Search Results (2,312)

Microbial carbon use efficiency (CUE) is an important indicator of soil organic carbon accumulation and loss and a key parameter in biogeochemical cycling models. Its regulatory mechanism is highly dependent on microbial communities and their dynamic mediation of abiotic factors. Land-use change (e.g., agricultural expansion, deforestation, urbanization) profoundly alter carbon input patterns and soil physicochemical properties, further exacerbating the complexity and uncertainty of CUE. Existing carbon cycle models often neglect microbial ecological processes, resulting in an incomplete understanding of how microbial traits interact with environmental factors to regulate CUE. This paper provides a comprehensive review of the microbial regulation mechanisms of CUE under land-use change and systematically explores how microorganisms drive organic carbon allocation through community compositions, interspecies interactions, and environmental adaptability, with particular emphasis on the synergistic response between microbial communities and abiotic factors. We found that the buffering effect of microbial communities on abiotic factors during land-use change is a key factor determining CUE change patterns. This review not only provides a theoretical framework for clarifying the microbial-dominated carbon turnover mechanism but also lays a scientific foundation for the precise implementation of sustainable land management and carbon neutrality goals. Full article

In the context of achieving low-carbon goals, building low-carbon energy systems is a crucial development direction and implementation pathway. Renewable energy is favored because of its clean characteristics, but the access may have an impact on the power grid. Microgrid technology provides an effective solution to this problem. Uncertainty exists in single microgrids, so multiple microgrids are introduced to improve system stability and robustness. Electric carbon trading and profit redistribution among multiple microgrids have been challenges. To promote energy commensurability among microgrids, expand the types of energy interactions, and improve the utilization rate of renewable energy, this paper proposes a cooperative operation optimization model of multi-microgrids based on the green certificate and carbon trading mechanism to promote local energy consumption and a low carbon economy. First, this paper introduces a carbon capture system (CCS) and power-to-gas (P2G) device in the microgrid and constructs a cogeneration operation model coupled with a power-to-gas carbon capture system. On this basis, a low-carbon operation model for multi-energy microgrids is proposed by combining the local carbon trading market, the stepped carbon trading mechanism, and the green certificate trading mechanism. Secondly, this paper establishes a cooperative game model for multiple microgrid electricity carbon trading based on the Nash negotiation theory after constructing the single microgrid model. Finally, the ADMM method and the asymmetric energy mapping contribution function are used for the solution. The case study uses a typical 24 h period as an example for the calculation. Case study analysis shows that, compared with the independent operation mode of microgrids, the total benefits of the entire system increased by 38,296.1 yuan and carbon emissions were reduced by 30,535 kg through the coordinated operation of electricity–carbon coupling. The arithmetic example verifies that the method proposed in this paper can effectively improve the economic benefits of each microgrid and reduce carbon emissions. Full article

This paper addresses the trajectory tracking control problem of underactuated ships in ocean engineering, which faces the dual challenges of tracking error time–performance regulation and robustness design due to the system’s underactuated characteristics, model uncertainties, and external disturbances. Aiming to address the issues of traditional finite-time control (convergence time dependent on initial states) and fixed-time control (control chattering and parameter conservativeness), this paper proposes a predefined-time adaptive control framework that integrates an event-triggered mechanism and neural networks. By constructing a Lyapunov function with time-varying weights and designing non-periodic dynamically updated dual triggering conditions, the convergence process of tracking errors is strictly constrained within a user-prespecified time window without relying on initial states or introducing non-smooth terms. An adaptive approximator based on radial basis function neural networks (RBF-NNs) is employed to compensate for unknown nonlinear dynamics and external disturbances in real-time. Combined with the event-triggered mechanism, it dynamically adjusts the update instances of control inputs, ensuring prespecified tracking accuracy while significantly reducing computational resource consumption. Theoretical analysis shows that all signals in the closed-loop system are uniformly ultimately bounded, tracking errors converge to a neighborhood of the origin within the predefined-time, and the update frequency of control inputs exhibits a linear relationship with the predefined-time, avoiding Zeno behavior. Simulation results verify the effectiveness of the proposed method in complex marine environments. Compared with traditional control strategies, it achieves more accurate trajectory tracking, faster response, and a substantial reduction in control input update frequency, providing an efficient solution for the engineering implementation of embedded control systems in unmanned ships. Full article

Effective earthquake early warning (EEW) is essential for disaster prevention in the built environment, enabling a rapid structural response, system shutdown, and occupant evacuation to mitigate damage and casualties. However, most current EEW systems lack rigorous reliability analyses of their predictive outcomes, limiting their effectiveness in real-world scenarios—especially for on-site warnings, where data are limited and time is critical. To address these challenges, we propose a Bayesian neural network (BNN) framework based on Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). By performing Bayesian inference, we estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters, thus outputting a reliability analysis of the prediction results. In addition, we incorporate a continual learning mechanism based on elastic weight consolidation, allowing the system to adapt quickly without full retraining. Our experiments demonstrate that our SVGD-BNN model significantly outperforms traditional peak displacement (Pd)-based approaches. In a 3 s time window, the Pearson correlation coefficient R increases by 9.2% and the residual standard deviation $SD$ decreases by 24.4% compared to a variational inference (VI)-based BNN. Furthermore, the prediction variance generated by the model can effectively reflect the uncertainty of the prediction results. The continual learning strategy reduces the training time by 133–194 s, enhancing the system’s responsiveness. These features make the proposed framework a promising tool for real-time, reliable, and adaptive EEW—supporting disaster-resilient building design and operation. Full article

Financial market forecasting remains challenging due to complex nonlinear dynamics and regime-dependent behaviors that traditional models struggle to capture effectively. This research introduces the Adaptive Financial Reservoir Network with Hypernetwork Flow (AFRN–HyperFlow) framework, a novel ensemble architecture integrating Echo State Networks, temporal convolutional networks, mixture density networks, adaptive Hypernetworks, and deep state-space models for enhanced financial time-series prediction. Through comprehensive feature engineering incorporating technical indicators, spectral decomposition, reservoir-based representations, and flow dynamics characteristics, the framework achieves superior forecasting performance across diverse market conditions. Experimental validation on 26,817 balanced samples demonstrates exceptional results with an F1-score of 0.8947, representing a 12.3% improvement over State-of-the-Art baseline methods, while maintaining robust performance across asset classes from equities to cryptocurrencies. The adaptive Hypernetwork mechanism enables real-time regime-change detection with 2.3 days average lag and 95% accuracy, while systematic SHAP analysis provides comprehensive interpretability essential for regulatory compliance. Ablation studies reveal Echo State Networks contribute 9.47% performance improvement, validating the architectural design. The AFRN–HyperFlow framework addresses critical limitations in uncertainty quantification, regime adaptability, and interpretability, offering promising directions for next-generation financial forecasting systems incorporating quantum computing and federated learning approaches. Full article

The effective design of logistics platform business models is an important means for platform-type logistics enterprises to gain a competitive advantage. This study employs RRS Logistics as a case study to clarify the dynamic environmental mechanisms of logistics platform business models from the perspective of value co-creation and build a novel structural framework for logistics platform business models with community at their core. The research findings are as follows: First, guided by the idea of “value positioning–value co–creation–value support–value maintenance–value capture”, the conceptual framework of business models is redefined. The key steps in designing logistics platform business models, which can provide guidance and assistance for different logistics platforms, are proposed. Second, the design process for logistics platform business models should be dynamically adjusted in real time according to changes and environmental uncertainty. Third, in the process of transitioning to an ecological platform, logistics platforms’ ecosystem service clusters and ecosystem envelope are key factors in achieving a win–win scenario for all the stakeholders in the community. The case studies show that in logistics platform business model design, methods and key steps based on value co-creation could enhance the core competitiveness of logistics platforms. Full article

This paper proposes a hierarchical cooperative tracking control method for multi-missile formations under dynamic event-triggered mechanisms, addressing parameter uncertainties and saturated overload constraints. The proposed hierarchical structure consists of a reference-trajectory generator and a trajectory-tracking controller. The reference-trajectory generator considers communication and collaboration among multiple interceptors, imposes saturation constraints on virtual control inputs, and generates reference trajectories for each receptor, effectively suppressing aggressive motions caused by overload saturation. On this basis, a radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) combined with a sliding-mode disturbance observer is adopted to estimate unknown external disturbances and unmodeled dynamics, and the finite-time convergence of the disturbance observer is proved. A tracking controller is then designed to ensure precise tracking of the reference trajectory by missile. This approach not only reduces communication and computational burdens but also effectively avoids Zeno behavior, enhancing the practical feasibility and robustness of the proposed method in engineering applications. The simulation results verify the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method. Full article

This paper presents a flight control framework based on neural network Model Predictive Control (NN-MPC) to tackle the challenges of acceleration command tracking for supersonic vehicles (SVs) in complex flight environments, addressing the shortcomings of traditional methods in managing nonlinearity, random disturbances, and real-time performance requirements. Initially, a dynamic model is developed through a comprehensive analysis of the vehicle’s dynamic characteristics, incorporating strong cross-coupling effects and disturbance influences. Subsequently, a predictive mechanism is employed to forecast future states and generate virtual control commands, effectively resolving the issue of sluggish responses under rapidly changing commands. Furthermore, the approximation capability of neural networks is leveraged to optimize the control strategy in real time, ensuring that rudder deflection commands adapt to disturbance variations, thus overcoming the robustness limitations inherent in fixed-parameter control approaches. Within the proposed framework, the ultimate uniform bounded stability of the control system is rigorously established using the Lyapunov method. Simulation results demonstrate that the method exhibits exceptional performance under conditions of system state uncertainty and unknown external disturbances, confirming its effectiveness and reliability. Full article

Autonomous underwater vehicles (AUVs) have obtained extensive application in the exploitation of marine resources. Terrain-aided navigation (TAN), as an accurate and reliable autonomous navigation method, is commonly used for AUV navigation. However, its accuracy degrades significantly in self-similar terrain features or measurement uncertainties. To overcome these challenges, we propose a novel terrain-aided navigation framework integrating an Improved Marine Predators Algorithm with Depth-First Search optimization (DFS-IMPA-TAN). This framework maintains positioning precision in partially self-similar terrains through two synergistic mechanisms: (1) IMPA-driven optimization based on the hunger-inspired adaptive exploitation to determine optimal trajectory transformations, cascaded with Kalman filtering for navigation state correction; (2) a Robust Tree (RT) hypothesis manager that maintains potential trajectory candidates in graph-structured memory, employing Depth-First Search for ambiguity resolution in feature matching. Experimental validation through simulations and in-vehicle testing demonstrates the framework’s distinctive advantages: (1) consistent terrain association in partially self-similar topographies; (2) inherent error resilience against ambiguous feature measurements; and (3) long-term navigation stability. In all experimental groups, the root mean squared error of the framework remained around 60 m. Under adverse conditions, its navigation accuracy improved by over 30% compared to other traditional batch processing TAN methods. Comparative analysis confirms superior performance over conventional methods under challenging conditions, establishing DFS-IMPA-TAN as a robust navigation solution for AUVs in complex underwater environments. Full article

Evaluating risk in complex systems relies heavily on human auditors whose subjective assessments can be compromised by knowledge gaps and varying interpretations. This subjectivity often results in inconsistent risk evaluations, even among auditors examining identical systems, owing to differing pattern recognition processes. In this study, we propose a causality model that can improve the comprehension of risk levels by breaking down the risk factors and creating a layout of risk events and consequences in the system. To do so, the initial step is to define the risk event blocks, each comprising two distinct components: the agent and transfer mechanism. Next, we construct a causal map that outlines all risk event blocks and their logical connections, leading to the final consequential risk. Finally, we assess the overall risk based on the cause-and-effect structure. We conducted real-world illustrative examples comparing risk-level assessments with traditional experience-based auditor judgments to evaluate our proposed model. This new methodology offers several key benefits: it clarifies complex risk factors, reduces reliance on subjective judgment, and helps bridge the gap between subjective and objective uncertainty. The illustrative examples demonstrate the potential value of the model by revealing discrepancies in risk levels compared to traditional assessments. Full article

In Taiwan, hydro-meteorological data are fragmented across multiple agencies, limiting the effectiveness of coordinated flood response. To address this challenge and the increasing uncertainty associated with extreme rainfall, a real-time disaster prevention platform has been developed. This system integrates multi-source data and geospatial information through a cluster-based architecture to enhance pluvial flood management. Built on a Service-Oriented Architecture (SOA) and incorporating Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, AI-based convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and 3D drone mapping, the platform enables automated alerts by linking sensor thresholds with real-time environmental data, facilitating synchronized operational responses. Deployed in New Taipei City over the past three years, the system has demonstrably reduced flood risk during severe rainfall events. Region-specific action thresholds and adaptive strategies are continually refined through feedback mechanisms, while integrated spatial and hydrological trend analyses extend the lead time available for emergency response. Full article

Background: Rock–blast design is a canonical inverse problem that joins elastodynamic partial differential equations (PDEs), fracture mechanics, and stochastic heterogeneity. Objective: Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) protocol, a systematic review of mathematical methods for geomechanically informed blast modelling and optimisation is provided. Methods: A Scopus–Web of Science search (2000–2025) retrieved 2415 records; semantic filtering and expert screening reduced the corpus to 97 studies. Topic modelling with Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers Topic (BERTOPIC) and bibliometrics organised them into (i) finite-element and finite–discrete element simulations, including arbitrary Lagrangian–Eulerian (ALE) formulations; (ii) geomechanics-enhanced empirical laws; and (iii) machine-learning surrogates and multi-objective optimisers. Results: High-fidelity simulations delimit blast-induced damage with ≤0.2 m mean absolute error; extensions of the Kuznetsov–Ram equation cut median-size mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) from 27% to 15%; Gaussian-process and ensemble learners reach a coefficient of determination ($R^2>0.95$) while providing closed-form uncertainty; Pareto optimisers lower peak particle velocity (PPV) by up to 48% without productivity loss. Synthesis: Four themes emerge—surrogate-assisted PDE-constrained optimisation, probabilistic domain adaptation, Bayesian model fusion for digital-twin updating, and entropy-based energy metrics. Conclusions: Persisting challenges in scalable uncertainty quantification, coupled discrete–continuous fracture solvers, and rigorous fusion of physics-informed and data-driven models position blast design as a fertile test bed for advances in applied mathematics, numerical analysis, and machine-learning theory. Full article

High-voltage diodes, as key devices in power electronic systems, have important significance for system reliability and preventive maintenance in terms of storage life prediction. In this paper, we propose a hybrid modeling framework that integrates the Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) and Transformer structure, and is hyper-parameter optimized by the Improved Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm (IABC), aiming to realize the high-precision modeling and prediction of high-voltage diode storage life. The framework combines the advantages of LSTM in time-dependent modeling with the global feature extraction capability of Transformer’s self-attention mechanism, and improves the feature learning effect under small-sample conditions through a deep fusion strategy. Meanwhile, the parameter type-aware IABC search mechanism is introduced to efficiently optimize the model hyperparameters. The experimental results show that, compared with the unoptimized model, the average mean square error (MSE) of the proposed model is reduced by 33.7% (from 0.00574 to 0.00402) and the coefficient of determination (R²) is improved by 3.6% (from 0.892 to 0.924) in 10-fold cross-validation. The average predicted lifetime of the sample was 39,403.3 h, and the mean relative uncertainty of prediction was 12.57%. This study provides an efficient tool for power electronics reliability engineering and has important applications for smart grid and new energy system health management. Full article

Digital technology has become an essential engine of green development and economic progress due to the meteoric rise of new technologies. Our paper seeks to explore the impact of digitalization on environmental, social and governance (ESG) performance in different business contexts. Data were collected from listed firms across 19 Asian countries from 2015 to 2024, covering 1839 firms, yielding 18,390 firm-year observations and establishing a balanced panel data set. We used the dynamic panel data model to test the proposed hypotheses. The findings revealed that digitalization has a significant and positive impact on ESG performance. It also revealed that environmental uncertainty moderates this relationship. Moreover, our analysis indicated that the impact of digitalization on ESG performance is stronger for product (vs. service) firms, stronger for B2B (vs. B2C) firms and stronger for firms in IT-intensive industries. In addition, the analysis indicated that the impact of digitalization on ESG performance is stronger in more dynamic, complex and munificent environments. Our examination offers meaningful implications for theory and practice by expanding our knowledge of the complex mechanism underpinning the positive correlation between digitalization and ESG performance. Full article

In complex dynamic environments, robotic arms face multiple challenges such as real-time environmental changes, high-dimensional state spaces, and strong uncertainties. Trajectory planning tasks based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) suffer from difficulties in acquiring human expert strategies, low experience utilization (leading to slow convergence), and unreasonable reward function design. To address these issues, this paper designs a neural network-based expert-guided triple experience replay mechanism (NETM) and proposes an improved reward function adapted to dynamic environments. This replay mechanism integrates imitation learning’s fast data fitting with DRL’s self-optimization to expand limited expert demonstrations and algorithm-generated successes into optimized expert experiences. Experimental results show the expanded expert experience accelerates convergence: in dynamic scenarios, NETM boosts accuracy by over 30% and safe rate by 2.28% compared to baseline algorithms. Full article