Search Results (299)

Air pollution episodes caused by particulate matter (PM) persist in and around Kraków even after the city’s ban on solid fuels. We examine how household wealth and the ongoing replacement of old heat sources with modern, energy-efficient units affect these emissions. Years of hourly data from a network of low-cost sensors for neighboring municipalities are combined with the Poland building emissions register specifying the number and type of heating devices and municipal personal income tax records. Two distinct emission patterns emerge. Episodes of elevated concentrations near houses with old hand-loaded stoves follow pronounced behavioral cycles tied to residents return home hours and the nightly sleep cycle, whereas elsewhere the pattern is smoother—consistent with modern heating sources or with advection from dispersed upwind sources. Municipalities that recorded per capita income growth also showed declines in average PM concentrations, suggesting that rising incomes accelerate the transition to cleaner, more efficient heating. Our findings suggest that economic development is linked to the shift towards cleaner and more efficient energy, and that providing targeted support for low-income households should not be overlooked in completing the transition. Full article

Low-cost sensors (LCSs) have rapidly expanded in urban air quality monitoring but still suffer from limited data accuracy and vulnerability to environmental interference compared with regulatory monitoring stations. To improve their reliability, we proposed a machine learning (ML)-based framework for LCS correction that integrates various meteorological factors at observation sites. Taking Tongshan District of Xuzhou City as an example, this study carried out continuous co-location data collection of hourly PM_2.5 measurements by placing our LCS (American Temtop M10+ series) close to a regular fixed monitoring station. A mathematical model was developed to regress the PM_2.5 deviations (PM_2.5 concentrations at the fixed station—PM_2.5 concentrations at the LCS) and the most important predictor variables. The data calibration was carried out based on six kinds of ML algorithms: random forest (RF), support vector regression (SVR), long short-term memory network (LSTM), decision tree regression (DTR), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM), and the final model was selected from them with the optimal performance. The performance of calibration was then evaluated by a testing dataset generated in a bootstrap fashion with ten time repetitions. The results show that RF achieved the best overall accuracy, with R² of 0.99 (training), 0.94 (validation), and 0.94 (testing), followed by DTR, BiLSTM, and GRU, which also showed strong predictive capabilities. In contrast, LSTM and SVR produced lower accuracy with larger errors under the limited data conditions. The results demonstrate that tree-based and advanced deep learning models can effectively capture the complex nonlinear relationships influencing LCS performance. The proposed framework exhibits high scalability and transferability, allowing its application to different LCS types and regions. This study advances the development of innovative techniques that enhance air quality assessment and support environmental research. Full article

This study aims to evaluate and compare the performance of Autoencoders (AEs) and Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) in forecasting the next-hour concentration levels of various air pollutants—specifically NO₂(t + 1), PM₁₀(t + 1), and SO₂(t + 1)—in the Bay of Algeciras, a highly complex region located in southern Spain. Hourly data related to air quality, meteorological conditions, and maritime traffic were collected from 2017 to 2019 across multiple monitoring stations distributed throughout the bay, enabling the analysis of diverse forecasting scenarios. The output variable was segmented into four distinct, non-overlapping quartiles (Q1–Q4) to capture different concentration ranges. AE models demonstrated greater accuracy in predicting moderate pollution levels (Q2 and Q3), whereas SAE models achieved comparable performance at the lower and upper extremes (Q1 and Q4). The results suggest that stacking AE layers with varying degrees of sparsity—culminating in a supervised output layer—can enhance the model’s ability to forecast pollutant concentration indices across all quartiles. Notably, Q4 predictions, representing peak concentrations, benefited from more complex SAE architectures, likely due to the increased difficulty associated with modelling extreme values. Full article

This study utilizes ambient air quality monitoring data from 13 prefecture-level cities in Heilongjiang Province to systematically analyze the pollution characteristics and dynamic evolution of ozone (O₃) and non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs). The findings reveal that overall air quality in Heilongjiang Province has improved substantially in recent years. The concentrations of SO₂, NO₂, PM₁₀, PM_2.5 and CO in 2023 decreased significantly compared with 2015, with an average reduction of 38.7%. However, O₃ concentrations have continued to rise, indicating that O₃ pollution has become an increasingly pressing environmental concern. On an annual scale, the monthly average O₃ concentration in 2023 displayed a “clear single-peak” pattern, reaching its maximum in June, at a concentration of 139 μg/m³. In contrast, the monthly average NMHC concentration exhibited a “distinct double-peak” pattern, with elevated levels in January and December, at 59.4 and 48.35 μg/m³, respectively. From an hourly perspective, the highest O₃ concentrations across the 13 cities occurred between 11:00 and 17:00, while NMHC concentrations showed an opposite trend. Furthermore, during the heating season (October to April of the following year), O₃ and NMHC concentrations increased by 0.78 and 1.56 times, respectively, compared with the non-heating season. In terms of ambient air quality levels, both O₃ and NMHC concentrations exhibited a gradual upward trend under conditions of “excellent”, “good”, and “light pollution”. However, under “moderate pollution”, “heavy pollution”, and “severe pollution” levels, O₃ and NMHC concentrations exhibited irregular patterns, likely due to the interaction of multiple complex factors. O₃ pollution follows a “central concentration and peripheral diffusion” pattern, reflecting the combined influence of human activities and natural conditions. In contrast, NMHC concentrations display pronounced spatial heterogeneity, with low levels in the west and high levels in the east, primarily driven by regional differences in industrial structure and environmental conditions. In summary, this study aims to elucidate the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of O₃ and NMHC pollution in Heilongjiang Province and their complex relationship with air quality levels, providing a scientific basis for future pollution prevention and control strategies. Subsequent research should focus on identifying the underlying causes of pollution to develop more precise and effective mitigation measures, thereby continuously improving ambient air quality in the province. Full article

Hourly PM_2.5 concentrations were measured from February to May 2025 by a network of low-cost sensors located in urban Kraków and its surrounding municipalities. Temporal variability associated with the transition from the heating period to the spring months, together with spatial contrasts, were assessed with principal component analysis (PCA), urban–rural difference curves, and a detailed examination of the most severe smog episode (12–13 February). Particle trajectories generated with the HYSPLIT dispersion model, run in a coarse-grained, 36-task parallel configuration, were combined with kernel density mapping to trace emission pathways. The results show that peak concentrations coincide with the heating season; rural sites recorded higher amplitudes and led the urban signal by up to several hours, implicating external sources. Time-series patterns, PCA loadings, and HYSPLIT density fields provided mutually consistent evidence of pollutant advection toward the city. Parallelizing HYSPLIT on nine central processing unit (CPU) cores reduced the runtime from more than 600 s to about 100 s (speed-up ≈ 6.5), demonstrating that routine episode-scale analyses are feasible even on modest hardware. The findings underline the need to extend monitoring and mitigation beyond Kraków’s administrative boundary and confirm that coarse-grained parallel HYSPLIT modeling, combined with low-cost sensor data and relatively basic statistics, offers a practical framework for rapid source attribution. Full article

Air pollution with particulate matter (PM), recognized by the EU and WHO as a significant factor affecting human health, is subject to standards. Exceeding these standards on a daily or annual basis poses an increased health risk. This article presents an analysis of data from 2022 to 2024 from the administrative area of Pleszew (Poland), which, in 2023, ranked second in the country in terms of annual PM₁₀ concentration [µg/m³]. The main cause of the poor air quality is identified as so-called “low emissions” resulting from residential heating using high-emission coal-fired boilers. The methods used in this analysis not only identified the main causes of pollutant emissions but also demonstrated the seasonal impact of these sources on air quality, both on an annual and daily basis. The analysis utilized statistical tools such as a mixed linear regression model and Tukey’s post hoc tests performed after analysis of variance (ANOVA). The obtained regression model of PM₁₀ concentration on the outside air temperature (defining the intensity of operation of heating devices) clearly indicates the predicted air pollution. Dividing the day into three time intervals proved to be an effective analytical tool enabling the identification of periods with the highest risk of high PM₁₀ concentrations. The highest average PM₁₀ concentration values were recorded in the autumn and winter months between 3:00 PM and 9:00 PM. The developed methods can serve as fundamental tools for local government authorities, guiding further energy policy directions for the study area to improve the identified situation. At the same time, daily and hourly air pollution analysis clearly confirmed the characteristics of inefficient heat sources, which will allow residents to protect their health by avoiding spending time outdoors during peak particulate matter concentration hours. Until the energy situation in the region changes, this will continue. Full article

Heavy-duty diesel trucks (HDDTs) are recognized as significant sources of air pollutants and greenhouse gases (GHGs) along freight corridors in port cities. Despite their impact, few studies have provided detailed spatiotemporal insights into their emissions within port-adjacent highway systems. This study presents a high-resolution, hourly emission inventory at the road-segment level for six major expressways in Shanghai, one of China’s leading port cities. The emission estimates are derived using a locally adapted COPERT V model, calibrated with HDDT GPS trajectory data and detailed road network information from OpenStreetMap. The inventory quantifies emissions of CO₂, NO_x, CO, PM, and VOCs, highlighting distinct temporal and spatial variation patterns. Weekday emissions consistently exceed those of weekends, with three prominent traffic-related peaks occurring between 5:00–7:00, 10:00–12:00, and 14:00–16:00. Spatial analysis identifies the G1503 and S20 expressways as major emission corridors, with S20 exhibiting particularly high emission intensity relative to its length. Combined spatiotemporal patterns reveal that weekday emission hotspots are more concentrated, reflecting typical freight activity cycles such as morning dispatch and afternoon return. The findings provide a scientific basis for formulating more precise emission control measures targeting HDDT operations in urban port environments. Full article

The combined effects of meteorological factors and aerosol chemical compositions on atmospheric visibility in Shanghai were investigated in this study based on the observed hourly dataset during 2022–2024. Correlation analysis and random forest modeling are employed to quantify the relative contributions of these factors. The results reveal significant negative correlations between visibility and both PM_2.5 concentration and relative humidity, with partial correlation coefficient of −0.62 and −0.61. Nitrate, ammonium, and other aerosol components substantially modulate these relationships. The random forest model explains 83% of the variance when only meteorological variables are considered, increasing to 93% with the inclusion of aerosol chemical composition. Under 30 km high-visibility conditions, PM_2.5 is the dominant predictor (39%) of atmospheric visibility variation, followed by relative humidity (35%). In contrast, during low-visibility conditions (lower than 7.5 km), relative humidity becomes the primary contributor (30%), the influence of PM_2.5 weakens (18%), and aerosol chemical components account for a larger share (30%). These findings provide important insights into the mechanisms governing visibility variability under different environmental conditions. Full article

Laboratory buildings represent some of the highest energy-consuming infrastructure due to stringent environmental requirements and the continuous operation of specialized equipment. Ensuring both energy efficiency and indoor air quality (IAQ) in such spaces remains a central challenge for sustainable building design and operation. Recent advances in Internet of Things (IoT) systems allow for real-time monitoring of multivariate environmental parameters, including CO₂, total volatile organic compounds (TVOC), PM_2.5, temperature, humidity, and noise. However, these datasets are often noisy or incomplete, complicating conventional monitoring approaches. Supervised anomaly detection methods are ill-suited to such contexts due to the lack of labeled data. In contrast, unsupervised machine learning (ML) techniques can autonomously detect patterns and deviations without annotations, offering a scalable alternative. The challenge of identifying anomalous environmental conditions and latent operational states in laboratory environments is addressed through the application of unsupervised models to 1808 hourly observations collected over four months. Anomaly detection was conducted using Isolation Forest (300 trees, contamination = 0.05) and One-Class Support Vector Machine (One-Class SVM) (RBF kernel, ν = 0.05, γ auto-scaled). Standardized six-dimensional feature vectors captured key environmental and energy-related variables. K-means clustering (k = 3) revealed three persistent operational states: Empty/Cool (42.6%), Experiment (37.6%), and Crowded (19.8%). Detected anomalies included CO₂ surges above 1800 ppm, TVOC concentrations exceeding 4000 ppb, and compound deviations in noise and temperature. The models demonstrated sensitivity to both abrupt and structural anomalies. Latent states were shown to correspond with occupancy patterns, experimental activities, and inactive system operation, offering interpretable environmental profiles. The methodology supports integration into adaptive heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) frameworks, enabling real-time, label-free environmental management. Findings contribute to intelligent infrastructure development, particularly in resource-constrained laboratories, and advance progress toward sustainability targets in energy, health, and automation. Full article

PM_2.5 pollution is still serious in densely populated cities with frequent traffic activities, and it continues to threaten public health. Therefore, it is urgent that we obtain ultrahigh-resolution data that can reveal its complex spatiotemporal variation characteristics, supporting more refined environmental governance and health risk prevention and control. This study first carried out ground monitoring based on low-cost sensors combined with observation results, which were corrected with the national environmental monitoring station data. This study also introduced multi-source auxiliary variables and constructed a machine learning model through the stacking ensemble learning method. The model combines corrected low-cost sensor data with high-resolution prediction factors to achieve ultrahigh-spatiotemporal-resolution prediction of PM_2.5 at 100 m × 100 m spatial resolution and hourly temporal resolution. The results show that the constructed model shows good prediction ability in 5-fold cross validation, with an overall R² of 0.93 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.09 μg/m³. The spatiotemporal analysis based on the prediction results further revealed that the PM_2.5 concentration in the city showed significant variation characteristics at both the ultra-local scale and the short-term scale, reflecting the high heterogeneity of urban air pollution. In addition, by comparing and analyzing the monitoring data of a national environmental monitoring station that were not used in the correction, it was found that the corrected low-cost sensor data significantly reduced the prediction uncertainty, reducing the RMSE from 72.068 μg/m³ to 16.759 μg/m³, verifying its effectiveness in high spatiotemporal resolution air quality monitoring. This shows that low-cost sensors are expected to make up for the problem of insufficient spatial coverage in traditional national environmental monitoring stations, supporting the successful assessment of urban-level air pollution and health risk management, and therefore having broad application prospects. Full article

Submicron particles (SPs), with diameters less than 1.0 μm, are a serious health risk, and urban meteorology variables (MVs), impacted by human activity, can support their sustainability. This study, in a city immersed in a basin geomorphology, is carried out during the summer period of high temperatures and variable relative humidity. An area of high urban density was selected, with the presence of high-rise buildings, urban canyons that favor heat islands, low forestation, intense vehicular traffic, and extreme conditions for MVs. Hourly measurements, in the form of time series, record the number of SPs (for diameters of 0.3, 0.5, and 1.0 μm) along with MVs (temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed magnitude (WS)). The objective is to verify whether MVs (RH, T) promote the sustainability of SPs. For this purpose, Spearman’s analysis and a heavy-tailed probability function were used. The central tendency probability, a Gaussian distribution, was discarded since its probability does not discriminate extreme events. Spearman’s analysis yielded significant p-values and correlations between PM₁₀, PM_5.0, PM_2.5, and SPs. However, this was not the case between MVs and SPs. By applying a heavy-tailed probability analysis to extreme events, the results show that MVs such as T and RH act in ways that can favor the accumulation and persistence of SP concentrations. This tendency could have been exacerbated during the measurement period by heat waves and a geographical environment under the influence of a prolonged drought resulting from climate change and global warming. Full article

The accurate and effective prediction of PM2.5 concentrations is crucial for mitigating air pollution, improving environmental quality, and safeguarding public health. To address the challenge of strong temporal correlations in PM2.5 concentration forecasting, this paper proposes a novel hybrid model that integrates the Particle Optimization Algorithm (POA) and Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. First, POA is employed to optimize VMD by adaptively determining the optimal parameter combination [k, α], enabling the decomposition of the original PM2.5 time series into subcomponents while reducing data noise. Subsequently, an LSTM model is constructed to predict each subcomponent individually, and the predictions are aggregated to derive hourly PM2.5 concentration forecasts. Empirical analysis using datasets from Beijing, Tianjin, and Tangshan demonstrates the following key findings: (1) LSTM outperforms traditional machine learning models in time series forecasting. (2) The proposed model exhibits superior effectiveness and robustness, achieving optimal performance metrics (e.g., MAE: 0.7183, RMSE: 0.8807, MAPE: 4.01%, R²: 99.78%) in comparative experiments, as exemplified by the Beijing dataset. (3) The integration of POA with serial decomposition techniques effectively handles highly volatile and nonlinear data. This model provides a novel and reliable tool for PM2.5 concentration prediction, offering significant benefits for governmental decision-making and public awareness. Full article

Accurate forecasting of energy consumption in buildings is essential for achieving energy efficiency and reducing carbon emissions. However, many existing models rely on limited input variables and overlook the complex influence of indoor environmental quality (IEQ). In this study, we assess the performance of hybrid machine learning ensembles for predicting hourly energy demand in a smart office environment using high-frequency IEQ sensor data. Environmental variables including carbon dioxide concentration (CO₂), particulate matter (PM_2.5), total volatile organic compounds (TVOCs), noise levels, humidity, and temperature were recorded over a four-month period. We evaluated two ensemble configurations combining support vector regression (SVR) with either Random Forest or LightGBM as base learners and Ridge regression as a meta-learner, alongside single-model baselines such as SVR and artificial neural networks (ANN). The SVR combined with Random Forest and Ridge regression demonstrated the highest predictive performance, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.20, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 8.92%, and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.82. Feature importance analysis using SHAP values, together with non-parametric statistical testing, identified TVOCs, humidity, and PM_2.5 as the most influential predictors of energy use. These findings highlight the value of integrating high-resolution IEQ data into predictive frameworks and demonstrate that such data can significantly improve forecasting accuracy. This effect is attributed to the direct link between these IEQ variables and the activation of energy-intensive systems; fluctuations in humidity drive HVAC energy use for dehumidification, while elevated pollutant levels (TVOCs, PM_2.5) trigger increased ventilation to maintain indoor air quality, thus raising the total energy load. Full article

This study analyzes air pollution time-series big data to assess stationarity, seasonal patterns, and the performance of machine learning models in forecasting PM2.5 concentrations. Fifty-two low-cost sensors (LCS) were deployed across Krakow city and its surroundings (Poland), collecting hourly air quality data and generating nearly 20,000 observations per month. The network captured both spatial and temporal variability. The Kwiatkowski–Phillips–Schmidt–Shin (KPSS) test confirmed trend-based non-stationarity, which was addressed through differencing, revealing distinct daily and 12 h cycles linked to traffic and temperature variations. Additive seasonal decomposition exhibited time-inconsistent residuals, leading to the adoption of multiplicative decomposition, which better captured pollution outliers associated with agricultural burning. Machine learning models—Ridge Regression, XGBoost, and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural networks—were evaluated under high spatial and temporal variability (winter) and low variability (summer) conditions. Ridge Regression showed the best performance, achieving the highest $R^2$ (0.97 in winter, 0.93 in summer) and the lowest mean squared errors. XGBoost showed strong predictive capabilities but tended to overestimate moderate pollution events, while LSTM systematically underestimated PM2.5 levels in December. The residual analysis confirmed that Ridge Regression provided the most stable predictions, capturing extreme pollution episodes effectively, whereas XGBoost exhibited larger outliers. The study proved the potential of low-cost sensor networks and machine learning in urban air quality forecasting focused on rare smog episodes (RSEs). Full article

Air pollution, particularly fine (PM_2.5) and coarse (PM₁₀) particulate matter, poses significant risks to public health and environmental sustainability. This study aims to develop robust predictive and forecasting models for hourly PM concentrations in Craiova, Romania, using advanced hybrid Artificial Intelligence (AI) approaches. A five-year dataset (2020–2024), comprising 20 meteorological and pollution-related variables recorded by four air quality monitoring stations, was analyzed. The methodology consists of three main phases: (i) data preprocessing, including anomaly detection and missing value handling; (ii) exploratory analysis to identify trends and correlations between PM concentrations (PMs) and predictor variables; and (iii) model development using 23 machine learning and deep learning algorithms, enhanced by 50 feature selection techniques. A deep Nonlinear AutoRegressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs (Deep-NARMAX) model was employed for multi-step-ahead forecasting. The best-performing models achieved R² values of 0.85 for PM_2.5 and 0.89 for PM₁₀, with low RMSE and MAPE scores, demonstrating high accuracy and generalizability. The GEO-based feature selection method effectively identified the most relevant predictors, while the Deep-NARMAX model captured temporal dynamics for accurate forecasting. These results highlight the potential of hybrid AI models for air quality management and provide a scalable framework for urban pollution monitoring, predicting, and forecasting. Full article