This study explores a photovoltaic/thermal (PV/T)-based electrolysis system designed for dual production of hydrogen fuel and domestic hot water (DHW), providing a sustainable energy solution amid rising global emissions. A dynamic rule-based control mechanism with hysteresis thresholds on hydrogen-storage state of charge (SoC)
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This study explores a photovoltaic/thermal (PV/T)-based electrolysis system designed for dual production of hydrogen fuel and domestic hot water (DHW), providing a sustainable energy solution amid rising global emissions. A dynamic rule-based control mechanism with hysteresis thresholds on hydrogen-storage state of charge (SoC) is implemented to balance electrolyzer operation with intermittent solar availability, maintaining PV/T power outputs while preventing storage overfilling and minimizing start–stop cycling. The system is assessed across 27 geographically diverse cities spanning a wide range of solar irradiation and energy price structures. Annual hydrogen yields range from 20 kg/yr in high-latitude locations (Helsinki, Stockholm) to 33.5 kg/yr in high-irradiation regions (Riyadh, Abu Dhabi), while the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) spans from 6.47 USD/kg (Riyadh) to 22.86 USD/kg (Helsinki). Economically, the system achieves its strongest performance in solar-rich, high-energy-cost environments: Rome records the highest net annual cash flow (858.9 USD/yr) and shortest payback period (2.47 years), followed by Davos, Madrid, Brasília, and Canberra. In contrast, locations with subsidized energy tariffs—such as Algiers, Kyiv, and Tehran—yield low or negative net cash flows, rendering the system economically unviable without policy support. Environmental analysis reveals annual CO
2 avoidance ranging from 0.33 ton/yr (Stockholm) to 2.97 ton/yr (Riyadh), with a global mean of 1.095 ton/yr and a combined total of approximately 29.6 tons/yr across all examined sites. A machine learning model is developed to generalize performance predictions across unseen locations, achieving leave-one-out (LOO) R
2 values of 0.953 (net cash flow), 0.935 (LCOH), and 0.947 (LCO-DHW), with mean absolute errors below ±1 USD/kg and ±0.03 USD/kWh. The findings confirm that, under fixed capital cost assumptions, local electricity price and solar irradiation are the dominant drivers of economic viability, while grid carbon intensity and solar resource jointly govern environmental performance, with markets offering irradiation above 1500 kWh/m
2·yr and electricity prices exceeding 0.2 USD/kWh representing the most promising deployment targets.
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