The implications of Brexit
A special issue of Risks (ISSN 2227-9091).
Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (30 June 2017) | Viewed by 13441
Special Issue Editor
Special Issue Information
Dear Colleagues,
On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted to separate from the EU. In the hours after the announcement, we could observe a huge reaction in the financial markets, e.g., the British pound fell below 1.30 against the US dollar—the lowest level since 1985. In this Special Issue, we seek contributions on two main research questions: First, the estimation of the probability of a Brexit with data available before June 23. Among others, interesting research questions are whether financial markets anticipated this decision, and whether there was a difference between spot and derivative markets in processing the relevant information. Second, forecasting the mid- and long-term economic and financial consequences of such a decision.
Submissions on any of these interesting developments would be welcome.
Alex Weissensteiner
Guest Editor
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Keywords
- economic modeling
- forecasting economic and financial consequences
- extracting the probability of a Brexit from historical data
- spot and derivative markets
- exchange rates
- GDP growth rates
- employment/unemployment
- short- versus long-term consequences
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