Innovative Methods in Long Sequence Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390). This special issue belongs to the section "E1: Mathematics and Computer Science".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 December 2025 | Viewed by 5647

Special Issue Editors


E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
School of Software, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
Interests: artificial intelligence and machine learning research with a focus on the application of time series forecasting; task decision making; AI safety; AI for science and other technologies in the industrial field and medical care

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
School of Computer Science and Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China
Interests: data mining; artificial intelligence
School of Computer Science and Technology, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China
Interests: virtualization; resource management; distributed computing; graph data mining
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The increasing availability of temporal data across scientific and industrial domains has positioned time series analysis as a cornerstone of modern data-driven decision making. From decades-long financial market trends and climate modeling to continuous biomedical monitoring and industrial process control, the analysis of long sequential data persists as a critical research frontier. Emerging methodologies encompassing statistical models, machine learning architectures, deep neural networks, and signal processing techniques are reshaping our approach to long-scale temporal dependency modeling.

The design and analysis of innovative methods for time series analysis requires careful consideration of unique temporal characteristics such as non-stationarity, computational bottlenecks in ultra-long horizon forecasting and high-dimensionality, missing data imputation in multi-source systems, and uncertainty quantification in long sequence analysis and coupled spatial–temporal processes. Recent advances in state-space modeling, frequency domain analysis, nonlinear dynamics characterization, and hybrid approaches combining domain knowledge with data-driven techniques demonstrate the vibrant evolution of this field.

This Special Issue focuses on cutting-edge methodological developments that address fundamental challenges in temporal pattern recognition and forecasting, with an expanded scope to encompass spatial–temporal applications. We emphasize both theoretical rigor and practical implementation, requiring submissions to address reproducibility, computational efficiency, and empirical validation through real-world case studies. Submissions may range from pure methodological advances to applied research demonstrating transformative impact. Interdisciplinary studies bridging traditional time series analysis with emerging computational paradigms are especially encouraged.

We particularly welcome contributions that

  • Develop novel architectures for long sequence modeling and cross-scale temporal dependencies;
  • Establish theoretical guarantees for time series algorithms and spatial–temporal algorithms;
  • Design computationally efficient techniques for large-scale streaming data;
  • Create interpretable models balancing accuracy with explainability;
  • Propose robust methods for uncertainty-aware forecasting;
  • Create hybrid models balancing interpretable components with deep learning performance;
  • Demonstrate transformative applications in domains requiring long-context analysis (e.g., climate science, energy systems) or spatial–temporal reasoning (e.g., traffic networks, epidemiological spread).

Dr. Haoyi Zhou
Dr. Qingyun Sun
Dr. Bin Shi
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 250 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for assessment.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Mathematics is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • time series analysis
  • spatiotemporal forecasting
  • non-stationary process modeling
  • high-dimensionality embedding
  • interpretability–accuracy trade-off
  • frequency–time domain synthesis
  • long-term dependency modeling
  • cross-scale dependency learning
  • data-driven decision making
  • domain knowledge integration
  • interdisciplinary applications

Benefits of Publishing in a Special Issue

  • Ease of navigation: Grouping papers by topic helps scholars navigate broad scope journals more efficiently.
  • Greater discoverability: Special Issues support the reach and impact of scientific research. Articles in Special Issues are more discoverable and cited more frequently.
  • Expansion of research network: Special Issues facilitate connections among authors, fostering scientific collaborations.
  • External promotion: Articles in Special Issues are often promoted through the journal's social media, increasing their visibility.
  • Reprint: MDPI Books provides the opportunity to republish successful Special Issues in book format, both online and in print.

Further information on MDPI's Special Issue policies can be found here.

Published Papers (5 papers)

Order results
Result details
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:

Research

20 pages, 9502 KB  
Article
Meta-Path-Based Probabilistic Soft Logic for Drug–Target Interaction Predictions
by Shengming Zhang and Yizhou Sun
Mathematics 2025, 13(24), 3958; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13243958 - 12 Dec 2025
Viewed by 93
Abstract
Drug–target interaction (DTI) predictions, which aim to predict whether a drug will be bounded to a target, have received wide attention recently. The goal is to automate and accelerate the costly process of drug design. Most of the recently proposed methods use single [...] Read more.
Drug–target interaction (DTI) predictions, which aim to predict whether a drug will be bounded to a target, have received wide attention recently. The goal is to automate and accelerate the costly process of drug design. Most of the recently proposed methods use single drug–drug similarity and target–target similarity information for DTI predictions; thus, they are unable to take advantage of the abundant information regarding the various types of similarities between these two types of information. Very recently, some methods have been proposed to leverage multi-similarity information; however, they still lack the ability to take into consideration the rich topological information of all sorts of knowledge bases in which the drugs and targets reside. Furthermore, the high computational cost of these approaches limits their scalability to large-scale networks. To address these challenges, we propose a novel approach named summated meta-path-based probabilistic soft logic (SMPSL). Unlike the original PSL framework, which often overlooks the quantitative path frequency, SMPSL explicitly captures crucial meta-path count information. By integrating summated meta-path counts into the PSL framework, our method not only significantly reduces the computational overhead, but also effectively models the heterogeneity of the network for robust DTI predictions. We evaluated SMPSL against five robust baselines on three public datasets. The experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperformed all of the baselines in terms of the AUPR and AUC scores. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

19 pages, 373 KB  
Article
Time-Series Recommendation Quality, Algorithm Aversion, and Data-Driven Decisions: A Temporal Human–AI Interaction Perspective
by Shan Jiang, Tianyu Chen, Yufei Tan, Shiqi Gao and Lanhao Li
Mathematics 2025, 13(21), 3528; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13213528 - 4 Nov 2025
Viewed by 1262
Abstract
New AI technologies have empowered e-commerce personalized recommendation systems, many of which now leverage time-series forecasting to capture dynamic user preferences. However, buyers’ algorithm aversion hinders these systems from realizing their full potential in enabling data-driven decisions. Current research focuses heavily on artifact [...] Read more.
New AI technologies have empowered e-commerce personalized recommendation systems, many of which now leverage time-series forecasting to capture dynamic user preferences. However, buyers’ algorithm aversion hinders these systems from realizing their full potential in enabling data-driven decisions. Current research focuses heavily on artifact design and algorithm optimization to reduce aversion, with insufficient attention to the temporal dimensions of human–AI interaction (HAII). To address this gap, this study explores how recommendation accuracy, novelty, and diversity—key attributes in time-series recommendation contexts—influence buyers’ algorithm aversion from a temporal HAII perspective. Data from 205 online survey responses were analyzed using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM). Results reveal that accuracy (encompassing sequential prediction consistency), novelty (balanced with temporal relevance), and diversity (covering long-term preferences) negatively impact algorithm aversion, with perceived usefulness as a mediator. Reduced aversion further facilitates data-driven purchasing decisions. This study enriches the algorithm aversion literature by emphasizing temporal HAII in time-series recommendation scenarios, bridging human factors research with data-driven decision-making in e-commerce. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

30 pages, 2358 KB  
Article
Prediction of Mental Fatigue for Control Room Operators: Innovative Data Processing and Multi-Model Evaluation
by Yong Chen, Jiangtao Chen, Xian Xie, Wenchao Yi and Zuzhen Ji
Mathematics 2025, 13(17), 2794; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13172794 - 30 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1070
Abstract
When control room operators encounter mental fatigue, the accuracy of their work will decline. Accurately predicting the mental fatigue of industrial control room operators is of great significance for preventing operational mistakes. In this study, facial data of experimental participants were collected via [...] Read more.
When control room operators encounter mental fatigue, the accuracy of their work will decline. Accurately predicting the mental fatigue of industrial control room operators is of great significance for preventing operational mistakes. In this study, facial data of experimental participants were collected via cameras, and fatigue levels were evaluated using an improved Karolinska Sleepiness Scale (KSS). Subsequently, a dataset of fatigue samples based on facial features was established. A novel early-warning framework was put forward, framing fatigue prediction as a time series prediction task. Two innovative data processing techniques were introduced. Reverse data binning transforms discrete fatigue labels into continuous values through a random perturbation of ≤0.3, enabling precise temporal modeling. A fatigue-aware data screening method uses the 6 s rule and a sliding window to filter out transient states and preserve key transition patterns. Five prediction models, namely Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN), Transformer, and Attention-based Temporal Convolutional Network (Attention-based TCN), were evaluated using the collected dataset of fatigue samples based on facial features. The results indicated that LightGBM demonstrated outstanding performance, with an accuracy rate reaching 93.33% and an average absolute error of 0.067. It significantly outperformed deep learning models. Moreover, its computational efficiency further verified its suitability for real-time deployment. This research integrates predictive modeling with industrial safety applications, providing evidence for the feasibility of machine learning in proactive fatigue management. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

18 pages, 3717 KB  
Article
A Hybrid LMD–ARIMA–Machine Learning Framework for Enhanced Forecasting of Financial Time Series: Evidence from the NASDAQ Composite Index
by Jawaria Nasir, Hasnain Iftikhar, Muhammad Aamir, Hasnain Iftikhar, Paulo Canas Rodrigues and Mohd Ziaur Rehman
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2389; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152389 - 25 Jul 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 1872
Abstract
This study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting approach designed explicitly for long-horizon financial time series. It incorporates LMD (Local Mean Decomposition), SD (Signal Decomposition), and sophisticated machine learning methods. The framework for the NASDAQ Composite Index begins by decomposing the original time series [...] Read more.
This study proposes a novel hybrid forecasting approach designed explicitly for long-horizon financial time series. It incorporates LMD (Local Mean Decomposition), SD (Signal Decomposition), and sophisticated machine learning methods. The framework for the NASDAQ Composite Index begins by decomposing the original time series into stochastic and deterministic components using the LMD approach. This method effectively separates linear and nonlinear signal structures. The stochastic components are modeled using ARIMA to represent linear temporal dynamics, while the deterministic components are projected using cutting-edge machine learning methods, including XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), and Support Vector Machines (SVMs). This study employs various statistical metrics to evaluate the predictive ability across both short-term noise and long-term trends, including Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Directional Statistic (DS). Furthermore, the Diebold–Mariano test is used to determine the statistical significance of any forecast improvements. Empirical results demonstrate that the hybrid LMD–ARIMA–SD–XGBoost model consistently outperforms alternative configurations in terms of prediction accuracy and directional consistency. These findings demonstrate the advantages of integrating decomposition-based signal filtering with ensemble machine learning to improve the robustness and generalizability of long-term forecasting. This study presents a scalable and adaptive approach for modeling complex, nonlinear, and high-dimensional time series, thereby contributing to the enhancement of intelligent forecasting systems in the economic and financial sectors. As far as the authors are aware, this is the first study to combine XGBoost and LMD in a hybrid decomposition framework for forecasting long-horizon stock indexes. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

24 pages, 3200 KB  
Article
A Spatial–Temporal Time Series Decomposition for Improving Independent Channel Forecasting
by Yue Yu, Pavel Loskot, Wenbin Zhang, Qi Zhang and Yu Gao
Mathematics 2025, 13(14), 2221; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13142221 - 8 Jul 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 964
Abstract
Forecasting multivariate time series is a pivotal task in controlling multi-sensor systems. The joint forecasting of all channels may be too complex, whereas forecasting the channels independently may cause important spatial inter-dependencies to be overlooked. In this paper, we improve the performance of [...] Read more.
Forecasting multivariate time series is a pivotal task in controlling multi-sensor systems. The joint forecasting of all channels may be too complex, whereas forecasting the channels independently may cause important spatial inter-dependencies to be overlooked. In this paper, we improve the performance of single-channel forecasting algorithms by designing an interpretable front-end that extracts the spatial–temporal components from the input multivariate time series. Specifically, the multivariate samples are first segmented into equal-sized matrix symbols. The symbols are decomposed into the frequency-separated Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) using a 2D Empirical-Mode Decomposition (EMD). The IMF components in each channel are then forecasted independently using relatively simple univariate predictors (UPs) such as DLinear, FITS, and TCN. The symbol size is determined to maximize the temporal stationarity of the EMD residual trend using Bayesian optimization. In addition, since the overall performance is usually dominated by a few of the weakest predictors, it is shown that the forecasting accuracy can be further improved by reordering the corresponding channels to make more correlated channels more adjacent. However, channel reordering requires retraining the affected predictors. The main advantage of the proposed forecasting framework for multivariate time series is that it retains the interpretability and simplicity of single-channel forecasting methods while improving their accuracy by capturing information about the spatial-channel dependencies. This has been demonstrated numerically assuming a 64-channel EEG dataset. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop