Search Results (21)

Coral reefs in the South China Sea (SCS) are critical for regional marine biodiversity and ecosystem services but face escalating threats from climate change and anthropogenic stressors. However, a holistic evaluation of habitat suitability spanning the distinct environmental gradients from low-latitude deep-water atolls to high-latitude marginal reefs remains limited. This study utilized high-resolution remote sensing data and the MaxEnt (Maximum Entropy) model combined with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to systematically map potential habitat suitability and elucidate the multi-scale environmental drivers shaping the realized niche of SCS corals. The results revealed significant spatial heterogeneity characterized by a distinct “High South, Low North” latitudinal gradient, with Unsuitable areas dominating 85.5% of the study region, followed by Marginally Suitable habitats at 5.0%, while the northern Nansha Islands were identified as the core distribution area with the highest suitability and continuity. Minimum Phosphate (Min. Phos.) concentration and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) were identified as the core environmental factors determining the spatial distribution of coral reefs in the South China Sea. The optimal environmental ranges were identified as: SST between 28.52 °C and 29.41 °C, water depth shallower than 34 m, extremely low phosphate (0–0.005 mmol/m³), and low cumulative thermal stress (DHW < 0.83 °C-weeks). Crucially, PCA further quantified two potential climate refugia: low-latitude thermal refugia in the southern Nansha Islands, characterized by high environmental stability, and high-latitude marginal refugia in the Beibu Gulf, which offer physical buffering against warming, while necessitating targeted efforts to mitigate the risks of habitat degradation and eutrophication driven by intensifying anthropogenic activities These findings challenge the traditional conservation view relying solely on high-latitude migration, advocating for a climate-resilient spatial planning strategy that prioritizes strict protection of southern biodiversity source banks while enhancing the connectivity of northern marginal stepping stones. Full article

Antarctic krill (Euphausia superba) is a keystone species in the marine ecosystem of the Antarctic Ocean, bringing about significant ecological and economic value. The spatio-temporal distribution of Antarctic krill directly affects commercial fishing; meanwhile, changes in krill population structure play a crucial role in maintaining the balance of the Southern Ocean ecosystem. This study analyzed six years of midwater trawl data, including over 160,000 krill length measurements, to elucidate spatio-temporal dynamics and population composition, providing actionable insights for improved fishery management. Here, we reveal southward migration shifts in krill fishing grounds, with smaller individuals favoring ice-rich southern latitudes. Commercial krill fishing operations preferentially targeted high-density fishing grounds rather than selecting larger individuals. Among the catches, the age 1+ class accounted for the highest proportion at 42.80%, followed by the age 2+ class at 39.42%, with individuals ≥3+ accounting for 17.44%. Although the mean krill length experienced a decline in 2017, it demonstrated a sustained recovery in subsequent years, reaching peak dimensions in 2022. This maximum-growth year also exhibited the highest proportion (12.6%) of individuals within ≥4 age classes. Consequently, the sustained increase in fishing effort in recent years has not resulted in a reduction in the size of individual krill. The mean krill length showed a significant positive correlation with the depth (r = 0.36, p < 0.01) and temperature (r = 0.26, p < 0.01) of the krill cluster, and a significant negative correlation with resource density (r = −0.20, p < 0.01), year (ρ = −0.31, p < 0.01) and latitude (ρ = −0.31, p < 0.01). The length exhibited U-shaped temporal trends, and latitudinal and longitudinal nonlinearity. Body size was positively correlated with depth (p < 0.01), whereas as temperature increased, body size first increased and then remained constant. As density increased, the mean krill length increased first and then slowly decreased. Recent warming intensifies population shifts, with potential cascading effects on ecosystem structure and carbon sequestration. Full article

The Atlas cedar Cedrus atlantica is a relict and endemic conifer from Morocco and Algeria, although plantations may be found in several locations aside from its natural range. Recurrent droughts have been widely related to Atlas cedar dieback, growth decline, and mortality, but the genetic basis of potential adaptive capacity is unknown. We used the double digest restriction-site associated DNA sequencing technique (ddRAD-seq) to describe the genetic structure and variability of Atlas cedar along an aridity gradient in Morocco. Furthermore, we investigated the potential genetic origin of three Spanish plantations, also along an aridity gradient. The obtained single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were used to perform genotype–environment associations (GEAs) to define SNPs related to bioclimatic variables of temperature and precipitation. The vulnerability of this species to environmental variations was also estimated by its risk of non-adaptedness (RONA). Population structure showed a divergence between the Moroccan natural stands and some of the Spanish plantations, with each Moroccan nucleus being genetically distinct. The genetic variability was significantly lower in plantations than in natural populations. The drier Spanish plantations (easternmost) were genetically very similar to the driest Moroccan population (southernmost), suggesting that as its origin. A total of 41 loci under selection were obtained with the Moroccan dataset. In relation to temperature and precipitation variables, isothermality showed the highest number of associated loci (10) in GEA studies, and genotype–phenotype associations (GPAs) showed one locus associated with the Specific Leaf Area. RONA value was higher in the southernmost High Atlas population, where rising temperature was the main driver of expected genetic offset by allele frequency changes under the worst emissions scenario. In contrast, Spanish plantations would need smaller genetic changes to cope with the expected climate change. Likely gene flow from southern to northern areas suggests a latitudinal heading, where Spanish plantations might operate as an assisted migration. Moreover, one locus showed a northern/southern pattern in saplings but not in adults, suggesting a potential latitudinal pattern of selection. Our results are discussed on the basis of their management and conservation. Full article

Climate change poses a significant threat to the resilience and sustainability of forest ecosystems. This study examines the performance of white oak (Quercus alba, L.) across a range of provenances in a common garden planting, focusing on the species’ response to climatic variables and the potential role of assisted migration in forest management. We evaluated the survival and growth rates of white oak provenances originating from various points along a latitudinal gradient over a period of 40 years. These provenances were planted in a common garden situated near the midpoint of this latitudinal gradient, where we also monitored their phenological traits, such as budburst and leaf senescence. The results revealed substantial variation in phenological responses and growth patterns among the provenances, with southern provenances demonstrating faster growth and later senescence relative to local sources, with limited impact on survival. In contrast, the northern provenances demonstrated slower growth, resulting in later-aged competition-induced mortality. The findings highlight the necessity of incorporating genetic diversity into white oak reforestation and conservation strategies, as the local provenance may no longer be the most suitable option for current and future conditions. We advocate for a nuanced approach to forest management that leverages genetic insights to optimize seed source selection for reforestation, fostering resilient forest landscapes in the face of ongoing climate shifts. Full article

The main aim of the present study has been the completion of genome size data for the diverse arctic-alpine A. ciliata species complex, with special focus on the unexplored arctic taxon A. pseudofrigida, the north-European A. norvegica, and A. gothica from Gotland (Sweden). Altogether, 46 individuals of these three Nordic taxa have been sampled from seven different regions and their genome size estimated using flow cytometry. Three other alpine taxa in the A. ciliata complex (A. multicaulis, A. ciliata subsp. ciliata, and A. ciliata subsp. bernensis) were also collected and analyzed for standardization purposes, comprising 20 individuals from six regions. A mean 2c value of 1.65 pg of DNA was recorded for A. pseudofrigida, 2.80 pg for A. norvegica, and 4.14 pg for A. gothica, as against the reconfirmed 2c value of 1.63 pg DNA for the type taxon A. ciliata subsp. ciliata. Our results presenting the first estimations of genome sizes for the newly sampled taxa, corroborate ploidy levels described in the available literature, with A. pseudofrigida being tetraploid (2n = 4x = 40), A. norvegica possessing predominantly 2n = 8x = 80, and A. gothica with 2n = 10x = 100. The present study also reconfirms genome size and ploidy level estimations published previously for the alpine members of this species complex. Reflecting a likely complex recent biogeographic history, the A. ciliata species group comprises a polyploid arctic-alpine species complex characterized by reticulate evolution, polyploidizations and hybridizations, probably associated with rapid latitudinal and altitudinal migrations in the Pleistocene–Holocene period. Full article

Based on the plasma parameters measured by the Ion Velocity Meter (IVM) instrument on the Ionospheric Connection Explorer (ICON) satellite from 2020 to 2021, we present an analysis of seasonal variations in ion density, ion temperature, and migrating tides in the low-latitude topside ionosphere. The interannual variations in total ion density and O⁺ density are directly impacted by solar radiation. However, the concentration of H⁺ is not highly related to solar activity. The measurements show that the hemispheric dividing latitude for the seasonal variation in T_i is at about 9°N. We suggest that the reason for the hemispheric dividing latitude being 9°N is because measurements at this geographical latitude represent the closest match to the geomagnetic equator. An anticorrelation in the seasonal variations between the total ion density (as well as the O⁺ density) and the ion temperature is observed at all observed latitudes while the correlations between H⁺ density and the ion temperature are positive in most of the latitudes except for serval degrees around 9°N. The latitudinal variations in the correlation coefficients lead us to suggest that thermal conduction is likely more important than ion-neutral collision in the ion energy budget at 600 km. Additionally, semiannual oscillations with peak amplitudes in winters and summers at the extra-equatorial latitudes are revealed in the observations of diurnal migrating tides in the topside ionosphere, which are different from the latitudinal and seasonal distributions of diurnal migrating tides captured in the lower thermospheric temperature and total electron content. Full article

Patterns of species diversity have been associated with changes in climate across latitude and elevation. However, the ecological and evolutionary mechanisms underlying these relationships are still actively debated. Here, we present a complementary view of the well-known tropical niche conservatism (TNC) hypothesis, termed the multiple zones of origin (MZO) hypothesis, to explore mechanisms underlying latitudinal and elevational gradients of phylogenetic diversity in tree communities. The TNC hypothesis posits that most lineages originate in warmer, wetter, and less seasonal environments in the tropics and rarely colonize colder, drier, and more seasonal environments outside of the tropical lowlands, leading to higher phylogenetic diversity at lower latitudes and elevations. In contrast, the MZO hypothesis posits that lineages also originate in temperate environments and readily colonize similar environments in the tropical highlands, leading to lower phylogenetic diversity at lower latitudes and elevations. We tested these phylogenetic predictions using a combination of computer simulations and empirical analyses of tree communities in 245 forest plots located in six countries across the tropical and subtropical Andes. We estimated the phylogenetic diversity for each plot and regressed it against elevation and latitude. Our simulated and empirical results provide strong support for the MZO hypothesis. Phylogenetic diversity among co-occurring tree species increased with both latitude and elevation, suggesting an important influence on the historical dispersal of lineages with temperate origins into the tropical highlands. The mixing of different floras was likely favored by the formation of climatically suitable corridors for plant migration due to the Andean uplift. Accounting for the evolutionary history of plant communities helps to advance our knowledge of the drivers of tree community assembly along complex climatic gradients, and thus their likely responses to modern anthropogenic climate change. Full article

Solanum viarum has become extensively invasive owing to international trade, climate change, and land–use change. As it is classified as a quarantine weed by countries such as the U.S. and Mexico, it is critical to understand the prevailing historical dispersal, ecological niche dynamics, and distribution patterns. We reconstructed the historical invasion countries and analyzed the ecological niche shift of S. viarum. Using MaxEnt based on the conservativeness of ecological niches, we studied variations in the potential geographical distributions (PGDs) of S. viarum in ecosystems and variations in suitability probabilities along latitudinal gradients. The invasion history in six continents involved three phases: lag (before 1980), spread (1980–2010), and equilibrium (2010–present). The ecological niche remains conserved. The area of S. viarum PGDs had increased by 259 km²; the PGDs will expand to reach a maximum in the 2050s, SSP5–8.5. The PGDs of S. viarum will migrate to higher latitudes under the same future climate scenarios. The latitudes subject to high threats range from 20° to 30° in forest and cropland ecosystems, 15.5° to 27.5° (northern hemisphere) and 33.1° to 42.8° (southern hemisphere) in grassland ecosystems, and 20° to 35° in urban ecosystems. Global change has led to an increased threat of S. viarum at high latitudes. These findings provide a theoretical basis to monitor and control S. viarum. Full article

Climate change, a global biodiversity threat, largely influences the geographical distribution patterns of species. China is abundant in woody landscape plants. However, studies on the differences in the adaptive changes of plants under climate change between northern and southern China are unavailable. Therefore, herein, the MaxEnt model was used to predict changes in the suitable distribution area (SDA) and dominant environmental variables of 29 tree species under two climate change scenarios, the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) 126 and 585, based on 29 woody plant species and 20 environmental variables in northern and southern China to assess the differences in the adaptive changes of plants between the two under climate change. Temperature factors dominated the SDA distribution of both northern and southern plants. Southern plants are often dominated by one climatic factor, whereas northern plants are influenced by a combination of climatic factors. Northern plants are under greater pressure from SDA change than southern plants, and their SDA shrinkage tendency is significantly higher. However, no significant difference was observed between northern and southern plants in SDA expansion, mean SDA elevation, and latitudinal change in the SDA mass center. Future climate change will drive northern and southern plants to migrate to higher latitudes rather than to higher elevations. Therefore, future climate change has varying effects on plant SDAs within China. The climate change intensity will drive northern landscape plants to experience greater SDA-change-related pressure than southern landscape plants. Therefore, northern landscape plants must be heavily monitored and protected. Full article

Anthropogenic challenges, particularly climate change-associated factors, are strongly impacting the behavior, distribution, and survival of insects. Yet how these changes affect pests such as Drosophila suzukii, a cosmopolitan pest of soft-skinned small fruits, remains poorly understood. This polyphagous pest is chill-susceptible, with cold temperatures causing multiple stresses, including desiccation and starvation, also challenging the immune system. Since the invasion of Europe and the United States of America in 2009, it has been rapidly spreading to several European and American countries (both North and South American) and North African and Asian countries. However, globalization and global warming are allowing an altitudinal and latitudinal expansion of the species, and thus the colonization of colder regions. This review explores how D. suzukii adapts to survive during cold seasons. We focus on overwintering strategies of behavioral adaptations such as migration or sheltering, seasonal polyphenism, reproductive adaptations, as well as metabolic and transcriptomic changes in response to cold. Finally, we discuss how the continuation of climate change may promote the ability of this species to survive and spread, and what mitigation measures could be employed to overcome cold-adapted D. suzukii. Full article

Twice-a-year, large-scale movement of billions of birds across latitudinal gradients is one of the most fascinating behavioral phenomena seen among animals. These seasonal voyages in autumn southwards and in spring northwards occur within a discrete time window and, as part of an overall annual itinerary, involve close interaction of the endogenous rhythm at several levels with prevailing photoperiod and temperature. The overall success of seasonal migrations thus depends on their close coupling with the other annual sub-cycles, namely those of the breeding, post-breeding recovery, molt and non-migratory periods. There are striking alterations in the daily behavior and physiology with the onset and end of the migratory period, as shown by the phase inversions in behavioral (a diurnal passerine bird becomes nocturnal and flies at night) and neural activities. Interestingly, there are also differences in the behavior, physiology and regulatory strategies between autumn and spring (vernal) migrations. Concurrent molecular changes occur in regulatory (brain) and metabolic (liver, flight muscle) tissues, as shown in the expression of genes particularly associated with 24 h timekeeping, fat accumulation and the overall metabolism. Here, we present insights into the genetic basis of migratory behavior based on studies using both candidate and global gene expression approaches in passerine migrants, with special reference to Palearctic-Indian migratory blackheaded and redheaded buntings. Full article

The Eocene deposits of Egypt provide a wide variety of shallow marine facies and fossil assemblages, allowing paleoenvironmental reconstructions in this warmhouse climate interval. Forty-three rock samples have been collected from two middle Eocene sections, exposed at southeast Beni-Suef area in northern Egypt. The studied outcrops are lithologicsally subdivided into two rock units named from base to top as follows: (1) the Qarara Formation (Lutetian) and (2) the El Fashn Formation (Bartonian). Most investigated rock samples showed richness in benthic foraminiferal assemblages and only rare occurrences of index planktonic foraminifera. They yielded 160 foraminifera species which belong to 4 suborders, 19 superfamilies, 34 families, and 59 genera. The stratigraphic distribution of the identified species allowed us to define four local benthic bio-ecozones: (1) Bolivina carinata Lowest Occurrence Zone (Lutetian), (2) Cibicides mabahethi/Cancris auriculus primitivus Concurrent-Range Zone, (3) Nonion scaphum Lowest Occurrence Zone, and (4) Brizalina cookei/Nonionella insecta Concurrent-Range Zone (Bartonian). These biozones are described and discussed in detail and correlated to stratigraphic equivalents in Egypt. The rareness of index planktonic foraminifera through the studied sections does not allow a precise biostratigraphic and chronostratigraphic correlation. The shale samples show low TOC values, which may be related to low productivity, high sediment influx, and/or prevailing oxic conditions. Bulk rock geochemistry, consistent with the benthic foraminifera ecological preferences, indicated that the studied sections were deposited in moderate to high oxygen levels and warm climatic conditions in a typical shelf marine setting. The identified species showed strong similarities with nearby southern Tethys areas, reflecting migration via the trans-Sahara seaway, and minor similarities with those identified from the northwestern Tethys and the North Atlantic province attributed to the change in the environmental and climatic conditions, such as cooler, latitudinal zoned climatic conditions along the northwestern Tethys, which was unsuitable for their biological demands. The warming trend identified from Lutetian to Bartonian intervals corresponds to the onset of the Middle Eocene Climatic Optimum (MECO). Full article

Vegetation greenness dynamics in arid and semi-arid regions are sensitive to climate change, which is an important phenomenon in global climate change research. However, the driving mechanism, particularly for the longitudinal and latitudinal changes in vegetation greenness related to climate change, has been less studied and remains poorly understood in arid and semi-arid areas. In this study, we investigated changes in vegetation greenness and the vegetation greenness line (the mean growing season normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) = 0.1 contour line) and its response to climate change based on AVHRR-GIMMS NDVI3g and the fifth and latest global climate reanalysis dataset from 1982 to 2015 in the arid and semi-arid transition zone of the Mongolian Plateau (ASTZMP). The results showed that the mean growing season NDVI increased from the central west to east, northeast, and southeast in ASTZMP. The vegetation greenness line migrated to the desert during 1982–1994, to the grassland during 1994–2005, and then to the desert during 2005–2015. Vegetation greenness was positively correlated with precipitation and negatively correlated with temperature. The latitudinal variation of the vegetation greenness line was mainly affected by the combination of precipitation and temperature, while the longitudinal variation was mainly affected by precipitation. In summary, precipitation was a key climatic factor driving rapid changes in vegetation greenness during the growing season of the transition zone. These results can provide meaningful information for research on vegetation coverage changes in arid and semi-arid regions. Full article

Within the context of anthropogenic warming, rainfall oscillations may induce especially important societal impacts worldwide. In this article, we propose to study potential underlying mechanisms related to precipitation changes on a planetary scale by taking advantage of the recent theory of Rossby waves of long periods winding around subtropical gyres, the Gyral Rossby Waves (GRWs). The stable oxygen isotopic compositions of speleothems are used to regionalize and reconstruct the evolution of long-term rainfall oscillation during the Holocene. The method applied here consists in estimating the wavelet power of dated series of stable oxygen isotopic composition (δ¹⁸O) in speleothems within period bands representative of subharmonic modes. Our findings highlight: (1) hydrological processes resulting from friction between the North Equatorial Current (NEC) and the North Equatorial Counter Current (NECC) to explain the weakening of ENSO activity in mid-Holocene, and (2) the quasi-resonance of the equatorward migration of the summer Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) during the Holocene, because of the progressive decrease of the thermal gradient between the low and high latitudes of the gyres. The results of this study suggest that the spatial and temporal variations in the amplitude of the rainfall oscillations are related both on the acceleration/deceleration phases of the western boundary currents and on the shrinkage of the Hadley cell. The latitudinal shift of the summer ITCZ in response to changes in the thermal gradient is of the utmost importance in predicting the expansion of deserts resulting from anthropogenic warming. Full article

The Northeast region of Brazil (NEB) is characterized by large climate variability that causes extreme and long unseasonal wet and dry periods. Despite significant model developments to improve seasonal forecasting for the NEB, the achievement of a satisfactory accuracy often remains a challenge, and forecasting methods aimed at reducing uncertainties regarding future climate are needed. In this work, we implement and assess the performance of an empirical model (EmpM) based on a decomposition of historical data into dominant modes of precipitation and seasonal forecast applied to the NEB domain. We analyzed the model’s performance for the February-March-April quarter and compared its results with forecasts based on data from the North American Multi-model Ensemble (NMME) project for the same period. We found that the first three leading precipitation modes obtained by empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) explained most of the rainfall variability for the season of interest. Thereby, this study focuses on them for the forecast evaluations. A teleconnection analysis shows that most of the variability in precipitation comes from sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in various areas of the Pacific and the tropical Atlantic. The modes exhibit different spatial patterns across the NEB, with the first being concentrated in the northern half of the region and presenting remarkable associations with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM), both linked to the latitudinal migration of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). As for the second mode, the correlations with oceanic regions and its loading pattern point to the influence of the incursion of frontal systems in the southern NEB. The time series of the third mode implies the influence of a lower frequency mode of variability, probably related to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). The teleconnection patterns found in the analysis allowed for a reliable forecast of the time series of each mode, which, combined, result in the final rainfall prediction outputted by the model. Overall, the EmpM outperformed the post-processed NMME for most of the NEB, except for some areas along the northern region, where the NMME showed superiority. Full article