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Search Results (385)

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Keywords = dynamic load identification

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22 pages, 2109 KB  
Article
Dynamic Characterization of an Industrial Electrical Network Using MicroPMU Data
by Julio Cesar Ramírez Acero, Ricardo Isaza-Ruget and Javier Rosero-García
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(3), 1267; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16031267 - 27 Jan 2026
Abstract
The growing penetration of power electronics and nonlinear loads in industrial electrical networks has increased the dynamic complexity of these systems, exceeding the analysis capabilities of traditional approaches based on quasi-stationary models. In this context, this paper presents a methodology for the dynamic [...] Read more.
The growing penetration of power electronics and nonlinear loads in industrial electrical networks has increased the dynamic complexity of these systems, exceeding the analysis capabilities of traditional approaches based on quasi-stationary models. In this context, this paper presents a methodology for the dynamic characterization of an industrial electrical network based on high-resolution synchrophasor measurements obtained using a microPMU. The proposed approach is based on the identification of a linear dynamic model in state space using subspace techniques based on real data recorded during a short-duration transient event. The results show that the identified model is capable of adequately capturing local underdamped dynamics and reproducing the temporal response observed in the measurements. This evidences the presence of dynamic modes associated with the interaction between the network and power electronics-based devices. Similarly, the stability analysis of the identified model demonstrates its consistency and robust gains in temporal variations within the analysis window. Overall, the results confirm that the combination of microPMU and data-based modeling techniques is an effective tool for improving dynamic observability and understanding the transient behavior of industrial power grids, complementing classical analysis and simulation methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research on and Application of Power Systems)
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20 pages, 12682 KB  
Article
Viscosity Characterization of PDMS and Its Influence on the Performance of a Torsional Vibration Viscous Damper Under Forced Hydrodynamic Loading
by Andrzej Chmielowiec, Adam Michajłyszyn, Justyna Gumieniak, Sławomir Woś, Wojciech Homik and Katarzyna Antosz
Materials 2026, 19(3), 490; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma19030490 - 26 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study presents the experimental and model-based characterization of polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) as a damping medium in a torsional vibration viscous damper. Particular emphasis is placed on the influence of the PDMS viscosity on the dynamic response of the damper under variable hydrodynamic loading [...] Read more.
This study presents the experimental and model-based characterization of polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS) as a damping medium in a torsional vibration viscous damper. Particular emphasis is placed on the influence of the PDMS viscosity on the dynamic response of the damper under variable hydrodynamic loading generated by torsional vibrations of the system and the mass of the inertia ring. Investigations were conducted over a wide range of kinematic viscosities, enabling the identification of damper operating regimes and the assessment of lubricating film stability. The developed mathematical model, based on hydrodynamic lubrication theory, describes the relationships between the PDMS viscosity, the relative angular velocity, and the eccentricity of the inertia ring. Experimental results confirm the model’s ability to predict transitions between stable, unstable, and boundary operating modes of the damper. The proposed approach enables the functional, system-level characterization of PDMS under hydrodynamic loading conditions within a torsional vibration damper. In this framework, the rheological properties of PDMS are directly linked to the dynamic response and operational stability of the mechanical system. Full article
22 pages, 3686 KB  
Article
Optimization of Earth Dam Cross-Sections Using the Max–Min Ant System and Artificial Neural Networks with Real Case Studies
by Amin Rezaeian, Mohammad Davoodi, Mohammad Kazem Jafari, Mohsen Bagheri, Ali Asgari and Hassan Jafarian Kafshgarkolaei
Buildings 2026, 16(3), 501; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16030501 - 26 Jan 2026
Abstract
The identification of non-circular critical slip surfaces in slopes using metaheuristic algorithms remains a frontier challenge in geotechnical engineering. Such approaches are particularly effective for assessing the stability of heterogeneous slopes, including earth dams. This study introduces ODACO, a comprehensive program developed to [...] Read more.
The identification of non-circular critical slip surfaces in slopes using metaheuristic algorithms remains a frontier challenge in geotechnical engineering. Such approaches are particularly effective for assessing the stability of heterogeneous slopes, including earth dams. This study introduces ODACO, a comprehensive program developed to determine the optimum cross-section of earth dams with berms. The program employs the Max–Min Ant System (MMAS), one of the most robust variants of the ant colony optimization algorithm. For each candidate cross-section, the critical slip surface is first identified using MMAS. Among the stability-compliant alternatives, the configuration with the most efficient shell geometry is then selected. The optimization process is conducted automatically across all loading conditions, incorporating slope stability criteria and operational constraints. To ensure that the optimized cross-section satisfies seismic performance requirements, an artificial neural network (ANN) model is applied to rapidly and reliably predict seismic responses. These ANN-based predictions provide an efficient alternative to computationally intensive dynamic analyses. The proposed framework highlights the potential of optimization-driven approaches to replace conventional trial-and-error design methods, enabling more economical, reliable, and practical earth dam configurations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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19 pages, 1666 KB  
Article
Fault Diagnosis Method for Reciprocating Compressors Based on Spatio-Temporal Feature Fusion
by Haibo Xu, Xiaolong Ji, Xiaogang Qin, Weizheng An, Fengli Zhang, Lixiang Duan and Jinjiang Wang
Sensors 2026, 26(3), 798; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26030798 - 25 Jan 2026
Viewed by 54
Abstract
Reciprocating compressors, which serve as core equipment in the petrochemical and natural gas transmission sectors, operate under prolonged variable loads and high-frequency impact conditions. Critical components, such as valves and piston rings, are prone to failure. Existing fault diagnosis methods suffer from inadequate [...] Read more.
Reciprocating compressors, which serve as core equipment in the petrochemical and natural gas transmission sectors, operate under prolonged variable loads and high-frequency impact conditions. Critical components, such as valves and piston rings, are prone to failure. Existing fault diagnosis methods suffer from inadequate spatio-temporal feature extraction and neglect spatio-temporal correlations. To address this, this paper proposes a spatio-temporal feature fusion-based fault diagnosis method for reciprocating compressors. This method constructs a spatio-temporal feature fusion model (STFFM) comprising three principal modules: First, a spatio-temporal feature extraction module employing a multi-layered stacked bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) with batch normalisation to uncover temporal dependencies in long-term sequence data. A graph structure is constructed via k-nearest neighbours (KNN), and an enhanced graph isomorphism network (GIN) is integrated to capture spatial domain fault information variations. Second, the spatio-temporal bidirectional attention-gated fusion module employs a bidirectional multi-head attention mechanism to enhance temporal and spatial features. It incorporates a cross-modal gated update mechanism and learnable weight parameters to dynamically retain the highly discriminative features. Third, the classification output module enhances the model’s generalisation capability through multi-layer fully connected layers and regularisation design. Research findings demonstrate that this approach effectively integrates spatio-temporal coupled fault features, achieving an average accuracy of 99.14% on an experimental dataset. This provides an effective technical pathway for the precise identification of faults in the critical components of reciprocating compressors. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fault Diagnosis & Sensors)
18 pages, 5390 KB  
Article
Multilevel Modeling and Validation of Thermo-Mechanical Nonlinear Dynamics in Flexible Supports
by Xiangyu Meng, Qingyu Zhu, Qingkai Han and Junzhe Lin
Machines 2026, 14(1), 131; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14010131 - 22 Jan 2026
Viewed by 51
Abstract
Prediction accuracy for complex flexible support systems is often limited by insufficiently characterized thermo-mechanical couplings and nonlinearities. To address this, we propose a multilevel hybrid parallel–serial model that integrates the thermo-viscous effects of a Squeeze Film Damper (SFD) via a coupled Reynolds–Walther equation, [...] Read more.
Prediction accuracy for complex flexible support systems is often limited by insufficiently characterized thermo-mechanical couplings and nonlinearities. To address this, we propose a multilevel hybrid parallel–serial model that integrates the thermo-viscous effects of a Squeeze Film Damper (SFD) via a coupled Reynolds–Walther equation, the structural flexibility of a squirrel-cage support using Finite Element analysis, and the load-dependent stiffness of a four-point contact ball bearing based on Hertzian theory. The resulting state-dependent system is solved using a force-controlled iterative numerical algorithm. For validation, a dedicated bidirectional excitation test rig was constructed to decouple and characterize the support’s dynamics via frequency-domain impedance identification. Experimental results indicate that equivalent damping is temperature-sensitive, decreasing by approximately 50% as the lubricant temperature rises from 30 °C to 100 °C. In contrast, the system exhibits pronounced stiffness hardening under increasing loads. Theoretical analysis attributes this nonlinearity primarily to the bearing’s Hertzian contact mechanics, which accounts for a stiffness increase of nearly 240%. This coupled model offers a distinct advancement over traditional linear approaches, providing a validated framework for the design and vibration control of aero-engine flexible supports. Full article
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19 pages, 2755 KB  
Article
Fractional Modelling of Hereditary Vibrations in Coupled Circular Plate System with Creep Layers
by Julijana Simonović
Fractal Fract. 2026, 10(1), 72; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract10010072 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 74
Abstract
This paper presents an analytical model for the hereditary vibrations of a coupled circular plate system interconnected by viscoelastic creep layers. The system is represented as a discrete-continuous chain of thin, isotropic plates with time-dependent material properties. Based on the theory of hereditary [...] Read more.
This paper presents an analytical model for the hereditary vibrations of a coupled circular plate system interconnected by viscoelastic creep layers. The system is represented as a discrete-continuous chain of thin, isotropic plates with time-dependent material properties. Based on the theory of hereditary viscoelasticity and D’Alembert’s principle, a system of partial integro-differential equations is derived and reduced to ordinary integro-differential equations using Bernoulli’s method and Laplace transforms. Analytical expressions for natural frequencies, mode shapes, and time-dependent response functions are obtained. The results reveal the emergence of multi-frequency vibration regimes, with modal families remaining temporally uncoupled. This enables the identification of resonance conditions and dynamic absorption phenomena. The fractional parameter serves as a tunable damping factor: lower values result in prolonged oscillations, while higher values cause rapid decay. Increasing the kinetic stiffness of the coupling layers raises vibration frequencies and enhances sensitivity to hereditary effects. This interplay provides deeper insight into dynamic behavior control. The model is applicable to multilayered structures in aerospace, civil engineering, and microsystems, where long-term loading and time-dependent material behavior are critical. The proposed framework offers a powerful tool for designing systems with tailored dynamic responses and improved stability. Full article
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26 pages, 10014 KB  
Article
Dynamic Monitoring and Analysis of Mountain Excavation and Land Creation Projects in Lanzhou Using Multi-Source Remote Sensing and Machine Learning
by Quanfu Niu, Jiaojiao Lei, Qiong Fang and Lifeng Zhang
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(2), 273; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18020273 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 196
Abstract
Mountain Excavation and Land Creation Projects (MELCPs) have emerged as a critical strategy for expanding urban development space in mountainous regions facing land scarcity. Dynamic monitoring and risk management of these projects are essential for promoting sustainable urban development. This study develops an [...] Read more.
Mountain Excavation and Land Creation Projects (MELCPs) have emerged as a critical strategy for expanding urban development space in mountainous regions facing land scarcity. Dynamic monitoring and risk management of these projects are essential for promoting sustainable urban development. This study develops an integrated monitoring framework for MELCPs by combining ascending and descending Sentinel-1 SAR data, Sentinel-2 optical imagery, SRTM digital elevation models (DEM), and field survey data. The framework incorporates multi-temporal change detection, random forest classification, and time-series InSAR analysis to systematically capture the spatiotemporal evolution and subsidence mechanisms associated with MELCPs. Key findings include: (1) The use of dual-orbit SAR data significantly improves the detection accuracy of excavation areas, achieving an overall accuracy of 87.1% (Kappa = 0.85) and effectively overcoming observation limitations imposed by complex terrain. (2) By optimizing the combination of spectral, texture, topographic, and polarimetric features using a random forest algorithm, the classification accuracy of MELCPs is enhanced to 91.2% (Kappa = 0.889). This enables precise annual identification of MELCP progression from 2017 to 2022, revealing a three-stage evolution pattern: concentrated expansion, peak activity, and restricted slowdown. Specifically, the reclaimed area increased from 2.66 km2 (pre-2018) to a peak of 12.61 km2 in 2021, accounting for 34.56% of the total area of the study region, before decreasing to 2.69 km2 in 2022. (3) InSAR monitoring from 2017 to 2023 indicates that areas with only filling experience minor shallow subsidence (<50 mm), whereas subsequent building loads and underground engineering activities lead to continuous deep soil consolidation, with maximum cumulative subsidence reaching 333.8 mm. This study demonstrates that subsidence in MELCPs follows distinct spatiotemporal patterns and is predictable, offering important theoretical insights and practical tools for engineering safety management and territorial spatial optimization in mountainous cities. Full article
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21 pages, 4661 KB  
Article
Fatigue Performance Enhancement of Open-Hole Steel Plates Under Alternating Tension–Compression Loading via Hotspot-Targeted CFRP Reinforcement
by Zhenpeng Jian, Byeong Hwa Kim, Jinlei Gai, Yunlong Zhao and Xujiao Yang
Buildings 2026, 16(2), 313; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings16020313 - 11 Jan 2026
Viewed by 249
Abstract
Steel plates with open holes are common in engineering structures such as bridges and towers for pipeline penetrations and connections. These openings, however, induce significant stress concentration under alternating tension–compression loading (stress ratio R = −1), drastically accelerating fatigue crack initiation and threatening [...] Read more.
Steel plates with open holes are common in engineering structures such as bridges and towers for pipeline penetrations and connections. These openings, however, induce significant stress concentration under alternating tension–compression loading (stress ratio R = −1), drastically accelerating fatigue crack initiation and threatening structural integrity. Effective identification and mitigation of such stress concentrations is crucial for enhancing the fatigue resistance of perforated components. This study proposes a closed-loop methodology integrating theoretical weak zone identification, targeted CFRP reinforcement, and experimental validation to improve the fatigue performance of open-hole steel plates. Analytical solutions for dynamic stresses around the hole were derived using complex function theory and conformal mapping, identifying critical stress concentration angles. Experimental tests compared unreinforced and CFRP-reinforced specimens in terms of circumferential strain distribution, dynamic stress concentration behavior, and fatigue life. Results indicate that Carbon fiber-reinforced polymer (CFRP) reinforcement significantly reduces stress concentration near 90°, smooths polar strain distributions, and slows strain decay. The S–N curves shift upward, indicating extended fatigue life under identical stress amplitude and increased allowable stress at identical life cycles. Comparison with standardized design curves confirms that reinforced specimens meet higher fatigue categories, providing practical design guidance for perforated plates under alternating loads. This work establishes a systematic framework from theoretical prediction to experimental verification, offering a reliable reference for engineering applications. Full article
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22 pages, 5533 KB  
Review
The Fusion Mechanism and Prospective Application of Physics-Informed Machine Learning in Bridge Lifecycle Health Monitoring
by Jiaren Sun, Jiangjiang He, Guangbing Zhou, Jun Yang, Xiaoli Sun and Shuai Teng
Infrastructures 2026, 11(1), 16; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures11010016 - 8 Jan 2026
Viewed by 193
Abstract
Bridge health monitoring is crucial for ensuring the safety and durability of infrastructure. In traditional methods, physics-based models have high interpretability but are difficult to handle complex nonlinear problems, while purely data-driven machine learning methods are limited by data scarcity and physical inconsistency. [...] Read more.
Bridge health monitoring is crucial for ensuring the safety and durability of infrastructure. In traditional methods, physics-based models have high interpretability but are difficult to handle complex nonlinear problems, while purely data-driven machine learning methods are limited by data scarcity and physical inconsistency. Physics-informed machine learning, as an emerging “gray box” paradigm, effectively integrates the advantages of both by embedding physical laws (such as control equations) into machine learning models in the form of constraints, priors, or residuals. This article systematically elaborates on the core fusion mechanism of physics-informed machine learning (PIML) in bridge engineering, innovative applications throughout the entire lifecycle of design, construction, operation, and maintenance, as well as its unique data augmentation strategy. Research has shown that PIML can significantly improve the accuracy and robustness of damage identification, load inversion, and performance prediction, and is the core engine for constructing dynamic and predictive digital twin systems. Despite facing challenges in complex physical modeling, loss function balancing, and engineering interpretability, PIML represents a fundamental shift in bridge health monitoring towards intelligent and predictive maintenance by combining advanced strategies such as active learning and meta learning with IoT technology. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Bridge Engineering)
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21 pages, 2996 KB  
Article
Sustainable Energy Transitions in Smart Campuses: An AI-Driven Framework Integrating Microgrid Optimization, Disaster Resilience, and Educational Empowerment for Sustainable Development
by Zhanyi Li, Zhanhong Liu, Chengping Zhou, Qing Su and Guobo Xie
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 627; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020627 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 238
Abstract
Amid global sustainability transitions, campus energy systems confront growing pressure to balance operational efficiency, resilience to extreme weather events, and sustainable development education. This study proposes an artificial intelligence-driven framework for smart campus microgrids that synergistically advances environmental sustainability and disaster resilience, while [...] Read more.
Amid global sustainability transitions, campus energy systems confront growing pressure to balance operational efficiency, resilience to extreme weather events, and sustainable development education. This study proposes an artificial intelligence-driven framework for smart campus microgrids that synergistically advances environmental sustainability and disaster resilience, while deepening students’ understanding of sustainable development. The framework integrates an enhanced multi-scale gated temporal attention network (MS-GTAN+) to realize end-to-end meteorological hazard-state recognition for adaptive dispatch mode selection. Compared with Transformer and Informer baselines, MS-GTAN+ reduces prediction RMSE by approximately 48.5% for wind speed and 46.0% for precipitation while maintaining a single-sample inference time of only 1.82 ms. For daily operations, a multi-intelligence co-optimization algorithm dynamically balances economic efficiency with carbon reduction objectives. During disaster scenarios, an improved PageRank algorithm incorporating functional necessity and temporal sensitivity enables precise identification of critical loads and adaptive power redistribution, achieving an average critical-load assurance rate of approximately 75%, nearly doubling the performance of the traditional topology-based method. Furthermore, the framework bridges the divide between theoretical knowledge and educational practice via an educational digital twin platform. Simulation results demonstrate that the framework substantially improves carbon footprint reduction, resilience to power disruptions, and student sustainability competency development. By unifying technical innovation with pedagogical advancement, this study offers a holistic model for educational institutions seeking to advance sustainability transitions while preparing the next generation of sustainability leaders. Full article
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22 pages, 1478 KB  
Article
A Novel Multi-Scale and Adaptive Multi-Period Deep Learning with Compression-Fusion Attention for Cold Storage Load Prediction
by Hao Cai, Yi Zhang, Jinhong Zhang, Jie Chen, Jiafu Liu and Jingxuan Xu
Electronics 2026, 15(1), 160; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15010160 - 29 Dec 2025
Viewed by 183
Abstract
Accurate load forecasting is essential for energy-efficient scheduling in cold storage facilities, where cooling demand is shaped by strong periodicity, nonlinear temporal dynamics, and irregular operational disturbances. Traditional statistical and machine-learning models struggle with these multi-scale variations, and existing deep learning approaches often [...] Read more.
Accurate load forecasting is essential for energy-efficient scheduling in cold storage facilities, where cooling demand is shaped by strong periodicity, nonlinear temporal dynamics, and irregular operational disturbances. Traditional statistical and machine-learning models struggle with these multi-scale variations, and existing deep learning approaches often rely on fixed receptive fields or fail to extract adaptive periodic structures. This study introduces MA-CFAN, a multi-scale and adaptive multi-period forecasting framework that integrates temporal decomposition, dynamic frequency-period identification, and a newly designed Compression-Fusion Attention Block (CFABlock) for cross-period representation learning. The architecture leverages FFT-derived adaptive periods to capture seasonal-trend components and employs compression-fusion attention to enhance feature discrimination across temporal scales. Furthermore, this work provides the first systematic evaluation of state-of-the-art forecasting models, including Informer, Autoformer, iTransformer, TimesNet, DLinear, and TimeMixer, to the domain of cold storage load prediction. Experiments on real operational data from a logistics center in Jinan, China, demonstrate that MA-CFAN consistently outperforms all baselines, reducing average MSE and MAE by up to 19.3% and 14.8%, respectively. Full article
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22 pages, 2174 KB  
Article
Dynamic CO2 Emission Differences Between E10 and E85 Fuels Based on Speed–Acceleration Mapping
by Piotr Laskowski, Edward Kozłowski, Magdalena Zimakowska-Laskowska, Piotr Wiśniowski, Jonas Matijošius, Stanisław Oszczak, Robertas Keršys, Marcin Krzysztof Wojs and Szymon Dowkontt
Energies 2026, 19(1), 40; https://doi.org/10.3390/en19010040 - 21 Dec 2025
Viewed by 457
Abstract
This study compared CO2 emissions during a WLTP (Worldwide Harmonized Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedure) test performed on a chassis dynamometer for the same flex-fuel vehicle, fuelled sequentially with E10 gasoline and E85 fuel. Based on the test data, a CO2 emissions [...] Read more.
This study compared CO2 emissions during a WLTP (Worldwide Harmonized Light-Duty Vehicles Test Procedure) test performed on a chassis dynamometer for the same flex-fuel vehicle, fuelled sequentially with E10 gasoline and E85 fuel. Based on the test data, a CO2 emissions map was created, describing its dependence on speed and acceleration. The use of a 3D surface enabled the visualisation of the whole dynamics of emissions as a function of engine load in the WLTP cycle, including the identification of distinct emission peaks in areas of high positive acceleration. Analysis of the emission surface enabled the identification of structural differences between the fuels. For E85, more pronounced emission increases are observed in areas of intense acceleration, a consequence of the higher fuel demand resulting from the lower calorific value of bioethanol. In steady-state and moderate-load driving, CO2 emissions for both fuels are similar. The results confirm that the main differences between E10 and E85 are not simply a shift in emission levels per se, but stem from variations in engine load during the dynamic cycle. Although E85 emits measurable CO2 emissions, its carbon is not of fossil origin, highlighting the importance of biofuels in the context of greenhouse gas emission reduction strategies and the pursuit of climate neutrality. The presented methodology, combining chassis dynamometer tests with analysis of the speed-acceleration emission map, provides a tool for clearly identifying emission zones and can serve as a basis for further optimisation of engine control strategies and assessing the impact of fuel composition on emissions under dynamic conditions. Full article
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29 pages, 26089 KB  
Article
A Machine Learning Vibration-Based Methodology for Robust Detection and Severity Characterization of Gear Incipient Faults Under Variable Working Speed and Load
by Dimitrios M. Bourdalos and John S. Sakellariou
Machines 2026, 14(1), 9; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines14010009 - 19 Dec 2025
Viewed by 293
Abstract
A machine learning (ML) methodology for the robust detection and severity characterization of incipient gear faults under variable speed and load is postulated. The methodology is trained using vibration signals from a single accelerometer mounted on the gearbox, simultaneously acquired with tachometer signals [...] Read more.
A machine learning (ML) methodology for the robust detection and severity characterization of incipient gear faults under variable speed and load is postulated. The methodology is trained using vibration signals from a single accelerometer mounted on the gearbox, simultaneously acquired with tachometer signals at a sample of working conditions (WCs) from the range of interest. A special parametric identification procedure of gearbox dynamics that may account for the continuous range of WCs is introduced through ‘clouds’ of advanced stochastic data-driven Functionally Pooled models, estimated from angularly resampled vibration signals. Each cloud represents the gearbox dynamics at a specific fault severity level, while the pseudo-static effects of the WCs on the dynamics are accounted for through data pooling. Fault detection and severity characterization are achieved by testing the consistency of a vibration signal with each model cloud within a hypothesis testing framework in which the unknown load is also estimated. The methodology is assessed through 18,300 experiments on a single-stage spur gearbox including four incipient single-tooth pinion faults, 61 speeds, and four load levels. The faults produce no significant changes in the time-domain signals, while their frequency-domain effects overlap with the variations caused by the WCs, rendering the diagnosis problem highly challenging. The comparison with a state-of-the-art deep Stacked Autoencoder (SAE) demonstrates the ML method’s superior performance, achieving 95.4% and 91.6% accuracy in fault detection and characterization, respectively. Full article
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21 pages, 3646 KB  
Article
Short-Term Load Forecasting in Price-Volatile Markets: A Pattern-Clustering and Adaptive Modeling Approach
by Xiangluan Dong, Yan Yu, Hongyang Jin, Zhanshuo Hu and Jieqiu Bao
Processes 2026, 14(1), 5; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr14010005 - 19 Dec 2025
Viewed by 332
Abstract
Under the ongoing electricity market reforms, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is increasingly challenged by pronounced non-stationarity driven by price fluctuations. This study proposes an adaptive STLF framework tailored to price-induced non-stationarity. Firstly, a market state identification method based on load–price joint clustering is [...] Read more.
Under the ongoing electricity market reforms, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is increasingly challenged by pronounced non-stationarity driven by price fluctuations. This study proposes an adaptive STLF framework tailored to price-induced non-stationarity. Firstly, a market state identification method based on load–price joint clustering is developed to structurally model the temporal interactions between price and load. It allows the automatic extraction of typical market patterns and helps uncover how price fluctuations drive load variations. Secondly, a gated mixture forecasting network is proposed to dynamically adapt to the inertia of historical price fluctuations. By integrating parallel branches with an adaptive weighting mechanism, the model dynamically captures historical price features and achieves both rapid response and steady correction under market volatility. Finally, a Transformer-based expert model with multi-scale dependency learning is introduced to capture sequential dependencies and state transitions across different load regimes through self-attention, thereby enhancing model generalization and stability. Case studies using real market data confirm that the proposed approach delivers substantial performance improvements, offering reliable support for system dispatch and market operations. Relative to mainstream baseline models, it reduces MAPE by 1.08–2.62 percentage points. Full article
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15 pages, 1607 KB  
Article
Identification of Important Lines in Power Grids Based on Improved ProfitLeader Algorithm
by Xinghua Liu, Guangyang Han, Dongfei Lv and Guowei Sun
Energies 2025, 18(24), 6628; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246628 - 18 Dec 2025
Viewed by 294
Abstract
Rapid and accurate identification of important lines in power grids is crucial for enhancing grid reliability and preventing large-scale blackouts. This paper proposes a method for identifying important lines in power systems using an improved ProfitLeader (IPL) algorithm. First, a correlation network integrating [...] Read more.
Rapid and accurate identification of important lines in power grids is crucial for enhancing grid reliability and preventing large-scale blackouts. This paper proposes a method for identifying important lines in power systems using an improved ProfitLeader (IPL) algorithm. First, a correlation network integrating power flow dynamics and topological structure is constructed. Then, by incorporating line weights and directionality, the method overcomes the limitation of traditional ProfitLeader algorithms that only consider node out-degree. Finally, the constructed correlation network and improved algorithm are applied to identify important lines. Comparative studies with other common identification methods on the IEEE 39-bus system show that after attacking the top seven important lines identified by the proposed algorithm, the number of electrical islands in the system increases significantly, and the remaining load rate drops to 43.7%. These results verify the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed method. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F1: Electrical Power System)
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