Populations

Filipino immigrants play a central role in Canada’s essential workforce, particularly in health care, caregiving, and service sectors. This paper examines how their labour market outcomes have changed since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, focusing on employment, exposure to precarious work, and earnings. Using Labour Force Survey data from 2016 to 2025, we compare Filipino immigrants with other major immigrant groups, using Canadian-born workers as a benchmark. The results point to a consistent pattern: since the start of the pandemic, Filipino immigrants became more likely to experience unemployment and to be concentrated in precarious forms of work. At the same time, their earnings did not keep pace with those of Canadian-born workers, resulting in a widening gap. Compared to other immigrant groups, Filipino immigrants stand out as facing a combination of worsening job conditions and slower earnings growth. These findings suggest that the pandemic reshaped the labour market in ways that left Filipino immigrants increasingly vulnerable, despite their central role in essential work. The paper concludes by discussing policy measures that could better protect immigrant workers in future periods of economic disruption. Full article

The shrinking of a city evokes an image that the amount of the main urban components, such as public facilities, infrastructure, and built-up areas, also shrinks. However, in reality, even in so-called shrinking cities with declining population, physical and spatial expansion is reported to continue and remain growth-oriented. This study examines whether some main urban components are shrinking in response to population and household decline by analyzing 1709 municipalities in Japan, around 80% of which have already experienced population decline over the past decade (2012–2022). The analyses use two datasets disclosing total quantities of respective urban components at the municipal level in the two endpoint years of 2012 and 2022, employing some simple techniques: correlation, simple regression analysis, and cross-tabulation. The results reveal that public facilities, road networks, and urban areas were supplied accordingly during periods of population growth but no corresponding downsizing occurs during periods of population decline; instead, several population-declining municipalities witness continuous expansion of these three urban components, contradicting the decrease in population and households. This tendency will create an imbalance between population and urban components, raising concerns that excessive public facilities, infrastructure, and urban areas disproportionate to population decline will undermine the efficiency of urban services and increase the burden on administrative and fiscal operations. Full article

Countries face interconnected policy challenges: population aging, fertility change, migration, urbanization, labor transitions, food and water security, climate risk, health-system demand, school planning, housing pressure, consumption planning, and spatial inequality. Yet planning evidence is often fragmented across ministries, statistical offices, surveys, administrative systems, research projects, and dashboards. This paper proposes the Population-Based Systems Model, or PopSyM, as a country-owned analytical infrastructure that places population dynamics at the center of integrated policy planning. PopSyM begins with a demographic spine by age, sex, location, year, and scenario, then links that spine to modules for health, education, food, labor, housing, social protection, environment, and local infrastructure. Its purpose is not projection for its own sake, but the measurement and improvement of population well-being: longer and healthier lives, adequate material conditions, skills, meaningful work, security, dignity, and country-specific dimensions of a good life. Nepal is used as a motivating example, but the proposed architecture is general. The paper argues that the population should be treated not only as a denominator for indicators but also as the organizing framework through which countries understand future demand, vulnerability, consumption needs, policy trade-offs, and feedback between people and systems. Full article

Research on age segregation, defined as the spatial separation between older adults (65+) and younger populations, has lagged behind demographic shifts in the United States (US). Existing studies are often outdated, cross-sectional, and narrowly focused on metropolitan areas, with few examining race-specific patterns or structural drivers over time at the national scale. This exploratory study addresses these gaps by analyzing longitudinal trends and determinants of age segregation in US counties from 2005 to 2024, with attention to racial variation (White, Black, and Other). Using county-level data from the American Community Survey and fixed-effects regression models, we estimate how demographic, socioeconomic, industrial, and housing factors relate to changes in age segregation. Results indicate that overall age segregation declined in the mid-2010s but increased in recent years, which may reflect the responses to the economic recession in the late 2000s and baby boomers’ aging. Race-specific analyses show that age segregation is highest among Black populations, with contributing factors largely similar across groups but more pronounced for Black communities. Racial/ethnic diversity is consistently associated with lower age segregation, suggesting that demographic heterogeneity fosters intergenerational integration. Employment in secondary industries (e.g., construction and manufacturing) is positively associated with age segregation, particularly among Black populations, whereas housing market characteristics emerge as strong predictors of both overall and race-specific age segregation. These findings underscore the importance of considering race-specific and structural factors in understanding age segregation as the US population continues to age. Full article

This paper examines how place organizes life course trajectories and shapes population processes. It does so by structuring cumulative and unequal exposure to relationships, institutions, and opportunities over time. These spatially patterned exposures shape trajectories across the life course and contribute to population heterogeneity and stratification. Drawing on a life course perspective, the paper shows how place is constitutive of processes in domains including education, work, family life, and mobility, and how these experiences are implicated in divergence across cohorts and generations. It also considers how daily activity spaces, remembered environments, and symbolic attachments to place contribute to the formation of selves and to the reproduction of social and cultural meanings over time. The paper develops a conceptual account that treats place as a layered and cumulative dimension of life course processes, offering a more analytically coherent understanding of how spatial exposure shapes trajectories and population dynamics, and outlining implications for theory, research questions, and the measurement and modeling of place in life course research. Full article

The Cambodian genocide occurred between April 1975 and January 1979. Over one-third of Cambodia’s population perished, and many survivors suffer physical and mental health consequences. This study examines lasting influences of the Cambodian genocide on Cambodia’s population structure and on adult health and health behavior. To illustrate the legacy of decreased fertility and increased mortality during the genocide, population pyramids (1975, 1985, 2014, 2022) were generated using data from the United Nations Population Division. For comparison, population pyramids for the neighboring country of Thailand were generated. To examine the enduring health sequelae of the genocide, nationally representative Demographic and Health survey data (2014, 2021–2022) were used to compare smoking behaviors and stunted growth of women born shortly before and during the genocide (1972–1979) with women born shortly after the genocide (1980–1987). Cambodia’s population pyramids reveal a long-term paucity of individuals in the 1970s birth cohorts not observed for Thailand. Compared to women born shortly after the genocide, women with early-life exposure to the genocide were more likely to report smoking in adulthood and to have experienced stunted growth. The genocide impacted Cambodia’s population structure and affected the health and health behaviors of early childhood genocide survivors into adulthood. These findings imply life course and intergenerational impacts. Full article

Understanding the impact of neighborhood-level factors on stroke prevalence is crucial for addressing existing disparities. However, there is a distinct lack of ecological studies at the census tract level that investigate the social determinants of health (SDOH) influencing stroke prevalence within the U.S. Health and Human Services Region 3 (HHS Region 3: Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia). This study adopted a multivariate modeling approach to investigate the association between the 13 indicators of the Health Opportunity Index (HOI) and stroke prevalence at the census tract level in HHS Region 3 using four HOI indicator profiles and to highlight the specific SDOHs that are most associated with stroke prevalence. The four HOI indicator profiles include: (a) neighborhood and built environment profile, (b) social and community context profile, (c) resource profile, and (d) economic profile. The methodological approach was quantitative, using secondary data. The sample size was 8021 census tracts. The HOI was estimated for each census tract in the study area. Ordinary least squares regression (OLS) analysis and spatial lag model (SLM) were run to examine whether the 13 indicators of the HOI (categorized into four profiles) reliably predict stroke prevalence and to determine the most appropriate model that best identifies the strongest predictors of stroke prevalence. The results show that affordability, education, spatial segregation, and income inequality indicators were the strongest predictors of stroke prevalence in HHS Region 3. This granular research identifies the neighborhood-level SDOH most strongly linked to stroke prevalence, which can be leveraged to guide the development of targeted public health programs, quality improvement initiatives, resource allocation, and policy creation to combat stroke-related morbidity and mortality across census tracts in HHS Region 3. For example, the built environment, encompassing factors like employment access, affordable housing, and walkability, profoundly influences stroke prevalence and provides urban planners with practical insights for developing healthier, more equitable communities, such as creating neighborhood parks to encourage physical activity, a key factor in stroke prevention. This study also provides neighborhood organizations with the evidence needed to pursue grant funding and raise awareness about the socio-structural influences on stroke outcomes in their respective neighborhoods. Lastly, the insights generated from our study can facilitate collaborative decision-making processes with communities in HHS Region 3 regarding the prioritization of neighborhood-level SDOH for targeted public health interventions. This prioritization should focus on addressing predictors of stroke prevalence that are congruent with the community’s established priorities, thereby maximizing cost savings. Full article

We examine relationships across two focal variables, being an immigrant and experiencing racial discrimination (an adverse childhood experience, or ACE), and the outcome of a mental or emotional health condition for adolescent children in the U.S. Using a nationally representative sample from the National Survey of Children’s Health (NSCH; n = 16,040; 12–17 years old), we find that immigrant teens are 17 percent less likely than native-born teens to have a mental or emotional health condition and that teens who have experienced racial discrimination are almost twice as likely as teens who did not to have a mental or emotional health condition, net of other relationships. Adolescents with a mental or emotional health condition are more likely to be female, White, urban, living in an unsafe neighborhood, having a parent with less education, and coming from a household with a lower income. We find evidence for the healthy immigrant effect in terms of mental health for immigrant teens in the U.S., and also, we find a strong relationship between the ACE of experiencing racial discrimination and poor mental health of adolescents overall. Full article

Most demographic studies of fertility use data from surveys of women, not men. These studies have shown that, in the U.S., nonmarital births are more common among women from lower rather than higher socioeconomic (SES) backgrounds and higher among Black than White women. Using panel data, which have been shown to reduce men’s under-reporting of nonmarital births, we show that these generalizations also hold for men. Our analysis of nonmarital births for Black and White men and women distinguishes between nonunion and cohabiting births and shows that nonunion births are predicted by racial and SES disadvantage for both women and men. By contrast, cohabiting births are not higher for Black individuals, and they are higher among women whose mothers had less education only among White, and not Black individuals. The effects of race and mothers’ education on having a nonunion first birth are partly mediated by the income and family structure of one’s family of origin, high school grade point average, and school enrollment. We use NLSY-97 panel data from U.S. men and women born in 1980–1984 and present descriptive statistics, double decrement life tables, and event history models. We conclude that disadvantaged racial and SES backgrounds are strongly predictive of having a nonunion first birth for men as well as women. Full article

This study adheres to a logistic regression modeling protocol originally developed for long-range intelligence analyses and employs data from UN demographic estimates (the 2024 revision) to generate a set of statistical functions that suggest a moderately strong relationship between increasing median age and the probability of a persistently positive international net migration rate (NMR). According to this relationship, the post-Cold War probability (data from 1990 to 2015) of experiencing a persistently positive net migration rate (defined as a +NMR, directly followed by five consecutive years of +NMRs) rose from less than 0.12 at a population median age of 15 years, to a probability greater than 0.55 at 36 years, and then to more than 0.77 at 45 years. The author hypothesizes a speculative set of predictions aimed at providing long-term tests for this model. These predictions assume that, by a median age of 36.0 years, at least one country in the hypothesized cluster of countries will have shifted to experiencing a series of +NMRs. If, as this model predicts, the age-structurally associated transition to sustained +NMRs transpires by 2055, there could be a substantially larger pool of migrant net-receiving states in parts of Asia, Latin America, and North Africa than the UN’s future scenarios currently project. Full article

The COVID-19 pandemic introduced an additional major stressor for families in the Caribbean, a region already shaped by environmental risk and socioeconomic vulnerability. This study examined changes in family resilience across pandemic phases among English-speaking Caribbean populations, drawing on Walsh’s family resilience framework, which emphasizes belief systems, organizational processes, and communication. Using a convergent parallel mixed methods design, quantitative and qualitative data were integrated from two studies conducted before and during pandemic restrictions and after restrictions were lifted. Survey data were collected from 198 families across English-speaking Caribbean nations, and in-depth interviews were conducted with 31 families from Grenada, Jamaica, and Trinidad. Quantitative analyses indicated a significant decline in family resilience during periods of heightened restrictions, followed by a return to pre-pandemic levels. Qualitative findings identified faith, family connectedness, communication, resourcefulness, and a positive outlook as key processes supporting adaptation during the crisis. Overall, results suggest that while family resilience at the population level was strained during the pandemic, it demonstrated recovery over time. Policies and interventions that strengthen communication supports and community- and faith-based resources may enhance family resilience and preparedness for future public health and environmental disruptions in the Caribbean. Full article

Indigenous Kichwa women in the Ecuadorian Amazon experience disproportionately high levels of obstetric violence, yet their experiences remain largely absent from national demographic data. This study aims to measure the prevalence and forms of obstetric violence among Kichwa women while demonstrating the utility of community-designed demographic tools for documenting marginalized reproductive health experiences. We developed a participatory survey in collaboration with Kichwa midwives and women, several of whom are co-authors, and administered 139 structured surveys and 69 ethnographic interviews across 43 Indigenous communities in the Napo province to women who had given birth in a public hospital within the past five years. Quantitative data were analyzed using descriptive statistics to estimate prevalence across domains of obstetric violence, and interviews were thematically analyzed to contextualize these patterns. Findings indicate pervasive obstetric violence, including non-consensual procedures, verbal and psychological abuse, structural barriers to care, and suppression of traditional practices such as midwifery and plant medicine. Over 80% of participants reported at least one non-consensual procedure and at least one form of cultural or epistemic suppression, with most experiencing violence across multiple domains. These results position obstetric violence in the Amazon as a compounded, population-level exposure shaped by structural, environmental, and cultural determinants, underscoring the need for intercultural health reforms and Indigenous-led models of health governance. Full article

Italy’s current migrant integration policies show limited effectiveness in fostering genuine social inclusion, particularly for migrant women who face compounded, intersectional discrimination. Although Italy has adopted international frameworks such as CEDAW and the Istanbul Convention, their implementation remains fragmented and weak. The absence of structured, accessible language courses and personalized integration pathways disproportionately affects migrant women, especially those confined to domestic roles or constrained by cultural barriers. The analysis highlights the Migrant and Inclusive Communities (MeCI) project as an example of a successful local initiative that used technology to enhance linguistic and social inclusion. However, its time-limited nature constrained by temporary funding and local commitment reveals broader systemic failures, including the lack of institutionalization of effective practices and excessive reliance on local actors and short-term funding. The article also stresses the importance of recognizing refugee status through a gender-sensitive lens, acknowledging forms of persecution specific to women. Overall, Italy’s integration policies are undermined by the absence of a coherent national strategy, a focus on emergency and security measures, and insufficient long-term planning. The document calls for comprehensive, rights-based, and gender-sensitive policies that prioritize empowerment, participation, and social inclusion. Full article

Infertility affects 10–30% of couples globally, with significant psychological and social impacts in sub-Saharan Africa, where fertility is closely tied to identity and social status. To explore how couples’ understanding of infertility causes influences their treatment-seeking behaviours and healthcare decision-making processes in Ghana, this cross-sectional qualitative study used in-depth interviews with 24 married participants (nine dyads and six individuals) experiencing current or past infertility in Greater Accra, Ghana, from August to October 2023. Data were analysed using thematic analysis with NVivo version 15. Couples demonstrated comprehensive knowledge of infertility causes spanning medical, spiritual, cultural, and lifestyle factors, although they lacked knowledge of clinical diagnostic criteria. Three main treatment pathways emerged: medical/orthodox, herbal, and spiritual interventions, pursued either sequentially or concurrently. Decision-making was influenced by internal factors (treatment effectiveness, financial constraints, and safety concerns) and external factors (family influence and peer testimonials). Four distinct navigation strategies were identified: informed notification, trial periods and evaluation, parallel relationship management, and strategic sequencing. Couples experiencing infertility are sophisticated healthcare consumers who skilfully navigate pluralistic healthcare systems through strategic decision-making. Rather than representing non-compliance, their multimodal approaches reflect rational responses to structural constraints and cultural values. Healthcare systems should recognise and accommodate these navigation strategies to improve therapeutic relationships and outcomes. Full article

China has experienced a population decline since 2022, and its total fertility rate has dropped to about 1.0 in 2025. This is despite the lifting of the one-child policy in 2015 and the pivot to the two-child policy and three-child policy in, respectively, 2016 and 2021. Based on a review of recent research, this paper provides an interpretation that the continued fertility decline reflects a perfect storm of socioeconomic and demographic processes, long-term effects of the one-child policy, and unprecedented social changes in Chinese society. Socioeconomic and demographic changes since the 1950s prepared the ground for the “late, sparse, few” policy, resulting in a sharp fertility decline in the 1970s. While the one-child policy that followed did not result in a fertility decline in the 1980s, its effects appear to be long-lasting, including concentrated investment by the “inverted family” in the only child that drives up society-wide childrearing costs. Significant improvement in women’s educational attainment, individualistic orientation that prioritizes personal goals, increased diversity in family structure, such as one-person households, and changing views about getting married and having children have all contributed to continued downward pressure on fertility. These findings hint at the relevance of the concept of the second demographic transition for China and suggest that policy is only effective if it is aligned with what people want. Full article

Recent policy reports and state briefs continue to highlight the trend of out-migration from California. This outflow has been pronounced over the last three years, revealing a substantial net loss (i.e., net migration) of approximately 740,000 residents. However, there has been comparatively less emphasis on new residents moving to California. Over the past decade, California has attracted substantial in-migration from both domestic and international sources with annual inflows often exceeding 300,000 individuals. As such, studying in-migration is noteworthy as it shapes economic, political, and social landscapes. In-migration can alter the demographic profiles of regions, thereby impacting community dynamics, cultural diversity, and the provision of social services. Using pooled data from the American Community Survey (ACS) from 2021 to 2023 and employing a two-way fixed effects regression framework, I study how temporal changes in racial and ethnic composition, age structure, educational attainment, and economic indicators influence in-migration rates per 1000 residents at the public use microdata level (PUMA). The analysis reveals that higher proportions of Asian and Hispanic populations, as well as an increased share of college-educated residents, are positively associated with in-migration. Notably, higher supplemental poverty rates are also associated with greater in-migration, a counterintuitive finding that may reflect mobility toward affordable housing markets. These findings emphasize the importance of recognizing demographic and intra-regional variability, which can aid policymakers and planners in assessing and delivering public services. Full article

Many states around the world create an unprotected class of migrants by legally categorizing them as “unauthorized”. Yet, we have a limited understanding of the state of knowledge that has resulted from this empirical phenomenon, particularly outside the U.S. and over time. In this article, we map the state of knowledge on unauthorized migration by analyzing the last 30 years of papers published in a leading migration journal. Articles were identified through a comprehensive keyword-based search strategy and analyzed using a computational pipeline that combines natural language processing and large language model-assisted classification. Our findings reveal a persistent empirical emphasis on Mexico–U.S. migration, with economic drivers and disparities, as well as immigration laws and policies, dominating articles’ content. Our analysis also identifies underexplored or peripheral topics, including studies on gender or the environment, highlighting the need for more diversified, cross-national research. Ultimately, by providing a detailed account of our computational mapping approach, we hope this study will serve as a blueprint for future scholars to track how migration research evolves into the future. Full article

This review examines how demographic knowledge is framed and reimagined within a Scottish widening access higher education programme. Drawing on my positionality as a former international student and widening access graduate, alongside over 15 years of community-based work with disadvantaged Roma populations, I reflect on how notions of population “need” are often shaped by national policy priorities and narrow imaginaries of populations—typically white, Scottish, and urban. While these narratives reflect lived realities, they risk overlooking multilingual, racialised, and globally mobile populations increasingly present in both the student body and the communities that graduates will serve. Based on my work since 2021 in placement coordination and teaching, I outline how applied changes to placement partnerships, thematic content, and assessment practice can challenge and reframe these dominant narratives. Drawing on Foucault’s concepts of population, discipline, and control, and Esposito’s theorisation of community, immunity, and exclusion, and coupled with anti-oppressive pedagogies, I argue for a reorientation of demographic literacy toward more plural, critically engaged, and globally attuned understandings of population. In reframing demographic literacy as a site of justice, I move it beyond a technical skill of interpreting population data toward a critical practice of interrogating how populations are constructed, which groups are rendered visible or invisible, and how imaginaries of “need” shape inclusion and exclusion in higher education. Such a shift positions international students not only as beneficiaries of widening access but as active population actors whose experiences and knowledges expand the terms of justice and belonging in higher education. Full article