Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

Article Types

Countries / Regions

Search Results (275)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = degrading permafrost

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
20 pages, 14022 KB  
Article
Changes in the Soil Microbiome of Arable Soils in the Permafrost-Affected Zone During Their Transition to a Fallow State
by Jialu Ma, Timur Nizamutdinov, Sizhong Yang, Xiaodong Wu, Anastasiia Kimeklis, Evgeny Andronov and Evgeny Abakumov
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(11), 5613; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16115613 - 3 Jun 2026
Viewed by 352
Abstract
Agricultural land abandonment is widespread in high-latitude regions, yet its effects on soil microbial communities in permafrost ecosystems remain insufficiently understood. In this study, we used a 0–25 year chronosequence of abandoned soils in the Yamalo–Nenets Autonomous Okrug to analyze the succession of [...] Read more.
Agricultural land abandonment is widespread in high-latitude regions, yet its effects on soil microbial communities in permafrost ecosystems remain insufficiently understood. In this study, we used a 0–25 year chronosequence of abandoned soils in the Yamalo–Nenets Autonomous Okrug to analyze the succession of soil microbial communities and compared them with mature reference Podzols. Soil physicochemical properties, microbial community composition, and potential functional changes were systematically assessed using 16S rRNA gene sequencing, multivariate statistical analyses, and functional prediction. The results showed that, in mature soils, SOC was the key factor driving microbial community variation, whereas in agricultural and abandoned soils, available nutrients were the main factors influencing microbial community structure. The abandonment process also constrained soil microbial mineralization. The dominant microbial phyla mainly included Proteobacteria, Acidobacteriota, Verrucomicrobiota, Bacteroidota, and Actinobacteriota, while the relative abundances of other taxa differed markedly among land-use stages. Agricultural soils were dominated by copiotrophic microbial groups, whereas microbial communities in abandoned soils gradually shifted toward oligotrophic groups with increasing recovery time, and some taxa associated with the degradation of complex carbon substrates also increased in abundance. Functional analysis further indicated that carbon and phosphorus cycling functions in soil microbial communities exhibited a certain degree of functional redundancy, whereas nitrogen-cycling functions depended more strongly on specific microbial taxa. Land abandonment promoted an increase in the abundance of genes related to microbial carbon metabolism in soil. However, even after 25 years of abandonment, microbial community composition and functional potential had not fully recovered to the level of mature reference Podzols, indicating that agricultural disturbance exerts long-term legacy effects on soil microbiomes in permafrost-affected regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ecology Science and Engineering)
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 5434 KB  
Article
Exploring the Evolution of Permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau (1979–2100) Using the Temperature at the Top of Permafrost (TTOP) Model: Implications for Sustainable Development
by Jiahao Wei and Shangmin Zhao
Sustainability 2026, 18(11), 5621; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18115621 - 2 Jun 2026
Viewed by 198
Abstract
The permafrost in the Tibetan Plateau is extremely sensitive to climate warming, which poses challenges to regional sustainability. Predicting the evolution of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau in the future could provide a reference for future engineering, construction, and resource management on the [...] Read more.
The permafrost in the Tibetan Plateau is extremely sensitive to climate warming, which poses challenges to regional sustainability. Predicting the evolution of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau in the future could provide a reference for future engineering, construction, and resource management on the Tibetan Plateau. In this study, the Random Forest regression model and the temperature at the top of permafrost (TTOP) model are combined. The Random Forest regression model is used to simulate the long-term series of land surface temperatures. The multiple climate model data sets in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) and TTOP model are used to simulate the historical (1979–2018) and predict the future (2019–2100) distribution of permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau. The results show that since 1979, due to climate warming, more than 20% of the permafrost in the Tibetan Plateau has disappeared. The permafrost will degrade at different rates under each of four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), namely SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, SSP3–7.0, and SSP5–8.5. The degradation rate under SSP1–2.6 is the slowest, indicating that about 20.1% of the permafrost will disappear by 2100. The degradation rate under the SSP5–8.5 is the fastest, predicting that about 82.4% of the permafrost will disappear by 2100. Under SSP2–4.5 and SSP3–7.0, 37.57% and 69.1% of the permafrost will disappear by 2100, respectively. The above results can provide a reference for sustainable engineering construction, infrastructure planning, and climate adaptation strategies on the Tibetan Plateau. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

20 pages, 17869 KB  
Article
Optimizing Ecological Restoration in Alpine Mining Areas Through Fertilization and Seeding-Rate Management: Insights from Vegetation–Soil Stoichiometry
by Nannan Hu, Xiaoyan Wang, Mingdan Song, Fuzhen Jiang, Kaibin Qi and Zhengpeng Li
Plants 2026, 15(11), 1640; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants15111640 - 27 May 2026
Viewed by 659
Abstract
The Muli mining area on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau lies within a permafrost region where long-term coal mining has severely degraded native grassland ecosystems. To identify an effective restoration strategy, this study evaluated plant and soil ecological stoichiometry and stoichiometric homeostasis under different combinations [...] Read more.
The Muli mining area on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau lies within a permafrost region where long-term coal mining has severely degraded native grassland ecosystems. To identify an effective restoration strategy, this study evaluated plant and soil ecological stoichiometry and stoichiometric homeostasis under different combinations of fertilization and seeding rates. A two-factor field experiment was conducted with three fertilization levels (F1–F3) and three seeding rates (S1–S3), using bare slag (BS) and natural grassland (NG) as reference controls. The F3S3 treatment produced the highest aboveground biomass (AGB), representing a 293.55% increase relative to NG. The F2S2 treatment significantly increased plant nitrogen (PN) and phosphorus (PP) contents. In addition, plant carbon-to-nitrogen (PC:PN), carbon-to-phosphorus (PC:PP), and nitrogen-to-phosphorus (PN:PP) ratios under the F2S2, F1S2, and F3S3 treatments, respectively, were closest to those of NG. The PN:PP ratio ranged from 6.05 to 8.20 (<14), indicating that plant growth in the restored plots remained primarily nitrogen-limited. Soil stoichiometric ratios (SOC:TN, SOC:TP, and TN:TP) under the F1S3, F1S1, and F1S2 treatments, respectively, were most similar to those of NG. Principal component analysis (PCA) showed that F3S3 produced the greatest short-term improvement in plant productivity and soil fertility, whereas F2S2 showed the most favorable stoichiometric homeostasis and C:N:P balance relative to natural grassland. Random forest modeling further identified soil total phosphorus, SOC:TN, and available phosphorus as the main factors controlling AGB formation. Overall, F3S3 is suitable for rapid short-term vegetation recovery, whereas F2S2 is more advantageous for long-term restoration when vegetation–soil stoichiometric balance and homeostatic stability are considered. Therefore, restoration projects in similar alpine permafrost mining areas should prioritize the F2S2 treatment to improve both ecological function and system stability. Full article
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

27 pages, 50469 KB  
Article
Asymmetric Responses of Spring and Autumn Phenology to Permafrost Degradation in the Source Region of the Yangtze River
by Minghan Xu, Shufang Tian, Qian Li, Tianqi Li, Xiaoqing Zhao and Ruiyao Fan
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(9), 1375; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18091375 - 29 Apr 2026
Viewed by 406
Abstract
The Source Region of the Yangtze River is a high-altitude area with extensive permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau. While temperature, precipitation, and radiation significantly affect vegetation phenology, the influence of permafrost changes remains unclear. Using the daily Long-term Seamless NOAA AVHRR NDVI Dataset [...] Read more.
The Source Region of the Yangtze River is a high-altitude area with extensive permafrost on the Tibetan Plateau. While temperature, precipitation, and radiation significantly affect vegetation phenology, the influence of permafrost changes remains unclear. Using the daily Long-term Seamless NOAA AVHRR NDVI Dataset of China (2003–2022), we extracted the start (SOS) and end (EOS) of the growing season in the Source Region of the Yangtze River (SRYR). Soil thawing date (SOT) was obtained from freeze–thaw state products, while active layer thickness (ALT) was estimated using the Stefan model based on MODIS land surface temperature (LST). Partial least squares regression and mediation analysis quantified the direct and indirect effects of permafrost degradation. Results show: (1) The end of the growing season (EOS) became significantly earlier in 64.33% of the region, while the start of the growing season (SOS) showed little change. (2) The effect of SOT on SOS depends on moisture conditions. Earlier SOT leads to earlier SOS in wetter areas by supplying meltwater, but delays SOS in cold–dry areas by increasing soil water loss. (3) Thicker ALT strongly promotes earlier EOS, accounting for up to 42.61% of EOS variation in cold–dry zones, because a deeper active layer potentially promotes downward movement of water, which may further lead to the potential leaching of nutrients from the shallow root zone, limiting resources for shallow-rooted plants. (4) Alpine meadows respond more strongly to permafrost changes than alpine grasslands. Overall, water loss caused by permafrost degradation may reduce the potential lengthening of the growing season under climate warming, highlighting the key role of soil water in linking permafrost and vegetation dynamics. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

22 pages, 1506 KB  
Review
Microorganisms from Antarctica: A Review of Their Potential in the Bioremediation of Hydrocarbon-Contaminated Soils
by Jaime Naranjo-Moran, María F. Ratti and Marcos Vera-Morales
Microorganisms 2026, 14(5), 948; https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms14050948 - 22 Apr 2026
Viewed by 798
Abstract
Antarctica’s extreme cryospheric conditions impose severe thermodynamic constraints on the natural attenuation of hydrocarbon pollutants. Despite the Antarctic Treaty System’s protections, the footprint of human logistics has left persistent reservoirs of petroleum hydrocarbons that threaten endemic biodiversity. This review critically synthesizes the state-of-the-art [...] Read more.
Antarctica’s extreme cryospheric conditions impose severe thermodynamic constraints on the natural attenuation of hydrocarbon pollutants. Despite the Antarctic Treaty System’s protections, the footprint of human logistics has left persistent reservoirs of petroleum hydrocarbons that threaten endemic biodiversity. This review critically synthesizes the state-of-the-art in Antarctic bioremediation, moving beyond traditional culture-dependent studies to integrate recent multi-omics breakthroughs (2020–2025). We analyze the molecular mechanisms limiting bioavailability in frozen soils and highlight the adaptive strategies of psychrophilic consortia, including the modification of membrane fluidity and the expression of cold-active enzymes (e.g., RHDs, AlkB). Notably, we discuss emerging findings on novel long-chain alkane degradation genes (almA, ladA) identified in 2025, which challenge previous assumptions about recalcitrance. Furthermore, the review evaluates the engineering bottlenecks of in situ versus ex situ strategies, emphasizing the synergistic potential of bacterial–fungal co-cultures and the ecological necessity of “climate-smart” remediation to mitigate methane emissions from thawing permafrost. By bridging the gap between fundamental microbial genetics and applied field engineering, we propose a roadmap for the next generation of biotechnological solutions in the warming polar environment. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 3337 KB  
Article
Millennial-Scale Fire and Vegetation Change from a Rare Mid-Latitude Permafrost Fen (Beartooth Plateau, WY)
by David B. McWethy, Mio Alt and Anica Tipkemper-Wolfe
Fire 2026, 9(3), 103; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030103 - 26 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1034
Abstract
Long-term fire histories are well-documented across most North American temperate forest systems, yet the fire regimes of high-alpine treeline environments remain poorly understood. Here, we present a millennial-scale fire history from the Sawtooth Fen Palsa (SFP), a rare permafrost fen palsa located in [...] Read more.
Long-term fire histories are well-documented across most North American temperate forest systems, yet the fire regimes of high-alpine treeline environments remain poorly understood. Here, we present a millennial-scale fire history from the Sawtooth Fen Palsa (SFP), a rare permafrost fen palsa located in the high-alpine treeline ecotone of the Beartooth Plateau, Wyoming, a permafrost system now unraveling due to recent decades of rapid warming. Analysis of paleoenvironmental proxies from peat sediments overlying the permafrost reveals a multi-century peak in fire activity at the beginning of the record, ca. 10,000 cal yr BP, coinciding with the afforestation of newly deglaciated, ice-free sites. This initial surge in high-severity fire activity was followed by a decline when solar-orbitally driven increases in growing-season temperatures likely promoted forest opening and more surface fire activity within the SFP watershed. High-severity fire activity increased again during the mid-Holocene (ca. 5800–5000 cal yr BP), when effective moisture increased, favoring subalpine forest expansion and increased connectivity of woody biomass (sagebrush and forest), enhancing the potential for canopy fire spread. Only two small fire episodes were recorded in recent millennia when a rapid change in the sedimentation rate may indicate a partial loss of the sediment record. Rapid warming in recent decades has triggered the formation of dozens of thermal collapse ponds across the fen palsa. The frequency of these features has more than doubled since 2000 CE, underscoring the degradation of underlying permafrost in response to changing climatic conditions. Continued warming is expected to cause the complete loss of the permafrost lens and alter ecosystem dynamics, disturbance regimes, and carbon and nutrient cycling in alpine systems throughout the Rocky Mountains. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

38 pages, 11992 KB  
Article
Combining Large Language Models with Satellite Embedding to Comprehensively Evaluate the Tibetan Plateau’s Ecological Quality
by Yuejuan Yang, Junbang Wang, Pengcheng Wu, Yang Liu and Xinquan Zhao
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(4), 643; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18040643 - 19 Feb 2026
Viewed by 1143
Abstract
As an important ecological obstacle prone to climatic changes, the Tibetan Plateau has been transformed by retreating glaciers, degrading permafrost, and deteriorating grasslands. Recent ecological remote sensing evaluations typically use medium-resolution and single-source optical imagery, highlight natural factors while ignoring human impacts, and [...] Read more.
As an important ecological obstacle prone to climatic changes, the Tibetan Plateau has been transformed by retreating glaciers, degrading permafrost, and deteriorating grasslands. Recent ecological remote sensing evaluations typically use medium-resolution and single-source optical imagery, highlight natural factors while ignoring human impacts, and encounter difficulties with time-focused interpretability and continuity within complex terrains. This research proposes a theory combining large language models with satellite embedding to holistically examine the ecology of the Tibetan Plateau between 2000 and 2024. We created an ecological satellite embedding (ESE) model applying self-supervised learning to integrate 12 ecological variables into combined space and time representations as of 2024, according to the Prithvi-Earth Observation (Prithvi-EO) foundational model involving low-rank adaptation (LoRA). GeoChat reasoning was applied to turn the embedded variables into a comprehensive representation feature (CRF). Field research demonstrated strong accuracy for the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR, R2 = 0.9923) and aboveground biomass (AGB, R2 = 0.8690). Space and temporal analyses demonstrated a general ecology-dependent enhancement accompanied by significant space-based clustering (Moran’s I = 0.50–0.80), hotspots in humid southeastern areas, major upward trends in vegetation indices and productivity metrics (p < 0.05), and higher shifts in transition regions. Despite the marginal degradation risk, the grassland carrying capacity has expanded extensively in the main farming regions. The comprehensible CRF schema identified three management areas: potential risk, enhancement potential, and stable conservation management. This transferable modular approach connects expert reasoning with data-driven modeling, presenting adaptable methods for assessing ecosystems in high-altitude, data-sparse environments, and practical ways to promote ecological management. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

25 pages, 3044 KB  
Article
Impacts of Permafrost Degradation on the Water Conservation Function in the Three-River Source Region of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
by Wei Bai, Chunyu Wang, Wenyan Liu, Guowei Zhang, Yixuan Yang, Qingyue Wang and Zeyong Gao
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(4), 623; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18040623 - 16 Feb 2026
Viewed by 856
Abstract
As a major water conservation region and ecological security barrier in China, the Three-River Source Region (TRSR) of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) is underlain by extensive permafrost. However, how permafrost degradation alters regional water conservation, particularly the existence of critical thresholds and time-lagged [...] Read more.
As a major water conservation region and ecological security barrier in China, the Three-River Source Region (TRSR) of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) is underlain by extensive permafrost. However, how permafrost degradation alters regional water conservation, particularly the existence of critical thresholds and time-lagged responses, remains insufficiently understood. To clarify these issues, spatiotemporal variations in water conservation (1990–2020) were quantified, and their nonlinear, lagged, and spatially heterogeneous responses to active layer thickness (ALT) were assessed. Using multi-source remote sensing and in situ observations from 1990 to 2020, spatiotemporal variations in water conservation were quantified with the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model, and responses to permafrost degradation were examined by integrating Sen’s slope, GeoDetector, geographically weighted regression (GWR), and structural equation modeling (SEM) methods. The results showed that water conservation increased overall during 1990–2020 and exhibited a pronounced southeast–northwest gradient (higher in the southeast and lower in the northwest); the rates of change in the Lancang, Yellow, and Yangtze headwaters were 63.5, 56.5, and 31.0 mm a−1, respectively. GeoDetector results indicate that precipitation was the dominant control on the spatial heterogeneity of water conservation (q = 0.704), and its interaction with active layer thickness (ALT) further increased explanatory power (q = 0.736). ALT also interacted with vegetation (q = 0.224) and topography (q = 0.157), suggesting that permafrost effects are modulated by vegetation condition and topographic setting in addition to water inputs. Piecewise regression identified a potential threshold at ALT = 1.77 m, indicating a shift in the ALT–water conservation relationship across this threshold. A 5–7-year lag in the response of water conservation to ALT was also detected, particularly apparent in continuous permafrost zones. Overall, water conservation exhibits a clear southeast–northwest gradient and a delayed response to ALT changes. In addition, the response exhibits clear spatial clustering, with the strongest sensitivity observed in areas with ice-rich permafrost overlain by alpine meadow, and a potential ALT breakpoint further suggests nonlinear permafrost–water conservation coupling. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing of Water Dynamics in Permafrost Regions)
Show Figures

Figure 1

28 pages, 9912 KB  
Article
Localized Browning in Thermokarst-Dominated Landscapes Reverses Regional Greening Trends Under a Warming Climate in Northeastern Siberia
by Ruixin Wang, Ping Wang, Li Xu, Shiqi Liu and Qiwei Huang
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(2), 308; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18020308 - 16 Jan 2026
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 501
Abstract
The response of Arctic vegetation to climate warming exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity, driven partly by widespread permafrost degradation. However, the role of thermokarst lake development in mediating vegetation-climate interactions remains poorly understood, particularly across heterogeneous landscapes of northeastern Siberia. This study integrated multi-source [...] Read more.
The response of Arctic vegetation to climate warming exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity, driven partly by widespread permafrost degradation. However, the role of thermokarst lake development in mediating vegetation-climate interactions remains poorly understood, particularly across heterogeneous landscapes of northeastern Siberia. This study integrated multi-source remote sensing data (2001–2021) with trend analysis, partial correlation, and a Shapley Additive Explanation (SHAP)-interpreted random forest model to examine the drivers of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) variability across five levels of thermokarst lake coverage (none, low, moderate, high, very high) and two vegetation types (forest, tundra). The results show that although greening dominates the region, browning is disproportionately observed in areas with high thermokarst lake coverage (>30%), highlighting the localized reversal of regional greening trends under intensified thermokarst activity. Air temperature was identified as the dominant driver of NDVI change, whereas soil temperature and soil moisture exerted secondary but critical influences, especially in tundra ecosystems with extensive thermokarst lake development. The relative importance of these factors shifted across thermokarst lake coverage gradients, underscoring the modulatory effect of thermokarst processes on vegetation-climate feedbacks. These findings emphasize the necessity of incorporating thermokarst dynamics and landscape heterogeneity into predictive models of Arctic vegetation change, with important implications for understanding cryospheric hydrology and ecosystem responses to ongoing climate warming. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Remote Sensing)
Show Figures

Figure 1

15 pages, 10432 KB  
Article
A Monte-Carlo-Based Method for Probabilistic Permafrost Mapping Across Northeast China During 2003 to 2022
by Yao Xiao, Lei Zhao, Shuqi Wang, Xuyang Wu, Kai Gao and Yunhu Shang
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2026, 15(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi15010009 - 22 Dec 2025
Viewed by 720
Abstract
Permafrost degradation under climate warming has profound implications for ecological processes, hydrology, and human activities. Northeast China, characterized by sporadic and isolated patch permafrost near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost (SLLP), represents one of the most sensitive and complex permafrost regions. This [...] Read more.
Permafrost degradation under climate warming has profound implications for ecological processes, hydrology, and human activities. Northeast China, characterized by sporadic and isolated patch permafrost near the southern limit of latitudinal permafrost (SLLP), represents one of the most sensitive and complex permafrost regions. This study aims to improve the reliability of permafrost mapping by incorporating parameter uncertainty into simulations. We developed a Monte Carlo–Temperature at the Top of Permafrost (TTOP) (MC–TTOP) framework that integrates an equilibrium model with Monte Carlo sampling to quantify parameter sensitivity and model uncertainty. Using all-sky daily air temperature data and land use and land cover information, we generated probabilistic estimates of mean annual ground temperature (MAGT), permafrost occurrence probability (PZI), and associated uncertainties. Model validation against borehole observations demonstrated improved accuracy compared with global-scale simulations, with a reduced bias and RMSE. Results reveal that permafrost in Northeast China was relatively stable during 2003–2010 but experienced pronounced degradation after 2011, with the total area decreasing to ~2.79 × 105 km2 by 2022. Spatial uncertainty was greatest in transitional zones near the southern boundary, where PZI-based delineations tended to overestimate permafrost extent. Regional comparisons further showed that permafrost in Northeast China is more fragmented and uncertain than that on the Tibetan Plateau, owing to complex snow–vegetation–topography interactions and intensive human disturbances. Overall, the MC-TTOP simulations indicate an accelerated permafrost degradation after 2011, with the highest uncertainty concentrated in southern transitional zones near the SLLP, demonstrating that the MC-TTOP framework provides a robust tool for probabilistic permafrost mapping, offering improved reliability for regional-scale assessments and important insights for future risk evaluation under climate change. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

19 pages, 19402 KB  
Article
The Response of Maximum Freezing Depth in the Permafrost Region of the Source Region of the Yellow River to Ground Temperature Change
by Xinyu Bai and Wei Wang
Atmosphere 2025, 16(12), 1399; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121399 - 12 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 774
Abstract
The source region of the Yellow River on the Tibetan Plateau constitutes a critical ecological security barrier and a key water-conservation region, where permafrost dynamics exercise primary control over ecosystem stability and hydrological processes. Although observations document intensifying freeze–thaw processes under climate warming, [...] Read more.
The source region of the Yellow River on the Tibetan Plateau constitutes a critical ecological security barrier and a key water-conservation region, where permafrost dynamics exercise primary control over ecosystem stability and hydrological processes. Although observations document intensifying freeze–thaw processes under climate warming, the historical and future evolution of maximum freezing depth, abbreviated as MFD, in the source region of the Yellow River remains poorly constrained. Using ground-temperature and meteorological records from 15 stations for 1981–2014, we estimated MFD with a Stefan-type formulation, assessed trend significance using the Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope, and characterized changes through 2100 using CMIP6 projections under four shared socioeconomic pathways: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5. We found a strong inverse association between MFD and annual mean ground temperature, such that a 1 °C increase corresponds to an average decrease of approximately 13.2 cm. Historically, MFD has progressively shallowed and exhibits a clear meridional gradient—deeper in the north and shallower in the south; low-value zones declined from 0.75 to 0.50 m, whereas high-value zones decreased from 2.92 to 2.83 m. Across future scenarios, MFD continues to shallow; the strongest signal occurs under SSP5-8.5, yielding an additional decline of approximately 42 percent relative to the historical baseline, with degradation most pronounced at lower elevations. These findings provide actionable guidance for understanding ecohydrological processes and for water resource management in the source region of the Yellow River under climate warming. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

16 pages, 3035 KB  
Article
Research on Construction Countermeasures for Freeze–Thaw Deformation of Permafrost Subgrade in Forest Regions of Northeast China
by Zhibo Xu, Guihe Wang and Zhu Yang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(23), 12810; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152312810 - 3 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 690
Abstract
The permafrost in forest regions of Northeast China is very sensitive to the disturbance of subgrade construction, which will aggravate the degradation of the permafrost upper limit, leading to freeze–thaw deformation of the permafrost subgrade. Based on the road construction project of Highway [...] Read more.
The permafrost in forest regions of Northeast China is very sensitive to the disturbance of subgrade construction, which will aggravate the degradation of the permafrost upper limit, leading to freeze–thaw deformation of the permafrost subgrade. Based on the road construction project of Highway 332 in forest regions in Northeast China, through theoretical analysis, indoor experiments, on-site monitoring, and numerical simulation methods, a thermo-hydro-mechanical coupling numerical model of the permafrost subgrade was established. A “two-step” construction countermeasure for freeze–thaw deformation of permafrost subgrade based on rubble stone subgrade structure was proposed. The study indicates that the addition of rubble stones to the subgrade structure has a significant cooling effect. The optimal thickness for filling rubble stones is 1 m. The optimal construction timing for subgrade is a two-step construction across the year. The stamping construction of the rubble stones is in November. The filling construction of rubble stones and gravel is in April and May of the next year. Based on the proposed construction countermeasure for permafrost subgrade, the settlement at the center of the subgrade surface is 12.7 mm in the 5th year, 17.6 mm in the 10th year, 21.1 mm in the 15th year, and 23.5 mm in the 20th year. The settlement deformation of the subgrade tends to stabilize, which can ensure the long-term stability and safety of road operations. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

23 pages, 3612 KB  
Article
Soil Freeze–Thaw Disturbance Index and Its Indicative Significance on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
by Zongyi Jin, Linna Chai, Xiaoyan Li, Shaojie Zhao, Cunde Xiao and Shaomin Liu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(22), 3682; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17223682 - 10 Nov 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1351
Abstract
The soil freeze–thaw process is a dominant disturbance in the seasonally frozen ground and the active layer of permafrost, which plays a crucial role in the surface energy balance, water cycle, and carbon exchange and has a pronounced influence on vegetation phenology. This [...] Read more.
The soil freeze–thaw process is a dominant disturbance in the seasonally frozen ground and the active layer of permafrost, which plays a crucial role in the surface energy balance, water cycle, and carbon exchange and has a pronounced influence on vegetation phenology. This study proposes a novel density-based Freeze–Thaw Disturbance Index (FTDI) based on the identification of the freeze–thaw disturbance region (FTDR) over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). FTDI is defined as an areal density metric based on geomorphic disturbances, i.e., the proportion of FTDRs within a given region, with higher values indicating greater areal densities of disturbance. As a measure of landform clustering, FTDI complements existing freeze–thaw process indicators and provides a means to assess the geomorphic impacts of climate-driven freeze–thaw changes during permafrost degradation. The main conclusions are as follows: the FTDR results that are identified by the random forest model are reliable and highly consistent with ground observations; the FTDRs cover 8.85% of the total area of the QTP, and mainly in the central and eastern regions, characterized by prolonged freezing durations and the average annual ground temperature (MAGT) is close to 0 °C, making the soil in these regions highly susceptible to warming-induced disturbances. Most of the plateau exhibits low or negligible FTDI values. As a geomorphic indicator, FTDI reflects the impact of potential freeze–thaw dynamic phase changes on the surface. Higher FTDI values indicate a greater likelihood of surface thawing processes triggered by rising temperatures, which impact surface processes. Regions with relatively high FTDI values often contain substantial amounts of organic carbon, and may experience delayed vegetation green-up despite general warming trends. This study introduces the FTDI derived from the FTDR as a novel index, offering fresh insights into the study of freeze–thaw processes in the context of climate change. Full article
Show Figures

Graphical abstract

23 pages, 20901 KB  
Article
Application of the Red Edge Water Index for Extracting Thermokarst Lakes and Detecting Drainage Events on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau
by Tiantian Li, Guanghao Zhou, Wenhui Liu, Hairui Liu, Jianqiang Zhang, Renjie He and Heming Yang
Atmosphere 2025, 16(11), 1269; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16111269 - 8 Nov 2025
Viewed by 777
Abstract
Thermokarst lakes play a crucial role in regulating hydrological, ecological, and biogeochemical processes in permafrost regions. However, due to the limited spatial resolution of earlier satellite imagery, small thermokarst lakes—highly sensitive to climate change and permafrost degradation—have often been overlooked, hindering accurate spatiotemporal [...] Read more.
Thermokarst lakes play a crucial role in regulating hydrological, ecological, and biogeochemical processes in permafrost regions. However, due to the limited spatial resolution of earlier satellite imagery, small thermokarst lakes—highly sensitive to climate change and permafrost degradation—have often been overlooked, hindering accurate spatiotemporal analyses. To address this limitation, five water indices—Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (MNDWI), Multi-Band Water Index (MBWI), Automated Water Extraction Index (AWEIsh and AWEInsh), and Red Edge Water Index (RWI)—were employed based on Sentinel-2 imagery from 2021 to extract thermokarst lakes in the Qinghai–Tibet Highway (QTH) region, China. Visual validation indicated that the Red Edge Water Index (RWI) yielded the best performance, with an error of only 10.21%, significantly lower than other indices (e.g., MNDWI: 41.36%; MBWI: 38.80%). Seasonal comparisons revealed that the applicability of different water indices varies, with autumn months (September to October) being the optimal period for lake extraction due to stable and unfrozen surface conditions. Using the RWI, 56 thermokarst lake drainage events were identified in the study area from 2016 to 2025 (as of September 2025), most occurring after 2019—likely associated with climatic factors—and small lakes were found to be more prone to drainage, accompanied by notable surface subsidence in drained regions. These findings are applicable across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) and provide a scientific basis for monitoring thermokarst lakes, delineating accurate lake boundaries, and exploring drainage mechanisms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
Show Figures

Figure 1

27 pages, 15115 KB  
Article
Macro-Meso Characteristics and Damage Mechanism of Cement-Stabilized Macadam Under Freeze–Thaw Cycles and Scouring
by Hongfu Liu, Sirui Zhou, Ao Kuang, Dongzhao Jin, Xinghai Peng and Songtao Lv
Materials 2025, 18(21), 4874; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18214874 - 24 Oct 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 907
Abstract
This study quantifies the effects of freeze–thaw (FT) cycling and dynamic water scouring, and establishes links between mesoscale pore evolution and macroscale strength degradation in cement-stabilized macadam (CSM) bases. The objective is to provide quantitative indicators for durability design and non-destructive evaluation of [...] Read more.
This study quantifies the effects of freeze–thaw (FT) cycling and dynamic water scouring, and establishes links between mesoscale pore evolution and macroscale strength degradation in cement-stabilized macadam (CSM) bases. The objective is to provide quantitative indicators for durability design and non-destructive evaluation of CSM bases. First, laboratory tests were conducted to simulate alpine service conditions: CSM cylindrical specimens (Ø150 × 150 mm) with 4.5% cement content, cured for 28 days, were exposed to 0, 5, or 20 FT cycles (−18 °C for 16 h ↔ +25 °C for 8 h), followed by dynamic water scouring (0.5 MPa, 10 Hz) for 15, 30, or 60 min. Second, the resulting damage was tracked at two scales. Acoustic emission (AE) sensors monitored internal damage during subsequent splitting tests, while industrial computed tomography (CT) was used to scan selected specimens and quantify porosity, pore number, and average pore diameter. Third, gray relational analysis correlated pore structure parameters with strength loss. The results indicate that under 30 min of scouring, increasing FT cycles from 0 to 20 increased mass loss from 0.33% to 1.27% and reduced splitting strength by 28.8%. AE cumulative ringing count and energy decreased by 97.9% and 98.4%, respectively, indicating severe internal degradation. CT scans revealed porosity and pore count increased monotonically with FT cycles, while average pore diameter decreased (dominated by microcrack formation). Frost-heave pressure and cyclic suction enlarged edge pores and interconnected internal voids, accelerating erosion of cement paste. FT cycles compromise the cement–aggregate interfacial bond, thereby predisposing the matrix to accelerated deterioration under dynamic scouring; the ensuing evolution of pore structure emerges as the pivotal mechanism governing strength degradation. Average pore diameter exhibited the strongest correlation with splitting strength (r = 0.763), and its change was the primary driver of strength loss (r = 0.774). These findings facilitate optimizing cement dosage, validating non-destructive evaluation models for in-service base courses, and erosion durability of road base materials in permafrost regions. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop