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Econometrics, Volume 12, Issue 3

September 2024 - 8 articles

Cover Story: There are international negotiations among almost 200 countries at the World Health Organization (WHO) regarding a global plan to deal with the next pandemic on the scale of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease of 2019), known as “Disease X”. Thus, we developed a panel quasi-vector autoregressive (PQVAR) model for multivariate t-distribution with dynamic unobserved effects. We used data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for all states of the United States (US) from March 2020 to September 2022 on all death counts of (i) COVID-19 deaths, (ii) deaths that may be medically related to COVID-19, and (iii) the rest of the causes of death. The t-PQVAR model may be used for forecasting purposes upon the outbreak of a future “Disease X” pandemic in the US. View this paper
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Articles (8)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,560 Views
11 Pages

When estimating treatment effects, the gold standard is to conduct a randomized experiment and then contrast outcomes associated with the treatment group and the control group. However, in many cases, randomized experiments are either conducted with...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,750 Views
24 Pages

Score-Driven Interactions for “Disease X” Using COVID and Non-COVID Mortality

  • Szabolcs Blazsek,
  • William M. Dos Santos and
  • Andreco S. Edwards

The COVID-19 (coronavirus disease of 2019) pandemic is over; however, the probability of such a pandemic is about 2% in any year. There are international negotiations among almost 200 countries at the World Health Organization (WHO) concerning a glob...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,536 Views
19 Pages

Signs of Fluctuations in Energy Prices and Energy Stock-Market Volatility in Brazil and in the US

  • Gabriel Arquelau Pimenta Rodrigues,
  • André Luiz Marques Serrano,
  • Gabriela Mayumi Saiki,
  • Matheus Noschang de Oliveira,
  • Guilherme Fay Vergara,
  • Pedro Augusto Giacomelli Fernandes,
  • Vinícius Pereira Gonçalves and
  • Clóvis Neumann

Volatility reflects the degree of variation in a time series, and a measurement of the stock performance in the energy sector can help one understand the pattern of fluctuations within this industry, as well as the factors that influence it. One of t...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,640 Views
18 Pages

This study estimates transient and persistent technical efficiencies (TEs) using a generalized true random-effects (GTRE) model. We estimate the GTRE model using maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimation methods, then compare it to three simpler mod...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,871 Views
16 Pages

Heterogeneity in preferences can be addressed through various discrete choice modeling approaches. The random-parameter latent class (RLC) approach offers a desirable alternative for analysts due to its advantageous properties of separating classes w...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,956 Views
14 Pages

Regularized regression methods have attracted much attention in the literature, mainly due to its application in high-dimensional variable selection problems. Most existing regularization methods assume that the predictors are directly observed and p...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,372 Views
28 Pages

Non-negative distributions are important tools in various fields. Given the importance of achieving a good fit, the literature offers hundreds of different models, from the very simple to the highly flexible. In this paper, we consider the power&ndas...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
4,278 Views
23 Pages

Public debt is determined by borrowings undertaken by a government to finance its short- or long-term financial needs and to ensure that macroeconomic objectives are met within budgetary constraints. In Romania, public debt has been on an upward traj...

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Econometrics - ISSN 2225-1146