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21 pages, 826 KiB  
Article
Socio-Economic and Environmental Trade-Offs of Sustainable Energy Transition in Kentucky
by Sydney Oluoch, Nirmal Pandit and Cecelia Harner
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7133; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157133 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
A just and sustainable energy transition in historically coal-dependent regions like Kentucky requires more than the adoption of new technologies and market-based solutions. This study uses a stated preferences approach to evaluate public support for various attributes of energy transition programs, revealing broad [...] Read more.
A just and sustainable energy transition in historically coal-dependent regions like Kentucky requires more than the adoption of new technologies and market-based solutions. This study uses a stated preferences approach to evaluate public support for various attributes of energy transition programs, revealing broad backing for moving away from coal, as indicated by a negative willingness to pay (WTP) for the status quo (–USD 4.63). Key findings show strong bipartisan support for solar energy, with Democrats showing the highest WTP at USD 8.29, followed closely by Independents/Others at USD 8.22, and Republicans at USD 8.08. Wind energy also garnered support, particularly among Republicans (USD 4.04), who may view it as more industry-compatible and less ideologically polarizing. Job creation was a dominant priority across political affiliations, especially for Independents (USD 9.07), indicating a preference for tangible, near-term economic benefits. Similarly, preserving cultural values tied to coal received support among Independents/Others (USD 4.98), emphasizing the importance of place-based identity in shaping preferences. In contrast, social support programs (e.g., job retraining) and certain post-mining land uses (e.g., recreation and conservation) were less favored, possibly due to their abstract nature, delayed benefits, and political framing. Findings from Kentucky offer insights for other coal-reliant states like Wyoming, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Indiana, and Illinois. Ultimately, equitable transitions must integrate local voices, address cultural and economic realities, and ensure community-driven planning and investment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy, Environmental Policy and Sustainable Development)
31 pages, 4843 KiB  
Review
Glucocorticoid-Mediated Skeletal Muscle Atrophy: Molecular Mechanisms and Potential Therapeutic Targets
by Uttapol Permpoon, Jiyeong Moon, Chul Young Kim and Tae-gyu Nam
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(15), 7616; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26157616 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Skeletal muscle atrophy is a critical health issue affecting the quality of life of elderly individuals and patients with chronic diseases. These conditions induce dysregulation of glucocorticoid (GC) secretion. GCs play a critical role in maintaining homeostasis in the stress response and glucose [...] Read more.
Skeletal muscle atrophy is a critical health issue affecting the quality of life of elderly individuals and patients with chronic diseases. These conditions induce dysregulation of glucocorticoid (GC) secretion. GCs play a critical role in maintaining homeostasis in the stress response and glucose metabolism. However, prolonged exposure to GC is directly linked to muscle atrophy, which is characterized by a reduction in muscle size and weight, particularly affecting fast-twitch muscle fibers. The GC-activated glucocorticoid receptor (GR) decreases protein synthesis and facilitates protein breakdown. Numerous antagonists have been developed to mitigate GC-induced muscle atrophy, including 11β-HSD1 inhibitors and myostatin and activin receptor blockers. However, the clinical trial results have fallen short of the expected efficacy. Recently, several emerging pathways and targets have been identified. For instance, GC-induced sirtuin 6 isoform (SIRT6) expression suppresses AKT/mTORC1 signaling. Lysine-specific demethylase 1 (LSD1) cooperates with the GR for the transcription of atrogenes. The kynurenine pathway and indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO-1) also play crucial roles in protein synthesis and energy production in skeletal muscle. Therefore, a deeper understanding of the complexities of GR transactivation and transrepression will provide new strategies for the discovery of novel drugs to overcome the detrimental effects of GCs on muscle tissues. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Understanding Aging in Health and Disease)
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23 pages, 3036 KiB  
Article
Research on the Synergistic Mechanism Design of Electricity-CET-TGC Markets and Transaction Strategies for Multiple Entities
by Zhenjiang Shi, Mengmeng Zhang, Lei An, Yan Lu, Daoshun Zha, Lili Liu and Tiantian Feng
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7130; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157130 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
In the context of the global response to climate change and the active promotion of energy transformation, a number of low-carbon policies coupled with the development of synergies to help power system transformation is an important initiative. However, the insufficient articulation of the [...] Read more.
In the context of the global response to climate change and the active promotion of energy transformation, a number of low-carbon policies coupled with the development of synergies to help power system transformation is an important initiative. However, the insufficient articulation of the green power market, tradable green certificate (TGC) market, and carbon emission trading (CET) mechanism, and the ambiguous policy boundaries affect the trading decisions made by its market participants. Therefore, this paper systematically analyses the composition of the main players in the electricity-CET-TGC markets and their relationship with each other, and designs the synergistic mechanism of the electricity-CET-TGC markets, based on which, it constructs the optimal profit model of the thermal power plant operators, renewable energy manufacturers, power grid enterprises, power users and load aggregators under the electricity-CET-TGC markets synergy, and analyses the behavioural decision-making of the main players in the electricity-CET-TGC markets as well as the electric power system to optimise the trading strategy of each player. The results of the study show that: (1) The synergistic mechanism of electricity-CET-TGC markets can increase the proportion of green power grid-connected in the new type of power system. (2) In the selection of different environmental rights and benefits products, the direct participation of green power in the market-oriented trading is the main way, followed by applying for conversion of green power into China certified emission reduction (CCER). (3) The development of independent energy storage technology can produce greater economic and environmental benefits. This study provides policy support to promote the synergistic development of the electricity-CET-TGC markets and assist the low-carbon transformation of the power industry. Full article
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24 pages, 1028 KiB  
Review
Molecular Links Between Metabolism and Mental Health: Integrative Pathways from GDF15-Mediated Stress Signaling to Brain Energy Homeostasis
by Minju Seo, Seung Yeon Pyeon and Man S. Kim
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(15), 7611; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26157611 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The relationship between metabolic dysfunction and mental health disorders is complex and has received increasing attention. This review integrates current research to explore how stress-related growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) signaling, ceramides derived from gut microbiota, and mitochondrial dysfunction in the brain interact [...] Read more.
The relationship between metabolic dysfunction and mental health disorders is complex and has received increasing attention. This review integrates current research to explore how stress-related growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) signaling, ceramides derived from gut microbiota, and mitochondrial dysfunction in the brain interact to influence both metabolic and psychiatric conditions. Evidence suggests that these pathways converge to regulate brain energy homeostasis through feedback mechanisms involving the autonomic nervous system and the hypothalamic–pituitary–adrenal axis. GDF15 emerges as a key stress-responsive biomarker that links peripheral metabolism with brainstem GDNF family receptor alpha-like (GFRAL)-mediated anxiety circuits. Meanwhile, ceramides impair hippocampal mitochondrial function via membrane incorporation and disruption of the respiratory chain. These disruptions may contribute to sustained pathological states such as depression, anxiety, and cognitive dysfunction. Although direct mechanistic data are limited, integrating these pathways provides a conceptual framework for understanding metabolic–psychiatric comorbidities. Furthermore, differences in age, sex, and genetics may influence these systems, highlighting the need for personalized interventions. Targeting mitochondrial function, GDF15-GFRAL signaling, and gut microbiota composition may offer new therapeutic strategies. This integrative perspective helps conceptualize how metabolic and psychiatric mechanisms interact for understanding the pathophysiology of metabolic and psychiatric comorbidities and highlights therapeutic targets for precision medicine. Full article
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20 pages, 2612 KiB  
Article
Urban Air Quality Management: PM2.5 Hourly Forecasting with POA–VMD and LSTM
by Xiaoqing Zhou, Xiaoran Ma and Haifeng Wang
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2482; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082482 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The accurate and effective prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for mitigating air pollution, improving environmental quality, and safeguarding public health. To address the challenge of strong temporal correlations in PM2.5 concentration forecasting, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that integrates the [...] Read more.
The accurate and effective prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for mitigating air pollution, improving environmental quality, and safeguarding public health. To address the challenge of strong temporal correlations in PM2.5 concentration forecasting, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that integrates the Particle Optimization Algorithm (POA) and Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. First, POA is employed to optimize VMD by adaptively determining the optimal parameter combination [k, α], enabling the decomposition of the original PM2.5 time series into subcomponents while reducing data noise. Subsequently, an LSTM model is constructed to predict each subcomponent individually, and the predictions are aggregated to derive hourly PM2.5 concentration forecasts. Empirical analysis using datasets from Beijing, Tianjin, and Tangshan demonstrates the following key findings: (1) LSTM outperforms traditional machine learning models in time series forecasting. (2) The proposed model exhibits superior effectiveness and robustness, achieving optimal performance metrics (e.g., MAE: 0.7183, RMSE: 0.8807, MAPE: 4.01%, R2: 99.78%) in comparative experiments, as exemplified by the Beijing dataset. (3) The integration of POA with serial decomposition techniques effectively handles highly volatile and nonlinear data. This model provides a novel and reliable tool for PM2.5 concentration prediction, offering significant benefits for governmental decision-making and public awareness. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental and Green Processes)
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19 pages, 790 KiB  
Article
How Does the Power Generation Mix Affect the Market Value of US Energy Companies?
by Silvia Bressan
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(8), 437; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080437 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
To remain competitive in the decarbonization process of the economy worldwide, energy companies must preserve their market value to attract new investors and remain resilient throughout the transition to net zero. This article examines the market value of US energy companies during the [...] Read more.
To remain competitive in the decarbonization process of the economy worldwide, energy companies must preserve their market value to attract new investors and remain resilient throughout the transition to net zero. This article examines the market value of US energy companies during the period 2012–2024 in relation to their power generation mix. Panel regression analyses reveal that Tobin’s q and price-to-book ratios increase significantly for solar and wind power, while they experience moderate increases for natural gas power. In contrast, Tobin’s q and price-to-book ratios decline for nuclear and coal power. Furthermore, accounting-based profitability, measured by the return on assets (ROA), does not show significant variation with any type of power generation. The findings suggest that market investors prefer solar, wind, and natural gas power generation, thereby attributing greater value (that is, demanding lower risk compensation) to green companies compared to traditional ones. These insights provide guidance to executives, investors, and policy makers on how the power generation mix can influence strategic decisions in the energy sector. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Linkage Between Energy and Financial Markets)
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16 pages, 9914 KiB  
Article
Phase Equilibria of Si-C-Cu System at 700 °C and 810 °C and Implications for Composite Processing
by Kun Liu, Zhenxiang Wu, Dong Luo, Xiaozhong Huang, Wei Yang and Peisheng Wang
Materials 2025, 18(15), 3689; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18153689 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The phase equilibria of the Si-C-Cu ternary system at 700 °C and 810 °C were experimentally investigated for the first time. Fifteen key alloys were prepared via powder metallurgy and analyzed using X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and electron probe microanalysis [...] Read more.
The phase equilibria of the Si-C-Cu ternary system at 700 °C and 810 °C were experimentally investigated for the first time. Fifteen key alloys were prepared via powder metallurgy and analyzed using X-ray diffraction (XRD), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and electron probe microanalysis (EPMA). Isothermal sections were constructed based on the identified equilibrium phases. At 700 °C, eight single-phase regions and six three-phase regions—(C)+(Cu)+hcp, (C)+hcp+γ-Cu33Si7, (C)+γ-Cu33Si7+SiC, γ-Cu33Si7+SiC+ε-Cu15Si4, SiC+ε-Cu15Si4+η-Cu3Si(ht), and SiC+(Si)+η-Cu3Si(ht)—were determined. At 810 °C, nine single-phase regions and seven three-phase regions were identified. The solubility of C and Si/Cu in the various phases was quantified and found to be significantly higher at 810 °C compared to 700 °C. Key differences include the presence of the bcc (β) and liquid phases at 810 °C. The results demonstrate that higher temperatures promote increased mutual solubility and reaction tendencies among Cu, C, and Si. Motivated by these findings, the influence of vacuum hot pressing parameters on SiC-fiber-reinforced Cu composites (SiCf/Cu) was investigated. The optimal processing condition (1050 °C, 60 MPa, 90 min) yielded a high bending strength of 998.61 MPa, attributed to enhanced diffusion and interfacial bonding facilitated by the high-temperature phase equilibria. This work provides essential fundamental data for understanding interactions and guiding processing in SiC-reinforced Cu composites. Full article
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29 pages, 3173 KiB  
Article
Graph Neural Networks for Sustainable Energy: Predicting Adsorption in Aromatic Molecules
by Hasan Imani Parashkooh and Cuiying Jian
ChemEngineering 2025, 9(4), 85; https://doi.org/10.3390/chemengineering9040085 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
The growing need for rapid screening of adsorption energies in organic materials has driven substantial progress in developing various architectures of equivariant graph neural networks (eGNNs). This advancement has largely been enabled by the availability of extensive Density Functional Theory (DFT)-generated datasets, sufficiently [...] Read more.
The growing need for rapid screening of adsorption energies in organic materials has driven substantial progress in developing various architectures of equivariant graph neural networks (eGNNs). This advancement has largely been enabled by the availability of extensive Density Functional Theory (DFT)-generated datasets, sufficiently large to train complex eGNN models effectively. However, certain material groups with significant industrial relevance, such as aromatic compounds, remain underrepresented in these large datasets. In this work, we aim to bridge the gap between limited, domain-specific DFT datasets and large-scale pretrained eGNNs. Our methodology involves creating a specialized dataset by segregating aromatic compounds after a targeted ensemble extraction process, then fine-tuning a pretrained model via approaches that include full retraining and systematically freezing specific network sections. We demonstrate that these approaches can yield accurate energy and force predictions with minimal domain-specific training data and computation. Additionally, we investigate the effects of augmenting training datasets with chemically related but out-of-domain groups. Our findings indicate that incorporating supplementary data that closely resembles the target domain, even if approximate, would enhance model performance on domain-specific tasks. Furthermore, we systematically freeze different sections of the pretrained models to elucidate the role each component plays during adaptation to new domains, revealing that relearning low-level representations is critical for effective domain transfer. Overall, this study contributes valuable insights and practical guidelines for efficiently adapting deep learning models for accurate adsorption energy predictions, significantly reducing reliance on extensive training datasets. Full article
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18 pages, 912 KiB  
Article
A Guiding Principle for Quantum State Discrimination in the Real-Spectrum Phase of P-Pseudo-Hermitian Systems
by Qinliang Dong, Xueer Gao, Zhihang Liu, Hui Li, Jingwei Wen and Chao Zheng
Entropy 2025, 27(8), 836; https://doi.org/10.3390/e27080836 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Quantum state discrimination (QSD) is a fundamental task in quantum information processing, improving the computation efficiency and communication security. Non-Hermitian (NH) PT-symmetric systems were found to be able to discriminate two quantum states better than the Hermitian strategy. In this work, we propose [...] Read more.
Quantum state discrimination (QSD) is a fundamental task in quantum information processing, improving the computation efficiency and communication security. Non-Hermitian (NH) PT-symmetric systems were found to be able to discriminate two quantum states better than the Hermitian strategy. In this work, we propose a QSD approach based on P-pseudo-Hermitian systems with real spectra. We theoretically prove the feasibility of realizing QSD in the real-spectrum phase of a P-pseudo-Hermitian system, i.e., two arbitrary non-orthogonal quantum states can be discriminated by a suitable P-pseudo-Hermitian Hamiltonian. In detail, we decide the minimal angular separation between two non-orthogonal quantum states for a fixed P-pseudo-Hermitian Hamiltonian, and we find the orthogonal evolution time is able to approach zero under suitable conditions, while both the trace distance and the quantum relative entropy are employed to judge their orthogonality. We give a criterion to choose the parameters of a P-pseudo-Hermitian Hamiltonian that evolves the two initial orthogonal states faster than a fixed arbitrary PT-symmetric one with an identical energy difference. Our work expands the NH family for QSD, and can be used to explore real quantum systems in the future. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Quantum Systems and Their Applications)
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24 pages, 8197 KiB  
Article
Reuse of Decommissioned Tubular Steel Wind Turbine Towers: General Considerations and Two Case Studies
by Sokratis Sideris, Charis J. Gantes, Stefanos Gkatzogiannis and Bo Li
Designs 2025, 9(4), 92; https://doi.org/10.3390/designs9040092 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Nowadays, the circular economy is driving the construction industry towards greater sustainability for both environmental and financial purposes. One prominent area of research with significant contributions to circular economy is the reuse of steel from decommissioned structures in new construction projects. This approach [...] Read more.
Nowadays, the circular economy is driving the construction industry towards greater sustainability for both environmental and financial purposes. One prominent area of research with significant contributions to circular economy is the reuse of steel from decommissioned structures in new construction projects. This approach is deemed far more efficient than ordinary steel recycling, due to the fact that it contributes towards reducing both the cost of the new project and the associated carbon emissions. Along these lines, the feasibility of utilizing steel wind turbine towers (WTTs) as part of a new structure is investigated herein, considering that wind turbines are decommissioned after a nominal life of approximately 25 years due to fatigue limitations. General principles of structural steel reuse are first presented in a systematic manner, followed by two case studies. Realistic data about the geometry and cross-sections of previous generation models of WTTs were obtained from the Greek Center for Renewable Energy Sources and Savings (CRES), including drawings and photographic material from their demonstrative wind farm in the area of Keratea. A specific wind turbine was selected that is about to exceed its life expectancy and will soon be decommissioned. Two alternative applications for the reuse of the tower were proposed and analyzed, with emphasis on the structural aspects. One deals with the use of parts of the tower as a small-span pedestrian bridge, while the second addresses the transformation of a tower section into a water storage tank. Several decision factors have contributed to the selection of these two reuse scenarios, including, amongst others, the geometric compatibility of the decommissioned wind turbine tower with the proposed applications, engineering intuition about the tower having adequate strength for its new role, the potential to minimize fatigue loads in the reused state, the minimization of cutting and joining processes as much as possible to restrain further CO2 emissions, reduction in waste material, the societal contribution of the potential reuse applications, etc. The two examples are briefly presented, aiming to demonstrate the concept and feasibility at the preliminary design level, highlighting the potential of decommissioned WTTs to find proper use for their future life. Full article
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12 pages, 254 KiB  
Article
On Thermodynamical Kluitenberg Theory in General Relativity
by Francesco Farsaci and Patrizia Rogolino
Entropy 2025, 27(8), 833; https://doi.org/10.3390/e27080833 (registering DOI) - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
In this paper, we introduce Kluitenberg’s formulation of non-equilibrium thermodynamics with internal variables in the context of a Riemannian space, as required by Einstein’s general relativity. Using the formulation of the second law of thermodynamics in general coordinates with a pseudo-Euclidean metric, we [...] Read more.
In this paper, we introduce Kluitenberg’s formulation of non-equilibrium thermodynamics with internal variables in the context of a Riemannian space, as required by Einstein’s general relativity. Using the formulation of the second law of thermodynamics in general coordinates with a pseudo-Euclidean metric, we derive a Levi-Civita-like energy tensor and propose a generalization of the second law within a Riemannian space, in agreement with Tolman’s approach. In addition, we determine the expression for the entropy density in a general Riemannian space and identify the new variables upon which it depends. This allows us to deduce, within this framework, the equilibrium inelastic and viscous stress tensors as well as the entropy production. These expressions are consistent with the principle of general covariance and Einstein’s equivalence principle. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Thermodynamics)
30 pages, 3996 KiB  
Article
Incentive-Compatible Mechanism Design for Medium- and Long-Term/Spot Market Coordination in High-Penetration Renewable Energy Systems
by Sicong Wang, Weiqing Wang, Sizhe Yan and Qiuying Li
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2478; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082478 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
In line with the goals of “peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality”, this study aims to develop a market-coordinated operation mechanism to promote renewable energy adoption and consumption, addressing the challenges of integrating medium- and long-term trading with spot markets in power systems [...] Read more.
In line with the goals of “peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality”, this study aims to develop a market-coordinated operation mechanism to promote renewable energy adoption and consumption, addressing the challenges of integrating medium- and long-term trading with spot markets in power systems with high renewable energy penetration. A three-stage joint operation framework is proposed. First, a medium- and long-term trading game model is established, considering multiple energy types to optimize the benefits of market participants. Second, machine learning algorithms are employed to predict renewable energy output, and a contract decomposition mechanism is developed to ensure a smooth transition from medium- and long-term contracts to real-time market operations. Finally, a day-ahead market-clearing strategy and an incentive-compatible settlement mechanism, incorporating the constraints from contract decomposition, are proposed to link the two markets effectively. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed mechanism effectively enhances resource allocation and stabilizes market operations, leading to significant revenue improvements across various generation units and increased renewable energy utilization. Specifically, thermal power units achieve a 19.12% increase in revenue, while wind and photovoltaic units show more substantial gains of 38.76% and 47.52%, respectively. Concurrently, the mechanism drives a 10.61% increase in renewable energy absorption capacity and yields a 13.47% improvement in Tradable Green Certificate (TGC) utilization efficiency, confirming its overall effectiveness. This research shows that coordinated optimization between medium- and long-term/spot markets, combined with a well-designed settlement mechanism, significantly strengthens the market competitiveness of renewable energy, providing theoretical support for the market-based operation of the new power system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Systems)
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18 pages, 2341 KiB  
Article
Numerical Optimization of the Coil Geometry in a Large-Scale Levitation Melting Device—With Titanium as a Case Study
by Sławomir Golak and Radosław Zybała
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4162; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154162 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Electromagnetic levitation melting offers the opportunity for the energy-efficient processing of reactive and high-purity metals. This paper concerns a new levitator design that significantly expands the achievable mass of molten metal by processing a toroidal load within a device featuring an annular trough-shaped [...] Read more.
Electromagnetic levitation melting offers the opportunity for the energy-efficient processing of reactive and high-purity metals. This paper concerns a new levitator design that significantly expands the achievable mass of molten metal by processing a toroidal load within a device featuring an annular trough-shaped coil. However, this unconventional arrangement necessitates the optimization of the coil’s geometry and supply current to ensure the stable levitation of the charge. This paper discusses the methodology for such optimization, considering two variants of coil geometry modification. This developed methodology was initially validated using numerical simulation, based on a two-physics, coupled 2D process model, with a 2.6 kg titanium toroidal charge as an example. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Progress in Electromagnetic Analysis and Modeling of Heating Systems)
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28 pages, 4243 KiB  
Article
Electric Bus Battery Energy Consumption Estimation and Influencing Features Analysis Using a Two-Layer Stacking Framework with SHAP-Based Interpretation
by Runze Liu, Jianming Cai, Lipeng Hu, Benxiao Lou and Jinjun Tang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7105; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157105 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The widespread adoption of electric buses represents a major step forward in sustainable transportation, but also brings new operational challenges, particularly in terms of improving their efficiency and controlling costs. Therefore, battery energy consumption management is a key approach for addressing these issues. [...] Read more.
The widespread adoption of electric buses represents a major step forward in sustainable transportation, but also brings new operational challenges, particularly in terms of improving their efficiency and controlling costs. Therefore, battery energy consumption management is a key approach for addressing these issues. Accurate prediction of energy consumption and interpretation of the influencing factors are essential for improving operational efficiency, optimizing energy use, and reducing operating costs. Although existing studies have made progress in battery energy consumption prediction, challenges remain in achieving high-precision modeling and conducting a comprehensive analysis of the influencing features. To address these gaps, this study proposes a two-layer stacking framework for estimating the energy consumption of electric buses. The first layer integrates the strengths of three nonlinear regression models—RF (Random Forest), GBDT (Gradient Boosted Decision Trees), and CatBoost (Categorical Boosting)—to enhance the modeling capacity for complex feature relationships. The second layer employs a Linear Regression model as a meta-learner to aggregate the predictions from the base models and improve the overall predictive performance. The framework is trained on 2023 operational data from two electric bus routes (NO. 355 and NO. W188) in Changsha, China, incorporating battery system parameters, driving characteristics, and environmental variables as independent variables for model training and analysis. Comparative experiments with various ensemble models demonstrate that the proposed stacking framework exhibits superior performance in data fitting. Furthermore, XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting) is introduced as a surrogate model to approximate the decision logic of the stacking framework, enabling SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis to quantify the contribution and marginal effects of influencing features. The proposed stacked and surrogate models achieved superior battery energy consumption prediction accuracy (lowest MSE, RMSE, and MAE), significantly outperforming benchmark models on real-world datasets. SHAP analysis quantified the overall contributions of feature categories (battery operation parameters: 56.5%; driving characteristics: 42.3%; environmental data: 1.2%), further revealing the specific contributions and nonlinear influence mechanisms of individual features. These quantitative findings offer specific guidance for optimizing battery system control and driving behavior. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Transportation)
18 pages, 2108 KiB  
Article
Machine Learning Forecasting of Commercial Buildings’ Energy Consumption Using Euclidian Distance Matrices
by Connor Scott and Alhussein Albarbar
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4160; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154160 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Governments worldwide have set ambitious targets for decarbonising energy grids, driving the need for increased renewable energy generation and improved energy efficiency. One key strategy for achieving this involves enhanced energy management in buildings, often using machine learning-based forecasting methods. However, such methods [...] Read more.
Governments worldwide have set ambitious targets for decarbonising energy grids, driving the need for increased renewable energy generation and improved energy efficiency. One key strategy for achieving this involves enhanced energy management in buildings, often using machine learning-based forecasting methods. However, such methods typically rely on extensive historical data collected via costly sensor installations—resources that many buildings lack. This study introduces a novel forecasting approach that eliminates the need for large-scale historical datasets or expensive sensors. By integrating custom-built models with existing energy data, the method applies calculated weighting through a distance matrix and accuracy coefficients to generate reliable forecasts. It uses readily available building attributes—such as floor area and functional type to position a new building within the matrix of existing data. A Euclidian distance matrix, akin to a K-nearest neighbour algorithm, determines the appropriate neural network(s) to utilise. These findings are benchmarked against a consolidated, more sophisticated neural network and a long short-term memory neural network. The dataset has hourly granularity over a 24 h horizon. The model consists of five bespoke neural networks, demonstrating the superiority of other models with a 610 s training duration, uses 500 kB of storage, achieves an R2 of 0.9, and attains an average forecasting accuracy of 85.12% in predicting the energy consumption of the five buildings studied. This approach not only contributes to the specific goal of a fully decarbonized energy grid by 2050 but also establishes a robust and efficient methodology for maintaining standards with existing benchmarks while providing more control over the method. Full article
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