Search Results (2,016)

Centipedes (Chilopoda, Myriapoda) are crucial soil predators, yet their vulnerability to climate and land use change remains unexplored. We assess the impact of these drivers on Greek centipedes, identify current and future biodiversity hotspots, and evaluate the effectiveness of the Natura 2000 Network of protected areas for their conservation. We used an updated species occurrence database of Greek centipedes, derived from literature reviews and museum collections, and evaluated database completeness and geographic sampling biases. Species Distribution Models were employed to predict future distribution shifts under climate and land use change scenarios. Biodiversity hotspots were identified based on species richness (SR) and corrected-weighted endemism (CWE) metrics. We overlapped SR and CWE metrics against the Natura 2000 Network to assess its effectiveness. We found that sampling effort is highly heterogeneous across Greece. All species are projected to experience range contractions, particularly in the 2080s, with variation across scenarios and taxa. Current biodiversity hotspots are concentrated in the south Aegean islands and mainland mountain ranges, where areas of persistent high biodiversity are also projected to occur. The Natura 2000 Network currently covers 52% of SR and 44% of CWE hotspots, with projected decreases in SR coverage but increases in CWE coverage. Our work highlights the vulnerability of Greek centipedes to climate and land use change and reveals conservation shortfalls within protected areas. We identify priority areas for future field surveys, based on sampling bias and survey completeness assessments, and highlight the need for further research into mechanisms driving centipede responses to global change. Full article

Urban green spaces (UGSs) are a vital component of urban landscapes nowadays, with an impact on energy distribution in cities and local climate regulation. This study aims to quantify the thermal and optical behavior of various materials in a small-scale Mediterranean UGS and provide insights into the use of green and artificial materials in urban parks. The analysis also includes the changes in the UGS’s optical and thermal properties following its restoration in 2024. The thermal comfort in the UGS is assessed for the 2020–2024 period, along with the reflectivity and surface temperatures of the different materials pre- (in 2022) and post-restoration (in 2024), using in situ measurements. The results show notable seasonal and interannual variability in the thermal comfort of the site. The impact of vegetation on the UGS was critical. The vegetation-covered surfaces exhibited surface temperatures close to ambient air temperature, highlighting their effective thermal regulation. During summer mornings, the average temperatures of the vegetation-covered surfaces were around 30.5 °C, lower compared to artificial or non-green materials, like asphalt, concrete, gravel, and dry bare soil, which were above 42 °C. The vegetation albedo was relatively lower (around 0.19), while artificial covers showed a greater reflectance (up to 0.35), thus boosting the heat retention. These results highlight the essential importance of green infrastructure incorporation to boost the thermal dynamics of urban open spaces and mitigate climate change effects. Full article

Leaf litter conservation practices in forests can contribute to increasing CO₂ storage in natural soils as organic matter; however, this process depends on the type of vegetation cover. This study, using different approaches, aimed to assess this process starting from the characteristics of three different types of litters and topsoil (0–5 cm depth) originating from chestnut, beech, and pine in various forest locations within the territory of Edolo (Camonica Valley, Central Italian Alps). Both labile (DOM) and recalcitrant (ROM) organic matter fractions were considered. Microbial degradation activity was strongly influenced by DOM (DOM vs. Respiration mg CO₂ g⁻¹ dry matter: r = 0.96), and NMR spectroscopy showed that aromatic C and polymethylene C in long-chain aliphatic structures (e.g., lipids, cutin) became more evident from litters to topsoils due to a concentration effect. Finally, chemometric elaboration of quantitative and qualitative data identified two principal component (PC) profiles, explaining 88% of the total variance, in which litter and the topsoil samples were spatially separated, indicating that significant changes occurred during the decomposition process. An Evolution Index (EI) calculated highlighted greater changes for chestnut (0.90) followed by pine (0.60) and beech (0.48), in agreement with chemical (degradation rates of 14.21%, 49.11%, and 48% for beech, chestnut, and pine litter, respectively) and spectroscopic data. Beech litter appears to be more efficient at conserving organic carbon. These findings underscore the importance of understanding litter characteristics for forest management, suggesting which species are most effective in promoting soil carbon storage. Full article

Global climate change has intensified the frequency and severity of drought events, posing significant threats to agricultural sustainability, particularly for water-sensitive crops such as tea. In northern China, where precipitation is unevenly distributed and evapotranspiration rates are high, tea plantations frequently experience water stress, leading to reduced yields and declining quality. Therefore, accurately simulating soil water content (SWC) is essential for drought forecasting, soil moisture management, and the development of precision irrigation strategies. However, due to the high complexity of soil–vegetation–atmosphere interactions in field conditions, the practical application of the HYDRUS-1D model in northern China remains relatively limited. To address this issue, a three-year continuous monitoring campaign (2021–2023) was conducted in a coastal area of northern China, covering both young tea plantations and adjacent grasslands. Based on the measured meteorological and soil data, the HYDRUS-1D model was used to simulate SWC dynamics across 10 soil layers (0–100 cm). The model was calibrated and validated against observed SWC data to evaluate its accuracy and applicability. The simulation results showed that the model performed reasonably well, achieving an R² of 0.739 for the tea plantation and 0.878 for the grassland, indicating good agreement with the measured values. These findings demonstrate the potential of physics-based modeling for understanding vertical soil water processes under different land cover types and provide a scientific basis for improving irrigation strategies and water use efficiency in tea-growing regions. Full article

This study presents a scenario-based assessment of the future sensitivity of minimal low-water runoff to climate change in Western Kazakhstan. An ensemble of global climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), combined with dynamically downscaled projections for Central Asia, was applied to estimate minimal monthly runoff during the summer–autumn and winter low-water periods for the rivers of the Zhaiyk–Caspian water management basin. The analysis covers three future time horizons: 2040 (2031–2050), 2060 (2051–2070), and 2080 (2071–2090), under two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios: SSP3-7.0 (moderately high emissions) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions). The results reveal a pronounced seasonal contrast in the projected hydrological response. During the winter low-water period, a steady increase in minimal runoff is projected for all rivers, with the most significant changes observed for the Or, Zhem, Temir, and Shagan rivers. This increase is primarily driven by higher winter precipitation, increased thaw frequency, and enhanced infiltration recharge. Conversely, despite modest increases in summer–autumn precipitation, minimal runoff during the summer–autumn low-water period is projected to decline significantly, particularly in the southern basins, due to elevated evapotranspiration rates and soil moisture deficits associated with rising air temperatures. These findings emphasize the importance of developing seasonally differentiated, climate-resilient water management strategies to mitigate low-flow risks and ensure water security under future climate conditions in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article

Climate change poses unprecedented challenges to forest ecosystems. Betula alnoides, a tree species with significant ecological and economic value in southern China, has been the subject of studies on its distribution pattern and response to climate change. However, research on the distribution pattern of B. alnoides and its response to climate change remains relatively limited. In this study, we developed a MaxEnt model incorporating multiple environmental variables, including climate, topography, soil, vegetation, and human activities, to evaluate model performance, identify key factors influencing the distribution of B. alnoides, and project its potential distribution under various future climate scenarios. Species occurrence data and environmental layers were compiled for China, and model parameters were optimized using the ENMeval package. The results showed that the optimized model achieved an AUC value of 0.956, indicating extremely high predictive accuracy. The four key factors affecting the distribution of B. alnoides were standard deviation of temperature seasonality (Bio4), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), and annual precipitation (Bio12). Among them, the cumulative contribution rate of climatic factors reached 68.9%, but the influence of NDVI was significantly higher than that of precipitation factors. The current suitable habitat of B. alnoides is mainly concentrated in the southwestern region, covering an area of 179.32 × 10⁴ km², which accounts for 18.68% of China’s land area. Under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitat area first decreases and then increases in the future, while under the SSP370 and SSP585 scenarios, the suitable habitat area continues to shrink, with significant losses in high-suitability areas. In addition, the centroid of the suitable habitat of B. alnoides shows an overall trend of shifting northwestward. This indicates that B. alnoides is highly sensitive to climate change and its distribution pattern will undergo significant changes in the future. In conclusion, the distribution pattern of B. alnoides shows a significant response to climate change, with particularly prominent losses in high-suitability areas in the future. Therefore, it is recommended to strengthen the protection of high-suitability areas in the southwestern region and consider B. alnoides as an alternative tree species for regions facing warming and drying trends to enhance its climate adaptability. Full article

Understanding and predicting changes in land evapotranspiration (ET) during droughts is crucial for elucidating land-atmosphere interactions. While previous studies have primarily focused on overall ET or individual components, they often overlook the mutual influences among different ET components. To address this gap, this study presents the first global analysis of concurrent changes in multiple ET components during meteorological droughts. Utilizing advanced satellite-based and reanalysis-based datasets, including the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM) and the ECMWF reanalysis v5 (ERA5-Land) for the period 2000–2020, we find that the average probability of drought-driven increases in ET (P(ET+)) was approximately 0.5 during drought events. In contrast, the probabilities of an increase for the primary components—bare soil evaporation (Eb), canopy interception evaporation (Ei), and transpiration (Et)—were below 0.4, while the probability of drought-driven increases in snow sublimation (Es) exceeded 0.6. Globally, ET decreased by an average of 20.5 mm/month during a given drought period, though it increased in humid regions and snow-covered areas. Mild droughts resulted in an overall ET reduction, with increases in Eb and Es partially offsetting decreases in Et and Ei. However, as drought intensity increased, ET shifted toward an increase, which was constrained under extreme droughts. These findings highlight the asymmetric and interdependent responses of ET components to drought, underscoring the critical need to understand these interactions for accurately predicting ET dynamics under drought stress. Full article

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of vineyard cultivation time and the use of metal-based fungicides on the chemical fractions of soil organic matter (SOM) as well as their interactions with Cu, Zn, and Mn in vineyard soils from Southern Brazil with varying histories of fungicide application. Soil samples were collected in 2017 from vineyards aged 35, 37, and 39 years in the Serra Gaúcha region and 13, 19, and 36 years in the Campanha Gaúcha. In each region, samples were also collected from a non-anthropized reference area. In the oldest vineyards, sampling was conducted both within and between the rows of planting. Chemical fractionation of SOM was performed: non-humic substances (nHSs), particulate organic matter (POM), fulvic acid (FA), humic acid (HA), and humin (Hu). Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectra were obtained for the HA, from which the aromaticity index (AI) and relative intensities (RIs) were calculated. In each SOM fraction, total organic carbon and the concentrations of Cu, Zn, and Mn were determined. Changes in land use alter the forms and distribution of soil organic carbon (SOC) and, consequently, of metals. Elemental and spectroscopic analyses of HS revealed that HA in the reference areas (forest and native grassland) was more aliphatic and had higher concentrations of polysaccharides, indicating fractions with a lower degree of stabilization. However, in vineyard areas, HA exhibited greater humification and aromaticity. Increasing cultivation time gradually increased soil carbon content, indicating that viticultural agroecosystems can sequester carbon in the soil over time, reaching levels similar to those observed in the reference areas. When comparing vineyard areas alone, with row collections and inter-row collections, we observed an increase in SOC levels in areas managed with cover crops, demonstrating the importance of conservation management in these areas. When evaluating the distribution of metals in these soils, we could observe the high affinity of Cu for the functional groups of SOM, with FA and HA responsible for the complexation of these elements in the soil. For Zn and Mn, the greatest accumulations were observed in the Hu fraction due to their greater affinity for soil clay minerals. This shows that soil organic matter is a key component in the complexation of metals in soils, reducing their availability and potential toxicity to cultivated plants. Full article

Flash floods, exacerbated by climate change and land use alterations, are among the most destructive natural hazards globally, leading to significant damage and loss of life. In this context, the Flash Flood Potential Index (FFPI), which is a terrain and land surface-based model, and Google Earth Engine (GEE) were used to assess flood-prone zones across North Macedonia’s watersheds. The presented GEE-based assessment was accomplished by a custom script that automates the FFPI calculation process by integrating key factors derived from publicly available sources. These factors, which define susceptibility to torrential floods, include slope (Copernicus GLO-30 DEM), land cover (Copernicus GLO-30 DEM), soil type (SoilGrids), vegetation (ESA World Cover), and erodibility (CHIRPS). The spatial distribution of average FFPI values across 1396 small catchments (10–100 km²) revealed that a total of 45.4% of the area exhibited high to very high susceptibility, with notable spatial variability. The CHIRPS rainfall data (2000–2024) that combines satellite imagery and in situ measurements was used to estimate peak 24 h runoff and discharge. To improve the accuracy of CHIRPS, the data were adjusted by 30–50% to align with meteorological station records, along with normalized FFPI values as runoff coefficients. Validation against 328 historical river flood and flash flood records confirmed that 73.2% of events aligned with moderate to very high flash flood susceptibility catchments, underscoring the model’s reliability. Thus, the presented cloud-based scenario highlights the potential of the GEE’s efficacy in scalability and robustness for flash flood modeling and regional risk management at national scale. Full article

Bare land exposed by glacier retreat provides new opportunities for ecosystem development. Investigating primary vegetation succession in deglaciated regions can provide significant insights for ecological restoration, particularly for future climate change scenarios. Nonetheless, research on this topic in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau has been exceedingly limited. This study aimed to investigate vegetation succession in the deglaciated area of the Zepu glacier during the Little Ice Age in southeastern Tibet. Quadrat surveys were performed on arboreal communities, and trends in vegetation change were assessed utilizing multi-year (1986–2024) remote sensing data. The findings indicate that vegetation succession in the Zepu glacier deglaciated area typically adheres to a sequence of bare land–shrub–tree, divided into four stages: (1) shrub (species include Larix griffithii Mast., Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. yunnanensis Rousi, Betula utilis D. Don, and Populus pseudoglauca C. Wang & P. Y. Fu); (2) broadleaf forest primarily dominated by Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. yunnanensis Rousi; (3) mixed coniferous–broadleaf forest with Hippophae rhamnoides subsp. yunnanensis Rousi and Populus pseudoglauca C. Wang & P. Y. Fu as the dominant species; and (4) mixed coniferous–broadleaf forest dominated by Picea likiangensis (Franch.) E. Pritz. Soil depth and NDVI both increase with succession. Species diversity is significantly higher in the third stage compared to other successional stages. In addition, soil moisture content is significantly greater in the broadleaf-dominated communities than in the conifer-dominated communities. An analysis of NDVI from 1986 to 2024 reveals an overall positive trend in vegetation recovery in the area, with 93% of the area showing significant vegetation increase. Temperature is the primary controlling factor for this recovery, showing a positive correlation with vegetation cover. The results indicate that Key ecological indicators—including species composition, diversity, NDVI, soil depth, and soil moisture content—exhibit stage-specific patterns, reflecting distinct phases of primary succession. These findings enhance our comprehension of vegetation succession in deglaciated areas and their influencing factors in deglaciated areas, providing theoretical support for vegetation restoration in climate change. Full article

As an important ecological barrier and animal husbandry resource base in arid and semi-arid areas, grassland degradation directly affects regional ecological security and sustainable development. Ili Prefecture is located in the western part of Xinjiang, China, and is a typical grassland resource-rich area. However, in recent years, driven by climate change and human activities, grassland degradation has become increasingly serious. In view of the lack of comprehensive evaluation indicators and the inconsistency of grassland evaluation grade standards in remote sensing monitoring of grassland resource degradation, this study takes the current situation of grassland degradation in Ili Prefecture in the past 20 years as the research object and constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system covering three criteria layers of vegetation characteristics, environmental characteristics, and utilization characteristics. Net primary productivity (NPP), vegetation coverage, temperature, precipitation, soil erosion modulus, and grazing intensity were selected as multi-source indicators. Combined with data sources such as remote sensing inversion, sample survey, meteorological data, and farmer survey, the factor weight coefficient was determined by analytic hierarchy process. The Grassland Degeneration Comprehensive Index (GDCI) model was constructed to carry out remote sensing monitoring and evaluation of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture. With reference to the classification threshold of the national standard for grassland degradation, the GDCI grassland degradation evaluation grade threshold (GDCI reduction rate) was determined by the method of weighted average of coefficients: non-degradation (0–10%), mild degradation (10–20%), moderate degradation (20–37.66%) and severe degradation (more than 37.66%). According to the results, between 2000 and 2022, non-degraded grasslands in Ili Prefecture covered an area of 27,200 km², representing 90.19% of the total grassland area. Slight, moderate, and severe degradation accounted for 4.34%, 3.33%, and 2.15%, respectively. Moderately and severely degraded areas are primarily distributed in agro-pastoral transition zones and economically developed urban regions, respectively. The results revealed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture and provided data basis and technical support for regional grassland resource management, degradation prevention and control and ecological restoration. Full article

Situated in the southern hilly-mountain belt of China’s “Three Zones and Four Belts Strategy”, Gannan region is a critical ecological shelter belt for the Ganjiang River. Decades of intensive mineral extraction and irrational agricultural development have rendered it into an ecologically fragile area. Consequently, multiple restoration initiatives have been implemented in the region over recent decades. However, it remains unclear how relationships among ecosystem services have evolved under these interventions and how future ecosystem management should be optimized based on these changes. Thus, in this study, we simulated and assessed the spatiotemporal dynamics of five key ESs in Gannan region from 1990 to 2020. Through integrated correlation, clustering, and redundancy analyses, we quantified ES interactions, tracked the evolution of ecosystem service bundles (ESBs), and identified their socio-ecological drivers. Despite a 31% decline in water yield, ecological restoration initiatives drove substantial improvements in key regulating services: carbon storage increased by 6.9 × 10¹² gC while soil conservation rose by 4.8 × 10⁸ t. Concurrently, regional habitat quality surged by 45% in mean scores, and food production increased by 2.1 × 10⁵ t. Critically, synergistic relationships between habitat quality, soil retention, and carbon storage were progressively strengthened, whereas trade-offs between food production and habitat quality intensified. Further analysis revealed that four distinct ESBs—the Agricultural Production Bundle (APB), Urban Development Bundle (UDB), Eco-Agriculture Transition Bundle (ETB), and Ecological Protection Bundle (EPB)—were shaped by slope, forest cover ratio, population density, and GDP. Notably, 38% of the ETB transformed into the EPB, with frequent spatial interactions observed between the APB and UDB. These findings underscore that future ecological restoration and conservation efforts should implement coordinated, multi-service management mechanisms. Full article

In early May 2025, extreme wildfires swept across Manitoba, Canada, fueled by unseasonably warm temperatures, prolonged drought, and stressed vegetation. We explore how multi-source satellite indicators—such as anomalies in snow cover, precipitation, temperature, vegetation indices, and soil moisture in April–May—jointly signal landscape preconditioning for fire, highlighting the potential of these compound anomalies to inform fire risk awareness in boreal regions. Results indicate that rainfall deficits and diminished snowpack significantly reduced soil moisture, which subsequently decreased vegetative greenness and created a flammable environment prior to ignition. This concept captures how multiple moderate anomalies, when occurring simultaneously, can converge to create high-impact fire conditions that would not be flagged by individual thresholds alone. These findings underscore the importance of integrating climate and biosphere anomalies into wildfire risk monitoring to enhance preparedness in boreal regions under accelerating climate change. Full article

The landscapes of the Arctic seem endless. But they are also subject to anthropogenic impact, especially in urbanized and industrial ecosystems. The population of the Arctic zone of Russia is extremely urbanized, and up to 84% of the population lives in cities and industrial settlements. In this regard, we studied the background soils of forests and tundras and the soils of settlements. The main signs of the urbanogenic morphogenesis of soils associated with the transportation of material for urban construction are revealed. The peculiarities of soils of recreational, residential, and industrial zones of urbanized ecosystems are described. The questions of diversity and the classification of soils are discussed. The specificity of bulk soils used in the construction of industrial structures in the context of the initial stage of soil formation is considered. For the first time, soils and soil cover of settlements in the central and southern parts of the Yamal region are described in the context of traditional pedology. It is shown that the construction of new soils and grounds can lead to both decreases and increases in biodiversity, including the appearance of protected species. Surprisingly, the forms of urban soil formation in the Arctic are very diversified in terms of morphology, as well as in the ecological functions performed by soils. The urbanization of past decades has drastically changed the local soil cover. Full article

Tillage is a major factor influencing soil biological communities, particularly earthworms, which play a key role in soil structure and nutrient cycling. To address soil degradation, less-intensive tillage practices are increasingly being adopted globally and have shown positive effects on earthworm populations when applied consistently over extended periods. However, understanding of the earthworm population dynamics in the period following the implementation of changes in tillage practices remains limited. This three-year field study (2021–2023) investigates earthworm populations during the early transition phase (4–6 years) following the conversion from conventional ploughing to conservation (<8 cm depth, with residue retention) and no-tillage systems in a temperate arable system in central Slovenia. Earthworms were sampled annually in early October from three adjacent fields, each following the same three-year crop rotation (maize—winter cereal + cover crop—soybeans), using a combination of hand-sorting and allyl isothiocyanate (AITC) extraction. Results showed that reduced tillage practices significantly increased both earthworm biomass and abundance compared to conventional ploughing. However, a significant interaction between tillage and year was observed, with a sharp decline in earthworm abundance and mass in 2022, likely driven by a combination of 2022 summer tillage prior to cover crop sowing and extreme drought conditions. Juvenile earthworms were especially affected, with their proportion decreasing from 62% to 34% in ploughed plots and from 63% to 26% in conservation tillage plots. Despite interannual fluctuations, no-till showed the lowest variability in earthworm population. Long-term monitoring is essential to disentangle management and environmental effects and to inform resilient soil management strategies. Full article