stress–strength reliability measures for the proposed model. Such extensions would further enhance the usefulness of the proposed family and deepen its role in the analysis of nonstandard lifetime data.
Author Contributions
Conceptualization, M.M.E.-A. and A.T.R.; Methodology, M.M.E.-A. and A.T.R.; Software, M.M.E.-A. and A.T.R.; Validation, H.H.A.; Investigation, M.M.E.-A., H.H.A. and A.T.R.; Resources, M.M.E.-A. and H.H.A.; Data curation, Y.R. and A.T.R.; Writing—original draft, M.M.E.-A. and A.T.R.; Writing—review and editing, M.M.E.-A., H.H.A., Y.R. and A.T.R.; Visualization, Y.R.; Funding acquisition, H.H.A. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This work was supported by the Deanship of Scientific Research, Vice Presidency for Graduate Studies and Scientific Research, King Faisal University, Saudi Arabia [GRANT No. KFU261927].
Data Availability Statement
The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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