Table of Contents
Climate, Volume 6, Issue 3 (September 2018)
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Cover Story (view full-size image) We used historical data and the results of field studies to set up the Poly-Hydro model in order to [...] Read more. We used historical data and the results of field studies to set up the Poly-Hydro model in order to assess the main hydrological components of the snow/ice melt-driven Maipo river of Chile, as well as glaciers’ retreat under climate change in the last three decades. We subsequently forced the model with climate projections up to 2100 from three GCMs from the IPCC AR5, under three different representative concentration pathways (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 8.5). We investigated potential trends of precipitation, temperature, and stream flows until 2100 in the projection period (PR, 2014–2100) and the whole period (CM, 1980–2100, composite) against historical trends in the control period (CP, 1980–2013). Our results demonstrate the largest potential for droughts during summer in the Maipo river, in addition to largely decreasing ice cover in the area. View the paper