Search Results (4,206)

While artificial intelligence (AI) has advanced urban land use classification, its application in high-stakes decision making, such as urban planning, demands not only high accuracy but also transparency and interpretability. This study evaluates the potential of Google Satellite Embeddings (GSE), a ready-to-use dataset of AI-generated numerical features that capture deep land cover characteristics, for land use classification in the central urban area of Nanning in 2022. A synergistic analytical framework was constructed by integrating the 64 high-dimensional features of GSE data with the feature attribution of Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), merging deep learning features with explainable machine learning. The results demonstrate that the XGBoost model (OA = 85.00% ± 2.24%) significantly outperformed the Random Forest (RF) model (OA = 81.87% ± 1.72%) overall. Key abstract features were successfully interpreted as comprehensible geographic semantics, with A51 and A36 corresponding to built-up intensity and vegetation cover, respectively. Moreover, XGBoost enabled more refined decisions than Random Forest (RF) due to its superior ability to distinguish between functionally distinct classes that have similar physical appearances. This framework provides a scalable and transferable analytical solution for the challenges of feature limitations and insufficient model transparency in urban land use classification. Full article

River and lake ice are sensitive indicators of climate change and important components of hydrological and ecological systems in cold regions. In this study, we develop a simple and transferable “surface water + land surface temperature (LST)” framework on Google Earth Engine to map potential winter ice area across China from 1990 to 2020. The framework enables consistent, large-scale, long-term monitoring without relying on complex remote sensing models or region-specific thresholds. Our results show that, despite a pronounced northwestward shift in the freezing-zone boundary, more than 400 km in the Northeast Plain and about 13 km per year along the eastern coast, the total ice-covered area increased by approximately 1.1% per year. At the same time, the average ice season became slightly shorter. This indicates asynchronous spatial and temporal responses of potential winter ice to warming. We identify a persistent “Northwest–Northeast dual-core” spatial pattern with strong positive spatial autocorrelation, characterized by increasing ice cover in Tibet, Qinghai, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Northeast China, and decreasing ice cover mainly in Beijing and Yunnan, where intense urbanization and low-latitude warming dominate. Random Forest modeling further shows that water area fraction, nighttime lights, built-up area, altitude, and water–heat indices are the main controls on potential winter ice. These findings highlight the combined influence of hydrological and thermal conditions and urbanization in reshaping potential winter ice patterns under climate change. Full article

Land use/cover change (LUCC) is a dominant driver of ecosystem service dynamics in arid inland basins. Focusing on the Yarkant River Basin (YRB), Xinjiang, we coupled the PLUS land-use simulation with the InVEST Habitat Quality Model to project 2040 land-use patterns under four policy scenarios—Natural Development (ND), Arable Protection (AP), Ecological Protection (EP), and Economic Development (ED)—and to quantify their impact on habitat quality. Model validation against the 2020 map indicated strong agreement (Kappa = 0.792; FOM = 0.342), supporting scenario inference. From 1990 to 2023, arable land expanded by 58.17% and construction land by 121.64%, while forest land declined by 37.45%; these shifts corresponded to a basin-wide decline and increasing spatial heterogeneity of habitat quality. Scenario comparisons showed the EP pathway performed best, with 32.11% of the basin classified as very high-quality habitat and only 8.36% as very low-quality. In contrast, under ED, the combined share of very low + low quality reached 11.17%, alongside greater fragmentation. Spatially, high-quality habitat concentrates in forest and grassland zones of the middle–upper basin, whereas low-quality areas cluster along the oasis–desert transition and urban peripheries. Expansion of arable and construction land emerges as the primary driver of degradation. These results underscore the need to prioritize ecological-protection strategies especially improving habitat quality in oasis regions and strengthening landscape connectivity to support spatial planning and ecological security in dryland inland river basins. Full article

Mangrove ecosystems along the Pacific coast of Panama are increasingly exposed to anthropogenic pressures such as urban expansion and deforestation. These habitats provide resources for orchid bees (tribe Euglossini), yet information on their assemblages in mangrove environments remains limited. In this study, we documented the diversity and composition of orchid bee communities in mangrove–forest edges from two coastal areas with contrasting levels of human disturbance: Panama Bay and Chame Bay. Orchid bee sampling was carried out during two independent periods: from April to July 2022 at three sites in Panama Bay, and from December 2022 to January 2023 at one site in Panama Bay and one site in Chame Bay, using McPhail traps baited with eucalyptus oil and distributed across multiple zones within each site. A total of 427 individuals representing 14 species and three genera were recorded. Observed species richness and abundance were lower at the more urbanized mangrove sites, where collections were dominated by a few widespread species, particularly Eulaema nigrita. Multivariate analyses revealed differences in community composition between sites. These patterns suggest associations between anthropogenic context and orchid bee assemblage structure in mangrove edges, although longer-term and multi-method studies are required to evaluate temporal consistency and underlying mechanisms. This study provides baseline information to support future monitoring of orchid bee communities in tropical coastal ecosystems. Full article

Effective disaster management depends on rapidly understanding earthquake damage, yet traditional methods struggle to operate at scale and rely on expert inspections that become difficult when access is limited or time is critical. Satellite-based damage detection also faces limitations, particularly under adverse weather conditions and delays associated with satellite overpass schedules. This study introduces a machine learning-based approach to assess post-earthquake building damage using real observations collected after the event. The aim is to develop fast and reliable estimation techniques that can be deployed immediately after the mainshock by integrating structural, seismic, and geographic data. Three machine learning models—Random Forest, Histogram Gradient Boosting, and Bagging Classifier—are evaluated across both reinforced concrete and masonry buildings and across multiple spatial levels, including building, district, and city scales. Damage is categorized using practical three-class (traffic light) and detailed four-class systems. The models generally perform better in simpler classifications, with the Bagging Classifier offering the most consistent results across different scales. Although detecting severely damaged buildings remains challenging in some cases, the three-class system proves especially effective for supporting rapid decision-making during emergency response. Overall, this study demonstrates how machine learning can provide faster, scalable, and practical earthquake damage assessments that benefit emergency teams and urban planners. Full article

Climate change and sea-level change (SLC) are intensifying flooding in U.S. coastal communities, with disproportionate impacts on Black and minority neighborhoods that face displacement, economic hardship, and heightened health risks. In Norfolk, Virginia, sea levels are projected to rise by at least 0.91 m (3 ft) by 2100, placing underserved neighborhoods such as Oakleaf Forest at particular risk. This study investigates the compounded impacts of flooding at both the building and urban scales, situating the work within the framework of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs). A mixed-method, community-based approach was employed, integrating literature review, field observations, and community engagement to identify flooding hotspots, document lived experiences, and determine preferences for adaptation strategies. Community participants contributed actively through mapping sessions and meetings, providing feedback on adaptation strategies to ensure that the process was collaborative, place-based, and context-specific. Preliminary findings highlight recurring flood-related vulnerabilities and the need for interventions that address both environmental and social dimensions of resilience. The study proposes multi-scale, nature-based solutions (NbS) to mitigate flooding, restore ecological functions, and enhance community capacity for adaptation. Ultimately, this work underscores the importance of coupling technical strategies with participatory processes to strengthen resilience and advance climate justice in vulnerable coastal neighborhoods. Full article

In the context of the “Dual Carbon” goals, accurately predicting the spatiotemporal evolution of urban Net Primary Productivity (NPP) is crucial for resilient urban planning. While recent studies have coupled land use models with ecosystem models to project NPP dynamics, they often face challenges in acquiring high-resolution future vegetation parameters and typically overlook the stability of NPP under changing climates. To address these gaps, this study focuses on Nanjing and develops a long-term, multi-scenario analysis framework based on the Dynamic Land Cover–Climate Model (DLCC–NPP). This framework innovatively integrates the PLUS model with a Random Forest (RF) algorithm. By establishing a direct statistical mapping between macro-climate/micro-land cover and NPP, the RF model functions as a statistical downscaling tool. This approach bypasses the uncertainty accumulation associated with simulating future vegetation indices, enabling precise spatiotemporal NPP prediction at a 30 m resolution. Using this approach, we systematically analyzed the NPP dynamics from 2004 to 2044 under three SSP scenarios. The results revealed that Nanjing’s NPP exhibited a fluctuating upward trend, with urban forests contributing the highest productivity (mean NPP ~266.15 gC/m²). Crucially, the volatility analysis highlighted divergent response characteristics: forests demonstrated the highest stability and “buffering effect,” whereas grasslands and croplands showed high volatility and sensitivity to climate fluctuations. Spatially, a distinct “stable high-NPP core, decreasing periphery” pattern was identified, driven by the interaction of urban expansion and ecological conservation policies. In conclusion, the DLCC–NPP framework effectively overcomes the data scarcity bottleneck in future simulations and characterizes the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of vegetation carbon fixation in urban ecosystems, providing scientific support for optimizing green space patterns and enhancing urban ecological resilience in high-density cities. Full article

As global airspace operations grow increasingly complex, the risk of near-mid-air collisions (NMACs) poses a persistent and critical challenge to aviation safety. Traditional collision-avoidance systems, while effective in many scenarios, are limited by rule-based logic and reliance on transponder data, particularly in environments featuring diverse aircraft types, unmanned aerial systems (UAS), and evolving urban air mobility platforms. This paper introduces a novel, integrative machine learning framework designed to analyze NMAC incidents using the rich, contextual information contained within the NASA Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS) database. The methodology is structured around three pillars: (1) natural language processing (NLP) techniques are applied to extract latent topics and semantic features from pilot and crew incident narratives; (2) cluster analysis is conducted on both textual and structured incident features to empirically define distinct typologies of NMAC events; and (3) supervised machine learning models are developed to predict pilot decision outcomes (evasive action vs. no action) based on integrated data sources. The analysis reveals seven operationally coherent topics that reflect communication demands, pattern geometry, visibility challenges, airspace transitions, and advisory-driven interactions. A four-cluster solution further distinguishes incident contexts ranging from tower-directed approaches to general aviation pattern and cruise operations. The Random Forest model produces the strongest predictive performance, with topic-based indicators, miss distance, altitude, and operating rule emerging as influential features. The results show that narrative semantics provide measurable signals of coordination load and acquisition difficulty, and that integrating text with structured variables enhances the prediction of maneuvering decisions in NMAC situations. These findings highlight opportunities to strengthen radio practice, manage pattern spacing, improve mixed equipage awareness, and refine alerting in short-range airport area encounters. Full article

In the context of the ongoing climate crisis, the health and sustainability of forest ecosystems in peri-urban areas play a crucial role in alleviating the adverse impacts of climate change on urban populations, particularly in cities with limited green spaces. This study explores the biodiversity and ecological values of an old-growth forest in the peri-urban area, Thessaloniki, northern Greece, the Kouri Forest. These types of forest ecosystems, except for their high ecological values, provide a lot of benefits to the city residents and the surrounding areas, and to achieve that they should have appropriate composition, structure and function to be able to provide high-level ecosystem services. The research was based on collecting analytical field data, including field sampling plots, and a series of tree cores for tree age determination and tree growth analysis. Data analysis demonstrates the unique characteristics of this forest, which was found to be an old-growth forest dominated by deciduous oak species, aged over 180 years. The high biodiversity of the forest and the rich composition and the multistorey stand structure, in combination with the long age of the trees, suggests that the forest is an old-growth (ancient) forest, and set the forest as an important biogenetic reserve, despite its small area, proximity to the city of Thessaloniki, and the pressures subjected. Accordingly, special management measures are suggested to aim at the sustainable use of peri-urban natural resources. Full article

Urban forests and green spaces are increasingly promoted as Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) to mitigate climate risks, enhance human well-being, and support resilient and sustainable cities. Focusing on the theme of optimizing urban green space ecosystem services to foster resilient and sustainable cities, this study systematically analyzes 861 relevant publications indexed in the Web of Science Core Collection from 2005 to 2025. Using bibliometric analysis and scientific knowledge mapping methods, the research examines publication characteristics, spatial distribution patterns, collaboration networks, knowledge bases, research hotspots, and thematic evolution trajectories. The results reveal a rapid upward trend in this field over the past two decades, with the gradual formation of a multidisciplinary knowledge system centered on environmental science and urban research. China, the United States, and several European countries have emerged as key nodes in global knowledge production and collaboration networks. Keyword co-occurrence and cluster analyses indicate that research themes are mainly concentrated in four clusters: (1) ecological foundations and green process orientation, (2) nature-based solutions and blue–green infrastructure configuration, (3) social needs and environmental justice, and (4) macro-level policies and the sustainable development agenda. Overall, the field has evolved from a focus on ecological processes and individual service functions toward a comprehensive transition emphasizing climate resilience, human well-being, and multi-actor governance. Based on these findings, this study constructs a knowledge ecosystem framework encompassing knowledge base, knowledge structure, research hotspots, frontier trends, and future pathways. It further identifies prospective research directions, including climate change adaptation, integrated planning of blue–green infrastructure, refined monitoring driven by remote sensing and spatial big data, and the embedding of urban green space ecosystem services into the Sustainable Development Goals and multi-level governance systems. These insights provide data support and decision-making references for deepening theoretical understanding of Urban Green Space Ecosystem Services (UGSES), improving urban green infrastructure planning, and enhancing urban resilience governance capacity. Full article

Peri-urban areas in Eastern Europe are undergoing rapid land transformation driven by suburban housing expansion and infrastructure development, yet the processes through which vegetation is progressively degraded and built-up areas intensify remain insufficiently documented. This study analyses vegetation loss and urban expansion in the peri-urban belt of Timișoara, Western Romania, between 2020 and 2025 using Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery, two key spectral indices (NDVI and NDBI), and a Random Forest (RF) classifier. The results reveal a gradual, multi-stage transformation trajectory, where dense vegetation transitions first into sparse vegetation and bare soil before consolidating into built-up surfaces, rather than being replaced abruptly. Substantial vegetation decline is accompanied by notable increases in built-up land, with strong spatial differences between communes depending on development pressure. The integration of RF classification with spectral index analysis allows these transitions to be validated and interpreted more reliably, helping distinguish structural suburbanisation from short-term spectral variability. Overall, the study demonstrates the value of combining NDVI, NDBI and AI-supported land-cover classification to capture nuanced peri-urban transformation dynamics and provides actionable insights for spatial planning and sustainable land management in rapidly growing metropolitan regions. Full article

Wildfires, which encompass all fires that occur outside urban areas, represent one of the most frequent forms of natural disaster worldwide. This study presents the wildfire occurrence across the territory of Southeastern Europe, covering an area of 800,000 km² (Greece, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Albania, North Macedonia, Bulgaria, and Moldova). The research applies geospatial artificial intelligence techniques, based on the integration of machine learning (Random Forest (RF), XGBoost), deep learning (Deep Neural Network (DNN), Kolmogorov–Arnold Networks (KAN)), remote sensing (Sentinel-2, VIIRS), and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). From the geospatial database, 11 natural and anthropogenic criteria were analyzed, along with a wildfire inventory comprising 28,952 historical fire events. The results revealed that areas of very high susceptibility were most prevalent in Greece (10.5%), while the smallest susceptibility percentage was recorded in Slovenia (0.2%). Among the applied models, RF demonstrated the highest predictive performance (AUC = 90.7%), whereas XGBoost, DNN, and KAN achieved AUC values ranging from 86.7% to 90.5%. Through a SHAP analysis, it was determined that the most influential factors were global horizontal irradiation, elevation, and distance from settlements. The obtained results hold international significance for the implementation of preventive wildfire protection measures. Full article

Hydrological behavior plays a critical role in seasonally dry forest ecosystems, as it underpins water availability for multiple productive activities, including forestry, agriculture, grazing, and urban supply. This study evaluated the hydrological effects of thinning treatments in a semi-arid oak–pine forest of Chihuahua, Mexico, using a Before–After–Control–Impact (BACI) design. Three Micro-catchments (MC) with initially comparable tree density and canopy cover were monitored during the rainy seasons of 2018 (pre-thinning) and 2019 (post-thinning). Thinning treatments were applied at 20% and 60% canopy cover in two MC, while a third remained unthinned as a 100% control. Precipitation and surface runoff were recorded at the event scale, and data were analyzed using Weibull probability models with a log link to capture the frequency and magnitude of runoff events. Precipitation patterns were broadly comparable across years, although 2018 included an extreme storm event (59 mm). In contrast, runoff volumes in 2019 were lower despite marginally higher seasonal rainfall, reflecting the absence of large storms. Statistical modeling indicated that for each additional millimeter of precipitation, mean runoff increased by approximately 12%, although thinning significantly altered baseline conditions. Relative to 2018, mean runoff ratios were 0.087 in the 100% canopy catchment, 0.296 in the 60% treatment, and 0.348 in the 20% treatment, suggesting that reduced canopy cover retained proportionally more runoff than the control. BACI contrasts confirmed that thinned catchments maintained higher proportions of runoff than the unthinned control, although statistical significance was marginal for the 20% canopy treatment. Overall, the study provides ecohydrological insights relevant to the management of semi-arid forest ecosystems. Full article

Under the requirements of ecological civilization and rural revitalization strategies in China, studying and evaluating the development potential of rural recreational resources surrounding the urban areas of megacities is of great significance for promoting the integrated development of urban and rural areas. Based on the collection and processing of multi-source datasets, this paper proposes corresponding evaluation methods for the development potential of three types of rural recreational resources (nature-historical culture-village). It combines AHP-entropy weight combination weighting, GIS spatial analysis, and Graphab network connectivity analysis to explore and evaluate the potential of rural recreational resources within the Zhengzhou urban area, which is in Central China. It quantifies the contribution degree and development priority of potential points to the overall recreational network. The results show that the recreational resources in rural areas are abundant and have great development potential. High potential points of the natural category are concentrated in the western shallow mountainous and hilly areas, with convenient transportation and a high green coverage rate, suitable for developing as suburban forest parks. High-potential points of historical sites are close to the urban area, and should be integrated and connected with the urban leisure corridors, suitable for developing as suburban cultural parks. High-potential points of villages are suitable for creating composite stations (homestay, study, folk customs) and developing into key nodes of the recreational network. Potential points with high contribution to the overall recreational network should be prioritized for development. In the future, the optimization and development of rural recreational resources can be achieved through four paths of overall planning, key promotion, brand driving, and network collaboration. Full article

The Three Gorges Reservoir Area (TGRA) faces mounting pressures from urbanization and hydrological regulation, threatening the sustainability of its ecosystem services (ESs). The InVEST model, coupled with optimal parameter geographical detector (OPGD) and geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR), was employed to assess spatiotemporal changes, trade-offs/synergies, and driving mechanisms of four ESs, water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), carbon storage (CS), and soil conservation (SC), from 2000 to 2020. Results revealed that WY and SC increased significantly by 24.54% and 5.75%, respectively, while HQ declined by 3.02% and CS remained relatively stable, with high-value ES zones mainly concentrated in the eastern and northern forest-dominated areas. Regarding interactions, strong synergies existed among HQ, CS, and SC, whereas WY exhibited persistent trade-offs with other services, particularly in the central agricultural-urban transitional zone. Furthermore, landscape diversity increased linearly, driven by forest expansion and urban growth. Mechanistically, land use type (LUT) dominated the spatial distribution of WY, HQ, and CS, while slope primarily controlled SC patterns, with all driver interactions demonstrating enhanced effects. By coupling OPGD with GTWR, this study uniquely elucidates the spatiotemporal instability of ES trade-offs/synergies and the spatial heterogeneity of their driving mechanisms, providing a novel scientific basis for implementing spatially differentiated management strategies in large-scale reservoir-impacted regions. Full article