Search Results (1,253)

Heavy precipitation events are characterized by sudden onset, limited spatiotemporal scales, rapid evolution, and high disaster potential, posing long-standing challenges in weather forecasting. With the development of deep learning, an increasing number of researchers have leveraged its powerful feature representation and non-linear modeling capabilities to address the challenge of precipitation nowcasting. Despite recent advances in deep learning for precipitation nowcasting, most existing methods do not explicitly separate precipitation from non-precipitation regions. This often leads to the extraction of redundant or irrelevant features, thereby causing models to learn misleading patterns and ultimately reducing their predictive capability for heavy precipitation events. To address this issue, we propose a novel dynamic region attention (DRA) mechanism, and an improved model TPDTC-Net-DRA, based on our previously introduced TPDTC-Net. The proposed TPDTC-Net-DRA applies the DRA mechanism and incorporates its two key components: a dynamic region module and a weight control module. The dynamic region module generates a mask matrix that is applied to the feature maps, guiding the attention mechanism to focus only on precipitation areas. Meanwhile, the weight control module produces a location-sensitive weight matrix to direct the model’s attention toward regions with intense precipitation. Extensive experiments demonstrate that TPDTC-Net-DRA achieves superior performance for heavy precipitation, outperforming current state-of-the-art methods, and indicate that the proposed DRA mechanism exhibits strong generalization ability across diverse model architectures. Full article

This study evaluates temporal variability and algorithm differences in soil moisture estimates over Europe using the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analysis and the passive Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) soil moisture product. While models and satellite retrievals have improved in capturing the timing of soil moisture dynamics, absolute accuracy and temporal variability magnitudes still diverge. This study compares the representation of short-term and seasonal variability of soil moisture in absolute and normalized terms over two different hydrometeorological growing periods (2021 and 2022). Both datasets exhibit intermediate to high temporal correlations with in situ measurements at selected stations (median Pearson correlation coefficients of all stations range between 0.65 and 0.79), confirming previous studies. However, they overestimate the magnitude of absolute soil moisture variability at most stations (median interquartile range of all stations at 0.085 (0.10) m³m⁻³ for ECMWF and 0.072 (0.079) m³m⁻³ for SMAP opposed to 0.063 (0.072) m³m⁻³ for in situ in 2021 (2022)) due to an overestimation of short-term fluctuations, especially at dry stations in southern France and Eastern Europe. The soil wetness index is underestimated, particularly within SMAP estimates. The performance of both is sensitive to hydrometeorological conditions, with the 2022 European drought causing strong seasonal and weak short-term fluctuations. This is easier to capture than conditions with pronounced short-term and weaker seasonal fluctuations, as in 2021. Overall, SMAP and ECMWF time series show considerable coincident timing, whereas the magnitude of temporal variability and accuracy depend on site-specific characteristics and the pre-processing of the data. Full article

Canada is a top producer and exporter of crude oil but also has many in-land freshwater ecosystems that need protection using non-invasive remediation methods that are effective in sensitive environments. To assess the efficacy of enhanced monitored natural recovery (eMNR) as a secondary remediation strategy for freshwater oil spills, we conducted controlled spills of conventional heavy crude oil (CHV) in a freshwater lake at the IISD-Experimental Lakes Area in northwestern Ontario, Canada, in 2021. Three shoreline enclosures (5 × 10 m) were deployed on a wetland shoreline and treated with ~1.5 kg of weathered CHV. Four days later primary recovery of oil was conducted using shoreline washing followed by secondary remediation of residual oil using eMNR. Three unoiled, reference enclosures were also treated with shoreline washing but not secondary remediation. Polycyclic aromatic compounds (PAC) in water and sediment, and general water quality were monitored in the enclosures for 412 days after oiling. Total PACs in the water, mostly of 2- and 3-ring alkylated compounds, peaked three days after oiling (1188 ± 251 ng/L), declined to half of initial concentrations 8.26–11.75 days later and to near background levels by day 73. Total PACs were elevated in sediment of the oiled enclosures until day 70 likely due to sorption or settling oil but were heterogenous and influenced by pyrogenic compounds. Results from this study suggest that eMNR may be an effective remediation method following primary recovery efforts at sensitive aquatic sites where mechanical recovery is contraindicated. Full article

Enhanced rock weathering is regarded as a promising carbon dioxide removal method because of its potential to sequester soil inorganic carbon (SIC). However, the influence of enhanced rock weathering on changes in soil organic carbon (SOC) content, fractions and stability remains poorly understood. A randomized block experiment design employing five basalt addition rates (0 (CK), 2.5, 5, 10 and 20 kg·m⁻²) and four replicates was designed to investigate the influences of basalt addition on SOC and SIC content and stocks, SOC fractions and SOC stability in subtropical cropland, where Zea mays L. and Brassica juncea (L.) Czern were annually rotated. Soil samples were collected from depths of 0–15 cm and 15–30 cm one year after the addition of basalt. The results showed that enhanced rock weathering increased the total carbon content and stock by increasing both the SOC and SIC in a one-year field experiment. Compared with CK, basalt addition rates of 2.5, 5, 10 and 20 kg·m⁻² increased the SOC stock by 16%, 23%, 21% and 19%, respectively, and the SIC stock by 37%, 30%, 35% and 32%, respectively. The labile carbon fraction was the primary organic carbon fraction, which accounted for more than 40% of the total SOC content. Enhanced rock weathering altered the content of the very labile carbon fraction due to its high sensitivity to basalt addition, but had little effect on the stable carbon fraction content in a one-year field experiment. Compared with CK, basalt addition increased the very labile carbon fraction content by 12% and 46%, respectively, according to samples from depths of 0–15 cm and 15–30 cm. Under basalt addition rates of 2.5, 5, 10 and 20 kg·m⁻², the SOC stability index was 26%, 21%, 17% and 20%, respectively, lower than that under the 0-addition rate in a one-year field experiment, which was 1.63, indicating that enhanced rock weathering reduced the SOC stability. Our findings indicated that enhanced rock weathering increased soil carbon (both of SOC and SIC) sequestration, but reduced the SOC stability in a one-year field experiment in subtropical croplands. These observed trends in changes in soil carbon will be further tested and evaluated as the experiment continues in the future. Full article

The evolution of next-generation urban infrastructure necessitates the deployment of intelligent pavement systems capable of real-time data acquisition, adaptive response, and predictive analytics. This article presents the design, implementation, and performance evaluation of the smart pavement system incorporating multimodal embedded sensors for traffic density analysis, structural health monitoring, and environmental surveillance. SPS integrates piezoelectric transducers, micro-electro-mechanical system accelerometers, inductive loop coils, fiber Bragg grating (FBG) sensors, and capacitive moisture and temperature sensors within the asphalt and sub-base layers, forming a distributed sensor network that interfaces with an edge-AI-enabled data acquisition and control module. Each sensor node performs localized pre-processing using low-power microcontrollers and transmits spatiotemporal data to a centralized IoT gateway over an adaptive mesh topology via long-range wide-area network or 5G-Vehicle-to-Everything protocols. Data fusion algorithms employing Kalman filters, sensor drift compensation models, and deep convolutional recurrent neural networks enable accurate classification of vehicular loads, traffic, and anomaly detection. Additionally, the system supports real-time air pollutant detection (e.g., NO₂, CO, and PM2.5) using embedded electrochemical and optical gas sensors linked to mobile roadside units. Field deployments on a 1.2 km highway testbed demonstrate the system’s capability to achieve 95.7% classification accuracy for vehicle type recognition, ±1.5 mm resolution in rut depth measurement, and ±0.2 °C thermal sensitivity across dynamic weather conditions. Predictive analytics driven by long short-term memory networks yield a 21.4% improvement in maintenance planning accuracy, significantly reducing unplanned downtimes and repair costs. The architecture also supports vehicle-to-infrastructure feedback loops for adaptive traffic signal control and incident response. The proposed SPS architecture demonstrates a scalable and resilient framework for cyber-physical infrastructure, paving the way for smart cities that are responsive, efficient, and sustainable. Full article

To promptly address the disruptions caused by various sudden weather events to the normal operations of the quay apron, this study focuses on the optimization of integrated berth and quay crane (QC) scheduling under the impact of adverse weather. It emphasizes two key influences of adverse weather: port closures and the uncertainty in vessel handling times induced by weather conditions. A decision mechanism is designed, and strategies such as vessel dispatch, cargo omission, and backhaul are incorporated. Meanwhile, constraints including the prohibition of QC crossover and the spatio-temporal limitations on vessel berthing are taken into account. With the optimization objective of minimizing the total scheduling cost, a mixed-integer programming (MIP) model is constructed. A variable neighborhood search (VNS) algorithm is developed for solving the model, which proposes multi-layer encoding and a corresponding hybrid initialization strategy. Finally, comparative experiments are conducted to verify the effectiveness of the model and the rationality of the algorithm. Sensitivity analysis is also performed on the duration of port closures and QC handling efficiency. The research results can provide decision support for ports in formulating response strategies against adverse weather. Full article

Climate warming impacts arctic and subarctic lands, subjecting it to a generalized rise in soil temperature and causing changes in the surface cover. Land cover is a key control parameter for soil hydrothermal states, and its study by satellite imagery is necessary for monitoring boreal surface changes over time at large scales. Understanding the links between land cover and environmental conditions is also crucial to anticipate the impacts of atmospheric changes on continental surfaces. Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data combined with a field campaign in July 2024 were used to produce a 10 m spatial resolution land cover map in the Abisko region, northern Sweden, covering 2180 km² and including three watersheds with an overall accuracy exceeding 94%. In parallel, temperature and precipitation fields were statistically downscaled at 100 m spatial resolution using topography, ordinary kriging based on weather stations and reanalysis. The relationships between surface areas and average summer temperature–precipitation clusters reveal that the vegetation distribution closely reflects the recent atmospheric conditions with the treeline following the 10.2 °C July–August isotherm in the considered area. This study provides a spatial basis for investigating the complex atmosphere–surface interactions and for assessing the sensitivity of boreal landscapes to ongoing climate warming. Full article

Accurate forecasting of heatwaves is critical for ensuring the safe operation of electricity grids. Focusing on the complex terrain of Sichuan, China, this study investigates the optimization of spectral nudging parameters within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to improve predictions of heatwave events. To overcome the subjectivity inherent in the traditional selection of the spectral nudging cutoff wavenumber, we propose an objective method based on power-spectrum energy diagnostics of the background field. This method determines an optimal domain-specific cutoff wavenumber. A series of sensitivity experiments were designed for a significant heatwave event that affected the Sichuan electricity grid in August 2019. These experiments evaluated the impact of different spectral nudging configurations, which considered varying domain sizes and forecast lead times, on correcting large-scale circulation drift and enhancing near-surface air temperature forecasts. The results demonstrate the following: (1) For a smaller domain or a longer forecast lead time, spectral nudging effectively compensates for circulation drift induced by weakening lateral boundary constraints, significantly improving the forecast of heatwave intensity and spatial extent, representing a compensatory effect. (2) For a larger domain that already adequately resolves large-scale circulation evolution, spectral nudging can over-constrain the model’s internal dynamical processes, thereby degrading forecast performance, an outcome termed the over-constraint effect. (3) The proposed energy-threshold method provides an objective, physics-based strategy for identifying dominant large-scale waves and optimizing the spectral nudging cutoff wavenumber. This work offers practical insights for the operational application of spectral nudging over complex terrain to advance extreme temperature forecasting. Full article

Large Language Model (LLM) agents depend heavily on multiple external tools such as APIs, databases and computational services to perform complex tasks. However, these tool executions create latency and introduce costs, particularly when agents handle similar queries or workflows. Most current caching methods focus on LLM prompt–response pairs or execution plans and overlook redundancies at the tool level. To address this, we designed a multi-level caching architecture that captures redundancy at both the workflow and tool level. The proposed system integrates four key components: (1) hierarchical caching that operates at both the workflow and tool level to capture coarse and fine-grained redundancies; (2) dependency-aware invalidation using graph-based techniques to maintain consistency when write operations affect cached reads across execution contexts; (3) category-specific time-to-live (TTL) policies tailored to different data types, e.g., weather APIs, user location, database queries and filesystem and computational tasks; and (4) session isolation to ensure multi-tenant cache safety through automatic session scoping. We evaluated the system using synthetic data with 2.25 million queries across ten configurations in fifteen runs. In addition, we conducted four targeted evaluations—write intensity robustness from 4 to 30% writes, personalized memory effects under isolated vs. shared cache modes, workflow-level caching comparison and workload sensitivity across five access distributions—on an additional 2.565 million queries, bringing the total experimental scope to 4.815 million executed queries. The architecture achieved 76.5% caching efficiency, reducing query processing time by 13.3× and lowering estimated costs by 73.3% compared to a no-cache baseline. Multi-tenant testing with fifteen concurrent tenants confirmed robust session isolation and 74.1% efficiency under concurrent workloads. Our evaluation used controlled synthetic workloads following Zipfian distributions, which are commonly used in caching research. While absolute hit rates vary by deployment domain, the architectural principles of hierarchical caching, dependency tracking and session isolation remain broadly applicable. Full article

Flooding episodes caused by a heavy rainfall event have become more frequent, especially during the rainfall season in Botswana, which poses some socio-economic and environmental risks. This study investigates the capability of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating a heavy rainfall event that occurred on 26 December 2023 in Mahalapye District, Botswana. This event is one among many that have negatively impacted the lives and infrastructures in Botswana. The WRF model was configured using the tropical-suite physics schemes, i.e., (Rapid Radiative Transfer Model, Yonsei University planetary boundary layer scheme, Unified Noah land surface model, New Tiedtke, Weather Research and Forecasting Single-Moment six-class) on a two-way nested domain (9 km and 3 km grid spacing) and was initialized with the GFS dataset. Gauged station data was used for verification alongside synoptic charts generated using ECMWF ERA5 dataset. The results show that the WRF model simulation using the tropical-suite physics schemes is able to reproduce the spatial and temporal patterns of the observed rainfall but with some notable biases. Performance metrics, including RMSE, correlation coefficient, and KGE, showed moderate to good agreement, highlighting the model’s sensitivity to physical parameterization and resolution. The results of this study conclude that the WRF model demonstrates promising potential in forecasting extreme rainfall events in Botswana, but more sensitivity tests to different parameterization schemes are needed in order to integrate the model into the early warning systems to enhance disaster preparedness and response. Full article

Lightning rods, while essential for protecting weather radars from direct lightning strikes, act as persistent non-meteorological scatterers that can interfere with signal transmission and reception and thereby degrade detection accuracy and product quality. Existing studies have mainly focused on X-band and C-band systems, and robust, measurement-based quantitative assessments for S-band dual-polarization radars remain scarce. In this study, a controllable tilting lightning rod, a high-precision Far-field Antenna Measurement System (FAMS), and an S-band dual-polarization weather radar (SAD radar) are jointly employed to systematically quantify lightning-rod impacts on antenna electromagnetic parameters under different rod elevation angles and azimuth configurations. Typical precipitation events were analyzed to evaluate the influence of the lightning rods on dual-polarization parameters. The results show that the lightning rod substantially elevates sidelobe levels, with a maximum enhancement of 4.55 dB, while producing only limited changes in the antenna main-beam azimuth and beamwidth. Differential reflectivity ($Z_{DR}$) is the most sensitive polarimetric parameter, exhibiting a persistent positive bias of about 0.24–0.25 dB in snowfall and mixed-phase precipitation, while no persistent azimuthal anomaly is evident during freezing rain; the co-polar correlation coefficient (${\rho }_{hv}$) is only marginally affected. Collectively, these results provide quantitative, far-field evidence of lightning-rod interference in S-band dual-polarization radars and provide practical guidance for more reasonable lightning-rod placement and configuration, as well as useful references for $Z_{DR}$-oriented polarimetric quality-control and correction strategies. Full article

We propose the Hybrid Spatio-Temporal Transformer with Multi-Branch CNN/RNN and Extreme-Event Head (HST–MB–CREH), a hybrid spatio-temporal deep learning architecture for joint short-term photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and the detection of rare extreme events, to support the reliable operation of renewable-rich power systems. The model combines a spatio-temporal transformer encoder with three convolutional neural network (CNN)/recurrent neural network (RNN) branches (CNN → long short-term memory (LSTM), LSTM → gated recurrent unit (GRU), CNN → GRU) and a dense pathway for tabular meteorological and calendar features. A multitask output head simultaneously performs the regression of PV power and binary classification of extremes defined above the 95th percentile. We evaluate HST–MB–CREH on the publicly available Renewable Power Generation and Weather Conditions dataset with hourly resolutions from 2017 to 2022, using a 5-fold TimeSeriesSplit protocol to avoid temporal leakage and to cover multiple seasons. Compared with tree ensembles (RandomForest, XGBoost), recurrent baselines (Stacked GRU, LSTM), and advanced hybrid/transformer models (Hybrid Multi-Branch CNN–LSTM/GRU with Dense Path and Extreme-Event Head (HMB–CLED) and Spatio-Temporal Multitask Transformer with Extreme-Event Head (STM–EEH)), the proposed architecture achieves the best overall trade-off between accuracy and rare-event sensitivity, with normalized performance of RMSE_z = 0.2159 ± 0.0167, MAE_z = 0.1100 ± 0.0085, mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) = 9.17 ± 0.45%, R² = 0.9534 ± 0.0072, and AUC_ext = 0.9851 ± 0.0051 across folds. Knowledge extraction is supported via attention-based analysis and permutation feature importance, which highlight the dominant role of global horizontal irradiance, diurnal harmonics, and solar geometry features. The results indicate that hybrid spatio-temporal multitask architectures can substantially improve both the forecast accuracy and robustness to extremes, making HST–MB–CREH a promising building block for intelligent decision-support tools in smart grids with a high share of PV generation. Full article

Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) increasingly share low-altitude airspace with birds, making early distinguishing between drones and biological targets critical for safety and security. This work addresses long-range scenarios where objects occupy only a few pixels and appearance-based recognition becomes unreliable. We develop a model-driven simulation pipeline that generates synthetic data with a controlled camera model, atmospheric background and realistic motion of three aerial target types: multicopter, fixed-wing UAV and bird. From these sequences, each track is encoded as a time series of image-plane coordinates and apparent size, and a bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) network is trained to classify trajectories as drone-like or bird-like. The model learns characteristic differences in smoothness, turning behavior and velocity fluctuations, and to achieve reliable separation between drone and bird motion patterns on synthetic test data. Motion-trajectory cues alone can support early distinguishing of drones from birds when visual details are scarce, providing a complementary signal to conventional image-based detection. The proposed synthetic data and sequence classification pipeline forms a reproducible testbed that can be extended with real trajectories from radar or video tracking systems and used to prototype and benchmark trajectory-based recognizers for integrated surveillance solutions. The proposed method is designed to generalize naturally to real surveillance systems, as it relies on trajectory-level motion patterns rather than appearance-based features that are sensitive to sensor quality, illumination, or weather conditions. Full article

This study investigates the performance of a high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting with large-eddy simulation (WRF-LES) model in simulating the strong wind of a realistic typhoon (Jebi, 2018). Multiple domains are nested to downscale the grid resolution from 4.5 km to 33.3 m, and grid size sensitivity is tested in the innermost WRF-LES domain. The commonly used 1.5-order turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) subgrid-scale (SGS) model is excessively dissipative near the ground; this causes overshoot in the mean velocity profile compared with the expected log-law profile, a phenomenon slightly amplified by finer grids. Horizontal roll structures in the typhoon boundary can be effectively resolved with the 100 m horizontal grid size ($\mathrm{\Delta }x$). However, higher resolution is needed to capture small-scale turbulence, and the effective mesh resolution for resolved turbulence is about 5–9$\mathrm{\Delta }x$ near the ground. The nonlinear backscatter and anisotropy (NBA) model significantly reduces the overshoot, and the resolved velocity structures are insensitive to the SGS model except for the lowest model level. Full article

The design of ladle furnace (LF) refining pathways for weathering steels requires precise control of multi-component steel/slag reactions governed simultaneously by thermodynamics and interfacial mass transfer kinetics. An EERZ-based kinetic modeling strategy was employed using the Thermo-Calc^® (version 2022a) Process Metallurgy Module and the CALPHAD TCOX11 database to develop LF refining schedules capable of upgrading conventional S355J2R steel to weathering steel grades: S355J2W and S355J2WP. First, the sensitivity of predicted compositions to key kinetic inputs was quantified. The validated model was then used to simulate deoxidation and desulfurization sequences, predicting the evolution of liquid–steel and slag compositions, slag basicity, and FeO activity throughout the LF cycle. Subsequently, Cr- and P-ferroalloys were introduced to design tap-to-tap schedules that meet the EN 10025-5 chemical specifications for S355J2W and S355J2WP. To correlate simulation outcomes with material performance, plates produced following the modeled schedules were evaluated through a 1000 h accelerated salt spray test. Steel density and steel phase mass transfer coefficients were found to produce the highest prediction sensitivity (up to 7.5 wt.% variation in C and S), whereas slag phase parameters exhibited a lower impact. The predicted steel compositions showed strong agreement with industrial values obtained during plant trials. SEM-EDS analyses confirmed the development of a Cr-enriched protective patina and validated model-based alloying strategies. Full article