Assessment of Landslide Risk Based on Rainfall

A special issue of Water (ISSN 2073-4441). This special issue belongs to the section "Hydrology".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (1 December 2019) | Viewed by 8858

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Guest Editor
Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning, Universidade de Lisboa, 1649-004 Lisboa, Portugal
Interests: hazard assessment; risk analysis; landslides; applied geomorphology; spatial planning
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Rainfall is the most important physical process for landslide triggering worldwide. However, the relationship between rainfall and landslides is indirect and typically includes a process cascade in which the rainfall is followed by infiltration into the soil, which increases the pore-water pressure that is responsible for the decrease in the shear strength of the slope materials. Moreover, the control of rainfall on landslides differs substantially depending upon landslide depth and kinematics and the affected material. Therefore, the critical rainfall conditions for failure are not the same for different types of landslides and may be strongly influenced by regional geologic and geomorphologic conditions.

During the last few decades, the relationship between landslides and rainfall has been tentatively established using physical and empirical approaches to assess rainfall thresholds, i.e., rainfall conditions (cumulated rainfall, intensity), that when reached or exceeded can induce a landslide event. The physical approach considers the physical basis of the process using hydrological models and stability calculations, which demand high-resolution data (e.g., groundwater conditions, shear strength properties). The empirical approach is statistically based and is sustained by historical records regarding landslide events and rainfall data series.

Rainfall thresholds are crucial for the implementation of landslide early warning systems (EWS) aimed at reducing the number of deaths and affected people as well as the frequent destruction of assets and disruption of economic and social activities due to landslides. Disaster risk tends to increase as a consequence of global changes in societal structures, rapid urbanization, growing exposure of population and assets, and climate change. To cope with this, early warning systems (EWS) for disaster risk reduction (DRR) were considered a powerful tool by the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030.

This Special Issue of Water discusses concepts, methods, and techniques to assess hazards and risks associated with rainfall-triggered landslides.

Topics of interest include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Assessment and validation of rainfall thresholds for landslide occurrence
  • Comparison and extrapolation of rainfall thresholds
  • The magnitude-frequency of rainfall-triggered landslide events
  • The implementation of EWS for landslides

Prof. Dr. José Luís Zêzere
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • rainfall thresholds
  • magnitude-frequency
  • landslide hazard
  • landslide risk
  • early warning systems

Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

20 pages, 7946 KiB  
Article
Stability Analysis of Expansive Soil Slope Considering Seepage Softening and Moistening Expansion Deformation
by Siyi Zhao, Zhenming Shi, Ming Peng and Yanni Bao
Water 2020, 12(6), 1678; https://doi.org/10.3390/w12061678 - 11 Jun 2020
Cited by 16 | Viewed by 3645
Abstract
Expansive soil is a kind of clay soil that expands rapidly after being immersed in water and shrinks significantly after losing water. The expansive soil slopes exposed to the atmosphere are in the process of continuous dry and wet cycles and are extremely [...] Read more.
Expansive soil is a kind of clay soil that expands rapidly after being immersed in water and shrinks significantly after losing water. The expansive soil slopes exposed to the atmosphere are in the process of continuous dry and wet cycles and are extremely unstable under the conditions of rainfall. Based on saturated-unsaturated seepage theory, the unsaturated seepage process and humidification process of the expansive soil slope under rainfall were simulated, and a related FORTRAN language program was developed. The effects of matrix suction changes, seepage softening, and moistening expansion during the seepage process were considered. The effects of strength attenuation, seepage softening, and moistening expansion on the overall stability of the expansive soil slope were analyzed. The results show that under the action of rainfall, the failure mode of the expansive soil slope after multiple dry-wet cycles is shallow collapse, and the failure surface is located in the weathered area, which is quite different from the traction landslide of the homogeneous expansive soil slope. After considering the moistening expansion and softening effects, the maximum displacement of the slope increased by an order of magnitude, and the safety factor decreased significantly. The significant increase in the horizontal stress of the lower half slope is the main reason for the landslide. The research results well explain the special tractive and shallow properties of typical expansive soil landslides. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Assessment of Landslide Risk Based on Rainfall)
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16 pages, 3109 KiB  
Article
Debris Flow Damage Assessment by Considering Debris Flow Direction and Direction Angle of Structure in South Korea
by Dong Ho Nam, Man-Il Kim, Dong Ho Kang and Byung Sik Kim
Water 2019, 11(2), 328; https://doi.org/10.3390/w11020328 - 14 Feb 2019
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 4841
Abstract
Recently, human and property damages have often occurred due to various reasons—such as landslides, debris flow, and other sediment-related disasters—which are also caused by regional torrential rain resulting from climate change and reckless development of mountainous areas. Debris flows mainly occur in mountainous [...] Read more.
Recently, human and property damages have often occurred due to various reasons—such as landslides, debris flow, and other sediment-related disasters—which are also caused by regional torrential rain resulting from climate change and reckless development of mountainous areas. Debris flows mainly occur in mountainous areas near urban living communities and often cause direct damages. In general, debris flows containing soil, rock fragments, and driftwood temporarily travel down to lower parts along with a mountain torrent. However, debris flows are also often reported to stream down from the point where a slope failure or a landslide occurs in a mountain directly to its lower parts. The impact of those debris flows is one of the main factors that cause serious damage to structures. To mitigate such damage of debris flows, a quantitative assessment of the impact force is thus required. Moreover, technologies to evaluate disaster prevention facilities and structures at disaster-prone regions are needed. This study developed two models to quantitatively analyze the damages caused by debris flows on structures: Type-1 model for calculating the impact force, which reflected the flow characteristics of debris flows and the Type-2 model, which calculated the impact force based on the topographical characteristics of mountainous regions. Using RAMMS a debris flow runoff model, the impact forces assessed through Type-1 and Type-2 models were compared to check reliability. Using the assessed impact forces, the damage ratio of the structures was calculated and the amount of damage caused by debris flows on the structures was ultimately assessed. The results showed that the Type-1 model overestimated the impact force by 10% and the Type-2 model by 4% for Mt. Umyeon in Seoul, compared to the RAMMS model. In addition, the Type-1 model overestimated the impact force by 3% and Type-2 by 2% for Mt. Majeok in Chuncheon, South Korea. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Assessment of Landslide Risk Based on Rainfall)
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