Search Results (382)

Urban heat islands (UHIs) are a growing sustainability challenge impacting public health, energy use, and climate resilience, especially in hot, arid cities like San Antonio, Texas, where land surface temperatures reach up to 47.63 °C. This study advances a data-driven, interdisciplinary approach to UHI mitigation by integrating Machine Learning (ML) with physical and socio-demographic data for sustainable urban planning. Using high-resolution spatial data across five functional zones (residential, commercial, industrial, official, and downtown), we apply three ML models, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), to predict land surface temperature (LST). The models incorporate both environmental variables, such as imperviousness, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), building area, and solar influx, and social determinants, such as population density, income, education, and age distribution. SVM achieved the highest R² (0.870), while RF yielded the lowest RMSE (0.488 °C), confirming robust predictive performance. Key predictors of elevated LST included imperviousness, building area, solar influx, and NDVI. Our results underscore the need for zone-specific strategies like more greenery, less impervious cover, and improved building design. These findings offer actionable insights for urban planners and policymakers seeking to develop equitable and sustainable UHI mitigation strategies aligned with climate adaptation and environmental justice goals. Full article

Investigating land cover patterns, changes in carbon stocks, and forecasting future conditions are essential for formulating regional sustainable development strategies and enhancing ecological and environmental quality. This study centers on Guiyang, a mountainous urban area in southwestern China, to analyze the dynamic changes in land cover and their effects on carbon stocks from 2000 to 2035. A carbon stocks assessment framework was developed using a cellular automaton-based artificial neural network model (CA-ANN), the InVEST model, and the geographical detector model to predict future land cover changes and identify the primary drivers of variations in carbon stocks. The results indicate that (1) from 2000 to 2020, impervious surfaces expanded significantly, increasing by 199.73 km². Compared to 2020, impervious surfaces are projected to increase by 1.06 km², 13.54 km², and 34.97 km² in 2025, 2030, and 2035, respectively, leading to further reductions in grassland and forest areas. (2) Over time, carbon stocks in Guiyang exhibited a general decreasing trend; spatially, carbon stocks were higher in the western and northern regions and lower in the central and southern regions. (3) The level of greenness, measured by the normalized vegetation index (NDVI), significantly influenced the spatial variation of carbon stocks in Guiyang. Changes in carbon stocks resulted from the combined effects of multiple factors, with the annual average temperature and NDVI being the most influential. These findings provide a scientific basis for advancing low-carbon development and constructing an ecological civilization in Guiyang. Full article

Heatwaves intensified by climate change increasingly threaten urban populations, especially the elderly. However, most existing studies have concentrated on short-term or single-scale analyses, lacking a comprehensive understanding of how land cover changes and urbanization affect the vulnerability of the elderly to extreme heat. This study aims to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of heat-related health risks among the elderly in Nanchang City and to identify their key driving factors within the context of rapid urbanization. This study employs Crichton’s risk triangle framework to the heat-related health risks for the elderly in Nanchang, China, from 2002 to 2020 by integrating meteorological records, land surface temperature, land cover data, and socioeconomic indicators. The model captures the spatiotemporal dynamics of heat hazards, exposure, and vulnerability and identifies the key drivers shaping these patterns. The results show that the heat health risk index has increased significantly over time, with notably higher levels in the urban core compared to those in suburban areas. A 1% rise in impervious surface area corresponds to a 0.31–1.19 increase in the risk index, while a 1% increase in green space leads to a 0.21–1.39 reduction. Vulnerability is particularly high in economically disadvantaged, medically under-served peripheral zones. These findings highlight the need to optimize the spatial distribution of urban green space and control the expansion of impervious surfaces to mitigate urban heat risks. In high-vulnerability areas, improving infrastructure, expanding medical resources, and establishing targeted heat health monitoring and early warning systems are essential to protecting elderly populations. Overall, this study provides a comprehensive framework for assessing urban heat health risks and offers actionable insights into enhancing climate resilience and health risk management in rapidly urbanizing regions. Full article

This study examines diurnal surface temperature dynamics across major Moroccan cities during the growing season and explores the interaction between urban and vegetated surfaces. We also introduce the Urban Thermal Impact Ratio (UTIR), a novel metric designed to quantify urban thermal comfort as a function of the surface urban heat island (SUHI) intensity. The analysis is based on outputs from a land surface model (LSM) for the year 2010, integrating high-resolution Landsat and MODIS data to characterize land cover and biophysical parameters across twelve land cover types. Our findings reveal moderate urban–vegetation temperature differences in coastal cities like Tangier (1.8 °C) and Rabat (1.0 °C), where winter vegetation remains active. In inland areas, urban morphology plays a more dominant role: Fes, with a 20% impervious surface area (ISA), exhibits a smaller SUHI than Meknes (5% ISA), due to higher urban heating in the latter. The Atlantic desert city of Dakhla shows a distinct pattern, with a nighttime SUHI of 2.1 °C and a daytime urban cooling of −0.7 °C, driven by irrigated parks and lawns enhancing evapotranspiration and shading. At the regional scale, summer UTIR values remain below one in Tangier-Tetouan-Al Hoceima, Rabat-Sale-Kenitra, and Casablanca-Settat, suggesting that urban conditions generally stay within thermal comfort thresholds. In contrast, higher UTIR values in Marrakech-Safi, Beni Mellal-Khénifra, and Guelmim-Oued Noun indicate elevated heat discomfort. At the city scale, the UTIR in Tangier, Rabat, and Casablanca demonstrates a clear diurnal pattern: it emerges around 11:00 a.m., peaks at 1:00 p.m., and fades by 3:00 p.m. This study highlights the critical role of vegetation in regulating urban surface temperatures and modulating urban–rural thermal contrasts. The UTIR provides a practical, scalable indicator of urban heat stress, particularly valuable in data-scarce settings. These findings carry significant implications for climate-resilient urban planning, optimized energy use, and the design of public health early warning systems in the context of climate change. Full article

Urban growth often surpasses the actual needs of the population, leading to inefficient land use and long-term environmental challenges. This study provides an integrated perspective on urban landscape transformation by linking socio-demographic dynamics with ecological consequences, notably vegetation loss and increased impervious surfaces. The study area is Năvodari Administrative-Territorial Unit (ATU), a coastal tourist city located along the Black Sea in Romania. By integrating geospatial datasets such as Urban Atlas and Corine Land Cover with population- and construction-related statistics, the analysis reveals a disproportionate increase in urbanized land compared to population growth. Time-series analyses based on the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI) from 1990 to 2022 highlight significant ecological degradation, including vegetation loss and increased built-up density. The findings suggest that real estate investment and tourism-driven development play a more substantial role than demographic dynamics in shaping land use change. Understanding urban expansion as a coupled social–ecological process is essential for promoting sustainable planning and enhancing environmental resilience. While this study is focused on the coastal city of Năvodari, its insights are relevant to a broader international context, particularly for rapidly developing tourist destinations facing similar urban and ecological pressures. The findings support efforts toward more inclusive, balanced, and environmentally responsible urban development, aligning with the core principles of Sustainable Development Goal 11, particularly Target 11.3, which emphasizes sustainable urbanization and efficient land use. Full article

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) developed the concept of Water Quality Volume (WQv) as a Best Management Practice (BMP) to treat the first 25.4 mm of rainfall in urban areas, aiming to capture approximately 90% of annual runoff. However, applying this urban-based standard—designed for areas with over 50% imperviousness—to rural regions with higher infiltration and pervious surfaces may result in overestimated facility capacities. In Korea, a uniform WQv criterion of 5 mm is applied nationwide, regardless of land use or hydrological conditions. This study examines the suitability of this 5 mm standard in rural catchments using the Hydrological Simulation Program–Fortran (HSPF). Eight sub-watersheds in the target area were simulated under varying cumulative runoff depths (1–10 mm) to assess pollutant loads and runoff characteristics. First-flush effects were most evident below 5 mm, with variation depending on land cover. Nature-based treatment systems for constructed wetlands were modeled for each sub-watershed, and their effectiveness was evaluated using Flow Duration Curves (FDCs) and Load Duration Curves (LDCs). The findings suggest that the uniform 5 mm WQv criterion may result in overdesign in rural watersheds and highlight the need for region-specific standards that consider local land-use and hydrological variability. Full article

This research addresses urban heat island intensification driven by urbanization using Dianchi Lake in Kunming, China, as a case study, aiming to quantitatively evaluate the spatial extent, intensity, and land cover sensitivity differences in the cooling effects of large urban water bodies across dry/wet seasons and complex urban landscapes (forest, cropland, and impervious surfaces) to provide a scientific basis for optimizing thermal environments in low-latitude plateau cities. Based on Landsat 8/9 satellite data from dry (January) and wet (May) seasons in 2020 and 2023 used for land surface temperature (LST) retrieval combined with land use data, buffer zone gradient analysis was adopted to quantify the spatial heterogeneity of key cooling indicators within 0–1500 m lakeshore buffers. The results demonstrated significant seasonal differences. The wet season showed a greater cooling extent (600 m) and higher intensity (6.0–6.6 °C) compared with the dry season (400 m; 2.4–3.9 °C). The land cover responses varied substantially, with cropland having the largest influence (600 m), followed by impervious surfaces (400 m), while forest exhibited a minimal effective cooling range (100 m) but localized warming anomalies at 200–400 m. Sensitivity analysis confirmed that impervious surfaces were the most sensitive to water-cooling, followed by cropland, whereas forest showed the lowest sensitivity. Full article

Urban vacant land can provide important habitat for birds, especially in cities with high concentrations of residential vacancy. Understanding which vegetation features best support urban biodiversity can inform greening strategies that benefit both wildlife and residents. This study addressed two questions: (1) How does bird species composition reflect the potential conservation value of these neighborhoods? (2) Which vegetation structures predict bird abundance across a fine-grained urban landscape? To answer these questions, we conducted avian and vegetation surveys across 100 one-hectare plots in St. Louis, Missouri, USA. These surveys showed that species richness was positively associated with canopy cover (β = 0.32, p = 0.003). Canopy cover was also the strongest predictor of American Robin (Turdus migratorius) and Northern Cardinal (Cardinalis cardinalis) abundance (β = 1.9 for both species). In contrast, impervious surfaces and abandoned buildings were associated with generalist species. European Starling (Sturnus vulgaris) abundance was strongly and positively correlated with NMS Axis 1 (r = 0.878), while Chimney Swift (Chaetura pelagica) abundance was negatively correlated (r = −0.728). These findings underscore the significance of strategic habitat management in promoting urban biodiversity and addressing ecological challenges within urban landscapes. They also emphasize the importance of integrating biodiversity goals into urban planning policies to ensure sustainable and equitable development. Full article

Rapid population growth and urbanization have greatly impacted the environment, causing a sharp rise in city temperatures—a phenomenon known as the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. While previous research has extensively examined the influence of land use characteristics on urban heat islands, their impact on community demographics and UHI severity remains unexplored. Moreover, most previous studies have focused on specific locations, resulting in relatively homogeneous environmental data and limiting understanding of variations across different areas. To address this gap, this paper develops ensemble learning models to predict UHI severity based on demographic, meteorological, and land use/land cover factors in Midwestern United States. Analyzing over 11,000 data points from urban census tracts across more than 12 states in the Midwestern United States, this study developed Random Forest and XGBoost classifiers achieving weighted F1-scores up to 0.76 and excellent discriminatory power (ROC-AUC > 0.90). Feature importance analysis, supported by a detailed SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) interpretation, revealed that the difference in vegetation between urban and rural areas (DelNDVI_summer) and imperviousness were the most critical predictors of UHI severity. This work provides a robust, large-scale predictive tool that helps urban planners and policymakers identify key UHI drivers and develop targeted mitigation strategies. Full article

This study systematically reviews the development and application of remote sensing technology in monitoring and evaluating urban heat island (UHI) effects. The urban heat island effect, characterized by significantly higher temperatures in urban areas compared to surrounding rural regions, has become a widespread environmental issue globally, with impacts spanning public health, energy consumption, ecosystems, and social equity. The paper first analyzes the formation mechanisms and impacts of urban heat islands, then traces the evolution of remote sensing technology from early traditional platforms such as Landsat and NOAA-AVHRR to modern next-generation systems, including the Sentinel series and ECOSTRESS, emphasizing improvements in spatial and temporal resolution and their application value. At the methodological level, the study systematically evaluates core algorithms for land surface temperature extraction and heat island intensity calculation, compares innovative developments in multi-source remote sensing data integration and fusion techniques, and establishes a framework for accuracy assessment and validation. Through analyzing the heat island differences between metropolitan areas and small–medium cities, the relationship between urban morphology and thermal environment, and regional specificity and global universal patterns, this study revealed that the proportion of impervious surfaces is the primary driving factor of heat island intensity while simultaneously finding that vegetation cover exhibits significant cooling effects under suitable conditions, with the intensity varying significantly depending on vegetation types, management levels, and climatic conditions. In terms of applications, the paper elaborates on the practical value of remote sensing technology in identifying thermally vulnerable areas, green space planning, urban material optimization, and decision support for UHI mitigation. Finally, in light of current technological limitations, the study anticipates the application prospects of artificial intelligence and emerging analytical methods, as well as trends in urban heat island monitoring against the backdrop of climate change. The research findings not only enrich the theoretical framework of urban climatology but also provide a scientific basis for urban planners, contributing to the development of more effective UHI mitigation strategies and enhanced urban climate resilience. Full article

Parameterization of SWMM subcatchments is labor-intensive and a major source of model uncertainty. This study presents the Rapid Catchment Generator (RCG), a fuzzy logic framework that derives hydraulic width, average slope, and impervious fraction from three easily accessible descriptors—area, landform type, and land cover type—and inserts them directly into SWMM input files. A sensitivity analysis of 116,640 synthetic simulations confirmed that width, slope, and imperviousness are the dominant controls on runoff and infiltration. Their relationships are encoded in triangular membership functions covering nine geomorphic classes and twelve imperviousness classes, linked through expert-calibrated Mamdani rules. Validation on a calibrated 37-subcatchment, 10-hectare urban basin in Wrocław, Poland, showed Mean Absolute Percentage Errors of 15.9–16.0% for total runoff, 19% for infiltration, and 29–37% for peak flow, while preserving hydrograph shape. RCG thus reduces model setup time and provides a transparent, reproducible starting point for rapid scenario screening and subsequent fine-scale calibration. Full article

Surface urban heat island (SUHI) effects are intensifying in arid desert cities due to rapid urban expansion, limited vegetation, and increasing impervious and barren land surfaces. This leads to serious ecological and socio-environmental challenges in cities. This study investigates the relationship between landscape composition and land surface temperature (LST) in Phoenix and Tucson, two rapidly growing cities located in the Sonoran Desert of the southwestern United States. Landsat-9 OLI-2/TIRS-2 satellite imagery was used to derive the LST value and calculate spectral indices. A multi-resolution grid-based approach was applied to assess spatial correlations between land cover and mean LST across varying spatial scales. The strongest positive correlations were observed with barren land, followed by impervious surfaces, while green space showed a negative correlation. Furthermore, the Urban Thermal Field Variation Index (UTFVI) and the Ecological Evaluation Index (EEI) assessments indicated that over one-third of both cities are exposed to strong SUHI effects and poor ecological quality. The findings highlight the critical need for ecologically sensitive urban planning, emphasizing the importance of the morphological structure of cities, the necessity of planning holistic blue–green infrastructure systems, and the importance of reducing impervious surfaces to decrease LST, mitigate SUHI and SUHI impacts, and increase urban resilience in desert environments. These results provide evidence-based guidance for landscape planning and climate adaptation in hyper-arid urban environments. Full article

A simple statistical model capturing the degree to which different patterns of urban development intensify urban heat islands (UHIs) and stress human health would be useful but has remained elusive. Accurately predicting street-level urban air temperatures from land cover and thermal data is difficult due to (1) the coarse scale of common remote sensing data, which do not observe the key environments beneath urban tree canopies, and, (2) conversely, the immense labor of intense, location-specific, ground-based survey campaigns. This work tested whether remotely sensed urban heat merged with land cover heterogeneity and shade/sun fractions, if combined at a sufficiently fine scale so as to be linearly additive, would enable simple and accurate statistical modeling of street-scale urban air temperatures with minimal empirical fitting. We used ground-based thermography of a sample of 12 residential streetscapes in Portland, Oregon, to characterize the land surface temperatures (LST_g) of eleven common urban surface cover types when sun-exposed and in shade. Surfaces were cooler in shade than sun, but with surface-specific differences not explained by greenery nor (im)perviousness. Also, surfaces on streetscapes with more canopy cover, even when sun-exposed at midday, remained significantly cooler than comparable sun-exposed surfaces on streets with less canopy cover, indicating the key significance of partial diurnal shading, not typically accounted for in urban thermal statistical models. We used high-resolution orthoimagery to quantify the area of each surface cover type within each streetscape and computed an area-weighted average surface temperature (T_s), accounting for sun/shade heterogeneity. The data revealed a significant, nearly 1:1 relationship between calculated T_s values and sun-shielded air temperatures (T_a). In contrast, relationships of T_a to tree coverage, impervious area, or the LST_g of dominant surface cover types were all statistically insignificant. These results suggest that statistical models may more reliably bridge the gap between remote sensing urban surface temperatures and reliable predictions of street-scale air temperatures if (1) analysis is at a sufficiently high resolution (e.g., <10 m) to avoid some of the known scale-dependence of urban thermal environments and enable simple weighted linear models, and (2) distinctions between thermal contributions of sunlit and shaded surfaces are included along with the influence of diurnal shading. Such models may provide effective and low-cost predictions of local UHIs and help inform effective street-level approaches to mitigating urban heat. Full article

This study investigates urban warming in Rajshahi City, Bangladesh, by examining changes in land surface temperature (LST) from 1990 to 2023 and exploring its relationship with key biophysical factors. LST was derived from Landsat thermal imagery, and both spatial and temporal variations were analyzed using Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Key biophysical indices, including Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Difference Moisture Index (NDMI), and Normalized Difference Bareness Soil Index (NDBSI), were calculated using corresponding Landsat satellite sensors, and they evaluated the impact of LULC types (vegetation, water, soil, and built-up areas) on thermal variations. LULC was derived following the Support Vector Machine classification technique. The Urban Thermal Field Variance Index (UTFVI) was employed to assess surface urban heat island (SUHI) effects, warming conditions, ecological stress, and thermal comfort zones. Spatial trend and hotspot analyses of LST change were performed using spatial trend analysis and the Getis-Ord Gi* statistic, respectively. Linear regression analysis examined the relationship between LST and biophysical indices. Results show that winter mean LST increased by 2.66 °C during the 33-year period, with maximum LST rising by 4.29 °C. The most significant warming occurred in central-northern, central-western, and south-eastern zones. The rise in LST and the growing intensity of SUHI effects are largely due to urban growth, especially where green spaces and water bodies have been replaced by impervious surfaces. Hotspot analysis identified clusters of high-temperature zones, while UTFVI analysis confirmed a marked expansion of strong heat island conditions, especially in central urban areas. Linear regression results showed notable links between LST and key biophysical variables, where higher LST values were commonly linked to greater built-up density and declines in vegetation cover and surface water. Overall, the results highlight the need for better urban planning approaches such as increasing green cover, using permeable materials, and adopting strategies that can adapt to climate impacts. This study presents a framework for analyzing urban climate dynamics that can be adapted to other rapidly growing cities, aiding efforts to promote sustainable development and build urban resilience. Full article

An urban heat island (UHI) refers to urban areas that experience higher temperatures due to heat absorption and retention by impervious surfaces compared to the surrounding rural areas. Urban wetlands are crucial in mitigating the UHI effect and improving climate resilience via their cooling effect. This study examines Colombo, Sri Lanka, the RAMSAR-accredited wetland city in South Asia, to assess the cooling effect of urban wetlands based on 2023 dry season data for effective sustainable management. We used Landsat 8 and 9 data to create Land Use/Cover (LUC), Land Surface Temperature (LST), and surface-reflectance-based maps using the Google Earth Engine (GEE). The Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI), Modified Normalized Difference Water Index (mNDWI), topographic wetness, elevation, slope, and impervious surface percentage were identified as the influencing variables. The results show that urban wetlands in Colombo face tremendous pressure due to rapid urban expansion. The cooling intensity positively correlates with wetland size. The threshold value of efficiency (TVoE) of urban wetlands in Colombo was 1.42 ha. Larger and more connected wetlands showed higher cooling effects. Vegetation- and water-based wetlands play an important role in <10 km urban areas, while more complex shape configuration wetlands provide better cooling effects in urban and peri-urban areas due to edge effects. Urban planners should prioritize protecting wetland areas and ensuring hydrological connectivity and interconnected wetland clusters to maximize the cooling effect and sustain ecosystem services in rapidly urbanizing coastal cities. Full article