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21 pages, 3584 KB  
Article
A Study of Erosion–Cavitation Inception Synergy in Seawater Centrifugal Pumps
by Jamal El Mansour, Patrick Hendrick, Abdelowahed Hajjaji and Fouad Belhora
Processes 2026, 14(9), 1438; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14091438 - 29 Apr 2026
Abstract
In pico-hydropower, the use of pumps as turbines is a cost-effective solution, especially for remote areas. The abundant seawater makes it a good fluid for pumped storage. The operation of centrifugal pumps in normal and reverse modes involves thickness loss because of solid [...] Read more.
In pico-hydropower, the use of pumps as turbines is a cost-effective solution, especially for remote areas. The abundant seawater makes it a good fluid for pumped storage. The operation of centrifugal pumps in normal and reverse modes involves thickness loss because of solid particle concentration and vapor cavitation. Some research has been performed to predict cavitation in centrifugal pumps, but this issue still exists in several pico-hydropower plants. Therefore, to analyse the synergy between erosion and cavitation in a seawater centrifugal pump, we performed a CFD analysis to compute the effect of material mass loss due to erosion on cavitation risk. The Euler–Lagrangian method was used to track the released particles combined with the RNG k-ε turbulence model. The first part studied the effect of the surface mean roughness height (Ra) on the performance of the centrifugal pump. Increasing Ra from 0 to 15 μm decreases the pump hydraulic efficiency from 93% to 91%, respectively. The second analysis focused on the distribution of erosion thickness and its temporal evolution for 40 μm and 50 μm particles. For both the pump mode and the turbine mode, the erosion thickness is a polynomial function of power 2 with time. The most eroded regions are the blade leading edge (LE) and the blade trailing edge in pump and turbine mode, respectively. The last section focuses on analysing the effect of erosion thickness on cavitation damage. As the surface roughness increases, the cavitation damage power increases. The cavitation power risk increases from 111 kW to 156 kW in pump mode. In turbine mode, when the erosion thickness is between 0.0011 μm and 0.0022 μm, the cavitation damage is the same, approximately 170 kW, whereas the total gas distribution is uniformly distributed in the blade channel. With respect to seawater, the NPSHr increased compared with that with freshwater, from 3.35 m to 3.67 m. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue CFD Simulation of Fluid Machinery)
24 pages, 3327 KB  
Article
Performance Analysis of RIS-Assisted Modulating Retroreflector Underwater Optical Wireless Communication with Diversity Combining
by Amr G. AbdElKader, Ahmed Allam, Hossam M. Shalaby and Kazutoshi Kato
Optics 2026, 7(3), 31; https://doi.org/10.3390/opt7030031 - 29 Apr 2026
Abstract
Reconfigurable intelligent surfaces (RISs) have recently attracted attention as a potential solution for improving the reliability of optical wireless communication links, especially when direct transmission (DT) becomes severely degraded due to dynamic channel conditions. In this study, an RIS-assisted architecture based on a [...] Read more.
Reconfigurable intelligent surfaces (RISs) have recently attracted attention as a potential solution for improving the reliability of optical wireless communication links, especially when direct transmission (DT) becomes severely degraded due to dynamic channel conditions. In this study, an RIS-assisted architecture based on a modulating retroreflector is proposed for underwater optical wireless communications (MRR-UOWC). In the considered system, both the DT path and the RIS-assisted path transmit the same information simultaneously at the same data rate. The propagation channels are modeled by taking into account propagation loss, Gamma–Gamma turbulence, and pointing error effects. At the receiver, the signals arriving through the direct path and the RIS-reflected path are coherently combined. To evaluate the effectiveness of this configuration, two diversity combining techniques, namely selection combining (SC) and maximum ratio combining (MRC), are investigated. Closed-form analytical expressions for the outage probability (Pout), average bit-error rate (BER), and ergodic capacity (C¯) are derived using the probability density function (PDF), cumulative distribution function (CDF), and moment-generating function (MGF) of the end-to-end signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). The analysis indicates that jointly exploiting the DT and RIS-assisted links can provide noticeable performance gains by leveraging the complementary characteristics of the two propagation paths. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Photonics and Optical Communications)
28 pages, 5914 KB  
Article
VIV of Six-Cylinder Array with Partial Biofouling in Oscillatory Flow
by Henry Francis Annapeh and Victoria Kurushina
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(9), 816; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14090816 - 29 Apr 2026
Abstract
This paper presents a numerical investigation of vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of six elastically mounted circular cylinders in oscillatory flow, three smooth and three biofouled with triangular surface roughness elements. The study aims to characterise the influence of the longitudinal spacing ratio ( [...] Read more.
This paper presents a numerical investigation of vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of six elastically mounted circular cylinders in oscillatory flow, three smooth and three biofouled with triangular surface roughness elements. The study aims to characterise the influence of the longitudinal spacing ratio (L/D=3,4, and 5) on the two-degree-of-freedom (2DOF) vibration response at a constant Keulegan–Carpenter number of KC=10. Simulations are performed using the transient RANS equations with the SST kω turbulence model, and structural motion is resolved using a dynamic mesh approach. Lock-in behaviour is observed over the reduced velocity range 5Ur10. Biofouled cylinders generally exhibit higher in-line displacement amplitudes than smooth cylinders in the initial and lower lock-in branches, whereas smooth cylinders tend to attain higher in-line amplitudes in the upper lock-in branch. The spacing ratio L/D is found to significantly influence the response, with peak vibration amplitudes varying non-uniformly across the array and no single spacing configuration being optimal for all cylinders. This behaviour is further supported by analyses of trajectories, frequency content, and vorticity fields. Among the smooth cylinders, the middle cylinder exhibits the largest in-line displacement amplitude of 3.28D at L/D=5 and the largest cross-flow displacement of 1.34D at L/D=3. For the biofouled configurations, the middle and upstream cylinders show the highest in-line displacement amplitude of 2.69D at L/D=4, while the maximum cross-flow displacement of 1.27D is observed for the upstream cylinder at L/D=5. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Floating Offshore Structures: Hydrodynamic Analysis and Design)
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16 pages, 8763 KB  
Article
Multi-Soliton Solutions for the Combined KdV–mKdV Equation in Terms of Wronskian with Multi-Wave and Periodic Cross-Kink Dynamics
by Reem Abdullah Aljethi, Nida Raees, Irfan Mahmood and Ejaz Hussain
Mathematics 2026, 14(9), 1488; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14091488 - 28 Apr 2026
Abstract
This article examines the integrability of the combined KdV-mKdV equation, which provides an effective framework for modeling coherent structures in turbulent flows. We generate the explicit Darboux solutions for the combined KdV-mKdV equation using Wronskians. These results are further generalized to the K [...] Read more.
This article examines the integrability of the combined KdV-mKdV equation, which provides an effective framework for modeling coherent structures in turbulent flows. We generate the explicit Darboux solutions for the combined KdV-mKdV equation using Wronskians. These results are further generalized to the K-th order and supplemented as the logarithmic derivative of the K-th order Wronskian that provides us with the multi-soliton solutions. We generate the exact explicit solution for one-, two-, and three-solitons. Graphical depictions of the soliton formations’ interactions, dynamical characteristics, and temporal evolution are used to support these conclusions. Furthermore, we generate the multi-wave and periodic cross-kink wave solutions by employing bilinear formulism. The graphical representations of these nonlinear excitations highlight their extensive dynamical activity and structural complexity. Full article
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22 pages, 17825 KB  
Article
Design and Performance Analysis of a Micro-Axial Compressor for Downhole Boosting
by Jianyi Liu and Jiali Zhu
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(9), 4294; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16094294 - 28 Apr 2026
Abstract
Downhole boosting technology breaks the physical limitations of conventional surface boosting by enhancing pressure at the wellbore bottom, with micro-axial compressors serving as its core compression module. However, traditional axial compressors, when miniaturized, suffer from severe end losses and easy instability, failing to [...] Read more.
Downhole boosting technology breaks the physical limitations of conventional surface boosting by enhancing pressure at the wellbore bottom, with micro-axial compressors serving as its core compression module. However, traditional axial compressors, when miniaturized, suffer from severe end losses and easy instability, failing to adapt to downhole space constraints and the efficient pressurization demands of low-permeability, low-pressure, and small-flow reservoirs. To address this, this study designed a compact micro-axial compressor. CFturbo was used for parametric blade design and optimization, while ANSYS CFX 2025 (with the SST turbulence model) conducted numerical simulations. A “simulation–diagnosis–optimization–validation” closed-loop strategy was adopted to adjust the blade’s leading-edge shape, camber line, and thickness distribution, combined with grid independence verification and inter-stage matching optimization. The results show that at the design speed (60,000 rpm), the compressor achieves a pressure ratio of 1.57 and an isentropic efficiency of 83.6%. It also maintains stable performance at 55,000 rpm (off-design speed), with excellent inter-stage aerodynamic matching and controllable leakage losses. This compressor meets downhole operational needs, providing technical support for developing low-permeability, low-pressure, small-flow reservoirs. Full article
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21 pages, 8632 KB  
Article
A Simple Turbulent Exchange Approach for Estimating Reservoir Evaporation in Managing Water for Irrigation Using Remote Sensing and Ground Measurements
by Thanushan Kirupairaja and A. Salim Bawazir
AgriEngineering 2026, 8(5), 169; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering8050169 - 28 Apr 2026
Abstract
Effective management of reservoir water for irrigation is crucial in arid regions prone to drought and water shortages. However, evaporation losses from reservoirs remain poorly understood. Direct measurements typically quantify evaporation only at the measurement site rather than across the entire reservoir. This [...] Read more.
Effective management of reservoir water for irrigation is crucial in arid regions prone to drought and water shortages. However, evaporation losses from reservoirs remain poorly understood. Direct measurements typically quantify evaporation only at the measurement site rather than across the entire reservoir. This study introduces the Turbulent Exchange Approach for Reservoir Evaporation Estimation (TEAREE). The TEAREE is a simple model that integrates a bulk aerodynamic formulation with Landsat 8–9 satellite water-surface temperature data and meteorological observations to estimate spatially distributed daily reservoir evaporation. The TEAREE model was first evaluated at Elephant Butte and Caballo reservoirs in NM, USA, and subsequently applied across multiple reservoirs with diverse climatic conditions to demonstrate its applicability for estimating open-water evaporation. Daily evaporation was obtained by upscaling satellite overpass-time evaporation estimates using the daily-to-instantaneous vapor pressure deficit ratio (ke) and wind speed. The model performed strongly across 12 lakes (R2 = 0.91–0.99; RMSE = 0.27–0.85 mm/day) compared with the bulk aerodynamic (B_AER) method. Comparison with eddy covariance (EC) evaporation also showed good agreement. Monte Carlo analysis indicated moderate uncertainty associated with ke variability, supporting the operational use of a constant ke = 0.95 for daily upscaling. Full article
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26 pages, 8312 KB  
Article
Attention-Enhanced ResUNet for Dynamic Tropopause Pressure Retrieval over the Winter Tibetan Plateau: Integrating FY-4A Multi-Channel Data with Topographic Constraints
by Junjie Wu, Liang Bai, Mingrui Lu, Xiaojing Li, Wanyin Luo and Tinglong Zhang
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(9), 1342; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18091342 - 27 Apr 2026
Abstract
The dynamical tropopause layer pressure (DTLP) represents a key interface characterizing upper-tropospheric stratification and atmospheric dynamical structure. Its spatial morphology and gradient variations directly influence jet stream distribution as well as the intensity and location of clear-air turbulence (CAT). Over the Tibetan Plateau, [...] Read more.
The dynamical tropopause layer pressure (DTLP) represents a key interface characterizing upper-tropospheric stratification and atmospheric dynamical structure. Its spatial morphology and gradient variations directly influence jet stream distribution as well as the intensity and location of clear-air turbulence (CAT). Over the Tibetan Plateau, complex terrain and pronounced dynamical variability result in a significantly lower tropopause height and enhanced horizontal gradients during winter. Aircraft cruising altitudes frequently approach or intersect the tropopause layer in this region, making accurate and fine-scale characterization of DTLP structures critically important for aviation safety. A deep learning-based DTLP retrieval model (Att-ResUNetDEM) is developed by integrating terrain constraints and an attention mechanism. Using MERRA-2 reanalysis data as supervisory labels, the model incorporates a squeeze-and-excitation (SE) attention mechanism within a residual encoder–decoder framework, while a digital elevation model (DEM) is introduced as an additional input channel and fused with satellite brightness temperature data to explicitly account for terrain effects. A random forest (RF) model is implemented as a baseline for comparison. Compared with the RF model, the Att-ResUNetDEM reduces the MAE and RMSE by 13.20% and 9.19%, respectively, while increasing the correlation coefficient to 0.76. Over the primary aviation corridors of the Tibetan Plateau, the Att-ResUNetDEM model achieves a correlation coefficient(R) of 0.87, with markedly reduced gradient dispersion. A representative CAT case further confirms the model’s ability to capture the overall DTLP morphology and gradient enhancement zones. Overall, by combining a regionalized modeling strategy with terrain constraints, this study systematically improves DTLP retrieval accuracy and gradient consistency over complex terrain, providing a new technical pathway for high-resolution tropopause monitoring and aviation operation support. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Satellite Observation of Middle and Upper Atmospheric Dynamics)
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20 pages, 9061 KB  
Article
Turbulence and Energy Dissipation of Lateral Deflectors in Free-Surface Tunnel
by Jinrong Da, Yazhou Wang, Zongshi Dong, Fan Yang and Yizhou Cai
Water 2026, 18(9), 1035; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18091035 - 27 Apr 2026
Viewed by 29
Abstract
In the deep and narrow valleys of southwestern China, free-surface spillways are widely adopted as auxiliary flood-discharge structures in water conservancy projects. Owing to the high water head upstream, tunnels are often plagued by problems including excessive velocity, cavitation damage, and insufficient downstream [...] Read more.
In the deep and narrow valleys of southwestern China, free-surface spillways are widely adopted as auxiliary flood-discharge structures in water conservancy projects. Owing to the high water head upstream, tunnels are often plagued by problems including excessive velocity, cavitation damage, and insufficient downstream energy dissipation. Previous studies have demonstrated that the installation of novel lateral deflectors in tunnels can effectively regulate local flow patterns while providing additional energy dissipation capacity. In this study, physical model experiments combined with numerical simulations were employed to further compare the energy dissipation characteristics of lateral deflectors. The turbulent characteristics, the energy dissipation process, and the evolution of vortex structures were systematically analyzed based on turbulent kinetic energy, turbulence dissipation rate, fluctuating pressure coefficient, and Hilbert–Huang transform (HHT) spectral analysis. The results show that the novel lateral deflector significantly enhances local turbulence intensity and turbulent kinetic energy, promoting the conversion of mean kinetic energy into turbulent kinetic energy and its rapid dissipation within a shorter distance. Spectral energy reaches its peak in the jet impingement region, accompanied by a marked increase in high-frequency components, indicating an intensified energy transfer from large-scale vortices to small-scale vortices. These findings suggest that the novel deflector can serve as an effective internal energy dissipator in free-surface tunnels with shorter turbulent region and more local turbulence. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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35 pages, 2102 KB  
Review
A Review of the Structure of Free-Space Optical Channel Models: Physical Meaning, Assumptions, and Atmospheric Conditions
by Sabai Phuchortham and Hakilo Sabit
Photonics 2026, 13(5), 425; https://doi.org/10.3390/photonics13050425 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 111
Abstract
Free-space optical (FSO) communication is an attractive high-capacity wireless technology for terrestrial, aerial, and satellite links. However, FSO performance is strongly affected by multiple impairments, including path loss, turbulence attenuation, pointing errors, and equipment loss. Therefore, accurate performance evaluation requires channel modelling that [...] Read more.
Free-space optical (FSO) communication is an attractive high-capacity wireless technology for terrestrial, aerial, and satellite links. However, FSO performance is strongly affected by multiple impairments, including path loss, turbulence attenuation, pointing errors, and equipment loss. Therefore, accurate performance evaluation requires channel modelling that accounts for both deterministic power losses and stochastic channel effects. This paper presents a comprehensive and structured review of FSO channel modelling, covering the transmission, propagation medium, and receiver sections. The composite channel response is represented using a mathematical formulation. Commonly used FSO models are reviewed and organised, including Beer–Lambert and geometrical loss, Kim and Kruse path loss models, Lognormal, Gamma–Gamma, K, and Málaga distributions, along with pointing-error and angle-of-arrival models. Each model is explained in terms of its physical meaning, assumptions, and applicable operating conditions. Lastly, a numerical example is presented to demonstrate how deterministic losses and stochastic channel effects can be combined in FSO performance evaluation. Full article
37 pages, 2261 KB  
Article
A Hybrid Linear–Gaussian Process Framework with Adaptive Covariance Selection for Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Forecasting
by Thinawanga Hangwani Tshisikhawe, Caston Sigauke, Timotheous Brian Darikwa and Saralees Nadarajah
Forecasting 2026, 8(3), 36; https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast8030036 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 89
Abstract
Accurate wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it directly influences generation scheduling, grid stability, and energy market operations. Forecast errors can lead to significant economic losses, including increased balancing costs, inefficient dispatch of [...] Read more.
Accurate wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it directly influences generation scheduling, grid stability, and energy market operations. Forecast errors can lead to significant economic losses, including increased balancing costs, inefficient dispatch of backup generation, and penalties in electricity markets. However, wind behaviour is highly complex due to the influence of synoptic weather systems, terrain variability, and turbulence, which makes accurate prediction particularly challenging. This paper proposes a hybrid modelling framework that combines a linear regression mean model with Gaussian process (GP) residual modelling to improve forecast accuracy. Monitoring stations were grouped based on geographic coordinates and elevation, with cluster validation using the Hopkins statistic and silhouette analysis. The results show that for high-elevation inland stations (cluster 2), GP residual modelling improves forecast accuracy by up to 16.3%. In contrast, for low-elevation coastal stations (cluster 1), the GP approach does not yield improvements, indicating that its effectiveness depends strongly on the underlying wind regime. Full article
37 pages, 2874 KB  
Article
Unified Stochastic Differential Equation Modeling and Fuzzy-RL Control for Turbulent UWOC
by Bowen Si, Jiaoyi Hou, Dayong Ning, Yongjun Gong, Ming Yi and Fengrui Zhang
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2026, 14(9), 792; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse14090792 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 91
Abstract
Underwater wireless optical communication (UWOC) for autonomous underwater vehicles is severely compromised by the coupling of oceanic optical turbulence and platform motion. Traditional static statistical models fail to capture the temporal evolution of these stochastic processes, hindering effective real-time beam tracking. This paper [...] Read more.
Underwater wireless optical communication (UWOC) for autonomous underwater vehicles is severely compromised by the coupling of oceanic optical turbulence and platform motion. Traditional static statistical models fail to capture the temporal evolution of these stochastic processes, hindering effective real-time beam tracking. This paper proposes a unified dynamic framework and a hybrid intelligent control strategy to address beam misalignment in turbulent environments. First, a physically motivated stochastic differential equation (SDE) model is derived from the Radiative Transfer Equation via diffusion approximation. Validated by an inverse Fokker–Planck approach, this model accurately reconstructs drift fields for diverse channel conditions, serving as a dynamic generator for time-varying fading. Second, to maintain robust link alignment, a hybrid Fuzzy-Reinforcement Learning control strategy is developed. This approach integrates the interpretability of fuzzy logic with the adaptive optimization of Q-learning, incorporating a supervisor mechanism to handle deep fading events. Numerical simulations and hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) experiments demonstrate the system’s efficacy. The proposed controller achieves a median alignment error of 3.64 mm and reduces transient errors by over 80% compared to classical PID controllers during signal recovery. These results confirm that the proposed framework significantly enhances link stability and tracking robustness for AUVs in complex random media. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
21 pages, 5551 KB  
Article
The Effects of Tip Clearance on the Internal Flow Characteristics of a Mixed-Flow Pump Under Near-Stall Conditions
by Mingming Long, Wei Li, Haoming Li and Ramesh K. Agarwal
Water 2026, 18(9), 1027; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18091027 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 254
Abstract
Leakage flow interferes with the main flow movement and has a close relationship with the rotational stall phenomenon. To study the rotational stall characteristics of mixed-flow pumps under different tip clearances (rim clearances), numerical simulations of the internal flow field of the mixed-flow [...] Read more.
Leakage flow interferes with the main flow movement and has a close relationship with the rotational stall phenomenon. To study the rotational stall characteristics of mixed-flow pumps under different tip clearances (rim clearances), numerical simulations of the internal flow field of the mixed-flow pump were carried out based on the SST k-ω turbulence model and hexahedral structured meshes, with the tip clearances set to 0.2 mm, 0.5 mm, and 0.8 mm respectively. The external characteristics, internal flow field under stall conditions, impeller surface pressure, and internal vorticity distribution of the mixed-flow pump were compared among the three different tip clearances. The research results show that when the tip clearance is 0.5 mm, the numerical simulation results are in good agreement with the experimental results, indicating the high reliability of the simulation. Under the three different tip clearances, the near-stall and deep-stall operating points on the external characteristic curves are consistent. When the tip clearance is 0.8 mm, the positive slope characteristic of the flow rate–head curve of the mixed-flow pump is the most obvious. From the small flow rate condition to the large flow rate condition, the influence of the tip clearance on the efficiency of the mixed-flow pump gradually increases. Under deep-stall conditions, with increasing tip clearance, the stall vortex at the flow passage outlet causes more intense disturbances to the inlet of the downstream flow passage and induces the formation of new stall vortices at the downstream passage inlet, thereby increasing internal flow losses. The increase in the tip clearance leads to changes in the morphology of the leakage vortex, a decrease in the impeller surface pressure, intensification of flow disorder, and enhancement of the leakage vortex intensity. Moreover, compared with the rated condition, the leakage vortex of the mixed-flow pump under stall conditions is more affected by the tip clearance. Full article
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35 pages, 10652 KB  
Article
Unveiling Long-Memory Dynamics in Turbulent Markets: A Novel Fractional-Order Attention-Based GRU-LSTM Framework with Multifractal Analysis
by Yangxin Wang and Yuxuan Zhang
Fractal Fract. 2026, 10(5), 293; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract10050293 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 103
Abstract
Financial time series in turbulent markets exhibit complex long-memory dynamics and multifractal features that traditional deep learning models fail to capture due to inherent exponential forgetting mechanisms. To address this, we propose Frac-Attn-GL, a novel Fractional-order Spatiotemporal Attention-based GRU-LSTM framework. Grounded in the [...] Read more.
Financial time series in turbulent markets exhibit complex long-memory dynamics and multifractal features that traditional deep learning models fail to capture due to inherent exponential forgetting mechanisms. To address this, we propose Frac-Attn-GL, a novel Fractional-order Spatiotemporal Attention-based GRU-LSTM framework. Grounded in the Fractal Market Hypothesis, the model embeds Grünwald–Letnikov fractional-order operators into a dual-channel architecture (FracLSTM and FracGRU) to characterize long-range memory with rigorous power-law decay priors. Furthermore, an extreme-aware asymmetric loss function is designed to drive a dynamic spatiotemporal routing mechanism, enabling adaptive shifts between long-term macro trends and short-term micro shocks. Empirical tests on major U.S. stock indices reveal three significant findings. First, the Frac-Attn-GL framework substantially reduces prediction errors, achieving up to a 93.1% RMSE reduction on the highly volatile NASDAQ index compared to standard baselines. Second, the adaptively learned fractional-order parameters exhibit a consistent quantitative alignment with the market’s empirical multifractal singularity spectrum, supporting the physical interpretability of the model’s endogenous memory mechanism. Finally, hybrid residual multifractal diagnostics indicate that the framework effectively captures deep long-range correlations, reducing the Hurst exponent of the prediction residuals from ~0.83 to approximately 0.50, a level consistent with the absence of significant long-range dependence. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fractal Approaches and Machine Learning in Financial Markets)
26 pages, 2935 KB  
Article
Advancing Clear-Air Turbulence Detection with Hybrid Predictive Models for a Regional Aviation Corridor in Southeast Brazil
by Alessana Carrijo Rosette, Gutemberg Borges França, Haroldo Fraga de Campos Velho, Heloisa Musetti Ruivo and Ivan Bitar Fiuza de Mello
Atmosphere 2026, 17(5), 440; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17050440 - 26 Apr 2026
Viewed by 175
Abstract
Severe clear-air turbulence (CAT) remains a relevant hazard to aviation safety, often occurring without visible atmospheric indicators. This study presents a hybrid forecasting framework that integrates Global Forecast System outputs with machine-learning algorithms to predict severe CAT events over Southeast Brazil. To enhance [...] Read more.
Severe clear-air turbulence (CAT) remains a relevant hazard to aviation safety, often occurring without visible atmospheric indicators. This study presents a hybrid forecasting framework that integrates Global Forecast System outputs with machine-learning algorithms to predict severe CAT events over Southeast Brazil. To enhance predictive performance and reduce model complexity, a statistically grounded dimensionality reduction approach based on p-value filtering and false discovery rate control was applied, resulting in a compact set of physically interpretable predictors. Several machine-learning classifiers were then evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis to assess their predictive skill. The results show that relatively simple models can achieve strong discrimination when combined with rigorous feature selection, outperforming baseline turbulence diagnostics. These findings highlight the value of combining physically consistent diagnostics with data-driven approaches for regional severe CAT forecasting. Overall, the proposed framework provides an efficient and adaptable strategy that can support improved turbulence awareness and contribute to enhanced aviation safety. Full article
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15 pages, 25979 KB  
Article
Investigation of Three-Dimensional Flow Around a Model Samara Wing Depending on the Angle of Attack
by Neslihan Aydın, Ebubekir Beyazoglu and Irfan Karagoz
Biomimetics 2026, 11(5), 299; https://doi.org/10.3390/biomimetics11050299 - 25 Apr 2026
Viewed by 316
Abstract
One of the engineering applications inspired by nature is bio-inspired wings. The aerodynamic properties and autorotation characteristics of samara wing models have been studied extensively using both experimental and numerical methods. However, the three-dimensional flow behavior and angle of attack interaction around a [...] Read more.
One of the engineering applications inspired by nature is bio-inspired wings. The aerodynamic properties and autorotation characteristics of samara wing models have been studied extensively using both experimental and numerical methods. However, the three-dimensional flow behavior and angle of attack interaction around a natural samara wing are not yet fully understood. This study investigates the flow behavior around a samara wing model, with the aim of underlying physics and qualitatively analyzing the flow field, as well as the aerodynamic forces and stresses. Since the samara wing and the flow around it are three-dimensional, the difficulty of experimental investigation was taken into account, and the numerical analysis was performed using Computational Fluid Dynamics techniques. The results obtained from the numerical solution of the governing equations for three-dimensional turbulent flow were verified with experimental data. The calculations were performed by varying the angle of attack of the model wing between 0 and 50 degrees at 10-degree intervals. Depending on the angle of attack, the velocity field around the wing, surface pressure, and stress distributions, vortex structures formed on the wing and streamlines were analyzed, and the results were presented. This study and its results on this model may lead to the development and optimization of the model and its use in turbines or air vehicles. Full article
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