Submicron Particles and Micrometeorology in Highly Densified Urban Environments: Heavy-Tailed Probability Study

Submicron particles (SPs), with diameters less than 1.0 μm, are a serious health risk, and urban meteorology variables (MVs), impacted by human activity, can support their sustainability. This study, in a city immersed in a basin geomorphology, is carried out during the summer period of high temperatures and variable relative humidity. An area of high urban density was selected, with the presence of high-rise buildings, urban canyons that favor heat islands, low forestation, intense vehicular traffic, and extreme conditions for MVs. Hourly measurements, in the form of time series, record the number of SPs (for diameters of 0.3, 0.5, and 1.0 μm) along with MVs (temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed magnitude (WS)). The objective is to verify whether MVs (RH, T) promote the sustainability of SPs. For this purpose, Spearman’s analysis and a heavy-tailed probability function were used. The central tendency probability, a Gaussian distribution, was discarded since its probability does not discriminate extreme events. Spearman’s analysis yielded significant p-values and correlations between PM₁₀, PM_5.0, PM_2.5, and SPs. However, this was not the case between MVs and SPs. By applying a heavy-tailed probability analysis to extreme events, the results show that MVs such as T and RH act in ways that can favor the accumulation and persistence of SP concentrations. This tendency could have been exacerbated during the measurement period by heat waves and a geographical environment under the influence of a prolonged drought resulting from climate change and global warming.