Search Results (20,967)

To combat climate change, farmers want to develop sustainable agriculture that enhances food production while strengthening their capacity to cope with extreme weather events and pest and disease pressures. Promoting agroecological farming practices is a promising approach in enhancing sustainability and strengthening the climate-resilient farming systems. Recent research often overlooks to what extent the agroecological farming practices (AFP) provide a measurable advantage over non-AFP methods under increasing environmental challenges. In this regard, this study compares the extent of climate resilience between AFP mango-based farming systems and non-AFP mango-based farming systems in southern Ethiopia. AFP adopters applied ecological principles like intercropping, integrated pest management, agroforestry, canopy management, varietal diversity, and water and soil preservation to enhance biodiversity and soil health, and boost productivity and ecosystem services. The study employed a mixed-method design, drawing on the data from 395 selected households. The resilience of AFP and non-AFP farming systems was assessed by computing the 13 agroecosystem indicators of climate resilience using the Self-evaluation and Holistic Assessment of Climate Resilience of Farmers and Pastoralists (SHARP+) tool. Households in AFP mango-based farming system demonstrated greater diversification in agricultural production system compared to those in non-AFP mango farming system. The analysis of climate resilience indicators showed that the mango production systems under the AFP were more climate-robust than their conventional systems. Both the compound resilience score and the household resilience index showed that the mango farming systems under AFP substantially enhanced climate resilience. Hence, coordinated supports from the extension services, NGOs, and researchers are needed to scale up these benefits of AFP. Strengthening the AFP mango farming requires addressing the key barriers such as market access, input availability, and crop diversification strategies. This paper identifies important avenues for further AFP research in Sub-Saharan African countries. Full article

This paper documents the preliminary observations and applications of a Ka-band cloud radar newly installed at the Hong Kong International Airport. A special scanning strategy of the cloud radar was developed and is described in detail. The radar provides reasonable cloud base height data as compared with a co-located laser ceilometer, by identifying the lowest vertical layer with reflectivity > −30 dBZ and at least 150 m thick, filtering measurements influenced by rainfall, and removing noise with differential reflectivity thresholds. As demonstrated in a heavy rain case study, the radar provides good estimates of the cloud top height as well, consistent with the cloud liquid water content profiles from a microwave radiometer. The various applications of the cloud radar are then explored, including (1) observations of supercooled liquid water in clouds associated with a late-season tropical cyclone in the South China Sea, (2) monitoring of low visibility in light rain or mist at the airport region using reflectivity as well as Doppler velocity data, and (3) monitoring severe weather such as windshear and turbulence to be encountered by departing aircraft due to low-level jets and initiation of heavy rain, using the Doppler velocity and spectrum data. These observations demonstrated the robustness in the cloud radar in the observation of high clouds and the applicability of the radar’s Doppler velocity in plan position indicator scans under light rain situations. Potential research with the radar, such as visibility maps, turbulence intensity maps, and automatic cloud observations, is also discussed. Full article

Accurate identification of cultivated land planting types is essential for agricultural resource management and national food security. Traditional optical remote sensing approaches are susceptible to weather interference in cloudy regions, making continuous crop growth monitoring challenging to achieve. To address this limitation, this study proposes a crop classification framework based on time-series Sentinel-1A SAR imagery combined with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), using Chongming Island, Shanghai as the experimental area. The framework integrates backscattering coefficients (VV, VH, VV/VH ratio) with polarimetric decomposition parameters (entropy H, scattering angle alpha, anisotropy A) as multi-dimensional temporal input features, and employs decision-level voting to obtain plot-level classification results. Experiments on three classification tasks (Rice versus Non-Rice, Wheat versus Non-Wheat, and multi-class rotation patterns) demonstrate that the proposed method achieves pixel-level accuracies of 99.72%, 99.60%, and 98.39% respectively using the six-dimensional BSPD model, with plot-level F1 scores exceeding 0.990 across all tasks. The fusion of polarimetric decomposition features reduces classification errors by up to 70% compared with backscattering-only features, particularly improving discrimination of phenologically overlapping crop categories. These results confirm that multi-dimensional temporal features extracted from dense time-series SAR imagery significantly enhance crop classification accuracy in all-weather conditions. Full article

Large infrastructure projects frequently experience schedule slippage and cost escalation; however, time–cost planning still relies on expert-assigned activity parameters that fail to reflect the variability induced by construction modes, resource supply, and on-site conditions. This study focuses on activity-level multi-mode time–cost trade-off planning and its dynamic correction during project execution. The proposed methodology is intended for project-level short-term operational scheduling and rolling re-scheduling within a finite project execution horizon, rather than long-term strategic or portfolio-level scheduling. A predict–optimize–update framework is proposed, where light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) is employed to predict the duration and direct cost of activity–mode pairs using unified features extracted from BIM/IFC records, schedule-resource ledgers, and cost-settlement data, covering engineering quantities, mode and resource decisions, and contextual factors. These predicted parameters are then fed into a time-indexed bi-objective mixed-integer linear program (MILP), which minimizes both project makespan and total cost (including indirect cost) to generate an interpretable Pareto frontier via a weighted-sum approach. Meanwhile, real-time monitoring updates refresh the predictors and re-solve the remaining project network to ensure dynamic adaptability. Validated on a desensitized proprietary enterprise multi-source dataset comprising 25 completed infrastructure projects and 5258 activity–mode samples, the proposed method achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.7 days and a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.89 for duration prediction, as well as an MAE of 7.4 × 10⁴ CNY and an R² of 0.91 for direct-cost prediction. The generated Pareto set exhibits a diminishing return trend: as the project duration is relaxed from 101 to 146 days, the total cost decreases from 45.10 to 40.27 million CNY. A weather-triggered update case demonstrates that the completion forecast is revised from 133 to 128 days, with the total cost reduced from 53.05 to 52.75 million CNY. This framework enables explainable schedule–cost co-control, thereby effectively aiding decision-making for the planning and control of large infrastructure projects. Full article

Accurate wind power forecasting is essential for the stability of modern power systems. However, current probabilistic forecasting frameworks often encounter a fundamental conflict between the computational efficiency required for high-dimensional meteorological pattern matching and the physical consistency of the resulting probability distributions. Existing methods frequently fail to maintain the logical monotonicity of quantiles or overlook the fine-grained temporal correlations in massive historical datasets. To address these critical gaps, this research develops a comprehensive framework that synergizes a hierarchical similarity filtering mechanism with a structurally constrained non-crossing quantile regression model. First, the target sample is partitioned into several weather segments, and a new two-stage high-similarity weather pattern matching method is developed to screen multiple sets of historical samples that are highly similar to the target weather pattern. Second, a deep learning model for probabilistic wind power quantile forecasting is proposed, which incorporates historical data augmentation. The model utilizes an attention mechanism to extract the correlation between the target and historical segments, while an improved non-crossing quantile regression model is adopted to ensure the validity of the output quantiles. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through case studies using real-world data from an actual wind farm. Full article

Accurate forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) track and intensity with a sufficient lead time are critical for disaster preparedness and risk mitigation. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, while fundamental to operational forecasting, often exhibit systematic errors due to limitations in observations, physical parameterizations, and model resolution. In recent years, machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) approaches have emerged as promising data-driven alternatives for improving TC forecasts. This study presents a comparative evaluation of six ML and DL models—Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)—for forecasting TC track and intensity in the North Atlantic basin. The models are trained using the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) HURDAT2 best-track dataset for storms from 1990 to 2019 and evaluated on an independent test set from the 2020 season. Model performance is compared across all models and benchmarked against the 2020 mean Decay-SHIFOR5 intensity error, CLIPER5 track errors, and the NHC official forecast (OFCL) errors. Forecast skill is assessed using mean absolute error (MAE) with 95% bootstrap confidence intervals and the coefficient of determination (R²) across lead times of 6, 12, 18, 24, 48, and 72 h. The results show that: (1) several ML and DL models achieve intensity forecast performance that is broadly comparable in magnitude to the 2020 mean OFCL benchmarks, with an average error reduction of 5–11% at the 24 h lead time; (2) among the ML models, XGBoost and CatBoost slightly outperform LightGBM and RF in accuracy, while LightGBM demonstrates the highest computational efficiency; and (3) among the DL models, CNNs outperform ANNs in predictive accuracy and intensity forecasting efficiency, while ANNs exhibit lower computational cost for track forecast. Bootstrap confidence intervals indicate relatively low variability in model errors, supporting the statistical stability of the results within the 2020 season. However, these results reflect within-season variability and do not necessarily generalize across different years or climatological conditions. Overall, the findings demonstrate the potential of ML/DL-based approaches to complement existing operational forecast systems and enhance TC track and intensity forecasting in the North Atlantic basin. Full article

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is critical for modern power systems, energy management, and grid planning. Yet virtually all existing forecasting models employ stationary activation functions that apply identical nonlinear mappings regardless of temporal context—a fundamental mismatch with real-world load data, which exhibits strongly regime-dependent dynamics such as summer demand peaks, winter heating patterns, and overnight low-load periods. We address this gap by proposing TC-KAN (Time-Conditioned Kolmogorov–Arnold Network), the first forecasting architecture to augment KAN activation functions with position-aware coefficient parameterisation. The core innovation replaces the static polynomial coefficients in standard KAN activations with position-conditioned coefficients produced by a lightweight positional-embedding MLP, providing additional learnable capacity beyond standard KAN while adding negligible parameter overhead. TC-KAN further integrates a dual-pathway processing block—combining depthwise convolution for local temporal pattern extraction with the time-conditioned KAN layer for enhanced nonlinear transformation—within a channel-independent framework with Reversible Instance Normalisation. Experiments were conducted on four standard ETT benchmark datasets and the high-dimensional Weather dataset. TC-KAN achieves superior or competitive accuracy in most configurations while requiring merely 51K parameters—approximately 40% of DLinear and ∼100× fewer than iTransformer. On ETTh2, TC-KAN reduces the mean squared error by up to 61.4% over DLinear, and matches the current state-of-the-art iTransformer on ETTm2 at a fraction of the computational cost. This extreme parameter reduction circumvents the steep memory bottlenecks endemic to massive Transformer models, positioning TC-KAN as a highly practical architecture tailored precisely for resource-constrained edge deployments—such as on-device load forecasting inside smart grid sensors and industrial IoT controllers. Full article

Climate change-induced variability in temperature and precipitation increasingly constrains crop production on sandy-textured soils with low water-holding capacity and limited nutrient retention. Such soils, classified as Brunic Arenosols, are widespread across the temperate climate zone of Central Europe, particularly in post-glacial landscapes, where they constitute a significant proportion of marginal agricultural lands. This study evaluated the relative influence of growing-season weather conditions and selected soil physicochemical properties on the yield of Camelina sativa and Brassica carinata cultivated under low-input management on Brunic Arenosols in northwestern Poland during the 2023 season. Yields varied markedly among sites. Camelina sativa produced yields from 300 to 930 kg ha⁻¹, with the highest yield recorded at the site characterized by higher BS and phosphorus availability. Brassica carinata produced yields from 0 to 370 kg ha⁻¹, including complete yield loss at one location due to severe pathogen infestation. Spearman’s correlation analysis revealed that temperature was a key determinant for both crops (r = 0.77 for C. sativa; r = 0.82 for B. carinata). For Camelina sativa, yield was strongly associated with BS (r = 0.80) and available P (r = 0.69), whereas Brassica carinata was more sensitive to climatic variability, showing a negative relationship with precipitation (r = −0.63). The results indicate species-specific responses to soil fertility and weather conditions under water- and nutrient-limited conditions typical of Central European sandy soils. While Camelina sativa performance was more closely linked to soil chemical status, Brassica carinata appeared predominantly climate-driven. These findings highlight the broader relevance of the study for temperate regions of Central Europe and support the integration of soil fertility management with climate-adaptive strategies when introducing alternative oilseed crops to marginal lands. Full article

Integrating direct air carbon capture (DAC) into buildings offers a promising pathway for reducing atmospheric CO₂, yet the role of architectural design in enhancing passive carbon-capture performance remains underexplored. This study presents a computational framework developed to optimize architectural design and enclosure geometry for enhanced passive airflow, using mass-flow rate as a proxy for the comparative assessment of carbon absorption potential. Implemented within Rhino3D and Grasshopper using Ladybug and Eddy3D, the workflow integrates weather data and CFD simulation to compute segmented mass-flow rates through stacked capture trays. The framework simplifies traditionally complex CFD processes by introducing a custom segmented mass-flow calculation approach that enables comparative performance assessment during early-stage design. Results confirm the validity of the proposed workflow, revealing that façade rotation can modify total mass flow by up to 96.5%; seasonal wind variability can cause airflow to range from approximately 8.5 kg/s in January to 169.5 kg/s in May in Seattle. Spatial configuration can alter airflow by up to an order of magnitude and introduce substantial spatial heterogeneity within capture zones. This research establishes a performance-driven design framework that enables architectural geometry to actively enhance passive carbon-capture integration, positioning building design as a measurable contributor to climate mitigation strategies. Ultimately, this work bridges architectural design and carbon-capture engineering, supporting interdisciplinary approaches to scalable, climate-responsive building systems. Full article

Complex weather degrades both perception reliability and tire–road adhesion, thereby reducing the safety margin and responsiveness of intelligent driving longitudinal control. This study proposes a reproducible evaluation method for adverse weather operational design domains based on parameter perturbation testing and comprehensive assessment. Snow, fog, and rain are graded using standard quantitative thresholds and are coupled with road slipperiness to construct a weather–road state set. A mechanism-oriented indicator system, a combined subjective–objective weighting strategy, and a multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model are then used to generate quantitative capability scores. The method is validated on a co-simulation framework integrating vehicle–sensor simulation, a driving simulator, and a digital-twin testing environment using representative autonomous emergency braking scenarios. Results show that increasing weather severity, decreasing road adhesion, and higher initial speed reduce the post-braking safety margin and prolong collision-response time. The proposed method differentiates performance across weather–road states and provides quantitative support for test-coverage planning and capability boundary calibration in adverse weather operational design domains. Full article

The inefficient utilization of industrial by-product phosphogypsum, coupled with the increasing global demand for cooling, has spurred the development of sustainable radiative cooling materials. Compared with conventional cooling coatings that primarily rely on expensive synthetic materials or complex fabrication processes, this study provides a promising cost-effective and sustainable route for integrating industrial solid waste valorization with zero-energy cooling technologies. In this study, we fabricated a composite coating (β-HPG@CA/SiO₂@OTS) consisting of β-hemihydrate phosphogypsum (β-HPG), a derivative product of phosphogypsum, cellulose acetate (CA), SiO₂ particles and octadecyltrichlorosilane (OTS) by a facile combination of blade coating and spraying, which exhibited strong solar reflectivity (90.9%), high mid-infrared emissivity (98.7%) and satisfactory superhydrophobicity (157°). The as-prepared composite achieved an ambient temperature drop of 18.7 °C under direct sunlight during sunny weather, achieving a net cooling power of 92.23 W/m². Meanwhile, the composite coating exhibits excellent durability after prolonged immersion in strongly acidic and alkaline solutions, ultraviolet radiation and outdoor testing. Owing to its simple fabrication process and robust cooling performance, this coating shows promise for scalable production and practical outdoor applications, such as building envelopes and equipment enclosures. Full article

Decarbonising greenhouse food production requires improvements in thermal management, energy efficiency, and system integration. Greenhouse energy demand is shaped by coupled heat and mass transfer processes, particularly envelope performance, ventilation, and latent heat associated with humidity control. This article synthesises recent advances in greenhouse microclimate control with emphasis on heat transfer, low-carbon heating and cooling, thermal storage, renewable and waste heat integration, and advanced modelling and control approaches. The review shows that humidity control and latent load management are primary drivers of winter energy use, as moisture removal through ventilation and dehumidification directly increases the sensible heating required to maintain indoor temperature setpoints. When assessed using realistic psychrometric relationships, ventilation and dehumidification can dominate peak heating demand and seasonal consumption. The performance of heat pumps, storage systems, semi-closed greenhouse concepts, and renewable heat pathways depends on how thermal loads are defined, how system boundaries are set, and how technologies are integrated in operation. Digital twins, predictive control, and hybrid physics-data models are increasingly used to manage variability in weather, energy prices, and infrastructure constraints. Greenhouse decarbonisation cannot be treated as a simple substitution of energy sources. System performance depends on coordinated design and operation, including heat recovery, moisture removal, and integration of supply technologies. Semi-closed and heat recovery-based configurations can reduce the ventilation–heating penalty and lower primary energy demand compared with vent-to-dry approaches. Long-term market projections suggest that the commercial greenhouse sector could expand substantially by 2050 under plausible growth scenarios, reflecting increased capital investment rather than a proportional rise in global food output. Net-zero greenhouse production is achievable through combined improvements in thermal management, electrification, and renewable energy integration. However, large-scale deployment depends on consistent modelling assumptions, credible economic assessment, and alignment with heat and CO₂ supply infrastructure. The transition is therefore shaped by system integration and planning as much as by individual technologies. Full article

Fog is a near-surface weather phenomenon with low visibility that significantly threatens transportation safety. Understanding the spatiotemporal evolution and formation mechanisms of fog is essential for improving fog forecasting and warning services to reduce related casualties and economic losses. This study examines consecutive dense fog events with long duration and high intensity that occurred along the Ma-Zhao Expressway in northeastern Yunnan from 24 to 30 October 2022. Yunnan is a typical low-latitude plateau region in southwestern China with complex terrain and diverse climates, leading to particularly complicated fog formation processes. Correlation analysis indicates that thermal and vapor factors show stronger correlations with visibility, with correlation coefficients reaching 0.68 for vertical temperature difference and −0.63 for surface relative humidity, both significant at the 99% confidence level. These values are notably higher than those of dynamic factors such as near-surface wind speed, which yields a correlation coefficient of 0.47. The results confirm the dominant role of thermal and vapor conditions in the formation and maintenance of these dense fog events, together with favorable conditions including near-surface air saturation, weak dynamic processes, and a temperature inversion in the lower troposphere. Standardized anomaly analysis reveals obvious atmospheric anomalies during the fog episodes. A strong southerly wind anomaly appears in the lower troposphere, driven by a cyclone over the Philippines and an anomalous anticyclone east of Yunnan. This southerly transport delivers warm and moist air toward the Ma-Zhao Expressway, accompanied by a positive temperature anomaly of 1.7, standard deviations near 700 hPa and a positive specific humidity anomaly of more than 2 standard deviations in the lower troposphere. These conditions favor the development of temperature inversions and atmospheric saturation, further promoting the occurrence and persistence of consecutive dense fog events. This study clarifies the key effects of thermal and vapor conditions as well as low-level southerly wind anomalies on dense fog over the Yunnan low-latitude plateau. These conclusions deepen the understanding of fog formation mechanisms in complex plateau terrain and provide a scientific reference for fog forecasting and early warning along mountain expressways in similar low-latitude plateau regions. Full article

Accurate large-scale crop mapping is critical for yield prediction, agricultural disaster monitoring, and global food security. Synthetic aperture radar (SAR), with its all-weather imaging capability, plays a vital role in remote sensing based on crop mapping studies. However, although feature-level fusion has been widely explored in remote sensing, existing VV and VH fusion approaches for rice mapping are still predominantly conducted at the data level and fail to adequately integrate their complementary information across the rice growth cycle, so the simplistic fusion methods yield features that are redundant or conflicting at field boundaries and in heterogeneous areas, thereby increasing classification errors. To address these challenges, this study proposes a novel spatiotemporal attention model (SimTA) for feature fusion to improve rice mapping. (1) A VV-VH feature-level fusion scheme is designed, integrated with a Content-Guided Attention (CGA) fusion method which effectively exploits the complementary information of the dual-polarized SAR data for achieving deep spatiotemporal dynamics fusion. (2) A Central Difference Convolution Spatial Extraction Conv (CDCSE Conv) Block is designed, enhancing sensitivity to edge variations in rice fields by combining standard and central difference convolutions. (3) To achieve efficient spatiotemporal feature integration across SAR time series, a Temporal–Spatial Attention (TSA) Block is developed, utilizing large-kernel convolutions for spatial feature extraction and a squeeze-and-excitation mechanism for capturing long-range temporal dependencies of rice time series. Extensive experiments were conducted by comparing SimTA with different models under five fusion schemes. Results demonstrate that feature-level fusion consistently outperforms other schemes, with SimTA achieving the best performance: OA = 91.1%, F1 score = 90.9%, and mIoU = 86.2%. Compared to the baseline Simple Video Prediction (SimVP), SimTA improves F1 score and mIoU by 0.8% and 2.1%, respectively. The CGA enhanced feature-level fusion further boosts SimTA’s performance to OA = 91.5% and F1 = 91.4%. SimTA bridges the gap between existing VV-VH deep fusion schemes and modern spatiotemporal modeling demands, offering a more accurate and generalizable approach for large-scale rice field mapping. Full article

In the semi-arid Batna Belezma region of northeastern Algeria, groundwater is a vital resource for agriculture and drinking water. However, the climate leads to intense evaporation, which affects its quality. This study aims to identify the key hydrogeochemical processes that control groundwater composition in the Merouana Basin and to evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning (ML) models. A total of 30 groundwater samples were analyzed using multivariate statistical techniques, including Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and were modeled using PHREEQC to assess mineral saturation states. Additionally, ML-based regression models, including K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB),were employed to predict groundwater chemistry. The results indicate that the dominant ion distribution follows the following trend: Ca²⁺ > Mg²⁺ > Na⁺ and HCO₃⁻ > SO₄²⁻ > Cl⁻. Alkaline earth metals (Ca²⁺ and Mg²⁺) constitute the major fraction of total dissolved cations, reflecting carbonate equilibrium and dolomite dissolution processes. In contrast, Na⁺ represents a smaller proportion of the cationic load; however, its hydro-agronomic significance is substantial due to its influence on sodium adsorption ratio (SAR) and soil permeability. The PHREEQC modeling showed that calcite and dolomite precipitation promote evaporite dissolution, while most samples remain undersaturated with respect to gypsum. The PCA results reveal high positive loadings of Mg²⁺, Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, HCO₃⁻, and EC, suggesting that ion exchange and seawater mixing are the primary controlling processes, with carbonate weathering playing a secondary role. To enhance predictive assessment, several supervised machine learning models were tested. Among them, the Random Forest model achieved the highest predictive performance (R² = 0.96) with low RMSE and MAE values, confirming its robustness and reliability. The results indicate that silicate weathering and mineral dissolution are the primary mechanisms governing groundwater chemistry. The integration of multivariate statistics and machine learning provides a comprehensive understanding of groundwater evolution and offers a reliable predictive framework for sustainable water resource management in semi-arid environments. Geochemical model performance showed a high global accuracy (GPI = 0.91), confirming a strong agreement between observed and simulated chemical data. However, the HH value (0.81) indicates some discrepancies, particularly for specific ions or extreme conditions. Full article