Search Results (91)

Accurate estimation of river discharge is fundamental for water resources management, flood forecasting, and drought monitoring in the Amazon River Basin. Rating curves, which relate water level (stage) to discharge, are the primary tool for streamflow estimation. This study evaluates traditional curve-fitting methods and machine learning algorithms for modeling rating curves at the two largest gauging stations in the Amazon River: Itacoatiara and Óbidos. The analysis is based on 70 stage–discharge measurements at Itacoatiara (2008–2023) and 176 measurements at Óbidos (1968–2023). Five modeling approaches were compared: Power Law, Linear Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, XGBoost, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP). Model performance was assessed against official baseline rating curves maintained by Brazil’s National Water Agency (ANA) and the Geological Survey of Brazil (SGB/CPRM) using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (r²), Mean Bias Error (MBE), Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) and Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE). Results indicate that ensemble-based machine learning methods, particularly XGBoost (RMSE = 7463 m³/s, NSE = 0.973 at Itacoatiara; RMSE = 18,378 m³/s, NSE = 0.872 at Óbidos), outperformed traditional methods. However, the Decision Tree exhibited overfitting that could not be resolved through pruning, depth limitation, or other strategies given the sample size. Traditional methods such as the optimized Power Law remain practical and transparent alternatives for operational use. The findings suggest that machine learning can complement traditional approaches for improving rating curve accuracy in large tropical rivers, with K-fold cross-validation used to assess variability and performance. Full article

Small-scale inland fisheries in the Amazon are critical for food security, yet their sustainability is increasingly threatened by overexploitation and environmental degradation. In data-limited contexts such as the northern Ecuadorian Amazon, the absence of continuous monitoring constrains the development of adaptive management strategies. This study develops an integrated socio-ecological baseline to support the establishment of fisheries agreements in five Indigenous communities of the Napo and Aguarico rivers. Through a participatory monitoring approach, we generated reproductive parameters (gonadosomatic index, fecundity, size at first maturity), population structure metrics, and length–weight relationships for key subsistence species across three hydrological phases. Reproductive investment exhibited marked seasonality, with peak gonadosomatic indices during rising waters in most species, identifying a critical period for protection. Life-history strategies ranged from high-fecundity periodic strategists to low-fecundity equilibrium species, implying differentiated vulnerability to harvesting. Community perceptions prioritized large migratory catfish and floodplain habitats, aligning with biological indicators of vulnerability. High performance in technical training demonstrated the feasibility of long-term local monitoring systems. By linking biological indicators with local ecological knowledge, this study proposes a pathway from baseline assessment to adaptive co-management. The framework presented here provides a transferable model for strengthening sustainability, governance, and food security in tropical small-scale fisheries facing persistent data limitations. Full article

Accurate precipitation data are essential for understanding hydrological processes and supporting environmental and water resource management in the Amazon, where observational networks remain sparse and spatially uneven. This study evaluates the performance of the MERGE (Merge of Satellite and Gauge Precipitation Data) dataset, developed by CPTEC/INPE, in representing rainfall variability in the Eastern Amazon. Daily precipitation data from five INMET meteorological stations were compared with MERGE estimates over a 20-year period (1998–2017) using a multi-metric statistical framework, including correlation, regression, error metrics, efficiency indices, and clustering analysis. The results indicate strong agreement between observed and estimated precipitation, with Pearson correlation coefficients ranging from 0.94 to 0.99 and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency values between 0.87 and 0.97. Regression analyses show coefficients of determination between 0.89 and 0.98, indicating that MERGE effectively reproduces the magnitude and temporal variability of precipitation. Monthly and interannual analyses confirm consistent representation of seasonal patterns and rainfall dynamics across the evaluated stations. The boxplot analysis reveals that MERGE accurately captures the overall distribution of precipitation but tends to underestimate higher precipitation values, particularly during months associated with intense rainfall. This behavior reflects limitations in representing localized convective events and spatial variability. Overall, the results demonstrate that MERGE provides a reliable representation of precipitation variability in the Eastern Amazon and represents a valuable dataset for hydroclimatic analyses in regions with limited observational coverage. Full article

Amazon streams are home to a great richness and diversity of fish, having an essential role in maintaining the aquatic ecosystem multifunctionality and global biodiversity. Here, we investigated the structure of the ichthyofauna of upland streams of the Lower Tapajós River and analyzed ecological descriptors of fish assemblages in different drainages in the rainy and dry seasons. A total of 3715 individuals from 110 species were collected. Species richness was higher during the dry season (99 species) than in the rainy season (66 species). Local environmental variables were measured or obtained from publicly accessible databases. Our results showed that ichthyofauna responds to hydrological changes in upland streams in the eastern Amazon. Abundance and richness were greatest during the dry season, with important contributions from representatives of the order Characiformes. Stream structural variables explained most of the variance in assemblage composition (adjusted R² = 0.102, p = 0.004), with channel width, depth, and canopy cover as key factors. The findings underscore the importance of assessing drainage and seasonality effects not only to understand ichthyofaunal biodiversity but also to adequately design research efforts, conservation strategies, and monitoring programs for aquatic environments in the eastern Amazon. Full article

Tropical forests are the most plant-diverse ecosystems on Earth, characterized by extremely high species richness and playing essential roles in ecosystem stability, carbon sequestration, and hydrological regulation. Although remote sensing has been widely applied to monitoring tropical forest plant diversity in recent decades, a systematic understanding of its actual monitoring capacity remains limited. Based on a bibliometric analysis of 15,878 publications from 1960 to 2025, this study draws several key conclusions: (1) Global research is highly unevenly distributed, with most studies concentrated in China’s tropical monsoon forests, Brazil’s Amazon rainforest, Costa Rica’s tropical rainforests, and Mexico’s tropical dry forests, while many other regions remain understudied; (2) The Sentinel-2 and Landsat series are the most widely used satellite sensors, and indirect indicators are applied more frequently than direct spectral metrics in monitoring models. Hyperspectral data, Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), and nonlinear models generally achieve higher accuracy than multispectral data, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), and linear models; (3) Sampling scales range from 64 m² to 1600 ha, with the highest accuracy achieved when plot size is within 400 m² < Area ≤ 2500 m², and spatial resolutions below 10 m perform best. Based on these findings, we propose four priority directions for future research: (1) Quantifying spectral indicators and models; (2) Assessing the influence of canopy structure on biodiversity remote sensing accuracy; (3) Strengthening the application of high-resolution data and reducing intraspecific spectral variability; and (4) Enhancing functional diversity monitoring and advancing research on the relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. Full article

Cryosat-2 SARin altimetric FBR data facilitates an opportunity to investigate phase differences between inland water radar reflections at the two antennae. With the antennae positioned cross-track, SARin was designed for the recovery of slope over ice margins, but here, it was used to recover off-pointing over inland waters. The ability to measure non-nadir off-pointing is verified using ocean data near the Amazon estuary to determine the satellite roll angle. Over inland waters, off-pointing requires correction to the nadir range and the geographic location of the reflectance. By using an SRTM-based water mask, the number of inland water reflectance increases significantly when off-pointing is considered. Comparisons between altimetric and river heights utilise gauge data at Tabatinga on the Solimões–Amazon. A least-squares adjustment yielded a river slope of −0.03506 ± 0.00003 m/km and a mean velocity of 1.803 ± 0.014 m/s over a river stretch of nearly 290 km. RMSE differences between the gauge and altimetry improve from 0.423 m to 0.404 m when off-pointing is taken into account for nadir inland water returns, showing the asymmetric effect of off-pointing. If all potential off-pointings are considered, the number of measurements increases by 66%, but the RMSE of 0.524 m is higher due to additional errors in the off-pointing corrections. Full article

This study assesses the impact of extreme droughts on the surface and atmospheric water balance of the Peruvian Amazon basin during 2003–2024. It extends previous work by incorporating multiple datasets for precipitation (CHIRPS, MSWEP, and ERA5) and evapotranspiration (ERA5, GLDAS, Amazon-Paca, and observations from the Quistococha flux tower) and comparing three drought indices: Maximum Cumulative Water Deficit (MCWD), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI). The study focuses on the Peruvian–Ecuadorian Amazon basin, particularly on the Amazon and Madre de Dios river basins, closing at Tamshiyacu and Amaru Mayu stations, respectively. The results confirm four extreme drought years (2004–2005, 2009–2010, 2022–2023, and 2023–2024) with major precipitation deficits in dry seasons and significant reductions in runoff and total water storage anomalies (TWSAs), physically manifesting as negative surface balances indicating net terrestrial water depletion and negative atmospheric balances reflecting reduced moisture convergence, with residuals signaling hydrological uncertainties. The study highlights significant imbalances in the water cycle during droughts and underscores the need to use multiple indicators and datasets to accurately assess hydrological responses under extreme climatic conditions in the Amazon basin. Full article

This study presents an integrated assessment of four decades (1985–2023) of environmental and climate alterations in the principal metropolitan conurbation of the eastern Brazilian Amazon, encompassing Belém and its adjacent municipalities. By combining high-resolution land use/land cover (LULC) dynamics with in situ meteorological data, including understudied elements, such as relative humidity (RH) and wind speed, and satellite-derived precipitation estimates (CHIRPS v3), we advance the scientific understanding of regional climate trends. Our results document significant climate shifts, including pronounced dry-season warming (+1.5 °C), atmospheric drying (−4% in RH), attenuated wind patterns (−0.4 m s⁻¹), and altered precipitation regimes, which exhibit strong spatiotemporal coupling with extensive forest loss (−20%) and rapid urban expansion (+84%) between 1985 and 2023. Multivariate analyses reveal that these land–climate interactions are strongest during the dry regime, underscoring the role of surface–atmosphere feedbacks in amplifying regional changes. Comparative analysis of past (1980–1999) and present (2005–2024) decades demonstrates a marked intensification in the frequency and magnitude of extreme seasonal climate events. These findings elucidate a critical feedback mechanism that exacerbates climate risks in tropical urban areas. Consequently, we argue that mitigation public policies must prioritize the strict conservation of peri-urban forest fragments (vital for moisture recycling and local climate regulation) and the strategic implementation of green infrastructure aligned with prevailing wind patterns to enhance thermal comfort and resilience to hydrological extremes. Full article

In the Amazonian piedmont, cacao-based agroforestry systems (cAFSs) were significantly influenced by the soil’s physical, hydraulic, and structural characteristics, which largely determined agricultural productivity. A total of 122 plots with cocoa-based agroforestry systems measuring 1000 m² were randomly selected from different farms located in the Amazonian foothills in the department of Caquetá. Different variables related to soil physics and hydrology, as well as production, were determined for each plot. Soil characteristics explain 33% of the total variance in cocoa yield. Sand content (71.2%) correlated positively with yield, while clay (22.62%) and silt (23.99%) correlated negatively. Three soil types were identified: sandy loam (high productivity, yield 1129.07 g) and two variants of sandy clay loam (lower yield, 323.97 g). Hydraulic properties were important, with total porosity of 56.04% and hydraulic conductivity of 20.45 mm h⁻¹. The CCN-51 and ICS-60 clones performed better in sandy loam soils, while ICS-95 and TSH-565 adapted better to sandy clay loam soils with medium stability. The physical and hydric soil properties are crucial factors that directly influence cocoa productivity in agroforestry systems of the Amazon piedmont, where the appropriate selection of clones according to soil characteristics is fundamental to optimize crop productivity and sustainability. Full article

The study examines the relationship between water surface loss and deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon, focusing on the expansion of farming (crops and agriculture, as well as pasture and livestock) and the impact of inadequate legislation from 1985 to 2023. The Amazon biome is vital for the global hydrological cycle and is home to about 10% of the known species. Data from MapBiomas and multivariate statistical techniques revealed that forest and water surface areas decreased significantly while pasture and agricultural regions increased. Environmental legislation has shown progress, with Center and Left-leaning governments implementing environmental protection measures. In contrast, Center–Right and Right-leaning governments prioritized economic interests, resulting in significant setbacks in forest protection and increased deforestation. The study further highlights the importance of developing integrated and sustainable strategies that balance economic development and environmental conservation in the Amazon biome. Full article

The Amazon River Basin (ARB) experienced an extreme drought from summer 2023 to spring 2024, driven by complex interactions among multiple climatic and environmental factors. A detailed investigation into this drought is crucial in understanding the entire process of the drought. Here, we employ drought indices derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), GRACE Follow-On (GFO), and Swarm missions to reconstruct the drought’s progression, combined with reanalysis datasets and extreme-climate indices to analyze atmospheric and hydrological mechanisms. Our findings reveal a six-month drought from September 2023, reaching a drought peak of −1.29 and a drought severity of −5.62, with its epicenter migrating systematically from the northwestern to southeastern basin, spatially mirroring the 2015–2016 extreme drought pattern. Reduced precipitation and abnormal warming were the direct causes, which were closely linked to the 2023 El Niño event. This event disrupted atmospheric vertical movements. These changes led to abnormally strong sinking motions over the basin, which interacted synergistically with anomalies in land cover types caused by deforestation, triggering this extreme drought. This study provides spatiotemporal drought diagnostics valuable for hydrological forecasting and climate adaptation planning. Full article

The Amazon Basin plays a crucial role in the global hydrological cycle, where seasonal and interannual variations in terrestrial water storage (TWS) are essential for understanding climate–hydrology coupling mechanisms. This study utilizes data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission and its follow-on mission (GRACE-FO, collectively referred to as GRACE) to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of hydrological mass changes in the Amazon Basin from 2002 to 2021. Results reveal pronounced spatial heterogeneity in the annual amplitude of TWS, exceeding 65 cm near the Amazon River and decreasing to less than 25 cm in peripheral mountainous regions. This distribution likely reflects the interplay between precipitation and topography. Vertical displacement measurements from the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) show strong correlations with GRACE-derived hydrological load deformation (mean Pearson correlation coefficient = 0.72) and reduce its root mean square (RMS) by 35%. Furthermore, the study demonstrates that existing hydrological models, which neglect groundwater dynamics, underestimate hydrological load deformation. Principal component analysis (PCA) of the Amazon GNSS network demonstrates that the first principal component (PC) of GNSS vertical displacement aligns with abrupt interannual TWS fluctuations identified by GRACE during 2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2013–2014, 2015–2016, and 2020–2021. These fluctuations coincide with extreme precipitation events associated with the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), confirming that ENSO modulates basin-scale interannual hydrological variability primarily through precipitation anomalies. This study provides new insights for predicting extreme hydrological events under climate warming and offers a methodological framework applicable to other critical global hydrological regions. Full article

The Brazilian Amazon is recognized worldwide for its biodiversity and it plays a key role in maintaining the regional and global climate balance. However, it has recently been greatly impacted by changes in land use, such as replacing native forests with agricultural activities. These changes have resulted in serious environmental consequences, including significant alterations to climate and hydrological cycles. This study aims to analyze changes in land use and land covered in the Brazilian Amazon between 2001 and 2023, as well as the resulting effects on precipitation variability, land surface temperature, and evapotranspiration. Data obtained via remote sensing and processed on the Google Earth Engine platform were used, including MODIS, CHIRPS, Hansen products. The results revealed significant changes: forest formation decreased by 8.55%, while agricultural land increased by 575%. Between 2016 and 2023, accumulated deforestation reached 242,689 km². Precipitation decreased, reaching minimums of 772.7 mm in 2015 and 726.4 mm in 2020. Evapotranspiration was concentrated between 941 and 1360 mm in 2020, and surface temperatures ranged between 30 °C and 34 °C in 2015, 2020, and 2023. We conclude that anthropogenic transformations in the Brazilian Amazon directly impact vegetation cover and the regional climate. Therefore, conservation and monitoring measures are essential for mitigating these effects. Full article

Accurate surface water volume (SWV) estimates are crucial for effective water resource management and for the regional monitoring of hydrological trends. This study introduces a multi-resolution surface water volume estimation framework that integrates ICESat-2 altimetry, Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), and Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery via machine learning to improve the vertical resolution of a digital elevation model (DEM) to improve the accuracy of SWV estimates. The machine learning approach provides a significant improvement in terrain accuracy relative to the DEM, reducing RMSE by ~66% and 78% across the two models, respectively, over the initial data product fidelity. Assessing the resulting SWV estimates relative to GRACE-FO terrestrial water storage in parts of the Amazon Basin, we found strong correlations and basin-wide drying trends. Notably, the high correlation (r > 0.8) between our surface water estimates and the GRACE-FO signal in the Manaus region highlights our method’s ability to resolve key hydrological dynamics. Our results underscore the value of improved vertical DEM availability for global hydrological studies and offer a scalable framework for future applications. Future work will focus on expanding our DEM dataset, further validation, and scaling this methodology for global applications. Full article

Conservation units (CUs) play a fundamental role in maintaining and conserving biodiversity, and are important in preserving streams, reducing impacts from human activities and increasing water availability beyond the boundaries of the reserves. However, knowledge about the phytoplankton biodiversity of ecosystems in CUs is scarce. This study evaluated how environmental integrity alters microphytoplankton communities in extractive CUs and their surroundings in the southwestern Brazilian Amazon. Our results demonstrated that the streams exhibited distinct physicochemical and hydrological characteristics, representing spatially heterogeneous environments. Differences in habitat integrity values altered species composition in streams within and outside conservation units. Local beta diversity (LCBD) was negatively influenced by habitat integrity, indicating that sites with greater habitat integrity did not always present a greater number of unique species. The species Trachelomonas hispida, Gyrosigma scalproides and Spirogyra sp. were the ones that contributed the most to beta diversity. However, the phytoplankton species that contributed most to beta diversity were not always associated with streams with greater integrity, indicating that even environments that are less intact play a relevant role in maintaining species richness and beta diversity of microphytoplankton. Factors such as habitat integrity, pH, temperature and dissolved oxygen were the main influencers of microphytoplankton in the streams. Thus, the streams of both CUs and their surroundings, despite their physical–chemical and hydrological differences, effectively contribute to the high richness and beta diversity of regional microphytoplankton. Full article