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Laws, Volume 11, Issue 5
October 2022 - 15 articles
Cover Story: We study statistical aspects of the case of the British nurse Ben Geen, convicted for 17 attacks on his patients during December 2013–February 2014. We note parallels with the cases of nurses Lucia de Berk (the Netherlands) and Daniela Poggiali (Italy), in both of which an initial conviction for multiple murders of patients was overturned after the reopening of the case. We pay the most attention to the investigative processes by which data, and not just statistical data, are generated; namely, the identification of past cases in which the nurse under suspicion might have been involved. We argue that the investigation and prosecution of such cases are vulnerable to many cognitive biases and errors of reasoning in terms of uncertainty. View this paper
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