Financial Stability

A special issue of Journal of Risk and Financial Management (ISSN 1911-8074). This special issue belongs to the section "Financial Markets".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 August 2026 | Viewed by 2978

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
1. Department of International Business and Economics, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010404 Bucharest, Romania
2. Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, 050711 Bucharest, Romania
Interests: asset bubbles; financial markets; asset pricing; monetary policy; credit risk; volatility modeling; financial econometrics; economic forecasting; risk management
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

This Special Issue seeks to examine the fundamental dynamics that underpin the stability of financial systems in the context of an increasingly interconnected and volatile global economy. The primary objective is to attract innovative research on a wide range of topics including, but not limited to, systemic risk, regulatory frameworks, crisis management, and the role of financial institutions in risk mitigation. Contributions that offer insights into the influence of macroeconomic policies, stress testing, and emerging technologies—such as fintech—on financial stability are particularly encouraged. The issue places a strong emphasis on applied research with the potential to shape public policy on financial stability. Ultimately, it aims to provide risk management professionals with both practical tools and theoretical insights to effectively navigate and address financial uncertainties.

Prof. Dr. Adrian Cantemir Calin
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

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Keywords

  • systemic risk
  • regulatory frameworks
  • macroprudential policy
  • capital adequacy
  • financial resilience
  • asset bubbles
  • monetary policy

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Published Papers (2 papers)

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35 pages, 2760 KB  
Article
Bubbles and the Pro-Cyclicality of Systemic Risk Measures in Shadow Banking
by Adrian Cantemir Călin, Radu Lupu, Andreea Elena Croicu and Răzvan Alexandru Topa
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2026, 19(4), 242; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19040242 - 25 Mar 2026
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 938
Abstract
We examine whether speculative bubbles in shadow banking institutions contribute to the buildup and materialization of systemic risk. Using the Phillips–Shi–Yu (BSADF) bubble detection methodology and market-based systemic risk measures (ΔCoVaR and Marginal Expected Shortfall), we analyze daily data for 17 publicly listed [...] Read more.
We examine whether speculative bubbles in shadow banking institutions contribute to the buildup and materialization of systemic risk. Using the Phillips–Shi–Yu (BSADF) bubble detection methodology and market-based systemic risk measures (ΔCoVaR and Marginal Expected Shortfall), we analyze daily data for 17 publicly listed U.S. shadow banking firms over the period 2010–2026. We document a pronounced pro-cyclical measurement puzzle. During bubble periods, firms exhibit higher market exposure and greater tail risk—Beta increases by 4.9% and Expected Shortfall by 7.9%—yet widely used systemic risk measures decline, with ΔCoVaR falling by 6.6%. This pattern suggests that conventional systemic risk metrics may underestimate vulnerabilities during speculative expansions. However, when bubbles burst, systemic risk materializes rapidly. During burst windows, ΔCoVaR increases by 7.9% and MES by 8.6%, indicating that vulnerabilities accumulated during bubble phases translate into significant systemic spillovers once speculative dynamics collapse. Our findings highlight a pro-cyclical bias in commonly used systemic risk indicators: these measures capture realized financial stress but fail to detect the buildup of fragility during expansion phases. Monitoring bubble dynamics in shadow banking may therefore provide valuable complementary signals for macroprudential surveillance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Stability)
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28 pages, 922 KB  
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Making Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Transparent and Accountable
by Robert L. Hetzel
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2026, 19(1), 24; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19010024 - 1 Jan 2026
Viewed by 1307
Abstract
The Fed defends its independence based on the argument that an apolitical monetary policy brings stability to the economy. The Fed may be right, but how confident should the public be that the monetary arrangements that provide for economic stability are firmly in [...] Read more.
The Fed defends its independence based on the argument that an apolitical monetary policy brings stability to the economy. The Fed may be right, but how confident should the public be that the monetary arrangements that provide for economic stability are firmly in place now and in the future? To provide this assurance, policymakers should be able to explain what macroeconomic variables they control and how they exercise that control. What are the limits to their powers? The explanation should abandon the atheoretical language that focuses on near-term forecasts of the economy. Instead, it should use the general structure of a model to clarify how the Federal Open Market Committee exercises the control over the behavior of firms and households required to achieve its objectives. This explicitness would allow for an assessment of how well the monetary policy regime does in practice to provide for economic stability. It would also promote the durability of a successful regime. Finally, such transparency is required in a democracy. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Stability)
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