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21 July 2022

Pre-Existing Medical Conditions: A Systematic Literature Review of a Silent Contributor to Adult Drowning

,
and
1
School of Population Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of New South Wales, Kensington, NSW 2052, Australia
2
College of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.

Abstract

Medical conditions can increase drowning risk. No prior study has systematically reviewed the published evidence globally regarding medical conditions and drowning risk for adults. MEDLINE (Ovid), PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, PsycINFO (ProQuest) and SPORTDiscus databases were searched for original research published between 1 January 2005 and 31 October 2021 that reported adult (≥15 years) fatal or non-fatal drowning of all intents and pre-existing medical conditions. Conditions were grouped into the relevant International Classifications of Diseases (ICD) codes. Eighty-three studies were included (85.5% high-income countries; 38.6% East Asia and Pacific region; 75.9% evidence level III-3). Diseases of the nervous system (n = 32 studies; 38.6%), mental and behavioural conditions (n = 31; 37.3%) and diseases of the circulatory system (n = 25; 30.1%) were the most common categories of conditions. Epilepsy was found to increase the relative risk of drowning by 3.8 to 82 times, with suggested preventive approaches regarding supervised bathing or showering. Drowning is a common suicide method for those with schizophrenia, psychotic disorders and dementia. Review findings indicate people with pre-existing medical conditions drown, yet relatively few studies have documented the risk. There is a need for further population-level research to more accurately quantify drowning risk for pre-existing medical conditions in adults, as well as implementing and evaluating population-level attributable risk and prevention strategies.

1. Introduction

Drowning has been described as an underexplored threat to public health [1]. Drowning, the process of experiencing respiratory impairment due to immersion or submersion in liquid, has both fatal and non-fatal outcomes, with or without morbidity [2]. Drowning may also be unintentional, intentional or of undetermined intent. Unintentional drowning alone was estimated to claim the lives of 295,000 people around the world in 2017, with the true estimate likely to be significantly higher with the inclusion of transportation and disaster-related drowning [3]. Though less is known about drowning due to intentional self-harm [4,5], many countries also report high drowning rates due to suicide [6,7,8].
Chronic medical conditions are becoming more common [9]. This phenomenon effects low and high-income countries alike. Research on unintentional drowning risk among children has identified epilepsy [10,11] and autism spectrum disorder as conditions posing an increased risk of drowning [12,13,14]. Several studies have explored the role of chronic disease on drowning risk among older people—an age group of growing concern with respect to drowning due to an aging population [15,16]. Studies among the elderly population have highlighted the risk for drowning of conditions such as dementia, sarcopenia, epilepsy, cardiac conditions and depression [5,11,17,18,19,20]. However, little is known regarding the drowning risk associated with pre-existing medical conditions and the interventions recommended to reduce this risk.
To date, no study has systematically reviewed the literature to examine the role of pre-existing medical conditions on adult drowning risk. This review will address the following research questions concerning the link between pre-existing medical conditions, drowning and drowning risk:
  • Which pre-existing medical conditions have been reported in adult (aged 15 years and older) drowning cases?
  • Which pre-existing medical conditions does the literature suggest impact the risk of drowning?
  • In which population (s) do pre-existing medical conditions increase drowning risk and burden?
  • What drowning reduction strategies are recommended in the literature?

2. Materials and Methods

A systematic review of peer-reviewed literature was undertaken to identify and critically analyse studies reporting drowning and chronic medical conditions in adults (aged 15 years and older) and was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (#CRD42020190605). The study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines [21]. From the search results, the PRISMA statement was used to identify, screen and determine eligibility for the included studies.
Peer-reviewed literature published in English between 1 January 2005 and 31 October 2021 was identified from searches of MEDLINE (OVID), PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, PscyINFO (ProQuest) and SPORTDiscus databases. Search terms were intentionally broad, and no qualification of methodology or publication type was applied in the first search to capture all relevant article sets. Search terms included “drown*”, “adult”, “medical”, “disease” and various medical conditions. Where possible, terms and medical conditions were mapped to MESH terms. The Boolean search strings utilised for this study are described in Appendix A.
Literature was limited to a publication date of 2005, as this was the year the current drowning definition was established [2]. Studies of human drowning and chronic medical conditions were included regardless of outcome (fatal or non-fatal) and intent (unintentional, intentional self-harm, undetermined intent). Non-fatal drowning was defined in line with the Non-Fatal Drowning Categorisation Framework (NDCF) [22]. The full inclusion and exclusion criteria for the study are displayed in Table 1. Studies were included where data could be extracted for pre-existing medical conditions for people aged 15 years and older. Medical conditions were included if there was a history of the condition for the person who drowned, even if the condition was not indicated at autopsy. Conditions noted at autopsy but unknown at the time of the drowning incident were also included. Studies were excluded if they only reported acute conditions (e.g., a broken bone during the drowning incident). Case reports were included if they contained data for six or more drowning cases, regardless of the presence of a pre-existing medical condition. (Table 1).
Table 1. Inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Using Covidence literature screening software, the independent dual screening of title and abstract was undertaken, with conflicts resolved via consensus between the two reviewers. The process was repeated for the full-text review. Data were extracted using a custom-built Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. Data extracted included age group and number of participants, number of drowning incidents including by intent and outcome, study type, name of medical condition(s), number, proportion and/or rate of those who drowned with medical condition and statistical measure of risk (i.e., Chi-square tests of independence, relative risk, odds ratio). Medical conditions were identified by extracting key medical findings (i.e., medical condition, pathophysiology findings) presented in the literature. Specific medical conditions were coded to the relevant category within the International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 category [23]. The categories and examples of conditions coded to each category taken from included studies are shown in Table 2. For the top three most common groups of conditions, the specific conditions within the groupings were further categorised as depicted in Table 2 [24,25]. Where studies did not report on a specific medical condition, these were coded to a grouping called “all pre-existing medical conditions”.
Table 2. Medical condition groupings and examples of included conditions.
Risk factors were defined if statistical tests identified a significant link between the medical condition and risk of drowning or drowning outcome (i.e., Chi-square tests of significance, odds ratio, relative risk). Prevention strategies were extracted as free text if proposed, implemented and/or evaluated specific to drowning. Prevention strategies were coded as primary, secondary or tertiary prevention [26] and against the corresponding level within the Hierarchy of Control [27]. Quality of evidence was also assessed using the National Health and Medical Research Council (Australia) Levels of Evidence [28]. Levels of evidence range from Level I (a systematic review of Level II studies (randomised controlled trial)) to Level IV (case studies with either post-test or pre-test/post-test outcomes). Region and income levels of countries represented in included studies were assessed using the World Bank open data country profiles [29].

3. Results

Initial searches identified 5762 studies. After the removal of 1834 duplicates, a total of 3928 studies were screened at the title and abstract stage. After the removal of studies not meeting the inclusion criteria, 738 full-text studies were assessed for eligibility. Following a full text review, 83 studies were included for data extraction (Figure 1).
Figure 1. PRISMA flow chart.
Included studies predominately reported data from high-income countries (n = 71; 85.5%). The largest numbers of included studies were from the World Bank region groupings East Asia and the Pacific (n = 32; 38.6%) and Europe and Central Asia (n = 28; 33.7%). The majority of the included studies were assessed at a level of evidence of III-3 (n = 63; 75.9%). There were 48 studies (57.8%) that reported unintentional drowning, and 79 (95.2%) reporting fatal drowning. The study characteristics of the full list of included studies can be found in Appendix B.
With respect to grouped medical conditions, diseases of the nervous system [7,11,19,20,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,40,41,42,43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57] and mental and behavioural conditions [7,37,42,43,54,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82] were the most commonly reported categories of medical conditions in drowning, identified in 32 studies (38.6%) and 31 studies (37.3%), respectively. This was followed by diseases of the circulatory system (n = 25 studies; 30.1% of all included studies) [19,43,46,49,53,54,55,57,63,76,83,84,85,86,87,88,89,90,91,92,93,94,95,96,97,98] (Table 3).
Table 3. Grouped medical condition by included studies.
There were 13 studies that reported all pre-existing medical conditions [7,43,49,53,63,69,98,103,104,105,106,107,108]. The proportion of drowning involving pre-existing medical conditions ranged from 2.8% with chronic illness among fatal land motor vehicle drownings in Finland [106] to 24.6% of elderly (defined as 65 years and over) drowning patients in South Korea (fatal and non-fatal) reporting chronic illness (such as diabetes, hypertension and hepatitis) [69]. In the South Korean study, a significantly higher (p < 0.001) of elderly patients had chronic disease (24.6%) compared with the rest of the adult population who drowned (3.3%)[69]. A total population study of unintentional drowning fatalities in Canada identified that 67.3% of all adults 65+ years reported one or more accompanying chronic conditions [98]. Pre-exiting medical conditions were also prevalent in a study of intentional drowning death in Australia, found in 83.1% of deaths [7].
Seizure disorders (including epilepsy) were the most commonly reported condition within the diseases of the nervous system category, reported in 23 studies [11,19,20,30,32,33,34,35,37,38,39,40,43,44,45,46,47,49,52,53,54,55,56]. Epilepsy was found to occur in 11% of sudden deaths in hot bathtubs in Japan [20] and 9.6% of adult unintentional fatal drownings in Bangladesh [37]. Among those with epilepsy, drowning accounted for 83.3% of accidental injury deaths in Bangladesh [44] yet just 0.05% of seizure-related fatal unintentional injuries in Thailand [38] and 0.4% of hospitalised epilepsy deaths in the USA [39].
Almost half (49.1%) of all people in Portugal and the United Kingdom (UK) surveyed with Parkinson’s Disease reported having experienced a non-fatal drowning [48]. Drowning deaths of people with dementia who die after going missing or wandering span from 11.3% to 42.1% [36,51] (Table 4).
Table 4. Studies reporting conditions within the diseases of the nervous system category.
Within the mental and behavioural conditions category, psychotic disorders (n = 15 studies) and mood disorders (n = 13 studies) were the two most commonly reported types of conditions implicated in cases of drowning. Drowning accounted for 9% of suicidal deaths in patients with schizophrenia in Taiwan [74]. Among those with psychotic disorders, drowning deaths varied from a high of 20.9% among people with personality disorders in Sweden [60] to a low of 1.3% of intentional drowning deaths in Australia [7]. Forty percent of psychiatric patients who died by suicide in South Korea drowned with psychotic disorders [75]. Psychotic disorders were present in 27.2% of patients who died from intentional drowning within one year of contact with mental health services in the UK [65].
Mood disorders (including bipolar and depression) were present in 61.3% of drowning deaths (both intentional and unintentional) in the Madurai region of India [79] and in 45.0% of intentional fatal drowning among psychiatric patients who suicided in South Korea [75]. A further eight studies reported substance abuse disorders. It should be noted that substance use disorders were present in 75.3% of suicidal drowning deaths in Australia [64] and 15.6% of drowning deaths in France [76] (Table 5).
Heart arrythmias (or related conditions) were the most commonly reported condition within the diseases of the circulatory system category, reported in eight studies [19,63,83,84,86,91,95,96]. Heart arrythmias were present in 22.9% of “unexplained” drowning deaths referred for a cardiac channel molecular autopsy in the USA [91] and 22.2% of diving-related drowning fatalities in Australia [95]. Among older people, heart arrythmias were present in 21.7% of bathtub drownings among people aged 65+ years in Canada [63] and 15.6% of the same cohort in Australia [19].
Ischaemic heart disease was identified in five included studies [53,55,85,89,90]. Two studies were from Greece, finding that ischaemic heart disease was present in 87.9% [85] and 51.8% of drowning deaths, respectively [89]. Two other studies reporting bath-related deaths found that ischaemic heart disease was present in 34.2% of bath-related deaths in Japan [53] and 73.7% in South Korea [55].
Among other circulatory system conditions, hypertensive heart disease was present in 66.7% of drowning deaths among those competing in triathlons in the USA [83,84], and atherosclerosis was found in 20% of those who drowned with a pre-existing medical condition in Greece [85] (Table 6).
Table 6. Studies reporting conditions within the diseases of the circulatory system category.
Table 5. Studies reporting conditions within the mental and behavioural conditions category.
There were 10 risk factors identified from the literature. These included increasing age, being at home, living near water, freshwater, medical conditions, medication (not on correct dose), sex (depending on medical condition), time of day and inpatient vs outpatient treatment (Table 7).
For epilepsy, there is an increase in the risk of drowning from between 3.8 times in the USA [39] to 82 times in China [47]. Specific to epilepsy and drowning, those with epilepsy in a study from the USA were found to be more likely to drown at home than in hospital or at a health care facility [31]; in rural China, those with epilepsy were found to have greater drowning risk if they resided in waterside areas than those living in the mountains [35], to have had epilepsy for a shorter period than those who survived [47] and to have a lower dosage of phenobarbital recorded at time of last follow up than those who survived [47].
By sex, females with personality disorders [60] and schizophrenia [74] were found to be at increased risk of suicidal drowning when compared to males; however, males were found to be at increased risk of dying from drowning with epilepsy [47]. Older age was found to be a risk factor for drowning with pre-existing medical conditions in studies of disability in South Korea (those aged 80+ years) [42], among coastal drowning fatalities in Australia [105] and for elderly patients with diabetes, hypertension and hepatitis in South Korea [69] (Table 7).
There were a total of 17 studies that discussed 26 unique strategies for preventing drowning related to pre-existing medical conditions [7,11,19,31,34,41,44,47,48,53,57,59,68,77,89,91,96]. The majority of strategies were administrative in nature when aligned to the Hierarchy of Control (n = 24; 92.3%) and all were proposed, as opposed to implemented and/or evaluated. Strategies were commonly educational in nature (n = 12 recommendations; 48.0% of all recommendations), followed by testing (n = 6; 24.0%), treatment (n = 3; 12.0%) and policy (n = 3; 12.0%) (Table 8).
Table 8. Drowning prevention strategies documented in included literature by medical condition.
Table 7. Risk factors related to pre-existing medical conditions and drowning.

4. Discussion

As the global population ages, the prevalence of comorbidities grows [109]. This systematic literature review shows that drowning occurs in people with pre-existing medical conditions, and that people with pre-existing medical conditions appear to be over-represented in drowning statistics. It also identified several conditions where drowning risk is heightened. Epilepsy was found to increase the relative risk of drowning by between 3.8 [39] and 82 times [47]. Risk factors for drowning in epilepsy included being of male sex [47], drowning at home [31], lower dosage of phenobarbital [47] (although it must be noted this is not a commonly used medication for seizure control/management in middle and high income country medical systems) and having a shorter duration of epilepsy [47]. Aside from seizures, other nervous system conditions, including dementia and Parkinson’s Disease, were also identified. Drowning is both a leading cause of death among those with dementia who die while wandering [36] and a common suicide method for those with dementia [50]. Parkinson’s Disease was reported to impact swimming ability leading to non-fatal drowning [48].
Mental and behavioural conditions was the second most commonly explored category of condition within the included literature. The included literature identified drowning as a popular suicide method for those with schizophrenia [74], psychotic disorders [77] and dementia [50]. Comprehensive psychiatric assessment and management and education in alcohol and substance misuse were recommended as education-based primary prevention strategies for intentional drowning involving mental and behavioural disorders, as well as bystander rescue and CPR training as secondary and tertiary measures [7]. Suicide response training for lifeguard and lifesavers has also been proposed, but not yet implemented or evaluated [68].
Diseases of the circulatory system were highlighted in 30% of included studies. Given ischaemic heart disease remains a leading cause of mortality globally [110], it is unsurprising to see cardiac conditions well represented within the drowning literature. Similarly, physical exercise such as swimming can temporarily increase the risk of aggravating cardiovascular conditions [85]. This is an important challenge, as aquatic exercise can be an effective and low-impact form of exercise, thus improving health and fitness [111]. The prevalence of unknown cardiac disease or cardiac conductivity issues during autopsy was also highlighted [63,83,86,91].
Diseases of the nervous system were also highlighted in the literature. Nervous systems disorders are wide-ranging, and this was reflected in the literature. The conditions that were highlighted appear to reflect those relating to the central nervous system and those that propagate immobility. Although aquatic exercise is often promoted to individuals with these conditions due to the non-weight bearing nature of the exercise, the risk of drowning must be considered. Levels of consciousness and mobility both pose a risk in drowning.
With this exploration of drowning and medical conditions, it was difficult to determine if there was an increased rate of drowning. For future studies, we propose that the studies include the total number of drowning deaths, the total number of people in the population, the population rate of the condition being studied and a relative risk (or similar) for drowning. This would allow future reviews to clearly be able to show the rate of drowning and the rate of drowning in the condition being explored, thus enabling a relative risk to be calculated.
One of the most common drowning prevention recommendations related to supervised bathing or the replacement of bathing with showering for those with diseases of the nervous system, such as seizure disorders [31]. Additionally, it was recommended that care givers of those with diseases of the circulatory system be aware of the drowning risks for those with such conditions, especially in the winter months [53]. For elderly adults with pre-existing medical conditions of any kind, showering with the use of an aid, such as a chair, was also recommended [19]. The majority of proposed drowning prevention encompassed primary drowning prevention strategies; however, many were administrative in nature, reflecting a low level of effectiveness on the hierarchy of control [27]. Additionally, all 25 unique drowning prevention recommendations were proposed only, identifying a knowledge gap regarding the efficacy of interventions based on implementation and evaluation.
Finally, with an aging population and increasing comorbidities comes an increased prescription medical rate, resulting in polypharmacy [112]. Multiple medications can contribute to drowning risk [113]; however, no study to date has examined the complex nature of polypharmacy, pre-existing medical conditions and adult drowning risk. This topic presents an opportunity for future research.
This study is the first to systematically explore the peer-reviewed literature to explore drowning and comorbidities and provides valuable information around conditions increasing drowning risk and research gaps. However, the findings of this study must be considered in light of some limitations. Within the included literature, we did not document if the person who drowned knew they had the particular condition or were treated appropriately for it. Only one included study reported medication levels as a risk factor, exploring phenobarbital levels among epileptics [47]. Secondly, the included studies are where drowning and a particular pre-existing medical condition co-occurred; there did not need to be, nor did we draw, a causal link between drowning and the condition in order for the study to be included in this review. Thirdly, where multiple pre-existing medical conditions are present, we did not examine the attributable drowning risk for individual conditions. All limitations also offer opportunities to strengthen the evidence base around medical conditions and drowning risk in the future.

5. Conclusions

Drowning occurs in people with existing medical conditions. This review has highlighted several pre-existing medical conditions that increase drowning risk; however, we also identified numerous research gaps. As we live longer and the proportion of the population with comorbidities increases, there is a need to better quantify the drowning risk associated with pre-existing medical conditions. Future research should include population level studies comparing disease prevalence in the general population to those who drown and better delineate the attributable risk for those with multiple medical conditions. In addition, there is a need for the implementation and evaluation of proposed strategies to reduce drowning burden and the risk associated with pre-existing medical conditions.

Author Contributions

Conceptualisation, D.H.T., R.C.F. and A.E.P.; methodology, D.H.T., A.E.P. and R.C.F.; data extraction, A.E.P. and D.H.T.; writing—original draft preparation, A.E.P.; writing—review and editing, A.E.P., D.H.T. and R.C.F. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

Not applicable.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Appendix A

Table A1. Databases and Search Terms Used.

Appendix B

Table A2. Characteristics of Included Studies (n = 83).

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