Search Results (1,269)

The construction of prefabricated concrete houses in Ecuador poses significant challenges in terms of environmental and social sustainability, amid growing housing demand and the urgent need to mitigate adverse impacts associated with the construction processes and materials. In particular, the lack of a comprehensive assessment of these impacts limits the development of effective strategies to improve the sustainability of the sector. In addition, in rural areas, the design of flexible and adapted solutions is required, as evidenced by recent studies in the Andean area. This study conducts a comprehensive assessment of the impacts and sustainability indicators for prefabricated concrete houses, employing international certification systems such as LEED, BREEAM, and VERDE, to validate various relevant environmental and social indicators. The methodology used is the Hierarchical Analytical Process (AHP), which facilitates the prioritization of impacts through paired comparisons, establishing priorities for decision-making. Hydrological, soil, faunal, floral, and socioeconomic aspects are evaluated in a regional context. The results reveal that the most critical environmental impacts in Ecuador are climate change (28.77%), water depletion (13.73%) and loss of human health (19.17%), generation of non-hazardous waste 8.40%, changes in biodiversity 5%, extraction of mineral resources 12.07%, financial risks 5.33%, loss of aquatic life 4.67%, and loss of fertility 3%, as derived from hierarchical and standardization matrices. Despite being grounded in a literature review and being constrained due to the scarcity of previous projects in the country, this research provides a useful framework for the environmental evaluation and planning of prefabricated housing. To conclude, this study enhances existing methodologies of environmental assessment techniques and practices in the construction of precast concrete and promotes the development of sustainable and socially responsible housing in Ecuador. Full article

Abnormally warm winters in recent years have accelerated flowering in fruit trees, increasing their vulnerability to late frost damage. To address this challenge, this study aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of three phenology models—the development rate (DVR), modified DVR (mDVR), and Chill Days (CD) models—for predicting full bloom dates of ‘Niitaka’ pear, using image-derived phenological observations. The goal was to identify the most reliable and regionally transferable model for nationwide application in South Korea. A key strength of this study lies in the integration of real-time orchard imagery with automated weather station (AWS) data, enabling standardized and objective phenological monitoring across multiple regions. Using five years of temperature data from seven orchard sites, chill and heat unit accumulations were calculated and compared with observed full bloom dates obtained from orchard imagery and field records. Correlation analysis revealed a strong negative relationship between cumulative heat units and bloom timing, with correlation coefficients ranging from –0.88 (DVR) to –0.94 (mDVR). Among the models, the mDVR model demonstrated the highest stability in chill unit estimation (CV = 6.3%), the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE = 2.9 days), and the highest model efficiency (EF = 0.74), indicating superior predictive performance across diverse climatic conditions. In contrast, the DVR model showed limited generalizability beyond its original calibration zone. These findings suggest that the mDVR model, when supported by image-based phenological data, provides a robust and scalable tool for forecasting full bloom dates of temperate fruit trees and enhancing grower preparedness against late frost risks under changing climate conditions. Full article

Understanding vegetation dynamics and climate variability in the vicinity of Internally Displaced Person (IDP) camps is critical due to the high dependency of displaced populations on local natural resources. This study investigates vegetation cover changes and long-term climate variability around the Sortony IDP camp in Darfur, Sudan, using satellite and climate data spanning 1980 to 2024. High-resolution imagery from PlanetScope and Sentinel–2 Level 2A was used to assess vegetation cover changes from 2015 to 2024, while precipitation, temperature, and drought trends were analyzed over 44 years (1980–2024). Vegetation changes were quantified using the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), and drought conditions were assessed through the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at 6-, 9-, and 12-month timescales. Future precipitation predictions were modeled using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. The results revealed a substantial increase in vegetative cover: the dense vegetation class increased by 3.50%, moderate vegetation by 17.33%, and low vegetation by 30.22%. In contrast, sparse and non-vegetated areas declined by 4.55% and 46.51%, respectively. The SPEI analysis indicated a marked reduction in drought frequency and severity after 2015, following a period of prolonged drought from 2000 to 2014. Forecasts suggest continued increases in rainfall through 2034, which may further support vegetation regrowth. These findings underscore the complex interplay between climatic factors and human activity in conflict-affected landscapes. The observed vegetation recovery highlights the region’s potential for ecological resilience, reinforcing the urgent need for sustainable land-use planning and climate-adaptive management strategies in humanitarian and post-conflict settings such as Darfur. Full article

The Loess Plateau frequently endures droughts, and the propagation process has grown more intricate due to the interplay of climate change and human activities. This study developed the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI) on a 3-month scale and examined the spatiotemporal characteristics and driving mechanisms of drought propagation from meteorological to agricultural drought utilizing cross-wavelet analysis, grey relational analysis, and the optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) model. The results demonstrate a substantial seasonal correlation between meteorological and agricultural droughts in spring, summer, and autumn, as evidenced by cross-wavelet coherence analysis (wavelet coherence > 0.8, p < 0.05). Lag analysis utilizing grey relational degree (>0.8) indicates that drought propagation generally manifests with a temporal delay of 1–3 months, with the shortest lag observed in spring (average 1.2 months) and the longest in winter (average 3.1 months). Distinct spatial heterogeneity is seen within geomorphological divisions: the loess wide valley hills and loess beam hills divisions exhibit the highest propagation rates (0.64 and 0.59), whereas the loess tableland and soil–stone hills divisions have lower propagation (around 0.50). The OPGD results reveal that precipitation, soil moisture, and temperature are the principal contributing factors, although their effects differ among geomorphological types. Interactions among components exhibit synergistic enhancement effects. This study improves our comprehension of seasonal and geomorphological heterogeneity in drought propagation from meteorological to agricultural droughts and provides quantitative evidence to support early drought warnings across various divisions, agricultural risk assessment, and water security strategies in the Loess Plateau. Full article

Although peatland restoration has been widely promoted as a strategy for reducing carbon emissions and restoring hydrological function, its effectiveness remains context-dependent and highly variable across regions and methods. This study presents a systematic review and meta-analysis of 52 peer-reviewed studies from 2014 to 2024, synthesizing the ecohydrological impacts of restoration across multiple spatial scales and implementation types. In tropical peatlands, restoration frequently reduced CO₂ emissions by more than 65,000 kg·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹ and increased carbon sequestration up to 39,700 kg·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹, with moderate CH₄ increases (~450 kg·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹). In boreal sites, CO₂ reductions were generally below 25,000 kg·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹, with long-term carbon accumulation reported in other studies, typically around 2–3 tCO₂·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹. Higher values in our dataset likely reflect the limited number of boreal studies and the influence of short-term measurements. Across all regions, restoration was also associated with an average rise in WTD up to 10 cm. These averages were derived from studies conducted across diverse climatic zones, showing high standard deviations, indicating substantial inter-site heterogeneity. These differences emphasize the need for region-specific assessments rather than global generalizations, highlighting the importance of adaptive restoration strategies that balance carbon dynamics with hydrological resilience in the face of climate change. Full article

Climate change poses unprecedented challenges to forest ecosystems. Betula alnoides, a tree species with significant ecological and economic value in southern China, has been the subject of studies on its distribution pattern and response to climate change. However, research on the distribution pattern of B. alnoides and its response to climate change remains relatively limited. In this study, we developed a MaxEnt model incorporating multiple environmental variables, including climate, topography, soil, vegetation, and human activities, to evaluate model performance, identify key factors influencing the distribution of B. alnoides, and project its potential distribution under various future climate scenarios. Species occurrence data and environmental layers were compiled for China, and model parameters were optimized using the ENMeval package. The results showed that the optimized model achieved an AUC value of 0.956, indicating extremely high predictive accuracy. The four key factors affecting the distribution of B. alnoides were standard deviation of temperature seasonality (Bio4), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), and annual precipitation (Bio12). Among them, the cumulative contribution rate of climatic factors reached 68.9%, but the influence of NDVI was significantly higher than that of precipitation factors. The current suitable habitat of B. alnoides is mainly concentrated in the southwestern region, covering an area of 179.32 × 10⁴ km², which accounts for 18.68% of China’s land area. Under the SSP126 scenario, the suitable habitat area first decreases and then increases in the future, while under the SSP370 and SSP585 scenarios, the suitable habitat area continues to shrink, with significant losses in high-suitability areas. In addition, the centroid of the suitable habitat of B. alnoides shows an overall trend of shifting northwestward. This indicates that B. alnoides is highly sensitive to climate change and its distribution pattern will undergo significant changes in the future. In conclusion, the distribution pattern of B. alnoides shows a significant response to climate change, with particularly prominent losses in high-suitability areas in the future. Therefore, it is recommended to strengthen the protection of high-suitability areas in the southwestern region and consider B. alnoides as an alternative tree species for regions facing warming and drying trends to enhance its climate adaptability. Full article

This study investigates the deterioration of skid resistance and surface macrotexture following preventive maintenance using micro-milling techniques. Field data were collected from 31 asphalt pavement sections located across four climatic zones in Texas. The data encompasses a variety of surface types, milling depths, operational speeds, and drum configurations. A standardized data collection protocol was followed, with measurements taken before milling, immediately after treatment, and at 3, 6, 12, and 18 months post-treatment. Skid number and Mean Profile Depth (MPD) were used to evaluate surface friction and texture characteristics. The dataset was reformatted into a time-series structure with 930 observations, including contextual variables such as climatic zone, treatment parameters, and baseline surface condition. A comparative modeling framework was applied to predict the deterioration trends of both skid resistance and macrotexture over time. Eight regression models, including linear, tree-based, and ensemble methods, were evaluated alongside a time series Transformer model. The results show that the Transformer model achieved the highest prediction accuracy for skid resistance (R² = 0.981), while Random Forest performed best for macrotexture prediction (R² = 0.838). The findings indicate that the degradation of surface characteristics after preventive maintenance is non-linear and influenced by a combination of environmental and operational factors. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of data-driven modeling in supporting transportation agencies with pavement performance forecasting and maintenance planning. Full article

Groundwater quality in arid and semi-arid regions of Morocco is under increasing pressure due to both anthropogenic influences and climatic variability. This study investigates the physicochemical and heavy metal characteristics of groundwater across four Moroccan regions (Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima, Oriental, Souss-Massa, and Marrakech-Safi) known for being argan tree habitats. Thirteen groundwater samples were analyzed for twenty-five parameters, including major ions, nutrients, and trace metals. Elevated levels of ammonium, turbidity, electrical conductivity, and dissolved oxygen were observed in multiple samples, surpassing Moroccan water quality standards and indicating significant quality deterioration. Inductively Coupled Plasma-Atomic Emission Spectroscopy (ICP-AES) detected arsenic concentrations exceeding permissible limits in sample AW11 alongside widespread lead contamination in most samples except AW5 and AW9. Spatial patterns of contamination were characterized using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Hierarchical Cluster Analysis (HCA), K-means clustering, and GIS-based Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation. These multivariate approaches revealed marked spatial heterogeneity and highlighted the dual influence of geogenic processes and anthropogenic activities on groundwater quality. To assess consumption suitability, a Water Quality Index (WQI) and Human Health Risk Assessment were applied. As a result, 31% of samples were rated “Fair” and 69% as “Good”, but with notable non-carcinogenic risks, particularly to children, attributable to nitrate, lead, and arsenic. The findings underscore the urgent need for systematic groundwater monitoring and management strategies to safeguard water resources in Morocco’s vulnerable dryland ecosystems, particularly in regions where groundwater sustains vital socio-ecological species such as argan forests. Full article

Energy management in the hotel industry remains a cornerstone in mitigating climate change. To successfully deploy energy management practices, correct energy KPIs are needed. Moreover, the development of a uniform taxonomy on how to classify hotel industry final energy use is crucial in succeeding with energy management in the hotel industry and to enable benchmarking beyond the supply of energy. This work proposes a methodology to develop a taxonomy of final energy use in hotels. The methodology consists of five steps and five levels, allowing them to gradually disaggregate the final use of energy following different classification criteria. The methodology is applied to a hotel, validating the feasibility of the proposed methodology to more accurately identify the areas of greatest final energy use and provide further insights. Results indicate that the main electrical energy use emanates from HVAC (30.4%), tap hot water (24.8%), food process (20.6%), and lightning (7.1%). Key findings include the development of a structured framework that allows hotel managers, energy professionals, and policymakers to systematically assess and benchmark energy performance; and the classification levels provide a standardized method for identifying energy-intensive operations, enabling the implementation of targeted energy-saving measures. Full article

Understanding long-term precipitation variability is essential for assessing the climate’s impact on sensitive ecosystems, particularly in regions of high environmental value, such as the Danube Delta Biosphere Reserve (DDBR). This study examines the temporal dynamics of monthly precipitation in the Danube Delta, Romania, spanning the period from 1965 to 2019. Three approaches were used to analyze climatic variability: Change Point detection (CPD) to identify shifts in precipitation regimes, the De Martonne Index (I_M) to assess aridity trends, and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to evaluate drought conditions across annual and monthly scales. Using robust monthly precipitation and temperature datasets from the Sulina meteorological station, CPD analysis revealed statistically significant structural breaks in precipitation trends, suggesting periods of altered climate behavior likely associated with broader regional or global climate changes. I_M values indicated mostly hyper-aridity and aridity at monthly and annual scales, respectively. No monotonic trend was found in this index during the analyzed segments, as emphasized by the Mann–Kendall (MK) test. SPI values provided further evidence of variability in the precipitation regime, highlighting a transition toward more extreme hydrological conditions in the region. The combined use of these indices offers a comprehensive view of the evolution of climatic conditions in the Danube Delta. The findings underscore the growing vulnerability of this unique wetland ecosystem to climatic variability, supporting the need for adaptive water management strategies in the face of anticipated future changes. Full article

Sensor-enabled digital twins (DTs) are reshaping precision dairy nutrition by seamlessly integrating real-time barn telemetry with advanced biophysical simulations in the cloud. Drawing insights from 122 peer-reviewed studies spanning 2010–2025, this systematic review reveals how DT architectures for dairy cattle are conceptualized, validated, and deployed. We introduce a novel five-dimensional classification framework—spanning application domain, modeling paradigms, computational topology, validation protocols, and implementation maturity—to provide a coherent comparative lens across diverse DT implementations. Hybrid edge–cloud architectures emerge as optimal solutions, with lightweight CNN-LSTM models embedded in collar or rumen-bolus microcontrollers achieving over 90% accuracy in recognizing feeding and rumination behaviors. Simultaneously, remote cloud systems harness mechanistic fermentation simulations and multi-objective genetic algorithms to optimize feed composition, minimize greenhouse gas emissions, and balance amino acid nutrition. Field-tested prototypes indicate significant agronomic benefits, including 15–20% enhancements in feed conversion efficiency and water use reductions of up to 40%. Nevertheless, critical challenges remain: effectively fusing heterogeneous sensor data amid high barn noise, ensuring millisecond-level synchronization across unreliable rural networks, and rigorously verifying AI-generated nutritional recommendations across varying genotypes, lactation phases, and climates. Overcoming these gaps necessitates integrating explainable AI with biologically grounded digestion models, federated learning protocols for data privacy, and standardized PRISMA-based validation approaches. The distilled implementation roadmap offers actionable guidelines for sensor selection, middleware integration, and model lifecycle management, enabling proactive rather than reactive dairy management—an essential leap toward climate-smart, welfare-oriented, and economically resilient dairy farming. Full article

Improving outdoor thermal comfort is a critical objective in urban design, particularly in densely built urban environments. Elevated semi-open spaces—outdoor areas located beneath raised building structures—have been recognized for enhancing pedestrian comfort by improving airflow and shading. However, previous studies primarily focused on warm or temperate climates, leaving a significant research gap regarding their thermal performance in cold climate zones characterized by extreme seasonal variations. Specifically, few studies have investigated how these spaces perform under conditions typical of northern Chinese cities like Xi’an, which is explicitly classified within the Cold Climate Zone according to China’s national standard GB 50176-2016 and experiences both severe summer heat and cold winter conditions. To address this gap, we conducted field measurements and numerical simulations using the ENVI-met model (v5.0) to systematically evaluate the microclimatic performance of elevated ground-floor spaces in Xi’an. Key microclimatic parameters—including air temperature, mean radiant temperature, relative humidity, and wind velocity—were assessed during representative summer and winter conditions. Our findings indicate that the height of the elevated structure significantly affects outdoor thermal comfort, identifying an optimal elevated height range of 3.6–4.3 m to effectively balance summer cooling and winter sheltering needs. These results provide valuable design guidance for architects and planners aiming to enhance outdoor thermal environments in cold climate regions facing distinct seasonal extremes. Full article

This study assesses future agricultural drought risk in the Ganjiang River Basin under climate change and land use change. A coupled analysis framework was established using the SWAT hydrological model, the CMIP6 climate models (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5), and the PLUS land use simulation model. Key methods included the Standardized Soil Moisture Index (SSMI), travel time theory for drought event identification and duration analysis, Mann–Kendall trend test, and the Pettitt change-point test to examine soil moisture dynamics from 2027 to 2100. The results indicate that the CMIP6 ensemble performs excellently in temperature simulations, with a correlation coefficient of R² = 0.89 and a root mean square error of RMSE = 1.2 °C, compared to the observational data. The MMM-Best model also performs well in precipitation simulations, with R² = 0.82 and RMSE = 15.3 mm, compared to observational data. Land use changes between 2000 and 2020 showed a decrease in forestland (−3.2%), grassland (−2.8%), and construction land (−1.5%), with an increase in water (4.8%) and unused land (2.7%). Under all emission scenarios, the SSMI values fluctuate with standard deviations of 0.85 (SSP1-2.6), 1.12 (SSP2-4.5), and 1.34 (SSP5-8.5), with the strongest drought intensity observed under SSP5-8.5 (minimum SSMI = −2.8). Drought events exhibited spatial and temporal heterogeneity across scenarios, with drought-affected areas ranging from 25% (SSP1-2.6) to 45% (SSP5-8.5) of the basin. Notably, abrupt changes in soil moisture under SSP5-8.5 occurred earlier (2045–2050) due to intensified land use change, indicating strong human influence on hydrological cycles. This study integrated the CMIP6 climate projections with high-resolution human activity data to advance drought risk assessment methods. It established a framework for assessing agricultural drought risk at the regional scale that comprehensively considers climate and human influences, providing targeted guidance for the formulation of adaptive water resource and land management strategies. Full article

With the advance of digital transformation, the assessment of the environmental impact of digital tools and technologies grows more relevant. Considering the inflated expectations of environmental responsibility in higher education, this study analyses how websites of Polish universities conform to sustainable web design criteria. The sustainability audit employed a methodology encompassing carbon emissions measurement, technical website analysis, and SEO evaluation. The author analysed 63 websites of public universities in Poland using seven independent audit tools, including an original AI Custom GPT agent preconfigured in the ChatGPT ecosystem. The results revealed a substantial differentiation in CO₂ emissions and website optimisation, with an average EcoImpact Score of 66.41/100. Nearly every fourth website exhibited a significant carbon footprint and excessive component sizes, which indicates poor asset optimisation and energy-intensive design techniques. The measurements exposed considerable variability in emission intensities and resource intensity among the university websites, suggesting the need for standardised digital sustainability practices. Regulations on the carbon footprint of public institutions’ websites and mobile applications could become vital strategic components for digital climate neutrality. Promoting green hosting, “Green SEO” practices, and sustainability audits could help mitigate the environmental impact of digital technologies and advance sustainable design standards for the public sector. The proposed auditing methodology can effectively support the institutional transition towards sustainable management of digital infrastructure by integrating technical, sustainability, and organisational aspects. Full article

As an important ecological barrier and animal husbandry resource base in arid and semi-arid areas, grassland degradation directly affects regional ecological security and sustainable development. Ili Prefecture is located in the western part of Xinjiang, China, and is a typical grassland resource-rich area. However, in recent years, driven by climate change and human activities, grassland degradation has become increasingly serious. In view of the lack of comprehensive evaluation indicators and the inconsistency of grassland evaluation grade standards in remote sensing monitoring of grassland resource degradation, this study takes the current situation of grassland degradation in Ili Prefecture in the past 20 years as the research object and constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system covering three criteria layers of vegetation characteristics, environmental characteristics, and utilization characteristics. Net primary productivity (NPP), vegetation coverage, temperature, precipitation, soil erosion modulus, and grazing intensity were selected as multi-source indicators. Combined with data sources such as remote sensing inversion, sample survey, meteorological data, and farmer survey, the factor weight coefficient was determined by analytic hierarchy process. The Grassland Degeneration Comprehensive Index (GDCI) model was constructed to carry out remote sensing monitoring and evaluation of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture. With reference to the classification threshold of the national standard for grassland degradation, the GDCI grassland degradation evaluation grade threshold (GDCI reduction rate) was determined by the method of weighted average of coefficients: non-degradation (0–10%), mild degradation (10–20%), moderate degradation (20–37.66%) and severe degradation (more than 37.66%). According to the results, between 2000 and 2022, non-degraded grasslands in Ili Prefecture covered an area of 27,200 km², representing 90.19% of the total grassland area. Slight, moderate, and severe degradation accounted for 4.34%, 3.33%, and 2.15%, respectively. Moderately and severely degraded areas are primarily distributed in agro-pastoral transition zones and economically developed urban regions, respectively. The results revealed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture and provided data basis and technical support for regional grassland resource management, degradation prevention and control and ecological restoration. Full article