Vaccination and Infectious Disease Epidemics

Background/Objectives: Meningococcal disease (MD) remains a significant public health concern worldwide. In Serbia, mandatory immunization against MD with the meningococcal polysaccharide vaccine (MenAC) for high-risk groups and international travelers was introduced in 2006. Since 2017, the polysaccharide vaccine has been replaced with the quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate vaccine (MenACWY). The aim of this study was to analyze long-term trends in incidence, age-specific patterns, seasonality, and lethality of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in the Autonomous Province of Vojvodina (AP Vojvodina), Serbia, over a 28-year period. Methods: A descriptive study analyzed all reported cases of IMD in AP Vojvodina, from 1997 to 2024. Data were obtained from the regional communicable disease surveillance system, based on mandatory hospital reporting and case classification according to national and WHO guidelines. Temporal, demographic, and clinical characteristics, along with disease outcomes, were analyzed. Results: From 1997 to 2024, 175 IMD cases were reported in AP Vojvodina. The annual incidence peaked in 1997 (1.24/100,000), with smaller surges in 2003 and 2005. Since 2006, coinciding with the introduction of immunization against MD, a sustained decline has been observed, with incidence rarely exceeding 0.30/100,000. A slight resurgence occurred in 2023–2024, with 13 cases reported. From 1997 to 2024, IMD in AP Vojvodina exhibited a clear seasonal pattern, with most cases occurring in winter and early spring, peaking in January (17%), March (12%), and February (11%), and the fewest cases occuring in the summer months. Throughout the study period, the highest IMD incidence rates were consistently observed among infants <1 year of age and children aged 1–4 years, with peaks of up to 22.9/100,000 and 16.0/100,000, respectively. Incidence was much lower in older age groups, especially adults. After a 2006 peak, rates declined across all ages, with a slight resurgence in 2023–2024 among children and adolescents. Children aged 1–4 years made up the largest share of IMD cases, peaking in January–March (45.1%). Half of the infant cases were recorded in October–November, while cases in older children, adolescents, and adults were fewer and showed varied monthly patterns, with small peaks in winter and early spring. During the 28-year study period, the highest IMD mortality rate was observed among infants <1 year of age (0.59 per 100,000 population), followed by children aged 1–4 years (0.32 per 100,000). Mortality rates declined progressively with increasing age, with the lowest rate recorded among individuals aged ≥40 years (0.01 per 100,000). Of the 175 IMD cases reported in AP Vojvodina (1997–2024), 21 were fatal (case fatality rate [CFR] = 12.0%). The CFR of IMD varied across age groups. The highest CFR was observed among individuals aged ≥40 years (21.4%), followed by the 5–9 years (17.4%) and <1 year (16.7%) age groups. None of the patients had been vaccinated against MD. Fatal outcomes were more common in children aged 1–4 years and among rural residents, though differences were not statistically significant (p > 0.05). Most deaths (57.1%) occurred in the first quarter of the year. A strong association was found between clinical form and outcome, with meningococcal sepsis being significantly more frequently associated with fatality than meningitis (p = 0.0002). Deaths were sporadic over time, with most occurring within 1–2 days of notification. All confirmed fatal cases were due to serogroup B. Conclusions: MD remains a rare yet serious public health threat in AP Vojvodina. Mortality rates indicate that the public health impact of this disease is greatest among the youngest age groups; however, the risk of death, i.e., disease severity, does not appear to be age dependent. The recent rise in cases, high fatality among sepsis patients, and absence of prior vaccination among all IMD cases highlight the need for enhanced surveillance, physician education, and consideration of introducing both MenACWY and MenB vaccines for high-risk groups. Full article

Background/Objectives: Mumps remains a relevant vaccine-preventable disease globally, especially in settings where immunization coverage fluctuates or vaccine-induced immunity wanes. This study aimed to assess long-term trends in mumps incidence, vaccination coverage, clinical outcomes, and demographic characteristics in the Autonomous Province of Vojvodina (AP Vojvodina), Serbia, over a 47-year period. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study using surveillance data from the Institute of Public Health of Vojvodina. Analyses included annual mumps incidence rates (1978–2024), coverage with mumps-containing vaccines (MuCVs; 1986–2024), monthly case counts, and individual-level case data for the 1997–2024 period. Variables analyzed included age, month of notification, gender, vaccination status, presence of clinical complications, and the method used for case confirmation. Results: Following the introduction of MuCV in 1986, the mumps incidence markedly declined, with limited resurgences in 2000, 2009, and 2012. Between 1997 and 2024, a total of 1358 cases were reported, with 62.7% occurring in males. Over time, the age distribution shifted, with adolescents and young adults being increasingly affected during the later (2011–2024) observed period. In 2012, the highest age-specific incidence was observed among individuals aged 10–19 and 20–39 years (49.1 and 45.5 per 100,000, respectively). Vaccination coverage for both MuCV doses was suboptimal in several years. The proportion of unvaccinated cases decreased over time, while the proportion with unknown vaccination status increased. Mumps-related complications—such as orchitis, pancreatitis, and meningitis—were rare and predominantly affected unvaccinated individuals: 84.2% of orchitis, 40.0% of pancreatitis, and all meningitis cases. Only two pancreatitis cases (40.0%) were reported after one MMR dose, while fully vaccinated individuals (two doses) had one orchitis case (5.3%) and no other complications. Laboratory confirmation was applied more consistently from 2009 onward, with 49.6% of cases confirmed that year (58 out of 117), and, in several years after 2020, only laboratory-confirmed cases were reported, indicating improved diagnostic capacity. Conclusions: Despite substantial progress in controlling mumps, gaps in vaccine coverage, waning immunity, and incomplete vaccination records continue to pose a risk for mumps transmission. Strengthening routine immunization, ensuring high two-dose MuCV coverage, improving vaccination record keeping, and enhancing laboratory-based case confirmation are critical. Consideration should be given to booster doses in high-risk populations and to conducting a seroepidemiological study to estimate the susceptible population for mumps in AP Vojvodina. Full article