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GeoHazards, Volume 7, Issue 1 (March 2026) – 19 articles

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28 pages, 2587 KB  
Review
Evaluating the Impact of Elevated Temperatures on Engineering Properties of Sedimentary Rocks: Insights and Current Trends
by Qianhao Tang, Stephen Akosah, Ivan Gratchev and Jeung-Hwan Doh
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010019 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 45
Abstract
This paper presents a systematic review of research investigating the effects of elevated temperatures on sedimentary rocks. The literature was selected using keyword-based searches of titles, abstracts, and keywords in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. In total, 107 relevant articles published [...] Read more.
This paper presents a systematic review of research investigating the effects of elevated temperatures on sedimentary rocks. The literature was selected using keyword-based searches of titles, abstracts, and keywords in the Scopus and Web of Science databases. In total, 107 relevant articles published between 2010 and 2024 were critically examined to address research questions on temperature-treated sedimentary rocks. Furthermore, both bibliometric analysis and systematic synthesis of experimental data were performed. The review identifies sandstone as the most-studied rock type, followed by limestone. It reveals that standard experimental methods include unconfined compressive strength (UCS), Brazilian tensile strength (BTS), and P-wave velocity tests. The study’s findings indicate that a temperature threshold of 400–600 °C governs deterioration in engineering properties, driven by the quartz α–β transition in sandstones and calcite decomposition in limestones. Normalized data show that UCS, BTS, and elastic modulus decline significantly beyond this threshold, while porosity increases. The study highlights the influence of fabric anisotropy, mineralogy, and heating conditions on rock behaviour, and identifies research gaps related to confined testing, real-fire scenarios, and anisotropic rocks. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the literature, the principal factors and processes occurring at different temperature ranges were identified and discussed. Full article
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15 pages, 4701 KB  
Article
Local and Regional Tectonic Influence of Territory on Geohazard of Dam of Radioactive Waste Tailings (Ukraine)
by Olha Orlinska, Dmytro Pikarenia, Leonid Rudakov and Hennadii Hapich
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 18; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010018 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 40
Abstract
Uranium production tailing ponds in Kamyanske (Ukraine) are objects of increased radioecological danger. Violation of the stability and integrity of containment dams threatens the uncontrolled spread of radionuclides. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively assess the factors affecting the technical condition [...] Read more.
Uranium production tailing ponds in Kamyanske (Ukraine) are objects of increased radioecological danger. Violation of the stability and integrity of containment dams threatens the uncontrolled spread of radionuclides. The purpose of this study is to comprehensively assess the factors affecting the technical condition and environmental safety of the Sukhachivske tailing dam. The study included a visual inspection and detailed geophysical work using the natural pulse electromagnetic field of the Earth (NPEMFE) method. This method was chosen to identify hidden filtration paths and stress zones in the body of the earth dam. An analysis of the spatial distribution of waterlogging, filtration, and fissuring in the hydraulic structure was performed. Based on the results of the NPEMFE survey, six zones with varying degrees of waterlogging and stress–strain states of the structure were identified. The presence of externally unmanifested filtration paths and suffusion areas was established, and a tectonic scheme of fracture development in the dam body was compiled. A correlation was found between the dominant azimuths of crack extension (70–79° and 350–359°) and the directions of regional tectonic lineament zones, at the intersection of which the tailing pond is located. It has been established that modern tectonic movements along fault zones create zones of permeability, which serve as primary pathways for water filtration and further development of suffusion. This conclusion introduces a new tectonic feature for risk diagnosis and monitoring of similar hydraulic structures. Full article
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28 pages, 11414 KB  
Article
Monitoring and Prediction of Subsidence in Mining Areas of Liaoyuan Northern New District Based on InSAR Technology
by Menghao Li, Yichen Zhang, Jiquan Zhang, Zhou Wen, Jintao Huang and Haoying Li
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010017 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 36
Abstract
Ground subsidence in mined-out areas has irreversible impacts on residents’ lives and infrastructure, making its monitoring and prediction crucial for ensuring safety, protecting the ecological environment, and promoting sustainable development. This study employed the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique [...] Read more.
Ground subsidence in mined-out areas has irreversible impacts on residents’ lives and infrastructure, making its monitoring and prediction crucial for ensuring safety, protecting the ecological environment, and promoting sustainable development. This study employed the Small Baseline Subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique to process Sentinel-1A satellite images of Liaoyuan’s Northern New District from August 2022 to March 2025, deriving ground deformation data. The SBAS-InSAR results were validated using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) measurements. Monitoring revealed deformation rates ranging from −26.80 mm/year (subsidence) to 13.12 mm/year (uplift) in the area, with a maximum cumulative subsidence of 59.59 mm observed near the Xi’an Sixth District. Based on spatiotemporal patterns, most mining-induced subsidence in the study area is in its late stage, primarily caused by progressive compaction of fractured rock masses and voids within the collapse and fracture zones. Using subsidence data from August 2022 to March 2024, three prediction models—LSTM, GRU, and TCN-GRU—were trained and subsequently applied to forecast subsidence from March 2024 to August 2025. Comparisons between the predictions and SBAS-InSAR measurements showed that all models achieved high accuracy. Among them, the TCN-GRU model yielded predictions closest to the actual values, with a correlation coefficient exceeding 0.95, validating its potential for application in time-series settlement monitoring. Full article
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31 pages, 6852 KB  
Article
Digital Governance and Geohazard Mitigation in Post-Earthquake Reconstruction: The 2018 Etna Case Study
by Giovanni Scapellato, Giuseppe Licciardello, Giuseppe Lorenzo Maria Blanco, Francesco Campione, Maria Letizia Carbone, Salvatore Castorina, Antonio Mirko Londino, Mariangela Riggio, Giuseppe Sapienza, Giuseppe Scrofana, Salvatore Tomarchio, Salvatore Scalia and Marco Neri
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010016 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 158
Abstract
Post-disaster reconstruction requires instruments capable of ensuring procedural consistency, administrative transparency, and the systematic integration of geohazards, all of which are essential for safeguarding communities. This study presents the digital platform established under Italian Law 55/2019 for the reconstruction of the areas on [...] Read more.
Post-disaster reconstruction requires instruments capable of ensuring procedural consistency, administrative transparency, and the systematic integration of geohazards, all of which are essential for safeguarding communities. This study presents the digital platform established under Italian Law 55/2019 for the reconstruction of the areas on Mt. Etna affected by the Mw 4.9 earthquake of 26 December 2018, emphasizing its innovative contribution to current international approaches to reconstruction governance. The platform standardizes the entire administrative workflow and is centered on the Parametric Form, which enables an objective calculation of eligible reconstruction grants based on damage indicators, vulnerability metrics, and parametric cost functions. A defining feature of the Etna model is the structural integration between administrative procedures and geohazard mitigation, achieved through updated hazard maps and protocols that incorporate geological, hydrogeological, and geomorphological conditions. This approach reframes reconstruction as an opportunity to reduce overall territorial vulnerability. The system also includes public monitoring tools (WebGIS and dashboards) that enhance traceability, compliance, and stakeholder engagement. Expected outcomes include shorter administrative timelines, improved interinstitutional coordination, and the potential transferability of the model to other emergency contexts. In comparison with international cases, the Etna experience represents an original integration of digitalization, parametric assessment, and site-specific hazard mitigation. Full article
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19 pages, 9370 KB  
Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Geospatial Modelling in the Central Himalaya
by Chandra Shekhar Dwivedi, Suryaprava Das, Arvind Chandra Pandey, Bikash Ranjan Parida, Sagar Kumar Swain and Navneet Kumar
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 15; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010015 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 54
Abstract
Landslides are a persistent hazard in the tectonically active Central Himalaya, frequently affecting roads and settlements. However, quantitative assessments of their spatial drivers have remained limited. This study investigated landslide susceptibility along a 90 km section of the Uttarkashi–Gangotri highway to identify dominant [...] Read more.
Landslides are a persistent hazard in the tectonically active Central Himalaya, frequently affecting roads and settlements. However, quantitative assessments of their spatial drivers have remained limited. This study investigated landslide susceptibility along a 90 km section of the Uttarkashi–Gangotri highway to identify dominant triggering factors and generate a reliable risk map. We applied the AHP–GIS framework, guided by a multi-criteria decision-making approach. Nine thematic parameters, such as slope, geology, lineament density, drainage density, proximity to roads, rainfall, aspect, curvature, and land use/land cover were utilised to quantify their relative influence on slope failure. Results showed that slope (23%), geology (22%), and lineament density (21%) were the most influential factors. Secondary contributions came from drainage density (9%), proximity to roads (8%), and rainfall (>231 mm). The susceptibility map was validated using 105 landslide inventory points, with 64 events (61%) located in very high-risk zones and 31 (30%) in high-risk zones. The model achieved a predictive accuracy of 0.817 based on the Area Under the Curve (AUC) metric. High-risk zones are aligned with steep slopes (30–50°), convex curvatures, and barren land, particularly near infrastructure. These findings provide a scientific tool for hazard mitigation and support disaster risk reduction in similar mountainous regions worldwide, contributing to safer infrastructure development. Full article
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21 pages, 9799 KB  
Article
Impacts of Extreme Storms in Surface Water Resources, Systems, and Infrastructure—Evidence from Storm Daniel (2023) in Greece
by Michalis Diakakis, Petros Andriopoulos, Andromachi Sarantopoulou, Ioannis Kapris, Christos Filis, Aliki Konsolaki, Emmanuel Vassilakis and Panagiotis Nastos
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 14; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010014 - 19 Jan 2026
Viewed by 205
Abstract
As the frequency and severity of extreme weather events may increase due to climate change, understanding their impacts on water systems, resources, and infrastructure becomes very important. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge on how extreme storms and floods disrupt [...] Read more.
As the frequency and severity of extreme weather events may increase due to climate change, understanding their impacts on water systems, resources, and infrastructure becomes very important. This study contributes to the growing body of knowledge on how extreme storms and floods disrupt interrelated elements comprising water systems by examining the case of Storm Daniel, which struck the Thessaly region of Greece in September 2023. Using a multi-source approach, including field data, institutional reports, scientific assessments, and publications, the study systematically identifies and categorizes the impacts of the storm and the ensuing flood across surface waters, drinking water supply, and wastewater infrastructure and other water-related systems through various mechanisms. The findings provide an overview of how such extreme storms may affect such systems and reveal widespread, interconnected disruptions that highlight systemic vulnerabilities in both natural and engineered systems, synthesizing these impact pathways. The study presents evidence of poor resilience against extreme events and climate change hazards in water-related infrastructure. Full article
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22 pages, 8535 KB  
Article
Experimental Study and THM Coupling Analysis of Slope Instability in Seasonally Frozen Ground
by Xiangshen Chen, Chao Li, Feng Ding and Yongju Shao
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010013 - 17 Jan 2026
Viewed by 217
Abstract
Freeze–thaw cycles (FTCs) are a prevalent weathering process that threatens the stability of canal slopes in seasonally frozen regions. This study combines direct shear tests under multiple F-T cycles with coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical numerical modeling to investigate the failure mechanisms of slopes with different [...] Read more.
Freeze–thaw cycles (FTCs) are a prevalent weathering process that threatens the stability of canal slopes in seasonally frozen regions. This study combines direct shear tests under multiple F-T cycles with coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical numerical modeling to investigate the failure mechanisms of slopes with different moisture contents (18%, 22%, 26%). The test results quantify a marked strength degradation, where the cohesion decreases to approximately 50% of its initial value and the internal friction angle is weakened by about 10% after 10 freeze–thaw cycles. The simulation reveals that temperature gradient-driven moisture migration is the core process, leading to a dynamic stress–strain concentration zone that propagates from the upper slope to the toe. The safety factors of the three soil specimens with different moisture contents fell below the critical threshold of 1.3. They registered values of 1.02, 0.99, and 0.78 within 44, 44, and 46 days, which subsequently induced shallow failure. The failure mechanism elucidated in this study enhances the understanding of freeze–thaw-induced slope instability in seasonally frozen regions. Full article
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21 pages, 29247 KB  
Article
Public Access Dimensions of Landscape Changes in Parks and Reserves: Case Studies of Erosion Impacts and Responses in a Changing Climate
by Shane Orchard, Aubrey Miller and Pascal Sirguey
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 12; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010012 - 15 Jan 2026
Viewed by 190
Abstract
This study investigates flooding and erosion impacts and human responses in Aoraki Mount Cook and Westland Tai Poutini national parks in Aotearoa New Zealand. These fast-eroding landscapes provide important test cases and insights for considering the public access dimensions of climate change. Our [...] Read more.
This study investigates flooding and erosion impacts and human responses in Aoraki Mount Cook and Westland Tai Poutini national parks in Aotearoa New Zealand. These fast-eroding landscapes provide important test cases and insights for considering the public access dimensions of climate change. Our objectives were to explore and characterise the often-overlooked role of public access as a ubiquitous concern for protected areas and other area-based conservation approaches that facilitate connections between people and nature alongside their protective functions. We employed a mixed-methods approach including volunteered geographic information (VGI) from a park user survey (n = 273) and detailed case studies of change on two iconic mountaineering routes based on geospatial analyses of digital elevation models spanning 1986–2022. VGI data identified 36 adversely affected locations while 21% of respondents also identified beneficial aspects of recent landscape changes. Geophysical changes could be perceived differently by different stakeholders, illustrating the potential for competing demands on management responses. Impacts of rainfall-triggered erosion events were explored in case studies of damaged access infrastructure (e.g., roads, tracks, bridges). Adaptive responses resulted from formal or informal (park user-led) actions including re-routing, rebuilding, or abandonment of pre-existing infrastructure. Three widely transferable dimensions of public access management are identified: providing access that supports the core functions of protected areas; evaluating the impacts of both physical changes and human responses to them; and managing tensions between stakeholder preferences. Improved attention to the role of access is essential for effective climate change adaptation in parks and reserves. Full article
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22 pages, 18075 KB  
Article
Geodynamic Characterization of Hydraulic Structures in Seismically Active Almaty Using Lineament Analysis
by Dinara Talgarbayeva, Andrey Vilayev, Tatyana Dedova, Oxana Kuznetsova, Larissa Balakay and Aibek Merekeyev
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 11; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010011 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 285
Abstract
Monitoring the stability of hydraulic structures such as dams and reservoirs in seismically active regions is essential for ensuring their safety and operational reliability. This study presents a comprehensive geospatial approach combining lineament analysis and geodynamic zoning to assess the structural stability of [...] Read more.
Monitoring the stability of hydraulic structures such as dams and reservoirs in seismically active regions is essential for ensuring their safety and operational reliability. This study presents a comprehensive geospatial approach combining lineament analysis and geodynamic zoning to assess the structural stability of the Voroshilov and Priyut reservoirs located in the Almaty region, Kazakhstan. A regional lineament map was generated using ASTER GDEM data, while ALOS PALSAR data were used for detailed local analysis. Lineaments were extracted and analyzed through automated processing in PCI Geomatica. Lineament density maps and azimuthal rose diagrams were constructed to identify zones of tectonic weakness and assess regional structural patterns. Integration of lineament density, GPS velocity fields, InSAR deformation data, and probabilistic seismic hazard maps enabled the development of a detailed geodynamic zoning model. Results show that the studied sites are located within zones of low local geodynamic activity, with lineament densities of 0.8–1.2 km/km2, significantly lower than regional averages of 3–4 km/km2. GPS velocities in the area do not exceed 4 mm/year, and InSAR analysis indicates minimal surface deformation (<5 mm/year). Despite this apparent local stability, the 2024 Voroshilov Dam failure highlights the cumulative effect of regional seismic stresses (PGA up to 0.9 g) and localized filtration along fracture zones as critical risk factors. The proposed geodynamic zoning correctly identified the site as structurally stable under normal conditions but indicates that even low-activity zones are vulnerable under cumulative seismic loading. This demonstrates that an integrated approach combining remote sensing, geodetic, and seismic data can provide quantitative assessments for dam safety, predict potential high-risk zones, and support preventive monitoring in tectonically active regions. Full article
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21 pages, 12613 KB  
Article
The Evolution and Impact of Glacier and Ice-Rock Avalanches in the Tibetan Plateau with Sentinel-2 Time-Series Images
by Duo Chu, Linshan Liu and Zhaofeng Wang
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 10; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010010 - 9 Jan 2026
Viewed by 433
Abstract
Catastrophic mass flows originating from the high mountain cryosphere often cause cascading hazards. With increasing human activities in the alpine region and the sensitivity of the cryosphere to climate warming, cryospheric hazards are becoming more frequent in the mountain regions. Monitoring the evolution [...] Read more.
Catastrophic mass flows originating from the high mountain cryosphere often cause cascading hazards. With increasing human activities in the alpine region and the sensitivity of the cryosphere to climate warming, cryospheric hazards are becoming more frequent in the mountain regions. Monitoring the evolution and impact of the glaciers and ice-rock avalanches and hazard consequences in the mountain regions is crucial to understand nature and drivers of mass flow process in order to prevent and mitigate potential hazard risks. In this study, the glacier and ice-rock avalanches that occurred in the Tibetan Plateau (TP) were investigated based on the Sentinel-2 satellite data and in situ observations, and the main driving forces and impacts on the regional environment, landscape, and geomorphological conditions were also analyzed. The results showed that the avalanche deposit of Arutso glacier No. 53 completely melted away in 2 years, while the deposit of Arutso glacier No. 50 melted in 7 years. Four large-scale ice-rock avalanches in the Sedongpu basin not only had significant impacts on the river flow, landscape, and geomorphologic shape in the basin, but also caused serious disasters in the region and beyond. These glacier and ice-rock avalanches were caused by temperature anomaly, heavy precipitation, climate warming, and seismic activity, etc., which act on the specific glacier properties in the high mountain regions. The study highlights scientific advances should support and benefit the remote and vulnerable mountain communities to make mountain regions safer. Full article
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21 pages, 16605 KB  
Article
Multi-Objective Adaptive Harmony Search for Optimization of Seismic Base Isolator Systems
by Ayla Ocak, Sinan Melih Nigdeli, Gebrail Bekdaş and Zong Woo Geem
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010009 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 247
Abstract
The optimization of seismic isolation parameters is essential for balancing displacement demand and acceleration control in base-isolated structures. While numerous studies have applied metaheuristic algorithms to isolator tuning, the influence of objective-function weighting on optimal design outcomes remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates [...] Read more.
The optimization of seismic isolation parameters is essential for balancing displacement demand and acceleration control in base-isolated structures. While numerous studies have applied metaheuristic algorithms to isolator tuning, the influence of objective-function weighting on optimal design outcomes remains insufficiently explored. This study investigates the effects of displacement and acceleration on control performance in a multi-objective optimization function. Thus, acceleration can be reduced economically by limiting the isolator displacement capacity. In the study, the effective values of the acceleration and displacement coefficients in the objective function of the problem are changed for the design optimization of seismic base isolators, and the determination of the most appropriate weights in the equation and their effects on the control are investigated. In the optimization process, the adaptive harmony search algorithm, which is obtained by adapting the parameters of the harmony search algorithm inspired by the search for the best harmony, is used. The results demonstrate that increased emphasis on acceleration minimization leads to longer effective isolation periods and higher damping ratios, whereas displacement-dominated weighting results in stiffer isolation systems with reduced mobility. Full article
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33 pages, 6282 KB  
Article
Numerical Simulation of Liquefaction Behaviour in Coastal Reclaimed Sediments
by Pouyan Abbasimaedeh
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010008 - 3 Jan 2026
Viewed by 259
Abstract
This study presents a validated numerical investigation into the seismic liquefaction potential of fine-grained reclaimed sediments commonly encountered in coastal, containment, and reclamation projects. Fine-grained reclaimed sediments pose a particular challenge for seismic liquefaction assessment due to their low permeability, high fines content, [...] Read more.
This study presents a validated numerical investigation into the seismic liquefaction potential of fine-grained reclaimed sediments commonly encountered in coastal, containment, and reclamation projects. Fine-grained reclaimed sediments pose a particular challenge for seismic liquefaction assessment due to their low permeability, high fines content, and complex cyclic response under earthquake loading. A fully coupled, nonlinear finite element model was developed using the Pressure-Dependent Multi-Yield (PDMY) constitutive framework, calibrated against laboratory Cyclic Direct Simple Shear (CDSS) tests and verified using in situ Cone Penetration Tests with pore pressure measurement (CPTu). The model effectively captured the dynamic response of saturated sediments, including excess pore pressure generation, cyclic mobility, and post-liquefaction behavior, under three earthquake ground motions: Livermore, Chi-Chi, and Loma Prieta. Results showed that near-surface layers (0–2.3 m) experienced full liquefaction within two to three cycles, with excess pore pressure ratios (Ru) approaching 1.0 and peak pressures closely matching laboratory data with less than 10% deviation. The numerical approach revealed that traditional CPT-based cyclic resistance methods underestimated liquefaction susceptibility in intermediate layers due to limitations in accounting for pore pressure redistribution, evolving permeability, and seismic amplification effects. In contrast, the finite element model captured progressive strength degradation, revealing strength gain in deeper layers due to consolidation, while upper zones remained vulnerable due to low confinement and resonance effects. A critical threshold of Ru ≈ 0.8 was identified as the onset of rapid shear strength loss. The findings confirm the advantage of advanced numerical modeling over empirical methods in capturing the complex cyclic behavior of reclaimed sediments and support the adoption of performance-based seismic design for such geotechnically sensitive environments. Full article
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26 pages, 10873 KB  
Article
Prediction of Coseismic Landslides by Explainable Machine Learning Methods
by Tulasi Ram Bhattarai, Netra Prakash Bhandary and Kalpana Pandit
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010007 - 2 Jan 2026
Viewed by 439
Abstract
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground [...] Read more.
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground deformation, and tsunami impacts, leaving a clear gap in machine learning based assessment of earthquake-induced slope failures. This study integrates 2323 mapped landslides with eleven conditioning factors to develop the first data-driven susceptibility framework for the 2024 event. Spatial analysis shows that 75% of the landslides are smaller than 3220 m2 and nearly half occurred within about 23 km of the epicenter, reflecting concentrated ground shaking beyond the rupture zone. Terrain variables such as slope (mean 31.8°), southwest-facing aspects, and elevations of 100–300 m influenced the failure patterns, along with peak ground acceleration values of 0.8–1.1 g and proximity to roads and rivers. Six supervised machine learning models were trained, with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieving the highest accuracies (AUC = 0.95 and 0.94, respectively). Explainable AI using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) identified slope, epicentral distance, and peak ground acceleration as the dominant predictors. The resulting susceptibility maps align well with observed failures and provide an interpretable foundation for post-earthquake hazard assessment and regional risk reduction. Further work should integrate post-seismic rainfall, multi-temporal inventories, and InSAR deformation to support dynamic hazard assessment and improved early warning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Research: State of the Art and Innovations)
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16 pages, 7617 KB  
Article
Basement-Controlled Urban Fracturing: Evidence from Las Pilas, Zacatecas, Mexico
by Felipe de Jesús Escalona-Alcázar, Estefanía García-Paniagua, Luis Felipe Pineda-Martínez, Baudelio Rodríguez-González, Sayde María Teresa Reveles-Flores, Santiago Valle-Rodríguez and Cruz Daniel Mandujano-García
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 6; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010006 - 1 Jan 2026
Viewed by 326
Abstract
The formation of fractures in urban areas is typically related to construction processes, natural ground settlement, and material quality. In valleys, the distribution of ground fissures is associated with aquifer overexploitation and basement faulting. However, where the soil layer is only a few [...] Read more.
The formation of fractures in urban areas is typically related to construction processes, natural ground settlement, and material quality. In valleys, the distribution of ground fissures is associated with aquifer overexploitation and basement faulting. However, where the soil layer is only a few meters thick or absent, the influence of basement structures remains poorly understood. We hypothesize that urban fractures develop parallel to major basement faults. To test this, we applied a simple structural geology technique to systematically measure extension axes, from street fractures, throughout the town of Las Pilas. These axis orientations were then compared with those calculated for normal faults of Las Pilas Complex. Street fractures are generally about 1 cm thick, with lengths ranging from 0.51 to 1 m and occasionally reaching up to 3 m. They occur within streets 2 to 4 m wide, typically appearing as a single fracture within a 1–2 m wide fracture zone. Based on these characteristics, the fractures do not represent a significant hazard. Measurement results indicate that urban fractures primarily extend in an NE-SW direction. This is consistent with the orientation of the minimum principal stress axis (3) of the regional San Luis-Tepehuanes fault system, thereby supporting our hypothesis. Full article
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19 pages, 1041 KB  
Article
Smart Prediction of Rockburst Risks Using Microseismic Data and K-Nearest Neighbor Classification
by Mahmood Ahmad, Zia Ullah, Sabahat Hussan, Abdullah Alzlfawi, Rohayu Che Omar, Shay Haq, Feezan Ahmad and Muhammad Naveed Khalil
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 5; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010005 - 1 Jan 2026
Viewed by 327
Abstract
Effective mitigation of geotechnical risk and safety management of underground mine requires accurate estimation of rockburst damage potential. The inherent complexity of the rockburst phenomena due to nonlinear, high dimensional, and interdependent nature of the geological factors involved, however, makes predictive modeling a [...] Read more.
Effective mitigation of geotechnical risk and safety management of underground mine requires accurate estimation of rockburst damage potential. The inherent complexity of the rockburst phenomena due to nonlinear, high dimensional, and interdependent nature of the geological factors involved, however, makes predictive modeling a difficult task. The proposed research is based on the use of the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) algorithm to predict the risk of rockbursts with the use of microseismic monitoring data. Several key features like the ratio of total maximum principal stress to uniaxial compressive strength, energy capacity of support system, excavation span, geology factor, Richter magnitude of seismic event, distance between rockburst location and microseismic event, and rock density were applied as input parameters to extract critical rockburst precursor activities. In the test stage, the proposed KNN model recorded an accuracy of 75.50%, a precision of 0.913, a recall value of 0.509, and F1 Score of 0.576. The model is reliable with a significant performance indicating its efficacy in practice. The KNN model showed better classification results as compared to recently available models in literature and provided better generalization and interpretability. The model exhibited high prediction in classified low-risk incidents and had strong indicative capabilities towards high-risk situations, attributed to being a useful tool in rockburst hazard measurement. Full article
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30 pages, 15497 KB  
Article
Geological and Social Factors Related to Disasters Caused by Complex Mass Movements: The Quilloturo Landslide in Ecuador (2024)
by Liliana Troncoso, Francisco Javier Torrijo Echarri, Luis Pilatasig, Elías Ibadango, Alex Mateus, Olegario Alonso-Pandavenes, Adans Bermeo, Francisco Javier Robayo and Louis Jost
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 4; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010004 - 1 Jan 2026
Viewed by 449
Abstract
Complex landslides have characteristics and parameters that are difficult to analyze. The landslide on 16 June 2024 in the rural community of Quilloturo (Tungurahua, Ecuador) caused severe damage (14 deaths, 24 injuries, and hundreds of affected families) related to the area’s geological, social, [...] Read more.
Complex landslides have characteristics and parameters that are difficult to analyze. The landslide on 16 June 2024 in the rural community of Quilloturo (Tungurahua, Ecuador) caused severe damage (14 deaths, 24 injuries, and hundreds of affected families) related to the area’s geological, social, and anthropogenic conditions. Its location in the eastern foothills of Ecuador’s Cordillera Real exacerbated the effects of a landslide involving various processes (mud and debris flows, landslides, and rock falls). This event was preceded by intense rainfall lasting more than 10 h, which accumulated and caused natural damming of the streams prior to the event. The lithology of the investigated area includes deformed metamorphic and intrusive rocks overlain by superficial clayey colluvial deposits. The relationship between the geological structures found, such as fractures, joints, schistosity, and shear, favored the formation of blocks within the flow, making mass movement more complex. Geomorphologically, the area features a relief with steep slopes, where ancient landslides or material movements, composed of these colluvial deposits, have already occurred. At the foot of these steep slopes, on plains less than 300 m wide and bordered by the Pastaza River, there are human settlements with less than 60 years of emplacement and a complex history of territorial occupation, characterized by a lack of planning and organization. The memory of the inhabitants identified mass movements that have occurred since the mid-20th century, with the highest frequency of occurrence recorded in the last decade of the present century (2018, 2022, and 2024). Furthermore, it was possible to identify several factors within the knowledge of the inhabitants that can be considered premonitory of a mass movement, specifically a flood, and that must be incorporated as critical elements in decision-making, both individual and collective, for the evacuation of the area. Full article
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21 pages, 45399 KB  
Article
Co-Seismic Landslide Detection Combining Multiple Classifiers Based on Weighted Voting: A Case Study of the Jiuzhaigou Earthquake in 2017
by Yaohui Liu, Xinkai Wang, Jie Zhou and Zhengguang Zhao
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 3; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010003 - 1 Jan 2026
Viewed by 344
Abstract
Co-seismic landslides are major secondary hazards in earthquakes, and their rapid detection is essential for emergency response, disaster assessment, and post-earthquake reconstruction. However, single classifiers often fail to meet practical detection requirements. This study proposes WPU, a weighted-voting-based multi-classifier method that assigns category-specific [...] Read more.
Co-seismic landslides are major secondary hazards in earthquakes, and their rapid detection is essential for emergency response, disaster assessment, and post-earthquake reconstruction. However, single classifiers often fail to meet practical detection requirements. This study proposes WPU, a weighted-voting-based multi-classifier method that assigns category-specific weights using the producer’s accuracy and user’s accuracy. A case study was conducted in Jiuzhaigou County, Sichuan Province, China, affected by the Ms 7.0 earthquake on 8 August 2017. A dataset of 193 co-seismic landslides was built through manual interpretation, and six commonly used remote-sensing-based detection methods were employed. The WPU method fused the outputs of all classifiers using PA- and UA-based weights. Results show that WPU achieved an overall accuracy of 0.9755 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.7848, demonstrating substantial improvement over individual classifiers while maintaining efficiency and timeliness. The proposed approach supports rapid emergency assessment and enhances the effectiveness of co-seismic landslide detection, providing a valuable reference for future post-earthquake hazard evaluations and enabling governments to respond more quickly to landslide disasters. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Research: State of the Art and Innovations)
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20 pages, 6458 KB  
Article
Quantifying Causal Impact of Drought on Vegetation Degradation in the Chad Basin (2000–2023) with Machine Learning-Enhanced Transfer Entropy
by Arnob Bormudoi and Masahiko Nagai
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 2; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010002 - 21 Dec 2025
Viewed by 403
Abstract
Establishing quantitative causal relationships between drought indicators and vegetation degradation in the Chad Basin remained challenging due to statistical limitations of applying traditional Transfer Entropy to finite-length remote sensing time series. This study implemented a Machine Learning Enhanced Transfer Entropy structure to quantify [...] Read more.
Establishing quantitative causal relationships between drought indicators and vegetation degradation in the Chad Basin remained challenging due to statistical limitations of applying traditional Transfer Entropy to finite-length remote sensing time series. This study implemented a Machine Learning Enhanced Transfer Entropy structure to quantify directed information flow from primary drought drivers of precipitation and land surface temperature to vegetation dynamics from 2000 to 2023. A feed-forward neural network trained on 10,000 synthetic samples with known theoretical Transfer Entropies enabled causal inference from 24-year MODIS-derived NDVI, land surface temperature, and precipitation. The trained model was applied over 10 million pixels, producing Transfer Entropy maps. Results showed that precipitation and land surface temperature exerted comparable causal influences on NDVI, with mean Transfer Entropy values of 0.064 and 0.063, ranging from 0.041 to 0.388. Spatial analysis revealed distinct causal hotspots exceeding 75th percentile threshold of 0.069, indicating driver-specific vulnerability zones. The decline in mean annual NDVI from 0.225 in 2019 to 0.194 in 2023, together with spatially divergent hotspots, highlighted the need for geographically targeted land management. The study overcame finite-length time-series limitations and provided a replicable pathway for vulnerability assessment and climate adaptation planning in data-constrained drylands in the Chad Basin in Africa. Full article
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25 pages, 4630 KB  
Article
Landslide Occurrence and Mitigation Strategies: Exploring Community Perception in Kivu Catchment of Rwanda
by Ma-Lyse Nema, Bachir Mahaman Saley, Arona Diedhiou and Assiel Mugabe
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 1; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010001 - 19 Dec 2025
Viewed by 989
Abstract
Landslides are among the most significant disasters that threaten communities worldwide. This study sampled 384 respondents, using standardized interviews and field observations, to analyze how they perceived the factors influencing the incidence of landslides in the Kivu catchment of Rwanda, especially in landslide-prone [...] Read more.
Landslides are among the most significant disasters that threaten communities worldwide. This study sampled 384 respondents, using standardized interviews and field observations, to analyze how they perceived the factors influencing the incidence of landslides in the Kivu catchment of Rwanda, especially in landslide-prone areas. This study employs a mixed-methods approach that combines household surveys and interviews with key informants to assess how residents perceive landslide causes, warning signs, and impacts, which were analyzed statistically using SPSS. For further analysis, a binary logistic regression model and chi-square tests were used. The chi-square test findings highlighted that heavy rainfall, inappropriate agricultural practices, steep slopes, deforestation, road construction, earthquakes, and climate change were strongly correlated with landslide occurrence, with a p < 0.05 level of significance, while mining activities were not correlated with landslides. On the other hand, a binary logistic regression model revealed that, among the selected factors influencing landslide occurrence in the Kivu catchment, road construction (B = −0.644; p = 0.014), inappropriate agriculturalpractices (−1.177; p = 0.000), steep slopes (B = −0.648; p = 0.018), deforestation (B = −0.854; p = 0.007), and earthquakes (B = −1.59; p = 0.008) were negatively correlated, while heavy rainfall (B = 1.686; p = 0.000) and climate change (B = 1.784; p = 0.001) were positively correlated, and this was statistically significant for landslide occurrence at a p-value < 0.05. In contrast, mining activities (B = −0.065; p = 0.917) showed a negative coefficient that was statistically insignificant with respect to landslide occurrence in the study area. Future studies should integrate surveys with landslide hazard modeling tools for better spatial prediction of vulnerability and economic losses. Therefore, the findings from this study will contribute to sustainable natural disaster management planning in the western region of Rwanda. Full article
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