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SustainabilitySustainability
  • Article
  • Open Access

29 March 2021

14 Pages

An Integrated Competitiveness Assessment of the Baltic Capitals Based on the Principles of Sustainable Development

and
General Jonas Žemaitis Military Academy of Lithuania, Silo st. 5A, LT-10322 Vilnius, Lithuania
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract

The competition between cities involves the search for different ways and means to create, attract, sustain, and use diverse resources, knowledge, ideas, and innovations to support the economic growth of each individual city and, as a result, to strengthen the city’s position in the urban hierarchy both short-term and long-term. However, for each city, urbanisation does not only mean an increase in competitive economic power but also a number of problems such as pollution, poverty, crime and unemployment. In order to address the challenges posed by the urbanisation processes, the United Nations World Commission on Environment and Development (WCED) issued the 1987 Report that emphasised the need for sustainable socio-economic development that would also consider ecological factors. Given this, the article examines the issue of urban competitiveness on the basis of sustainable development principles. After a systematic and comparative analysis of the concepts published in the scientific literature, this article accomplishes the following: It defines the concept of competitiveness in urban areas; it identifies the inclusion aspects of the sustainable development principles into the assessment of urban competitiveness; it presents the research into urban competitiveness assessment models; and it carries out an integrated competitiveness assessment of the Baltic capitals in the period of 2014–2019 based on the principles of sustainable development by applying the integrated competitiveness assessment model that is based on the principles of sustainable development (MDK).

1. Introduction

The impact of the urbanisation process on the economic development of cities and regions has been a point of debate in the scientific literature. Some researchers [1,2,3] point to the positive effect that this process has on the economic development of cities. They highlight the following factors: A strong correlation between urbanisation and GDP, greater opportunities for business development and investments, an increase in productivity and the implementation of innovations, as well as better conditions for living, working, studying and relaxing. On the other hand, some research [4,5,6,7,8,9,10] also discerns the dangers of deteriorating ecological and social circumstances, including social inequality, income inequality, poverty, growing pollution, morbidity, as well as water, food and housing shortages, and over-consumption of energy resources. The third camp [11,12,13,14,15] emphasises the need to implement the principles of sustainable urban development in developing urban expansion and increasing competitiveness.
Scientific literature regards sustainable development as an integrated concept and a complex process [16]. It is aimed at ensuring prosperity not only for the present but also for future generations. Cioca et al. [17] describe sustainable development as development that maintains the stability of the system and balances the economic, social and environmental development while not putting future generations in jeopardy. Many researchers have studied the relationship between economic development and urban or regional competitiveness [18,19,20]. Kresl [20] has stressed that the economic prosperity of a country depends on the economic vitality of cities. Sinkienė [19] has concluded that cities are the main drivers of the state’s or region’s economy due to them containing the highest concentration of consumers and the largest domestic markets.
Given the above, we can observe that there is a direct link between the following economic phenomena: The urbanisation process, urban economic growth and competitiveness. However, they can also work in a contrary manner where the city fails to adapt to the changing conditions and is passive with regards to the implementation of sustainable development in the areas that are pertinent to the city, such as the economy, the social environment and the quality of the environment. The larger the city, the richer it is, albeit only to a certain extent of overcrowding, whereby the city may suffer a more significant social and ecological burden.
The aim of the article is to assess the competitive position of small urban areas in terms of their economic, social and environmental quality both over time and with respect to other competing cities.
Research methods: Systematic and comparative analysis of concepts and methods published in the scientific literature; statistical processing; expert evaluation; and multi-criteria assessment methods.

3. Methodology

The authors of the article were conducting an empirical study with the aim to determine the competitive position and dynamics of the Baltic capitals in the period of 2014–2019 and to assess the position of individual indicators (or levels). The MDK model was used for the study. The study consisted of the following 3 stages:
After forming the expert group in the 1st stage, the factors were selected from the formed sets for calculations. This empirical research used expert evaluation to determine the adequacy of indicators.
The concordance of the opinions of the surveyed experts was assessed using the Kendall concordance coefficient [46] W (2):
W = 12 S ˜ k 2 ( n 3 − n )
S is calculated using the following Formula (3):
S ˜ = ∑ j = 1 n ( R ˜ j − R ˜ 1 + R ˜ 2 + … + R ˜ n n ) 2 = ∑ j = 1 n ( R ˜ j − k ( n + 1 ) 2 ) 2
where
  • xij is the value of the ith variable evaluation by the jth expert.
  • the sum of the ranks of the jth city, i.e., =Rx1 + Rx2 +…. + Rxk
  • n is the sample size;
In the 2nd stage, we determined the weighting factors of urban competitiveness factors. The weighting factors (w) of the competitiveness factors and their individual groups were determined using the statistical average method by applying the following Formula (4):
w e i g h t i n g _ f a c t o r = s ¯ i ∑ i = 1 m s ¯
where s ¯ i —the statistical average
The weighting factor takes values between 0 and 1. The sum of the weighting factors of the factors for each factor group was 1.
In the 3rd stage, the competitiveness of cities was calculated based on the principle of sustainable development by using 2 multi-criteria assessment methods: SAW and COPRAS.
SAW (Simple Additive Weighting) method [46] (5):
S j = ∑ i = 1 m w i r ˜ i j
where
  • Sj is the multi-criteria assessment value of the jth alternative;
  • ωi is the weight of the ith indicator;
  • rij is the normalised value of the ith indicator to the jth alternative (6)
∑ i = 1 m w i = 1
The normalisation of the initial data was performed according to the following Formula (7) [46,47]:
r ˜ i j = r i j ∑ j = 1 n r i j
where
  • rij is the value of the ith indicator to the jth object.
Using the COPRAS (Complex Proportional Assignment Method) [46,47] complex proportional method, the data were normalised by transforming them into a dimensionless form according to the following Formula (8):
r ˜ i j = r i j w i ∑ j = 1 n r i j
where
  • ωi is the weight of the ith indicator;
  • rij is the normalised value of the ith indicator to the jth object.
Following this, we determined the priority of objects. The higher the Qj, the higher the efficiency (priority) of the variant (9).
Q j = S + j + S − min × ∑ j = 1 n S − j S − j × ∑ j = 1 n S − min S − j
The degree of usefulness Nj of the variant aj is determined using the following Formula (10):
N j = ( Q j ÷ Q max ) × 100 %

4. Research Results

The empirical GDP volume of the Baltic States was as follows: In 2019, the GDP volume of Lithuania was EUR 48797.4M; Latvia—EUR 30463.3M; Estonia—EUR 28112.4M. In 2019, the GDP volume of Lithuania accounted for 45.45% of the GDP volume of all the Baltic states. Moreover, this volume was the largest in the period under consideration (excluding 2014). In 2019, compared to the previous year, the GDP volume of Lithuania increased by 7.27%; in Estonia, it increased by 8.38%; and in Latvia, it increased by 4.53%.
Changes in the GDP of the Baltic states in the period of 2014–2019 (Gross domestic product at market prices) (Current prices, million euros) (see Figure 1).
Figure 1. Changes in the GDP of the Baltic States in the period of 2014–2019 (Gross domestic product at market prices) (Current prices, million euros).
According to the data in the IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2019 as reflected in Table 1, in the course of the year, Lithuania rose to 29th place from 32nd, i.e., by 3 places. The opposite was seen in Estonia, where in the course of the year, the country dropped down by 4 places, i.e., from 31st to 35th place. In the meantime, Latvia remained in 40th place. Research published in the Global Competitiveness Report 2019 by the World Economic Forum that used the Global Competitiveness Index method demonstrated different trends, i.e., in the course of the year, Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia rose by one position each (Table 1).
Table 1. Global Competitiveness Index and the World Competitiveness Index (IWCI) rankings and comparisons with the data of 2018.
2014–2019 data (Eurostat, Statistics Departments of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia) were used to assess the competitiveness of the capitals of the Baltic states. Both statistical and expert evaluation methods were used to assess the competitiveness of the Baltic capitals. The result was affected by the availability of information. The peer review study interviewed 50 individuals whose activities were related to strategic planning, regional development, and promotion of territorial socio-economic development. The concordance of the opinions of the surveyed experts as evaluated using the Kendall concordance coefficient W was high (W = 0.95). However, the authors of the article conducted two studies to explain the impact of subjective assessment on the final result. In the first study, the authors considered the separation of the influence/importance of the factors determining the competitiveness according to the experts. In the second study, the authors assigned equal influence on the assessment of competitiveness to all factors. According to the urban competitiveness assessment model based on the principles of sustainable development (MDK), the factors were divided into three levels and structured according to the components of sustainable development. Level I reflected the basic factors that condition the existence of a city, i.e., the infrastructure, human capital, business environment/government, financial capital, urban distinctiveness, culture, community activities, environmental friendliness, natural resources, urban management, urban security. The basic level ranking was calculated according to the following Formula (11):
I M 10 = 0.2 × M 12 + 0.15 × M 18 + 0.2 × M 110 + 0.05 × M 17 + 0.2 × M 19 + 0.15 × M 111 + 0.05 × M 16
where
  • M12 is the factor value of the urban transportation infrastructure
  • M18 is the factor value of the information and communications technology infrastructure
  • M110 is the factor value of the city’s demographical situation
  • M17 is the factor value of the social, cultural and sports infrastructure
  • M19 is the factor value of the healthcare infrastructure
  • M16 is the factor value of the sewage treatment system
  • M111 is the factor value of the educational system
Following the basic level assessment data of the MDK model (Scenario I) as reflected in Figure 2, Vilnius leads among the capitals of the Baltic States in the period of 2014–2019, excluding 2015, where Riga took the lead. Tallinn ranked third throughout the studied period. The situation was very similar when calculations were carried out under Scenario II, albeit the ranking positions of Tallinn and Riga came into a line in 2016, 2018 and 2019.
Figure 2. Basic level assessment of the Baltic capitals according to Scenarios I (a) and II (b).
Level II marks the factors that promote development, i.e., tourism, imports, exports, entrepreneurship, knowledge and innovation, economic structure, networks of excellence, city companies and partnership. The ranking of the developmental level was calculated according to the following Formula (12):
I M 20 = 0.15 × M 24 + 0.1 × M 28 + 0.1 × M 29 + 0.1 × M 25 + 0.05 × M 27 + 0.1 × M 212 + 0.05 × M 213 + 0.1 × M 215 + 0.05 × M 216 + 0.1 × M 211 + 0.1 × M 210
where
  • M23 is the factor value of the city’s economic power
  • M24 is the factor value of the competitiveness of the city companies
  • M27 is the factor value of the city’s touristic appeal
  • M28 is the factor value of the city’s investment appeal
  • M29 is the factor value of workforce adaptability to changing conditions
  • M210 is the factor value of city living convenience
  • M211 is the factor value of environmental pollution
  • M212 is the factor value of the human capital
  • M213 is the factor value of migration
  • M215 is the factor value of safety in the city
  • M216 is the factor value of community learning, partnership and active involvement
Based on the data obtained by using COPRAS and SAW methods in Figure 3, in the period of 2014–2019, Riga was in the lead. Whereas Vilnius and Tallinn tended to swap positions. Based on the results of the SAW method (Scenario I), Tallinn was in the lead (except in 2019). The results of the COPRAS method (Scenario I) suggested that the ranking remained the same as in the method above. However, the statistical gap between the cities was larger than it was in the example. Where Scenario II was examined with all factors being assigned the same weighting factors, the ranking among the capitals of the Baltic states in the period of 2014–2019 remained the same as in Scenario I above.
Figure 3. Developmental level assessment of the Baltic capitals according to Scenario I using SAW (a) and COPRAS (b) methods.
At level III, we assessed the outcome of the interaction between the two previous levels. The result was assessed in two sections, i.e., in terms of GDP and of the quality of life. The ranking at the interaction level was calculated according to the following Formula (13):
I M 30 = 0.5 × M 31 + 0.5 × M 32
where
  • IM30 is the ranking at level III
  • M31 is the factor value of GDP
  • M32 is the factor value of the quality of life
Based on the results obtained by applying the third level of the MDK model and by using both COPRAS and SAW methods (Scenario I), as reflected in Figure 4, Tallinn was in the lead among the capitals of the Baltic states. Riga and Vilnius were close to each other.
Figure 4. Competitiveness assessment of the Baltic capitals (Level III) based on the principles of sustainable development, using SAW method according to Scenario I.
The results obtained from assessing the overall competitiveness of the Baltic capitals according to the urban competitiveness assessment model based on the principles of sustainable development with the application of the SAW multi-criteria assessment method, suggested that Vilnius was in the lead in the period of 2014–2019 (see Figure 5). Riga ranked second in the period of 2014–2019, albeit the results from the SAW method suggested that Tallinn ranked second in 2019. Tallinn ranked third in the 2014–2019 period (exclusive of 2019). Given that the sensitivity and robustness analysis of the assessment results (Table 2) showed that the assessment results using different multi-criteria assessment methods, i.e., SAW and COPRAS, were very strong, the SAW method was selected for calculations in order to offer a simple method for small cities. Each level was analysed to identify what determined the dynamics of city rankings.
Figure 5. Competitiveness assessment of the Baltic capitals based on the principles of sustainable development, using SAW (a) and COPRAS (b) methods according to Scenario II.
Table 2. Robustness and sensitivity analysis of SAW and COPRAS results.
The results of the analysis suggested that there was a very strong relationship between assessment using different weighting factors and assessment using identical weighting factors. The authors of the article agreed with the opinion that expert evaluation was based on subjective opinion and that different factors have different effects on the overall competitiveness. Keeping in mind that during the expert evaluation, the surveyed experts had substantial experience with urban competitiveness, it was decided to conduct two studies: Scenario I—each factor was assigned a weighting factor; Scenario II—all factors were assigned identical weighting factors. Sensitivity and robustness analysis was performed using SAW and COPRAS methods to calculate the assessment of urban competitiveness using two scenarios. It was concluded that the correlation between the results was very strong.

5. Discussion

As shown in our research results [11,12,13,14,15], an assessment of urban competitiveness that is based on the principles of sustainable development is necessary. This assessment follows the modern standards and approaches to economic development. Cities should not only assess their current situation but also plan for actions that improve the economic situation, the environment, and the quality of life, i.e., actions that ensure sustainable development. It should also be taken into account that lower-level factors may influence certain higher-level factors, and that influence may also be of different levels.
A number of researches on the assessment of urban competitiveness have been carried out, several of them: a survey of smart cities, following the example of Amsterdam and London in Lithuania [25], and an assessment of the competitiveness of Lithuanian cities [24,27,28], evaluation for urban sustainable development: A case study for China’s Jining City [48], ranking of priorities among the Baltic capital cities for the development of sustainable construction [49], the Lisbon ranking for smart sustainable cities in Europe [50]. A multi-criteria evaluation of the European cities’ smart performance: Economic, social and environmental aspects [51]. In the search for the ‘Smart’ Source of the Perception of Quality of Life in European Smart Cities [52], determining factors in becoming a sustainable smart city: An empirical study in Europe [53], strengthening urban sustainability: Identification and analysis of proactive measures to combat blight [54], military and demographic inter-linkages in the context of the Lithuanian sustainability [55], rethinking urban sustainability using fuzzy cognitive mapping and system dynamics [56], socio-technical approach to the assessment of sustainable tourism: Adding value with a comprehensive process-oriented framework [57]
Therefore, the integrated competitiveness assessment model that is based on the principles of sustainable development (MDK) is built on the principle of targeted programmatic management, which creates the premise for determining the relationships of different level factors and their effect on the objective. MDK is a methodological tool for city authorities to determine the current situation of the city and to make predictions about the future by changing the values of one or more factors. The MDK model distinguishes between external and internal environments that are divided into three levels: Level I—basic factors; level II—developmental factors; and level III—interactions. The identified factors are structured according to the components of sustainable development. The objective of the model is to reflect the aggregated influence and results of the interactional factors.
The empirical assessment of the sustainable competitiveness of the Baltic capitals in the period of 2014–2019 confirmed the appropriateness of the MDK model as a tool for determining the competitive position of a city in relation to both other competing cities and time, as well as for determining the factors associated with sustainable urban competitiveness. The obtained information can be used to justify a variety of strategic urban decisions, to assess the effectiveness of the already implemented solutions, and to promote the city itself.
The authors of the article presented an integrated competitiveness assessment of the Baltic capitals by detailing the three levels, i.e., basic, developmental, and interactional. However, the assessment in this study did not include the individual components of sustainable development. Therefore, potential future research could include the assessment of small cities in terms of time and the individual components of sustainable development.

6. Conclusions

For cities, the urbanisation process does not only mean a strengthening of their economic competitiveness, but it also poses many challenges that need to be addressed in order to implement the principles of sustainable development. The quality of life requirements in a modern city are integrally linked to a vibrant and competitive economy, a healthy environment, social well-being and environmental friendliness. Consequently, the principles of sustainable urban development are considered necessary for cities to become and remain competitive in both the short-term and long-term. An assessment of urban competitiveness that is based on the principles of sustainable development is necessary. This assessment follows the modern standards and approaches to economic development.
  • The concept of urban competitiveness is regarded as the ability of cities to use certain available competitive factors that are created or drawn by the city to ensure the success of its economic, social and environmental systems and to maintain and strengthen the city’s competitive position in relation to both the other competing cities and time. This definition allows urban competitiveness to be perceived as a continuous and self-reinforcing process, rather than a finite result, whereby the result also becomes an input that later determines the outcome.
  • We observed that the research into urban competitiveness assessment methods as found in the scientific literature demonstrates a variety of approaches. Some authors assessed urban competitiveness by employing one or more indicators; others developed theoretical models of urban competitiveness that combine a particular set of quantitative and qualitative indicators; and others still assessed it as an index or formulated various mathematical equations. There are many methods for assessing urban competitiveness, which stimulates much debate that aims to assess urban competitiveness objectively. It is especially difficult to assess its less studied aspects.
  • The results obtained from assessing the overall competitiveness of the Baltic capitals according to the urban competitiveness assessment model based on the principles of sustainable development with the application of the SAW and COPRAS multi-criteria assessment methods suggest that Vilnius is in the lead in the entire period, followed by Riga that ranks second, and Tallinn that ranks third.
  • Sensitivity and robustness analysis of the small city competitiveness assessment results showed that the assessment results using different multi-criteria assessment methods, i.e., SAW or COPRAS, differ only slightly.

Author Contributions

Conceptualisation, R.Č. and I.M.-K.; methodology, R.Č.; software, R.Č.; validation, R.Č. and I.M.-K.; formal analysis, I.M.-K.; investigation, R.Č.; resources, R.Č. and I.M.-K.; writing—original draft preparation, R.Č.; writing—review and editing, I.M.-K.; visualisation, R.Č.; supervision, I.M.-K. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

The data of this study is available from the authors upon request.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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