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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 18, Issue 4

April 2025 - 54 articles

Cover Story: Accurate inflation forecasts are crucial for effective monetary policy, particularly during turning points that demand policy realignment. This study examines the efficacy of Neural Network Ensemble Models in predicting U.S. inflation turning points more precisely than traditional methods, i.e., the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Results based on monthly data between 1970 and 2024 indicate that Neural Network Ensemble Models consistently outperform conventional approaches and detect inflation turning points earlier, projecting a return to target levels several months ahead of the Survey of Professional Forecasters’ average forecast. Our findings demonstrate that neural networks capture complex nonlinear relationships in macroeconomic data and hold great promise for guiding policymakers’ decisions under conditions of economic uncertainty. View this paper
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Articles (54)

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,892 Views
15 Pages

This study investigates the effects of bilateral and multilateral official development assistance on Vietnam’s economic growth from 1986 to 2022. Utilizing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, our results show that...

  • Article
  • Open Access
4,124 Views
15 Pages

Healthcare professionals require comparable knowledge and abilities in hospital financial administration. In addition, many physicians are not equipped to manage the leadership roles that healthcare systems require, namely the capacity to express a v...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,345 Views
16 Pages

This work develops a practical multi-period optimization approach that incorporates real-world constraints, including discrete decisions and conic risk constraints. Expanding upon earlier single-period models, our framework employs a binary scenario...

  • Article
  • Open Access
8 Citations
14,494 Views
24 Pages

This paper examines the uptake of AI-driven fraud detection systems among financial institutions in the UAE and Qatar, with a special focus on trust, transparency, and perceptions of fairness. Despite the promise of AI operations in identifying finan...

  • Article
  • Open Access
1,563 Views
18 Pages

This paper examines the financial health risks that private sector water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) businesses in rural Vietnam face. It investigates the challenges faced by water operators and sanitation suppliers involved in donor-funded devel...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,270 Views
30 Pages

Loan defaults have become an increasing concern for lending institutions, presenting significant challenges to profitability and operational stability. However, with the advent of advanced data processing capabilities, greater data availability, and...

  • Review
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,957 Views
26 Pages

Financial and Administrative Management Models for Digital Ventures: A Literature Review

  • Laura Constanza Gallego Cossio,
  • Ludivia Hernández Aros,
  • Darío Rodríguez Perdomo and
  • Mario Samuel Rodríguez Barrero

Financial and administrative management models are crucial to the success of digital ventures, providing practices that optimize resource management and support strategic decision-making in dynamic digital environments. This study presents an origina...

  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,160 Views
19 Pages

Engaging in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) activities entails costs that influence a firm’s financial and market performance. However, it is expected that the long-term benefits of ESG engagement outweigh these costs, leading to su...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,406 Views
27 Pages

Fintechs and Institutions: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

  • Diogo Campos-Teixeira,
  • Jorge Tello-Gamarra,
  • João Reis,
  • André Andrade Longaray and
  • Martin Hernani-Merino

Institutions play a vital role in restricting or encouraging the performance of any economic agent. In this context, fintechs represent a vector of exponential change in the global financial system and its institutions. However, despite the existing...

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J. Risk Financial Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074