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Journal of Risk and Financial Management, Volume 18, Issue 4

2025 April - 54 articles

Cover Story: Accurate inflation forecasts are crucial for effective monetary policy, particularly during turning points that demand policy realignment. This study examines the efficacy of Neural Network Ensemble Models in predicting U.S. inflation turning points more precisely than traditional methods, i.e., the Survey of Professional Forecasters. Results based on monthly data between 1970 and 2024 indicate that Neural Network Ensemble Models consistently outperform conventional approaches and detect inflation turning points earlier, projecting a return to target levels several months ahead of the Survey of Professional Forecasters’ average forecast. Our findings demonstrate that neural networks capture complex nonlinear relationships in macroeconomic data and hold great promise for guiding policymakers’ decisions under conditions of economic uncertainty. View this paper
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Articles (54)

  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,983 Views
15 Pages

This study investigates the effects of bilateral and multilateral official development assistance on Vietnam’s economic growth from 1986 to 2022. Utilizing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, our results show that...

(This article belongs to the Section Applied Economics and Finance)
  • Editorial
  • Open Access
2 Citations
3,344 Views
7 Pages

Amid global uncertainties and economic fluctuations, enterprises play a crucial role in fostering sustainable growth and high-quality development through innovative and responsible practices (Xin et al [...]

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Featured Papers in Corporate Finance and Governance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6,114 Views
15 Pages

Healthcare professionals require comparable knowledge and abilities in hospital financial administration. In addition, many physicians are not equipped to manage the leadership roles that healthcare systems require, namely the capacity to express a v...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,574 Views
16 Pages

This work develops a practical multi-period optimization approach that incorporates real-world constraints, including discrete decisions and conic risk constraints. Expanding upon earlier single-period models, our framework employs a binary scenario...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Computational Finance and Financial Econometrics)
  • Article
  • Open Access
35 Citations
21,895 Views
24 Pages

This paper examines the uptake of AI-driven fraud detection systems among financial institutions in the UAE and Qatar, with a special focus on trust, transparency, and perceptions of fairness. Despite the promise of AI operations in identifying finan...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Innovations in Accounting Practices)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,912 Views
18 Pages

This paper examines the financial health risks that private sector water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) businesses in rural Vietnam face. It investigates the challenges faced by water operators and sanitation suppliers involved in donor-funded devel...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Finance, Risk and Sustainable Development)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,218 Views
30 Pages

Loan defaults have become an increasing concern for lending institutions, presenting significant challenges to profitability and operational stability. However, with the advent of advanced data processing capabilities, greater data availability, and...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Featured Papers in Finance and Society Wellbeing—in Honor of Professors Joe Gani and Chris Heyde)
  • Review
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,578 Views
26 Pages

Financial and Administrative Management Models for Digital Ventures: A Literature Review

  • Laura Constanza Gallego Cossio,
  • Ludivia Hernández Aros,
  • Darío Rodríguez Perdomo and
  • Mario Samuel Rodríguez Barrero

Financial and administrative management models are crucial to the success of digital ventures, providing practices that optimize resource management and support strategic decision-making in dynamic digital environments. This study presents an origina...

(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
  • Article
  • Open Access
13 Citations
7,505 Views
19 Pages

Engaging in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) activities entails costs that influence a firm’s financial and market performance. However, it is expected that the long-term benefits of ESG engagement outweigh these costs, leading to su...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Finance, Risk and Sustainable Development)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
4,491 Views
27 Pages

Fintechs and Institutions: Evidence from an Emerging Economy

  • Diogo Campos-Teixeira,
  • Jorge Tello-Gamarra,
  • João Reis,
  • André Andrade Longaray and
  • Martin Hernani-Merino

Institutions play a vital role in restricting or encouraging the performance of any economic agent. In this context, fintechs represent a vector of exponential change in the global financial system and its institutions. However, despite the existing...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fintech, Business, and Development)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,062 Views
22 Pages

Sustainable Banking and Bank Stability in Nigeria: Empirical Evidence from Deposit Money Banks

  • Olusola Enitan Olowofela,
  • Hermann Azemtsa Donfack and
  • Celestin Wafo Soh

We investigated the impact of sustainable banking practices on bank stability in the Nigerian banking sector. We focused on data from 2012 to 2022, which were extracted from the balance sheets of deposit money banks in Nigeria. We employed the Dynami...

(This article belongs to the Section Banking and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
8,256 Views
23 Pages

Green Bond Yield Determinants in Indonesia: The Moderating Role of Bond Ratings

  • Mutia Wahyuningsih,
  • Wiwik Utami,
  • Augustina Kurniasih and
  • Endri Endri

This study investigates the relationship between bond-specific factors, macroeconomic variables, and green bond (GB) yields issued in the Indonesian bond market. The study sample includes 468 GBs issued by 30 issuers from both corporate and governmen...

(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
5,251 Views
24 Pages

One essential component of insurance technology (Insurtech) is peer-to-peer (P2P) insurance, which represents a transformative shift from conventional insurance to digital platforms by fostering community-based risk sharing. This study contributes to...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Technology and Innovation)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
17,023 Views
16 Pages

The present study examines the relationship between the cash conversion cycle (CCC) and profitability in major service sectors in Greece, including hotels, education, healthcare, transfer—rentals, and information technology. Using financial dat...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI and Sustainable Growth in Economics and Finance: Global Trends and Challenges)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
3,459 Views
18 Pages

Fiscal Sustainability and the Informal Economy: A Non-Linear Perspective

  • Dănuț Georgian Mihai,
  • Bogdan Andrei Dumitrescu and
  • Andreea-Mădălina Bozagiu

This study examines the issue of fiscal sustainability—measured through the response of the budgetary balance to public debt levels—for 36 OECD countries and candidate countries, and it shows that the relationship is non-linear and depend...

(This article belongs to the Section Economics and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
3,462 Views
14 Pages

This study indicates that internal auditors need to fully adopt CAATs to improve the efficiency of auditing tasks. This paper investigates the determinants influencing CAAT adoption among internal auditors in Jordanian firms. This study investigates...

(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,810 Views
24 Pages

Disclosure of Sustainability Practices in Annual Reports and the Funding Cost of Cooperative Financial Organizations

  • Bruno de Medeiros Teixeira,
  • Clea Beatriz Macagnan,
  • Cenaide Francieli Justen and
  • Israel Patiño-Galvan

This study aimed to analyze the level of disclosure of information representing sustainability practices from the stakeholders’ perspective and its relationship with the funding cost of cooperative financial organizations. The level of disclosu...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability Reporting and Corporate Governance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4,104 Views
28 Pages

This study adopts a three-factor approach to the affine term structure models, aiming to analyse South African (SA) government bond yields across various maturities. The primary objective is to evaluate whether these models offer robust pricing capab...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Computational Finance and Financial Econometrics)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3,937 Views
28 Pages

In this study, we examine the relevance of the coexistence of structural change and long memory to model and forecast the volatility of Tunisian stock returns and to deliver a more accurate measure of risk along the lines of VaR and expected shortfal...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning-Based Risk Management in Finance and Insurance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
5,007 Views
19 Pages

This study examines how board diversity affects the capital structure decisions of United Kingdom (UK)-listed firms on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) under varying market conditions for the period from 2002 to 2021. Data were gathered from BoardEx,...

(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
  • Article
  • Open Access
36 Citations
16,639 Views
21 Pages

Stock market forecasting is a critical area in financial research, yet the inherent volatility and non-linearity of financial markets pose significant challenges for traditional predictive models. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model, int...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk Management in Capital Markets)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,121 Views
21 Pages

The Role of Project Description in the Success of Sustainable Crowdfunding Projects

  • Li-Yun Yin,
  • Fleur C. Khalil,
  • Lionel J. Khalil and
  • Jeanne A. Kaspard

Crowdfunding nowadays has become a significant source of financing for all those entrepreneurs who require funds to start their operations, specifically for social ventures. Furthermore, determining what factors decide whether a project will successf...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Technology (Fintech) and Sustainable Financing, 3rd Edition)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
9,654 Views
18 Pages

Determinants of SME Internationalisation: An Empirical Assessment of Born Global Firms

  • Syed Khusro Chishty,
  • Sonia Sayari,
  • Amani Hamza Mohamed,
  • Asra Inkesar,
  • Mohammed Faishal Mallick and
  • Nusrat Khan

The research concentrates on determining the degree of internationalization of born global SMEs, believing that some push factors determine internationalization, pull factors, and internal firm-specific factors. Three important factors were found in...

(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
  • Article
  • Open Access
7 Citations
13,933 Views
15 Pages

Nigerian banks encounter persistent difficulties in efficiently managing and disclosing credit and liquidity risks, considerably affecting their financial performance and shareholders’ confidence. This study, therefore, examined the effect of r...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
4,618 Views
31 Pages

Financial distress poses a significant risk to companies worldwide, irrespective of their nature or size. It refers to a situation where a company is unable to meet its financial obligations on time, potentially leading to bankruptcy and liquidation....

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning Applications in Finance, 2nd Edition)
  • Article
  • Open Access
44 Citations
17,330 Views
22 Pages

In today’s competitive business environment, digital transformation is crucial for organizational success. The Jordanian banking sector faces the challenges of adapting to rapid digital advancements, evolving customer expectations, and intense...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Technology and Innovation)
  • Article
  • Open Access
12 Citations
7,298 Views
16 Pages

As corporate sector stability is crucial for economic resilience and growth, machine learning has become a widely used tool for constructing early warning systems (EWS) to detect financial vulnerabilities more accurately. While most existing EWS rese...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Role of Digitization in Corporate Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
6,855 Views
23 Pages

The stability of financial markets is influenced by the strength and transparency of companies listed on stock exchanges. This paper explores how financial, non-financial, and macroeconomic factors influence delisting likelihood among companies liste...

(This article belongs to the Section Applied Economics and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4 Citations
3,361 Views
20 Pages

Ignoring the presence of non-performing assets makes efficiency measurement inappropriate and incomplete. Thus, the present study considers non-performing assets as an undesirable output and applies the slack-based efficiency model to measure the eff...

(This article belongs to the Section Banking and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,780 Views
32 Pages

We introduce a fairly general, recombining trinomial tree model in the natural world. Market completeness is ensured by considering a market consisting of two risky assets, a riskless asset and a European option. The two risky assets consist of a sto...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Financial Innovations and Derivatives)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,239 Views
19 Pages

This study examines the relationship between the communication tone of the Fed and that of the ECB over the period from January 2000 to September 2023. The tones were measured using both lexicon-based and transform-based algorithms. Wavelet coherence...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning-Based Risk Management in Finance and Insurance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
7,624 Views
15 Pages

This paper examines and compares the trading strategies of carry and covered interest arbitrage. This study constructs portfolios for G10 countries based on interest rates’ spot and forward exchange rates. We extend the prior literature by focu...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
6,794 Views
13 Pages

This study analyzes the impact of digital transformation on the international economic integration of ASEAN-6 countries during the period of 2000–2023 using the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) estimation method. The findings indicate that facto...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Recent Developments in Finance and Economic Growth)
  • Article
  • Open Access
3 Citations
6,979 Views
17 Pages

Green Loans: Expert Perspectives

  • Giedrė Lapinskienė,
  • Tadas Gudaitis and
  • Rita Martišienė

In the context of tighter regulations by European Union institutions, sustainable finance allows companies and individuals to identify environmentally friendly ways to access loans according to their sustainability priorities. The financial sector, f...

(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
9,773 Views
24 Pages

Sustainable property development in developing economies requires a careful balance between attracting foreign capital and maintaining housing affordability for local residents. While foreign direct investment (FDI) serves as a crucial engine for eco...

  • Article
  • Open Access
2,645 Views
15 Pages

Ripples of Oil Shocks: How Jordan’s Sectors React

  • Salem Adel Ziadat and
  • Maher Khasawneh

This paper examines the impact of different oil price shocks (supply, demand, and risk) on the sectoral indices of Jordan from 4 January 2000 until 24 September 2024 using the TVP connectedness approach of. The results point to the existence of a tim...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Emerging Issues in Economics, Finance and Business—2nd Edition)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
4,680 Views
37 Pages

This paper analyzes the 1/3 Financial Rule, a method of allocating income equally among debt repayment, savings, and living expenses. Through mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis, we examine the rule&rsqu...

(This article belongs to the Section Mathematics and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
1,790 Views
12 Pages

State Borrowing and Electricity Tariff in an Emerging Economy: Post-COVID-19 Experience

  • Sam Kris Hilton,
  • Vida Aba Essuman,
  • Ebenezer Dzinpa Effisah and
  • Andaratu Achuliwor Khalid

As the debt stock level of Ghana continues to rise, partly due to the negative impact of COVID-19, a number of new taxes have been introduced in the 2021 budget statement alongside an upward adjustment of electricity tariff. State borrowing may signi...

(This article belongs to the Section Economics and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1,867 Views
23 Pages

Business groups comprise independently owned firms based on different types of owner solidarity, such as kinship, ethnicity, religion, or political identity. However, research has been slow to account for how the adverse effects of ethnic solidarity...

(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
3,381 Views
13 Pages

Climate change manifests itself in rising temperatures across the continent and affects the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) by changing sea surface temperatures and atmospheric circulation. This affects precipitation and temperature...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
  • Article
  • Open Access
4,473 Views
14 Pages

The Law on Credit Institutions 2010, amended and supplemented, was applied on 15 January 2018, causing many changes in senior personnel in Vietnamese banking. The period (2018–2014) had many changes. This was also a period of many business diff...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Accounting, Finance and Banking in Emerging Economies)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
2,538 Views
18 Pages

This study examines the effects of internal governance mechanisms on the issuance of green bonds and investigates whether firms issuing green bonds exhibit distinct corporate governance characteristics, especially regarding board gender diversity and...

(This article belongs to the Section Sustainability and Finance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
89 Citations
23,515 Views
26 Pages

Secure and Transparent Banking: Explainable AI-Driven Federated Learning Model for Financial Fraud Detection

  • Saif Khalifa Aljunaid,
  • Saif Jasim Almheiri,
  • Hussain Dawood and
  • Muhammad Adnan Khan

The increasing sophistication of fraud has rendered rule-based fraud detection obsolete, exposing banks to greater financial risk, reputational damage, and regulatory penalties. Financial stability, customer trust, and compliance are increasingly thr...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Markets)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2,664 Views
25 Pages

Determinants of the Financing Mechanisms of Decentralization in Togo

  • Essossinam Pali,
  • Coffi Cyprien Aholou and
  • François Paul Yatta

Since 2019, Togo has been strengthening financial decentralization through municipalization and the election of municipal councilors. Municipal financial autonomy is a key driver of local governance, allowing municipalities to mobilize their own reso...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Tax Avoidance and Earnings Management)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1,124 Views
18 Pages

Finite mixture regression identifies homogeneous groups within a sample and computes the regression coefficients in each group. Groups and group coefficients are jointly estimated using an iterative approach. This work extends the finite mixture esti...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Machine Learning-Based Risk Management in Finance and Insurance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
2,798 Views
21 Pages

Within the past five years, and as Artificial Intelligence (AI) increasingly pervades the academic and educational landscape, a delicate balance has emerged between leveraging AI’s transformative potential and safeguarding individual privacy, w...

(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
  • Article
  • Open Access
5 Citations
8,201 Views
25 Pages

Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) are financial instruments enabling Bitcoin to be traded on traditional brokerage platforms, reducing the risks associated with direct Bitcoin exposure while addressing fraud and market manipulation concern...

(This article belongs to the Section Financial Technology and Innovation)
  • Article
  • Open Access
1 Citations
4,540 Views
19 Pages

Decoding Pension Funds: Sustainability Indicators for Annual Report Analysis

  • Leticia Martins Medeiros,
  • Clea Beatriz Macagnan and
  • Rosane Maria Seibert

Pension funds’ growth highlights the need to emphasize fiduciary duty and investment sustainability, considering the current and future participants’ interests (priority stakeholders) and systemic risk reduction (environmental, social, ec...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability Reporting and Corporate Governance)
  • Article
  • Open Access
2 Citations
2,724 Views
16 Pages

Accurate inflation forecasting is crucial for effective monetary policy, particularly during turning points that demand policy realignment. This study examines the efficacy of dedicating ensembles of shallow recurrent neural network models to differe...

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forecasting and Time Series Analysis)
  • Article
  • Open Access
6 Citations
15,559 Views
18 Pages

This study investigates the interplay between budget planning and budgeting evaluation functions in relation to company budget management performance, specifically focusing on the phenomenon of budgetary slack among manufacturing companies in China....

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Accounting, Auditing, and Reporting Quality: Challenges Under Uncertainty Conditions)

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J. Risk Financ. Manag. - ISSN 1911-8074