A Moving Target: Studying the Effect of Continuous Transcutaneous CO₂ Monitoring in ELBW Infants During an Equipoise Shift

Objectives: To assess whether continuous non-invasive pCO₂ monitoring by transcutaneous pCO₂ monitor (TCpCO₂) among extremely low birth weight (ELBW) premature infants, during the first week of life, will decrease the rate of high-grade intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) or periventricular leukomalacia (PVL) or the combined outcome of IVH/PVL and death. Methods: This was a prospective, observational, multicenter study. Due to ethical constraints, allocation was based on TCpCO₂ monitor availability. ELBW infants were either monitored by TCpCO₂ monitor (Sentec, Therwil, Switzerland) (study group), or recruited to the control group if a TCpCO₂ monitor was not available. Results: A total of 132 ELBW infants participated in the study. The size of the study group (106 infants) and the control group (26 infants) differed because monitor availability increased during the study period reflecting change in standard of care. The groups had comparable gestational age and baseline characteristics. No difference was found in the rate of IVH/PVL in the study vs. control groups (10% vs. 4%; p = 0.7, respectively), or in the combined outcome of PVL/IVH and death (16% vs. 15%; p = 1.0, respectively). Conclusions: This study demonstrates the challenges in conducting a prospective controlled trial in a rapidly evolving medical field. While the study began with a clear equipoise, this balance shifted as the care team gained more experience with TCpCO₂ monitoring among the study population, despite the absence of new clinical evidence to justify such a shift. Consequently, the small control group limited our ability to draw definitive conclusions regarding the study’s objective. However, our findings may increase awareness of continuous non-invasive pCO₂ monitoring in extremely premature infants.