Search Results (494)

With the accelerating global transition toward sustainable energy systems, power grids with a high share of renewable energy face increasing challenges due to volatility and uncertainty, necessitating advanced flexibility resource planning and stability optimization strategies. This paper presents a comprehensive distribution network planning framework that coordinates and integrates multiple types of flexibility resources through joint optimization and network reconfiguration to enhance system adaptability and operational resilience. A novel virtual network coupling modeling approach is proposed to address topological constraints during network reconfiguration, ensuring radial operation while allowing rapid topology adjustments to isolate faults and restore power supply. Furthermore, to mitigate the uncertainty and fault risks associated with extreme weather events, a CVaR-based risk quantification framework is incorporated into a bi-level optimization model, effectively balancing investment costs and operational risks under uncertainty. In this model, the upper-level planning stage optimizes the siting and sizing of flexibility resources, while the lower-level operational stage coordinates real-time dispatch strategies through demand response, energy storage operation, and dynamic network reconfiguration. Finally, a hybrid SA-PSO algorithm combined with conic programming is employed to enhance computational efficiency while ensuring high solution quality for practical system scales. Case study analyses demonstrate that, compared to single-resource configurations, the proposed coordinated planning of multiple flexibility resources can significantly reduce the total system cost and markedly improve system resilience under fault conditions. Full article

In recent years, biofuels and bioenergy derived from algae have gained increasing attention, fueled by the growing demand for renewable energy sources and the urgent need to lower CO₂ emissions. This research examines the generation of bioethanol and biomethane using freshly harvested and sedimented algal biomass. Employing a factorial experimental design, various trials were conducted, with ethanol yield as the primary optimization target. The findings indicated that the sodium hydroxide concentration during pretreatment and the amylase dosage in enzymatic hydrolysis were key parameters influencing the ethanol production efficiency. Under optimized conditions—using 0.3 M NaOH, 25 μL/g starch, and 250 μL/g cellulose—fermentation yielded ethanol concentrations as high as 2.75 ± 0.18 g/L (45.13 ± 2.90%), underscoring the significance of both enzyme loading and alkali treatment. Biomethane potential tests on the residues of fermentation revealed reduced methane yields in comparison with the raw algal feedstock, with a peak value of 198.50 ± 25.57 mL/g volatile solids. The integrated process resulted in a total energy recovery of up to 809.58 kWh per tonne of algal biomass, with biomethane accounting for 87.16% of the total energy output. However, the energy recovered from unprocessed biomass alone was nearly double, indicating a trade-off between sequential valorization steps. A comparison between fresh and dried feedstocks also demonstrated marked differences, largely due to variations in moisture content and biomass composition. Overall, this study highlights the promise of integrated algal biomass utilization as a viable and energy-efficient route for sustainable biofuel production. Full article

The large-scale integration of volatile and intermittent renewables necessitates greater flexibility in the power system. Improving this flexibility is key to achieving a high proportion of renewable energy consumption. In this context, the scientific selection of energy storage technology is of great significance for the construction of new power systems. From the perspective of life cycle cost analysis, this paper conducts an economic evaluation of four mainstream energy storage technologies: lithium iron phosphate battery, pumped storage, compressed air energy storage, and hydrogen energy storage, and quantifies and compares the life cycle cost of multiple energy storage technologies. On this basis, a three-dimensional multi-energy storage comprehensive evaluation indicator system covering economy, technology, and environment is constructed. The improved grade one method and entropy weight method are used to determine the comprehensive performance, and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is used to carry out multi-attribute decision-making on the multi-energy storage technology in the source, network, and load scenarios. The results show that pumped storage and compressed air energy storage have significant economic advantages in long-term and large-scale application scenarios. With its fast response ability and excellent economic and technical characteristics, the lithium iron phosphate battery has the smallest score change rate (15.2%) in various scenarios, showing high adaptability. However, hydrogen energy storage technology still lacks economic and technological maturity, and breakthrough progress is still needed for its wide application in various application scenarios in the future. Full article

With the increasing integration of renewable energy and smart technologies in residential energy systems, proactive household energy management (HEM) have become critical for reducing costs, enhancing grid stability, and achieving sustainability goals. This study proposes a ultra-short-term forecasting-driven proactive energy consumption optimization strategy that integrates advanced forecasting models with multi-objective scheduling algorithms. By leveraging deep learning techniques like Graph Attention Network (GAT) architectures, the system predicts ultra-short-term household load profiles with high accuracy, addressing the volatility of residential energy use. Then, based on the predicted data, a comprehensive consideration of electricity costs, user comfort, carbon emission pricing, and grid load balance indicators is undertaken. This study proposes an enhanced mixed-integer optimization algorithm to collaboratively optimize multiple objective functions, thereby refining appliance scheduling, energy storage utilization, and grid interaction. Case studies demonstrate that integrating photovoltaic (PV) power generation forecasting and load forecasting models into a home energy management system, and adjusting the original power usage schedule based on predicted PV output and water heater demand, can effectively reduce electricity costs and carbon emissions without compromising user engagement in optimization. This approach helps promote energy-saving and low-carbon electricity consumption habits among users. Full article

Virtual power plants (VPPs) enable the efficient participation of distributed renewable energy resources in electricity markets by aggregating them. However, the profitability of VPPs is challenged by market volatility and regulatory constraints, such as price caps and imbalance penalties. This study examines the joint impact of varying price cap levels and imbalance penalty structures on the bidding strategies and revenues of VPPs. A stochastic optimization model was developed, where a three-stage scenario tree was utilized to capture the uncertainty in electricity prices and renewable generation output. Simulations were performed under various market conditions using real-world price and generation data from the Korean electricity market. The analysis reveals that higher price cap coefficients lead to greater revenue and more segmented bidding strategies, especially under asymmetric penalty structures. Segment-wise analysis of bid price–quantity pairs shows that over-bidding is preferred under upward-only penalty schemes, while under-bidding is preferred under downward-only ones. Notably, revenue improvement tapers off beyond a price cap coefficient of 0.8, which indicates that there exists an optimal threshold for regulatory design. The findings of this study suggest the need for coordination between price caps and imbalance penalties to maintain market efficiency while supporting renewable energy integration. The proposed framework also offers practical insights for market operators and policymakers seeking to balance profitability, adaptability, and stability in VPP-integrated electricity markets. Full article

Electricity markets in Europe have undergone major changes in the last decade, mainly due to the increasing share of variable renewable energy sources (RES), changing demand patterns, and geopolitical factors—particularly the war in Ukraine, tensions over energy imports, and disruptions in natural gas supplies. These changes have led to increased electricity price volatility, reducing the reliability of traditional forecasting tools. This research analyses the potential of static and adaptive linear regression as electricity price forecasting tools in the context of three countries with different energy mixes: Germany, France and the Czech Republic. The static regression approach was compared with an adaptive approach based on incremental model updates at monthly intervals. Testing was carried out in three different scenarios combining stable and turbulent market periods. The quantitative results showed that the adaptive model achieved a lower MAE and RMSE, especially when trained on data from high-volatility periods. However, models trained under turbulent conditions performed poorly in stable environments due to a shift in market dynamics. The results supported several of the hypotheses formulated and demonstrated the need for localised, flexible and continuously updated forecasting. Limitations of the adaptive approach and suggestions for future research, including changing the length of training windows and the use of seasonal models, are also discussed. The research confirms that modern markets require adaptive analytical approaches that account for changing RES dynamics and country specificities. Full article

As the global energy system accelerates its transition toward a low-carbon economy, renewable energy sources (RESs), such as wind and photovoltaic power, are rapidly replacing traditional fossil fuels. These RESs are becoming a critical element of deeply decarbonized power systems (DDPSs). However, the inherent non-stationarity, multi-scale volatility, and uncontrollability of RES output significantly increase the risk of source–load imbalance, posing serious challenges to the reliability and economic efficiency of power systems. Scenario generation technology has emerged as a critical tool to quantify uncertainty and support dispatch optimization. Nevertheless, conventional scenario generation methods often fail to produce highly credible wind and solar output scenarios. To address this gap, this paper proposes a novel renewable energy scenario generation method based on a multi-resolution diffusion model. To accurately capture fluctuation characteristics across multiple time scales, we introduce a diffusion model in conjunction with a multi-scale time series decomposition approach, forming a multi-stage diffusion modeling framework capable of representing both long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in RES output. A cascaded conditional diffusion modeling framework is designed, leveraging historical trend information as a conditioning input to enhance the physical consistency of generated scenarios. Furthermore, a forecast-guided fusion strategy is proposed to jointly model long-term and short-term dynamics, thereby improving the generalization capability of long-term scenario generation. Simulation results demonstrate that MDDPM achieves a Wasserstein Distance (WD) of 0.0156 in the wind power scenario, outperforming DDPM (WD = 0.0185) and MC (WD = 0.0305). Additionally, MDDPM improves the Global Coverage Rate (GCR) by 15% compared to MC and other baselines. Full article

Driven by dual carbon targets, the scale of wind power integration has surged dramatically. However, its strong volatility causes insufficient short-term prediction accuracy, severely constraining grid security and economic dispatch. To address three key challenges in extracting temporal characteristics of strong volatility, adaptive fusion of multi-source features, and enhancing model interpretability, this paper proposes a Time-Domain Dual-Channel Adaptive Learning Model (TDDCALM). The model employs dual-channel feature decoupling: one Transformer encoder layer captures global dependencies while the raw state layer preserves local temporal features. After TCN-based feature compression, an adaptive weighted early fusion mechanism dynamically optimizes channel weights. The ACON adaptive activation function autonomously learns optimal activation patterns, with fused features visualized through visualization techniques. Validation on two wind farm datasets (A/B) demonstrates that the proposed method reduces RMSE by at least 8.89% compared to the best deep learning baseline, exhibits low sensitivity to time window sizes, and establishes a novel paradigm for forecasting highly volatile renewable energy power. Full article

Methods for the improvement of regional lignocellulosic resources (wood and agriculture waste) were studied and analyzed using blends with optimized compositions and a selective pretreatment of the blends using microwaves to enhance their thermochemical conversion and energy production efficiency. A batch-size pilot device was used to provide the thermochemical conversion of biomass blends of different compositions, analyzing the synergy of the effects of thermal and chemical interaction between the components on the yield and thermochemical conversion of volatiles, responsible for producing heat energy at various stages of flame formation. To control the thermal decomposition of the biomass, improving the flame characteristics and the produced heat, a selective pretreatment of blends using microwaves (2.45 GHz) was achieved by varying the temperature of microwave pretreatment. Assessing correlations between changes in the main characteristics of pretreated blends (elemental composition and heating value) on the produced heat and composition of products suggests that selective MW pretreatment of biomass blends activates synergistic effects of thermal and chemical interaction, enhancing the yield and combustion of volatiles with a correlating increase in produced heat energy, thus promoting the wider use of renewable biomass resources for sustainable energy production by limiting the use of fossil fuels for heat-energy production and the formation of GHG emissions. Full article

The accurate estimation of the higher heating value (HHV) of wood biomass is essential to evaluating the latter’s energy potential as a renewable energy material. This study proposes an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to predict the HHV by using proximate analysis parameters—moisture, volatile matter, ash, and fixed carbon. A dataset of 252 samples (177 for training and 75 for testing), sourced from the Phyllis database, which compiles the physicochemical properties of lignocellulosic biomass and related feedstocks, was used for model development. Various ANN architectures were explored, including one to three hidden layers with 1 to 20 neurons per layer. The best performance was achieved with the 4–11–11–11–1 architecture trained using the backpropagation algorithm, yielding an adjusted R² of 0.967 with low mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) values. A graphical user interface (GUI) was developed for real-time HHV prediction across diverse wood types. Furthermore, the model’s performance was benchmarked against 26 existing empirical and statistical models, and it outperformed them in terms of accuracy and generalization. This ANN-based tool offers a robust and accessible solution for carbon utilization strategies and the development of new energy storage material. Full article

To mitigate challenges arising from renewable energy volatility and multi-energy load uncertainty, this paper introduces a dynamic hydrogen blending (DHB) strategy for an integrated energy system. The strategy is categorized into Continuous Hydrogen Blending (CHB) and Time-phased Hydrogen Blending (THB), based on the temporal variations in the hydrogen blending ratio. To evaluate the regulatory effect of DHB on uncertainty, a data-driven distributionally robust optimization method is employed in the day-ahead stage to manage system uncertainties. Subsequently, a hierarchical model predictive control framework is designed for the intraday stage to track the day-ahead robust scheduling outcomes. Experimental results indicate that the optimized CHB ratio exhibits step characteristics, closely resembling the THB configuration. In terms of cost-effectiveness, CHB reduces the day-ahead scheduling cost by 0.87% compared to traditional fixed hydrogen blending schemes. THB effectively simplifies model complexity while maintaining a scheduling performance comparable to CHB. Regarding tracking performance, intraday dynamic hydrogen blending further reduces upper- and lower-layer tracking errors by 4.25% and 2.37%, respectively. Furthermore, THB demonstrates its advantage in short-term energy regulation, effectively reducing tracking errors propagated from the upper layer MPC to the lower layer, resulting in a 2.43% reduction in the lower-layer model’s tracking errors. Full article

Given the increasing energy demand and the environmental consequences of fossil fuel consumption, the shift toward sustainable energy sources has become a global priority. Renewable Energy Communities (RECs)—comprising citizens, businesses, and legal entities—are emerging to democratise access to renewable energy. These communities allow members to produce their own energy, sharing or selling any surplus, thus promoting sustainability and generating economic value. However, scaling RECs while ensuring profitability is challenging due to renewable energy intermittency, price volatility, and heterogeneous consumption patterns. To address these issues, this paper presents a Machine Learning as a Service (MLaaS) framework, where each REC microgrid has a customised Reinforcement Learning (RL) agent and electricity price forecasts are included to support decision-making. All the conducted experiments, using the open-source simulator Pymgrid, demonstrate that the proposed agents reduced operational costs by up to 96.41% compared to a robust baseline heuristic. Moreover, this study also introduces two cost-saving features: Peer-to-Peer (P2P) energy trading between communities and internal energy pools, allowing microgrids to draw local energy before using the main grid. Combined with the best-performing agents, these features achieved trading cost reductions of up to 45.58%. Finally, in terms of deployment, the system relies on an MLOps-compliant infrastructure that enables parallel training pipelines and an autoscalable inference service. Overall, this work provides significant contributions to energy management, fostering the development of more sustainable, efficient, and cost-effective solutions. Full article

Under the background of “dual-carbon”, expanding renewable energy grid integration exacerbates grid net load volatility, and system climbing requirements escalate. In this paper, the problem of uncertain ramping demand prediction caused by net load prediction error in new power systems is investigated. First, the total system ramping demand calculation model is constructed, and the effects of deterministic and uncertain ramping demand on the total system ramping demand are analyzed. Secondly, a prediction model based on a CNN-LSTM hybrid neural network is proposed for the uncertain ramp-up demand, which extracts the spatial correlation features of the multi-source influencing factors through the convolutional layer, captures the dynamic evolution law in the time series by using the LSTM layer, and realizes the high-precision point prediction and reliable interval prediction by combining the quantile regression method. Finally, the actual operation data and forecast data of a provincial power grid are used for example verification, and the results show that the proposed model outperformed traditional models (SVM, RF, BPNN) and single deep learning models (CNN, LSTM) in point prediction performance, achieving higher prediction accuracy and validating the effectiveness of the spatio-temporal feature extraction module. In terms of interval prediction quality, compared with the histogram and QRF benchmark models, the proposed model achieves a significant reduction in the average width of the prediction interval, average upward ramp-up demand, and average downward ramp-down demand while maintaining 100% interval coverage. This demand realizes a better balance between prediction economic efficiency and safety, providing more reliable technical support for the precise assessment of uncertain ramp-up demand in new power systems. Full article

The integration of renewable energy and electric vehicle (EV) charging stations into distribution systems presents critical challenges, including the inherent variability of renewable generation, the complex behavioral patterns of EV users, and the need for effective carbon emission mitigation. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel distribution system planning method based on the carbon pricing optimization mechanism. First, to address the strong randomness and volatility of renewable energy, a prediction model for renewable energy output considering climatic conditions is established to characterize the output features of wind and solar power. Subsequently, a charging station model is constructed based on the behavioral characteristics of electric vehicle users. Then, an optimized carbon trading price mechanism incorporating the carbon price growth rate is introduced into the carbon emission cost accounting. Based on this, a joint planning model for the power and transportation systems is developed, aiming to minimize the total economic cost while accounting for renewable energy integration and electric vehicle charging station deployment. In the case study, the proposed model is validated using the actual operational data of a specific region and a modified IEEE 33-node system, demonstrating the rationality and effectiveness of the model. Full article

The global shift to low-carbon energy systems has significantly increased demand for critical raw materials like lithium, cobalt, nickel, rare earth elements, and copper. These materials are essential for renewable technologies and energy storage. However, their extraction and processing produce significant carbon emissions and face challenges from supply chain vulnerabilities and price volatility. This review examines the complex relationship between carbon pricing mechanisms—such as carbon markets and taxes—and raw material markets. It explores the strategic importance of these materials, recent policy developments, and the transmission of carbon pricing impacts through supply chains. The review also analyzes the systemic risks created by carbon pricing, including regulatory uncertainty, market volatility, and geopolitical tensions. We then discuss financial tools and corporate strategies for managing these risks, such as carbon-linked derivatives and supply chain diversification. Finally, this review identifies key challenges and suggests future research to improve the resilience and sustainability of raw material supply chains. Here, resilience is defined as the capacity to adapt to carbon pricing volatility, geopolitical disruptions, and regulatory shocks, while maintaining operations. The paper concludes that coordinated policies and flexible risk management are urgently needed to support a reliable and sustainable energy transition. Full article