Search Results (694)

Effective water infrastructure planning and management is key to sustainable water supply globally. This research assesses water infrastructure planning and management in Gauteng, South Africa, amid growing challenges from rapid urbanisation, high water demand, climate change, and resource scarcity. These challenges threaten the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals 6 and 11; hence, an integrated approach is required for water sustainability. The study responds to a gap in the literature, which often treats planning and management separately, by adopting an integrated, multi-institutional approach across the water value chain. A mixed-methods triangulation strategy was employed for data collection whereby surveys provided quantitative data, while two sets of structured interviews were conducted: the first round to determine causal relationships among the critical success factors and the second round to validate the proposed framework. The findings reveal a misalignment between infrastructure planning and implementation, contributing to infrastructure backlogs and a short- to medium-term focus. Infrastructure management is further constrained by inadequate system redundancy, leading to ineffective maintenance. External factors such as delayed adoption of 4IR technologies, lack of climate resilient strategies, and fragmented institutional coordination exacerbate these issues. Using Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) analysis, the study identified Strategic Alignment and a Value-Driven Approach as the most influential critical success factors in water asset management. The research concludes by proposing an integrated water infrastructure and planning framework that supports sustainable water supply. Full article

Accurate reservoir inflow forecasting is vital for effective water resource management. Reliable forecasts enable operators to optimize storage and release strategies to meet competing sectoral demands—such as water supply, irrigation, and hydropower scheduling—while also mitigating flood and drought risks. To address this need, in this study, we propose a novel time-variant encoder–decoder (ED) model designed specifically to improve multi-step reservoir inflow forecasting, enabling accurate predictions of reservoir inflows up to seven days ahead. Unlike conventional ED-LSTM and recursive ED-LSTM models, which use fixed encoder parameters or recursively propagate predictions, our model incorporates an adaptive encoder structure that dynamically adjusts to evolving conditions at each forecast horizon. Additionally, we introduce the Expected Baseline Integrated Gradients (EB-IGs) method for variable importance analysis, enhancing interpretability of inflow by incorporating multiple baselines to capture a broader range of hydrometeorological conditions. The proposed methods are demonstrated at several diverse reservoirs across the United States. Our results show that they outperform traditional methods, particularly at longer lead times, while also offering insights into the key drivers of inflow forecasting. These advancements contribute to enhanced reservoir management through improved forecasting accuracy and practical decision-making insights under complex hydroclimatic conditions. Full article

Elasmobranch species are considered a global conservation priority due to their susceptibility to fishing pressure. In the Madeira Archipelago, Northeastern Atlantic, most elasmobranch species are caught as bycatch in artisanal drifting longline fishery targeting scabbardfishes. All commercial elasmobranch landings carried out in this archipelago over three decades (1990–2020) were analysed, aiming to provide a reliable overview of Madeira’s elasmobranch fisheries and their evolution. A total of 2316 tonnes of elasmobranchs were landed during the study period, corresponding to approximately EUR 2.1 million in first-sale value. The most representative period occurred from 2003 to 2013, corresponding to 75.21% of the total elasmobranch landings. A general pattern of supply and demand was evident, with mean price values typically showing an inverse trend to landed tonnage. At the species level, Centrophorus squamosus appears as the dominant species, representing about 89% of the total elasmobranch species landed, followed by Prionace glauca, with approximately 3%. The high dominance of C. squamosus in the scabbardfish fishery raises significant ecological and management concerns, as this deep-water shark species is known for its vulnerability to overexploitation. Management measures currently in place need to be updated and ought to be based on studies on the type and size of hooks for each fishery, to ultimately infer about species-specific survival rates, as well as the fishing gears’ soak time. Moreover, studies on the enhancement of food supply through fisheries discards are still missing, even though it is highly likely that this input may alter the dynamics of marine food webs. Full article

Research on the supply–demand relationships of ecosystem services (ESs) in alpine pastoral regions remains relatively scarce, yet it is crucial for regional ecological management and sustainable development. This study focuses on the Sanjiangyuan Region, a typical alpine pastoral area and significant ecological barrier, to quantitatively assess the supply–demand dynamics of key ESs and their spatial heterogeneity from 2000 to 2020. It further aims to elucidate the underlying driving mechanisms, thereby providing a scientific basis for optimizing regional ecological management. Four key ES indicators were selected: water yield (WY), grass yield (GY), soil conservation (SC), and habitat quality (HQ). ES supply and demand were quantified using an integrated approach incorporating the InVEST model, the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE), and spatial analysis techniques. Building on this, the spatial patterns and temporal evolution characteristics of ES supply–demand relationships were analyzed. Subsequently, the Geographic Detector Model (GDM) and Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model were employed to identify key drivers influencing changes in the comprehensive ES supply–demand ratio. The results revealed the following: (1) Spatial Patterns: Overall ES supply capacity exhibited a spatial differentiation characterized by “higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest.” Areas of high ES demand were primarily concentrated in the densely populated eastern region. WY, SC, and HQ generally exhibited a surplus state, whereas GY showed supply falling short of demand in the densely populated eastern areas. (2) Temporal Dynamics: Between 2000 and 2020, the supply–demand ratios of WY and SC displayed a fluctuating downward trend. The HQ ratio remained relatively stable, while the GY ratio showed a significant and continuous upward trend, indicating positive outcomes from regional grass–livestock balance policies. (3) Driving Mechanisms: Climate and natural factors were the dominant drivers of changes in the ES supply–demand ratio. Analysis using the Geographical Detector’s q-statistic identified fractional vegetation cover (FVC, q = 0.72), annual precipitation (PR, q = 0.63), and human disturbance intensity (HD, q = 0.38) as the top three most influential factors. This study systematically reveals the spatial heterogeneity characteristics, dynamic evolution patterns, and core driving mechanisms of ES supply and demand in an alpine pastoral region, addressing a significant research gap. The findings not only provide a reference for ES supply–demand assessment in similar regions regarding indicator selection and methodology but also offer direct scientific support for precisely identifying priority areas for ecological conservation and restoration, optimizing grass–livestock balance management, and enhancing ecosystem sustainability within the Sanjiangyuan Region. Full article

Understanding the relationship between regional vegetation dynamics and water resources is essential for improving integrated vegetation–water management, enhancing ecosystem services, and advancing the sustainable development of ecological–economic–social systems. As China’s second largest river basin, the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is ecologically fragile and experiences severe water scarcity. Vegetation changes further intensify conflicts between water supply and demand. To investigate the evolution and interaction mechanisms between vegetation and water resources in the YRB, this study uses the InVEST model to simulate annual water yield (Wyield) from 1982 to 2020 and applies the Dimidiate Pixel Model (DPM) to estimate fractional vegetation cover (FVC). The Theil–Sen method is applied to quantify the spatiotemporal trends of Wyield and FVC. A pixel-based second-order partial correlation analysis is performed to clarify the intrinsic relationship between FVC and Wyield at the grid scale. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) During the statistical period (1982–2020), the multi-year average annual Wyield in the YRB was 73.15 mm. Interannual Wyield showed a clear fluctuating trend, with an initial decline followed by a subsequent increase. Wyield showed marked spatial heterogeneity, with high values in the southern upper reaches and low values in the Longzhong Loess Plateau and Hetao Plain. During the same period, about 68.74% of the basin experienced increasing Wyield, while declines were concentrated in the upper reaches. (2) The average FVC across the basin was 0.51, showing a significant increasing trend during the statistical period. The long-term average FVC showed significant spatial heterogeneity, with high values in the Fenwei Plain, Shanxi Basin, and Taihang Mountains, and low values in the Loess Plateau and Hetao Plain. Spatially, 68.74% of the basin exhibited significant increases in FVC, mainly in the middle and lower reaches, while decreases were mostly in the upper reaches. (3) Areas with significant FVC–Wyield correlations covered a small portion of the basin: trade-off regions made up 10.35% (mainly in the southern upper reaches), and synergistic areas accounted for 5.26% (mostly in the Hetao Plain and central Loess Plateau), both dominated by grasslands and croplands. Mechanistic analysis revealed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in FVC–Wyield relationships across the basin, influenced by both natural drivers and anthropogenic activities. This study systematically explores the patterns and interaction mechanisms of FVC and Wyield in the YRB, offering a theoretical basis for regional water management, ecological protection, and sustainable development. Full article

The water–energy nexus (WEN) is of great significance due to the strong interdependence between the energy and water sectors. Nevertheless, water leakage in water distribution networks (WDNs), which is often ignored in existing WEN operation models, causes notable water and energy losses. In this research, a cooperative operation model for WEN considering WDN water leakage is put forward. A hybrid stochastic–information gap decision theory (IGDT) method was tailored in this study to properly manage the probabilistic uncertainties associated with renewable generation, electrical and water demand in the WEN, and water leakage with limited information to enhance the robustness of the operation strategies of the WEN under complex operational conditions. The proposed model and method were validated on a modified IEEE 33-bus system integrated with a 15-node commercial WDN. The co-optimization model reduced the operational cost by 23.01% compared to the independent operation model. When considering water leakage, the joint optimization resolved the water supply shortage issue caused by ignoring leakage and reduced the water purchase volume by 94.44 cubic meters through coordinated optimization. These quantitative results strongly demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework. Full article

The failure of traditional drought indices to capture the dynamic supply–demand imbalance in socio-hydrological systems hinders proactive water management and necessitates novel assessment frameworks. The reservoir drought warning water level, serving as a dynamic threshold indicating supply–demand imbalance, provides a critical basis for drought early warning. From a socio-hydrological drought perspective, this study develops a framework for determining staged and graded soft partition thresholds for reservoir drought warning water levels, encompassing three key stages: water stress analysis, phase classification, and threshold determination. First, water demands for the ecological, agricultural, and domestic sectors were quantified based on hydrological analysis and official operational rules. Second, an optimized KPCA-Fisher model delineated the intra-annual supply–demand dynamics into distinct periods. Thirdly, the soft partition thresholds were formulated by coupling these multi-sectoral demands with water deficit rates using a triangular membership function. Applied to the Xianan Reservoir, the framework yielded distinct drought warning thresholds for the identified main flood, critical demand, and dry seasons. Validation against historical droughts (2019 and 2022) confirmed that these soft thresholds more accurately tracked the drought evolution process compared to traditional hard partitions. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis identified the ecological water demand methodology as a key factor influencing the thresholds, particularly during the critical demand period. The proposed framework for determining staged and graded reservoir drought warning water levels better reflects the complexity of socio-hydrological systems and provides a scientific basis for refined reservoir drought early warnings and management under changing environments. Full article

Desert ecosystems play a critical role in global climate regulation. Current research reveals a relative lack of research regarding desert ecosystem service (ES) supply and demand. Therefore, we selected the Ulanbuh desert, one of the eight major deserts in China, as study area. Using specialized models, we quantify the supply and demand of four ES, including water yield (Wy), soil conservation (Sc), windbreak and sand fixation (Ws), and carbon sequestration (Cs), from 1985 to 2020. Univariate linear regression analysis and panel data analysis (PDA) were used to examine trends in desert ES supply–demand ratio (ESDR) and its determinants. The findings indicated that ES supply presented increases in Sc and Cs, and decline in Ws from 1985 to 2020. Demand patterns showed a growth trend for Wy and Cs. ESDR revealed that Sc, Ws, and Cs show an excess of supply over demand and are in a decreasing trend, while Wy displays a supply deficit relative to demand with no significant change. The comprehensive ESDR decreased over the study period, with a supply-deficit status emerging in the southwestern area. Natural factors (NDVI and precipitation) and socio-economic factors (GDP and population density) served as the main factors affecting the comprehensive ESDR. This research provides a novel perspective for desert ecosystems management and conservation, emphasizing the necessity of incorporating the ES supply and demand balance into regional development policies to achieve sustainable development in arid regions. Full article

The arid and semi-arid regions of Northwest China, as major agricultural production zones, have long faced dual challenges: increasing water resource pressure and severe supply–demand imbalances caused by the expansion of cultivated land. The crop water footprint, an effective indicator for quantifying agricultural water use, plays a crucial role in supporting sustainable development in the region. This study adopted a multi-scale spatiotemporal analysis framework, combining the CROPWAT model with Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques to investigate the spatiotemporal evolution of crop water footprints in Northwest China from 2000 to 2020. The Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model was used to analyze spatial variations in the driving forces. A multidimensional evaluation system—encompassing structural, economic, ecological, and sustainability dimensions—was established to comprehensively assess agricultural water resource utilization in the region. Results indicated that the crop water footprint in Northwest China followed a “decline-increase-decline” trend, it increased from 90.97 billion m³ in 2000 to a peak of 133.49 billion m³ in 2017, before declining to 129.30 billion m³ in 2020. The center of the crop water footprint gradually shifted northward—from northern Qinghai to southern Inner Mongolia—mainly due to rapid farmland expansion and increasing water consumption in northern areas. Policy and institutional effect, together with economic development effect, were identified as the primary drivers, contributing 49% in total. Although reliance on blue water has decreased, the region continues to experience moderate water pressure, with sustainable use achieved in only half of the study years. Water scarcity remains a pressing concern. This study offers a theoretical basis and policy recommendations to enhance water use efficiency, develop effective management strategies, and promote sustainable water resource utilization in Northwest China. Full article

Under the dual constraints of rigid water resource management systems and China’s “dual carbon” national strategy, water resource management authorities face pressing practical demands for the coordinated governance of water conservation and carbon dioxide emission reduction. This study comprehensively compiles nationwide data on water supply/consumption, energy use, water intensity, and CO₂ emissions across Chinese provinces. Employing a non-radial directional distance function (NDDF) model with multiple inputs and outputs, we quantitatively assess provincial water saving and carbon reduction performance during 2000–2021; measure synergistic effects; and systematically examine the spatiotemporal evolution, correlation patterns, and convergence trends of three key indicators: standalone water saving performance, standalone carbon reduction performance, and their synergistic performance—essentially addressing whether “1 + 1 > 2” holds true. Furthermore, we analyze the spatial convergence and clustering characteristics of synergistic effect across regions, delving into the underlying causes of inter-regional disparities in water–carbon synergy. Key findings reveal the following: ① Temporally, standalone water saving and carbon reduction performance generally improved, though the water saving metrics initially declined before stabilizing into sustained growth, ultimately outpacing carbon reduction gains. Synergistic performance consistently surpassed standalone measures, with most regions demonstrating accelerating synergistic enhancement over time. Nationally, water–carbon synergy exhibited early volatile declines followed by steady growth, though the growth rate gradually decelerated. ② Spatially, high-value synergy clusters migrated from the western to eastern regions and the northern to southern zones before stabilizing geographically. The synergy effect demonstrates measurable convergence overall, yet with pronounced regional heterogeneity, manifesting a distinct “high southeast–low northwest” agglomeration pattern. Strategic interventions should prioritize water–carbon nexus domains, leverage spatial convergence trends and clustering intensities, and systematically unlock synergistic potential. Full article

This research is focused on water governance problems in La Marina Alta District, in the province of Alicante (southeastern Spain). The district has a public management body, Consorcio de Abastecimiento y Saneamiento de Aguas de los Municipios de La Marina Alta (CASAMA), which has been inoperative since its creation in 1987. Although La Marina Alta has sufficient water resources in situations of hydrological normality, they are significantly affected by the impacts of climate change, insufficient water treatment technology and the absence of storage and regulation infrastructure. As a consequence, periods of scarcity and overexploitation of aquifers, together with high-demand situations, have generated scenarios of a lack of drinking water with reputational damage and uncertainty for the future of agricultural operations. Thus, the aim of this work is to propose the adoption of integrated water resource management strategies that will increase the resilience of this sub-basin in La Marina Alta. To this end, the contribution of new non-conventional resources to the water pool, combined with an efficient network of infrastructure, and all this supported by effective governance structures, would be essential to achieve a sustainable balance between demand and supply, preserving the environmental values of the territory. Full article

The African catfish, Clarias gariepinus, is among the most farmed fish species in Uganda’s rapidly growing aquaculture sub-sector. The enhanced growth performance, increased survival, and resilience to environmental stressors have driven a rising demand among farmers for improved African catfish broodstock and seed. Until recently, most studies of this species have focused on nutrition, physiology, and culture systems, with little known about the genetics, broodstock, and hatchery management of the cultured C. gariepinus populations. This knowledge gap has led to inbreeding depression, resulting in poor seed quality and reduced performance of the broodstock. To enhance catfish aquaculture production, a survey was conducted across multiple catfish hatcheries and farms in Uganda. Using semi-structured questionnaires, the study assessed broodstock management practices, hatchery propagation methods, the suitability of various populations, demographics, challenges, and prospects of hatchery operators. Responses were coded, and descriptive statistics such as frequency, percentages, and means were calculated. Results indicate that there are farmers who continue to source their broodstocks from the natural water bodies in addition to acquiring them from fellow farmers. The estimated effective population size (Ne) for the majority of the respondents was 133.33 and 178.22, with an average breeding coefficient of 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. There is also a continuous use of shooters (fast-growing cannibalistic fish) by the farmers who hatch and select them to be used as broodstocks later, under the assumption that they have superior genetic traits. The reported hatchability rate was above 70%, with an average survival rate of 60% from larvae to fry. The study identified diseases, inadequate water supply, and electricity as the primary challenges for catfish breeding. While Uganda’s African catfish aquaculture industry is expanding rapidly, certain hatchery practices pose significant risks to its sustainability if not properly addressed. Full article

Water scarcity has become a critical global challenge, particularly in rapidly developing regions where water demand often exceeds sustainable supply capacities. Traditional “demand-driven” water management approaches have proven inadequate to address this imbalance, necessitating the development of more sophisticated “supply-driven” solutions. This study presents a groundbreaking System Dynamics (SD)-Feedback-Hierarchical Water Demand (SD-F-HWD) model that advances water resources management through three contributions. First, the model substantially extends conventional water demand hierarchy methods by developing a comprehensive classification framework with enhanced sector-specific criteria for industrial, agricultural, and ecological needs. Second, the innovative feedback regulation mechanism resolves persistent challenges from previous studies, including ambiguous control parameters and system instability. Third, the model establishes a unified analytical platform that effectively integrates these components for robust supply–demand equilibrium analysis. Validation in Wu’an City, Hebei Province—a representative water-stressed industrial region in northern China—demonstrated the model’s effectiveness. Under low-flow conditions (P = 75%), total water demand decreased by 11.24% while rigid demand was reduced by 8.50%. For normal flow conditions (P = 50%), corresponding reductions reached 9.88% and 6.99%, respectively. Crucially, all adjustments remained within practical policy implementation boundaries, demonstrating the model’s real-world applicability. The SD-F-HWD model offers a practical and scalable solution for sustainable water allocation in water-stressed regions through its integrated methodological framework. Full article

Urban water management faces growing pressure from population growth, pollution, and climate variability, demanding innovative strategies to ensure long-term sustainability. This study applies the Life Cycle Sustainability Assessment (LCSA) across four case studies in Brazil and Germany, evaluating integrated systems that combine constructed wetlands for greywater treatment with rainwater harvesting for non-potable use. The scenarios include a single-family household, a high-rise residential building, a rural residence, and worker housing. A multi-criteria analysis was conducted to derive consolidated sustainability indicators, and sensitivity analysis explored the influence of dimension weighting. Results showed that water reuse scenarios consistently outperformed conventional counterparts across environmental, economic, and social dimensions. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) revealed notable reductions in global warming potential, terrestrial acidification, and eutrophication. Life Cycle Costing (LCC) confirmed financial feasibility when externalities were considered, especially in large-scale systems. Social Life Cycle Assessment (S-LCA) highlighted the perceived benefits in terms of health, safety, and sustainability engagement. Integrated water reuse systems achieved overall sustainability scores up to 4.8 times higher than their baseline equivalents. These findings underscore the effectiveness of decentralized water reuse as a complementary and robust alternative to conventional supply and treatment models, supporting climate resilience and sustainable development goals. Full article

The water issue is undoubtedly one of the most fundamental challenges and controversial issues of the current century. These days, the best options for managing water resources can be chosen by considering several indexes, such as political, social, and environmental criteria. The overall goal of this research is to propose an integrated model of fuzzy Shannon entropy and Fuzzy Additive Ratio Assessment (ARAS) that uses risk indexes to manage water resources in drought conditions. To achieve the goal of this research, first, risk factors are identified and selected based on the literature review. In previous studies, risk indicators were employed for water resource management, separately. However, this paper extracted an extensive list of risk indicators from prior studies and employed all these indicators for water resource management. Furthermore, four scenarios for water resource management in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari province are introduced according to the geographical characteristics, climate, economic and agricultural conditions in this province. Then, a questionnaire is designed and distributed among experts in the field of water resource management. After collecting data, the proposed method is implemented on the data. The fuzzy Shannon entropy method is used to determine the weights of risk indicators, while the fuzzy ARAS method is applied for ranking water resource management scenarios. The results of applying fuzzy Shannon entropy reveal that the three indicators of volume reliability, vulnerability, and sustainability of the water supply system, with weight values of 0.124, 0.119, and 0.118, respectively, are the most effective risk indexes. The results of implementing fuzzy ARAS show that changing the cultivation pattern with a score of 0.936 is placed in the first priority, reducing the demand of the agricultural sector with a score of 0.922 is placed in the second priority, and the type of irrigation system with a score of 0.896 is placed in the third priority, and the reduction of industrial and drinking water consumption with a score of 0.882 is placed in the fourth priority. Finally, the results of implementing the proposed model of fuzzy Shannon entropy and fuzzy ARAS reveal an increase in volume reliability in the field of cropping pattern change in the studied province. Full article