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Forecasting, Volume 3, Issue 4

December 2021 - 16 articles

Cover Story: In this study, the Holt method is modified using time-varying smoothing parameters instead of fixed on time. Smoothing parameters are obtained for each observation from first-order autoregressive models. The parameters of the autoregressive models are estimated using a harmony search algorithm, and forecasts are obtained with a subsampling bootstrap approach. The main contribution of the paper is to consider time-varying smoothing parameters with autoregressive equations and use the bootstrap method in an exponential smoothing method. Real-world time series are used to show the forecasting performance of the proposed method. View this paper
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Articles (16)

  • Article
  • Open Access
36 Citations
8,469 Views
22 Pages

Examining Deep Learning Architectures for Crime Classification and Prediction

  • Panagiotis Stalidis,
  • Theodoros Semertzidis and
  • Petros Daras

12 October 2021

In this paper, a detailed study on crime classification and prediction using deep learning architectures is presented. We examine the effectiveness of deep learning algorithms in this domain and provide recommendations for designing and training deep...

  • Article
  • Open Access
19 Citations
7,137 Views
13 Pages

11 October 2021

The autoregressive model is a tool used in time series analysis to describe and model time series data. Its main structure is a linear equation using the previous values to compute the next time step; i.e., the short time relationship is the core com...

  • Article
  • Open Access
11 Citations
3,651 Views
21 Pages

27 September 2021

Forest fires from lightnings create a tense situation in various regions of states with forested areas. It is noted that in mountainous areas this is especially important in view of the geophysical processes of lightning activity. The aim of the stud...

  • Article
  • Open Access
25 Citations
6,168 Views
13 Pages

26 September 2021

This article presents a real-time data analysis platform to forecast water consumption with Machine-Learning (ML) techniques. The strategy fully relies on a web-oriented architecture to ensure better management and optimized monitoring of water consu...

  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
3,306 Views
19 Pages

Battery Sizing for Different Loads and RES Production Scenarios through Unsupervised Clustering Methods

  • Alfredo Nespoli,
  • Andrea Matteri,
  • Silvia Pretto,
  • Luca De Ciechi and
  • Emanuele Ogliari

24 September 2021

The increasing penetration of Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) in the energy mix is determining an energy scenario characterized by decentralized power production. Between RESs power generation technologies, solar PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems constitute...

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Forecasting - ISSN 2571-9394