Search Results (4,601)

Water infiltration into soil is a key process in regulating the hydrological cycle and sustaining ecosystem services in high-Andean environments. However, limited information is available regarding its dynamics in these ecosystems. This study evaluated the influence of three types of vegetation cover and soil properties on water infiltration in a high-Andean environment. A double-ring infiltrometer, the Water Drop Penetration Time (WDPT, s) method, and laboratory physicochemical characterization were employed. Soils under forest cover exhibited significantly higher quasi-steady infiltration rates (i_s, 0.248 ± 0.028 cm·min⁻¹) compared to grazing areas (0.051 ± 0.016 cm·min⁻¹) and agricultural lands (0.032 ± 0.013 cm·min⁻¹). Soil organic matter content was positively correlated with i_s. The modified Kostiakov infiltration model provided the best overall fit, while the Horton model better described infiltration rates approaching i_s. Sand and clay fractions, along with K⁺, Ca²⁺, and Mg²⁺, were particularly significant during the soil’s wet stages. In drier stages, increased Na⁺ concentrations and decreased silt content were associated with higher water repellency. Based on WDPT, agricultural soils exhibited persistent hydrophilic behavior even after drying (median [IQR] from 0.61 [0.38] s to 1.24 [0.46] s), whereas forest (from 2.84 [3.73] s to 3.53 [24.17] s) and grazing soils (from 4.37 [1.95] s to 19.83 [109.33] s) transitioned to weakly or moderately hydrophobic patterns. These findings demonstrate that native Andean forest soils exhibit a higher infiltration capacity than soils under anthropogenic management (agriculture and grazing), highlighting the need to conserve and restore native vegetation cover to strengthen water resilience and mitigate the impacts of land-use change. Full article

To date, few studies have been published for cities in Germany that take into account climate change and changing hydrologic patterns due to increases in building density. This study investigates the efficiency of LID for past and future climate in the polycentric agglomeration area Frankfurt, Main (Central Germany) using observed and projected climate (model) data for a standard reference period (1961–1990) and a high emission scenario (RCP 8.5) as well as a climate protection scenario (RCP 2.6), under 40 to 75 percent building density. LID elements included green roofs, permeable pavement and bioretention cells. SWMM₅ was used as model for simulation purposes. A holistic evaluation of simulation results showed that effectiveness increases incrementally with LID implementation percentage and inverse to building density if implemented onto at least 50 percent of available impervious area. Building density had a higher adverse effect on LID efficiency than climate change. The results contribute to the understanding of localized effects of climate change and the implementation of adaption strategies to that end. The results of this study can be helpful for the scientific community regarding future investigations of LID implementation efficiency in dense residential areas and used by local governments to provide suggestions for urban water balance revaluation. Full article

Floods are natural hazards that have the greatest socioeconomic impact worldwide, given that 23% of the global population live in urban areas at risk of flooding. In this field of research, the analysis of flood risk has traditionally been studied based mainly on approaches specific to civil engineering such as hydraulics and hydrology. However, these patterns of approaching the problem in research seem to be changing in recent years. During the last few years, a growing trend has been observed towards the use of methodology-based approaches oriented towards urban planning and land use management. In this context, this study analyzes the evolution of these research patterns in the field by developing a bibliometric meta-analysis of 2694 scientific publications on this topic published in recent decades. Evaluating keyword co-occurrence using VOSviewer software version 1.6.20, we analyzed how phenomena such as climate change have modified the way of addressing the study of this problem, giving growing weight to the use of integrated approaches improving territorial planning or implementing adaptive strategies, as opposed to the more traditional vision of previous decades, which only focused on the construction of hydraulic infrastructures for flood control. Full article

Frequency analysis is essential for designing hydraulic structures and managing water resources, as it helps assess hydrological extremes. However, changes in river basins can impact their accuracy, complicating the link between discharge and return periods. This study aims to comprehensively assess the probability characteristics of long-term M-day maximum/minimum discharges in the Carpathian region of Slovakia. We analyze the long-term data from 26 gauging stations covering 90 years of observation. Slovak rivers show considerable intra-annual variability, especially between the summer–autumn (SA) and winter–spring (WS) seasons. To allow consistent comparisons, we apply a uniform methodology to estimate T-year daily maximum and minimum specific discharges over durations of 1 and 7 days for both seasons. Our findings indicate that 1-day maximum specific discharges are generally higher during the SA season compared to the WS season. The 7-day minimum specific discharges are lower during the WS season compared to the SA season. Slovakia’s diverse orographic and climatic conditions cause significant spatial variability in extreme discharges. However, the estimated T-year 7-day minimum and 1-day maximum specific discharges, based on the mean specific discharge and the altitude of the water gauge, exhibit certain nonlinear dependences. These relationships could support the indirect estimation of T-year M-day discharges in regions with similar runoff characteristics. Full article

The use of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model driven by China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets (CMADS) for runoff simulation research is of great significance for regional flood prevention and control. Therefore, from the perspective of production-living-ecological space, this article combined multi-source data such as DEM, soil texture and land use type, in order to construct scenarios of territorial spatial change (TSC) across distinct periods. Based on the CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model, it simulated the runoff dynamics in the Xitiaoxi River Basin, and analyzed the hydrological response characteristics under different TSCs. The results showed that The SWAT model, driven by CMADS-L40 data, demonstrated robust performance in monthly runoff simulation. The coefficient of determination (R²), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), and the absolute value of percentage bias (|PBIAS|) during the calibration and validation period all met the accuracy requirements of the model, which validated the applicability of CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model for runoff simulation at the watershed scale. Changes in territorial spatial patterns are closely correlated with runoff variation. Changes in agricultural production space and forest ecological space show statistically significant negative correlation with runoff change, while industrial production space change exhibits a significant positive correlation with runoff change. The expansion of production space, particularly industrial production space, leads to increased runoff, whereas the enlargement of agricultural production space and forest ecological space can reduce runoff. This article contributes to highlighting the role of land use policy in hydrological regulation, providing a scientific basis for optimizing territorial spatial planning to mitigate flood risks and protect water resources. Full article

Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which include an intensification of precipitation extremes. Using the GISS-E2.1 climate model, we present the future changes in the coldest and hottest daily temperatures as well as in extreme precipitation indices (under four main Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)). The increase in the wet-day precipitation ranges between 6% and 15% per 1 °C global surface temperature warming. Scaling of the 95th percentile versus the total precipitation showed that the sensitivity for the extreme precipitation to the warming is about 10 times stronger than that for the mean total precipitation. For six precipitation extreme indices (Total Precipitation, R95p, RX5day, R10mm, SDII, and CDD), the histograms of probability density functions become flatter, with reduced peaks and increased spread for the global mean compared to the historical period of 1850–2014. The mean values shift to the right end (toward larger precipitation and intensity). The higher the GHG emission of the SSP scenario, the more significant the increase in the index change. We found an intensification of precipitation over the globe but large uncertainties remained regionally and at different scales, especially for extremes. Over land, there is a strong increase in precipitation for the wettest day in all seasons over the mid and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. There is an enlargement of the drying patterns in the subtropics including over large regions around Mediterranean, southern Africa, and western Eurasia. For the continental averages, the reduction in total precipitation was found for South America, Europe, Africa, and Australia, and there is an increase in total precipitation over North America, Asia, and the continental Russian Arctic. Over the continental Russian Arctic, there is an increase in all precipitation extremes and a consistent decrease in CDD for all SSP scenarios, with the maximum increase of more than 90% for R95p and R10 mm observed under SSP5–8.5. Full article

Southeast Asia relies heavily on hydropower from dams and reservoir projects, but this dependence comes at the cost of ecological damage and increased vulnerability to extreme events. This dilemma necessitates a choice between continued dam development and adopting alternative renewable options. Concerns over these environmental impacts have already led to halts in dam construction across the region. This study assesses the potential of run-of-river hydropower plants (RHPs) across 199 hydrometric stations in Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA). The assessment utilizes power duration curves for the historical period and projections from the HBV hydrological model, which is driven by an ensemble of 31 climate models for future scenarios. Energy production was analyzed at four levels (minimum, maximum, balanced, and optimal) for both historical and future periods under varying Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). To promote sustainable development, environmental flow constraints and carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions were evaluated for both historical and projected periods. The results indicate that the aggregate energy production potential during the historical period ranges from 111.15 to 229.62 MW (Malaysia), 582.78 to 3615.36 MW (Myanmar), 555.47 to 3142.46 MW (Thailand), 1067.05 to 6401.25 MW (Laos), 28.07 to 189.77 MW (Vietnam), and 566.13 to 2803.75 MW (Cambodia). The impact of climate change on power production varies significantly across countries, depending on the level and scenarios. At the optimal level, an average production change of −9.2–5.9% is projected for the near future, increasing to 15.3–19% in the far future. Additionally, RHP development in MSEA is estimated to avoid 32.5 Mt of CO₂ emissions at the optimal level. The analysis further shows avoidance change of 8.3–25.3% and −8.6–25.3% under SSP245 and SSP585, respectively. Full article

African hydrological systems are incredibly complex and highly sensitive to climate variability. This review synthesizes observational data, remote sensing, and climate modeling to understand the interactions between fluvial processes, water cycle dynamics, and anthropogenic pressures. Currently, these systems are experiencing accelerating warming (+0.3 °C/decade), leading to more intense hydrological extremes and regionally varied responses. For example, East Africa has shown reversed temperature–moisture correlations since the Holocene onset, while West African rivers demonstrate nonlinear runoff sensitivity (a threefold reduction per unit decline in rainfall). Land-use and land-cover changes (LULCC) are as impactful as climate change, with analysis from 1959–2014 revealing extensive conversion of primary non-forest land and a more than sixfold increase in the intensity of pastureland expansion by the early 21st century. Future projections, exemplified by studies in basins like Ethiopia’s Gilgel Gibe and Ghana’s Vea, indicate escalating aridity with significant reductions in surface runoff and groundwater recharge, increasing aquifer stress. These findings underscore the need for integrated adaptation strategies that leverage remote sensing, nature-based solutions, and transboundary governance to build resilient water futures across Africa’s diverse basins. Full article

This study assesses whether the rise in water level—following three years of reservoir filling at the Teles Pires Hydroelectric Plant (135.6 km² water surface) in Southern Amazonia—has affected the floristic composition, structure, and dynamics of adjacent forests. We established 62 permanent plots (2000 m² each) across a topographic gradient from the reservoir margin and conducted annual tree inventories for individuals with DBH ≥ 10 cm from 2014 to 2017. A total of 6322 individuals were recorded, representing 322 species, 210 genera, and 61 families. Fabaceae was the most abundant family, and the ten species with the highest importance value index (IVI) before reservoir filling remained dominant afterward. The forests exhibited high species richness and were characterized by a few common and many rare species. Mortality rates were highest within 10 m of elevation from the maximum reservoir level, indicating possible hydrological impacts, although no abnormal dieback or sharp shifts in floristic structure were observed. These results suggest limited short-term effects on species composition, but subtle changes in vegetation dynamics underscore the importance of long-term monitoring. Full article

Evapotranspiration (ET) crucially regulates water storage dynamics and is an essential component of the terrestrial water cycle. Understanding ET dynamics is fundamental for sustainable water resource management, particularly in regions facing increasing drought risks under climate change. In regions like southwestern China, where extreme drought events are prevalent due to complex terrain and climate warming, ET becomes a key factor in understanding water availability and drought dynamics. Using the SWAT model, this study investigates ET dynamics and influencing factors in the Jizi Basin, Yunnan Province, a small basin with over 71% forest coverage. The model calibration and validation results demonstrated a high degree of consistency with observed discharge data and ERA5, confirming its reliability. The results show that the annual average ET in the Jizi Basin is 573.96 mm, with significant seasonal variations. ET in summer typically ranges from 70 to 100 mm/month, while in winter, it drops to around 20 mm/month. Spring ET exhibits the highest variability, coinciding with the occurrence of extreme hydrological events such as droughts. The monthly anomalies of ET effectively reproduce the spring and early summer 2019 drought event. Notably, ET variation exhibits significant uncertainty under scenarios of +1 °C temperature and −20% precipitation. Furthermore, although land use changes had relatively small effects on overall ET, they played crucial roles in promoting groundwater recharge through enhanced percolation, especially forest cover. The study highlights that, in addition to climate and land use, soil moisture and groundwater conditions are vital in modulating ET and drought occurrence. The findings offer insights into the hydrological processes of small forested basins in southwestern China and provide important support for sustainable water resource management and effective climate adaptation strategies, particularly in the context of increasing drought vulnerability. Full article

Climate change is projected to significantly alter hydrological conditions across the Northern Hemisphere, with increased precipitation variability, more intense rainfall events, and earlier, rain-driven spring floods in regions like northern Sweden. These changes will affect both natural ecosystems and hydropower-regulated rivers, particularly during ecologically sensitive periods such as the grayling spawning season in late spring. This study examines the impact of extreme spring flow conditions on grayling spawning habitats by analyzing historical runoff data and simulating high-flow events using a 2D hydraulic model in Delft3D FM. Results show that previously suitable spawning areas became too deep or experienced flow velocities beyond ecological thresholds, rendering them unsuitable. These hydrodynamic shifts could have cascading effects on aquatic vegetation and food availability, ultimately threatening the survival and reproductive success of grayling populations. The findings underscore the importance of integrating ecological considerations into future water management and hydropower operation strategies in the face of climate-driven flow variability. Full article

Quantifying future changes in extreme events and associated flooding is challenging yet fundamental for stormwater managers. Along the U.S. Atlantic Coast, Eastern North Carolina (ENC) is frequently exposed to catastrophic floods from extreme rainfall that is typically associated with tropical cyclones. This study presents a novel approach that uses rainfall data from five dynamically and statistically downscaled (DD and SD) global climate models under two scenarios to visualize a potential future extent of flooding in ENC. Here, we use DD data (at 36-km grid spacing) to compute future changes in precipitation intensity–duration–frequency (PIDF) curves at the end of the 21st century. These PIDF curves are further applied to observed rainfall from Hurricane Matthew—a landfalling storm that created widespread flooding across ENC in 2016—to project versions of “Matthew 2100” that reflect changes in extreme precipitation under those scenarios. Each Matthew-2100 rainfall distribution was then used in hydrologic models (HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS) to simulate “2100” discharges and flooding extents in the Neuse River Basin (4686 km²) in ENC. The results show that DD datasets better represented historical changes in extreme rainfall than SD datasets. The projected changes in ENC rainfall (up to 112%) exceed values published for the U.S. but do not exceed historical values. The peak discharges for Matthew-2100 could increase by 23–69%, with 0.4–3 m increases in water surface elevation and 8–57% increases in flooded area. The projected increases in flooding would threaten people, ecosystems, agriculture, infrastructure, and the economy throughout ENC. Full article

Turbidity is a crucial parameter for assessing the ecological health of aquatic ecosystems, particularly in shallow tropical lakes that are subject to climatic variability and anthropogenic pressures. Lake Chapala, the largest freshwater body in Mexico, has experienced persistent turbidity and sediment influx since the 1970s, primarily due to upstream erosion and reduced water inflow. In this study, we utilized Landsat satellite imagery in conjunction with near-synchronous in situ reflectance measurements to monitor spatial and seasonal turbidity patterns between 2023 and 2025. The surface reflectance was radiometrically corrected and validated using spectroradiometer data collected across eight sampling sites in the eastern sector of the lake, the area where the highest rates of horizontal change in turbidity occur. Based on the relationship between near-infrared reflectance and field turbidity, second-order polynomial models were developed for spring, fall, and the composite annual model. The annual model demonstrated acceptable performance (R² = 0.72), effectively capturing the spatial variability and temporal dynamics of the average annual turbidity for the whole lake. Historical turbidity data (2000–2018) and a particular case study in 2016 were used as a reference for statistical validation, confirming the model’s applicability under varying hydrological conditions. Our findings underscore the utility of empirical remote-sensing models, supported by field validation, for cost-effective and scalable turbidity monitoring in dynamic tropical lakes with limited monitoring infrastructure. Full article

The Mirim–Patos–Mangueira coastal lagoon system provides a wide range of ecosystem services. However, its vast territorial extent and the political boundaries that divide it hinder integrated assessments, especially during extreme hydrological events. This study is divided into two parts. First, we assessed the spatial and temporal patterns of water quality in the lagoon system using Sentinel-3/OLCI satellite imagery. Atmospheric correction was performed using ACOLITE, followed by spectral grouping and classification into optical water types (OWTs) using the Sentinel Applications Platform (SNAP). To explore the behavior of water quality parameters across OWTs, Chlorophyll-a and turbidity were estimated using semi-empirical algorithms specifically designed for complex inland and coastal waters. Results showed a gradual increase in mean turbidity from OWT 2 to OWT 6 and a rise in chlorophyll-a from OWT 2 to OWT 4, with a decline at OWT 6. These OWTs correspond, in general terms, to distinct water masses: OWT 2 to clearer waters, OWT 3 and 4 to intermediate/mixed conditions, and OWT 6 to turbid environments. In the second part, we analyzed the response of the Patos Lagoon to flooding in Rio Grande do Sul during an extreme weather event in May 2024. Satellite-derived turbidity estimates were compared with in situ measurements, revealing a systematic underestimation, with a negative bias of 2.6%, a mean relative error of 78%, and a correlation coefficient of 0.85. The findings highlight the utility of OWT classification for tracking changes in water quality and support the use of remote sensing tools to improve environmental monitoring in data-scarce regions, particularly under extreme hydrometeorological conditions. Full article

Mangrove forests are widely recognized for their effectiveness as carbon sinks and serve as critical ecosystems for mitigating the effects of climate change. Current research lacks comprehensive, large-scale carbon storage datasets for wetland ecosystems, particularly across Mexico and other understudied regions worldwide. Therefore, the objective of this study was to develop a high spatial resolution map of carbon stocks, encompassing both aboveground and belowground components, within the Marismas Nacionales system, which is the largest mangrove complex in northeastern Pacific Mexico. Our approach integrates primary field data collected during 2023–2024 and incorporates some historical plot measurements (2011–present) to enhance spatial coverage. These were combined with contemporary remote sensing data, including Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and LiDAR, analyzed using Random Forest algorithms. Our spatial models achieved strong predictive accuracy (R² = 0.94–0.95), effectively resolving fine-scale variations driven by canopy structure, hydrologic regime, and spectral heterogeneity. The application of Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA) revealed the presence of carbon “hotspots,” which encompass 33% of the total area but contribute to 46% of the overall carbon stocks, amounting to 21.5 Tg C. Notably, elevated concentrations of carbon stocks are observed in the central regions, including the Agua Brava Lagoon and at the southern portion of the study area, where pristine mangrove stands thrive. Also, our analysis reveals that 74.6% of these carbon hotspots fall within existing protected areas, demonstrating relatively effective—though incomplete—conservation coverage across the Marismas Nacionales wetlands. We further identified important cold spots and ecotones that represent priority areas for rehabilitation and adaptive management. These findings establish a transferable framework for enhancing national carbon accounting while advancing nature-based solutions that support both climate mitigation and adaptation goals. Full article