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8 December 2025

Climatology and Formation Environments of Heavy Snowfall Events in the Ural Region (Russia)

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Faculty of Geography, Perm State University, 614068 Perm, Russia
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This article belongs to the Section Climatology

Abstract

Heavy snowfall events in the Ural region have drawn significant attention due to their substantial frequency, the region’s relatively high population density and its developed network of roads and power lines. This study summarizes the main characteristics of the hazardous heavy snowfall (HHS) events (≥20 mm 12 h−1) that have occurred in the Ural region between 1981 and 2025, as well as in related synoptic-scale environments, for the first time. The dataset consists of 116 HHS reports, with 12-hourly snowfall intensities ranging from 20 mm to 47.6 mm. The main characteristics of these events (snowfall amount, spatial distribution, inter-annual and seasonal variability and trends, associated weather phenomena, and related damage) are examined based on the data from weather stations, the ERA5 reanalysis, scientific literature, and media reports. While there is no statistically significant trend in HHS events, the frequency of the most damaging late spring and early autumn snowfalls has decreased. Using 72 h backward trajectories according to the NOAA HYSPLIT model and the ERA5 reanalysis, we classified the HHS events into five types according to air mass origin, and performed a composite analysis for each type. The main finding is that 46% of HHS reports are related to cyclones forming over the Caspian and Aral seas, resulting in a higher frequency of HHS events to the east of the Ural Mountains compared to the western part of the region.

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