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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 14, Issue 2

2021 February - 48 articles

Cover Story: Climate change, green consumers, energy security, fossil fuel divestment, and technological innovation are powerful forces shaping an increased interest toward investing in companies that specialize in clean energy. Well-informed investors need reliable methods for predicting the stock prices of clean energy companies. This paper uses the machine learning method of random forests to predict the stock price direction of clean energy exchange traded funds. Decision tree bagging and random forests predictions of stock price direction are more accurate than those obtained from logit models. For a 20-day forecast horizon, tree bagging and random forests methods produce accuracy rates of between 85% and 90%, while logit models produce accuracy rates of between 55% and 60%. View this paper.
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Articles (48)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,929 Views
16 Pages

Does the Croatian Stock Market Have Seasonal Affective Disorder?

  • Tihana Škrinjarić,
  • Branka Marasović and
  • Boško Šego

This paper explores mood anomalies, specifically the seasonal affective disorder (SAD) effect on the Zagreb Stock Exchange (ZSE). SAD is defined as a syndrome of depressive episodes in human behavior due to the changing of the season. Thus, the motiv...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
3,056 Views
27 Pages

Time-Consistent Investment and Consumption Strategies under a General Discount Function

  • Ishak Alia,
  • Farid Chighoub,
  • Nabil Khelfallah and
  • Josep Vives

In the present paper, we investigate the Merton portfolio management problem in the context of non-exponential discounting, a context that gives rise to time-inconsistency of the decision-maker. We consider equilibrium policies within the class of op...

  • Article
  • Open Access
10 Citations
5,900 Views
20 Pages

Do Political Economy Factors Influence Funding Allocations for Disaster Risk Reduction?

  • Shafiqul Islam,
  • Khondker Mohammad Zobair,
  • Cordia Chu,
  • James C. R. Smart and
  • Md Samsul Alam

Considering the importance of political economy in implementing Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR), this research investigates the significance of political economy in the distribution of DRR funding in Bangladesh. The study analysed data from self-report...

  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
5,642 Views
21 Pages

Current research about crowdsourcing covers industries like food systems or logistics, leaving out the possible impact of crowdsourcing on sustainable retail. The debate about the sustainable impact of different industries is ongoing, especially disc...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,909 Views
17 Pages

Global energy production has been on the rise for many years, and reliance on traditional sources of energy remains strong. The extraction and production of energy can serve as an important avenue of growth, particularly for developing economies. To...

  • Article
  • Open Access
96 Citations
7,246 Views
17 Pages

This research paper investigates the impact of natural resources volatility on economic growth. The paper focused on three resource-rich economies, namely, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Oman. Using data from 1970 to 2016 and employing the autoregressive dis...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,199 Views
13 Pages

Basel III regulation intent is to increase the resiliency of banks through effective risk management practices that can reduce significant idiosyncratic operational losses. A systemic risk event that leads to significant losses in a bank holding comp...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,104 Views
11 Pages

From the early 1970s to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–09, U.S. crude oil production followed a declining trend. After the Global Financial Crisis, U.S. crude oil production increased rapidly. This paper addresses the important question “what ec...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
7,285 Views
22 Pages

Financial derivatives have been increasingly used by firms to hedge against financial risks. However, it is still not clear what factors at the firm level lead to firms’ derivative use and whether derivative use can generate performance improvement,...

  • Article
  • Open Access
29 Citations
9,960 Views
20 Pages

This paper empirically evidences the role played by board characteristics (skills, diversity, structure, independence) in supporting risk management disclosure and shaping the financial performance of European companies operating in the financial ser...

  • Article
  • Open Access
148 Citations
24,902 Views
22 Pages

In the European Union, the concern for sustainability has been legitimized by its politically and ecologically motivated discourse disseminated through recent policies of the European Commission and the local as well as international media. In the ar...

  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
8,032 Views
10 Pages

Methodological Tools for Investment Risk Assessment for the Companies of Real Economy Sector

  • Tetiana Zholonko,
  • Olesia Grebinchuk,
  • Maryna Bielikova,
  • Yurii Kulynych and
  • Olena Oviechkina

Methodological approaches to investing in companies and reducing the negative impact of risks that are formed at the macro and micro levels are considered in the article. The algorithm for expressing investment risks through related risks and conduct...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,457 Views
18 Pages

This paper proposes the sample path generation method for the stochastic volatility version of the CGMY process. We present the Monte-Carlo method for European and American option pricing with the sample path generation and calibrate model parameters...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
4,217 Views
30 Pages

The objective of this contribution is to predict the development of the Czech Republic’s (CR) exports to the PRC (People’s Republic of China) using ANN (artificial neural networks). To meet the objective, two research questions are formulated. The qu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
6,756 Views
21 Pages

In numerous Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries, the global financial crisis as well as the unpegging of the foreign exchange rate of the Swiss franc (CHF) against the euro amplified the repayment troubles of households with the outstanding...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,028 Views
10 Pages

One of the controversies of diversification is that it may not be beneficial to banks, as it tends to increase systemic risk. Recent theoretical and empirical work have addressed this problem. We argue, from a theoretical perspective, that this contr...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,273 Views
20 Pages

This study analyzes the relationships and dynamics between material production, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic activity, carbon productivity, the stock market, and green tech, both in a global and European context, using panel vector autor...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
5,132 Views
14 Pages

Acquisition-based dynamic capabilities have become well established as a new imperative for organizing mergers and acquisitions (M&A) processes. However, understanding the full benefits and possible limits of real options applications to measure...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
16 Citations
9,699 Views
19 Pages

E.U. and China Trends in Trade in Challenging Times

  • Irena Jindřichovská and
  • Erginbay Uğurlu

The sudden and abrupt rise of COVID-19 became a challenge for the world economy. In this paper, we investigate the changes in a trend of mutual trade between the EU-15 countries and China during the demanding times of the COVID-19 crisis. We use mont...

  • Article
  • Open Access
74 Citations
16,722 Views
20 Pages

ESG Disclosures and Stock Price Crash Risk

  • Rio Murata and
  • Shigeyuki Hamori

In this study, we investigate the relationship between environmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosures and stock price crash risk. A stock price crash is a dreadful event for market participants. Thus, exploring stock price crash determinants...

  • Article
  • Open Access
49 Citations
8,818 Views
21 Pages

ESG Reporting and Analysts’ Recommendations in GCC: The Moderation Role of Royal Family Directors

  • Abdulsamad Alazzani,
  • Wan Nordin Wan-Hussin,
  • Michael Jones and
  • Ahmed Al-hadi

This study examines whether financial analysts consider or incorporate the environmental, social and governance disclosures (thereafter ESG) in their recommendations. We then test whether royal family directors affect this relation. Using a dataset f...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
7,326 Views
19 Pages

Unprecedented opportunities have been brought by advancements in machine learning in the prediction of the economic success of movies. The analysis of movie title keywords is one promising but rarely investigated direction of study. To address this g...

  • Article
  • Open Access
26 Citations
5,990 Views
16 Pages

Fine Art Insurance Policies and Risk Perceptions: The Case of Malta

  • Luke Pavia,
  • Simon Grima,
  • Inna Romanova and
  • Jonathan V. Spiteri

The aim of this paper is to identify the risks that need to be addressed when holding fine art, determine which are perceived as being the most important, and whether the risk perception is influenced by demographic variables such as age, educational...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,511 Views
14 Pages

Modeling Study on Risk Identification in the Process of Anti-Crisis Enterprise Management

  • Grygoriy Shamborovskyi,
  • Yuliia Nehoda,
  • Nataliya Demidova,
  • Volodymyr Tarashchenko and
  • Svitlana Breus

The study provides solutions for the scientific task related to the improvement of theoretical and development of methodological and applied principles, and the identification and evaluation of risks and threats as factors of anti-crisis management o...

  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
5,366 Views
29 Pages

Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises, Business Demography and European Socio-Economic Model: Does the Paradigm Really Converge?

  • Jean Vasile Andrei,
  • Luminita Chivu,
  • Ileana Georgiana Gheorghe,
  • Aleksandar Grubor,
  • Teodor Sedlarski,
  • Violeta Sima,
  • Jonel Subić and
  • Mile Vasic

Although the European business environment induces important premises and assures conditions in determining economic growth and social well-being, the determinant and existent connections between the evolution of small and medium-sized enterprises (S...

  • Article
  • Open Access
17 Citations
15,011 Views
11 Pages

The inventory carrying cost has been assumed uniform for all products in an organization or a warehouse. This assumption is not valid for a diversified range of items in an organization or warehouse. This paper tested this hypothesis of variations in...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,814 Views
11 Pages

Granger Causal Nexus between Good Public Governance and Unemployment: Evidence from Cross-Country Panel Data Investigation

  • Cristina Boţa-Avram,
  • Adrian Groşanu,
  • Paula-Ramona Răchişan and
  • Sorin Romulus Berinde

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the causality between good public governance captured through six World Bank governance indicators and unemployment rate (unemployment as % of the total labour force) as a clear indicator of labour market p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
81 Citations
12,923 Views
18 Pages

Exploring Risks in the Adoption of Business Intelligence in SMEs Using the TOE Framework

  • Ana-Marija Stjepić,
  • Mirjana Pejić Bach and
  • Vesna Bosilj Vukšić

The business success of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) increasingly relies on the adoption of various technological innovations. For today’s unpredictable business operations, business intelligence systems (BISs) represent one of the most...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
7,847 Views
11 Pages

The paper examines tax progressivity and income inequality using Census Bureau Current Population Survey (CPS) personal income data. The Kakwani index is used to derive tax progressivity for All, Male, Female, White and African American personal wage...

  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
3,700 Views
22 Pages

In this paper, we evaluate American-style, path-dependent derivatives with an artificial intelligence technique. Specifically, we use swarm intelligence to find the optimal exercise boundary for an American-style derivative. Swarm intelligence is par...

  • Article
  • Open Access
104 Citations
6,272 Views
10 Pages

The rapid growth of negative consequences from climate changes provokes divergent effects in all economic sectors. The experts proved that a core catalyst which bootstrapped the climate changes was greenhouse gas emission. This has led to a range of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3,596 Views
17 Pages

Beyond financial stability as the European Banking Union’s primary objective, the European capital market integration provides an impetus for deepening bank integration and greater financial market efficiency. This article proposes an empirical frame...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
12,865 Views
23 Pages

The Relationship between Yield Curve and Economic Activity: An Analysis of G7 Countries

  • Ronald Ravinesh Kumar,
  • Peter Josef Stauvermann and
  • Hang Thi Thu Vu

The yield curve is an important tool to assess the economic progress of a country. In this study, we examine the strength of the relationship between term spread and economic activity, and between the components of the yield curve and economic activi...

  • Article
  • Open Access
14 Citations
5,643 Views
12 Pages

Direct and Indirect Effects of Investment Incentives in Slovakia

  • Aneta Bobenič Hintošová,
  • František Sudzina and
  • Terézia Barlašová

Countries trying to attract foreign direct investment often use various tools to influence the foreign investor’s allocation decision including public subsidies in the form of investment incentives. However, the effects associated with providing thes...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
8,195 Views
20 Pages

Equity crowdfunding (ECF) is becoming a convenient alternative instrument for investing in entrepreneurs’ projects in many countries. The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors that affect the investor’s intentions toward EC...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
6,838 Views
17 Pages

External shocks, like the climate catastrophe or the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as intrinsic fallacies like the securitization of bad debt leading up to the financial crisis in 2008, point to the need for updating our monetary and financial systems....

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,585 Views
15 Pages

In this paper, we present a study on Reinforcement Learning optimization models for automatic trading, in which we focus on the effects of varying the observation time. Our Reinforcement Learning agents feature a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
4,090 Views
19 Pages

In this paper, we extend the parametric approach of VaR estimation that is based upon the application of two transforms, one for handling skewness and other for kurtosis. These transformations restore normality to data when applied in succession. The...

  • Article
  • Open Access
15 Citations
6,442 Views
15 Pages

This paper aims at investigating whether and how the intensity of trade between a pair of countries changes when they experience improvements in their infrastructural systems. We carry out our analysis considering countries participating in the Belt...

  • Article
  • Open Access
28 Citations
9,068 Views
19 Pages

As a dynamic way to raise funds for professional and private projects in recent years, crowdfunding has made tremendous progress, especially through online platforms. However, research on this subject is still young, leaving room for different perspe...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
13,262 Views
29 Pages

Know Your Clients’ Behaviours: A Cluster Analysis of Financial Transactions

  • John R. J. Thompson,
  • Longlong Feng,
  • R. Mark Reesor and
  • Chuck Grace

In Canada, financial advisors and dealers are required by provincial securities commissions and self-regulatory organizations—charged with direct regulation over investment dealers and mutual fund dealers—to respectively collect and maint...

  • Article
  • Open Access
41 Citations
10,724 Views
15 Pages

Using individual level transaction data and a revised difference-in-differences method with nonparametric smoothing, we study the effect of COVID-19 on house prices. The analyses are performed on the areas of Houston, Santa Clara, Honolulu, Irvine, a...

  • Article
  • Open Access
95 Citations
13,104 Views
20 Pages

Climate change, green consumers, energy security, fossil fuel divestment, and technological innovation are powerful forces shaping an increased interest towards investing in companies that specialize in clean energy. Well informed investors need reli...

  • Communication
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,337 Views
11 Pages

Human resources are vitally important to banking. The mission statements of 50 banks with the biggest market value are analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively for subsequent judgments of consideration of employees among top strategic priorities of...

  • Article
  • Open Access
37 Citations
7,219 Views
14 Pages

Does the Design of Stablecoins Impact Their Volatility?

  • Klaudia Jarno and
  • Hanna Kołodziejczyk

In this paper, we shall compare the average volatility that characterises the main stablecoin design types with a view to answering the question of whether all stablecoin designs accomplish the goal of minimising their price fluctuations to the same...

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J. Risk Financial Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074