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19 pages, 1234 KB  
Article
Rice–Fish Integration as a Pathway to Sustainable Livelihoods Among Smallholder Farmers: Evidence from DPSIR-Informed Analysis in Sub-Saharan Africa
by Oluwafemi Ajayi, Arkar Myo, Yongxu Cheng and Jiayao Li
Sustainability 2026, 18(1), 498; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18010498 - 4 Jan 2026
Viewed by 233
Abstract
Smallholder rice farmers in sub-Saharan Africa face persistent livelihood challenges due to declining returns from monocropping, limited diversification opportunities, and vulnerability to climate and market shocks. This study integrated the Drivers–Pressures–State–Impact–Response (DPSIR) framework with the sustainable livelihood approach to evaluate how the transition [...] Read more.
Smallholder rice farmers in sub-Saharan Africa face persistent livelihood challenges due to declining returns from monocropping, limited diversification opportunities, and vulnerability to climate and market shocks. This study integrated the Drivers–Pressures–State–Impact–Response (DPSIR) framework with the sustainable livelihood approach to evaluate how the transition from rice monocropping to integrated rice–fish farming influences productivity, profitability, and household welfare in Nigeria’s leading rice-producing region. Using a mixed-methods, three-year panel (2021–2023) of 228 households across three communities in Kebbi State, descriptive statistics, regression models, and thematic analyses were combined to assess changes in livelihood capitals, system pressures, and response mechanisms. Adoption of rice–fish systems was associated with substantial improvements: 96.1% of farmers reported increased income, 56.3% improved food security, and 30.6% greater dietary diversity. Regression analyses confirmed that access to more land (p < 0.001 for healthcare and education; p = 0.011 for social status), labor affordability (p < 0.001), and farm size (p < 0.05) were consistent predictors of gains in healthcare, education, and social status, while pesticide and herbicide use negatively affected food access and wellbeing (p < 0.05). The DPSIR assessment revealed that rice–fish integration altered the state of rice production systems through reductions in input-related pressures and generated positive livelihood impacts. The results align with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) related to poverty reduction, food and nutrition security, sustainable production, and biodiversity conservation, and provide the first large-scale, longitudinal evidence from West Africa that integrated rice–fish systems support food security, income diversification, and sustainable resource management. Full article
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21 pages, 4974 KB  
Article
Research on the Coupling and Coordinated Evolution of Cultivated Land Use Efficiency and Ecological Safety: A Case Study of Jilin Province (2000–2023)
by Shengxi Wang, Hailing Jiang, Ran Li, Hailin Yu, Xihao Sun and Xinhui Feng
Agriculture 2026, 16(1), 94; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16010094 - 31 Dec 2025
Viewed by 287
Abstract
With increasing emphasis on ecological conservation and food security, cultivated land issues have become more prominent. This study focuses on Jilin Province and uses nine prefecture-level administrative units and prefectures as the basic analytical units. Using continuous data for 2000–2023, this study analyzes [...] Read more.
With increasing emphasis on ecological conservation and food security, cultivated land issues have become more prominent. This study focuses on Jilin Province and uses nine prefecture-level administrative units and prefectures as the basic analytical units. Using continuous data for 2000–2023, this study analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of cultivated land use efficiency (CLUE). By 2023, most regions had achieved ecological safety (ES), examined through their coupling and coordination. The Super-Efficiency SBM-DEA model and the Malmquist–Luenberger (ML) index were used to evaluate the static and dynamic changes in CLUE. A DPSIR–PLS-SEM integrated framework was applied to identify causal mechanisms influencing ES, while the TOPSIS method was employed to assess overall evolutionary trends. In addition, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model combined with kernel density estimation (KDE) was used to characterize the interaction between CLUE and ES and their spatial evolution. Results indicated the following: (1) From 2000 to 2023, overall CLUE in Jilin Province showed an upward trend with fluctuations, while regional disparities narrowed and spatial distribution became more balanced. (2) The composite ES index increased from 0.3009 to 0.7900, accompanied by a marked expansion of areas classified as secure. (3) The CCD improved from a basic level to a high-quality coordination level, indicating enhanced synergistic development. Higher coordination was observed in central and eastern regions, whereas western and peripheral areas lagged. This study integrates multi-dimensional modeling approaches to systematically assess the coupled dynamics on cultivated land use efficiency and ecological safety, providing insights for land management and policy formulation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agricultural Systems and Management)
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28 pages, 4088 KB  
Article
Research on the Evaluation Method of Urban Water Resources Resilience Based on the DPSIR Model: A Case Study of Dalian City
by Mengmeng Gao, Nan Yang, Yi Wang and Qiong Liu
Water 2026, 18(1), 72; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18010072 - 26 Dec 2025
Viewed by 345
Abstract
Under global climate change and urbanization, enhancing urban water resources resilience (WRR) is crucial. As a typical water-scarce city, Dalian in China faces significant challenges in water security. However, systematic assessments of WRR that integrate spatial and temporal dimensions remain limited. This study [...] Read more.
Under global climate change and urbanization, enhancing urban water resources resilience (WRR) is crucial. As a typical water-scarce city, Dalian in China faces significant challenges in water security. However, systematic assessments of WRR that integrate spatial and temporal dimensions remain limited. This study develops a novel evaluation framework integrating the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) model with the resilience process encompassing the pre-disturbance, during-disturbance, and post-disturbance to quantify the spatiotemporal evolution of WRR in Dalian from 2010 to 2022. The comprehensive Water Resources Resilience Index (WRRI) was calculated using the entropy weight method. The Geodetector and an obstacle degree model were used to identify key driving factors and obstacles. Results indicate an average WRRI of 0.47 with significant fluctuations. Spatially, resilience displayed a “high in the south, low in the north” pattern, with most areas at low-to-moderately low levels. Socio-economic factors such as water resources development and utilization rate, water use per 10,000 yuan of GDP, and proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP, along with natural factors like per capita water resources, were identified as the primary drivers. Obstacle factors varied spatially, reflecting distinct water management challenges across different counties. This study highlights the importance of integrating the resilience process into WRR evaluation and provides a scientific basis for developing targeted strategies to enhance urban water security and sustainable resource management. Full article
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26 pages, 3522 KB  
Article
Evaluation of Mine Land Ecological Resilience: Application of the Vague Sets Model Under the Nature-Based Solutions Framework
by Lu Feng, Jing Xie and Yuxian Ke
Sustainability 2026, 18(1), 164; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18010164 - 23 Dec 2025
Viewed by 263
Abstract
To achieve a scientific evaluation of land ecological resilience in mining areas and promote the green transformation and sustainable development of the mining industry, this study is based on the core concept of Nature-based Solutions (NbS), coupling the “Driving force–Pressure–State–Impact–Response” (DPSIR) framework, and [...] Read more.
To achieve a scientific evaluation of land ecological resilience in mining areas and promote the green transformation and sustainable development of the mining industry, this study is based on the core concept of Nature-based Solutions (NbS), coupling the “Driving force–Pressure–State–Impact–Response” (DPSIR) framework, and constructs an evaluation system for mine land ecological resilience (MLER) focusing on sustainability. This system covers multiple aspects, including natural ecology, socio-economics, and policy management, comprising 21 secondary indicators that comprehensively respond to NbS’ fundamental principles of “nature-guided, multi-party collaboration, and long-term adaptation.” In terms of evaluation methodology, this study proposes a combined weighting model that integrates AHP-CRITIC game theory with Vague sets. First, subjective expert experience and objective data variance are balanced through combined weighting. Based on game theory, the optimal combination coefficients were determined (α1 = 0.624, α2 = 0.376) to reconcile subjective and objective preferences. Subsequently, the three-dimensional interval structure of Vague sets is utilized to effectively accommodate fuzzy information and data gaps. By characterizing the restoration process through interval membership, the model enhances the representational capacity of the evaluation results regarding complex ecological information. Empirical research conducted in the mining areas of Gan Xian, Xing Guo, Yu Du, and Xun Wu in Jiangxi Province effectively identified differences in resilience levels: the resilience of the Xing Guo mining area was classified as I, Gan Xian and Yu Du as II, and Xun Wu as IV. These results are fundamentally consistent with the AHP-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method, verifying the robustness and reliability of the model. The NbS-guided evaluation system and model constructed in this study provide scientific tools for identifying differences in the sustainability of MLER and key constraints, promoting the transformation of restoration models from “engineering-driven” to “nature-driven, long-term adaptation” in the context of NbS in China. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Solutions for Land Reclamation and Post-mining Land Uses)
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30 pages, 12727 KB  
Article
Regionalized Assessment of Urban Lake Ecosystem Health in China: A Novel Framework Integrating Hybrid Weighting and Adaptive Indicators
by Xi Weng, Dongdong Gao, Xiaogang Tian, Tianshan Zeng, Hongle Shi, Wanping Zhang, Mingkun Guo, Rong Su and Hanxiao Zeng
Sustainability 2025, 17(24), 11381; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172411381 - 18 Dec 2025
Viewed by 455
Abstract
Urban lakes are essential for ecological balance and urban development. This study developed a comprehensive framework to evaluate the ecosystem health of urban lakes in China. Nineteen representative lakes from four lake zones were examined using three decades of remote-sensing data combined with [...] Read more.
Urban lakes are essential for ecological balance and urban development. This study developed a comprehensive framework to evaluate the ecosystem health of urban lakes in China. Nineteen representative lakes from four lake zones were examined using three decades of remote-sensing data combined with hydrological, water-quality, and aquatic–biological investigations. An extended DPSIR model guided the selection of 52 indicators, and a hierarchical weighting scheme was used: the analytic hierarchy process determined criterion-level weights, while principal component analysis with Softmax normalization was used for indicator-level weights. The established index system was applied to Xuanwu Lake and Erhai Lake, and an obstacle-degree model was used to identify key ecological constraints from 2010 to 2020. Results showed that urban lakes in the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau and Eastern Plain zones were mainly constrained by eutrophication and intensive urbanization, with state- and impact-related indicators contributing most to the health index. The framework captured the decline of Xuanwu Lake, driven by poor water exchange and external nutrient loading, and its subsequent improvement following governance interventions, as well as the post-2014 degradation of Erhai Lake driven by climate-induced hydrological stress and non-point source pollution, providing a practical tool for diagnosing constraints and supporting adaptive, region-specific lake management. Full article
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12 pages, 767 KB  
Review
Groundwater Exploitation Outlook: Threats and Pathways to Their Prevention
by Herlander Mata-Lima
Water 2025, 17(24), 3501; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17243501 - 11 Dec 2025
Viewed by 383
Abstract
Groundwater quantity and quality are under pressure due to massive urbanization and intensive agriculture (irrigated crop land and livestock production) which threaten its sustainability as well as dependent ecosystems. This article explores the (i) environmental aspects of human activities that contribute to groundwater [...] Read more.
Groundwater quantity and quality are under pressure due to massive urbanization and intensive agriculture (irrigated crop land and livestock production) which threaten its sustainability as well as dependent ecosystems. This article explores the (i) environmental aspects of human activities that contribute to groundwater depletion and contamination, and (ii) actions that could be implemented into integrated planning for water resources to reduce groundwater vulnerability. A literature review was conducted in conjunction with the application of the DPSIR framework to identify critical factors (environmental aspects and impacts) that threaten groundwater sustainability and propose the best management practices aligned with sustainable development goal (SDG) 6. The DPSIR framework is useful in synthesizing threats to GW and for recommendations on proactive actions to overcome them and achieve sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Assessment of Groundwater Quality and Pollution Remediation)
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28 pages, 15339 KB  
Article
An Integrated Approach to Assessing the Impacts of Urbanization on Urban Flood Hazards in Hanoi, Vietnam
by Nguyen Minh Hieu, Trinh Thi Kieu Trang, Dang Kinh Bac, Vu Thi Kieu Oanh, Pham Thi Phuong Nga, Tran Van Tuan, Pham Thi Phin, Pham Sy Liem, Do Thi Tai Thu and Vu Khac Hung
Sustainability 2025, 17(23), 10763; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310763 - 1 Dec 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 621
Abstract
Urban flooding is a major challenge to sustainable development in rapidly urbanizing cities. This study applies an integrated approach that combines Sentinel-1 SAR data, geomorphological analysis, and the DPSIR (Drivers–Pressures–State–Impacts–Responses) framework to assess the relationship between urbanization and flooding in Hanoi during the [...] Read more.
Urban flooding is a major challenge to sustainable development in rapidly urbanizing cities. This study applies an integrated approach that combines Sentinel-1 SAR data, geomorphological analysis, and the DPSIR (Drivers–Pressures–State–Impacts–Responses) framework to assess the relationship between urbanization and flooding in Hanoi during the 2010–2024 period (with Sentinel-1 time-series data for 2015–2024). A time series of Sentinel-1 images (2015–2024) was processed on Google Earth Engine to detect inundation and construct a flood frequency map, which was validated against 148 field survey points (overall accuracy = 87%, Kappa = 0.79). The results show that approximately 80% of newly urbanized areas are situated on geomorphologically sensitive units, including inside- and outside-dike floodplains, fluvio-marine plains, paleochannels, and karst terrains, characterized by low elevation and high flood susceptibility. Meanwhile, about 73% of the total inundated area occurs within newly developed urban zones, primarily in western and southwestern Hanoi, where rapid expansion on flood-prone terrain has intensified hazards. The DPSIR analysis highlights rapid population growth, land use change, and inadequate drainage infrastructure as the main pressures driving both the frequency and extent of flooding. To our knowledge, this is the first study integrating geomorphology, Sentinel-1, and DPSIR for Hanoi, thereby providing robust evidence to support sustainable urban planning and climate-resilient development. Full article
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28 pages, 7846 KB  
Article
Resilience Assessment and Evolution Characteristics of Urban Earthquakes in the Sichuan–Yunnan Region Based on the DPSIR Model
by Haijun Li, Hongtao Liu, Yaowen Zhang, Jiubo Dong and Yixin Pang
Sustainability 2025, 17(23), 10618; https://doi.org/10.3390/su172310618 - 26 Nov 2025
Viewed by 583
Abstract
The Sichuan–Yunnan region, a primary seismic-prone zone on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, has experienced heightened seismic exposure due to rapid urbanisation. In order to address the issue of disaster risks and to promote sustainable urban development, this study establishes an integrated urban seismic resilience [...] Read more.
The Sichuan–Yunnan region, a primary seismic-prone zone on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, has experienced heightened seismic exposure due to rapid urbanisation. In order to address the issue of disaster risks and to promote sustainable urban development, this study establishes an integrated urban seismic resilience evaluation framework based on the DPSIR (Driving–Pressure–State–Impact–Response) model. The CRITIC–AHP combined weighting method was utilised to determine indicator weights, and data from 37 prefecture-level cities (2010, 2015, 2020) were analysed to reveal spatial–temporal evolution patterns and correlations. The results demonstrate a consistent improvement in regional seismic resilience, with the overall index increasing from 0.501 in 2010 to 0.526 in 2020. Sichuan exhibited a “decline-then-rise” trend (0.570 to 0.566 to 0.585), while Yunnan demonstrated continuous growth (0.517 to 0.557). The spatial pattern underwent an evolution from “west–low, central–eastern–high” to “south–high, north–low”, with over half of the cities attaining relatively high resilience by 2020. Chengdu and Kunming have been identified as dual high-resilience cores, diffusing resilience outward to neighbouring regions. In contrast, mountainous areas such as Garze and Aba have been found to exhibit low resilience levels, primarily due to high seismic stress and limited socioeconomic capacity. Subsystem analysis has revealed divergent resilience pathways across provinces, while spatial autocorrelation has demonstrated fluctuating global Moran’s I values and temporary local clustering. This research provides a scientific foundation for seismic disaster mitigation and offers a transferable analytical framework for enhancing urban resilience in earthquake-prone regions globally. Full article
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23 pages, 2326 KB  
Article
Risk Assessment and Management of Potential Invasive Alien Species: A Study on Cenchrus purpureus in the Gaoligong Mountains
by Jiaqi Zhao, Zhuo Cheng, Congli Xu and Chunlin Long
Land 2025, 14(11), 2211; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112211 - 7 Nov 2025
Viewed by 593
Abstract
This study investigated Cenchrus purpureus in the southern part of the Gaoligong Mountains and quantified its invasion risk using an integrated approach. We combined the Drivers–Pressures–State–Impacts–Responses (DPSIR) model, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), and Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK). We adopted [...] Read more.
This study investigated Cenchrus purpureus in the southern part of the Gaoligong Mountains and quantified its invasion risk using an integrated approach. We combined the Drivers–Pressures–State–Impacts–Responses (DPSIR) model, Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Structural Equation Modeling (SEM), and Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK). We adopted non-random sampling techniques to conduct a survey on the cognition, hazards, utilization and management of C. purpureus among 402 respondents from 25 villages. Our results classify C. purpureus as a medium-risk species (Level II). We identified a central socio-ecological dilemma: while 36.1% of communities use it for fodder, 54% report that it causes soil degradation, signaling potential long-term agricultural losses. SEM analysis confirmed that the willingness to manage the invasion is directly influenced by these usage patterns and risk perceptions. The traditional ecological knowledge of Cenchrus purpureus was highly consistent with scientific assessment, validating its use as an early warning indicator. Therefore, our study validates a multidisciplinary framework that integrates models (DPSIR, AHP, SEM) with traditional knowledge for a holistic assessment of C. purpureus invasion. This approach offers a replicable strategy for ecosystem management in global biodiversity hotspots in the mountainous regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Ecological Protection and Modern Agricultural Development)
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23 pages, 338 KB  
Review
Remote Sensing, GIS, and Machine Learning in Water Resources Management for Arid Agricultural Regions: A Review
by Anas B. Rabie, Mohamed Elhag and Ali Subyani
Water 2025, 17(21), 3125; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17213125 - 31 Oct 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 2961
Abstract
Efficient water resource management in arid and semi-arid regions is a critical challenge due to persistent scarcity, climate change, and unsustainable agricultural practices. This review synthesizes recent advances in applying remote sensing (RS), geographic information systems (GIS), and machine learning (ML) to monitor, [...] Read more.
Efficient water resource management in arid and semi-arid regions is a critical challenge due to persistent scarcity, climate change, and unsustainable agricultural practices. This review synthesizes recent advances in applying remote sensing (RS), geographic information systems (GIS), and machine learning (ML) to monitor, analyze, and optimize water use in vulnerable agricultural landscapes. RS is evaluated for its capacity to quantify soil moisture, evapotranspiration, vegetation dynamics, and surface water extent. GIS applications are reviewed for hydrological modeling, watershed analysis, irrigation zoning, and multi-criteria decision-making. ML algorithms, including supervised, unsupervised, and deep learning approaches, are assessed for forecasting, classification, and hybrid integration with RS and GIS. Case studies from Central Asia, North Africa, the Middle East, and the United States illustrate successful implementations across various applications. The review also applies the DPSIR (Driving Force–Pressure–State–Impact–Response) framework to connect geospatial analytics with water policy, stakeholder engagement, and resilience planning. Key gaps include data scarcity, limited model interpretability, and equity challenges in tool access. Future directions emphasize explainable AI, cloud-based platforms, real-time modeling, and participatory approaches. By integrating RS, GIS, and ML, this review demonstrates pathways for more transparent, precise, and inclusive water governance in arid agricultural regions. Full article
20 pages, 2992 KB  
Article
Multi-Scale Spatiotemporal Characteristics Assessment of Water and Land Resources Ecological Security in China’s Main Grain-Producing Areas
by Kun Cheng, Bao Zhu, Nan Sun and Xingyang Zhang
Agriculture 2025, 15(16), 1770; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15161770 - 18 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 728
Abstract
Water and land resources, as the material foundation of food production, are essential for national food security. Current research has not yet explored the spatiotemporal features of water and land resources ecological security (WLRES) at the urban scale. To fill this gap, this [...] Read more.
Water and land resources, as the material foundation of food production, are essential for national food security. Current research has not yet explored the spatiotemporal features of water and land resources ecological security (WLRES) at the urban scale. To fill this gap, this study evaluated WLRES across 180 cities in China’s main grain-producing areas (MGPAs) from 2005 to 2020. A WLRES evaluation system was developed based on the DPSIR framework and the CRITIC method. The Moran’s I and kernel density estimation were utilized to analyze the spatial distribution, variation trends, and spatial autocorrelation of WLRES from different scales. The results demonstrate the following: (1) WLRES in the MGPAs exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, transitioning from “relatively low ecological security” to “moderate ecological security.” (2) The spatial distribution of WLRES was characterized by higher values in the northeast and southwest regions and lower values in the central region, with spatial heterogeneity gradually intensifying. (3) From 2005 to 2016, WLRES exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation: cities with high ecological-security levels were concentrated in the northern region, whereas those with low ecological-security levels were clustered in the central and southern of Huang-Huai-Hai Basin. Over time, this positive spatial autocorrelation weakened and eventually vanished. Our research can provide feasible policy references for improving the sustainable development of WLRES in the MGPAs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agricultural Water Management)
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25 pages, 2973 KB  
Article
Application of a DPSIR-Based Causal Framework for Sustainable Urban Riparian Forests: Insights from Text Mining and a Case Study in Seoul
by Taeheon Choi, Sangin Park and Joonsoon Kim
Forests 2025, 16(8), 1276; https://doi.org/10.3390/f16081276 - 4 Aug 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1363
Abstract
As urbanization accelerates and climate change intensifies, the ecological integrity of urban riparian forests faces growing threats, underscoring the need for a systematic framework to guide their sustainable management. To address this gap, we developed a causal framework by applying text mining and [...] Read more.
As urbanization accelerates and climate change intensifies, the ecological integrity of urban riparian forests faces growing threats, underscoring the need for a systematic framework to guide their sustainable management. To address this gap, we developed a causal framework by applying text mining and sentence classification to 1001 abstracts from previous studies, structured within the DPSIR (Driver–Pressure–State–Impact–Response) model. The analysis identified six dominant thematic clusters—water quality, ecosystem services, basin and land use management, climate-related stressors, anthropogenic impacts, and greenhouse gas emissions—which reflect the multifaceted concerns surrounding urban riparian forest research. These themes were synthesized into a structured causal model that illustrates how urbanization, land use, and pollution contribute to ecological degradation, while also suggesting potential restoration pathways. To validate its applicability, the framework was applied to four major urban streams in Seoul, where indicator-based analysis and correlation mapping revealed meaningful linkages among urban drivers, biodiversity, air quality, and civic engagement. Ultimately, by integrating large-scale text mining with causal inference modeling, this study offers a transferable approach to support adaptive planning and evidence-based decision-making under the uncertainties posed by climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Economics, Policy, and Social Science)
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27 pages, 2926 KB  
Article
Research on Resilience Evaluation and Prediction of Urban Ecosystems in Plateau and Mountainous Area: Case Study of Kunming City
by Hui Li, Fucheng Liang, Jiaheng Du, Yang Liu, Junzhi Wang, Qing Xu, Liang Tang, Xinran Zhou, Han Sheng, Yueying Chen, Kaiyan Liu, Yuqing Li, Yanming Chen and Mengran Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(12), 5515; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17125515 - 15 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1298
Abstract
In the face of increasingly complex urban challenges, a critical question arises: can urban ecosystems maintain resilience, vitality, and sustainability when confronted with external threats and pressures? Taking Kunming—a plateau-mountainous city in China—as a case study, this research constructs an urban ecosystem resilience [...] Read more.
In the face of increasingly complex urban challenges, a critical question arises: can urban ecosystems maintain resilience, vitality, and sustainability when confronted with external threats and pressures? Taking Kunming—a plateau-mountainous city in China—as a case study, this research constructs an urban ecosystem resilience (UER) assessment model based on the DPSIR (Driving forces, Pressures, States, Impacts, and Responses) framework. A total of 25 indicators were selected via questionnaire surveys, covering five dimensions: driving forces such as natural population growth, annual GDP growth, urbanization level, urban population density, and resident consumption price growth; pressures including per capita farmland, per capita urban construction land, land reclamation and cultivation rate, proportion of natural disaster-stricken areas, and unit GDP energy consumption; states measured by Evenness Index (EI), Shannon Diversity Index (SHDI), Aggregation Index (AI), Interspersion and Juxtaposition Index (IJI), Landscape Shape Index (LSI), and Normalized Vegetation Index (NDVI); impacts involving per capita GDP, economic density, per capita disposable income growth, per capita green space area, and per capita water resources; and responses including proportion of natural reserve areas, proportion of environmental protection investment to GDP, overall utilization of industrial solid waste, and afforestation area. Based on remote sensing and other data, indicator values were calculated for 2006, 2011, and 2016. The entire-array polygon indicator method was used to visualize indicator interactions and derive composite resilience index values, all of which remained below 0.25—indicating a persistent low-resilience state, marked by sustained economic growth, frequent natural disasters, and declining ecological self-recovery capacity. Forecasting results suggest that, under current development trajectories, Kunming’s UER will remain low over the next decade. This study is the first to integrate the DPSIR framework, entire-array polygon indicator method, and Grey System Forecasting Model into the evaluation and prediction of urban ecosystem resilience in plateau-mountainous cities. The findings highlight the ecosystem’s inherent capacities for self-organization, adaptation, learning, and innovation and reveal its nested, multi-scalar resilience structure. The DPSIR-based framework not only reflects the complex human–nature interactions in urban systems but also identifies key drivers and enables the prediction of future resilience patterns—providing valuable insights for sustainable urban development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable and Resilient Regional Development: A Spatial Perspective)
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30 pages, 2545 KB  
Article
Application of Decision Support Systems to Water Management: The Case of Iraq
by Hayder AL-Hudaib, Nasrat Adamo, Katalin Bene, Richard Ray and Nadhir Al-Ansari
Water 2025, 17(12), 1748; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17121748 - 10 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 4419
Abstract
Iraq has faced escalating water scarcity over the past two decades, driven by climate change, upstream water withdrawals, and prolonged economic instability. These factors have caused deterioration in irrigation systems, inefficient water distribution, and growing social unrest. As per capita water availability falls [...] Read more.
Iraq has faced escalating water scarcity over the past two decades, driven by climate change, upstream water withdrawals, and prolonged economic instability. These factors have caused deterioration in irrigation systems, inefficient water distribution, and growing social unrest. As per capita water availability falls below critical levels, Iraq is entering a period of acute water stress. This escalating water scarcity directly impacts water and food security, public health, and economic stability. This study aims to develop a general framework combining decision support systems (DSSs) with Integrated Comprehensive Water Management Strategies (ICWMSs) to support water planning, allocation, and response to ongoing water scarcity and reductions in Iraq. Implementing such a system is essential for Iraq to alleviate its continuing severe situation and adequately tackle its worsening water scarcity that has intensified over the years. This integrated approach is fundamental for enhancing planning efficiency, improving operational performance and monitoring, optimizing water allocation, and guiding informed policy decisions under scarcity and uncertainty. The current study highlights various international case studies that show that DSSs integrate real-time data, artificial intelligence, and advanced modeling to provide actionable policies for water management. Implementing such a framework is crucial for Iraq to mitigate this critical situation and effectively address the escalating water scarcity. Furthermore, Iraq’s water management system requires modifications considering present and expected future challenges. This study analyzes the inflows of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers from 1933 to 2022, revealing significant reductions in water flow: a 31% decrease in the Tigris and a 49.5% decline in the Euphrates by 2021. This study highlights the future 7–20% water deficit between 2020 and 2035. Furthermore, this study introduces a flexible, tool-based framework supported by a DSS with the DPSIR model (Driving Forces, Pressures, State, Impacts, and Responses) designed to address and reduce the gap between water availability and increasing demand. This approach proposes a multi-hazard risk matrix to identify and prioritize strategic risks facing Iraq’s water sector. This matrix links each hazard with appropriate DSS-based response measures and supports scenario planning under the ICWMS framework. The proposed framework integrates hydro-meteorological data analysis with hydrological simulation models and long-term investment strategies. It also emphasizes the development of institutional frameworks, the promotion of water diplomacy, and the establishment of transboundary water allocation and operational policy agreements. Efforts to enhance national security and regional stability among riparian countries complement these actions to tackle water scarcity effectively. Simultaneously, this framework offers a practical guideline for water managers to adopt the best management policies without bias or discrimination between stakeholders. By addressing the combined impacts of anthropogenic and climate change, the proposed framework aims to ensure rational water allocation, enhance resilience, and secure Iraq’s water strategies, ensuring sustainability for future generations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Transboundary River Management)
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23 pages, 2023 KB  
Article
Integrating the Water Footprint and DPSIR Model to Evaluate Agricultural Water Sustainability in Arid Regions: A Case Study of the Turpan–Hami Basin
by Lingyun Zhang, Yang Yu, Zengkun Guo, Xiaoyun Ding, Lingxiao Sun, Jing He, Chunlan Li and Ruide Yu
Agronomy 2025, 15(6), 1393; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15061393 - 5 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1434
Abstract
Water resources are a key constraint on sustainable development in arid regions, especially for agricultural production where water use is intensive. To assess the sustainability of agricultural water use in such environments, this study utilizes 2010–2020 agricultural data from the Turpan–Hami Basin and [...] Read more.
Water resources are a key constraint on sustainable development in arid regions, especially for agricultural production where water use is intensive. To assess the sustainability of agricultural water use in such environments, this study utilizes 2010–2020 agricultural data from the Turpan–Hami Basin and is among the first to integrate the water footprint (WF) theory with the DPSIR (driver–pressure–state–impact–response) model into a comprehensive framework for evaluating water resource sustainability in arid agricultural systems. The agricultural blue, green, and grey WF in the Turpan–Hami Basin were quantified for 2010–2020, followed by a sustainability assessment under the DPSIR framework using a comprehensive weighting method. The results showed a continuous increase in the WF, dominated by the blue WF (>60%), largely due to crops like cotton and grapes, intensifying regional water stress. Turpan experienced prolonged resource overload, while Hami exhibited slightly higher sustainability. DPSIR analysis revealed stronger policy responses in Turpan and significant ecological investments in Hami. Key influencing factors included the crop yield, WF modulus, per capita WF, and water quality shortage index. Overall, sustainability in the basin fluctuated between “Basically Sustainable (Level III)” and “Insufficiently Sustainable (Level IV)”, with slight improvement in 2020. The findings highlight the need for region-specific agricultural optimization, strengthened ecological governance, and improved water-saving strategies to enhance water use efficiency and sustainability in arid regions. Full article
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