Search Results (539)

The rapid urbanization process has accelerated the degradation of ecosystem services (ESs) in peri-urban rural areas of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), leading to increasing landscape ecological risks (LERs). Establishing a scientifically grounded landscape ecological risk assessment (LERA) system and corresponding control strategies is therefore imperative. Using rural areas of Jiangning District, Nanjing as a case study, this research proposes an optimized dual-dimensional coupling assessment framework that integrates ecosystem service value (ESV) and ecological risk probability. The spatiotemporal evolution of LER in 2000, 2010, and 2020 and its key driving factors were further studied by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and geodetector methods. The results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, cultivated land remained dominant, but its proportion decreased by 10.87%, while construction land increased by 26.52%, with minimal changes in other land use types. (2) The total ESV increased by CNY 1.67 × 10⁹, with regulating services accounting for over 82%, among which water bodies contributed the most. (3) LER showed an overall increasing trend, with medium- to highest-risk areas expanding by 55.37%, lowest-risk areas increasing by 10.10%, and lower-risk areas decreasing by 65.48%. (4) Key driving factors include landscape vulnerability, vegetation coverage, and ecological land connectivity, with the influence of distance to road becoming increasingly significant. This study reveals the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of LER in typical peri-urban villages. Based on the LERA results, combined with terrain features and ecological pressure intensity, the study area was divided into three ecological management zones: ecological conservation, ecological restoration, and ecological enhancement. Corresponding zoning strategies were proposed to guide rural ecological governance and support regional sustainable development. Full article

Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang, commonly known as Yanhusuo, is an important and rare medicinal plant resource in China. Its habitat integrity is facing severe challenges due to climate change and human activities. Establishing an integrative quality zoning system for this species is of significant practical importance for resource conservation and adaptive management. This study integrates multiple data sources, including 121 valid distribution points, 37 environmental factors, future climate scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585 pathways for the 2050s and 2090s), and measured content of tetrahydropalmatine (THP) from 22 sampling sites. A predictive framework for habitat suitability and spatial distribution of effective components was constructed using a multi-model coupling approach (MaxEnt, ArcGIS spatial analysis, and co-kriging method). The results indicate that the MaxEnt model exhibits high prediction accuracy (AUC > 0.9), with the dominant environmental factors being the precipitation of the wettest quarter (404.8~654.5 mm) and the annual average temperature (11.8~17.4 °C). Under current climatic conditions, areas of high suitability are concentrated in parts of Central and Eastern China, including the Sichuan Basin, the middle–lower Yangtze plains, and coastal areas of Shandong and Liaoning. In future climate scenarios, the center of suitable areas is predicted to shift northwestward. The content of THP is significantly correlated with the mean diurnal temperature range, temperature seasonality, and the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (p < 0.01). A comprehensive assessment identifies the Yangtze River Delta region, Central China, and parts of the Loess Plateau as the optimal integrative quality zones. This research provides a scientific basis and decision-making support for the sustainable utilization of C. yanhusuo and other rare medicinal plants in China. Full article

The Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, characterized by high population density, an advanced transportation system, and a concentration of industrial activity, is one of the regions severely affected by O₃ pollution in central and eastern China. Using data collected from 251 monitoring stations between 2015 and 2025, this paper analyzed the spatio-temporal variation of 8 h O₃ concentrations and instances of exceedance. On the basis of exploring the influence of meteorological factors on regional 8 h O₃ concentration, the potential source contribution areas of pollutants under the exceedance condition were investigated using the HYSPLIT model. The results indicate a rapid increase in the 8 h O₃ concentration at a rate of 0.91 ± 0.98 μg·m⁻³·a⁻¹, with the average number of days exceeding concentration standards reaching 41.05 in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration. Spatially, the 8 h O₃ concentrations were higher in coastal areas and lower in inland regions, as well as elevated in plains compared to hilly terrains. This distribution was significantly distinct from the concentration growth trend characterized by higher levels in the northwest and lower levels in the southeast. Furthermore, it diverged from the spatial characteristics where exceedances primarily occurred in the heavily industrialized northeastern region and the lightly industrialized central region, indicating that the growth and exceedance of 8 h O₃ concentrations were influenced by disparate factors. Local human activities have intensified the emissions of ozone precursor substances, which could be the key driving factor for the significant increase in regional 8 h O₃ concentrations. In the context of high temperatures and low humidity, this has contributed to elevated levels of 8 h O₃ concentrations. When wind speeds were below 2.5 m·s⁻¹, the proportion of 8 h O₃ concentrations exceeding the standards was nearly 0 under almost calm wind conditions, and it showed an increasing trend with rising wind speeds, indicating that the potential precursor sources that caused high O₃ concentrations originated occasionally from inland regions, with very limited presence within the study area. This observation implies that the main cause of exceedances was the transport effect of pollution from outside the region. Therefore, it is recommended that the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration adopt economic and technological compensation mechanisms within and between regions to reduce the emission intensity of precursor substances in potential source areas, thereby effectively controlling O₃ concentrations and improving public living conditions and quality of life. Full article

The inter-provincial border region in eastern China, encompassing the junction of Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, and Henan provinces, serves as a crucial zone that connects the important economic zones of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei and the Yangtze River Delta. It is of great significance to study the temporal variation characteristics, spatial distribution patterns, and driving factors of PM_2.5 concentrations in this region. Based on the PM_2.5 concentration observation data, ground meteorological data, environmental data, and socio-economic data from 2022 to 2024, this study conducted in-depth and systematic research by using advanced methods, such as spatial autocorrelation analysis and geographical detectors. The research results show that the concentration of PM_2.5 rose from 2022 to 2023, but decreased from 2023 to 2024. From the perspective of seasonal variations, the concentration of PM_2.5 shows a distinct characteristic of being “high in winter and low in summer”. The monthly variation shows a “U”-shaped distribution pattern. In terms of spatial changes, the PM_2.5 concentration in the inter-provincial border region of eastern China (Jiangsu, Anhui, Shandong, Henan) forms a gradient difference of “higher in the west and lower in the east”. The high-concentration agglomeration areas are mainly concentrated in the Henan part of the study region, while the low-concentration agglomeration areas are distributed in the eastern coastal parts of the study region. The analysis of the driving factors of the PM_2.5 concentration based on geographical detectors reveals that the average temperature is the main factor affecting the PM_2.5 concentration. The interaction among the factors contributing to the spatial differentiation of the PM_2.5 concentration is very obvious. Temperature and population density (q = 0.92), temperature and precipitation (q = 0.95), slope and precipitation (q = 0.97), as well as DEM and population density (q = 0.96), are the main combinations of factors that have continuously affected the spatial differentiation of the PM_2.5 concentration for many years. The research results from this study provide a scientific basis and decision support for the prevention, control, and governance of PM_2.5 pollution. Full article

Although measurements of urban shrinkage in China have received much attention, most have relied on statistical yearbook data based on political–administrative city boundaries, and remote-sensing-based quantification is mainly one-dimensional. This has caused problems in incorporating rural areas and spatiotemporal inconsistencies, as well as an inadequate understanding, which has subsequently resulted in an inaccurate shrinkage identification. This study merely utilized the latest multisensory and time-series remote sensing data, including nighttime light, land use, and population grids, to quantify the spatiotemporal patterns of multidimensional shrinkage based on the county-level urban entity mapping of Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations (YRD-UAs) from 2003 to 2023. County-level urban entities were acquired from a pioneering mapping effort that utilized city-specific commuting distance and land use maps. The results demonstrated that urban entities in 215 counties grew at a generally slowing pace. The degree of economic, population, and space shrinkage was mainly slight, and the shrinking trajectory was dominated by temporary shrinkage. Most counties experienced population shrinkage in their coastal-oriented distribution, whereas economic shrinkage affected the fewest counties, with the lowest spatial clustering occurring northward. Population shrinkage also displayed the highest spatial autocorrelation, but its agglomeration weakened against space shrinkage clustering. This study concluded that the exclusive utilization of remote sensing products to measure urban-entity-based multidimensional shrinkage reduced the uncertainty associated with rural area inclusion and resulted in satisfactory assessment accuracy. The spatiotemporal patterns of multidimensional shrinkage suggested strengthening ecological land allocation within urban entities across the entire region, implementing polycentric development strategies in the north, as well as enhancing county-level economic governance in the northwest. This study presents a spatiotemporally comparable methodology for quantifying the multidimensional shrinking of county-level urban entities at a large scale and contributes to further optimizing the developments of YRD-UAs. Full article

Cropland is a critical resource for safeguarding food security. Ensuring both the quantity and quality of cropland is essential for achieving zero hunger and promoting sustainable agriculture. However, whether urbanization-induced cropland loss poses a substantial threat to regional food security remains a key concern. This study examines the central region of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) in China, integrating CLCD (China Land Cover Dataset) land use/cover data (2001–2023), MOD17A2H net primary productivity (NPP) data, and statistical records to evaluate the impacts of urban expansion on grain yield. The analysis focuses on three components: (1) grain yield loss due to cropland conversion, (2) compensatory yield from newly added cropland under the requisition–compensation policy, (3) yield increases from stable cropland driven by agricultural enhancement strategies. Using Sen’s slope analysis, the Mann–Kendall trend test, and hot/coldspot analysis, we revealed that urban expansion converted approximately 14,598 km² of cropland, leading to a grain production loss of around 3.49 million tons, primarily in the economically developed cities of Yancheng, Nantong, Suzhou, and Shanghai. Meanwhile, 8278 km² of new cropland was added through land reclamation, contributing only 1.43 million tons of grain—offsetting just 41% of the loss. In contrast, stable cropland (102,188 km²) contributed an increase of approximately 9.84 million tons, largely attributed to policy-driven productivity gains in areas such as Chuzhou, Hefei, and Ma’anshan. These findings suggest that while compensatory cropland alone is insufficient to mitigate the food security risks from urbanization, the combined strategy of “Safeguarding Grain in the Land and in Technology” can more than compensate for production losses. This study underscores the importance of optimizing land use policy, strengthening technological interventions, and promoting high-efficiency land management. It provides both theoretical insight and policy guidance for balancing urban development with regional food security and sustainable land use governance. Full article

Urban vegetation shows significant spatial differences due to the combined effects of natural and human factors, yet fine-scale evolutionary patterns and their cross-scale feedback mechanisms remain limited. This study focuses on the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), the top economic area in China. By integrating data from multiple Landsat sensors, we built a high—resolution framework to track vegetation dynamics from 1990 to 2020. It generates annual 30-m Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data and uses a new Vegetation Green—Brown Balance Index (VBI) to measure changes between greening and browning. We combined Mann-Kendall trend analysis with machine—learning based attribution analysis to look into vegetation changes across different city types and urban—rural gradients. Over 30 years, the YRD’s annual EVI increased by 0.015/10 a, with greening areas 3.07 times larger than browning. Spatially, urban centers show strong greening, while peri—urban areas experience remarkable browning. Vegetation changes showed a city-size effect: larger cities had higher browning proportions but stronger urban cores’ greening trends. Cluster analysis finds four main evolution types, showing imbalances in grey—green infrastructure allocation. Vegetation baseline in 1990 is the main factor driving the long-term trend of vegetation greenness, while socioeconomic and climate drivers have different impacts depending on city size and position on the urban—rural continuum. In areas with low urbanization levels, climate factors matter more than human factors. These multi-scale patterns challenge traditional urban greening ideas, highlighting the need for vegetation governance that adapts to specific spatial conditions and city—unique evolution paths. Full article

As China shifts from rapid to high-quality development, urban growth has exhibited allometric patterns. This study evaluated land use efficiency from the perspective of architectural space, focusing on 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2010 to 2020. A land development intensity index was constructed at both the provincial and municipal levels using the entropy weight method, integrating floor area ratio, building density, and functional mix. The spatiotemporal characteristics of land development intensity and population density were analyzed, and a coordination coupling model was applied to identify mismatches between land and population. The results reveal: (1) Temporally, the imbalance of “more people, less land” in the Yangtze River Delta diminished. Spatially, leading regions exhibit a diffusion effect. Shanghai showed a decline in both population density and development intensity; Zhejiang maintained balanced development; Jiangsu experienced accelerated growth; and Anhui showed signs of catching up. (2) Although the two indicators showed a high coupling degree and strong correlation, the coordination degree remained low, indicating poor quality of correlation. The land-population relationship demonstrated a fluctuating pattern of “strengthening–weakening” over time. Shanghai exhibited the highest coordination, while more than half of the cities in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui still needed optimization. (3) Unlike previous findings that linked such patterns to shrinking cities, in this transformation stage, the number of cities where land development intensity exceeded population density continued to grow in advanced regions. This study first applied 3D building data at the macro scale to support differentiated spatial policies. Full article

Rapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economic cooperation regions remain understudied. This study examined the Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ)—a quadri-provincial border area—by constructing the evaluation systems for new urbanization and urban resilience. The development indices of the two systems were measured using the entropy weight-CRITIC method. The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination degree (CCD) were analyzed through a CCD model, while key driving factors influencing the CCD were investigated using a grey relational analysis model. The results indicated that both the new urbanization construction and urban resilience development indices in the HEZ exhibited a steady upward trend during the study period, with the urban resilience development index surpassing the new urbanization construction index. The new urbanization index increased from 0.3026 (2013) to 0.4702 (2023), and the urban resilience index increased from 0.3520 (2013) to 0.6366 (2023). The CCD between new urbanization and urban resilience reached 0.7368 by 2023, with 80% of cities in the HEZ achieving good coordination types. The variation of the CCD among cities was minimal, revealing a spatially clustered coordinated development pattern. In terms of driving factors, economic development level, public service capacity, and municipal resilience level were identified as core drivers for enhancing coupling coordination. Infrastructure construction, digital capabilities, and spatial intensification served as important supports, while ecological governance capacity remained a weakness. This study establishes a transferable framework for the coordinated development of secondary economic cooperation region, though future research should integrate diverse data sources and expand indicator coverage for higher precision. Moreover, the use of linear models to analyze the key driving factors of the CCD has limitations. The incorporation of non-linear techniques can better elucidate the complex interactions among factors. Full article

Against the backdrop of global climate change and rapid urbanization, understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics and driving mechanisms of vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) is critical for ensuring regional ecological security and achieving carbon neutrality goals. This study focuses on the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration (YRDUA) and integrates multi-source remote sensing data with socioeconomic statistics. By combining interpretable machine learning (XGBoost-SHAP) with multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), and incorporating Theil–Sen trend analysis and Mann–Kendall significance testing, we systematically analyze the spatiotemporal variations in NPP and its multiscale driving mechanisms from 2001 to 2020. The results reveal the following: (1) Total NPP in the YRDUA shows an increasing trend, with approximately 24.83% of the region experiencing a significant rise and only 2.75% showing a significant decline, indicating continuous improvement in regional ecological conditions. (2) Land use change resulted in a net NPP loss of 2.67 TgC, yet ecological restoration and advances in agricultural technology effectively mitigated negative impacts and became the main contributors to NPP growth. (3) The results from XGBoost and MGWR are complementary, highlighting the scale-dependent effects of driving factors—at the regional scale, natural factors such as elevation (DEM), precipitation (PRE), and vegetation cover (VFC) have positive impacts on NPP, while the human footprint (HF) generally exerts a negative effect. However, in certain areas, a dose–response effect is observed, in which moderate human intervention can enhance ecological functions. (4) The spatial heterogeneity of NPP is mainly driven by nonlinear interactions between natural and anthropogenic factors. Notably, the interaction between DEM and climatic variables exhibits threshold responses and a “spatial gradient–factor interaction” mechanism, where the same driver may have opposite effects under different geomorphic conditions. Therefore, a well-balanced combination of land use transformation and ecological conservation policies is crucial for enhancing regional ecological functions and NPP. These findings provide scientific support for ecological management and the formulation of sustainable development strategies in urban agglomerations. Full article

Amid declining fish diversity and human pressures in freshwater ecosystems, robust basin-scale assessments are vital for effective fisheries management. This study collated nearly four decades of fishery yields from the Pearl and Yangtze Rivers to identify conservation priorities in the Pearl River Basin. It introduced a novel cumulative effect indicator based on zeta diversity—a biodiversity pattern metric—integrated with cumulative effects analysis for management decision-making. The research employed a multi-site generalized dissimilarity model to examine the non-linear relationships between fish species composition (ζ_n) and human pressures, environmental factors, and geospatial variations across elevation gradients. The cumulative effect indicator, reflecting responses to anthropogenic stress when assessing ζ₂ (related to β diversity), helped evaluate basins for conservation or restoration needs based on their unique or homogenized biotic communities. The results suggest that ζ diversity in low-elevation sub-basins has a stronger filtering effect on ζ by human pressures than in mid- to high-elevation sub-basins, where community aggregation is more random. The impact varied with diversity aspects (nestedness vs. turnover) and zeta order. A negative correlation between cumulative effects and community uniqueness validated the novel cumulative effect indicator’s effectiveness for guiding restoration in the Pearl River Delta, potential fishing bans, and karst conservation. This approach offers a theoretical basis for prioritizing areas for freshwater fish diversity conservation and fishing restrictions in the Pearl River Basin. Full article

To address the escalating urban heat stress driven by global warming and rapid urbanization, this study integrates multi-source remote sensing data to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics of summer thermal comfort across the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration (YRDUA) from 2000 to 2020. By combining 2D landscape pattern metrics with 3D building morphological features, this study employs an XGBoost model enhanced with SHAP and PDP techniques to reveal the nonlinear and threshold effects of landscape configurations on the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). The results show the following: (1) during the study period, over 90% of the region experienced strong or extreme heat stress, and 76.8% of the area exhibited a rising UTCI trend, with an average increase of 0.09 °C per year; (2) forest coverage exceeding 50% reduced the UTCI by approximately 2.5 °C, and an increased water area lowered the UTCI by around 1.5 °C, while highly clustered cropland intensified the UTCI by about 1.5 °C; and (3) a moderate increase in building height and shape complexity improved ventilation and shading, reducing the UTCI by roughly 0.5 °C. These findings highlight that optimizing the blue–green infrastructure and 3D urban form are effective strategies to mitigate urban heat stress, offering scientific guidance for sustainable urban planning. Full article

This study, taking Anhui Province as a case study, systematically evaluated the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of six ecosystem services (biodiversity maintenance, water yield, carbon fixation, vegetation net primary productivity (NPP), soil retention, and crop production) from 2000 to 2020 through the integration of multi-stakeholder decision-making preferences and the Marxan model. Four conservation scenarios (ecological security priority, social benefit orientation, minimum cost constraint, and balance synergy) were established to explore the spatial optimization pathways of ecological protection zones under differentiated policy objectives. The findings indicated that: (1) The ecosystem services in Anhui Province exhibited a “low north and high south” spatial gradient, with significant synergies observed in natural ecosystem services in the southern Anhui mountainous areas, while the northern Anhui agricultural areas were subjected to significant trade-offs due to intensive development. (2) High service provision in the southern Anhui mountainous areas was maintained by topographic barriers and forest protection policies (significant NPP improvement zones accounted for 50.125%), whereas soil–water services degradation in the northern Anhui plains was caused by agricultural intensification and groundwater overexploitation (slight soil retention degradation covered 24.505%, and water yield degradation areas reached 29.766%). Urbanization demonstrated a double-edged sword effect—the expansion of the Hefei metropolitan area triggered suburban biodiversity degradation (significant degradation patches occupied 0.0758%), while ecological restoration projects promoted mountain NPP growth, highlighting the necessity of synergizing natural recovery and artificial interventions. (3) Multi-scenario planning revealed that the spatial congruence between the ecological security priority scenario and traditional ecological protection redlines reached 46.57%, whereas the social benefit scenario achieved only 12.13%, exposing the inadequate responsiveness of the current conservation framework to service demands in densely populated areas. This research validated the technical superiority of multi-objective systematic planning in reconciling ecological protection and development conflicts, providing scientific support for optimizing ecological security patterns in the Yangtze River Delta region. Full article

Small and micro wetlands exhibit enduring ecological dynamics that critically inform urban development planning and biodiversity conservation strategies. Focusing on Wuxi City (a representative area under high-intensity anthropogenic pressure in China’s Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration), we employ the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model. By integrating multi-temporal remote sensing imagery (1980–2020) with field surveys, we quantitatively assess spatiotemporal variations in habitat quality, with particular emphasis on their enhancement effects. The key findings were as follows. (1) The overall habitat quality in Wuxi City declined significantly during the period of 1980–2020 based on 30 m resolution land-use/land cover (LULC) data. The area of “good” habitat increased marginally by 1.02%, while “fair” and “excellent” habitats decreased by 19.4% and 1.64%, respectively. Conversely, the area of “poor” habitat rose markedly by 28.71%. (2) Small and micro wetlands were identified using Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification on Landsat imagery, showing a transformation from abundance to scarcity and then back to abundance. Before 2000, these areas grew rapidly, reaching a peak of 4.04 × 10⁴ hm² in 2000. Afterward, there was a sharp decline from 2000 to 2005, followed by stabilization. (3) A comparison of two land-use scenarios revealed that incorporating small and micro wetlands significantly expanded high-quality habitat areas and reduced low-quality areas. The most notable expansion occurred in 2000, with high-quality habitat areas increasing by 12.30%. This study demonstrates that directly using existing land-use data for habitat quality simulation overlooks the influence of small and micro wetlands. It is recommended that habitat quality simulations include extracted small and micro wetland data to ensure accurate assessments. Full article

The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is one of the most important japonica rice planting areas in China. Balancing the resistance, yield, and quality has always been a core issue in rice breeding due to the negative correlation among these three factors, while the broad-spectrum blast resistance gene Piz is closely linked with Hd1, the major gene regulating days to heading (DTH), and a precise combination of their beneficial alleles plays a key role in synchronously improving blast resistance and the regional adaptability of japonica rice in YRD. In this study, using the backcross progeny population derived from backbone parent ZD9471 and W1063, two alleles of Hd1 were identified. Then, through molecular marker-assisted selection combined with Green Super Rice 40K (GSR40K) chip-based screening, six introgression lines (ILs) with two different alleles combinations of Hd1 and Pigm were obtained. An evaluation of the blast resistance, yield, and quality traits showed that compared with the recipient parent, the panicle blast resistance of ILs was significantly enhanced; the grain number per panicle increased consistently with the delaying of the growth period, leading to higher yield in the ILs; the grain quality were synchronously improved. Two representative lines with similar genetic backgrounds but a significantly different regional adaptability, exhibiting a good blast resistance, high yield, and prominent quality were approved and demonstrated promising application prospects. Full article