Search Results (130)

This study presents a comprehensive bibliometric analysis of the DSSAT crop modeling field from 1990 to 2024, identifying its evolutionary trajectory and emerging frontiers. A comprehensive bibliometric analysis and network visualization were conducted using VOSviewer, CiteSpace, and Bibliometrix. Analyzing 6165 Scopus-indexed publications, we found the research focus has shifted from foundational yield simulation and calibration toward addressing complex climate-water-food challenges. Three distinct developmental phases were identified: an initial establishment phase, a methodological refinement phase, and a current technology integration phase dominated by machine learning and remote sensing applications. The results reveal that machine learning, model-data fusion, and sustainability assessment represent the most active research frontiers. This analysis provides a systematic map of the field’s intellectual structure and offers evidence-based predictions for its future development, highlighting the transition of DSSAT from a specialized crop model to an interdisciplinary decision-support platform for sustainable agriculture. Full article

Cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) is a primary global commercial crop, and accurate monitoring of its growth and yield prediction are essential for optimizing water management. This study integrates leaf area index (LAI) data derived from unmanned aerial system (UAS) imagery into the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model to improve cotton growth simulation and yield estimation. The results show that the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) exhibited higher estimation accuracy for the cotton LAI during the squaring stage (R² = 0.56, p < 0.05), whereas the modified triangle vegetation index (MTVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI) demonstrated higher and more stable accuracy in the flowering and boll-setting stages (R² = 0.64 and R² = 0.76, p < 0.05). After assimilating LAI data, the optimized DSSAT model accurately represented canopy development and yield variation under different irrigation levels. Compared with the DSSAT, the assimilated model reduced yield prediction error from 40–52% to 3.6–6.3% under 30%, 60%, and 90% irrigation. These findings demonstrate that integrating UAS-derived LAI data with the DSSAT substantially enhances model accuracy and robustness, providing an effective approach for precision irrigation and sustainable cotton management. Full article

In arid regions characterized by extreme water scarcity, it is important to synergistically optimize both crop yield and water use. Irrigation strategies based on empirical knowledge overlook crops’ dynamic water needs and may cause water waste and yield loss. To address this issue, this paper proposes an intelligent irrigation scheduling method based on a crop growth model and an improved deep reinforcement learning (DRL) agent. We construct a high-fidelity cotton growth environment using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model. The model was calibrated with local data from the Shihezi region, Xinjiang, to provide a reliable simulation platform for DRL agent training. We developed a temporal state representation module based on a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network and an attention mechanism. This module captures dynamic trends in historical environmental information to focus on critical decision factors. The Soft Actor–Critic (SAC) algorithm was improved by integrating a feature attention mechanism to enhance decision-making precision. A dynamic reward function was designed based on the critical growth stages of cotton to incorporate agronomic prior knowledge into the optimization objective. Simulation results demonstrate that our proposed method can improve water use efficiency (WUE) by 39.0% (with an 8.4% increase in yield and a 22.1% reduction in water consumption) compared to fixed-schedule irrigation strategies. An ablation study further confirms that each of our proposed modules—BiLSTM, the attention mechanism, and the dynamic reward—makes a significant contribution to the final performance. Full article

Climate change significantly impacts crop yields, necessitating an evaluation of its effects and the development of adaptation strategies for future potato production. This study utilized the SUBSTOR-Potato model from the DSSAT software version 4.8 and daily weather data from LARS.WG to simulate potato production under three climate change scenarios (ssps 126, 245, and 585) from 2025 to 2087 in Southern Shan State, Myanmar. High-emission scenarios are associated with extreme weather, characterized by higher temperatures and variable precipitation. The results indicated that yields would be lowest under the ssp585 scenario, with around a 25% difference between ssp126 and ssp585. Adaptation strategies, such as delaying planting dates, positively impacted yields, while early planting resulted in lower outcomes. Extending the crop cycle by adjusting harvest times helped early-planted potatoes achieve yields similar to optimally timed ones. However, increasing fertilizer use did not significantly enhance yields under climate change conditions. The study emphasizes the importance of selecting cultivars, as heat-resistant varieties struggled in lower emission scenarios. This study provides comprehensive insights into climate change impacts on potato cultivation in Southern Shan State and offers practical, cost-effective adaptation strategies applicable to similar rainfed potato systems across Southeast Asia. Full article

Agrivoltaic (APV) systems co-locate agricultural production and photovoltaic (PV) electricity generation on the same land to maximize land use efficiency. This study proposes an integrated assessment framework that jointly evaluates crop yield and electricity generation in APV systems. Unlike many previous APV studies that estimated crop responses from empirical PAR–photosynthesis relationships, this framework explicitly couples a process-based rice growth model (DSSAT-CERES-Rice) with irradiance and PV performance simulations (Honeybee-Radiance and PVlib) in a single workflow. The five-stage framework comprises (i) meteorological data acquisition and processing; (ii) 3D modeling in Rhinoceros; (iii) calculation of module front and rear irradiance and crop height irradiance using Honeybee; (iv) crop yield calculation with DSSAT; and (v) electricity generation calculation with PVlib. Using bifacial PV modules under rice cultivation in Gochang, Jeollabuk-do (Republic of Korea), simulations were performed with ground coverage ratio (GCR) and PV array azimuth as key design variables. As GCR increased from 20% to 50%, crop yield reduction (CYR) rose from 12% to 33%, while land equivalent ratio (LER) increased from 128% to 158%. To keep CYR within the domestic guideline of 20% while maximizing land use, designs with GCR ≤ 30% were found to be appropriate. At GCR 30%, CYR of 17–18% and LER of 139–140% were achieved, securing a balance between agricultural productivity and electricity generation. Although PV array azimuth had a limited impact on crop yield and electricity generation, southeast or southwest orientations showed more uniform irradiance distributions over the field than due south. A simple economic assessment was also conducted for the study site to compare total annual net income from rice and PV across GCR scenarios. The proposed framework can be applied to other crops and sites and supports design-stage decisions that jointly consider crop yield, electricity generation, and economic viability. Full article

The agro-pastoral ecotone in Yinshanbeilu is the main potato-producing region. In recent years, the shift from rainfed to irrigated agriculture has created challenges in understanding potato water consumption patterns, water use efficiency, and irrigation optimization. This study utilized the DSSAT model to simulate soil moisture, leaf area index, and potato yield based on a two-year in situ observational experiment. The study showed that simulated values of the soil water moisture, leaf area index, and yield, with Absolute Relative Error (ARE) of 4.18–5.27%, Normalized Root Mean Square Error (nRMSE) of 5.64–8.65%, and Coefficient of Determination (R²) values of 0.86–0.921, exhibited acceptable accuracy. Simulated results pointed out that potato water consumption ranged between 375.2 and 414.2 mm, with 50–52% occurring during tuber formation to bulking stages, and the average water consumption intensity was 2.62~2.81 mm/d. Based on DSSAT model simulation, this study found that water use efficiency (WUE) reached 162.17–166.20 kg/(hm²·mm), while irrigation water use efficiency (IWUE) varied between 86.1 and 108.1 kg/(hm²·mm). With the highest yield as the target, the recommended irrigation amounts for potato in normal year and dry year were 180 mm and 240 mm. With the highest utilization rate of groundwater resources as the target, the recommended irrigation amounts in normal year and dry year were 162 mm and 192 mm. These findings offer valuable insights for promoting sustainable groundwater use and enhancing water conservation practices in the Yinshanbeilu agro-pastoral ecotone. Full article

This study assessed the vulnerability of canola, spring wheat, and barley yields in the Canadian Prairies to drought stress under future climate scenarios, integrating DSSAT crop models with NEX-GDDP CMIP6 projections and probabilistic copula analysis. The DSSAT simulations reproduced historical yields with high accuracy (d > 0.7, nRMSE < 15–20%), confirming its applicability for Prairie agroecosystems. Results indicate distinct crop-specific sensitivities to warming: barley showed relative resilience with modest yield gains (~10%) at 1.5–2 °C of global warming (GW), wheat exhibited heterogeneous responses with early minor gains (~1%) followed by declines (~8%) beyond 3 °C of GW, and canola displayed consistent and substantial losses (20–37%) even under moderate warming. Spatial analysis highlighted relatively stable regions in northern Alberta, central Saskatchewan, and southern Manitoba (Gray and Black soil zones), while the southern and southwestern Prairie areas (Brown and Black-Brown zones) showed the greatest yield declines. Copula-based analysis further revealed that canola is most vulnerable to dry conditions, with yield exceedance probabilities falling from 62% (wet years) to ~25–28% (dry years) under GW. These findings underscore that Prairie crop production faces increasingly heterogeneous risks, with canola emerging as the most climate-sensitive crop. Targeted adaptation strategies such as stress-tolerant cultivars, shifting cropping zones, and improved water management will be essential to mitigate projected drought impacts and sustain Prairie agricultural productivity. Full article

Climate change is expected to have significant effects on crop yield in the Canadian Prairies. The objective of this study was to investigate these possible effects on spring wheat, barley and canola production using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) modelling platform. We applied 21 climate change scenarios from high-resolution (0.22°) regional simulations to three modules, DSSAT-CERES-Wheat, DSSAT-CERES-Barley and CSM-CROPGRO-Canola, using a historical baseline period (1985–2014) and three future periods: near (2015–2040), middle (2041–2070), and far (2071–2100). These simulations are part of CMIP6 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) and have been processed using statistical downscaling and bias correction by the NASA Earth Exchange 26 Global Daily Downscaled Projections project, referred to as NEX-GDDP-CMIP6. The calibration and validation results surpassed the thresholds for a high level of accuracy. Simulated yield changes indicate that climate change has a positive effect on spring wheat and barley yields with median model increases of 7% and 11.6% in the near future, and 5.5% and 9.2% in the middle future, respectively. However, in the far future, barley production shows a modest increase of 4.4%, while spring wheat yields decline significantly by 17%. Conversely, simulated canola yields demonstrate a substantial decrease over time, with reductions of 25.9%, 46.3%, and 62.8% from the near to the far future, respectively. Agroclimatic indices, such as Number of Frost-Free Days (NFFD), Heating Degree-Days (HDD), Length of Growing Season (GSL), Crop Heat Units (CHU), and Effective Growing Degree Days (EGDD), exhibit significant correlations with spring wheat. Conversely, precipitation indices, such as very wet days and annual 5- and 10-day maximum precipitation, have a stronger correlation with canola yield changes when compared with temperature indices. The results provide key guidance for policymakers to design adaptation strategies and sustain regional food security and economic resilience, particularly for canola production, which is at significant risk under projected climate change scenarios across the Canadian Prairies. Full article

Cover crops (CCs) are widely recognized for their numerous benefits, including enhancing soil health, mitigating erosion, and promoting nutrient cycling, among many others. However, their outcomes vary significantly depending on site-specific biophysical conditions and agronomic management practices. This study investigates the geographic variations in cover crop outcomes across Nebraska, focusing on three critical management factors: seeding rate, termination timing, and termination-to-corn planting intervals. Using Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) simulations, we evaluated the effects of these practices on cover crop biomass, growth stages, and subsequent corn yield across seven sites. The results revealed that corn yield remained resilient across all sites, with no statistically significant differences (p > 0.05) across termination timings, seeding rates, or termination-to-planting intervals. A CC seeding rate analysis showed that biomass tended to increase with higher seeding densities, particularly from 200 to 250 plants m⁻², but the gains diminished beyond that, and few pairwise comparisons reached statistical significance. Termination timing had a significant effect on biomass and growth stages, with delayed termination resulting in greater biomass accumulation and advanced phenological development (e.g., Zadoks > 45), which may complicate termination efficacy. Increasing termination-to-planting intervals led to reduced biomass due to shorter growing periods, though these reductions were not associated with significant corn yield penalties. This study highlights the importance of tailoring CC management strategies to local environmental conditions and agronomic objectives. By addressing these site-specific factors, the findings offer actionable insights for farmers and land managers to optimize both ecological benefits and productivity in Nebraska’s no-till systems. Full article

Achieving food security for a growing population under a changing climate is a key concern in Senegal, where agriculture employs 77% of the workforce with a majority of small farmers who rely on the production of crops for their subsistence and for income generation. Moreover, due to the underproductive soils and variable rainfall, Senegal depends on imports to fulfil 70% of its food requirements. In this research, we considered four crops that are crucial for Senegalese agriculture: millet, sorghum, peanuts and rice. We used crop simulation models to explore existing yield gaps and optimal agronomic practices. Improving the N fertilizer management in sorghum and millet resulted in 40–100% increases in grain yields. Improved N symbiotic fixation in peanuts resulted in yield increases of 20–100% with highest impact in wetter locations. Optimizing irrigation management and N fertilizer use resulted in 20–40% gains. The best N fertilizer strategy for sorghum and millet included applying low rates at sowing and in early development stages and adjusting a third application, considering the expected rainfall. Peanut yields of the variety 73-33 were higher than Fleur-11 in all locations, and irrigation showed no clear economic advantage. The best N fertilizer management for rainfed rice included applying 30 kg N/ha at sowing, 25 days after sowing (DAS) and 45 DAS. The best combination of sowing dates for a possible double rice crop depended on irrigation costs, with a first crop planted in January or March and a second crop planted in July. Our work confirmed results obtained in field research experiments and identified management practices for increasing productivity and reducing yield variability. Those crop management practices can be implemented in pilot experiments to further validate the results and to disseminate best management practices for farmers in Senegal. Full article

Understanding future changes in crop phenology and climate suitability is essential for sustaining winter wheat production in the Huang-Huai-Hai (3H) Plain under climate change. This study integrates bias-corrected CMIP6 climate projections, the DSSAT CERES-Wheat crop model, and Random Forest analysis to assess spatiotemporal shifts in winter wheat phenology and climate suitability. The assessment focuses on the mid- (2041–2060) and late 21st century (2081–2100) under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The results indicate that the vegetative and whole growing periods (VGP and WGP) will be extended in the mid-century but shorten by the late century. In contrast, the reproductive growing period (RGP) will be slightly reduced in the mid-century and extended under high emissions in the late century. Temperature suitability is projected to increase during the VGP and WGP but decline during the RGP. Precipitation suitability generally improves, except for a decrease during the reproductive period south of 32° N. Solar radiation suitability is expected to decline across all stages. Temperature is identified as the primary driver of phenological changes, with solar radiation and precipitation playing increasingly important roles in the mid- and late 21st century, respectively. Adaptive strategies, including the adoption of heat-tolerant varieties, longer reproductive periods, and earlier sowing, are recommended to enhance yield stability under future climate conditions. Full article

Climate change poses a significant threat to agricultural productivity, particularly in regions vulnerable to extreme temperatures and water scarcity, such as Irbid, Jordan. This study assesses the future impacts of projected shifts in precipitation and temperature on wheat yields, using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model for calibrating and validating under local agro-environmental conditions. Two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), representing high-emission and fossil-fuel-intensive futures, were evaluated across mid- and late-century periods (2030–2060 and 2070–2100). The DSSAT model was calibrated using local field data to simulate crop phenology, biomass accumulation, and nitrogen dynamics, showing strong agreement with observed grain yield and harvest index, thereby confirming its reliability for climate impact assessments. Yield projections under each scenario were further analyzed using machine learning algorithms—random forest and gradient boosting regression—to quantify the influence of individual climate variables. The results showed that under SSP5-8.5 (2030–2060), precipitation was the dominant factor influencing yield variability, underscoring the critical role of water availability. In contrast, under SSP3-7.0 (2070–2100), rising maximum temperatures became the primary constraint, highlighting the growing risk of heat stress. Predictive accuracy was higher in precipitation-dominated scenarios (R² = 0.81) than in temperature-dominated cases (R² = 0.65–0.73), reflecting greater complexity under extreme warming. These findings emphasize the value of integrating well-calibrated crop models with climate projections and machine learning tools to support climate-resilient agricultural planning. Moreover, practical adaptation strategies, such as adjusting planting dates, using heat-tolerant varieties, and optimizing irrigation, are recommended to enhance resilience. Emerging techniques such as seed priming show promise and merit integration into future crop models. The findings support SDG 2 and SDG 13 by informing climate-resilient food production strategies. Full article

Maize is vital for global and Chinese food security. Yet, in Henan Province, a key maize-growing region in China, water scarcity, uneven rainfall, and inefficient irrigation and fertilization limit its yield and quality. This study combines a two-year field experiment (2023–2024) with the DSSAT model to optimize irrigation and fertilization for typical hydrological years (wet, normal, and dry). After calibration and validation with field data, the DSSAT model showed strong performance. Results indicate that optimal irrigation timing and volume vary with hydrological years: no irrigation is needed in wet years, one 30 mm irrigation at the tasseling (VT) stage in normal years, and three irrigations (total 90 mm) at the emergence (VE), jointing (VT), and grain filling (R2) stages in dry years. The optimal nitrogen fertilizer is 240 kg·ha⁻¹ in water-rich and normal years and 180 kg·ha⁻¹ in dry years. These optimized schemes can achieve 98–100% of maximum potential maize yields across hydrological years, offering practical insights for enhancing agricultural water and nutrient management in central Henan to support sustainable development and reduce environmental impacts. Full article

The integration of crop models and remote sensing data has become a useful method for monitoring crop growth status and crop yield based on data assimilation. The objective of this study was to use leaf area index (LAI) values and plant nitrogen accumulation (PNA) values generated from spectral indices to calibrate the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model using the Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) technique. The initial management parameters, including sowing date, sowing rate, and nitrogen rate, are recalibrated based on the relationship between the remote sensing state variables and the simulated state variables. This integrated technique was tested on independent datasets acquired from three rice field tests at the experimental site in Deqing, China. The results showed that the data assimilation method achieved the most accurate LAI (R² = 0.939 and RMSE = 0.74) and PNA (R² = 0.926 and RMSE = 7.3 kg/ha) estimations compared with the spectral index method. Average differences (RE, %) between the inverted initialized parameters and the original input parameters for sowing date, seeding rate, and nitrogen amount were 1.33%, 4.75%, and 8.16%, respectively. The estimated yield was in good agreement with the measured yield (R² = 0.79 and RMSE = 661 kg/ha). The average root mean square deviation (RMSD) for the simulated values of yield was 745 kg/ha. Yield uncertainty from data assimilation between crop models and remote sensing was quantified. This study found that data assimilation of crop models and remote sensing data using the MCMC technique could improve the estimation of rice leaf area index (LAI), plant nitrogen accumulation (PNA), and yield. Data assimilation using the MCMC technique improves the prediction of LAI, PNA, and yield by solving the saturation effect of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). This method proposed in this study can provide precise decision-making support for field management and anticipate regional yield fluctuations in advance. Full article

Soybeans are the most widely produced oilseed and the fifth most cultivated crop in the world. However, their growth and yield are significantly influenced by weather conditions. In Southern Brazil’s subtropical climate, farmers employ a double-cropping system, planting corn from late winter to early summer, followed by soybeans, which are sown after the corn harvest—typically in January—and harvested in autumn. This study argues that climate change has benefited late-sown soybeans in Rio Grande do Sul and will continue improving their growing conditions. The aim is to identify climate change’s past and future impacts on late-sowing soybean crop yields in this region. We evaluated the effects of climate on soybean yields using the HadGEM2-CC model (CMIP-5) for two scenarios (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) and for two time periods (mid-and late-century). Additionally, the CSM-CERES-Maize model within DSSAT was also used to simulate corn yields under these climatic conditions. Our climatic analysis indicates an increase in rainfall and temperature, particularly in minimum temperatures, alongside significant rises in both minimum and maximum temperature extremes, and a reduction in frost days. Furthermore, higher atmospheric CO₂ levels are projected to enhance net photosynthesis, likely leading to increases in potential yield (Py) with rising CO₂ concentrations. Notably, the largest increases in achievable yield (Ay) are anticipated for early sowing dates under the mid- and late-century scenarios of RCP 4.5. Past climate changes have already improved the growth and yield potential of late-sown soybeans in Southern Brazil, a trend expected to continue as climate change further optimizes temperature and rainfall conditions. In conclusion, the late growing season for soybeans is predicted to be extended. Full article